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Maine's 2nd Congressional District election, 2020 (July 14 Republican primary)
- Primary date: July 14
- Primary type: Closed
- Registration deadline(s): July 7 (pre-registration)
- Online registration: No
- Same-day registration: Yes
- Early voting starts: Pending
- Absentee/mail voting deadline(s): July 14 (received)
- Voter ID: No ID
- Poll times: 6 a.m. to 8 p.m.
2022 →
← 2018
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Maine's 2nd Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: March 16, 2020 |
Primary: July 14, 2020 General: November 3, 2020 Pre-election incumbent: Jared Golden (Democratic) |
How to vote |
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in Maine |
Race ratings |
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Democratic |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd Maine elections, 2020 U.S. Congress elections, 2020 U.S. Senate elections, 2020 U.S. House elections, 2020 |
Dale Crafts defeated Adrienne Bennett and Eric Brakey in the Republican primary for Maine's 2nd Congressional District on July 14, 2020. Crafts led with 45% on the first round of vote tabulation. Crafts did not reach the majority threshold needed to win the primary on the first round of vote tabulation, but Bennett and Brakey conceded the race.[1] After the second round of tabulation, Crafts received 59% of the vote to Bennett's 42%.
As of this election, Maine used ranked-choice voting for primary and general elections for U.S. House and other offices. This election used the process since there were more than two candidates. Voters ranked candidates from their first to third choices. Since no candidate received a majority of the vote after the first round of tallying, the third-place candidate was eliminated from the running, and the votes of those who chose that candidate as their first choice will be redistributed to those voters' second-choice candidates. Learn more here.
Incumbent Rep. Jared Golden (D) was first elected in 2018, defeating then-incumbent Bruce Poliquin (R) 50.6% to 49.4%. It was the first congressional election in U.S. history decided by ranked-choice voting. In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) defeated Hillary Clinton (D) 51% to 41% in the 2nd District.[2]
Crafts, a former state representative, highlighted his work on fiscal and gun policy. He also referred to his experience as a business owner. Bennett highlighted her background of growing up in poverty, having her child during her last year of college, becoming Central Maine bureau chief of WABI Channel 5, and serving as former Gov. Paul LePage's press secretary. Brakey, a former state senator, emphasized his record on gun, welfare, and healthcare policy.
Click here for more on candidates' backgrounds and key messages.
All three candidates said they supported President Trump.[3] The Bangor Daily News reported on the candidates' differing policy views: "Brakey has differentiated himself as more of a libertarian, breaking with Bennett and Crafts on foreign policy and federal spending." Brakey did not support the $2 trillion coronavirus relief package Congress passed and the president signed. Crafts and Bennett supported it, while Bennett opposed the part of the legislation providing for an additional $600 a week in unemployment benefits.
The Bangor Daily News also reported that Brakey "is supportive of Trump’s stated goal to pull U.S. troops out of the Middle East. It put him directly at odds with Crafts during a February debate. Crafts said that a retreat would cause economic and international instability."[3][4]
LePage endorsed Crafts. Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) endorsed Brakey. Rep. Elise Stefanik (R-N.Y.) endorsed Bennett. Click on candidates' names below to view endorsement lists on their campaign websites.
Bennett completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey in 2020. Click here to read the survey answers.
Brakey participated in a Candidate Conversation with Ballotpedia and EnCiv. Click here to watch.
This page focuses on Maine's 2nd Congressional District Republican primary. For more in-depth information on the district's Democratic primary and the general election, see the following pages:
- Maine's 2nd Congressional District election, 2020 (July 14 Democratic primary)
- Maine's 2nd Congressional District election, 2020
Election procedure changes in 2020
Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.
Maine modified its primary election process as follows:
- Election postponements: The primary election was postponed from June 9, 2020, to July 14.
- Voting procedures: The voter pre-registration deadline was extended to July 7.
- Political party events: The Democratic Party of Maine canceled its state convention, originally scheduled for May 29-30.
For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.
Candidates and election results
Republican primary election
Republican Primary for U.S. House Maine District 2
The following candidates advanced in the ranked-choice voting election: Dale Crafts in round 2 . The results of Round are displayed below. To see the results of other rounds, use the dropdown menu above to select a round and the table will update.
Total votes: 42,347 |
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Watch the Candidate Conversation for this race!
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- John Hiatt (R)
Candidate profiles
This section includes candidate profiles created in one of two ways. Either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey or Ballotpedia staff created a profile after identifying the candidate as noteworthy.[5] Ballotpedia staff compiled profiles based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "Adrienne Bennett grew up in rural Waldo County, Maine. Raised by a single mother, she was hardened to hardship by the trappings of rural poverty. Adrienne's home had no indoor plumbing, unfinished walls, a vinyl mattress from a van that served as her bed, and a loft above a ladder that served as her bedroom. She went next door to her neighbors each day for drinking water and saw her mother's dependence on welfare. At school, the bullying she endured taught her the cruel lesson that her life wasn't normal. It soon became clear that if things were to change, it would be up to her. She resolved that her family's past would not be her future. After putting herself through high school when her mom left her to move to Ohio, Adrienne graduated from the New England School of Communications in Bangor. She gave birth to her daughter Katie during her final semester in college and set out working 3 jobs to make ends meet. Adrienne spent the better part of a decade at WABI Channel 5 in Bangor, rising through the ranks from executive producer to videographer to Central Maine Bureau Chief. In 2010, she was approached by newly-elected Governor Paul R. LePage to serve as his Press Secretary for seven years. She embraced the opportunity to spread LePage's commonsense message of economic growth and fiscal responsibility. She has worked as Vice President of a Maine bank and now is a Realtor helping Mainers realize the dream of home ownership."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Maine District 2 in 2020.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: Maine State Senate (2014-2018)
Biography: Brakey received a Bachelor of Fine Arts degree from Ohio University. He has worked as an actor with Love Street Productions and as a financial records manager for Brakey Energy. He was Maine State Director for Ron Paul's 2012 presidential campaign. Brakey chaired the state Health and Human Services Committee. He was the Republican nominee for U.S. Senate in 2018.
Show sources
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Maine District 2 in 2020.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office:
Maine House of Representatives (2008-2016); Lisbon Town Council (2006-2009); Lisbon Budget Advisory Board
Biography: Crafts taught Sunday school for 15 years. He was paralyzed in a motorcycle accident at age 25. Crafts co-founded Mobility Plus, a research and development company that aims to help people with disabilities drive. He has owned several businesses, including Crafts Builders Inc., C&F Developments LLC, and Goin’ Postal Franchise. Crafts also served on the Lisbon Revitalization and Revolving Loan Committee.
Show sources
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Maine District 2 in 2020.
Candidate Conversations
Click below to watch the conversation for this race.
Campaign finance
This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[6] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[7] The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Adrienne Bennett | Republican Party | $227,047 | $225,374 | $1,673 | As of December 31, 2020 |
Eric Brakey | Republican Party | $855,399 | $849,726 | $5,673 | As of December 31, 2020 |
Dale Crafts | Republican Party | $1,283,275 | $1,279,587 | $3,689 | As of December 31, 2020 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
Primaries in Maine
A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. Primaries are state-level and local-level elections that take place prior to a general election. Maine utilizes a semi-closed primary process, in which both registered party members and unaffiliated voters may participate. Unaffiliated voters may vote in one partisan primary of their choosing in each election.[8][9]
For information about which offices are nominated via primary election, see this article.
Ranked-choice voting
Overview
How ranked-choice voting works
Broadly speaking, the ranked-choice voting process unfolds as follows for single-winner elections:
- Voters rank the candidates for a given office by preference on their ballots.
- If a candidate wins an outright majority of first-preference votes (i.e., 50 percent plus one), he or she will be declared the winner.
- If, on the other hand, no candidates win an outright majority of first-preference votes, the candidate with the fewest first-preference votes is eliminated.
- All first-preference votes for the failed candidate are eliminated, lifting the second-preference choices indicated on those ballots.
- A new tally is conducted to determine whether any candidate has won an outright majority of the adjusted voters.
- The process is repeated until a candidate wins a majority of votes cast.
Example
Assume that there are four candidates for mayor in a hypothetical city. The table below presents the raw first-preference vote totals for each candidate.
Raw first-preference vote tallies in a hypothetical mayoral race | ||
---|---|---|
Candidate | First-preference votes | Percentage |
Candidate A | 475 | 46.34% |
Candidate B | 300 | 29.27% |
Candidate C | 175 | 17.07% |
Candidate D | 75 | 7.32% |
In the above scenario, no candidate won an outright majority of first-preference votes. As a result, the candidate (Candidate D) with the smallest number of first-preference votes is eliminated. The ballots that listed candidate D as the first preference are adjusted, raising their second-preference candidates. Assume that, of the 75 first-preference votes for Candidate D, 50 listed Candidate A as their second preference and 25 listed Candidate B. The adjusted vote totals would be as follows:
Adjusted vote tallies in a hypothetical mayoral race | ||
---|---|---|
Candidate | Adjusted first-preference votes | Percentage |
Candidate A | 525 | 51.22% |
Candidate B | 325 | 31.71% |
Candidate C | 175 | 17.07% |
On the second tally, Candidate A secured 51.22 percent of the vote, thereby winning the election.
Note: The above is a simplified example used for illustrative purposes. Specific procedures vary by jurisdiction and according to the nature of the election (i.e., whether it is a single-winner or multi-winner contest).
Ranked-choice voting in Maine
On November 8, 2016, Maine voters approved the Maine Ranked Choice Voting Initiative, which provided for the use of ranked-choice voting (RCV) in both primary and general elections for United States senators, United States representatives, the governor, state senators, and state representatives.
Click here for information on legal challenges and legislative responses that followed the initiative's passage.
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[10]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[11][12][13]
Race ratings: Maine's 2nd Congressional District election, 2020 | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 3, 2020 | October 27, 2020 | October 20, 2020 | October 13, 2020 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Lean Democratic | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season. |
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+2, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 2 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Maine's 2nd Congressional District the 219th most Republican nationally.[14]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.10. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.10 points toward that party.[15]
District represented by a Democrat in 2020 and won by Donald Trump in 2016
This district was one of 30 Democratic-held U.S. House districts up in 2020 that Donald Trump (R) won in the 2016 presidential election. Most were expected to be among the House's most competitive elections in 2020.
2020 Democratic-held U.S. House districts won by Donald Trump in 2016 | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
District | Incumbent | Ran in 2020? | 2018 congressional margin | 2016 presidential margin | 2012 presidential margin | ||||||||
Arizona's 1st | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+7.7 | Trump+1.1 | Romney+2.5 | ||||||||
Georgia's 6th | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+1.0 | Trump+1.5 | Romney+23.3 | ||||||||
Illinois' 14th | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+5.0 | Trump+3.9 | Romney+10 | ||||||||
Illinois' 17th | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+24.2 | Trump+0.7 | Obama+17 | ||||||||
Iowa's 1st | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+5.1 | Trump+3.5 | Obama+13.7 | ||||||||
Iowa's 2nd | ![]() |
Retired | Democrats+5.2 | Trump+4.1 | Obama+13.1 | ||||||||
Iowa's 3rd | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+2.2 | Trump+3.5 | Obama+4.2 | ||||||||
Maine's 2nd | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+1.3 | Trump+10.3 | Obama+8.6 | ||||||||
Michigan's 8th | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+3.8 | Trump+6.7 | Romney+3.1 | ||||||||
Michigan's 11th | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+6.7 | Trump+4.4 | Romney+5.4 | ||||||||
Minnesota's 2nd | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+5.5 | Trump+1.2 | Obama+0.1 | ||||||||
Minnesota's 7th | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+4.3 | Trump+30.8 | Romney+9.8 | ||||||||
Nevada's 3rd | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+9.1 | Trump+1.0 | Obama+0.8 | ||||||||
New Hampshire's 1st | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+8.6 | Trump+1.6 | Obama+1.6 | ||||||||
New Jersey's 3rd | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+1.3 | Trump+6.2 | Obama+4.6 | ||||||||
New Jersey's 5th | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+13.7 | Trump+1.1 | Romney+3.0 | ||||||||
New Jersey's 11th | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+14.6 | Trump+0.9 | Romney+5.8 | ||||||||
New Mexico's 2nd | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+1.9 | Trump+10.2 | Romney+6.8 | ||||||||
New York's 11th | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+6.5 | Trump+9.8 | Obama+4.3 | ||||||||
New York's 18th | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+10.9 | Trump+1.9 | Obama+4.3 | ||||||||
New York's 19th | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+5.2 | Trump+6.8 | Obama+6.2 | ||||||||
New York's 22nd | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+1.8 | Trump+15.5 | Romney+0.4 | ||||||||
Oklahoma's 5th | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+1.4 | Trump+13.4 | Romney+18.4 | ||||||||
Pennsylvania's 8th | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+9.3 | Trump+9.6 | Obama+11.9 | ||||||||
Pennsylvania's 17th | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+12.5 | Trump+2.6 | Romney+4.5 | ||||||||
South Carolina's 1st | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+1.4 | Trump+13.1 | Romney+18.1 | ||||||||
Utah's 4th | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+0.3 | Trump+6.7 | Romney+37.0 | ||||||||
Virginia's 2nd | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+2.2 | Trump+3.4 | Romney+2.3 | ||||||||
Virginia's 7th | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+1.9 | Trump+6.5 | Romney+10.5 | ||||||||
Wisconsin's 3rd | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+19.3 | Trump+4.5 | Obama+11 | ||||||||
Source: Sabato's Crystal Ball and Daily Kos |
Click here to see the five U.S. House districts represented by a Republican in 2020 and won by Hillary Clinton in 2016.
Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
Eight of 16 Maine counties—50 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008 | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
County | Trump margin of victory in 2016 | Obama margin of victory in 2012 | Obama margin of victory in 2008 | ||||
Androscoggin County, Maine | 9.38% | 12.78% | 15.22% | ||||
Aroostook County, Maine | 17.19% | 7.62% | 9.58% | ||||
Franklin County, Maine | 5.47% | 18.41% | 20.29% | ||||
Kennebec County, Maine | 3.58% | 13.46% | 14.78% | ||||
Oxford County, Maine | 12.94% | 14.73% | 16.04% | ||||
Penobscot County, Maine | 10.91% | 2.93% | 5.12% | ||||
Somerset County, Maine | 22.67% | 1.68% | 5.70% | ||||
Washington County, Maine | 18.44% | 1.60% | 1.01% |
In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton (D) won Maine with 47.8 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 44.9 percent. In 2016, Maine had four electoral votes. Maine's share of electoral votes represented 0.7 percent of the 538 electoral votes up for grabs in the general election and 1.5 percent of the 270 votes needed to be elected president. Maine awards its electoral votes by congressional district and the popular vote. It has two electoral votes for the statewide vote and one for each of its two congressional districts. In presidential elections between 1820 and 2016, Maine voted Republican 67.3 percent of the time and Democratic 32.6 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, Maine voted Democratic all five times.[16]
Presidential results by legislative district
The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Maine. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[17][18]
In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 129 out of 151 state House districts in Maine with an average margin of victory of 19.2 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 69 out of 151 state House districts in Maine with an average margin of victory of 23.7 points. Clinton won nine districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections. |
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 22 out of 151 state House districts in Maine with an average margin of victory of 8.7 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 82 out of 151 state House districts in Maine with an average margin of victory of 16 points. Trump won 17 districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections. |
2016 presidential results by state House district | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
District | Obama | Romney | 2012 Margin | Clinton | Trump | 2016 Margin | Party Control |
1 | 64.22% | 33.76% | D+30.5 | 62.55% | 31.23% | D+31.3 | D |
2 | 57.25% | 40.85% | D+16.4 | 54.49% | 39.23% | D+15.3 | D |
3 | 57.10% | 41.89% | D+15.2 | 56.99% | 37.44% | D+19.5 | D |
4 | 56.87% | 41.62% | D+15.2 | 53.70% | 40.57% | D+13.1 | D |
5 | 48.42% | 49.31% | R+0.9 | 40.09% | 52.91% | R+12.8 | R |
6 | 54.77% | 43.03% | D+11.7 | 49.42% | 43.22% | D+6.2 | D |
7 | 54.04% | 44.26% | D+9.8 | 50.52% | 43.02% | D+7.5 | R |
8 | 57.56% | 40.71% | D+16.8 | 57.68% | 35.92% | D+21.8 | D |
9 | 58.64% | 39.98% | D+18.7 | 56.60% | 37.23% | D+19.4 | R |
10 | 54.02% | 43.13% | D+10.9 | 41.58% | 50.80% | R+9.2 | R |
11 | 66.36% | 31.38% | D+35 | 55.49% | 37.35% | D+18.1 | D |
12 | 69.51% | 27.82% | D+41.7 | 55.49% | 37.35% | D+18.1 | D |
13 | 63.20% | 35.03% | D+28.2 | 54.95% | 39.36% | D+15.6 | D |
14 | 63.73% | 34.40% | D+29.3 | 58.39% | 35.61% | D+22.8 | D |
15 | 60.76% | 37.27% | D+23.5 | 52.98% | 40.36% | D+12.6 | D |
16 | 52.74% | 44.50% | D+8.2 | 40.29% | 52.24% | R+11.9 | R |
17 | 52.83% | 44.53% | D+8.3 | 36.47% | 55.51% | R+19 | R |
18 | 61.34% | 36.11% | D+25.2 | 45.60% | 45.84% | R+0.2 | D |
19 | 57.69% | 40.05% | D+17.6 | 44.20% | 48.08% | R+3.9 | R |
20 | 46.78% | 50.23% | R+3.4 | 32.83% | 60.18% | R+27.3 | R |
21 | 52.88% | 44.78% | D+8.1 | 39.31% | 53.47% | R+14.2 | R |
22 | 50.96% | 46.27% | D+4.7 | 37.84% | 55.25% | R+17.4 | R |
23 | 50.59% | 47.44% | D+3.2 | 40.02% | 53.28% | R+13.3 | R |
24 | 51.97% | 45.85% | D+6.1 | 43.87% | 49.17% | R+5.3 | D |
25 | 52.34% | 45.03% | D+7.3 | 43.87% | 49.17% | R+5.3 | R |
26 | 57.85% | 40.10% | D+17.7 | 52.22% | 41.41% | D+10.8 | D |
27 | 55.21% | 42.99% | D+12.2 | 52.66% | 40.37% | D+12.3 | D |
28 | 54.16% | 44.13% | D+10 | 55.14% | 39.08% | D+16.1 | R |
29 | 54.16% | 44.13% | D+10 | 55.14% | 39.08% | D+16.1 | R |
30 | 63.23% | 35.50% | D+27.7 | 70.43% | 24.88% | D+45.6 | D |
31 | 72.88% | 25.36% | D+47.5 | 74.35% | 20.62% | D+53.7 | D |
32 | 66.87% | 31.00% | D+35.9 | 65.27% | 29.03% | D+36.2 | D |
33 | 67.72% | 30.37% | D+37.4 | 62.55% | 31.48% | D+31.1 | R |
34 | 61.95% | 35.19% | D+26.8 | 57.32% | 35.48% | D+21.8 | D |
35 | 63.65% | 34.15% | D+29.5 | 55.04% | 37.86% | D+17.2 | D |
36 | 69.85% | 28.12% | D+41.7 | 69.99% | 24.69% | D+45.3 | D |
37 | 74.82% | 22.79% | D+52 | 74.84% | 19.17% | D+55.7 | D |
38 | 84.99% | 10.96% | D+74 | 84.49% | 9.56% | D+74.9 | D |
39 | 84.15% | 12.47% | D+71.7 | 81.52% | 12.27% | D+69.3 | D |
40 | 83.40% | 12.49% | D+70.9 | 79.10% | 12.76% | D+66.3 | D |
41 | 74.79% | 22.43% | D+52.4 | 75.16% | 19.11% | D+56 | D |
42 | 73.59% | 24.03% | D+49.6 | 73.34% | 21.68% | D+51.7 | D |
43 | 60.77% | 37.87% | D+22.9 | 64.59% | 30.36% | D+34.2 | D |
44 | 54.86% | 43.78% | D+11.1 | 61.70% | 33.10% | D+28.6 | D |
45 | 52.97% | 45.45% | D+7.5 | 58.41% | 35.08% | D+23.3 | D |
46 | 53.97% | 43.54% | D+10.4 | 50.88% | 42.34% | D+8.5 | R |
47 | 61.12% | 37.17% | D+23.9 | 67.44% | 26.84% | D+40.6 | D |
48 | 63.72% | 34.42% | D+29.3 | 62.79% | 30.71% | D+32.1 | D |
49 | 66.60% | 30.87% | D+35.7 | 64.31% | 29.15% | D+35.2 | D |
50 | 66.60% | 30.87% | D+35.7 | 64.31% | 29.15% | D+35.2 | D |
51 | 58.58% | 39.45% | D+19.1 | 55.69% | 38.65% | D+17 | D |
52 | 63.98% | 33.34% | D+30.6 | 58.51% | 33.61% | D+24.9 | D |
53 | 56.02% | 41.61% | D+14.4 | 45.84% | 46.96% | R+1.1 | R |
54 | 57.11% | 40.82% | D+16.3 | 53.00% | 39.43% | D+13.6 | D |
55 | 52.51% | 44.95% | D+7.6 | 40.95% | 51.26% | R+10.3 | D |
56 | 50.09% | 46.77% | D+3.3 | 35.42% | 57.00% | R+21.6 | R |
57 | 49.74% | 47.49% | D+2.3 | 31.76% | 61.09% | R+29.3 | R |
58 | 56.16% | 41.59% | D+14.6 | 40.51% | 52.08% | R+11.6 | D |
59 | 59.75% | 38.11% | D+21.6 | 48.86% | 44.30% | D+4.6 | D |
60 | 69.63% | 27.53% | D+42.1 | 63.88% | 29.58% | D+34.3 | D |
61 | 60.40% | 36.73% | D+23.7 | 45.18% | 47.33% | R+2.2 | D |
62 | 57.96% | 39.18% | D+18.8 | 45.94% | 45.57% | D+0.4 | D |
63 | 56.47% | 40.52% | D+15.9 | 43.52% | 48.81% | R+5.3 | R |
64 | 54.78% | 42.67% | D+12.1 | 44.04% | 47.76% | R+3.7 | D |
65 | 50.66% | 47.08% | D+3.6 | 40.92% | 51.66% | R+10.7 | R |
66 | 52.42% | 45.33% | D+7.1 | 41.68% | 51.40% | R+9.7 | D |
67 | 50.43% | 47.14% | D+3.3 | 42.81% | 49.99% | R+7.2 | R |
68 | 50.59% | 46.79% | D+3.8 | 36.57% | 55.59% | R+19 | R |
69 | 52.79% | 44.16% | D+8.6 | 40.88% | 51.15% | R+10.3 | R |
70 | 53.93% | 43.29% | D+10.6 | 42.30% | 49.47% | R+7.2 | R |
71 | 54.29% | 42.05% | D+12.2 | 39.51% | 52.35% | R+12.8 | R |
72 | 51.93% | 45.45% | D+6.5 | 34.53% | 56.78% | R+22.2 | R |
73 | 53.53% | 42.96% | D+10.6 | 37.43% | 53.69% | R+16.3 | R |
74 | 62.03% | 35.41% | D+26.6 | 42.38% | 49.51% | R+7.1 | D |
75 | 48.71% | 48.59% | D+0.1 | 33.59% | 60.03% | R+26.4 | R |
76 | 54.86% | 42.71% | D+12.2 | 44.90% | 48.25% | R+3.3 | R |
77 | 50.66% | 46.96% | D+3.7 | 39.35% | 52.33% | R+13 | R |
78 | 53.91% | 43.85% | D+10.1 | 42.60% | 49.76% | R+7.2 | D |
79 | 47.84% | 49.51% | R+1.7 | 35.30% | 57.05% | R+21.7 | R |
80 | 52.45% | 44.63% | D+7.8 | 36.64% | 55.48% | R+18.8 | R |
81 | 54.77% | 42.68% | D+12.1 | 47.50% | 44.64% | D+2.9 | D |
82 | 48.51% | 48.09% | D+0.4 | 34.29% | 57.59% | R+23.3 | I |
83 | 56.63% | 40.02% | D+16.6 | 47.31% | 44.95% | D+2.4 | D |
84 | 56.51% | 41.13% | D+15.4 | 49.40% | 43.45% | D+6 | D |
85 | 59.68% | 38.00% | D+21.7 | 50.35% | 41.91% | D+8.4 | D |
86 | 59.23% | 37.24% | D+22 | 49.50% | 42.73% | D+6.8 | R |
87 | 52.02% | 45.12% | D+6.9 | 40.62% | 52.15% | R+11.5 | R |
88 | 51.72% | 45.78% | D+5.9 | 39.27% | 53.65% | R+14.4 | R |
89 | 54.45% | 43.61% | D+10.8 | 51.10% | 41.67% | D+9.4 | R |
90 | 59.64% | 38.13% | D+21.5 | 56.53% | 37.50% | D+19 | D |
91 | 50.59% | 46.34% | D+4.2 | 40.13% | 53.06% | R+12.9 | R |
92 | 59.72% | 37.88% | D+21.8 | 52.61% | 41.62% | D+11 | D |
93 | 63.76% | 33.86% | D+29.9 | 56.36% | 36.44% | D+19.9 | D |
94 | 65.85% | 32.61% | D+33.2 | 67.70% | 27.26% | D+40.4 | I |
95 | 52.53% | 44.46% | D+8.1 | 43.05% | 50.09% | R+7 | R |
96 | 53.22% | 43.96% | D+9.3 | 46.09% | 45.62% | D+0.5 | D |
97 | 60.95% | 36.52% | D+24.4 | 57.61% | 35.28% | D+22.3 | D |
98 | 50.39% | 46.30% | D+4.1 | 40.80% | 51.21% | R+10.4 | R |
99 | 49.59% | 46.79% | D+2.8 | 38.95% | 51.81% | R+12.9 | R |
100 | 41.66% | 55.96% | R+14.3 | 30.51% | 62.28% | R+31.8 | R |
101 | 48.05% | 50.31% | R+2.3 | 42.68% | 49.76% | R+7.1 | R |
102 | 43.04% | 54.85% | R+11.8 | 32.72% | 60.41% | R+27.7 | R |
103 | 40.91% | 57.49% | R+16.6 | 31.01% | 62.88% | R+31.9 | R |
104 | 41.88% | 55.97% | R+14.1 | 29.63% | 63.01% | R+33.4 | R |
105 | 42.29% | 54.99% | R+12.7 | 28.06% | 64.26% | R+36.2 | R |
106 | 49.42% | 48.50% | D+0.9 | 33.92% | 58.24% | R+24.3 | R |
107 | 57.01% | 40.00% | D+17 | 41.97% | 51.07% | R+9.1 | D |
108 | 53.21% | 43.49% | D+9.7 | 38.84% | 53.47% | R+14.6 | R |
109 | 67.24% | 30.12% | D+37.1 | 58.40% | 33.72% | D+24.7 | D |
110 | 63.87% | 33.47% | D+30.4 | 54.37% | 37.58% | D+16.8 | D |
111 | 50.44% | 46.68% | D+3.8 | 36.86% | 56.60% | R+19.7 | R |
112 | 53.48% | 42.87% | D+10.6 | 37.66% | 52.96% | R+15.3 | R |
113 | 60.85% | 35.30% | D+25.5 | 48.50% | 41.70% | D+6.8 | R |
114 | 55.26% | 41.90% | D+13.4 | 38.76% | 52.49% | R+13.7 | R |
115 | 58.85% | 38.24% | D+20.6 | 38.90% | 52.27% | R+13.4 | D |
116 | 60.75% | 35.80% | D+24.9 | 35.54% | 54.38% | R+18.8 | R |
117 | 55.13% | 41.53% | D+13.6 | 43.57% | 47.95% | R+4.4 | R |
118 | 45.86% | 51.52% | R+5.7 | 31.81% | 61.90% | R+30.1 | R |
119 | 45.96% | 51.43% | R+5.5 | 32.24% | 61.04% | R+28.8 | R |
120 | 46.60% | 50.44% | R+3.8 | 35.73% | 56.84% | R+21.1 | R |
121 | 45.21% | 52.49% | R+7.3 | 34.05% | 59.30% | R+25.2 | D |
122 | 63.72% | 33.19% | D+30.5 | 53.84% | 37.36% | D+16.5 | D |
123 | 71.47% | 24.38% | D+47.1 | 64.13% | 26.92% | D+37.2 | D |
124 | 59.61% | 38.17% | D+21.4 | 55.14% | 36.96% | D+18.2 | D |
125 | 58.95% | 38.77% | D+20.2 | 53.33% | 38.99% | D+14.3 | D |
126 | 58.95% | 38.77% | D+20.2 | 53.33% | 38.99% | D+14.3 | D |
127 | 58.95% | 38.77% | D+20.2 | 53.33% | 38.99% | D+14.3 | D |
128 | 48.27% | 49.97% | R+1.7 | 42.23% | 50.10% | R+7.9 | R |
129 | 46.34% | 51.62% | R+5.3 | 38.68% | 53.96% | R+15.3 | R |
130 | 50.42% | 47.47% | D+2.9 | 38.87% | 53.71% | R+14.8 | R |
131 | 53.33% | 44.07% | D+9.3 | 44.62% | 48.28% | R+3.7 | R |
132 | 50.56% | 46.18% | D+4.4 | 43.40% | 48.98% | R+5.6 | D |
133 | 61.90% | 35.54% | D+26.4 | 58.29% | 34.81% | D+23.5 | D |
134 | 65.13% | 32.50% | D+32.6 | 56.99% | 36.58% | D+20.4 | D |
135 | 65.78% | 31.66% | D+34.1 | 65.51% | 28.90% | D+36.6 | D |
136 | 48.92% | 47.96% | D+1 | 38.51% | 53.59% | R+15.1 | R |
137 | 45.33% | 52.54% | R+7.2 | 32.99% | 60.19% | R+27.2 | R |
138 | 46.20% | 51.54% | R+5.3 | 33.60% | 59.26% | R+25.7 | D |
139 | 52.45% | 44.64% | D+7.8 | 42.77% | 50.10% | R+7.3 | R |
140 | 54.52% | 42.52% | D+12 | 42.09% | 50.96% | R+8.9 | D |
141 | 40.37% | 57.48% | R+17.1 | 25.45% | 68.33% | R+42.9 | R |
142 | 44.25% | 53.03% | R+8.8 | 30.36% | 63.04% | R+32.7 | R |
143 | 52.29% | 45.49% | D+6.8 | 37.41% | 56.99% | R+19.6 | D |
144 | 42.14% | 55.70% | R+13.6 | 30.93% | 63.59% | R+32.7 | R |
145 | 38.61% | 58.67% | R+20.1 | 24.60% | 69.65% | R+45 | R |
146 | 42.70% | 55.08% | R+12.4 | 31.90% | 62.06% | R+30.2 | R |
147 | 52.79% | 44.50% | D+8.3 | 42.10% | 49.42% | R+7.3 | R |
148 | 54.63% | 42.47% | D+12.2 | 40.30% | 53.21% | R+12.9 | D |
149 | 52.29% | 45.53% | D+6.8 | 40.55% | 52.79% | R+12.2 | R |
150 | 72.28% | 25.81% | D+46.5 | 51.67% | 42.92% | D+8.7 | D |
151 | 62.84% | 35.10% | D+27.7 | 43.90% | 50.45% | R+6.5 | D |
Total | 56.44% | 41.10% | D+15.3 | 47.97% | 45.00% | D+3 | - |
Source: Daily Kos |
District election history
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Maine District 2
The ranked-choice voting election was won by Jared Golden in round 2 . The results of Round are displayed below. To see the results of other rounds, use the dropdown menu above to select a round and the table will update.
Total votes: 289,624 |
||||
![]() |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Dennis O'Connor (Independent)
- Danielle VanHelsing (Independent)
- Henry John Bear (G)
2016
Maine's 2nd Congressional District was a battleground district in 2016. Incumbent Bruce Poliquin (R) defeated former state Sen. Emily Cain (D) and Jay Parker Dresser (Write-in) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Poliquin defeated Cain in 2014 to win election to the seat. Neither candidate faced a primary challenger in June.[19][20][21]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
54.8% | 192,878 | |
Democratic | Emily Ann Cain | 45.2% | 159,081 | |
N/A | Write-in | 0.1% | 224 | |
Total Votes | 352,183 | |||
Source: Maine Secretary of State |
2014
The 2nd Congressional District of Maine held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Bruce Poliquin (R) defeated Emily Cain (D) and Blaine Richardson (I) in the general election.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Emily Cain | 40.2% | 118,568 | |
Republican | ![]() |
45.2% | 133,320 | |
Independent | Blaine Richardson | 10.6% | 31,337 | |
Other | Other | 0.1% | 248 | |
Blank | None | 3.9% | 11,536 | |
Total Votes | 295,009 | |||
Source: Maine Secretary of State Official Results |
2012
On November 6, 2012, Mike Michaud (D) won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Kevin Raye in the general election.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ![]() |
55.7% | 191,456 | |
Republican | Kevin Raye | 40% | 137,542 | |
N/A | Blank Votes | 4.3% | 14,910 | |
Total Votes | 343,908 | |||
Source: Maine Secretary of State "Tabulations for Elections held in 2012" |
2010
On November 2, 2010, Mike Michaud won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Jason Levesque (R) in the general election.[22]
U.S. House, Maine District 2 General Election, 2010 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
Democratic | ![]() |
55.1% | 147,042 | |
Republican | Jason J. Levesque | 44.9% | 119,669 | |
Total Votes | 266,711 |
See also
- Maine's 2nd Congressional District election, 2020 (July 14 Democratic primary)
- Maine's 2nd Congressional District election, 2020
- United States House elections in Maine, 2020 (July 14 Democratic primaries)
- United States House elections in Maine, 2020 (July 14 Republican primaries)
- United States House Democratic Party primaries, 2020
- United States House Republican Party primaries, 2020
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2020
- U.S. House battlegrounds, 2020
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ WMTW, "Crafts to be Republican nominee for Maine's 2nd Congressional District; Brakey, Bennett concede," July 15, 2020
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2016, 2012, and 2008," accessed July 8, 2020
- ↑ 3.0 3.1 Bangor Daily News, "GOP candidates in Maine’s 2nd District praise Trump but still have differences," June 29, 2020
- ↑ Bangor Daily News, "Eric Brakey targeted by rival GOP hopefuls in charged 2nd District debate," June 30, 2020
- ↑ Candidate Connection surveys completed before September 26, 2019, were not used to generate candidate profiles. In battleground primaries, Ballotpedia based its selection of noteworthy candidates on polling, fundraising, and noteworthy endorsements. In battleground general elections, all major party candidates and any other candidates with the potential to impact the outcome of the race were included.
- ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
- ↑ NCSL, "State Primary Election Types," accessed June 12, 2024
- ↑ Main Legislature Revised Statutes, "§341. Unenrolled voter participation in primary elections allowed," accessed June 12, 2024
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ 270towin.com, "Maine," accessed June 1, 2017
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
- ↑ Centralmaine.com, "Cain seeks 2016 rematch for Maine’s 2nd District seat," March 3, 2015
- ↑ Bangor Daily News, "Bangor City Councilor Joe Baldacci to run for US House seat," July 29, 2015
- ↑ CNN, "Election Results," accessed November 8, 2016
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013