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Maryland's 7th Congressional District election (June 26, 2018 Republican primary)

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2020
2016
Maryland's 7th Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: February 27, 2018
Primary: June 26, 2018
General: November 6, 2018

Pre-election incumbent:
Elijah Cummings (Democrat)
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m.
Voting in Maryland
Race ratings
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2018): D+26
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018
See also
Maryland's 7th Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th
Maryland elections, 2018
U.S. Congress elections, 2018
U.S. Senate elections, 2018
U.S. House elections, 2018

A Republican Party primary election took place on June 26, 2018, in Maryland's 7th District to determine which Republican would run in the district's November 6, 2018, general election.

This page focuses on the Republican primary. For an overview of the election in general, click here.

See also: United States House elections in Maryland (June 26, 2018 Republican primaries) and United States House Republican Party primaries, 2018



Candidates and election results

Richmond Davis defeated Michael Pearson, William Newton, and Ray Bly in the Republican primary for U.S. House Maryland District 7 on June 26, 2018.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Maryland District 7

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Richmond Davis
Richmond Davis
 
31.3
 
3,554
Michael Pearson
 
29.9
 
3,392
Image of William Newton
William Newton
 
22.3
 
2,536
Image of Ray Bly
Ray Bly Candidate Connection
 
16.5
 
1,877

Total votes: 11,359
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+26, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 26 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Maryland's 7th Congressional District the 41st most Democratic nationally.[1]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.90. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.90 points toward that party.[2]

State overview

Partisan control

This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Maryland heading into the 2018 elections.

Congressional delegation

State executives

State legislature

  • Democrats controlled both chambers of the Maryland General Assembly. They had a 91-50 majority in the state House and a 33-14 majority in the state Senate.

Trifecta status

  • Maryland was under divided government, meaning that the two parties shared control of the state government. Larry Hogan (R) served as governor, while Democrats controlled the state legislature.

2018 elections

See also: Maryland elections, 2018

Maryland held elections for the following positions in 2018:

Demographics

Demographic data for Maryland
 MarylandU.S.
Total population:5,994,983316,515,021
Land area (sq mi):9,7073,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White:57.6%73.6%
Black/African American:29.5%12.6%
Asian:6%5.1%
Native American:0.3%0.8%
Pacific Islander:0%0.2%
Two or more:3%3%
Hispanic/Latino:9%17.1%
Education
High school graduation rate:89.4%86.7%
College graduation rate:37.9%29.8%
Income
Median household income:$74,551$53,889
Persons below poverty level:10.7%11.3%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015)
Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Maryland.
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.

As of July 2016, Maryland's three largest cities were Baltimore (pop. est. 611,648), Columbia (pop. est. 103,439), and Germantown (pop. est. 90,494).[3][4]

State election history

This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Maryland from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Maryland State Board of Elections.

Historical elections

Presidential elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Maryland every year from 2000 to 2016.

Election results (President of the United States), Maryland 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2016 Democratic Party Hillary Clinton 60.3% Republican Party Donald Trump 33.9% 26.4%
2012 Democratic Party Barack Obama 62.0% Republican Party Mitt Romney 35.9% 26.1%
2008 Democratic Party Barack Obama 61.9% Republican Party John McCain 36.5% 25.4%
2004 Democratic Party John Kerry 55.9% Republican Party George W. Bush 42.9% 13.0%
2000 Democratic Party Al Gore 56.6% Republican Party George W. Bush 40.2% 16.4%

U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Maryland from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.

Election results (U.S. Senator), Maryland 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2016 Democratic Party Chris Van Hollen 60.9% Republican Party Kathy Szeliga 35.7% 25.2%
2012 Democratic Party Ben Cardin 56.0% Republican Party Dan Bongino 26.3% 29.7%
2010 Democratic Party Barbara Mikulski 62.2% Republican Party Eric Wargotz 35.8% 26.4%
2006 Democratic Party Ben Cardin 54.2% Republican Party Michael Steele 44.2% 10.0%
2004 Democratic Party Barbara Mikulski 64.8% Republican Party E. J. Pipkin 33.8% 31.0%
2000 Democratic Party Paul Sarbanes 63.2% Republican Party Paul Rappaport 36.7% 26.5%

Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Maryland.

Election results (Governor), Maryland 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2014 Republican Party Larry Hogan 51.0% Democratic Party Anthony G. Brown 47.2% 3.8%
2010 Democratic Party Martin O'Malley 49.5% Republican Party Robert L. Ehrlich, Jr. 41.8% 6.7%
2006 Democratic Party Martin O'Malley 52.7% Republican Party Robert L. Ehrlich, Jr. 46.2% 6.5%
2002 Republican Party Robert L. Ehrlich, Jr. 51.6% Democratic Party Kathleen Kennedy Townsend 47.7% 3.9%

Congressional delegation, 2000-2016

This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Maryland in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.

Congressional delegation, Maryland 2000-2016
Year Republicans Republicans (%) Democrats Democrats (%) Balance of power
2016 Republican Party 1 12.5% Democratic Party 7 87.5% D+7
2014 Republican Party 1 12.5% Democratic Party 7 87.5% D+7
2012 Republican Party 1 12.5% Democratic Party 7 87.5% D+7
2010 Republican Party 2 25% Democratic Party 6 75% D+4
2008 Republican Party 1 12.5% Democratic Party 7 87.5% D+7
2006 Republican Party 2 25% Democratic Party 6 75% D+4
2004 Republican Party 2 25% Democratic Party 6 75% R+1
2002 Republican Party 2 25% Democratic Party 6 75% R+1
2000 Republican Party 4 50.0% Democratic Party 4 50.0% Even

Trifectas, 1992-2017

A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.

Maryland Party Control: 1992-2025
Twenty-two years of Democratic trifectas  •  No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Governor D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R D D D
Senate D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D
House D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D

See also

Footnotes


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
Democratic Party (9)
Republican Party (1)