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Michigan's 13th Congressional District election, 2020

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Michigan's 13th Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: May 8, 2020
Primary: August 4, 2020
General: November 3, 2020
Pre-election incumbent:
Rashida Tlaib (Democrat)
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m.
Voting in Michigan
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020
See also
Michigan's 13th Congressional District
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th • 13th • 14th
Michigan elections, 2020
U.S. Congress elections, 2020
U.S. Senate elections, 2020
U.S. House elections, 2020

All U.S. congressional districts, including the 13th Congressional District of Michigan, held elections in 2020.

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
May 8, 2020
August 4, 2020
November 3, 2020


Heading into the election the incumbent was Democrat Rashida Tlaib, who was first elected in 2018.


Tlaib defeated Brenda Jones in the Democratic primary 66% to 34%. David Dudenhoefer won the Republican primary with 48% of the vote. D. Etta Wilcoxon advanced from the Green Party convention.

As of the 2010 redistricting cycle, Michigan's 13th Congressional District was located in the southeastern region of the lower peninsula of Michigan. It was made up of portions of Wayne county including some areas of the city of Detroit.[1]

Democratic Party For more information about the Democratic primary, click here.
Republican Party For more information about the Republican primary, click here.

Post-election analysis

The table below compares the vote totals in the 2020 presidential election and 2020 U.S. House election for this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

Presidential and congressional election results, Michigan's 13th Congressional District, 2020
Race Presidential U.S. House
Democratic candidate Democratic Party 78.8 78.1
Republican candidate Republican Party 20 18.6
Difference 58.8 59.5

Election procedure changes in 2020

See also: Changes to election dates, procedures, and administration in response to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, 2020

Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.

Michigan modified its absentee/mail-in voting procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:

  • Absentee/mail-in voting: Absentee ballot applications were sent to all registered voters in the general election.

For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.

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Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Michigan District 13

The following candidates ran in the general election for U.S. House Michigan District 13 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Rashida Tlaib
Rashida Tlaib (D) Candidate Connection
 
78.1
 
223,205
Image of David Dudenhoefer
David Dudenhoefer (R) Candidate Connection
 
18.6
 
53,311
Image of Sam Johnson
Sam Johnson (Working Class Party)
 
1.8
 
5,284
Image of D. Etta Wilcoxon
D. Etta Wilcoxon (G) Candidate Connection
 
0.7
 
2,105
Image of Articia Bomer
Articia Bomer (U.S. Taxpayers Party of Michigan)
 
0.7
 
1,974
Image of Donald Eason
Donald Eason (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
6

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 285,885
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Michigan District 13

Incumbent Rashida Tlaib defeated Brenda Jones in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Michigan District 13 on August 4, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Rashida Tlaib
Rashida Tlaib Candidate Connection
 
66.3
 
71,670
Image of Brenda Jones
Brenda Jones Candidate Connection
 
33.7
 
36,492

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 108,162
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Michigan District 13

David Dudenhoefer defeated Linda Sawyer and Alfred Lemmo in the Republican primary for U.S. House Michigan District 13 on August 4, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of David Dudenhoefer
David Dudenhoefer Candidate Connection
 
47.6
 
6,833
Image of Linda Sawyer
Linda Sawyer
 
34.5
 
4,955
Image of Alfred Lemmo
Alfred Lemmo Candidate Connection
 
17.9
 
2,574

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 14,362
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Green convention

Green convention for U.S. House Michigan District 13

D. Etta Wilcoxon advanced from the Green convention for U.S. House Michigan District 13 on June 20, 2020.

Candidate
✔
Image of D. Etta Wilcoxon
D. Etta Wilcoxon (G) Candidate Connection

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Working Class Party convention

Working Class Party convention for U.S. House Michigan District 13

Sam Johnson advanced from the Working Class Party convention for U.S. House Michigan District 13 on July 26, 2020.

Candidate
✔
Image of Sam Johnson
Sam Johnson (Working Class Party)

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

Twelve of 83 Michigan counties—14 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
County Trump margin of victory in 2016 Obama margin of victory in 2012 Obama margin of victory in 2008
Bay County, Michigan 12.55% 5.56% 15.31%
Calhoun County, Michigan 12.46% 1.60% 9.36%
Eaton County, Michigan 4.72% 3.13% 8.40%
Gogebic County, Michigan 14.80% 8.10% 17.27%
Isabella County, Michigan 3.66% 9.28% 19.26%
Lake County, Michigan 22.77% 5.01% 12.28%
Macomb County, Michigan 11.53% 3.99% 8.62%
Manistee County, Michigan 15.29% 5.93% 13.26%
Monroe County, Michigan 21.97% 0.98% 4.35%
Saginaw County, Michigan 1.13% 11.89% 17.34%
Shiawassee County, Michigan 19.59% 3.67% 8.59%
Van Buren County, Michigan 13.92% 0.45% 8.78%

In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Michigan with 47.5 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 47.3 percent. In presidential elections between 1836 and 2016, Michigan voted Republican 60.8 percent of the time and Democratic 34.7 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, Michigan voted Democratic four out of the five elections.[2]

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Michigan. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[3][4]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 53 out of 110 state House districts in Michigan with an average margin of victory of 37.1 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 43 out of 110 state House districts in Michigan with an average margin of victory of 39.3 points. Clinton won four districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections.
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 57 out of 110 state House districts in Michigan with an average margin of victory of 12.4 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 67 out of 110 state House districts in Michigan with an average margin of victory of 21.2 points. Trump won eight districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+32, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 32 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Michigan's 13th Congressional District the 21st most Democratic nationally.[5]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.94. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.94 points toward that party.[6]

Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[7] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[8] The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Rashida Tlaib Democratic Party $4,093,645 $3,769,569 $391,732 As of December 31, 2020
David Dudenhoefer Republican Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
D. Etta Wilcoxon Green Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Articia Bomer U.S. Taxpayers Party of Michigan $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Sam Johnson Working Class Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Donald Eason Independent $35,656 $35,656 $0 As of December 31, 2020

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.


Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[9]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[10][11][12]

Race ratings: Michigan's 13th Congressional District election, 2020
Race trackerRace ratings
November 3, 2020October 27, 2020October 20, 2020October 13, 2020
The Cook Political ReportSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season.

Candidate ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for 13th Congressional District candidates in Michigan in the 2020 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Michigan, click here.

Filing requirements, 2020
State Office Party Signatures required Signature formula Filing fee Filing fee formula Filing deadline Source
Michigan 13th Congressional District Major party 1,000 Fixed number N/A N/A 5/8/2020 Source
Michigan 13th Congressional District Qualified party 1,000 Fixed number N/A N/A 5/8/2020 Source
Michigan 13th Congressional District Unaffiliated 3,000 Fixed number N/A N/A 7/16/2020 Source

District election history

2018

See also: Michigan's 13th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Michigan District 13

Rashida Tlaib defeated Sam Johnson and D. Etta Wilcoxon in the general election for U.S. House Michigan District 13 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Rashida Tlaib
Rashida Tlaib (D)
 
84.2
 
165,355
Image of Sam Johnson
Sam Johnson (Working Class Party)
 
11.3
 
22,186
Image of D. Etta Wilcoxon
D. Etta Wilcoxon (G)
 
4.1
 
7,980
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.4
 
778

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 196,299
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Michigan District 13

The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Michigan District 13 on August 7, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Rashida Tlaib
Rashida Tlaib
 
31.2
 
27,841
Image of Brenda Jones
Brenda Jones
 
30.2
 
26,941
Image of Bill Wild
Bill Wild
 
14.1
 
12,613
Image of Coleman Young II
Coleman Young II
 
12.5
 
11,172
Image of Ian Conyers
Ian Conyers
 
6.6
 
5,861
Image of Shanelle Jackson
Shanelle Jackson
 
5.4
 
4,853

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 89,281
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

No Republican candidates ran in the primary.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2016

See also: Michigan's 13th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent John Conyers, Jr. (D) defeated Jeff Gorman (R), Tiffany Hayden (L), and Sam Johnson (Working Class) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Conyers defeated Janice Winfrey in the Democratic primary on August 2, 2016.[13][14][15][16]

U.S. House, Michigan District 13 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngJohn Conyers, Jr. Incumbent 77.1% 198,771
     Republican Jeff Gorman 15.7% 40,541
     Libertarian Tiffany Hayden 3.7% 9,648
     Working Class Sam Johnson 3.4% 8,835
     N/A Write-in 0% 2
Total Votes 257,797
Source: Michigan Secretary of State


U.S. House, Michigan District 13 Democratic Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngJohn Conyers Jr. Incumbent 60.8% 30,971
Janice Winfrey 39.2% 19,965
Total Votes 50,936
Source: Michigan Secretary of State

2014

See also: Michigan's 13th Congressional District elections, 2014

The 13th Congressional District of Michigan held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. John Conyers, Jr. (D) defeated Jeff Gorman (R), Sam Johnson (I) and Chris Sharer (L) in the general election.

U.S. House, Michigan District 13 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngJohn Conyers, Jr. Incumbent 79.5% 132,710
     Republican Jeff Gorman 16.3% 27,234
     Libertarian Chris Sharer 2.1% 3,537
     Independent Sam Johnson 2.1% 3,466
Total Votes 166,947
Source: Michigan Secretary of State

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. ↑ United States Census Bureau, "Counties by Congressional Districts," accessed June 8, 2016
  2. ↑ 270towin.com, "Michigan," accessed June 29, 2017
  3. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
  4. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
  5. ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  6. ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
  7. ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
  8. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
  9. ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  10. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  11. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  12. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  13. ↑ Michigan Secretary of State, "2016 Michigan Candidate Listing," accessed April 20, 2016
  14. ↑ Politico, "Michigan House Primaries Results," August 2, 2016
  15. ↑ Michigan Secretary of State, "2016 Michigan Candidate Listing," accessed September 6, 2016
  16. ↑ CNN, "Election Results," accessed November 8, 2016


Michigan's current delegation to the United States Congress
Senators
Gary Peters (D)
Elissa Slotkin (D)
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
District 9
District 10
District 11
District 12
District 13
Democratic Party (8)
Republican Party (7)


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