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Louisiana's 1st Congressional District election, 2024
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| Louisiana's 1st Congressional District |
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| General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: July 19, 2024 |
| Primary: November 5, 2024 General: December 7, 2024 |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: 6 a.m. to 8 p.m. (Tuesday elections) 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. (Saturday elections) |
| Race ratings |
DDHQ and The Hill: Safe Republican Inside Elections: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024 |
| See also |
1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th Louisiana elections, 2024 U.S. Congress elections, 2024 U.S. Senate elections, 2024 U.S. House elections, 2024 |
All U.S. House districts, including the 1st Congressional District of Louisiana, held elections in 2024. The primary was November 5, 2024. The general election was December 7, 2024. The filing deadline was July 19, 2024. The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 119th Congress. All 435 House districts were up for election.
At the time of the election, Republicans held a 220-212 majority with three vacancies.[1] As a result of the election, Republicans retained control of the U.S. House, winning 220 seats to Democrats' 215.[2] To read more about the 2024 U.S. House elections, click here.
In the 2022 election in this district, the Republican candidate won 72.8%-25.2%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Donald Trump (R) would have defeated Joe Biden (D) 68.1%-30.0%.[3]
Louisiana conducted redistricting between the 2022 and 2024 elections. As a result, district lines in this state changed. To review how redistricting took place in Louisiana and to see maps of the new districts, click here. For a list of all states that drew new district lines between 2022 and 2024, click here.
To learn more about other elections on the ballot, click here.
Candidates and election results
Louisiana elections use the majority-vote system. All candidates compete in the same primary, and a candidate can win the election outright by receiving more than 50 percent of the vote. If no candidate does, the top two vote recipients from the primary advance to the general election, regardless of their partisan affiliation.
Nonpartisan primary election
Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House Louisiana District 1
Incumbent Steve Scalise won election outright against Mel Manuel, Randall Arrington, Ross Shales, and Frankie Hyers in the primary for U.S. House Louisiana District 1 on November 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ |  | Steve Scalise (R) | 66.8 | 238,842 |
 | Mel Manuel (D)  | 24.0 | 85,911 | |
 | Randall Arrington (R) | 5.0 | 17,856 | |
 | Ross Shales (R) | 2.3 | 8,330 | |
 | Frankie Hyers (Unaffiliated) | 1.9 | 6,781 | |
| Total votes: 357,720 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
Candidate profiles
There are currently no candidate profiles created for this race. Candidate profiles will appear here as they are created. Encourage the candidates in this race to complete Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey so that their profile will appear here.
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Louisiana
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
No candidate in this race has completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Ballotpedia is seeking 100 percent participation so voters can learn more about all the candidates on their ballots.
Campaign finance
| Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Scalise | Republican Party | $14,732,239 | $15,253,286 | $4,131,153 | As of December 31, 2024 |
| Mel Manuel | Democratic Party | $74,559 | $74,539 | $0 | As of November 27, 2024 |
| Randall Arrington | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Ross Shales | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Frankie Hyers | Unaffiliated | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
|
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
|||||
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[4]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[5][6][7]
| Race ratings: Louisiana's 1st Congressional District election, 2024 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
| November 5, 2024 | October 29, 2024 | October 22, 2024 | October 15, 2024 | ||||||
| The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
| Decision Desk HQ and The Hill | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
| Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
| Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
| Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. | |||||||||
Ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Louisiana in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Louisiana, click here.
| Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Office | Party | Signatures required[8] | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
| Louisiana | U.S. House | Democratic or Republican | 1,000 | $900.00 | 7/19/2024 | Source |
| Louisiana | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 1,000 | $600.00 | 7/19/2024 | Source |
District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting ahead of the 2024 election.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
Below is the district map used in the 2022 election next to the map in place for the 2024 election. Click on a map below to enlarge it.
2022
2024
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Louisiana.
| Louisiana U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024 | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Office | Districts/ offices |
Seats | Open seats | Candidates | Possible primaries | Contested top-two primaries[9] | % of contested primaries | Incumbents in contested primaries | % of incumbents in contested primaries | |||||
| 2024 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 24 | 6 | 5 | 83.3% | 4 | 80.0% | |||||
| 2022 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% | 4 | 66.7% | |||||
| 2020 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 30 | 6 | 6 | 100.0% | 5 | 100.0% | |||||
| 2018 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 28 | 6 | 6 | 100.0% | 6 | 100.0% | |||||
| 2016 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 6 | 5 | 83.3% | 3 | 75.0% | |||||
| 2014 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 35 | 6 | 5 | 83.3% | 3 | 60.0% | |||||
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Louisiana in 2024. Information below was calculated on September 2, 2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
This was the first election to take place after Louisiana Governor Jeff Landry (R) signed revised congressional maps into law on Jan. 22, 2024. On May 15, 2024, the U.S. Supreme Court blocked an April 30 ruling by the U.S. District Court for Western Louisiana striking down the state's congressional map. As a result, the map was used for Louisiana’s 2024 congressional elections. For information about redistricting in Louisiana after the 2020 census, click here.
Twenty-four candidates—10 Democrats, 13 Republicans, and one unaffiliated candidate—ran for Louisiana's six U.S. House districts. That's four candidates per district. There were 3.67 candidates per district in 2022, 5.00 candidates per district in 2020, and 4.67 in 2018.
The number of candidates who ran in 2024 is also the second-fewest of any other year in the last 10 years. Twenty-two candidates ran in 2022, the fewest in the last 10 years. Between 2014 and 2022, an average of 30.8 candidates ran each election year.
The 6th Congressional District was the only open district, meaning no incumbents filed to run. Between 2022 and 2014, an average of 0.8 primaries were contested each year.
Incumbent Rep. Garret Graves (R-6th) did not run for re-election. Graves said he decided to not run for re-election because of the revised congressional maps.[10]
The 1st, 2nd, and 6th Congressional Districts were tied for the most candidates who ran for a seat in Louisiana in 2024. Five candidates ran in each district.
All six primaries were contested in 2024. Between 2022 and 2014, an average of 5.2 primaries were contested each year.
Five incumbents—one Democrat and four Republicans—were in contested primaries in 2024. Between 2022 and 2014, an average of 4.2 incumbents were in contested primaries each year.
The 4th Congressional District was guaranteed to Republicans because no Democrats appeared on the ballot. Republicans filed to run in every congressional district, meaning none were guaranteed to Democrats.
Instead of conducting a true primary election, Louisiana employed a majority-vote system, which Ballotpedia called the Louisiana majority-vote system. If a candidate receives a majority of the votes cast for an office, he or she wins outright. If no candidate reaches that threshold, a second round of voting is held between the top two vote-getters.Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+22. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 22 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Louisiana's 1st the 28th most Republican district nationally.[11]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
| 2020 presidential results in Louisiana's 1st based on 2024 district lines | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden 
|
Donald Trump 
| |||
| 30.0% | 68.1% | |||
Inside Elections Baselines
- See also: Inside Elections
Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[12] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.
| Inside Elections Baseline for 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic Baseline
|
Republican Baseline
|
Difference | ||
| 27.5 | 71.0 | R+43.4 | ||
Presidential voting history
- See also: Presidential election in Louisiana, 2020
Louisiana presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 17 Democratic wins
- 12 Republican wins
- 2 other wins
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Louisiana's congressional delegation as of May 2024.
| Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Louisiana | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
| Democratic | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Republican | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 2 | 6 | 8 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Louisiana's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.
| State executive officials in Louisiana, May 2024 | |
|---|---|
| Office | Officeholder |
| Governor | Jeff Landry
|
| Lieutenant Governor | Billy Nungesser
|
| Secretary of State | Nancy Landry
|
| Attorney General | Liz Murrill
|
State legislature
Louisiana State Senate
| Party | As of February 2024 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 11 | |
| Republican Party | 28 | |
| Other | 0 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 39 | |
Louisiana House of Representatives
| Party | As of February 2024 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 32 | |
| Republican Party | 73 | |
| Independent | 0 | |
| Other | 0 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 105 | |
Trifecta control
The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.
Louisiana Party Control: 1992-2024
Eight years of Democratic trifectas • Six years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R |
| Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
District history
The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2018.
2022
Louisiana elections use the majority-vote system. All candidates compete in the same primary, and a candidate can win the election outright by receiving more than 50 percent of the vote. If no candidate does, the top two vote recipients from the primary advance to the general election, regardless of their partisan affiliation.
Nonpartisan primary election
Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House Louisiana District 1
Incumbent Steve Scalise won election outright against Katie Darling and Howard Kearney in the primary for U.S. House Louisiana District 1 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Steve Scalise (R) | 72.8 | 177,670 |
 | Katie Darling (D) | 25.2 | 61,467 | |
 | Howard Kearney (L) | 2.0 | 4,907 | |
| Total votes: 244,044 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
2020
Louisiana elections use the majority-vote system. All candidates compete in the same primary, and a candidate can win the election outright by receiving more than 50 percent of the vote. If no candidate does, the top two vote recipients from the primary advance to the general election, regardless of their partisan affiliation.
Nonpartisan primary election
Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House Louisiana District 1
Incumbent Steve Scalise won election outright against Lee Ann Dugas and Howard Kearney in the primary for U.S. House Louisiana District 1 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Steve Scalise (R) | 72.2 | 270,330 |
 | Lee Ann Dugas (D) | 25.3 | 94,730 | |
| Howard Kearney (L) | 2.5 | 9,309 | |
| Total votes: 374,369 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- John Robert Badger (Independent Conservative Democratic Party)
2018
Louisiana elections use the majority-vote system. All candidates compete in the same primary, and a candidate can win the election outright by receiving more than 50 percent of the vote. If no candidate does, the top two vote recipients from the primary advance to the general election, regardless of their partisan affiliation.
Nonpartisan primary election
Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House Louisiana District 1
The following candidates ran in the primary for U.S. House Louisiana District 1 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Steve Scalise (R) | 71.5 | 192,555 |
 | Tammy Savoie (D) | 16.4 | 44,273 | |
| Lee Ann Dugas (D) | 6.9 | 18,560 | |
 | Jim Francis (D) | 3.2 | 8,688 | |
| Howard Kearney (L) | 1.0 | 2,806 | |
| Frederick Jones (Independent) | 0.9 | 2,443 | ||
| Total votes: 269,325 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ A majority in the U.S. House when there are no vacancies is 218 seats.
- ↑ These figures include the seat of Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-Fla.), who resigned on Nov. 13, 2024, after winning re-election.
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Petition signatures only required in lieu of a filing fee.
- ↑ Cite error: Invalid
<ref>tag; no text was provided for refs namedlaprimexp - ↑ NBC News, "Louisiana Republican Garret Graves says he won't seek re-election after Supreme Court ruling on redistricting," June 14, 2024
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
- ↑ Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023
- ↑ States' Rights Democratic Party
- ↑ American Independent Party
