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Maryland's 4th Congressional District election (June 26, 2018 Republican primary)
- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 16
- Early voting: Oct. 25 - Nov. 1
- Absentee voting deadline: Postmark Nov. 6
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: Only during early voting period
- Voter ID: No ID required generally
- Poll times: 7:00 a.m. to 8:00 p.m.
2020 →
← 2016
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| Maryland's 4th Congressional District |
|---|
 |
| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: February 27, 2018 |
| Primary: June 26, 2018 General: November 6, 2018 Pre-election incumbent: Anthony Brown (Democrat) |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in Maryland |
| Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic Inside Elections: Solid Democratic Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018 |
| See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th Maryland elections, 2018 U.S. Congress elections, 2018 U.S. Senate elections, 2018 U.S. House elections, 2018 |
A Republican Party primary election took place on June 26, 2018, in Maryland's 4th District to determine which Republican would run in the district's November 6, 2018, general election.
This page focuses on the Republican primary. For an overview of the election in general, click here.
Candidates and election results
George McDermott advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Maryland District 4 on June 26, 2018.
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Maryland District 4
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ |  | George McDermott | 100.0 | 12,485 |
| Total votes: 12,485 | |||
 = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- David Therrien (R)
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+28, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 28 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Maryland's 4th Congressional District the 34th most Democratic nationally.[1]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.89. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.89 points toward that party.[2]
State overview
Partisan control
This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Maryland heading into the 2018 elections.
Congressional delegation
- Following the 2016 elections, Democrats held both U.S. Senate seats in Maryland.
- Democrats held seven of eight of the U.S. House seats in Maryland.
State executives
- As of September 2018, Republicans held three of 12 state executive positions, Democrats held two, and the remaining positions were officially nonpartisan.
- The governor of Maryland was Republican Larry Hogan. The state held elections for governor and lieutenant governor on November 6, 2018.
State legislature
- Democrats controlled both chambers of the Maryland General Assembly. They had a 91-50 majority in the state House and a 33-14 majority in the state Senate.
Trifecta status
- Maryland was under divided government, meaning that the two parties shared control of the state government. Larry Hogan (R) served as governor, while Democrats controlled the state legislature.
2018 elections
- See also: Maryland elections, 2018
Maryland held elections for the following positions in 2018:
- One U.S. Senate seat
- Eight U.S. House seats
- Governor and lieutenant governor
- Two lower state executive positions
- 47 state Senate seats
- 141 state House seats
Demographics
| Demographic data for Maryland | ||
|---|---|---|
| Maryland | U.S. | |
| Total population: | 5,994,983 | 316,515,021 |
| Land area (sq mi): | 9,707 | 3,531,905 |
| Race and ethnicity** | ||
| White: | 57.6% | 73.6% |
| Black/African American: | 29.5% | 12.6% |
| Asian: | 6% | 5.1% |
| Native American: | 0.3% | 0.8% |
| Pacific Islander: | 0% | 0.2% |
| Two or more: | 3% | 3% |
| Hispanic/Latino: | 9% | 17.1% |
| Education | ||
| High school graduation rate: | 89.4% | 86.7% |
| College graduation rate: | 37.9% | 29.8% |
| Income | ||
| Median household income: | $74,551 | $53,889 |
| Persons below poverty level: | 10.7% | 11.3% |
| Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Maryland. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. | ||
As of July 2016, Maryland's three largest cities were Baltimore (pop. est. 611,648), Columbia (pop. est. 103,439), and Germantown (pop. est. 90,494).[3][4]
State election history
This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Maryland from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Maryland State Board of Elections.
Historical elections
Presidential elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Maryland every year from 2000 to 2016.
| Election results (President of the United States), Maryland 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2016 |  Hillary Clinton |
60.3% |  Donald Trump |
33.9% | 26.4% |
| 2012 | Barack Obama |
62.0% | Mitt Romney |
35.9% | 26.1% |
| 2008 | Barack Obama |
61.9% | John McCain |
36.5% | 25.4% |
| 2004 | John Kerry |
55.9% | George W. Bush |
42.9% | 13.0% |
| 2000 | Al Gore |
56.6% | George W. Bush |
40.2% | 16.4% |
U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Maryland from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.
| Election results (U.S. Senator), Maryland 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2016 | Chris Van Hollen |
60.9% | Kathy Szeliga |
35.7% | 25.2% |
| 2012 | Ben Cardin |
56.0% | Dan Bongino |
26.3% | 29.7% |
| 2010 | Barbara Mikulski |
62.2% | Eric Wargotz |
35.8% | 26.4% |
| 2006 | Ben Cardin |
54.2% | Michael Steele |
44.2% | 10.0% |
| 2004 | Barbara Mikulski |
64.8% | E. J. Pipkin |
33.8% | 31.0% |
| 2000 | Paul Sarbanes |
63.2% | Paul Rappaport |
36.7% | 26.5% |
Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Maryland.
| Election results (Governor), Maryland 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2014 | Larry Hogan |
51.0% | Anthony G. Brown |
47.2% | 3.8% |
| 2010 | Martin O'Malley |
49.5% | Robert L. Ehrlich, Jr. |
41.8% | 6.7% |
| 2006 | Martin O'Malley |
52.7% | Robert L. Ehrlich, Jr. |
46.2% | 6.5% |
| 2002 | Robert L. Ehrlich, Jr. |
51.6% | Kathleen Kennedy Townsend |
47.7% | 3.9% |
Congressional delegation, 2000-2016
This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Maryland in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.
| Congressional delegation, Maryland 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Republicans | Republicans (%) | Democrats | Democrats (%) | Balance of power |
| 2016 | 1 |
12.5% | 7 |
87.5% | D+7 |
| 2014 | 1 |
12.5% | 7 |
87.5% | D+7 |
| 2012 | 1 |
12.5% | 7 |
87.5% | D+7 |
| 2010 | 2 |
25% | 6 |
75% | D+4 |
| 2008 | 1 |
12.5% | 7 |
87.5% | D+7 |
| 2006 | 2 |
25% | 6 |
75% | D+4 |
| 2004 | 2 |
25% | 6 |
75% | R+1 |
| 2002 | 2 |
25% | 6 |
75% | R+1 |
| 2000 | 4 |
50.0% | 4 |
50.0% | Even |
Trifectas, 1992-2017
A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.
Maryland Party Control: 1992-2025
Twenty-two years of Democratic trifectas • No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D |
| Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
| House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in Maryland, 2018
- United States House elections in Maryland (June 26, 2018 Republican primaries)
- Maryland's 4th Congressional District election (June 26, 2018 Democratic primary)
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2018
Footnotes
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ Cubit, "Maryland by Population," accessed September 4, 2018
- ↑ U.S. Census Bureau, "Quickfacts Maryland," accessed September 4, 2018
