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List of Pivot Counties - the 206 counties that voted Obama-Obama-Trump
From Ballotpedia
In the November 2016 presidential election, 206 counties were won by Donald Trump (R) after being carried by Barack Obama (D) in both 2008 and 2012. Trump's average margin of victory in those counties was 11.43 percent, while Obama won them by 12.23 percent in 2008 and 8.22 percent in 2012.[1] These counties are sometimes referred to as swing counties by media and political observers.
List of counties
The following table lists all of the Pivot Counties that voted for Obama in 2008 and 2012 and Trump in 2016, along with the margin of victory in each of those elections.
| Counties Won By Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | State | Trump Margin of Victory in 2016 | Obama Margin of Victory in 2012 | Obama Margin of Victory in 2008 |
| Woodruff County, Arkansas | Arkansas | 8.91% | 4.21% | 7.46% |
| Conejos County, Colorado | Colorado | 3.56% | 9.22% | 12.93% |
| Huerfano County, Colorado | Colorado | 6.61% | 8.27% | 11.23% |
| Las Animas County, Colorado | Colorado | 15.60% | 2.65% | 7.04% |
| Pueblo County, Colorado | Colorado | 0.50% | 13.99% | 14.97% |
| Windham County, Connecticut | Connecticut | 7.78% | 13.28% | 14.68% |
| Kent County, Delaware | Delaware | 4.87% | 4.94% | 9.81% |
| Jefferson County, Florida | Florida | 5.06% | 1.75% | 3.66% |
| Monroe County, Florida | Florida | 6.82% | 0.44% | 4.90% |
| Pinellas County, Florida | Florida | 1.11% | 5.65% | 8.25% |
| St. Lucie County, Florida | Florida | 2.40% | 7.86% | 12.12% |
| Baker County, Georgia | Georgia | 8.68% | 0.57% | 1.07% |
| Dooly County, Georgia | Georgia | 2.05% | 6.98% | 3.53% |
| Peach County, Georgia | Georgia | 2.91% | 7.48% | 6.75% |
| Quitman County, Georgia | Georgia | 10.92% | 9.04% | 7.90% |
| Twiggs County, Georgia | Georgia | 1.58% | 8.64% | 6.97% |
| Alexander County, Illinois | Illinois | 8.30% | 13.65% | 12.62% |
| Carroll County, Illinois | Illinois | 26.69% | 1.49% | 4.81% |
| Fulton County, Illinois | Illinois | 14.93% | 11.04% | 21.33% |
| Henderson County, Illinois | Illinois | 28.43% | 12.25% | 17.67% |
| Henry County, Illinois | Illinois | 20.99% | 3.08% | 7.74% |
| Jo Daviess County, Illinois | Illinois | 14.64% | 1.16% | 10.49% |
| Knox County, Illinois | Illinois | 2.91% | 17.37% | 19.89% |
| Mercer County, Illinois | Illinois | 20.36% | 7.39% | 11.91% |
| Putnam County, Illinois | Illinois | 19.92% | 1.82% | 15.64% |
| Warren County, Illinois | Illinois | 16.50% | 5.47% | 8.08% |
| Whiteside County, Illinois | Illinois | 6.18% | 17.02% | 17.56% |
| Delaware County, Indiana | Indiana | 13.43% | 3.12% | 14.98% |
| LaPorte County, Indiana | Indiana | 6.33% | 12.57% | 22.04% |
| Perry County, Indiana | Indiana | 18.55% | 11.59% | 22.84% |
| Porter County, Indiana | Indiana | 6.59% | 3.90% | 7.20% |
| Vigo County, Indiana | Indiana | 14.97% | 0.86% | 15.83% |
| Allamakee County, Iowa | Iowa | 24.15% | 4.17% | 14.25% |
| Boone County, Iowa | Iowa | 13.69% | 6.64% | 7.63% |
| Bremer County, Iowa | Iowa | 13.68% | 2.68% | 9.31% |
| Buchanan County, Iowa | Iowa | 15.02% | 13.87% | 18.48% |
| Cedar County, Iowa | Iowa | 17.78% | 4.59% | 9.64% |
| Cerro Gordo County, Iowa | Iowa | 7.66% | 13.38% | 20.83% |
| Chickasaw County, Iowa | Iowa | 22.94% | 11.07% | 20.74% |
| Clarke County, Iowa | Iowa | 28.02% | 1.47% | 2.25% |
| Clayton County, Iowa | Iowa | 22.78% | 7.03% | 17.17% |
| Clinton County, Iowa | Iowa | 5.12% | 22.84% | 23.03% |
| Des Moines County, Iowa | Iowa | 6.89% | 18.41% | 23.04% |
| Dubuque County, Iowa | Iowa | 1.23% | 14.71% | 20.77% |
| Fayette County, Iowa | Iowa | 19.36% | 11.96% | 16.60% |
| Floyd County, Iowa | Iowa | 14.84% | 14.63% | 21.88% |
| Howard County, Iowa | Iowa | 20.49% | 20.95% | 25.78% |
| Jackson County, Iowa | Iowa | 19.27% | 16.89% | 24.39% |
| Jasper County, Iowa | Iowa | 18.13% | 7.07% | 7.50% |
| Jefferson County, Iowa | Iowa | 0.47% | 15.97% | 20.23% |
| Jones County, Iowa | Iowa | 19.08% | 7.78% | 10.40% |
| Lee County, Iowa | Iowa | 16.02% | 15.49% | 16.01% |
| Louisa County, Iowa | Iowa | 28.37% | 0.64% | 4.25% |
| Marshall County, Iowa | Iowa | 8.31% | 9.36% | 9.35% |
| Mitchell County, Iowa | Iowa | 24.04% | 3.37% | 12.31% |
| Muscatine County, Iowa | Iowa | 6.26% | 15.88% | 15.64% |
| Poweshiek County, Iowa | Iowa | 6.53% | 9.35% | 11.75% |
| Tama County, Iowa | Iowa | 20.28% | 7.43% | 12.19% |
| Union County, Iowa | Iowa | 27.49% | 3.86% | 3.70% |
| Wapello County, Iowa | Iowa | 20.60% | 11.88% | 13.53% |
| Webster County, Iowa | Iowa | 21.52% | 5.84% | 8.51% |
| Winneshiek County, Iowa | Iowa | 0.79% | 14.74% | 22.65% |
| Worth County, Iowa | Iowa | 21.68% | 14.53% | 22.42% |
| Elliott County, Kentucky | Kentucky | 44.13% | 2.50% | 25.17% |
| Androscoggin County, Maine | Maine | 9.38% | 12.78% | 15.22% |
| Aroostook County, Maine | Maine | 17.19% | 7.62% | 9.58% |
| Franklin County, Maine | Maine | 5.47% | 18.41% | 20.29% |
| Kennebec County, Maine | Maine | 3.58% | 13.46% | 14.78% |
| Oxford County, Maine | Maine | 12.94% | 14.73% | 16.04% |
| Penobscot County, Maine | Maine | 10.91% | 2.93% | 5.12% |
| Somerset County, Maine | Maine | 22.67% | 1.68% | 5.70% |
| Washington County, Maine | Maine | 18.44% | 1.60% | 1.01% |
| Bay County, Michigan | Michigan | 12.55% | 5.56% | 15.31% |
| Calhoun County, Michigan | Michigan | 12.46% | 1.60% | 9.36% |
| Eaton County, Michigan | Michigan | 4.72% | 3.13% | 8.40% |
| Gogebic County, Michigan | Michigan | 14.80% | 8.10% | 17.27% |
| Isabella County, Michigan | Michigan | 3.66% | 9.28% | 19.26% |
| Lake County, Michigan | Michigan | 22.77% | 5.01% | 12.28% |
| Macomb County, Michigan | Michigan | 11.53% | 3.99% | 8.62% |
| Manistee County, Michigan | Michigan | 15.29% | 5.93% | 13.26% |
| Monroe County, Michigan | Michigan | 21.97% | 0.98% | 4.35% |
| Saginaw County, Michigan | Michigan | 1.13% | 11.89% | 17.34% |
| Shiawassee County, Michigan | Michigan | 19.59% | 3.67% | 8.59% |
| Van Buren County, Michigan | Michigan | 13.92% | 0.45% | 8.78% |
| Beltrami County, Minnesota | Minnesota | 9.72% | 9.89% | 10.15% |
| Blue Earth County, Minnesota | Minnesota | 3.69% | 9.48% | 12.95% |
| Chippewa County, Minnesota | Minnesota | 28.70% | 1.87% | 5.87% |
| Clay County, Minnesota | Minnesota | 1.95% | 7.92% | 16.02% |
| Fillmore County, Minnesota | Minnesota | 21.70% | 7.34% | 8.26% |
| Freeborn County, Minnesota | Minnesota | 17.24% | 14.11% | 17.13% |
| Houston County, Minnesota | Minnesota | 13.87% | 3.16% | 10.69% |
| Itasca County, Minnesota | Minnesota | 16.35% | 9.83% | 12.92% |
| Kittson County, Minnesota | Minnesota | 22.05% | 6.03% | 18.54% |
| Koochiching County, Minnesota | Minnesota | 19.85% | 9.45% | 10.10% |
| Lac qui Parle County, Minnesota | Minnesota | 25.60% | 0.90% | 5.92% |
| Mahnomen County, Minnesota | Minnesota | 2.92% | 18.56% | 25.31% |
| Mower County, Minnesota | Minnesota | 7.82% | 22.61% | 23.61% |
| Nicollet County, Minnesota | Minnesota | 3.04% | 7.83% | 10.52% |
| Norman County, Minnesota | Minnesota | 13.34% | 10.79% | 26.94% |
| Rice County, Minnesota | Minnesota | 3.06% | 8.27% | 11.50% |
| Swift County, Minnesota | Minnesota | 25.57% | 9.83% | 13.79% |
| Traverse County, Minnesota | Minnesota | 23.30% | 4.44% | 5.41% |
| Winona County, Minnesota | Minnesota | 2.90% | 12.85% | 19.09% |
| Chickasaw County, Mississippi | Mississippi | 6.06% | 4.52% | 2.13% |
| Panola County, Mississippi | Mississippi | 0.12% | 8.62% | 6.52% |
| Blaine County, Montana | Montana | 2.46% | 15.32% | 19.24% |
| Hill County, Montana | Montana | 17.18% | 3.50% | 12.21% |
| Roosevelt County, Montana | Montana | 6.49% | 15.58% | 26.27% |
| Thurston County, Nebraska | Nebraska | 5.94% | 13.91% | 6.96% |
| Coos County, New Hampshire | New Hampshire | 8.89% | 17.54% | 18.19% |
| Hillsborough County, New Hampshire | New Hampshire | 0.20% | 1.12% | 3.73% |
| Sullivan County, New Hampshire | New Hampshire | 2.58% | 13.27% | 17.93% |
| Gloucester County, New Jersey | New Jersey | 0.48% | 10.77% | 12.16% |
| Salem County, New Jersey | New Jersey | 15.00% | 1.31% | 3.92% |
| Colfax County, New Mexico | New Mexico | 8.55% | 2.24% | 10.73% |
| Hidalgo County, New Mexico | New Mexico | 6.73% | 4.96% | 2.92% |
| Valencia County, New Mexico | New Mexico | 8.60% | 2.47% | 7.72% |
| Broome County, New York | New York | 2.01% | 5.31% | 8.02% |
| Cayuga County, New York | New York | 11.64% | 11.40% | 8.48% |
| Cortland County, New York | New York | 5.58% | 9.11% | 9.96% |
| Essex County, New York | New York | 1.14% | 18.77% | 13.32% |
| Franklin County, New York | New York | 5.45% | 26.07% | 22.23% |
| Madison County, New York | New York | 14.20% | 0.89% | 0.87% |
| Niagara County, New York | New York | 17.75% | 0.84% | 1.00% |
| Orange County, New York | New York | 5.50% | 5.65% | 4.13% |
| Oswego County, New York | New York | 21.99% | 7.93% | 2.44% |
| Otsego County, New York | New York | 11.13% | 2.72% | 5.91% |
| Rensselaer County, New York | New York | 1.41% | 12.19% | 9.34% |
| St. Lawrence County, New York | New York | 8.82% | 16.71% | 16.33% |
| Saratoga County, New York | New York | 3.21% | 2.44% | 3.40% |
| Seneca County, New York | New York | 11.01% | 9.08% | 2.60% |
| Suffolk County, New York | New York | 6.84% | 3.69% | 5.99% |
| Sullivan County, New York | New York | 11.23% | 9.02% | 9.46% |
| Warren County, New York | New York | 8.47% | 2.32% | 2.64% |
| Washington County, New York | New York | 18.40% | 1.90% | 0.81% |
| Bladen County, North Carolina | North Carolina | 9.39% | 1.97% | 2.07% |
| Gates County, North Carolina | North Carolina | 9.07% | 4.11% | 5.22% |
| Granville County, North Carolina | North Carolina | 2.49% | 4.54% | 6.58% |
| Martin County, North Carolina | North Carolina | 0.43% | 4.65% | 4.64% |
| Richmond County, North Carolina | North Carolina | 9.74% | 2.95% | 1.50% |
| Robeson County, North Carolina | North Carolina | 4.27% | 17.41% | 13.78% |
| Benson County, North Dakota | North Dakota | 4.33% | 17.01% | 33.53% |
| Ransom County, North Dakota | North Dakota | 15.77% | 13.77% | 15.33% |
| Sargent County, North Dakota | North Dakota | 19.73% | 9.77% | 17.49% |
| Steele County, North Dakota | North Dakota | 17.72% | 1.92% | 20.35% |
| Ashtabula County, Ohio | Ohio | 18.80% | 12.78% | 13.54% |
| Erie County, Ohio | Ohio | 9.48% | 12.29% | 13.86% |
| Montgomery County, Ohio | Ohio | 0.73% | 4.62% | 6.22% |
| Ottawa County, Ohio | Ohio | 19.51% | 4.30% | 6.24% |
| Portage County, Ohio | Ohio | 9.87% | 5.52% | 8.99% |
| Sandusky County, Ohio | Ohio | 22.58% | 2.71% | 4.64% |
| Stark County, Ohio | Ohio | 17.17% | 0.47% | 5.46% |
| Trumbull County, Ohio | Ohio | 6.22% | 23.00% | 22.43% |
| Wood County, Ohio | Ohio | 7.99% | 4.84% | 7.13% |
| Columbia County, Oregon | Oregon | 11.46% | 5.16% | 12.02% |
| Tillamook County, Oregon | Oregon | 5.58% | 4.86% | 9.89% |
| Erie County, Pennsylvania | Pennsylvania | 1.56% | 16.03% | 19.88% |
| Luzerne County, Pennsylvania | Pennsylvania | 19.31% | 4.81% | 8.41% |
| Northampton County, Pennsylvania | Pennsylvania | 3.78% | 4.71% | 12.30% |
| Kent County, Rhode Island | Rhode Island | 0.67% | 17.74% | 17.40% |
| Barnwell County, South Carolina | South Carolina | 5.16% | 5.33% | 1.65% |
| Calhoun County, South Carolina | South Carolina | 2.83% | 4.31% | 3.55% |
| Chester County, South Carolina | South Carolina | 4.83% | 10.58% | 8.30% |
| Colleton County, South Carolina | South Carolina | 8.49% | 0.19% | 0.53% |
| McCormick County, South Carolina | South Carolina | 3.32% | 3.60% | 6.08% |
| Corson County, South Dakota | South Dakota | 4.51% | 11.08% | 21.48% |
| Day County, South Dakota | South Dakota | 23.77% | 6.16% | 12.89% |
| Marshall County, South Dakota | South Dakota | 15.51% | 8.66% | 16.48% |
| Roberts County, South Dakota | South Dakota | 15.53% | 9.84% | 19.64% |
| Ziebach County, South Dakota | South Dakota | 1.96% | 16.43% | 27.16% |
| Hardeman County, Tennessee | Tennessee | 7.92% | 5.91% | 6.18% |
| Jefferson County, Texas | Texas | 0.48% | 1.61% | 2.25% |
| Essex County, Vermont | Vermont | 16.65% | 13.40% | 14.48% |
| Buckingham County, Virginia | Virginia | 11.28% | 2.43% | 0.87% |
| Caroline County, Virginia | Virginia | 5.02% | 8.24% | 11.97% |
| Essex County, Virginia | Virginia | 2.14% | 7.30% | 10.35% |
| Nelson County, Virginia | Virginia | 5.59% | 2.72% | 9.15% |
| Westmoreland County, Virginia | Virginia | 7.14% | 6.95% | 10.24% |
| Clallam County, Washington | Washington | 2.76% | 0.38% | 3.30% |
| Cowlitz County, Washington | Washington | 13.32% | 4.44% | 11.15% |
| Grays Harbor County, Washington | Washington | 6.99% | 14.11% | 14.56% |
| Mason County, Washington | Washington | 5.81% | 7.09% | 8.66% |
| Pacific County, Washington | Washington | 6.74% | 11.52% | 14.07% |
| Adams County, Wisconsin | Wisconsin | 21.92% | 8.73% | 18.35% |
| Buffalo County, Wisconsin | Wisconsin | 21.82% | 2.93% | 14.66% |
| Columbia County, Wisconsin | Wisconsin | 2.14% | 13.58% | 15.26% |
| Crawford County, Wisconsin | Wisconsin | 5.40% | 19.98% | 27.03% |
| Door County, Wisconsin | Wisconsin | 3.22% | 6.99% | 17.33% |
| Dunn County, Wisconsin | Wisconsin | 11.09% | 4.97% | 14.95% |
| Forest County, Wisconsin | Wisconsin | 26.58% | 5.44% | 15.16% |
| Grant County, Wisconsin | Wisconsin | 9.43% | 13.77% | 23.88% |
| Jackson County, Wisconsin | Wisconsin | 11.74% | 15.01% | 21.84% |
| Juneau County, Wisconsin | Wisconsin | 26.05% | 7.03% | 9.00% |
| Kenosha County, Wisconsin | Wisconsin | 0.31% | 12.23% | 18.06% |
| Lafayette County, Wisconsin | Wisconsin | 8.99% | 15.37% | 22.32% |
| Lincoln County, Wisconsin | Wisconsin | 20.60% | 0.71% | 12.48% |
| Marquette County, Wisconsin | Wisconsin | 24.09% | 0.27% | 5.28% |
| Pepin County, Wisconsin | Wisconsin | 23.08% | 2.22% | 12.89% |
| Price County, Wisconsin | Wisconsin | 25.00% | 0.04% | 13.40% |
| Racine County, Wisconsin | Wisconsin | 4.28% | 3.54% | 7.41% |
| Richland County, Wisconsin | Wisconsin | 5.50% | 16.13% | 20.63% |
| Sauk County, Wisconsin | Wisconsin | 0.35% | 18.47% | 23.04% |
| Sawyer County, Wisconsin | Wisconsin | 18.41% | 0.49% | 6.23% |
| Trempealeau County, Wisconsin | Wisconsin | 12.64% | 14.08% | 26.39% |
| Vernon County, Wisconsin | Wisconsin | 4.43% | 14.73% | 22.00% |
| Winnebago County, Wisconsin | Wisconsin | 7.34% | 3.73% | 11.66% |
| Average | 11.45% | 8.22% | 12.29% | |
| Median | 9.41% | 7.32% | 11.94% | |
See also
- Pivot Counties: The counties that voted Obama-Obama-Trump from 2008-2016
- Election results, 2020: Pivot Counties in the 2020 presidential election
- Presidential election, 2016
Footnotes
- ↑ The raw data for this study was provided by Dave Leip of Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.
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