Michigan's 10th Congressional District election, 2024 (August 6 Democratic primary)
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Michigan's 10th Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: April 23, 2024 |
Primary: August 6, 2024 General: November 5, 2024 |
How to vote |
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in Michigan |
Race ratings |
DDHQ and The Hill: Toss-up Inside Elections: Lean Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Republican |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th • 13th Michigan elections, 2024 U.S. Congress elections, 2024 U.S. Senate elections, 2024 U.S. House elections, 2024 |
A Democratic Party primary took place on August 6, 2024, in Michigan's 10th Congressional District to determine which Democratic candidate would run in the district's general election on November 5, 2024.
Carl Marlinga advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Michigan District 10.
All 435 seats were up for election. At the time of the election, Republicans had a 220 to 212 majority with three vacancies.[1] As of June 2024, 45 members of the U.S. House had announced they were not running for re-election. To read more about the U.S. House elections taking place this year, click here.
In the 2022 election in this district, the Republican candidate won 48.8%-48.3%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Donald Trump (R) would have defeated Joe Biden (D) 49.8%-48.8%.[2]
Candidate filing deadline | Primary election | General election |
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A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. Primaries are state-level and local-level elections that take place prior to a general election. Michigan utilizes an open primary system, in which registered voters do not have to be members of a party to vote in that party's primary.[3][4]
This page focuses on Michigan's 10th Congressional District Democratic primary. For more in-depth information on the district's Republican primary and the general election, see the following pages:
- Michigan's 10th Congressional District election, 2024 (August 6 Republican primary)
- Michigan's 10th Congressional District election, 2024
Candidates and election results
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Michigan District 10
Carl Marlinga defeated Diane Young, Tiffany Tilley, and Emily Busch in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Michigan District 10 on August 6, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Carl Marlinga | 48.8 | 32,561 |
![]() | Diane Young ![]() | 24.4 | 16,282 | |
![]() | Tiffany Tilley | 13.3 | 8,861 | |
![]() | Emily Busch ![]() | 12.8 | 8,541 | |
Other/Write-in votes | 0.7 | 464 |
Total votes: 66,709 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Rhonda Powell (D)
- Brian Steven Jaye (D)
- Anil Kumar (D)
Candidate profiles
This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "I’m Emily Busch, a mom and gun safety advocate from Michigan. I’m running for office because almost three years ago my son ran for his life during a mass shooting at his high school. After nearly 25 years working in sales in and around Southeast Michigan, my personal and professional life changed overnight on November 30, 2021 when a 15 year old walked into Oxford High School and opened fire on his classmates. I was immediately compelled the step off the sidelines and begin organizing families, friends, and neighbors to advocate for commonsense gun safety measures to be taken at the state level in Michigan. We successfully passed a legislative blueprint for gun violence prevention in Michigan not long after, and now I’m running for Congress because I’m motivated to bring my advocacy and commitment to gun violence prevention to the federal level. Prior to running for Congress, I earned my Bachelor’s degree in Biology from Indiana University - Bloomington and my Master’s degree in Management, Strategy, and Leadership from the Eli Broad College of Business at Michigan State University. I’m married to a retired union firefighter and Marine, and we have two children. I am running for office because our kids deserve better, and when I make it to Washington I promise to fight for the families of Southeast Michigan and families around the country as hard as I do my own."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Michigan District 10 in 2024.
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office:
- Macomb County Prosecutor (1985-2004)
- 16th Judicial Circuit Court Judge (2017-2022)
Biography: Marlinga received a bachelor's degree from the University of Detroit and a law degree from the University of Michigan Law School. Before running for Congress, he was an attorney and a judge.
Show sources
Sources: Deadline Detroit, "Carl Marlinga: 'We Need Members of Congress Who Will Steadfastly Resist This Descent Into Authoritarianism,'" June 28, 2024Detroit Free Press, "For Dems in Macomb County's 10th District Carl Marlinga is best choice | Endorsement," June 11, 2024Carl Marlinga 2024 Campaign website, "Issues," accessed August 26, 2024; LinkedIn, "Carl Marlinga," accessed August 26, 2024
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Michigan District 10 in 2024.
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "I am a fiduciary financial planner, and I am running for the same reasons I became a financial planner in the first place: to help working class families succeed and to help them create an environment where they can pursue their dreams. Trust, integrity, and service have always been my core values since I began my career. I started out with a folding table and phonebook and grew my business into one of the largest woman-owned financial planning firms in the state. I have seen firsthand how reckless policymaking in Washington has adversely impacted working-class families and small businesses. I am committed to tackling our toughest problems: protecting Social Security and Medicare, defending reproductive freedom, fighting climate change, streamlining our tax code to give middle class families a break while ensuring that corporations pay their fair share."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Michigan District 10 in 2024.
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Michigan
Campaign finance
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
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Emily Busch | Democratic Party | $514,531 | $499,323 | $15,208 | As of December 31, 2024 |
Carl Marlinga | Democratic Party | $2,954,055 | $2,925,342 | $34,620 | As of December 31, 2024 |
Tiffany Tilley | Democratic Party | $67,039 | $63,184 | $1,978 | As of December 31, 2024 |
Diane Young | Democratic Party | $572,024 | $569,284 | $2,740 | As of December 31, 2024 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
Below was the map in use at the time of the election. Click the map below to enlarge it.

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Michigan.
Michigan U.S. Senate competitiveness, 2014-2024 | ||||||||||||||
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Office | Districts/ offices |
Seats | Open seats | Candidates | Possible primaries | Contested Democratic primaries | Contested Republican primaries | % of contested primaries | Incumbents in contested primaries | % of incumbents in contested primaries | ||||
2024 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | N/A | ||||
2020 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | N/A | ||||
2018 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | N/A | ||||
2014 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | N/A |
U.S. House
Michigan U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024 | ||||||||||||||
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Office | Districts/ offices |
Seats | Open seats | Candidates | Possible primaries | Contested Democratic primaries | Contested Republican primaries | % of contested primaries | Incumbents in contested primaries | % of incumbents in contested primaries | ||||
2024 | 13 | 13 | 2 | 43 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 46.2% | 5 | 45.5% | ||||
2022 | 13 | 13 | 2 | 53 | 26 | 4 | 9 | 50.0% | 7 | 58.3% | ||||
2020 | 14 | 14 | 1 | 55 | 28 | 7 | 8 | 53.6% | 4 | 33.3% | ||||
2018 | 14 | 14 | 2 | 51 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 35.7% | 1 | 9.1% | ||||
2016 | 14 | 14 | 2 | 38 | 28 | 3 | 3 | 21.4% | 3 | 25.0% | ||||
2014 | 14 | 14 | 4 | 48 | 28 | 5 | 8 | 46.4% | 6 | 60.0% |
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Michigan in 2024. Information below was calculated on June 5, 2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
Forty-three candidates ran for Michigan’s 13 U.S. House districts, including 23 Democrats and 20 Republicans. That’s an average of 3.3 candidates per district.
The 43 candidates who ran in Michigan in 2024 was the fewest number of candidates since 2016, when 38 candidates ran.
The 7th and 8th Congressional Districts were open in 2024. Between 2014 and 2022, an average of 2.2 districts were open per year.
Incumbent Rep. Elissa Slotkin (D-07) did not run for re-election because she ran for the U.S. Senate. Rep. Dan Kildee (D-08) retired from public office.
Six candidates—three Democrats and three Republicans—ran for the open 8th Congressional District, the most candidates who ran for a seat in Michigan in 2024.
Twelve primaries—six Democratic and six Republican—were contested in 2024. Between 2014 and 2022, an average of 11.4 primaries were contested per year.
Five incumbents—three Democrats and two Republicans—were in contested primaries in 2024. Between 2014 and 2022, an average of 4.2 incumbents ran in contested primaries.
Candidates filed to run in the Republican and Democratic primaries in all 13 districts, meaning no seats were guaranteed to either party.Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+3. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 3 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Michigan's 10th the 207th most Republican district nationally.[5]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
2020 presidential results in Michigan's 10th based on 2024 district lines | ||||
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Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() | |||
48.8% | 49.8% |
Inside Elections Baselines
- See also: Inside Elections
Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[6] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.
Inside Elections Baseline for 2024 | ||||
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Democratic Baseline ![]() |
Republican Baseline ![]() |
Difference | ||
52.4 | 45.0 | R+7.3 |
Presidential voting history
- See also: Presidential election in Michigan, 2020
Michigan presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 13 Democratic wins
- 17 Republican wins
- 1 other win
Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
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Winning Party | R | R | R | P[7] | R | R | R | R | D | D | R | D | R | R | R | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | D |
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Michigan's congressional delegation as of May 2024.
Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Michigan | |||
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Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
Democratic | 2 | 6 | 8 |
Republican | 0 | 7 | 7 |
Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 2 | 13 | 15 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Michigan's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.
State executive officials in Michigan, May 2024 | |
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Office | Officeholder |
Governor | ![]() |
Lieutenant Governor | ![]() |
Secretary of State | ![]() |
Attorney General | ![]() |
State legislature
Michigan State Senate
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 20 | |
Republican Party | 18 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 38 |
Michigan House of Representatives
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 54 | |
Republican Party | 54 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 2 | |
Total | 110 |
Trifecta control
The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.
Michigan Party Control: 1992-2024
Two years of Democratic trifectas • Fourteen years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
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Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Senate | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D |
House | D | S | S | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D |
Ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Michigan in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Michigan, click here.
Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
Michigan | U.S. House | Democratic or Republican | 1,000-2,000 | N/A | 4/23/2024 | Source |
Michigan | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 3,000-6,000 | N/A | 7/18/2024 | Source |
See also
- Michigan's 10th Congressional District election, 2024 (August 6 Republican primary)
- Michigan's 10th Congressional District election, 2024
- United States House elections in Michigan, 2024 (August 6 Democratic primaries)
- United States House elections in Michigan, 2024 (August 6 Republican primaries)
- United States House Democratic Party primaries, 2024
- United States House Republican Party primaries, 2024
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2024
- U.S. House battlegrounds, 2024
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ A majority in the U.S. House when there are no vacancies is 218 seats.
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ NCSL, "State Primary Election Types," accessed October 7, 2024
- ↑ Michigan.gov, "Questions and Answers: Michigan’s Presidential Primary," accessed October 7, 2024
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
- ↑ Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023
- ↑ Progressive Party