Become part of the movement for unbiased, accessible election information. Donate today.

Maryland State Senate elections, 2018

From Ballotpedia
Jump to: navigation, search
2022
2014
2018 Maryland
Senate elections
Flag of Maryland.png
GeneralNovember 6, 2018
PrimaryJune 26, 2018
Past election results
2014201020062002
2018 elections
Choose a chamber below:


Democrats kept control of the Maryland State Senate in the 2018 elections, winning 32 seats to Republicans' 15 seats. All 47 Senate seats were up for election. Heading into the election, Democrats held 33 seats to Republicans' 14.

Following the 2018 election, Maryland continued to be under divided government with incumbent Gov. Larry Hogan (R) winning the governor's office and Democrats maintaining control of both chambers of the state legislature. Maryland became under divided government in 2014 after Hogan was first elected to the governor's office. Prior to the 2014 election, Democrats controlled both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.

Because state senators in Maryland serve four-year terms, winning candidates in the 2018 election served through 2022 and played a role in Maryland's redistricting process—the drawing of boundary lines for congressional and state legislative districts. Prior to 2020-2022, redistricting last took place in Maryland from 2010-2012. Read more below.

The Maryland State Senate was one of 87 state legislative chambers with elections in 2018. There are 99 chambers throughout the country.

Maryland state senators serve four-year terms, with all seats up for election every four years.


Post-election analysis

See also: State legislative elections, 2018

The Democratic Party maintained supermajority status in both chambers of the Maryland General Assembly in the 2018 election. In the state Senate, all 47 seats were up for election. The Democratic Maryland State Senate supermajority was reduced from 33-14 to 32-15. Four Democratic incumbents and one Republican incumbent were defeated in the primary. Two incumbents were defeated in the general election; one Democrat and one Republican.

The Maryland House of Delegates held elections for all 141 seats. The Democratic supermajority in the House of Delegates increased from 91-50 to 99-42. Eight Democratic incumbents were defeated in the primary and six Republican incumbents were defeated in the general election.

National background

On November 6, 2018, 87 of the nation's 99 state legislative chambers held regularly scheduled elections for 6,073 of 7,383 total seats, meaning that nearly 82 percent of all state legislative seats were up for election.

  • Entering the 2018 election, Democrats held 42.6 percent, Republicans held 56.8 percent, and independents and other parties held 0.6 percent of the seats up for regular election.
  • Following the 2018 election, Democrats held 47.3 percent, Republicans held 52.3 percent, and independents and other parties held 0.4 percent of the seats up for regular election.
  • A total of 469 incumbents were defeated over the course of the election cycle, with roughly one-third of them defeated in the primary.

Want more information?

Candidates

General election

Maryland State Senate elections, 2018

  • Incumbents are marked with an (i) after their name.
  • Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
Office Democratic Party Democratic Republican Party Republican Other
District 1

Green check mark transparent.pngGeorge Edwards (i)

District 2

Green check mark transparent.pngAndrew Serafini (i)

Jenna Roland (Green Party)

District 3

Green check mark transparent.pngRonald Young (i)

Craig Giangrande

District 4

Jessica Douglass

Green check mark transparent.pngMichael Hough (i)

District 5

Jamie O'Marr

Green check mark transparent.pngJustin Ready (i)

District 6

Buddy Staigerwald

Green check mark transparent.pngJohnny Ray Salling (i)

Scott Collier (Unaffiliated)

District 7

Donna Hines

Green check mark transparent.pngJ.B. Jennings (i)

District 8

Green check mark transparent.pngKatherine Klausmeier (i)

Christian Miele

District 9

Green check mark transparent.pngKatie Hester  Candidate Connection

Gail Bates (i)

District 10

Green check mark transparent.pngDelores Kelley (i)

Stephanie Boston

District 11

Green check mark transparent.pngRobert Zirkin (i)

District 12

Green check mark transparent.pngClarence Lam

Joseph Hooe  Candidate Connection

District 13

Green check mark transparent.pngGuy Guzzone (i)

District 14

Green check mark transparent.pngCraig Zucker (i)

Robert Drozd

District 15

Green check mark transparent.pngBrian Feldman (i)

David Wilson  Candidate Connection

District 16

Green check mark transparent.pngSusan Lee (i)

Marcus Alzona  Candidate Connection

District 17

Green check mark transparent.pngCheryl Kagan (i)

Josephine Wang

District 18

Green check mark transparent.pngJeff Waldstreicher

District 19

Green check mark transparent.pngBenjamin Kramer

Did not make the ballot:
Alirio Martinez Jr. 

David Jeang (Green Party)

District 20

Green check mark transparent.pngWill Smith (i)

Dwight Patel

Vardley St. Preux (Unaffiliated)

District 21

Green check mark transparent.pngJim Rosapepe (i)

Lee Havis  Candidate Connection

District 22

Green check mark transparent.pngPaul Pinsky (i)

Lauren Drew (Libertarian Party)

District 23

Green check mark transparent.pngDouglas Peters (i)

District 24

Green check mark transparent.pngJoanne Benson (i)

District 25

Green check mark transparent.pngMelony Griffith

District 26

Green check mark transparent.pngObie Patterson

Ike Puzon

District 27

Green check mark transparent.pngThomas Miller Jr. (i)

Jesse Peed

District 28

Green check mark transparent.pngArthur Ellis

Bill Dotson

Did not make the ballot:
John Leonard 

District 29

Thomas Brewer

Green check mark transparent.pngJack Bailey

District 30

Green check mark transparent.pngSarah Elfreth

Ron George

Christopher Wallace Sr. (Libertarian Party)

District 31

Scott Harman

Green check mark transparent.pngBryan Simonaire (i)

District 32

Green check mark transparent.pngPamela Beidle

John Grasso

District 33

Eve Hurwitz  Candidate Connection

Green check mark transparent.pngEdward R. Reilly (i)

District 34

Mary-Dulany James  Candidate Connection

Green check mark transparent.pngBob Cassilly (i)

District 35

Green check mark transparent.pngJason Gallion

Christopher Randers-Pehrson (Libertarian Party)  Candidate Connection
Frank Esposito (Independent)  Candidate Connection

District 36

Heather Sinclair  Candidate Connection

Green check mark transparent.pngStephen Hershey Jr. (i)

District 37

Holly Wright

Green check mark transparent.pngAdelaide Eckardt (i)

District 38

James Mathias Jr. (i)

Green check mark transparent.pngMary Beth Carozza

District 39

Green check mark transparent.pngNancy King (i)

Al Phillips

District 40

Green check mark transparent.pngAntonio Hayes

District 41

Green check mark transparent.pngJill Carter (i)

District 42

Robbie Leonard

Green check mark transparent.pngChris West

District 43

Green check mark transparent.pngMary Washington

District 44

Green check mark transparent.pngShirley Nathan-Pulliam (i)

Victor Clark Jr.

District 45

Green check mark transparent.pngCory McCray

District 46

Green check mark transparent.pngWilliam Ferguson IV (i)

Christine Digman

District 47

Green check mark transparent.pngMalcolm Augustine

Fred Price Jr.


Primary election

See also: Statistics on state legislative candidates, 2018
Maryland State Senate primary candidates
District Democratic Party

Democrat

Republican Party

Republican

Other
1 No candidate George Edwards: 10,235 (I) Approveda
2 No candidate Andrew Serafini: 5,918 (I) Approveda
3 Ronald Young: 4,717 (I) Approveda
Jennifer Dougherty: 3,611
Jennifer Brannan: 2,549
Craig Giangrande: 4,912 Approveda
Billy Shreve: 1,521
4 Jessica Douglass: 3,616 Approveda
Sabrina Massett: 3,300
Michael Hough: 8,796 (I) Approveda
5 Jamie O'Marr: 4,622 Approveda Justin Ready: 10,745 (I) Approveda
6 Buddy Staigerwald: 3,103 Approveda
Russ Mirabile: 2,701
Johnny Ray Salling: 3,247 (I) Approveda
Janice Dymowski: 1,075
7 Donna Hines: 6,193 Approveda J.B. Jennings: 9,757 (I) Approveda
8 Katherine Klausmeier: 8,495 (I) Approveda
Max Davidson: 1,195
Christian Miele: 5,486 Approveda
9 Katie Hester: 9,761 Approveda Gail Bates: 4,222 (I) Approveda
Reid Novotny: 3,605
10 Delores Kelley: 10,509 (I) Approveda
Rob Johnson: 3,476
Lawrence Williams: 1,861
Stephanie Boston: 1,512 Approveda
11 Robert Zirkin: 11,461 (I) Approveda
Sheldon Laskin: 4,876
No candidate
12 Clarence Lam: 9,658 Approveda
Mary Kay Sigaty: 3,651
Joseph Hooe: 3,068 Approveda
13 Guy Guzzone: 12,285 (I) Approveda No candidate
14 Craig Zucker: 13,261 (I) Approveda Robert Drozd: 2,446 Approveda
15 Brian Feldman: 12,007 (I) Approveda
Hongjun Xin: 1,938
David Wilson: 2,416 Approveda
16 Susan Lee: 19,453 (I) Approveda Marcus Alzona: 1,840 Approveda
17 Cheryl Kagan: 11,585 (I) Approveda Josephine Wang: 1,395 Approveda
18 Jeff Waldstreicher: 8,695 Approveda
Dana Beyer: 6,527
Michelle Carhart: 2,396
No candidate
19 Benjamin Kramer: 13,739 Approveda Alirio Martinez Jr.: 1,858 Approveda
20 Will Smith: 16,896 (I) Approveda Dwight Patel: 711 Approveda
21 Jim Rosapepe: 10,603 (I) Approveda Lee Havis: 1,578 Approveda
22 Paul Pinsky: 12,394 (I) Approveda No candidate
23 Douglas Peters: 13,691 (I) Approveda
Tim Adams: 9,416
No candidate
24 Joanne Benson: 10,230 (I) Approveda
Tiffany Alston: 6,160
Everett Browning Sr.: 3,179
No candidate
25 Melony Griffith: 10,939 Approveda
Angela Angel: 7,320
Jonathan Rosero: 1,641
No candidate
26 Obie Patterson: 11,516 Approveda
Jamila Woods: 8,321
Ike Puzon: 439 Approveda
27 Thomas Miller Jr.: 11,227 (I) Approveda
Tommi Makila: 4,420
Jesse Peed: 4,905 Approveda
Roussan Etienne Jr.: 1,382
28 Arthur Ellis: 8,309 Approveda
Thomas Middleton: 7,663 (I)
John Leonard: 2,847 Approveda
29 Thomas Brewer: 5,113 Approveda Jack Bailey: 4,339 Approveda
Stephen Waugh: 3,587 (I)
30 Sarah Elfreth: 6,482 Approveda
Chrissy Holt: 4,547
Ron George: 5,613 Approveda
31 Scott Harman: 5,044 Approveda Bryan Simonaire: 6,200 (I) Approveda
32 Pamela Beidle: 7,383 Approveda John Grasso: 1,754 Approveda
Maureen Bryant: 1,681
33 Eve Hurwitz: 8,737 Approveda Edward Reilly: 8,619 (I) Approveda
34 Mary-Dulany James: 5,812 Approveda
Barbara Kreamer: 2,027
Bob Cassilly: 5,969 (I) Approveda
35 No candidate Jason Gallion: 8,064 Approveda
36 Heather Sinclair: 5,704 Approveda Stephen Hershey Jr.: 9,236 (I) Approveda
37 Holly Wright: 6,683 Approveda Adelaide Eckardt: 7,989 (I) Approveda
38 James Mathias Jr.: 5,918 (I) Approveda Mary Beth Carozza: 8,095 Approveda
39 Nancy King: 9,321 (I) Approveda Al Phillips: 1,387 Approveda
40 Antonio Hayes: 7,920 Approveda
Barbara Robinson: 4,185 (I)
No candidate
41 J.D. Merrill: 7,097
Nathaniel Oaks: 1,168
Jill Carter: 1,067 Approveda
No candidate
42 Robbie Leonard: 6,966 Approveda
Gretchen Maneval: 4,735
Chris West: 6,798 Approveda
43 Mary Washington: 9,694 Approveda
Joan Carter Conway: 9,202 (I)
No candidate
44 Shirley Nathan-Pulliam: 10,217 (I) Approveda
Aletheia McCaskill: 4,955
Victor Clark Jr.: 1,076 Approveda
45 Cory McCray: 7,735 Approveda
Nathaniel McFadden: 5,503 (I)
No candidate
46 William Ferguson IV: 9,572 (I) Approveda Christine Digman: 774 Approveda
47 Malcolm Augustine: 7,841 Approveda
Adrian Petrus: 1,478
Fred Price Jr.: 266 Approveda
Notes • An (I) denotes an incumbent.
• Candidate lists can change frequently throughout an election season. Ballotpedia staff update this list monthly. To suggest changes, click here to email our State Legislature Project.

Margins of victory

See also: Margin of victory analysis for the 2018 state legislative elections

A margin of victory (MOV) analysis for the 2018 Maryland State Senate races is presented in this section. MOV represents the percentage of total votes that separated the winner and the second-place finisher. For example, if the winner of a race received 47 percent of the vote and the second-place finisher received 45 percent of the vote, the MOV is 2 percent.

The table below presents the following figures for each party:

  • Elections won
  • Elections won by less than 10 percentage points
  • Elections won without opposition
  • Average margin of victory[1]
Maryland State Senate: 2018 Margin of Victory Analysis
Party Elections won Elections won by less than 10% Unopposed elections Average margin of victory[1]
Democratic Party Democratic
32
3
10
49.4%
Republican Party Republican
15
4
1
22.1%
Grey.png Other
0
0
0
N/A
Total
47
7
11
35.7%



The margin of victory in each race is presented below. The list is sorted from the closest MOV to the largest (including unopposed races).

Maryland State Senate: 2018 Margin of Victory by District
District Winning Party Losing Party Margin of Victory
Maryland State Senate District 34
Ends.png Republican
Electiondot.png Democratic
0.4%
Maryland State Senate District 9
Electiondot.png Democratic
Ends.png Republican
1.7%
Maryland State Senate District 42
Ends.png Republican
Electiondot.png Democratic
2.0%
Maryland State Senate District 8
Electiondot.png Democratic
Ends.png Republican
2.2%
Maryland State Senate District 38
Ends.png Republican
Electiondot.png Democratic
5.4%
Maryland State Senate District 33
Ends.png Republican
Electiondot.png Democratic
7.0%
Maryland State Senate District 30
Electiondot.png Democratic
Ends.png Republican
9.2%
Maryland State Senate District 6
Ends.png Republican
Electiondot.png Democratic
15.3%
Maryland State Senate District 3
Electiondot.png Democratic
Ends.png Republican
17.2%
Maryland State Senate District 4
Ends.png Republican
Electiondot.png Democratic
18.3%
Maryland State Senate District 37
Ends.png Republican
Electiondot.png Democratic
20.0%
Maryland State Senate District 29
Ends.png Republican
Electiondot.png Democratic
20.7%
Maryland State Senate District 31
Ends.png Republican
Electiondot.png Democratic
22.2%
Maryland State Senate District 36
Ends.png Republican
Electiondot.png Democratic
30.2%
Maryland State Senate District 27
Electiondot.png Democratic
Ends.png Republican
32.2%
Maryland State Senate District 12
Electiondot.png Democratic
Ends.png Republican
32.3%
Maryland State Senate District 28
Electiondot.png Democratic
Ends.png Republican
32.7%
Maryland State Senate District 32
Electiondot.png Democratic
Ends.png Republican
33.0%
Maryland State Senate District 7
Ends.png Republican
Electiondot.png Democratic
33.9%
Maryland State Senate District 5
Ends.png Republican
Electiondot.png Democratic
43.1%
Maryland State Senate District 2
Ends.png Republican
Begins.png Green Party
43.9%
Maryland State Senate District 15
Electiondot.png Democratic
Ends.png Republican
44.2%
Maryland State Senate District 14
Electiondot.png Democratic
Ends.png Republican
45.2%
Maryland State Senate District 35
Ends.png Republican
Grey.png Independent
46.4%
Maryland State Senate District 21
Electiondot.png Democratic
Ends.png Republican
55.2%
Maryland State Senate District 46
Electiondot.png Democratic
Ends.png Republican
56.7%
Maryland State Senate District 17
Electiondot.png Democratic
Ends.png Republican
58.3%
Maryland State Senate District 39
Electiondot.png Democratic
Ends.png Republican
58.7%
Maryland State Senate District 16
Electiondot.png Democratic
Ends.png Republican
60.4%
Maryland State Senate District 10
Electiondot.png Democratic
Ends.png Republican
60.9%
Maryland State Senate District 44
Electiondot.png Democratic
Ends.png Republican
69.5%
Maryland State Senate District 19
Electiondot.png Democratic
Begins.png Green Party
78.3%
Maryland State Senate District 20
Electiondot.png Democratic
Ends.png Republican
81.7%
Maryland State Senate District 22
Electiondot.png Democratic
Specialsession.png Libertarian
85.6%
Maryland State Senate District 26
Electiondot.png Democratic
Ends.png Republican
85.8%
Maryland State Senate District 47
Electiondot.png Democratic
Ends.png Republican
86.2%
Maryland State Senate District 1
Ends.png Republican
None
Unopposed
Maryland State Senate District 13
Electiondot.png Democratic
None
Unopposed
Maryland State Senate District 11
Electiondot.png Democratic
None
Unopposed
Maryland State Senate District 18
Electiondot.png Democratic
None
Unopposed
Maryland State Senate District 23
Electiondot.png Democratic
None
Unopposed
Maryland State Senate District 24
Electiondot.png Democratic
None
Unopposed
Maryland State Senate District 25
Electiondot.png Democratic
None
Unopposed
Maryland State Senate District 40
Electiondot.png Democratic
None
Unopposed
Maryland State Senate District 41
Electiondot.png Democratic
None
Unopposed
Maryland State Senate District 43
Electiondot.png Democratic
None
Unopposed
Maryland State Senate District 45
Electiondot.png Democratic
None
Unopposed


Seats flipped

See also: State legislative seats that changed party control, 2018

The below map displays each seat in the Maryland State Senate which changed partisan hands as a result of the 2018 elections, shaded according to the partisan affiliation of the winner in 2018. Hover over a shaded district for more information.

State legislative seats flipped in 2018, Maryland State Senate
District Incumbent 2018 winner Direction of flip
Maryland State Senate District 38 Democratic Party James Mathias Jr. Republican Party Mary Beth Carozza D to R
Maryland State Senate District 42 Democratic Party James Brochin Republican Party Chris West D to R
Maryland State Senate District 9 Republican Party Gail Bates Democratic Party Katie Hester R to D

Incumbents retiring

Ten incumbents did not run for re-election in 2018.[2] Those incumbents were:

Name Party Current Office
Edward Kasemeyer Electiondot.png Democratic Senate District 12
Rich Madaleno Electiondot.png Democratic Senate District 18
Roger Manno Electiondot.png Democratic Senate District 19
Ulysses Currie Electiondot.png Democratic Senate District 25
C. Anthony Muse Electiondot.png Democratic Senate District 26
John Astle Electiondot.png Democratic Senate District 30
James DeGrange, Sr. Electiondot.png Democratic Senate District 32
Linda Norman Ends.png Republican Senate District 35
James Brochin Electiondot.png Democratic Senate District 42
Victor Ramirez Electiondot.png Democratic Senate District 47

Process to become a candidate

See also: Ballot access requirements for political candidates in Maryland

DocumentIcon.jpg See statutes: Election Law, Title 5 of the Annotated Code of Maryland

For principal party candidates

A candidate for federal, statewide, or state legislative office seeking the nomination of a principal political party in a primary election must submit to the Maryland State Board of Elections a certificate of candidacy, which notes the office being sought, the year of the election, the name and address of the candidate, and includes a statement verifying that the candidate satisfies the legal requirements for candidacy for the office being sought. A candidate for statewide or state legislative office must also submit a financial disclosure form to the Maryland State Ethics Commission.[3][4]

A principal party candidate must pay a filing fee. Fees vary according to the office being sought and are established by statute. Fees are detailed in the table below.[5]

Filing fees for principal party candidates
Office sought Filing fee
Governor, Lieutenant Governor, United States Senator, Comptroller of the Treasury, Attorney General $290
United States Representative $100
Member of the General Assembly $50

All required paperwork and filing fees must be submitted to the appropriate office by 9 p.m. on the last Tuesday in February of the election year. It should be noted that the certificate of candidacy must be submitted in person (or by certified mail, personal messenger, or delivery service if the candidate is unable to file in person due to illness, military service, or temporary absence from the state).[3][6]

For non-principal party candidates

Non-principal party candidates file paperwork in two phases. First, a candidate must submit a declaration of intent to the Maryland State Board of Elections. This form must be filed by the last Tuesday in February of the election year. A filing fee does not have to be paid at this time.[3][7]

By 5 p.m. on the first Monday in August of the election year, the candidate must submit to the Maryland State Board of Elections a certificate of nomination signed by the officers of the candidate's party (non-principal parties may determine for themselves the methods by which they nominate candidates). The candidate must also submit at this time the same financial disclosure form as principal party candidates. Non-principal party candidates must likewise pay the same filing fees as principal party candidates.[3][7]

For independent candidates

Independent candidates file paperwork in two phases. First, a candidate must submit a declaration of intent to the Maryland State Board of Elections. This form must be filed no later than the first Monday in July.[3][8][9]

By 5 p.m. on the first Monday in August of the election year, the candidate must submit a certificate of candidacy to the Maryland State Board of Elections and a financial disclosure form to the Maryland State Ethics Commission. The candidate must also submit to the Maryland State Board of Elections a petition signed by either 10,000 registered voters, or 1 percent of the total number of voters who are eligible to vote for the office being sought by the candidate, whichever is less. Independent candidates must also pay the same filing fees as party candidates.[3][8]

For write-in candidates

A write-in candidate for either the primary or general election who intends to have his or her votes tallied must file a certificate of candidacy and a financial disclosure form. The deadline for filing these materials with the appropriate office is the earlier of the following:[6]

  • seven days after a total expenditure of at least $51 is made to promote the candidacy by the candidate's campaign finance entity
  • 5 p.m. on the Wednesday preceding the day of the election

Qualifications

See also: State legislature candidate requirements by state

Section 9 of Article 3 of the Maryland Constitution states, "A person is eligible to serve as a Senator or Delegate, who on the date of his election, (1) is a citizen of the State of Maryland, (2) has resided therein for at least one year next preceding that date, and (3) if the district which he has been chosen to represent has been established for at least six months prior to the date of his election, has resided in that district for six months next preceding that date.

If the district which the person has been chosen to represent has been established less than six months prior to the date of his election, then in addition to (1) and (2) above, he shall have resided in the district for as long as it has been established.

A person is eligible to serve as a Senator, if he has attained the age of twenty-five years, or as a Delegate, if he has attained the age of twenty-one years, on the date of his election.

Salaries and per diem

See also: Comparison of state legislative salaries
State legislative salaries, 2024[10]
SalaryPer diem
$54,437/year$115/day for lodging. $63/day for meals.

When sworn in

See also: When state legislators assume office after a general election

Maryland legislators assume office the second Wednesday in January after the election.[11]

Maryland political history

See also: Partisan composition of state senates and State government trifectas

Party control

2018

In the 2018 elections, the Democratic majority in the Maryland State Senate was reduced from 33-14 to 32-15.

Maryland State Senate
Party As of November 6, 2018 After November 7, 2018
     Democratic Party 33 32
     Republican Party 14 15
Total 47 47

2014

In the 2014 elections, Democrats maintained their majority in the Maryland State Senate, but Republicans gained two seats.

Maryland State Senate
Party As of November 3, 2014 After November 4, 2014
     Democratic Party 35 33
     Republican Party 12 14
Total 47 47

Trifectas

A state government trifecta is a term that describes single-party government, when one political party holds the governor's office and has majorities in both chambers of the legislature in a state government. Democrats in Maryland held a state government trifecta from 1992 to 2002 and 2007 to 2014.

Maryland Party Control: 1992-2025
Twenty-two years of Democratic trifectas  •  No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Governor D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R D D D
Senate D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D
House D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D

Wave election analysis

See also: Wave elections (1918-2016)

The term wave election is frequently used to describe an election cycle in which one party makes significant electoral gains. How many seats would Republicans have had to lose for the 2018 midterm election to be considered a wave election?

Ballotpedia examined the results of the 50 election cycles that occurred between 1918 and 2016—spanning from President Woodrow Wilson's (D) second midterm in 1918 to Donald Trump's (R) first presidential election in 2016. We define wave elections as the 20 percent of elections in that period resulting in the greatest seat swings against the president's party.

Applying this definition to state legislative elections, we found that Republicans needed to lose 494 seats for 2018 to qualify as a wave election.

The chart below shows the number of seats the president's party lost in the 10 state legislative waves from 1918 to 2016. Click here to read the full report.

State legislative wave elections
Year President Party Election type State legislative seats change Elections analyzed[12]
1932 Hoover R Presidential -1,022 7,365
1922 Harding R First midterm -907 6,907
1966 Johnson D First midterm[13] -782 7,561
1938 Roosevelt D Second midterm -769 7,179
1958 Eisenhower R Second midterm -702 7,627
2010 Obama D First midterm -702 7,306
1974 Ford R Second midterm[14] -695 7,481
1920 Wilson D Presidential -654 6,835
1930 Hoover R Presidential -640 7,361
1954 Eisenhower R First midterm -494 7,513

Competitiveness

Every year, Ballotpedia uses official candidate lists from each state to examine the competitiveness of every state legislative race in the country. Nationally, there has been a steady decline in electoral competitiveness since 2010. Most notable is that the number of districts with general election competition has dropped by more than 10 percent.

Results from 2016

Click here to read the full study »


Historical context

See also: Competitiveness in State Legislative Elections: 1972-2014

Uncontested elections: In 2014, 32.8 percent of Americans lived in states with an uncontested state senate election. Similarly, 40.4 percent of Americans lived in states with uncontested house elections. Primary elections were uncontested even more frequently, with 61 percent of people living in states with no contested primaries. Uncontested elections often occur in locations that are so politically one-sided that the result of an election would be a foregone conclusion regardless of whether it was contested or not.

F5 Pop. % with uncontested state legislative races.png

Open seats: In most cases, an incumbent will run for re-election, which decreases the number of open seats available. In 2014, 83 percent of the 6,057 seats up for election saw the incumbent running for re-election. The states that impose term limits on their legislatures typically see a higher percentage of open seats in a given year because a portion of incumbents in each election are forced to leave office. Overall, the number of open seats decreased from 2012 to 2014, dropping from 21.2 percent in 2012 to 17.0 percent in 2014.

Incumbent win rates: Ballotpedia's competitiveness analysis of elections between 1972 and 2014 documented the high propensity for incumbents to win re-election in state legislative elections. In fact, since 1972, the win rate for incumbents had not dropped below 90 percent—with the exception of 1974, when 88 percent of incumbents were re-elected to their seats. Perhaps most importantly, the win rate for incumbents generally increased over time. In 2014, 96.5 percent of incumbents were able to retain their seats. Common convention holds that incumbents are able to leverage their office to maintain their seat. However, the high incumbent win rate may actually be a result of incumbents being more likely to hold seats in districts that are considered safe for their party.

Marginal primaries: Often, competitiveness is measured by examining the rate of elections that have been won by amounts that are considered marginal (5 percent or less). During the 2014 election, 90.1 percent of primary and general election races were won by margins higher than 5 percent. Interestingly, it is usually the case that only one of the two races—primary or general—will be competitive at a time. This means that if a district's general election is competitive, typically one or more of the district's primaries were won by more than 5 percent. The reverse is also true: If a district sees a competitive primary, it is unlikely that the general election for that district will be won by less than 5 percent. Primaries often see very low voter turnout in comparison to general elections. In 2014, there were only 27 million voters for state legislative primaries, but approximately 107 million voters for the state legislative general elections.

Redistricting in Maryland

See also: Redistricting in Maryland

Because state senators in Maryland serve four-year terms, winning candidates in the 2018 election served through 2022 and played a role in Maryland's redistricting process—the drawing of boundary lines for congressional and state legislative districts. Prior to 2020-2022, redistricting last took place in Maryland from 2010-2012.

State process

In Maryland, the primary authority to adopt both congressional and state legislative district lines rests with the state legislature. The governor submits a state legislative redistricting proposal (an advisory commission appointed by the governor assists in drafting this proposal). The state legislature may pass its own plan by joint resolution, which is not subject to gubernatorial veto. If the legislature fails to approve its own plan, the governor's plan takes effect. Congressional lines are adopted solely by the legislature and may be vetoed by the governor.[15]

The Maryland Constitution requires that state legislative districts be contiguous, compact, and "give 'due regard' for political boundaries and natural features." No such requirements apply to congressional districts.[15]

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

There are no Pivot Counties in Maryland. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton (D) won Maryland with 60.3 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 33.9 percent. In presidential elections between 1789 and 2016, Maryland voted Democratic 52 percent of the time and Republican 21 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, Maryland voted Democratic all five times.[16]

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. 1.0 1.1 Excludes unopposed elections
  2. Ballotpedia defines an incumbent as retiring if the incumbent did not file for office or filed for office but withdrew, was disqualified, or otherwise left a race in a manner other than losing the primary, primary runoff, or convention. If an incumbent runs as a write-in candidate, Ballotpedia does not consider them to be retiring. If an incumbent runs in the same chamber for a different seat, Ballotpedia does not consider them to be retiring.
  3. 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 Annotated Code of Maryland, "Election Law, Title 5, Subtitle 3, Section 304," accessed April 29, 2025
  4. Maryland State Ethics Commission, "State Employees/Officials," accessed April 28, 2025
  5. Annotated Code of Maryland, "Election Law, Title 5, Subtitle 4, Section 401," accessed April 28, 2025
  6. 6.0 6.1 Annotated Code of Maryland, "Election Law, Title 5, Subtitle 3, Section 303," accessed May 28, 2025
  7. 7.0 7.1 Annotated Code of Maryland, "Election Law, Title 5, Subtitle 7, Section 703.1," accessed May 16, 2025
  8. 8.0 8.1 Annotated Code of Maryland, "Election Law, Title 5, Subtitle 7, Section 703," accessed April 28, 2025
  9. Ballot Access News, "Maryland Deadline Victory Confirmed," September 23, 2016
  10. National Conference of State Legislatures, "2024 Legislator Compensation," August 21, 2024
  11. Maryland Constitution, "Article III, Section 6," accessed February 11, 2021
  12. The number of state legislative seats available for analysis varied, with as many as 7,795 and as few as 6,835.
  13. Lyndon Johnson's (D) first term began in November 1963 after the death of President John F. Kennedy (D), who was first elected in 1960. Before Johnson had his first midterm in 1966, he was re-elected president in 1964.
  14. Gerald Ford's (R) first term began in August 1974 following the resignation of President Richard Nixon (R), who was first elected in 1968 and was re-elected in 1972. Because Ford only served for two full months before facing the electorate, this election is classified as Nixon's second midterm.
  15. 15.0 15.1 All About Redistricting, 'Maryland," accessed April 30, 2015
  16. 270towin.com, "Maryland," accessed June 22, 2017


Current members of the Maryland State Senate
Leadership
Senate President:William Ferguson
Majority Leader:Guy Guzzone
Minority Leader:Stephen Hershey
Senators
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
District 9
District 10
District 11
District 12
District 13
District 14
District 15
District 16
Sara Love (D)
District 17
District 18
District 19
District 20
District 21
District 22
District 23
District 24
District 25
District 26
C. Muse (D)
District 27
District 28
District 29
District 30
District 31
District 32
District 33
Dawn Gile (D)
District 34
District 35
District 36
District 37
District 38
District 39
District 40
District 41
District 42
District 43
District 44
District 45
District 46
District 47
Democratic Party (34)
Republican Party (13)