Kentucky gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial election, 2023
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| Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Kentucky |
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| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: January 6, 2023 |
| Primary: May 16, 2023 General: November 7, 2023 Pre-election incumbent(s): Gov. Andy Beshear (Democratic) Lt. Gov. Jacqueline Coleman (Democratic) |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: 6 a.m. to 6 p.m. Voting in Kentucky |
| Race ratings |
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Democratic Inside Elections: Toss-up |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| Federal and state primary competitiveness State executive elections in 2023 Impact of term limits in 2023 State government trifectas State government triplexes Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2023 |
| Kentucky executive elections |
| Governor Lieutenant Governor |
Incumbent Andy Beshear (D) and Daniel Cameron (R) are running in the November 7, 2023, Kentucky gubernatorial election. The primary was May 16, 2023. The filing deadline was January 6, 2023.
According to CNN’s Eric Bradner, "The race between Beshear and Cameron, much like Virginia’s state legislative races this fall, carries significant implications for 2024’s elections, as both parties test-drive messages they’ll seek to use across the map next year and Democrats look for lessons about which messages connect with voters in increasingly red states."[1]
"The race will test whether a Democratic incumbent can survive in a deep-red state where his party’s voter registration advantage has been erased in recent years and the political environment is increasingly dominated by national themes," Bradner wrote.[1]
"[Cameron] is seen as a rising star in GOP politics and made history as the first Black candidate to become a major party's nominee in a Kentucky gubernatorial race,” wrote Newsweek’s Andrew Stanton. “Meanwhile, Beshear remains one of the most popular governors across the United States," he added.[2]
Beshear was first elected in 2019, when he defeated incumbent Gov. Matt Bevin (R) 49.2% to 48.8%. He is the son of former Gov. Steve Beshear (2007-2015) and previously served as attorney general from 2015 to 2019.
Beshear has campaigned on his economic record and his administration’s handling of a number of crises that took place during his tenure, including the COVID-19 pandemic and a series of natural disasters that hit the state in recent years.[3][4] In a campaign ad, Beshear said, "We've been through a lot these past four years, and some days have been tougher than others, but I will always show up to help the people of Kentucky. ... Bringing thousands of good paying jobs to the commonwealth, 46 thousand more jobs than before the pandemic; clean drinking water to folks who've been overlooked and underserved; and making sure communities across Kentucky have what they need to recover from natural disasters."[4]
Cameron has served as attorney general since 2019, when he defeated Gregory Stumbo (D) 58% to 42%. The state's first Black attorney general and the first Republican elected to the office since 1943, Cameron previously worked as a law clerk and as legal counsel to U.S. Senator Mitch McConnell (R).[5][6]
Cameron has criticized Beshear’s policies during the COVID-19 pandemic and has highlighted lawsuits he’s brought against the Beshear and Biden administrations in his capacity as attorney general. Cameron’s campaign website says he "stood up for individual liberty by successfully stopping the Biden Administration’s vaccine mandate for private businesses … successfully defended multiple laws passed by the General Assembly that limited Governor Beshear’s overreaching powers during a national pandemic … defended Kentucky’s pro-life laws … [and] stood with the General Assembly in support of a bill to protect women’s sports and promised to defend the law if it was challenged in court."[7]
The lieutenant governor is also up for election. In Kentucky, gubernatorial and lieutenant governor candidates run as a ticket. Beshear named current Attorney General Jacqueline Coleman (D) as his running-mate. Cameron has until Aug. 8 to designate his.[8]
The outcome of the general election will determine the state’s trifecta status until at least 2024. The state currently has a divided government: Democrats control the governorship, and Republicans control both legislative chambers. The Cook Political Report and Larry J. Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the general election Lean Democratic, while Inside Elections rates the election a Toss up.
Kentucky—alongside Kansas, Louisiana, and North Carolina—is one of four states with a Democratic governor that President Donald Trump (R) won in 2020. That year, Trump defeated Joe Biden (D) 62% to 36% in the state. The last Democratic presidential nominee to carry Kentucky was former President Bill Clinton in 1996.[9]
At the state level, Democratic governors have led Kentucky for 64 of the past 76 years. The state has elected three Republican governors since World War II, each serving single terms from 1967 to 1971, 2003 to 2007, and 2015 to 2019.[10]
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- Kentucky gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial election, 2023 (May 16 Democratic primary)
- Kentucky gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial election, 2023 (May 16 Republican primary)
Election news
This section includes a timeline of events leading up to the election. The timeline is updated regularly as polling, debates, and other noteworthy events occur.
- June 1: Cygnal released a poll of 600 likely voters showing Beshear and Cameron tied at 47% of support each, with 6% undecided. The poll had a margin of error of ±3.9%[11]
- May 24: The Kentucky Professional Fire Fighters, a group of 43 fire fighter & EMS unions, endorsed Beshear.[12]
- May 23:
Candidates and election results
Governor
General election for Governor of Kentucky
Incumbent Andy Beshear and Daniel Cameron are running in the general election for Governor of Kentucky on November 7, 2023.
Candidate | ||
| Andy Beshear (D) | ||
| Daniel Cameron (R) | ||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Democratic primary for Governor of Kentucky
Incumbent Andy Beshear defeated Geoff Young and Peppy Martin in the Democratic primary for Governor of Kentucky on May 16, 2023.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Andy Beshear | 91.1 | 158,092 | |
| Geoff Young | 5.3 | 9,215 | ||
| Peppy Martin | 3.6 | 6,320 | ||
| Total votes: 173,627 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Republican primary for Governor of Kentucky
The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for Governor of Kentucky on May 16, 2023.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Daniel Cameron | 46.9 | 127,411 | |
| Ryan Quarles | 21.9 | 59,353 | ||
| Kelly Knight Craft | 17.5 | 47,490 | ||
| Eric Deters | 6.0 | 16,246 | ||
| Mike Harmon | 2.6 | 7,157 | ||
| Alan Keck | 2.5 | 6,710 | ||
David Cooper ![]() | 0.7 | 2,012 | ||
| Jacob Clark | 0.6 | 1,679 | ||
Robbie Smith ![]() | 0.5 | 1,269 | ||
| Bob DeVore | 0.3 | 830 | ||
| Johnny Ray Rice | 0.2 | 652 | ||
| Dennis Ray Ormerod | 0.2 | 627 | ||
| Total votes: 271,436 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Savannah Maddox (R)
Lieutenant Governor
There are no official candidates yet for this election.
The general election will occur on November 7, 2023.
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Kentucky
Candidate Comparison
Candidate profiles
This section includes candidate profiles created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff compiled a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: Yes
Political Office:
- Governor of Kentucky (Assumed office: 2019)
- Attorney General of Kentucky (2016-2019)
Biography: Beshear received a B.A. in political science and anthropology from Vanderbilt University and a J.D. from the University of Virginia. After graduating from law school, he worked at a law firm in Washington, D.C. Prior to being elected to public office, Beshear was a partner at Stites & Harbison, where he specialized in consumer and nonprofit law.
Show sources
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office:
Attorney General of Kentucky (Assumed office: 2019)
Biography: Cameron earned a B.S. in political science and a J.D. from the University of Louisville in 2008 and 2011, respectively. Cameron clerked for United States District Court Judge Gregory F. Van Tatenhove and worked as an attorney with Stites & Harbison. Cameron then worked as legal counsel to U.S. Senator Mitch McConnell and as an attorney at Frost Brown Todd.
Show sources
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
No candidate in this race has completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Ballotpedia is seeking 100 percent participation so voters can learn more about all the candidates on their ballots.
Campaign ads
This section includes a selection of up to three campaign advertisements per candidate released in this race, as well as links to candidates' YouTube, Vimeo, and/or Facebook video pages. If you are aware of other links that should be included, please email us.
Andy Beshear
View more ads here:
Daniel Cameron
| May 18, 2023 |
| April 12, 2023 |
View more ads here:
Election competitiveness
Polls
- See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
| Kentucky gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial election, 2023: General election polls | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | Date | Undecided/Other | Margin of error | Sample size[15] | Sponsor[16] | ||
| Cygnal | May 22-23, 2023 | 47% | 47% | 6% | ±3.9 | 600 LVs | N/A |
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from three outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[17]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[18][19][20]
| Race ratings: Kentucky gubernatorial election, 2023 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
| June 13, 2023 | June 6, 2023 | May 30, 2023 | May 23, 2023 | ||||||
| The Cook Political Report | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | |||||
| Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
| Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | |||||
| Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. | |||||||||
Noteworthy endorsements
This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please email us.
| Noteworthy endorsements | ||
|---|---|---|
| Endorser | ||
| Government officials | ||
| U.S. Sen. Mitch McConnell (R) source | ✔ | |
| Individuals | ||
| President of Susan B. Anthony Pro-Life America Marjorie Dannenfelser source | ✔ | |
| Former U.S. President Donald Trump source | ✔ | |
| Organizations | ||
| Fairness PAC source | ✔ | |
| Kentucky AFL-CIO source | ✔ | |
| Kentucky Professional Fire Fighters source | ✔ | |
| Kentucky Right to Life Committee source | ✔ | |
| Susan B. Anthony List source | ✔ | |
| United Mine Workers of America - Coal Miners Political Action Committee source | ✔ | |
Election spending
Campaign finance
This section contains campaign finance figures from candidates submitted to the Kentucky Registry of Public Finance in this election. It does not include information on spending by satellite groups. Click here to access the reports.
Election context
Election history
2019
General election for Governor of Kentucky
Andy Beshear defeated incumbent Matt Bevin and John Hicks in the general election for Governor of Kentucky on November 5, 2019.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Andy Beshear (D) | 49.2 | 709,890 | |
| Matt Bevin (R) | 48.8 | 704,754 | ||
| John Hicks (L) | 2.0 | 28,433 | ||
| Other/Write-in votes | 0.0 | 46 | ||
| Total votes: 1,443,123 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Democratic primary for Governor of Kentucky
Andy Beshear defeated Rocky Adkins, Adam Edelen, and Geoff Young in the Democratic primary for Governor of Kentucky on May 21, 2019.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Andy Beshear | 37.9 | 149,448 | |
| Rocky Adkins | 31.9 | 125,981 | ||
Adam Edelen ![]() | 27.9 | 110,161 | ||
| Geoff Young | 2.3 | 8,923 | ||
| Total votes: 394,513 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Republican primary for Governor of Kentucky
Incumbent Matt Bevin defeated Robert Goforth, William Woods, and Ike Lawrence in the Republican primary for Governor of Kentucky on May 21, 2019.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Matt Bevin | 52.3 | 136,069 | |
| Robert Goforth | 38.9 | 101,345 | ||
| William Woods | 5.5 | 14,440 | ||
| Ike Lawrence | 3.2 | 8,412 | ||
| Total votes: 260,266 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
2015
There was a regularly scheduled election for governor in 2015. Steve Beshear (D) was not eligible for re-election due to term limits. The primary election occurred on May 19, 2015, and the general election took place on November 3, 2015.
Republican Matt Bevin and his running mate, Jenean M. Hampton, defeated Attorney General Jack Conway and independent Drew Curtis.[21]
| Governor and Lieutenant Governor, 2015 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
| Republican | 52.5% | 511,771 | ||
| Democrat | Jack Conway/Sannie Overly | 43.8% | 426,827 | |
| Independent | Drew Curtis/Heather Curtis | 3.7% | 35,627 | |
| Total Votes | 974,225 | |||
| Election results via Kentucky Secretary of State | ||||
2023 battleground elections
- See also: Battlegrounds
This election is a battleground race. Other 2023 battleground elections include:
- City elections in St. Louis, Missouri (March 7, 2023 primary)
- Louisiana gubernatorial election, 2023 (October 14 primary)
- Pennsylvania Supreme Court elections, 2023 (May 16, 2023, Democratic primary)
See also
External links
- Search Google News for this topic
- Governor of Kentucky official website
- Lieutenant Governor of Kentucky official website
Footnotes
- ↑ 1.0 1.1 CNN, "Kentucky governor’s race will test-drive 2024 messages," May 18, 2023
- ↑ Newsweek, "Daniel Cameron's Chances of Beating Andy Beshear in Kentucky Governor Race," May 16, 2023
- ↑ Andy Beshear for Kentucky, "Meet Andy," accessed June 14,2023
- ↑ 4.0 4.1 Facebook, "Andy Beshear," May 18, 2023
- ↑ WKYT, "Voters elect Daniel Cameron for next Attorney General," November 5, 2019
- ↑ LinkedIn, "Daniel Cameron," accessed June 15, 2023
- ↑ Cite error: Invalid
<ref>tag; no text was provided for refs namedCameronIssues - ↑ WYMT, "Kentucky gubernatorial election expected to be one of the top nationwide races," May 17, 2023
- ↑ WLKY, "How Kentucky has voted for president in the past five elections," October 29, 2020
- ↑ National Governor’s Association, "Former Governors of Kentucky," accessed June 15, 2023
- ↑ Cygnal, "POLL: KENTUCKY GOVERNOR & AG – DEAD HEAT; BIDEN DEEPLY UNDERWATER," June 1
- ↑ Twitter, "KY FIREFIGHTERS," May 24, 2023
- ↑ 13.0 13.1 Lexington Herald Leader, "Kelly Craft says ‘stay tuned’ as Cameron, Beshear secure endorsements, Trail to ’23," June 2, 2023
- ↑ PBS, "Trump-backed candidate wins Republican primary to face Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear in November," May 17, 2023
- ↑ RV=Registered Voters
LV=Likely Voters - ↑ The sponsor is the person or group that funded all or part of the poll.
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Kentucky Secretary of State, "Governor and Lieutenant Governor," accessed November 4, 2014
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