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Maryland's 3rd Congressional District election, 2024 (May 14 Republican primary)
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| Maryland's 3rd Congressional District |
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| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: February 9, 2024 |
| Primary: May 14, 2024 General: November 5, 2024 |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in Maryland |
| Race ratings |
DDHQ and The Hill: Safe Democratic Inside Elections: Solid Democratic Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024 |
| See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th Maryland elections, 2024 U.S. Congress elections, 2024 U.S. Senate elections, 2024 U.S. House elections, 2024 |
A Republican Party primary took place on May 14, 2024, in Maryland's 3rd Congressional District to determine which Republican candidate would run in the district's general election on November 5, 2024.
Rob Steinberger advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Maryland District 3.
All 435 seats were up for election. At the time of the election, Republicans had a 220 to 212 majority with three vacancies.[1] As of June 2024, 45 members of the U.S. House had announced they were not running for re-election. To read more about the U.S. House elections taking place this year, click here.
In the 2022 election in this district, the Democratic candidate won 60.2%-39.7%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have defeated Donald Trump (R) 61.7%-36.2%.[2]
| Candidate filing deadline | Primary election | General election |
|---|---|---|
A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. Primaries are state-level and local-level elections that take place prior to a general election. Maryland utilizes a closed primary system. Although parties may hold open primaries, parties generally permit only registered party members to vote in their primaries.[3][4]
For information about which offices are nominated via primary election, see this article.
This page focuses on Maryland's 3rd Congressional District Republican primary. For more in-depth information on the district's Democratic primary and the general election, see the following pages:
- Maryland's 3rd Congressional District election, 2024 (May 14 Democratic primary)
- Maryland's 3rd Congressional District election, 2024
Candidates and election results
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Maryland District 3
The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House Maryland District 3 on May 14, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ |  | Rob Steinberger  | 25.1 | 8,766 |
 | Arthur Baker Jr. | 19.9 | 6,931 | |
 | Bernard Flowers | 17.3 | 6,028 | |
 | Joshua Morales | 9.1 | 3,159 | |
 | Jordan Mayo | 8.4 | 2,918 | |
| Thomas Harris | 8.2 | 2,857 | ||
 | Ray Bly | 5.8 | 2,015 | |
| John Rea | 3.2 | 1,120 | ||
 | Naveed Mian | 3.1 | 1,085 | |
| Total votes: 34,879 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Candidate profiles
This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "I am a native Marylander, living here for 52 years and in Ellicott City for 26 years. I love Maryland. My professional life has been dedicated to law enforcement. I am an attorney, a retired FBI agent (30+years), and a former Baltimore County police officer. I held senior positions on Capitol Hill (7 yrs), on both the House and the Senate Judiciary Committees. I was responsible for significant legislation from drafting language to the passage of what became law. I am also currently an actor (Little Caesars Pizza, Blue Emu arthritis cream, Ocean City MD Tourism, and more) and a former radio announcer. I love Maryland and the USA, but politically speaking from a law enforcement perspective, if Maryland is "America in Miniature," then I believe we are all in trouble. I am ready willing and able to represent you from from Day One!"
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Maryland District 3 in 2024.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "I'm Naveed Mian, an entrepreneur from Howard County and the founder of Adapt Corporation, a strategic holdings company driving investment and innovation across various sectors. Despite taking a non-traditional academic path, my commitment to community service and to our society led me to run for Congress as the youngest Pakistani American candidate. My vision prioritizes inclusive progress, blending conservative principles with forward-thinking solutions such as the Small Business Incubation Plan and smart city development. As a New Age Republican, I emphasize collaboration, focusing on education, healthcare, and economic revitalization to advance our district and beyond. Join me in shaping a brighter future for Maryland's 3rd District, founded on innovation, inclusivity, and setting an example for the rest of the country."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Maryland District 3 in 2024.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "My name is Joshua Morales, I am running for Maryland 3rd congressional district. I have lived in Maryland all my life, growing up in Baltimore City, moving throughout Carroll and Baltimore County before settling outside of Annapolis. I have lived through the poverty, violence and addiction that is taking over our state. I’ve overcome statistics that said I would be in jail or dead. I’m proud to say I was able to take a different path than the one laid out for me, but my past has allowed me to understand and resonate with the challenges the average person is facing. I hope to be the voice for those who feel silenced by their situation. I believe in God, the constitution and the second amendment. I’m a candidate for the everyday American."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Maryland District 3 in 2024.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "I am running to represent the people of Maryland's 3rd District in the United States Congress. Like many of us in Maryland and throughout the U.S., I want to see positive change in how things are being done in Washington. I believe new perspectives, new thinking, and frankly, new people can make the needed difference. I know there are positive ways to move forward. I am a father of three, a husband and I am family focused. I am an experienced leader and have held various business and legal roles at an array of companies including the biggest in the world (Walmart), as well as small start-ups. My career has focused primarily on Strategic Planning, Finance & Operations on the business side and corporate legal support on the Legal side. I have served on the boards of several non-profit boards focused on health issues, education and career training. I believe these experiences and skills will allow me to better represent the people of Maryland."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Maryland District 3 in 2024.
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Maryland
Campaign finance
| Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arthur Baker Jr. | Republican Party | $5,516 | $9,971 | $-4,455 | As of July 15, 2024 |
| Ray Bly | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Bernard Flowers | Republican Party | $40,727 | $40,727 | $0 | As of October 22, 2024 |
| Thomas Harris | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Jordan Mayo | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Naveed Mian | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Joshua Morales | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| John Rea | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Rob Steinberger | Republican Party | $51,443 | $53,110 | $-944 | As of December 31, 2024 |
|
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
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District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
Below was the map in use at the time of the election. Click the map below to enlarge it.
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Maryland.
| Maryland U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024 | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Office | Districts/ offices |
Seats | Open seats | Candidates | Possible primaries | Contested Democratic primaries | Contested Republican primaries | % of contested primaries | Incumbents in contested primaries | % of incumbents in contested primaries | ||||
| 2024 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 87 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 87.5% | 5 | 100.0% | ||||
| 2022 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 65 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 93.8% | 6 | 85.7% | ||||
| 2020 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 79 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 100.0% | 8 | 100.0% | ||||
| 2018 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 55 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 87.5% | 6 | 85.7% | ||||
| 2016 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 60 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 93.8% | 5 | 83.3% | ||||
| 2014 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 35 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 75.0% | 6 | 75.0% | ||||
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Maryland in 2024. Information below was calculated on March 19, 2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
Eighty-seven candidates ran for Maryland’s eight U.S. House districts, including 58 Democrats and 29 Republicans. That’s 10.88 candidates per district, more than in the previous three election cycles. There were 8.12 candidates per district in 2022, 9.87 candidates per district in 2020, and 6.87 in 2018.
The total number of candidates who ran for the U.S. House in 2024 is also higher than any other year this decade.
Three districts—the 2nd, the 3rd, and the 6th—were open, meaning no incumbents ran. That’s the most open districts in an election cycle this decade.
Rep. David Trone (D-6th) did not run for re-election in order to run for the U.S. Senate, while Reps. Dutch Ruppersberger (D-2nd) and John Sarbanes (D-3rd) retired from public office.
Thirty-one candidates—22 Democrats and nine Republicans—ran for the open 3rd Congressional District, the most candidates that ran for a district in 2024.
Fourteen primaries—eight Democratic and six Republican—were contested in 2024. Fifteen primaries were contested in 2022, 16 primaries were contested in 2020, and 14 were in 2018.
Five incumbents—four Democrats and one Republican—faced primary challengers in 2024. That's fewer than in 2022, when six incumbents faced challengers, in 2020 when eight incumbents faced challengers, and in 2018, when six did.
Candidates filed to run in the Republican and Democratic primaries in all eight districts, meaning no seats were guaranteed to either party.Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+10. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 10 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Maryland's 3rd the 129th most Democratic district nationally.[5]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
| 2020 presidential results in Maryland's 3rd based on 2024 district lines | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden 
|
Donald Trump 
| |||
| 61.7% | 36.2% | |||
Inside Elections Baselines
- See also: Inside Elections
Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[6] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.
| Inside Elections Baseline for 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic Baseline
|
Republican Baseline
|
Difference | ||
| 58.6 | 38.9 | D+19.7 | ||
Presidential voting history
- See also: Presidential election in Maryland, 2020
Maryland presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 21 Democratic wins
- 10 Republican wins
| Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winning Party | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | D | D | D | R | D | D | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Maryland's congressional delegation as of May 2024.
| Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Maryland | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
| Democratic | 2 | 7 | 9 |
| Republican | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 2 | 8 | 10 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Maryland's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.
| State executive officials in Maryland, May 2024 | |
|---|---|
| Office | Officeholder |
| Governor | Wes Moore
|
| Lieutenant Governor | Aruna Miller
|
| Secretary of State | Susan Lee
|
| Attorney General | Anthony G. Brown
|
State legislature
Maryland State Senate
| Party | As of February 2024 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 34 | |
| Republican Party | 13 | |
| Other | 0 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 47 | |
Maryland House of Delegates
| Party | As of February 2024 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 102 | |
| Republican Party | 39 | |
| Other | 0 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 141 | |
Trifecta control
The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.
Maryland Party Control: 1992-2024
Twenty-one years of Democratic trifectas • No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D |
| Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
| House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Maryland in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Maryland, click here.
| Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
| Maryland | U.S. House | Ballot-qualified party | N/A | $100.00 | 2/9/2024 | Source |
| Maryland | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 1% of the eligible voters for the district | $100.00 | 8/5/2024 | Source |
See also
- Maryland's 3rd Congressional District election, 2024 (May 14 Democratic primary)
- Maryland's 3rd Congressional District election, 2024
- United States House elections in Maryland, 2024 (May 14 Democratic primaries)
- United States House elections in Maryland, 2024 (May 14 Republican primaries)
- United States House Democratic Party primaries, 2024
- United States House Republican Party primaries, 2024
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2024
- U.S. House battlegrounds, 2024
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ A majority in the U.S. House when there are no vacancies is 218 seats.
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Maryland State Board of Elections Website, "Primary Elections," accessed September 27, 2024
- ↑ National Conference of State Legislatures, "State Primary Election Types," accessed September 27, 2024
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
- ↑ Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023
