Michigan's 10th Congressional District election, 2024 (August 6 Democratic primary)

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2026
2022
Michigan's 10th Congressional District
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: April 23, 2024
Primary: August 6, 2024
General: November 5, 2024
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m.
Voting in Michigan
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Lean Republican
DDHQ and The Hill: Toss-up
Inside Elections: Lean Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024
See also
Michigan's 10th Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th
Michigan elections, 2024
U.S. Congress elections, 2024
U.S. Senate elections, 2024
U.S. House elections, 2024

A Democratic Party primary took place on August 6, 2024, in Michigan's 10th Congressional District to determine which Democratic candidate would run in the district's general election on November 5, 2024.

Carl Marlinga advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Michigan District 10.

All 435 seats were up for election. At the time of the election, Republicans had a 220 to 212 majority with three vacancies.[1] As of June 2024, 45 members of the U.S. House had announced they were not running for re-election. To read more about the U.S. House elections taking place this year, click here.

In the 2022 election in this district, the Republican candidate won 48.8%-48.3%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Donald Trump (R) would have defeated Joe Biden (D) 49.8%-48.8%.[2]

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
April 23, 2024
August 6, 2024
November 5, 2024


A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. Primaries are state-level and local-level elections that take place prior to a general election. Michigan utilizes an open primary system, in which registered voters do not have to be members of a party to vote in that party's primary.[3][4]

This page focuses on Michigan's 10th Congressional District Democratic primary. For more in-depth information on the district's Republican primary and the general election, see the following pages:

Candidates and election results

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Michigan District 10

Carl Marlinga defeated Diane Young, Tiffany Tilley, and Emily Busch in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Michigan District 10 on August 6, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Carl Marlinga
Carl Marlinga
 
48.8
 
32,561
Image of Diane Young
Diane Young Candidate Connection
 
24.4
 
16,282
Image of Tiffany Tilley
Tiffany Tilley
 
13.3
 
8,861
Image of Emily Busch
Emily Busch Candidate Connection
 
12.8
 
8,541
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.7
 
464

Total votes: 66,709
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.

Image of Emily Busch

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Democratic Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography "I’m Emily Busch, a mom and gun safety advocate from Michigan. I’m running for office because almost three years ago my son ran for his life during a mass shooting at his high school. After nearly 25 years working in sales in and around Southeast Michigan, my personal and professional life changed overnight on November 30, 2021 when a 15 year old walked into Oxford High School and opened fire on his classmates. I was immediately compelled the step off the sidelines and begin organizing families, friends, and neighbors to advocate for commonsense gun safety measures to be taken at the state level in Michigan. We successfully passed a legislative blueprint for gun violence prevention in Michigan not long after, and now I’m running for Congress because I’m motivated to bring my advocacy and commitment to gun violence prevention to the federal level. Prior to running for Congress, I earned my Bachelor’s degree in Biology from Indiana University - Bloomington and my Master’s degree in Management, Strategy, and Leadership from the Eli Broad College of Business at Michigan State University. I’m married to a retired union firefighter and Marine, and we have two children. I am running for office because our kids deserve better, and when I make it to Washington I promise to fight for the families of Southeast Michigan and families around the country as hard as I do my own."


Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.


Shootings like the Oxford High School tragedy that claimed the lives of 4 children and injured 7 others are a symptom of a uniquely American problem; guns are the leading cause of death for children in the US. Despite the devastating loss of life and the aftermath of these shootings, Republicans consistently block gun safety measures that could prevent these atrocities from occurring. We need immediate and decisive legislative action at the federal level to address this crisis. I know firsthand the devastation that gun violence inflicts on our communities, and I promise to be a relentless advocate for gun safety and expanding mental healthcare when I get to the U.S. Congress. Our prolonged inaction is killing our kids.


It has been two years since the fall of Roe vs. Wade. Since then Republicans have introduced 380+ bills attacking reproductive care with 21 states restricting/banning abortion. MAGA Republicans have already devastated women and families with their extremist anti-choice agenda, and with attacks on IVF, birth control, and more, we’ve already seen evidence that they won’t stop at a national abortion ban. We cannot afford to let young people today grow up with fewer rights than folks my age had growing up. I have been unequivocally pro-choice my entire life, and I promise I will be a tireless advocate for our reproductive freedom in Congress. We can’t and we won't let extremists dictate our healthcare choices.


We have strong unions in this country not because of politicians who walked picket lines, but because of working people who saw a problem, rolled up their sleeves, and fought to fix it. As the only candidate in this race relying on benefits negotiated by a union, this isn’t just a talking point for me — I understand its importance because my family depends on it. My husband is a retired union firefighter, and I see firsthand how vital union support is to our family's well-being. I am proud to live in a state that overturned an egregious anti-union “right to work law,” and with our nation’s labor movement and the future of workers rights reaching a pivotal point, I believe we need to elect more pro-union leaders to meet the moment.

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Michigan District 10 in 2024.

Image of Carl Marlinga

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Democratic Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: 

  • Macomb County Prosecutor (1985-2004)
  • 16th Judicial Circuit Court Judge (2017-2022)

Biography:  Marlinga received a bachelor's degree from the University of Detroit and a law degree from the University of Michigan Law School. Before running for Congress, he was an attorney and a judge.



Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.


Marlinga ran on his experience as a prosecutor and judge. His campaign website said: "I am proud to have served our community for 40 years as a tough on crime prosecutor and as a fair and commended judge who has cracked down on white-collar crime, stood up for seniors and protected our natural treasures. I dedicated my service to fighting for fairness, justice and protecting the rights of victims. I will continue to bring that FIGHT to Congress to ensure our justice system works equally for everyone."


Marlinga's campaign website said his top priority was protecting the Great Lakes: "It is our responsibility as well as my top priority to ensure our lakes and rivers are clean for generations to come. As the Macomb County Prosecutor, I fought to protect our national treasures and the lake is cleaner now because of some of those efforts but the commitment of the EPA and the state is not what it should be. I pledge to strengthen the EPA and clean up our waters while in Congress."


Marlinga said the reason he is running is because he wants to save democracy: "Jan. 6 of 2021 happened...I want to be in the House of Representatives on Jan. 6, 2025 ... I don’t want Donald Trump and his forces to hijack the election. Or if the election is thrown into the House, I don’t want there to be one more Republican vote, because I need to save democracy.”


Show sources

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Michigan District 10 in 2024.

Image of Diane Young

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Democratic Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography "I am a fiduciary financial planner, and I am running for the same reasons I became a financial planner in the first place: to help working class families succeed and to help them create an environment where they can pursue their dreams. Trust, integrity, and service have always been my core values since I began my career. I started out with a folding table and phonebook and grew my business into one of the largest woman-owned financial planning firms in the state. I have seen firsthand how reckless policymaking in Washington has adversely impacted working-class families and small businesses. I am committed to tackling our toughest problems: protecting Social Security and Medicare, defending reproductive freedom, fighting climate change, streamlining our tax code to give middle class families a break while ensuring that corporations pay their fair share."


Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.


I am committed to protecting Social Security. As a fiduciary financial planner, I understand how Social Security is the bedrock to retirement. I wholly support fully funding the program. I am committed to fighting any effort to raise the retirement age because doing so will significantly hurt working-class families that rely on their retirement benefits.


No politician, attorney general, or judge should be in your doctor’s office with you. I support reproductive freedom and I will do everything in my power to enshrine Roe v. Wade into law. I will support legislation that protects access to safe and reliable medications, contraceptives, and IVF treatments.


We need to protect our democracy by holding big corporations accountable. As a fiduciary financial planner, I work for my clients not for Wall Street. I believe that sunshine is the best disinfectant, and I support passage of legislation that ends Citizens United and eliminates dark money from our political process. I will go after corporations that aren’t paying their fair share and I will do everything in my power to help protect consumers in Congress.

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Michigan District 10 in 2024.

Voting information

See also: Voting in Michigan

Election information in Michigan: Aug. 6, 2024, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: Aug. 5, 2024
  • By mail: Received by July 22, 2024
  • Online: July 22, 2024

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

N/A

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: Aug. 5, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Aug. 2, 2024
  • Online: Aug. 2, 2024

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: Aug. 6, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Aug. 6, 2024

Was early voting available to all voters?

N/A

What were the early voting start and end dates?

July 27, 2024 to Aug. 4, 2024

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

7:00 a.m. - 8:00 p.m. (EST)


Campaign finance

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Emily Busch Democratic Party $514,531 $499,323 $15,208 As of December 31, 2024
Carl Marlinga Democratic Party $2,954,055 $2,925,342 $34,620 As of December 31, 2024
Tiffany Tilley Democratic Party $67,039 $63,184 $1,978 As of December 31, 2024
Diane Young Democratic Party $572,024 $569,284 $2,740 As of December 31, 2024

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.


Below was the map in use at the time of the election. Click the map below to enlarge it.

2025_01_03_mi_congressional_district_010.jpg
See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2024

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Michigan.

Michigan U.S. Senate competitiveness, 2014-2024
Office Districts/
offices
Seats Open seats Candidates Possible primaries Contested Democratic primaries Contested Republican primaries % of contested primaries Incumbents in contested primaries % of incumbents in contested primaries
2024 1 1 1 6 2 1 1 100.0% 0 N/A
2020 1 1 0 2 2 0 0 0.0% 0 N/A
2018 1 1 0 3 2 0 1 50.0% 0 N/A
2014 1 1 1 2 2 0 0 0.0% 0 N/A

U.S. House

Michigan U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024
Office Districts/
offices
Seats Open seats Candidates Possible primaries Contested Democratic primaries Contested Republican primaries % of contested primaries Incumbents in contested primaries % of incumbents in contested primaries
2024 13 13 2 43 26 6 6 46.2% 5 45.5%
2022 13 13 2 53 26 4 9 50.0% 7 58.3%
2020 14 14 1 55 28 7 8 53.6% 4 33.3%
2018 14 14 2 51 28 9 1 35.7% 1 9.1%
2016 14 14 2 38 28 3 3 21.4% 3 25.0%
2014 14 14 4 48 28 5 8 46.4% 6 60.0%

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Michigan in 2024. Information below was calculated on June 5, 2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

Forty-three candidates ran for Michigan’s 13 U.S. House districts, including 23 Democrats and 20 Republicans. That’s an average of 3.3 candidates per district.

The 43 candidates who ran in Michigan in 2024 was the fewest number of candidates since 2016, when 38 candidates ran.

The 7th and 8th Congressional Districts were open in 2024. Between 2014 and 2022, an average of 2.2 districts were open per year.

Incumbent Rep. Elissa Slotkin (D-07) did not run for re-election because she ran for the U.S. Senate. Rep. Dan Kildee (D-08) retired from public office.

Six candidates—three Democrats and three Republicans—ran for the open 8th Congressional District, the most candidates who ran for a seat in Michigan in 2024.

Twelve primaries—six Democratic and six Republican—were contested in 2024. Between 2014 and 2022, an average of 11.4 primaries were contested per year.

Five incumbents—three Democrats and two Republicans—were in contested primaries in 2024. Between 2014 and 2022, an average of 4.2 incumbents ran in contested primaries.

Candidates filed to run in the Republican and Democratic primaries in all 13 districts, meaning no seats were guaranteed to either party.

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+3. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 3 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Michigan's 10th the 207th most Republican district nationally.[5]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in Michigan's 10th based on 2024 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
48.8% 49.8%

Inside Elections Baselines

See also: Inside Elections

Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[6] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.

Inside Elections Baseline for 2024
Democratic Baseline Democratic Party Republican Baseline Republican Party Difference
52.4 45.0 R+7.3

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Michigan, 2020

Michigan presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 13 Democratic wins
  • 17 Republican wins
  • 1 other win
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party R R R P[7] R R R R D D R D R R R D D D R R R R R D D D D D D R D
See also: Party control of Michigan state government

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Michigan's congressional delegation as of May 2024.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Michigan
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 2 6 8
Republican 0 7 7
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 13 15

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Michigan's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.

State executive officials in Michigan, May 2024
Office Officeholder
Governor Democratic Party Gretchen Whitmer
Lieutenant Governor Democratic Party Garlin Gilchrist II
Secretary of State Democratic Party Jocelyn Benson
Attorney General Democratic Party Dana Nessel

State legislature

Michigan State Senate

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 20
     Republican Party 18
     Other 0
     Vacancies 0
Total 38

Michigan House of Representatives

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 54
     Republican Party 54
     Other 0
     Vacancies 2
Total 110

Trifecta control

The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.

Michigan Party Control: 1992-2024
Two years of Democratic trifectas  •  Fourteen years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Governor R R R R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R D D D D D D
Senate R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R D D
House D S S R R D D R R R R R R R R D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R D D

Ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Michigan in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Michigan, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Michigan U.S. House Democratic or Republican 1,000-2,000 N/A 4/23/2024 Source
Michigan U.S. House Unaffiliated 3,000-6,000 N/A 7/18/2024 Source

See also

External links

Footnotes


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
District 9
District 10
District 11
District 12
District 13
Democratic Party (8)
Republican Party (7)