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Michigan's 11th Congressional District election (August 7, 2018 Republican primary)
- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 9
- Early voting: N/A
- Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 6
- Online registration: No
- Same-day registration: No
- Voter ID: Photo ID requested
- Poll times: 7:00 a.m. to 8:00 p.m.
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| Michigan's 11th Congressional District |
|---|
 |
| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: April 24, 2018 |
| Primary: August 7, 2018 General: November 6, 2018 Pre-election incumbent: David Trott (Republican) |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in Michigan |
| Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Lean Democratic Inside Elections: Tilt Democratic Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Democratic |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018 |
| See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th • 13th • 14th • 13th (special) Michigan elections, 2018 U.S. Congress elections, 2018 U.S. Senate elections, 2018 U.S. House elections, 2018 |
On August 7, Republican voters decided businesswoman Lena Epstein would run to defend the vulnerable suburban Detroit seat being vacated by David Trott (R).
Epstein was the top fundraiser, bringing in more than $1.6 million through contributions and self-funding. She was a co-chair of Trump’s 2016 Michigan campaign and emphasized her opposition to DACA recipients receiving a pathway to citizenship as well as her support for repealing the Affordable Care Act and maintaining the U.S.-Israeli relationship.[1]
The endorsement leader was state Sen. Mike Kowall. According to the Detroit Free Press, he was the choice of local Republican leaders and would likely be ideologically similar to Trott.[2][3] Like Trott, Kowall supported a pathway to citizenship for Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA) recipients not dependent on funding for President Trump’s border wall and limits on legal immigration.[4] He also supported limiting Russian economic expansion and criticized Trump for calling Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau "weak" after the June 2018 G-7 Summit.[5][6]
State Rep. Klint Kesto, the second-highest fundraiser, made headlines for leading the Michigan House of Representatives' legislative response to the Larry Nassar sexual abuse scandal at Michigan State University.[7] In addition to opposing a pathway to citizenship for DACA recipients, Kesto's campaign website emphasized his support for renegotiating international trade agreements, addressing the opioid crisis, and combatting the Islamic State.[8]
Former state Rep. Rocky Raczkowski was fourth in fundraising. He said he would be an accessible congressman for his constituents and held nearly 60 townhalls while on the campaign trail.[6]
Kerry Bentivolio, who represented the 11st District from 2013-2014 before being defeated by Trott in a Republican primary, also ran. He said he was an effective representative and wanted to bring a common person's voice to Congress. He had raised less than $30,000 as of the second quarter of 2018.[6]
Trump and Mitt Romney (R) won the district in 2016 and 2012, respectively, but Barack Obama won it in 2008. Election forecasters rate it a “Toss-up.”
Election results
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Michigan District 11
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ |  | Lena Epstein | 30.9 | 26,925 |
 | Rocky Raczkowski | 25.5 | 22,216 | |
 | Mike Kowall | 18.4 | 16,011 | |
 | Klint Kesto | 14.0 | 12,213 | |
 | Kerry Bentivolio | 11.3 | 9,831 | |
| Total votes: 87,196 | |||
 = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Kurt Heise (R)
- Kristine Bonds (R)
Candidates
The candidates listed here raised $100,000 or more in the first quarter of 2018 or were mentioned as top candidates by media outlets
Kerry Bentivolio
Former U.S. Rep. Kerry Bentivolio ran to reclaim the 11th District after David Trott defeated him in the 2014 Republican primary. He was first elected to represent the 11th District in 2012 with the support of libertarian Republicans Ron Paul, Rand Paul, and Justin Amash. After losing to Trott in 2014, he ran unsuccessfully as a write-in candidate in the 2014 general election and as an independent candidate in the 2016 general election.
His 2018 campaign themes emphasized his record in Congress from 2013-2014 and said he owed "no favors or IOUs to anyone for past political office."[9]
His experience includes serving in the United States Military, working as a social studies teacher, and working as a design engineer in the automotive industry. He received his bachelor's and master's degrees from Michigan State University.
Lena Epstein
Businesswoman Lena Epstein mostly self-funded her run for Congress and tied herself to President Donald Trump after serving as a co-chair of his Michigan campaign in 2016.[10] She had been running for U.S. Senate in 2018 before switching to the 11st District House race.[11]
Her campaign themes were changing the tax code to create economic growth, giving families flexibility in education choice, repealing and replacing the Affordable Care Act, and maintaining a strong relationship with Israel.[12]
Her professional experience includes co-owning her family's business, Vesco Oil Corporation, a distributor of automotive and industrial lubricants. She received her bachelor's degree from Harvard University and her M.B.A. from the University of Michigan.[13]
Klint Kesto
The first Chaldean-American elected to the Michigan House of Representatives, Klint Kesto ran for Congress by emphasizing his support for repealing the Affordable Care Act, defunding Planned Parenthood, abolishing sanctuary jurisdictions, ending corporate subsidies, and increasing investments in the military and veterans.[14] As of the first quarter of 2018, he was the top Republican fundraiser behind Lena Epstein.
Kesto gained media attention in 2018 when he headed up the state House's effort to respond to revelations that Dr. Larry Nassar sexually abused hundreds of gymnasts while working at Michigan State University.[7]
Kesto was first elected to the Michigan state House in 2012. Prior to running for office, he served as an assistant prosecutor for Wayne County, worked as a lawyer, and owned a business.
Mike Kowall
State Sen. Mike Kowall ran for Congress by emphasizing his ties to the 11st Congressional District. His major issues were creating an Autonomous Vehicle Caucus in the U.S. House, increasing investments in the military and veterans, increasing border security, making the individual tax cuts from the 2017 Republican tax bill permanent, and responding to threats from terrorism.[15]
He was the only Republican candidate to say he supported a pathway to citizenship for persons who entered the country without legal permission as children. He said he would likely have preferred a straight vote on the DREAM Act without tying it to other immigration measures sought by President Trump like a border wall and limits on legal immigration.[4]
Kowall was endorsed by Oakland County Executive L. Brooks Patterson, a "major figure in the local GOP establishment" and supporter of David Trott according to Detroit Free Press.[16] He was also endorsed by former candidate Kurt Heise, who said Kowell would have the support of the political establishment in Oakland and Wayne counties and would be able to appeal to independent voters.[17]
Kowell was first elected to the Michigan State Senate in 2010 and became the majority floor leader. Prior to that, he served as president of Accurate Woodworking, Inc.[18]
Rocky Raczkowski
Former state Rep. Andrew "Rocky" Raczkowski ran for Congress by emphasizing what he described as his leadership qualities and expertise on domestic and foreign policy issues.[19] According to his campaign website, he was different from his opponents due to his parents immigration from Poland following World War II, his military and business experience, his tenure in the state legislature, and his transparency on policy issues.[20]
Raczkowski was first elected to the state legislature in 1996. He unsuccessfully ran for the Michigan State Senate in 2014, the U.S. House in 2010, and the U.S. Senate in 2002.[21] He served in the United States Army and was deployed to Iraq in the early 2000s. His professional experience includes owning Imperium Logistics.[11] He received his bachelor's degree from Eastern Michigan University, his master's degree from Central Michigan University, and his J.D. from Michigan State University.[19]
List of all candidates
Republican primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
Timeline
- August 1, 2018: A Mitchell Research & Communications poll commissioned by Michigan Information Research Services found Lena Epstein with 27 percent, Rocky Raczkowski with 18 percent, Kerry Bentivolio with 14 percent, Klint Kesto with 11 percent, and Mike Kowall with 10 percent.
- August 1, 2018: An EPIC-MRA poll commissioned by The Detroit Free Press found Lena Epstein with 26 percent, Rocky Raczkowski with 19 percent, Klint Kesto with 12 percent, Mike Kowall with 8 percent, and Kerry Bentivolio with 7 percent. Twenty-eight percent of voters were undecided.
- July 27, 2018: The Detroit Free Press endorsed Mike Kowall.
- July 18, 2018: Campaign finance disclosures showed Lena Epstein had raised more than $1.6 million and had nearly $300,000 in cash on hand, Klint Kesto had raised more than $490,000 and had about $16,000 in cash on hand, Mike Kowall had raised about $290,000 and had more than $125,000 in cash on hand, Rocky Raczkowski had raised nearly $220,000 and had nearly $115,000 in cash on hand, and Kerry Bentivolio had raised more than $30,000 and had about $800 in cash on hand.
- July 12, 2018: The Detroit News endorsed Lena Epstein.
- June 30, 2018: Campaign finance disclosures from the second quarter of 2018 showed that Lena Epstein had raised more than $1.6 million and had about $660,000 in cash on hand, Klint Kesto raised about $429,000 and had about $20,000 in cash on hand, Mike Kowall raised about $272,000 and had about $138,000 in cash on hand, Rocky Raczkowski raised about $218,000 and had about $145,000 in cash on hand, and Kerry Bentivolio raised about $28,000 and had $86 in cash on hand.
- June 28, 2018: The Detroit Regional Chamber endorsed Mike Kowall.
- March 31, 2018: Campaign finance disclosures from the first quarter of 2018 showed the following:
- Lena Epstein had raised nearly $1.5 million and had more than $1 million in cash on hand.
- Klint Kesko had raised more than $250,000 and had more than $100,000 in cash on hand.
- Rocky Raczkowski had raised nearly $200,000 and had more than $175,000 in cash on hand.
- Mike Kowall had raised nearly $160,000 and had more than $130,000 in cash on hand.
- Kerry Bentivolio had raised nearly $20,000 and had about $3,500 in cash on hand.
- February 22, 2018: Oakland County Executive L. Brooks Patterson endorsed Mike Kowall.
- February 13, 2018: Kurt Heise dropped out of the race and endorsed Mike Kowall.
- January 8, 2018: The candidates met for a debate. See full coverage here.
Campaign finance
The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.
| Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Greimel | Democratic Party | $1,018,678 | $1,016,016 | $2,662 | As of December 31, 2018 |
| Suneel Gupta | Democratic Party | $1,482,709 | $1,478,979 | $3,730 | As of December 31, 2018 |
| Fayrouz Saad | Democratic Party | $769,824 | $764,190 | $4,875 | As of September 30, 2018 |
| Nancy Skinner | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Haley Stevens | Democratic Party | $4,199,607 | $4,184,089 | $15,518 | As of December 31, 2018 |
| Kerry Bentivolio | Republican Party | $37,274 | $34,656 | $1,017 | As of December 31, 2018 |
| Lena Epstein | Republican Party | $2,723,099 | $2,675,140 | $47,958 | As of December 31, 2018 |
| Klint Kesto | Republican Party | $649,799 | $649,799 | $0 | As of October 15, 2018 |
| Mike Kowall | Republican Party | $325,931 | $325,931 | $0 | As of September 30, 2018 |
| Rocky Raczkowski | Republican Party | $241,810 | $241,910 | $0 | As of December 31, 2018 |
| Leonard Schwartz | Libertarian Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Cooper Nye | Independent | $6,877 | $6,877 | $0 | As of November 16, 2018 |
|
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2018. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
|||||
Satellite spending
- Americans United For Values spent $15,424 on August 2, with $7,712 supporting Mike Kowall and $7,712 opposing Lena Epstein.
Endorsements
Lena Epstein
- The Detroit News[22]
- VIEW PAC[23]
- Susan B. Anthony List[24]
- Mark Huizenga, mayor of Walker[25]
- Maggie's List[26]
Mike Kowall
- The Detroit Free Press[27]
- Detroit Regional Chamber[28]
- Kurt Heise, Plymouth Township supervisor and former state representative[29]
- L. Brooks Patterson, Oakland County executive[30]
| Click [show] to see more endorsements | |||
|---|---|---|---|
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Campaign advertisements
Klint Kesto
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Kerry Bentivolio
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Lena Epstein
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Polls
- See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
| Michigan's 11th Congressional District Republican primary, 2018 | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | Poll sponsor | Lena Epstein | Rocky Raczkowski | Klint Kesto | Mike Kowall | Kerry Bentivolio | Undecided | Margin of error | Sample size | ||||||||||
| Mitchell Research & Communications (July 30, 2018) | Michigan Information Research Services | 27% | 18% | 11% | 10% | 14% | 20% | +/-5.0 | 305 | ||||||||||
| EPIC-MRA (July 23 - 24, 2018) | The Detroit Free Press | 26% | 19% | 12% | 8% | 7% | 28% | +/-3.7 | 700 | ||||||||||
| AVERAGES | 26.5% | 18.5% | 11.5% | 9% | 10.5% | 24% | +/-4.35 | 502.5 | |||||||||||
| Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org. | |||||||||||||||||||
Noteworthy events
Epstein fundraiser cancelled
On June 22, Lena Epstein was notified that a June 27 fundraising event she planned to hold at Franklin Hills Country Club was canceled. Epstein said the cancellation was due to her support for President Donald Trump.
According to Epstein, the club member who called to tell her the event was being canceled mentioned that her political views were part of the reason why. The member also cited security concerns. The club held a fundraising event for Suneel Gupta (D) in May 2018.
“I’m never been bashful about my support for the president but have never shamed anyone for disagreeing with me,” Epstein said. “I will not let this unfortunate deter situation deter me from continuing to support the president or fighting for the people of southeast Michigan.”
Epstein's announcement came days after White House Press Secretary Sarah Huckabee Sanders said she was asked to leave a restaurant in Lexington, Virginia, due to her work for the Trump administration.
Kerry Bentivolio called for all Republican candidates to suspend their campaigns for one day and protest the club's decision.[32] He held the protest on July 2.[33]
Bentivolio lawsuit against Raczkowski
In May 2018, Kerry Bentivolio filed a lawsuit against Rocky Raczkowski for $10 million, alleging that Raczkowski had said that Bentivolio's military record was fabricated at political gatherings.
Raczkowski, also a veteran, said the lawsuit was frivolous and that he expected it to be dismissed.[34] He did say that he had questioned Bentivolio's claims that he received five medals while serving--a Silver Star, two Bronze Stars and three Purple Hearts. According to the '"Detroit Free Press, Bentivolio actually received a Vietnam Campaign Medal with two Bronze Stars.
Bentivolio's lawyer denied that Bentivolio claimed to have received five medals and said that Raczkowski fabricated the story.[35]
Campaign themes and policy stances
Kerry Bentivolio
Bentivolio’s campaign website stated the following:
| “ |
2nd Amendment A well regulated Militia, being necessary to the security of a free State, the right of the people to keep and bear Arms, shall not be infringed. This amendment is simply stated, short and to the point.Congressman Bentivolio since taking his oath when joining the military then again as a United States Congressman will always defend this precious document as it is written. Pro-Life The hard truth is, this is a child and at times that human child is 7-8 and 9 months old when physicians slaughter the child as a matter of convenience for the mother. Congressman Kerry Bentivolio believes that many of these horrific acts could be prevented with more options for the young mother who feels trapped. The Congressman seeks to create a national discussion about these options such as homes that care for young mothers who have no other options. Because of the Congressman’s deep abiding Christian faith, Congressman Bentivolio is a strong supporter of creating safety nets for women and will always support life over this tragedy known as abortion. We must do more to protect the innocent and those who cannot defend themselves. Human Trafficking Congressman Kerry Bentivolio is the only candidate running in the 11th District who signed a Pledge to fulfill his Oath to Protect and Defend the U. S. Constitution and enforce ZERO TOLERANCE for any religious group or a theocracy that promotes or sanctions criminal activity such as: Human Trafficking Polygamy Female Genital Mutilation Pedophilia Honor Violence No-fault Rape Child Marriage Sedition Mass Murder Extreme Punishment for Apostasy and Blasphemy Congressman Kerry Bentivolio has and will demand even-handed enforcement of the law by fully trained investigators, prosecutors, judges and jurists. In addition, Congressman Kerry Bentivolio will insist that people who work with women and children are fully trained to recognize indicators of religious or theocratic sanctioned crimes. Children should be fully protected from bad actors on our streets, in our shopping malls, in their own homes and in the classroom. Health Care Congressman Bentivolio believes that “ALL AMERICANS” should have access to quality healthcare. However, Universal healthcare is simply unaffordable for the United States. To implement something of this nature for our nation, it would cost literally ‘Trillions of Tax Dollars,’ and most likely this would end up being debt that our grandchildren would be forced to pay, not to mention much higher income tax rates. Congressman Bentivolio believes there are better solutions. We can work with Medicare and Medicaid to cover the uninsurable. By working with the President on opening up insurance sales across state lines, this will drastically lower premium cost as now the companies are forced to “bid, to earn your business.” The bottom line is, the president wants to rid our nation of Obamacare, the congressman wants to rid our nation of Obamacare, and the 11th District of Michigan wants to rid our nation of Obamacare. Congressman Bentivolio has experience working across party lines to solve problems, and this is clearly a case of where “EXPERIENCE MATTERS” to solve a massive problem for our nation. The Economy Now we must bring many of these jobs to Michigan! Congressman Bentivolio first introduced regulation slashing in a bill to Congress back in 2014. He knew then what must happen to create good jobs for Michigan. Today, the Congressman is ready, willing and able to fight for many of these jobs returning to our shores from overseas. As of today, over 70 of the largest companies on the planet have announced that they are bringing millions of these jobs back and along with it, hundreds of billions of dollars in capital investments. Michigan needs to be on the front line fighting for these investments for our future. Congressman Bentivolio has already proven he can do this and this is why “EXPERIENCE MATTERS” when electing our representatives to Washington. Civil Liberties Our civil rights are the cornerstone of our society. The United States is unique in the history of world. We are not unique because we have the most powerful military today or because we have the largest economy today. Many countries before us held those distinctions. We are unique, however, because our Constitution enshrines the rights of the people as inalienable. Our rights, the Constitution says, are not given by the Constitution, but come from God, come from our nature, and are to be protected by the Constitution. Thus, the Constitution declares that every individual should have the same right. Amendments 13, 14, 15, 19, and 26 rightly ended slavery, established equal protection under the law, and guaranteed everyone but aliens, felons, and minors the right to vote. We have rights as individuals, not as groups. We have the right as law-abiding citizens to be free from government invading our privacy. We have the right to protest. The freedom of speech is vital to our society. Where speech is controlled, ideas are controlled, and thus, people are controlled. Any free society must reject that. To do anything else would lead us down a slippery slope toward tyranny. As Congressman, I will oppose any measures to regulate speech on the Internet, or to license and regulate the behavior of Internet service providers (ISPs). And I firmly oppose “equal time” regulations to control political speech. The Constitution makes no distinction between what is good and bad protesting. It makes no value judgments. It is what it is, and I must stand by in defense of the freedom of speech, even for those people who I strongly oppose. We have the right as individuals to engage in political speech free from restriction and intimidation. We have the right as individuals to join a union, or refrain from doing so. We have the right, as individuals, to our life, our liberty, and our property. These are our natural rights, and we must defend them. As your Congressman my primary duty is to protect those God given rights, NOT take them away. Our Republic Yet the federal government has an incredible amount of influence over our lives, and it is only getting more intrusive. The 10th Amendment of the US Constitution makes it clear that the Federal Government is not all-powerful. It has limits. In particular, any right that the Federal Government has not been explicitly granted is reserved for either the States or the people. Our founders clarified this so that the Federal Government would not create so much inertia that we would lose the independent identities of the several States and so that we would not lose the ability to use the States as laboratories for legal experimentation.Yet, inertia has won out . . . for now. Activist judges have artificially increased the supposed meaning of the Commerce Clause and other powers to create an unimaginable scope of federal control. Our founders would be appalled by the ever-increasing size and scope of centralized interference in our lives. As a Congressman, I will scrutinize legislation that abuses the commerce power or other federal powers. I will seek to return more power to the States and to the people. I will seek to return power to the states, and to the people, where it belongs. I will do all possible to persuade the Senate to vet judicial candidates carefully to ensure they understand and appreciate the limits of federal power under the 10th Amendment. America's Energy One thing that both sides can agree on is we all want clean air, we all want clean water, and we do not want to pollute our environment. Nobody wants that, including Congressman Bentivolio. The Congressman believes in an “All of the Above” approach. Over the past several years, our nation has made great strides in diversifying our energy usage. Several automanufacturers have all but perfected the use of battery power. Solar companies have made great strides in utilizing this source of power to heat homes and provide electricity. These are just a few of the means by which we can continue to grow into for clean energy as a nation in the future. However, until we are able to utilize these means and others sufficiently, we must still use coal and oil to run our nation. The Congressman was in full agreement with the President when he opened up drilling expansion, and this has for the time in over a half-century allowed America to get out from under the punitive economic hammer of Saudi Arabia and other Mid-East nations. The Congressman believes and will continue to support the exploration of alternative energy sources, but until we can (as a nation) fulfill all our needs, we still have to remain practical with what is available. |
” |
| —Kerry Bentivolio’s campaign website (2018)[37] | ||
Ballotpedia survey responses
- See also: Ballotpedia's candidate surveys
Kerry Bentivolio participated in Ballotpedia's candidate survey on January 2, 2018. The survey questions appear in bold, and Kerry Bentivolio's responses follow below.[38]
What would be your top three priorities, if elected?
| “ | 1.) Strengthen our national borders |
” |
What areas of public policy are you personally passionate about? Why?
| “ | Illegal immigration, Transparency, following Constitutional Principles, protecting individual rightsCite error: Invalid <ref> tag; invalid names, e.g. too many[36]
|
” |
Ballotpedia also asked the candidate a series of optional questions. Kerry Bentivolio answered the following:
Who do you look up to? Whose example would you like to follow, and why?
| “ | George Washington: Served as a duty to Country and not for sake of power. Ronald Reagan: He SERVED for the right reasons too.[36] | ” |
| “ | Book: Bible Films: August Rush (Listening to the world's music). Saving Private Ryan: "To earn this!"[36] | ” |
| “ | Integrity, Transparency, Selfless service.[36] | ” |
| “ | I served in the 113th Congress earning a Taxpayer's Award from the Taxpayer Union, I earned 100% rating from Citizen's Council Against Government Waste. I earned Guardian of Small Business Award from the NFIB, and passed 3 pieces of legislation with 100% Bi-partisan support. Reference the Congressional Record 2014. "A House historian said Rep. Bentivolio was the most successful congressman in recent years..." My Safe and Secure Federal Websites Act received over 124 co-sponsors (a record for a first term Republican Congressman). I have a record of success unmatched by most. I earned 2 Constituent Awards for my service to my district and each Bill I sponsored came from ideas and suggestions from my constituents-NOT DC lobbyists.[36] | ” |
| “ | Hard work, dedication, actually reading the Bills. Listening. Remembering the job is not about yourself. IT IS ABOUT REPRESENTING average folks.[36] | ” |
| “ | Honest selfless servant who did the job as it should be done. Representation by example.[36] | ” |
| “ | As an Infantry rifleman I was promoted to sergeant at 18 years old.[36] | ” |
| “ | Newspaper boy for the Detroit Free Press (mornings-before school) and Detroit News (afternoons after school). 2 years[36] | ” |
| “ | I saw a girl I had a crush on at the other table. I ended up marrying the girl at the other table. We've been married for 40 years plus![36] | ” |
| “ | Christmas: Birth of Christ. Santa Claus and friends helped me out once.[36] | ” |
| “ | Ecological Imperialism: The Biological expansion of Europe by Alfred Crosby. Discusses the effects of trade, i.e. the Columbus Exchange and its consequences in history.[36] | ” |
| “ | Superman: Mild mannered super hero fighting evil[36] | ” |
| “ | Computer: Keeps me in touch with the real world.[36] | ” |
| “ | Songs from the Wizard of Oz, especially the Scarecrow's song when I think of certain people and how they don't do their homework.[36] | ” |
| “ | I don't like bully's or selfish people.[36] | ” |
| “ | It is the "People's House" not the "Lobbyist's House"![36] | ” |
| “ | No. Anyone who has their heart in the right place, works and studies hard, has integrity and dedicated to finding truth (the hardest thing to find in DC is truth) and avoiding the trappings of "special-ness" can do the job.[36] | ” |
| “ | Secure borders, debt, education, maintaining a strong defense and staying out of war. Human trafficking is a major concern to me.[36] | ” |
| “ | I served on Oversight and Government Reform (OGR) and Small Business. I'd like to stay on OGR and serve on 1. Transportation or 2. Education. And any committee investigating human trafficking.[36] | ” |
| “ | Yes, 3 would be better.[36] | ” |
| “ | I signed on to serve no more than 3 terms if re-elected.[36] | ” |
| “ | Bi-partisanship if such a thing exists these days.[36] | ” |
| “ | Speaker of the House. I would like to see "Read the Bills Act and Single Issue Bills passed.[36] | ” |
| “ | Rep. Jim Jordan (OH) is an outstanding, fair minded honest congressman. We voted much the same way.[36] | ” |
| “ | I was invited to lunch by a constituent who showed me a video on his laptop. It was a porno film. I tried to walk away when he explained it was his daughter who went to Florida on a Spring Break and never came home. They found her drugged and murdered. Human Trafficking is a major issue. Two ladies came to me to discuss their children who overdosed and died. The drug problem in this country is growing and needs to be addressed. The quality and effectiveness of vaccines needs to be investigated.[36] | ” |
Lena Epstein
Epstein’s campaign website stated the following:
| “ |
My positions on a number of issues are defined by my experiences as an automotive industry business leader, wife, and mother. I co-own and manage Vesco Oil Corporation, my family’s 3rd generation distributorship. Our company employs over 200 people, and 90% of our business in based in Michigan. I have the unique perspective of a job creator, rather than that of a career politician. I was also the Co-Chairman of the Donald J. Trump for President campaign in Michigan. Along the campaign trail, I saw firsthand how Michigan voters were inspired by his message to “Make America Great Again” and to protect our jobs with America First policies. As a proud and unapologetic conservative, I will fight for what’s most important to the people of Michigan’s 11th congressional district: Economic growth and opportunity: As a fiscal conservative, I will rein in excessive government spending, fight to reform the tax code to spur job creation and grow the economy, and let working families keep more of the money they earn. High quality education: We must have an education system in place that allows all our children to succeed and gives families the flexibility to choose what works best for their families- whether it’s in high performing public schools, at private schools or homeschools, all our children deserve an equal opportunity to reach their full potential. Affordable and sustainable health care: Congress must repeal and replace Obamacare, and ensure Americans have access to care at affordable rates. Support for the U.S.-Israel relationship: I am staunchly pro-Israel and will work tirelessly to strengthen the relationship between our two great nations. I will inspire our state and our country with a positive vision of the future. We can have an America that allows every person – regardless of background – the opportunity to succeed. I will represent every Michigan citizen as we work tirelessly to unite behind our shared ideals of freedom, safety, and opportunity for our families. I support our President, because a successful American Presidency leads to a successful America. |
” |
| —Lena Epstein’s campaign website (2018)[40] | ||
Klint Kesto
Kesto’s campaign website stated the following:
| “ |
Conservative Change Conservative change means supporting small businesses, ending corporate welfare, and no more picking winners and losers from Washington, D.C. Conservative change means crushing ISIS, standing up for Israel, funding a strong military to protect us, and standing up for our veterans who’ve sacrificed so much for us. Four things to know about Klint Kesto Klint has the guts to tackle the issues others are too politically correct to take on, like welfare reform, banning Sanctuary Cities, and protecting religious freedom Klint has been doing some swamp-draining of his own in Lansing by handcuffing unaccountable bureaucrats and reining in out-of-control judges. The son of Christian immigrants who fled religious persecution in the Middle East, Klint would be the first ever Christian Chaldean American elected to Congress, and would work to crush ISIS and radical terrorists while protecting freedom and democracy in our country and across the world. Tax Reform Entitlement Reform With regards to Social Security, I have proposed allowing people to stop paying into social security after age 62, and stop paying federal taxes on income after 65, thereby allowing people to work as long as they want. This would allow them to keep more of what they earn and keep working as long as they want and not be penalized for working. Healthcare Immigration Reform We also need to use technology more efficiently to ensure that the individuals we are allowing through our borders as residents are going to be productive members of society. One way would be to go back to the requirement that immigrants have a sponsor. This would create a safety net with family and friends which would be more effective. As for DACA and pathways to citizenship, these individuals came here not through their own choice; they were just children. Yet they still entered the country illegally. There should not be a pathway to citizenship for these individuals, but rather a different, legal, permanent status. Foreign Affairs When there is an immediate military threat, the President should be allowed to defend us. But when the President wants to make a declaration of war, Congress should decide. The military should also be allowed to be sent by the President into areas to help with disasters and humanitarian efforts when it is in our national interest to do so. Iran The Iran Nuclear deal was a terrible deal from the start because one result of lifting sanctions on Iran resulted in the increase of Iran’s military presence in Syria, the sunset provisions on uranium enrichment and other key components of nuclear arms development will result in Iran ultimately being able to develop nuclear weapons. That would be disastrous for Israel and the entire region. The larger regional issues with Iran continue to be one of the greatest challenges to the national security of the United States and Israel. Paris Climate Accord The Paris Climate Accord was bad for American businesses and families that rely on affordable energy. The Accord will have a very minimal impact on climate change, especially when foreign countries do not abide by the terms of the agreement. Trade Opioid Crisis 1) More incentives and better electronic record management needs to be encouraged and available across state lines; 2) Comprehensive treatment facilities that will address the addiction, and physical and mental health issues that contribute to the use and dependency on these drugs; 3) Ensuring that our pharmacists have more control over prescribing these drugs, where fraud is suspected; 4) Making sure that people have a variety of ways available to dispose of unused medicines; 5) Swift and immediate prosecution of professionals who abuse their licenses and illegally provide opioids to patients they know do not need them medically; 6) Incentivizing the FDA to continue research and approval of alternative medicines for pain management. Transportation and Infrastructure |
” |
| —Klint Kesto’s campaign website (2018)[41] | ||
Mike Kowall
Kowall’s campaign website stated the following:
| “ |
Autonomous Vehicles In the State Senate, I’ve been at the forefront of efforts to expand autonomous vehicles, authoring a new law that will help provide safer transportation, better mobility and a stronger economy. My legislation will expand research and testing so that we can get autonomous vehicles to market quickly and safely. Advances in technology will allow Michigan’s auto industry to lead the world, creating more jobs for our workers. In Congress, I will form an Autonomous Vehicle Caucus, bringing together fellow policy-makers interested in driving this important part of our future economy. Foreign Policy I support a strong U.S. foreign policy that stands with our allies, holds rogue nations accountable, and aggressively combats terrorism. I will stand with Israel – one of our most steadfast allies – and defend them from threats in the region. I will hold Iran, North Korea, and Syria accountable and support sanctions where necessary. And I will support efforts to curb Chinese and Russian economic expansion throughout the globe. A strong foreign policy must be backed by a strong military and I will make sure our Armed Forces have the resources they need to remain the most powerful fighting force in the world. Immigration A nation that doesn’t defend its borders is not sovereign. We simply must enforce federal immigration laws if we care about our national security. In addition to preventing against increased risks of terrorism, strong borders defend against human and drug trafficking, which is ravaging families and communities throughout the country. In the State Senate, I authored legislation prohibiting local government from enacting or enforcing so-called “Sanctuary City” laws. Sanctuary cities prevent law enforcement and other government agencies from notifying federal authorities of a person’s immigration status and is a direct subversion of federal law. My bill would prohibit any state funding or other resources from going to sanctuary cities. Military and Our Veterans The men and women who put their lives at risk to protect our freedoms deserve more than our gratitude – they deserve loyalty and support. That doesn’t end when they take off the uniform and reenter civilian life, that remains our vow. For the last three years, I’ve traveled the state to present nearly 10,000 Vietnam veterans with service pins recognizing their valor and their sacrifice and commemorating the 50th Anniversary. In 2017, the VFW named me their “Michigan Legislator of the Year,” and in 2016, the Vietnam Veterans for American awarded me their “Certificate of Appreciation. As a member of Congress, I will make sure we rebuild our military, support our troops with the best equipment available, and provide for their health and welfare when they return. Taxes Michigan taxpayers will save millions from Republican Tax Reform. In the 11th District alone, the average middle class family of four will save $4,111 a year in taxes. As a result, businesses across the country have given bonuses to their employees, including General Motors, which gave every hourly worker a $11,750 bonus. Reforming our tax code is key to growing our economy and creating new jobs and as a member of Congress, I will fight to make the tax cuts permanent and other ways to ease the tax burden. I will also push the end the Death Tax, which double-taxes our family farmers and businesses. Terrorism and Homeland Security The #1 job of government is to keep us safe and that means protect our homeland from terrorism – foreign and domestic. We rely on our Armed Forces to protect us in times of war, but over the last 17 years, we’ve called on them to do much more as we fight an international War on Terror. In Congress, I will work with our intelligence agencies to make sure they have cutting age technologies that will help stop terror before it occurs, and with our first responders and public safety personnel so that they have the tools they need if tragedy occurs. |
” |
| —Mike Kowall’s campaign website (2018)[42] | ||
Rocky Raczkowski
Raczkowski’s campaign website stated the following:
| “ |
SERVICE IN CONGRESS AGRICULTURE We must allow our future generations of farmers to grow crops free from government regulations that do nothing to support the safety of our food products. In addition, farmers need to be secure in the knowledge that they will not be taxed so drastically that their farm ownership is in jeopardy. BUDGET & FEDERAL SPENDING As a Federal representative, I will support the Balanced Budget/Tax Limitation Amendment as well as the 'Line-Item Veto'. These actions will help to restore fiscal responsibility to an out-of-control Congress. This will require Congress and Washington, as a whole, to live under the same budget constraints we do on a daily basis. We MUST stop the wasteful spending and reduce our nation's debt that is endangering our quality of life as Americans. This is accomplished by cutting spending, limiting the growth of government below the rate of inflation, and prosecuting wasteful spending and fraud. Balancing our nation's budget is the first step in tackling our out of control National Debt! Currently, there is nothing balanced in the spending of Washington. This reckless policy leads to more spending, massive tax increases and less freedom for the middle-class families! DEFENSE As a husband and father, I will work for peaceful solutions, but when peace is unachievable, we must summon the resolve to unite and win decisively or not engage at all. A strong military is essential to keeping America free, safe and prosperous. As a whole, we need to ensure that we maintain the best trained ready force in the world, while maintaining the concept of the all-volunteer military. DODD-FRANK & FINANCIAL REGULATIONS More importantly, the Dodd-Frank Act failed to end “Too-Big-to-Fail”. In fact, big institutions have gotten bigger, and the small financial institutions have become fewer. The taxpayer has become poorer and access to credit has become more political. Is this really what we want? The answer is a resounding NO! We need common sense policies that will prevent future recessions and prevent Washington bureaucrats from picking winners and losers. ECONOMY Cutting business taxes and repatriating corporate earnings that are currently being held off shore will revitalize the economy, and will bolster private sector employment. Furthermore, I will work diligently to defeat tax increases imposed on our Michigan businesses by the former Congress. EDUCATION I support the bi-partisan Every Student Succeeds Act (ESSA) because it is designed to reduce the federal government's role in K-12 education, and prevent Washington bureaucrats from promoting one-size-fits-all programs like Common Core. The ESSA also empowers states to set their own academic standards. I am a strong supporter of the high standards and local control which will ensure success for our children and our nation's future! ENERGY We need to build a new energy economy that creates jobs by developing energy technologies and fuels here in the United States that support manufacturing. This economy should NOT be based on higher taxes, more regulation and more government leading to suppress our growth as a nation. ENVIRONMENT I understand that some environmental rules and regulations are a complex maze that stifle the economic growth of our nation. For this reason, I favor allowing state exemptions when applicants come forward with free market approaches that both protect the environment and spur economic growth with job creation. This strategy worked with welfare reform in the ’90s and can work today to make sure our nation and the State of Michigan have a diverse and reliable supply of energy and a healthy economic environment. GOVERNMENTAL TRANSPARENCY As a hunter/fisherman, it is important that we maintain our environment. Quality clean water is one of the most important gifts we can pass on to our children and future generations. RUSSIA I believe that we should work with Russia in our common fight against violent Islamic extremist terrorism, although, we should also take a strong stand against the Putin regime and their meddling in our economy, military and internet transactions. I strongly support the nations that formerly comprised the Soviet Bloc. We MUST seek to strengthen the Russian border region through economic, diplomatic and military means. We should also exercise our Cyber Security Directorate within the Department of Defense to protect our web operations. This hardens the ability for Russia's regime to further attempt to bring down our nation and our economic interests SANCTUARY CITIES, COUNTIES & STATES SECOND AMENDMENT I agree with the administration’s steps to aid the law enforcement community by supporting our citizens’ ability to protect themselves. Furthermore, I will uphold Americans’ Second Amendment rights at every level of our judicial system. SEQUESTRATION I pledge to work for smart, targeted and real spending reductions, that do not harm our military personnel, our weapons systems and our overall national defense. It's time Congress does its job by cutting fat in the budget without arbitrarily hurting our armed forces or the ability to defend our nation. As a former soldier, I understand how to accomplish this and will work to keep our nation strong and free. SOCIAL SECURITY I firmly support its preservation, and will protect, Social Security for retirees. I will work to ensure that the program remains solvent for future generations. Period. I also believe we should repeal all tax hikes on Social Security benefits, and am committed to regular cost of living adjustments (COLA) to fulfill our promise to seniors. The government must learn to live within its means without the financial theft from the taxpayer. TAXES I strongly believe that it's not that we have a national income problem. I believe we have a national spending problem. As the Representative from Michigan, I am not interested in being liked. I am more interested in being respected and standing up for individual freedom and economic growth. I agree with President Reagan when he said, “You can't be for Big Regulations, Big Taxes and Big Government, and still be for the Little Guy!” TRADE I do not support trade deals, or tax incentives that ship American jobs overseas. Federal bureaucrats should NOT be in charge of picking winners and losers when it comes to trade policy and tariffs. I support free trade, but it must be fair and not just 'free' in title only. More importantly, I will NEVER support a trade deal that poses a threat to American National Security. Business in the United States is taxed higher than in any developed nation in the world. Many in the Democratic party don't believe we have a spending problem, which has led to higher taxes on American small business and outsourced jobs to countries like China! TRANSPORTATION VETERAN ISSUES Furthermore, I was proud to be in attendance at the White House, in 2017, when the President signed the Veteran Accountability Act - making sure that our Veterans are receiving the care and respect they have earned. WAR ON TERROR FEDERAL REGULATIONS HEALTH CARE & AFFORDABLE CARE ACT (aka: OBAMACARE) I stand firmly against a single payer health care system. This so-called Medicare for All will destroy health care innovation, and will give patients fewer options for health care emergencies. This policy will lead to the rationing of individual health care. My heart is with the patient and I will always fight for our families to have every option they seek to treat life threatening health issuses. I will also support common sense health care reform, and will fight to repeal the bureaucratic takeover of health care. I will work to restore the funding in Medicare that our Seniors depend on and were cut in the Affordable Care Act of 2009. IMMIGRATION As a son of legal immigrants to our great country, I support legal and sponsored immigration programs to our nation. This means that when you come to The United States, you are committed to making it better, and not trying to change our values and individual rights. I strongly believe that we must enforce and protect our borders, and will support efforts to do so! I am firmly against illegal immigration, and I will work to make sure that those who knowingly employ illegal workers are fined and held criminally responsible for their actions. We must enforce e-Verify Employment Checks. In addition, I support enforcement of the security of our borders and will work to stop sanctuary cities. Furthermore, I do not support the current Federal EB-5 Visa Program. This program allows individuals to jump ahead of the immigration line by paying $1 million dollars, and promising to create 10 Jobs in the US, within a year. The initial thought behind this program sounds fair, but isn’t because it places wealthy individual immigrants ahead of current U.S. and Michigan citizens for contract competition and work projects. We must support laws that treat everyone equally. IRAN, SYRIA, NORTH KOREA & OTHER ENEMIES OF THE USA In dealing with Syria, Iran and other nefarious nations with global goals of evil intent, we must always exercise our diplomatic efforts, but those efforts should not include paying for peace. This action will reward and further encourages evil acts. We must use all the tools within our national tool box to enforce our diplomatic agreements, but we must also use our economic power to stop evil actors. Lastly, we must be prepared to use our military assets when our nation, and our citizens are threatened. As a student of foreign policy and international cultures, I will stand ready to support our State and Defense Departments with good counsel and legislative support. LIFE MEDICAID The solutions that I support include going after those that use and bill Medicaid fraudulently. I also support giving States the flexibility they have requested to manage the Medicaid programs more effectively and in accordance with what is needed most. This allows for local answers instead of one-size-fits-all solutions from Washington. The needs of Medicaid enrollees in Michigan are very different from those in New Mexico. Medicaid billing fraud is also a main driver of costs and services. As a U.S. Representative, I will work to create a billing monitor program for our states and Federal Government to ensure that services are getting to the client, and that the billing is not fraudulent. MEDICARE As part of its $716 billion in total cuts to Medicare, Obamacare cuts Medicare Advantage by $156 billion. Of the more than 50 million older Americans who receive coverage through Medicare, about 15 million, or one quarter, are enrolled in Medicare Advantage plans. Medicare Advantage is extremely popular for a reason –it is operated through the private market, seniors gain access to high-quality and coordinated care with additional benefits that they otherwise wouldn’t get. The additional benefits include vision, dental, annual physicals, nutrition, wellness programs, and prescription drug coverage. Medicare Advantage beneficiaries are generally younger, lower income, minority and female. Obamacare’s cuts to Medicare Advantage will lead to fewer of these plans being available to seniors, and they could lose access to their current doctors and additional coverage options they now enjoy. Washington Democrats voted to cut Medicare. My top priority is preserving and protecting Medicare for seniors and future generations and by giving more choices for our Seniors. MINIMUM WAGE & UNEMPLOYMENT Instead of focusing on increasing the minimum wage, we need to improve our economy by moving people out of low income jobs and into better paying, higher skilled employment. This move will provide stability and opportunity for individuals and their families. Opportunities will be increased as a result of an effective locally operated job training program. Most importantly, a recent non-partisan CBO Report confirmed that while helping a few, mandating higher wages by the government has real costs, including fewer people working and more of them losing jobs. At the end of the day, job creation and higher wages are a product of economic growth, not Washington mandates. PATRIOT ACT & USA FREEDOM ACT I will ensure that my votes, as your Representative, are based on Constitutional principles while keeping nation safe and secure. PRESIDENTIAL EXECUTIVE ORDERS |
” |
| —Rocky Raczkowski’s campaign website (2018)[43] | ||
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
| Race ratings: Michigan's 11th Congressional District election, 2018 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
| October 30, 2018 | October 23, 2018 | October 16, 2018 | October 9, 2018 | ||||||
| The Cook Political Report | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | |||||
| Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Tilt Democratic | Tilt Democratic | Tilt Democratic | Toss-up | |||||
| Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | |||||
| Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every two weeks throughout the election season. | |||||||||
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+4, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 4 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Michigan's 11th Congressional District the 203rd most Republican nationally.[44]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.99. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.99 points toward that party.[45]
Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
Twelve of 83 Michigan counties—14 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
| Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | Trump margin of victory in 2016 | Obama margin of victory in 2012 | Obama margin of victory in 2008 | ||||
| Bay County, Michigan | 12.55% | 5.56% | 15.31% | ||||
| Calhoun County, Michigan | 12.46% | 1.60% | 9.36% | ||||
| Eaton County, Michigan | 4.72% | 3.13% | 8.40% | ||||
| Gogebic County, Michigan | 14.80% | 8.10% | 17.27% | ||||
| Isabella County, Michigan | 3.66% | 9.28% | 19.26% | ||||
| Lake County, Michigan | 22.77% | 5.01% | 12.28% | ||||
| Macomb County, Michigan | 11.53% | 3.99% | 8.62% | ||||
| Manistee County, Michigan | 15.29% | 5.93% | 13.26% | ||||
| Monroe County, Michigan | 21.97% | 0.98% | 4.35% | ||||
| Saginaw County, Michigan | 1.13% | 11.89% | 17.34% | ||||
| Shiawassee County, Michigan | 19.59% | 3.67% | 8.59% | ||||
| Van Buren County, Michigan | 13.92% | 0.45% | 8.78% | ||||
In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Michigan with 47.5 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 47.3 percent. In presidential elections between 1836 and 2016, Michigan voted Republican 60.8 percent of the time and Democratic 34.7 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, Michigan voted Democratic four out of the five elections.[46]
Presidential results by legislative district
The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Michigan. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[47][48]
| In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 53 out of 110 state House districts in Michigan with an average margin of victory of 37.1 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 43 out of 110 state House districts in Michigan with an average margin of victory of 39.3 points. Clinton won four districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections. |
| In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 57 out of 110 state House districts in Michigan with an average margin of victory of 12.4 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 67 out of 110 state House districts in Michigan with an average margin of victory of 21.2 points. Trump won eight districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections. |
| 2016 presidential results by state House district | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| District | Obama | Romney | 2012 Margin | Clinton | Trump | 2016 Margin | Party Control |
| 1 | 76.12% | 23.52% | D+52.6 | 74.49% | 22.85% | D+51.6 | D |
| 2 | 75.84% | 23.76% | D+52.1 | 74.45% | 22.64% | D+51.8 | D |
| 3 | 98.21% | 1.58% | D+96.6 | 96.30% | 2.42% | D+93.9 | D |
| 4 | 96.04% | 3.37% | D+92.7 | 92.77% | 5.06% | D+87.7 | D |
| 5 | 96.95% | 2.71% | D+94.2 | 93.33% | 4.83% | D+88.5 | D |
| 6 | 94.15% | 5.34% | D+88.8 | 90.29% | 7.44% | D+82.9 | D |
| 7 | 98.97% | 0.86% | D+98.1 | 96.95% | 1.74% | D+95.2 | D |
| 8 | 97.77% | 1.98% | D+95.8 | 95.72% | 2.90% | D+92.8 | D |
| 9 | 96.42% | 3.28% | D+93.1 | 93.92% | 4.34% | D+89.6 | D |
| 10 | 83.03% | 16.36% | D+66.7 | 80.28% | 16.66% | D+63.6 | D |
| 11 | 69.83% | 29.28% | D+40.6 | 60.65% | 34.79% | D+25.9 | D |
| 12 | 69.66% | 29.46% | D+40.2 | 56.96% | 38.90% | D+18.1 | D |
| 13 | 58.70% | 40.26% | D+18.4 | 47.99% | 46.73% | D+1.3 | D |
| 14 | 63.97% | 34.90% | D+29.1 | 50.54% | 44.29% | D+6.2 | D |
| 15 | 65.45% | 33.49% | D+32 | 62.76% | 31.92% | D+30.8 | D |
| 16 | 65.88% | 33.26% | D+32.6 | 56.06% | 38.69% | D+17.4 | D |
| 17 | 53.64% | 45.27% | D+8.4 | 38.41% | 56.34% | R+17.9 | R |
| 18 | 58.28% | 40.69% | D+17.6 | 50.48% | 44.92% | D+5.6 | D |
| 19 | 47.24% | 51.98% | R+4.7 | 43.64% | 51.18% | R+7.5 | R |
| 20 | 47.63% | 51.76% | R+4.1 | 49.30% | 45.76% | D+3.5 | R |
| 21 | 55.97% | 43.27% | D+12.7 | 54.96% | 40.68% | D+14.3 | D |
| 22 | 62.75% | 36.16% | D+26.6 | 50.97% | 44.23% | D+6.7 | D |
| 23 | 51.61% | 47.53% | D+4.1 | 41.73% | 53.84% | R+12.1 | D |
| 24 | 48.16% | 51.15% | R+3 | 40.03% | 55.91% | R+15.9 | R |
| 25 | 51.35% | 47.82% | D+3.5 | 42.94% | 52.49% | R+9.6 | D |
| 26 | 58.60% | 40.29% | D+18.3 | 56.27% | 37.48% | D+18.8 | D |
| 27 | 74.32% | 24.77% | D+49.6 | 71.48% | 23.39% | D+48.1 | D |
| 28 | 63.19% | 35.81% | D+27.4 | 54.82% | 40.99% | D+13.8 | D |
| 29 | 75.48% | 23.86% | D+51.6 | 69.48% | 26.66% | D+42.8 | D |
| 30 | 47.68% | 51.54% | R+3.9 | 39.34% | 57.11% | R+17.8 | R |
| 31 | 57.26% | 41.80% | D+15.5 | 47.27% | 48.11% | R+0.8 | D |
| 32 | 45.10% | 53.91% | R+8.8 | 30.78% | 64.53% | R+33.8 | R |
| 33 | 43.07% | 56.18% | R+13.1 | 32.28% | 63.80% | R+31.5 | R |
| 34 | 91.05% | 8.32% | D+82.7 | 85.10% | 12.15% | D+73 | D |
| 35 | 81.97% | 17.64% | D+64.3 | 81.81% | 15.71% | D+66.1 | D |
| 36 | 38.24% | 61.04% | R+22.8 | 30.40% | 65.42% | R+35 | R |
| 37 | 59.10% | 40.27% | D+18.8 | 60.06% | 35.59% | D+24.5 | D |
| 38 | 45.76% | 53.61% | R+7.9 | 45.77% | 49.43% | R+3.7 | R |
| 39 | 47.87% | 51.46% | R+3.6 | 45.98% | 49.67% | R+3.7 | R |
| 40 | 46.75% | 52.82% | R+6.1 | 53.61% | 42.72% | D+10.9 | R |
| 41 | 47.73% | 51.57% | R+3.8 | 48.35% | 46.97% | D+1.4 | R |
| 42 | 39.08% | 60.20% | R+21.1 | 35.20% | 59.46% | R+24.3 | R |
| 43 | 44.30% | 54.75% | R+10.5 | 37.46% | 56.79% | R+19.3 | R |
| 44 | 40.04% | 59.10% | R+19.1 | 33.95% | 60.71% | R+26.8 | R |
| 45 | 43.50% | 55.87% | R+12.4 | 43.89% | 51.48% | R+7.6 | R |
| 46 | 38.96% | 60.14% | R+21.2 | 33.28% | 61.11% | R+27.8 | R |
| 47 | 36.64% | 62.49% | R+25.9 | 29.62% | 65.24% | R+35.6 | R |
| 48 | 58.92% | 39.84% | D+19.1 | 42.94% | 51.79% | R+8.9 | D |
| 49 | 70.36% | 28.78% | D+41.6 | 62.12% | 33.46% | D+28.7 | D |
| 50 | 56.32% | 42.74% | D+13.6 | 47.23% | 47.93% | R+0.7 | D |
| 51 | 45.91% | 53.06% | R+7.1 | 35.38% | 58.95% | R+23.6 | R |
| 52 | 51.66% | 47.46% | D+4.2 | 52.00% | 42.81% | D+9.2 | D |
| 53 | 79.38% | 19.51% | D+59.9 | 84.00% | 11.95% | D+72.1 | D |
| 54 | 75.10% | 23.79% | D+51.3 | 72.03% | 23.05% | D+49 | D |
| 55 | 67.37% | 31.61% | D+35.8 | 68.76% | 26.59% | D+42.2 | D |
| 56 | 48.37% | 50.57% | R+2.2 | 35.50% | 59.23% | R+23.7 | R |
| 57 | 49.04% | 49.87% | R+0.8 | 36.78% | 57.21% | R+20.4 | R |
| 58 | 38.71% | 60.10% | R+21.4 | 26.28% | 68.98% | R+42.7 | R |
| 59 | 44.29% | 54.72% | R+10.4 | 32.68% | 61.96% | R+29.3 | R |
| 60 | 72.01% | 26.83% | D+45.2 | 69.41% | 24.00% | D+45.4 | D |
| 61 | 50.04% | 49.13% | D+0.9 | 49.18% | 44.85% | D+4.3 | R |
| 62 | 55.24% | 43.75% | D+11.5 | 46.21% | 48.51% | R+2.3 | R |
| 63 | 44.40% | 54.59% | R+10.2 | 36.73% | 57.51% | R+20.8 | R |
| 64 | 47.70% | 51.23% | R+3.5 | 39.65% | 54.58% | R+14.9 | R |
| 65 | 45.58% | 53.37% | R+7.8 | 34.34% | 59.82% | R+25.5 | R |
| 66 | 49.22% | 49.68% | R+0.5 | 40.21% | 53.57% | R+13.4 | R |
| 67 | 54.11% | 44.79% | D+9.3 | 48.13% | 45.14% | D+3 | D |
| 68 | 74.22% | 24.64% | D+49.6 | 69.86% | 24.09% | D+45.8 | D |
| 69 | 63.28% | 35.87% | D+27.4 | 65.25% | 29.76% | D+35.5 | D |
| 70 | 46.16% | 52.60% | R+6.4 | 31.66% | 61.85% | R+30.2 | R |
| 71 | 51.63% | 47.28% | D+4.4 | 45.73% | 48.08% | R+2.4 | R |
| 72 | 42.84% | 56.25% | R+13.4 | 42.15% | 51.76% | R+9.6 | R |
| 73 | 38.17% | 60.92% | R+22.8 | 38.73% | 55.53% | R+16.8 | R |
| 74 | 38.55% | 60.36% | R+21.8 | 34.41% | 58.80% | R+24.4 | R |
| 75 | 74.68% | 23.76% | D+50.9 | 72.00% | 20.81% | D+51.2 | D |
| 76 | 54.72% | 44.21% | D+10.5 | 56.22% | 36.96% | D+19.3 | D |
| 77 | 40.65% | 58.32% | R+17.7 | 39.18% | 54.16% | R+15 | R |
| 78 | 42.78% | 56.14% | R+13.4 | 35.48% | 58.95% | R+23.5 | R |
| 79 | 47.82% | 51.46% | R+3.6 | 43.78% | 51.52% | R+7.7 | R |
| 80 | 41.20% | 57.64% | R+16.4 | 34.03% | 59.93% | R+25.9 | R |
| 81 | 43.91% | 55.01% | R+11.1 | 29.26% | 65.68% | R+36.4 | R |
| 82 | 43.67% | 55.14% | R+11.5 | 28.22% | 66.56% | R+38.3 | R |
| 83 | 46.42% | 52.52% | R+6.1 | 33.33% | 60.79% | R+27.5 | R |
| 84 | 43.28% | 55.59% | R+12.3 | 28.81% | 66.70% | R+37.9 | R |
| 85 | 49.88% | 48.85% | D+1 | 35.62% | 57.97% | R+22.4 | R |
| 86 | 36.01% | 62.99% | R+27 | 34.93% | 58.61% | R+23.7 | R |
| 87 | 40.02% | 58.70% | R+18.7 | 30.07% | 63.54% | R+33.5 | R |
| 88 | 26.40% | 72.87% | R+46.5 | 25.79% | 68.49% | R+42.7 | R |
| 89 | 37.56% | 61.56% | R+24 | 36.28% | 57.85% | R+21.6 | R |
| 90 | 32.62% | 66.46% | R+33.8 | 32.75% | 60.91% | R+28.2 | R |
| 91 | 50.46% | 48.46% | D+2 | 39.61% | 54.18% | R+14.6 | R |
| 92 | 67.85% | 31.32% | D+36.5 | 58.17% | 36.52% | D+21.7 | D |
| 93 | 46.26% | 52.90% | R+6.6 | 38.97% | 55.17% | R+16.2 | R |
| 94 | 43.56% | 55.67% | R+12.1 | 37.44% | 57.65% | R+20.2 | R |
| 95 | 74.44% | 24.76% | D+49.7 | 66.46% | 29.76% | D+36.7 | D |
| 96 | 53.72% | 45.31% | D+8.4 | 43.05% | 51.44% | R+8.4 | D |
| 97 | 45.55% | 53.21% | R+7.7 | 30.25% | 65.08% | R+34.8 | R |
| 98 | 43.01% | 56.04% | R+13 | 37.35% | 55.97% | R+18.6 | R |
| 99 | 50.75% | 48.05% | D+2.7 | 40.94% | 52.83% | R+11.9 | R |
| 100 | 43.36% | 55.52% | R+12.2 | 30.44% | 64.16% | R+33.7 | R |
| 101 | 48.22% | 50.74% | R+2.5 | 40.48% | 53.98% | R+13.5 | R |
| 102 | 42.55% | 56.27% | R+13.7 | 30.87% | 63.45% | R+32.6 | R |
| 103 | 42.90% | 55.90% | R+13 | 28.62% | 66.46% | R+37.8 | R |
| 104 | 43.58% | 55.39% | R+11.8 | 40.74% | 53.27% | R+12.5 | R |
| 105 | 40.35% | 58.47% | R+18.1 | 31.11% | 63.83% | R+32.7 | R |
| 106 | 45.20% | 53.57% | R+8.4 | 32.06% | 63.22% | R+31.2 | R |
| 107 | 43.34% | 55.54% | R+12.2 | 35.33% | 58.84% | R+23.5 | R |
| 108 | 44.37% | 54.58% | R+10.2 | 32.79% | 62.29% | R+29.5 | R |
| 109 | 53.29% | 45.44% | D+7.9 | 44.75% | 48.82% | R+4.1 | D |
| 110 | 47.04% | 51.62% | R+4.6 | 37.59% | 56.55% | R+19 | D |
| Total | 54.30% | 44.79% | D+9.5 | 47.36% | 47.59% | R+0.2 | - |
| Source: Daily Kos | |||||||
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan, 2018
- United States House elections in Michigan (August 7, 2018 Republican primaries)
- Michigan's 11th Congressional District election (August 7, 2018 Democratic primary)
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2018
Footnotes
- ↑ Lena Epstein for Congress, "Issues," accessed July 30, 2018
- ↑ Detroit Free Press, "Patterson endorses state Sen. Mike Kowall for Trott's seat in Congress," February 22, 2018
- ↑ Vice News, "Moderate Republicans are D.C.’s new endangered species," September 14, 2017
- ↑ 4.0 4.1 Detroit Free Press, "Republicans seeking to replace Trott pan his support for Dreamers," May 26, 2018
- ↑ Mike Kowall for Congress, "Issues," accessed July 31, 2018
- ↑ 6.0 6.1 6.2 Detroit News, "GOP fight for 11th District U.S. House seat goes negative," July 28, 2018
- ↑ 7.0 7.1 Michigan , "Here’s what’s in the Nassar-related bills passed by the House," May 24, 2018 Cite error: Invalid
<ref>tag; name "nassar" defined multiple times with different content - ↑ Klint Kesto for Congress, "Issues," accessed July 30, 2018
- ↑ Kerry Bentiolio for Congress, "Home," accessed May 28, 2018
- ↑ Michigan Public Radio, "Despite agreeing on Trump, 11th Congressional Republican primary race could be bitter and expensive," January 9, 2018
- ↑ 11.0 11.1 Detroit News, "Raczkowski, Epstein enter race to succeed Trott," September 18, 2017
- ↑ Lena Epstein for Congress, "Platform," accessed May 28, 2018
- ↑ Lena Epstein for Congress, "About Lena," accessed May 28, 2018
- ↑ Klint Kesto for Congress, "Issues," accessed May 28, 2018
- ↑ Mike Kowall for Congress, "Issues," accessed May 28, 2018
- ↑ Detroit Free Press, "Patterson endorses state Sen. Mike Kowall for Trott's seat in Congress," February 22, 2018
- ↑ Hometown Life, "Mike Kowall gets Kurt Heise's endorsement for U.S. House seat," February 13, 2018
- ↑ Mike Kowall for Congress, "About," accessed May 28, 2018
- ↑ 19.0 19.1 Rocky for Congress, "ROCKY'S STORY," accessed May 28, 2018
- ↑ Rocky for Congress, "ROCKY IS DIFFERENT," accessed May 28, 2018
- ↑ Deadline Detroit, "Selweski: 'Rocky' Raczkowski Tries to Brush Aside His Rocky Record," September 24, 2017
- ↑ Detroit News, "For Congress, from Metro Detroit," July 12, 2018
- ↑ Lena Epstein for Congress, "Lena Epstein," accessed May 28, 2018
- ↑ Susan B. Anthony List, "SBA List Endorses Lena Epstein in MI-11," April 13, 2018
- ↑ Twitter, "Lena Epstein on August 22, 2017"
- ↑ Detroit News, "'Pink wave' of Michigan women seeks to change the face of power," May 29, 2018
- ↑ The Detroit Free Press, "Stevens, Slotkin offer Dems best chance to flip red seats," July 27, 2018
- ↑ Detroit News, "Political Insider: Epstein fundraiser canceled over her Trump support," June 28, 2018
- ↑ Hometown Life, "Mike Kowall gets Kurt Heise's endorsement for U.S. House seat," February 13, 2018
- ↑ Detroit Free Press, "Patterson endorses state Sen. Mike Kowall for Trott's seat in Congress," February 22, 2018
- ↑ Mike Kowall for Congress, "Endorsements," accessed May 28, 2018
- ↑ Daily Tribune, "Republican Lena Epstein says campaign fundraiser cancelled over political views," June 28, 2018
- ↑ Detroit News, "Protesters blast country club's snub of GOP candidate," July 2, 2018
- ↑ U.S. News and World Report, "Congressional Candidates' Dispute Prompts $10M Lawsuit," May 16, 2018
- ↑ Detroit Free Press, "Kerry Bentivolio, Rocky Raczkowski fight in court over military record," May 15, 2018
- ↑ 36.00 36.01 36.02 36.03 36.04 36.05 36.06 36.07 36.08 36.09 36.10 36.11 36.12 36.13 36.14 36.15 36.16 36.17 36.18 36.19 36.20 36.21 36.22 36.23 36.24 36.25 36.26 36.27 36.28 36.29 36.30 36.31 Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
- ↑ Kerry Bentivolio for Congress, “Issues,” accessed June 15, 2018
- ↑ Note: The candidate's answers have been reproduced here verbatim without edits or corrections by Ballotpedia.
- ↑ Ballotpedia's candidate survey, "Kerry Bentivolio's responses," January 2, 2018
- ↑ Lena Epstein for Congress, “Issues,” accessed June 15, 2018
- ↑ Klint Kesto for Congress, “Issues,” accessed June 15, 2018
- ↑ Mike Kowall for Congress, “Issues,” accessed June 15, 2018
- ↑ Rocky Raczkowski for Congress, “Issues,” accessed June 15, 2018
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ 270towin.com, "Michigan," accessed June 29, 2017
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
