Help us improve in just 2 minutes—share your thoughts in our reader survey.
Michigan's 13th Congressional District election (August 7, 2018 Democratic primary)
- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 9
- Early voting: N/A
- Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 6
- Online registration: No
- Same-day registration: No
- Voter ID: Photo ID requested
- Poll times: 7:00 a.m. to 8:00 p.m.
2020 →
← 2018
|
Michigan's 13th Congressional District |
---|
Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: April 24, 2018 |
Primary: August 7, 2018 General: November 6, 2018 Pre-election incumbent: Vacant |
How to vote |
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in Michigan |
Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic Inside Elections: Solid Democratic Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th • 13th • 14th • 13th (special) Michigan elections, 2018 U.S. Congress elections, 2018 U.S. Senate elections, 2018 U.S. House elections, 2018 |
Voters in Michigan's 13th Congressional District chose a new U.S. representative for the first time since 1964 after longtime incumbent John Conyers Jr. (D), a figure in the Civil Rights Movement and Congressional Black Caucus co-founder, resigned over sexual harassment allegations in December 2017.[1]
Two Democratic primaries were held on August 7. One selected the Democratic nominee for the 2019-2020 term and the other selected the nominee for the special election to fill the final months of the 2017-2018 term to which Conyers was elected.
The four leading Democratic candidates in both primaries were Detroit City Council President Brenda Jones, former state Rep. Rashida Tlaib, Westland Mayor Bill Wild, and state Sen. Ian Conyers—the great nephew of John Conyers Jr. The Detroit-based seat was a majority-minority district. Conyers and Jones were both black, while Tlaib was of Palestinian descent and Wild was white.
Rashida Tlaib won the regularly-scheduled Democratic primary to compete in the November 6, 2018, election for the 2019-2020 term. Brenda Jones won the special Democratic primary to compete in the November 6, 2018, special election for the rest of the 2017-2018 term to which Conyers was elected. No Republican filed for either general election.
In March, a 30-member group of Detroit influencers and Democratic Party activists decided to unify their efforts behind Jones. Jonathan Kinloch, the chairman of the 13th District Democratic Party, said the group's goal was to keep the seat in the hands of a black Detroiter and maintain the strength of the Congressional Black Caucus.[2][3]
Tlaib raised more money than all other candidates and was supported by U.S. Rep. Keith Ellison (D-Minn.) and the Bernie Sanders-aligned Justice Democrats. She touted her support for Medicare for All and her pledge to vote for Donald Trump's impeachment.[4]
According to the Daily Kos, Wild, also a supporter of Medicare for All, could have won a narrow plurality by turning out progressive white voters in Westland. He only trailed Tlaib in fundraising.[5]
Ian Conyers, the youngest state senator in Michigan history, emphasized his desire to carry on his great-uncle's legacy.[6] However, the elder Conyers endorsed his son, John Conyers III, after Ian preemptively told media outlets his great-uncle would resign over the sexual harassment allegations.[1] Conyers III did not collect enough petition signatures to make the ballot.[7]
Because the 13th District is reliably Democratic and no Republican filed, the winner of this primary won the general election in November.
This page covers the regularly scheduled primary election for the 2019-2020 term in Congress. The regular primary and regular election occurred concurrently with a special primary election and a special election to fill the remainder of Conyers’ 2017-2018 term, which ended in January 2019.
Ian Conyers, Brenda Jones, Rashida Tlaib, and Bill Wild ran in both the special primary election and the regularly scheduled primary election. State Sen. Coleman Young II and former state Rep. Shanelle Jackson only ran for the 2019-2020 term.
Election results
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Michigan District 13
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Rashida Tlaib | 31.2 | 27,841 | |
![]() | Brenda Jones | 30.2 | 26,941 | |
Bill Wild | 14.1 | 12,613 | ||
![]() | Coleman Young II | 12.5 | 11,172 | |
![]() | Ian Conyers | 6.6 | 5,861 | |
![]() | Shanelle Jackson | 5.4 | 4,853 |
Total votes: 89,281 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
Candidates
Ian Conyers
State Sen. Ian Conyers ran for Congress by emphasizing his experience as a state senator and an urban planner as well as his familial connection to former incumbent John Conyers Jr., his great uncle. According to Politico, John Conyers had originally wanted Ian to replace him in Congress. However, he changed his mind and endorsed his son John Conyers III after Ian preemptively told the New York Times that Conyers would resign after multiple sexual misconduct allegations were levied against him.[1]
Conyers' campaign emphasized his plans to connect minorities, women, and veterans with infrastructure jobs and revitalize Detroit neighborhoods with public safety and transportation investments.[8] He was supported by Washington, D.C. Mayor Muriel Bowser.[2]
Conyers was elected to the Michigan State Senate in 2016. He was the youngest senator ever elected in the state.[6] Prior to that, Conyers worked on the Anacostia waterfront redevelopment project in Washington, D.C. He received his bachelor's and master's degrees from Georgetown University.[9]
Brenda Jones
Detroit City Council President Brenda Jones ran for Congress with the support of Detroit clergymembers, unions, and elected officials. In March 2018, a 30-member group of city stakeholders decided to consolidate their support behind her in order to prevent a fractured field from allowing a candidate from outside Detroit to be elected.[3] Jones' prominent supporters included Detroit Mayor Mike Duggan, members of the Detroit City Council, and Congresswoman Brenda Lawrence (D).
Jones' campaign website said that her "platform for congress is the same urban agenda I have always championed, JONES – Jobs, Opportunities, Neighborhoods, Education and Safety.” She also said she "look[ed] forward to ensuring the people of the 13th District are getting their fair share of federal assistance, access to programming and the funding they are entitled to.”[10]
In early March, Public Policy Polling found Jones leading all other candidates with about 25 percent of the vote (it noted that about a third of voters were undecided). The city of Detroit makes up more than half of the 13th District, likely giving Jones wider name recognition.[11]
Jones was first elected to the Detroit City Council in 2004. She was elected as its president in 2014 and 2018. Prior to that, she served as president of the Communication Workers of America Local 4004, worked for Michigan Bell/SBC, and was a small business owner. She graduated from Cass Technical High School and Wayne State University.[12]
Rashida Tlaib
Former state Rep. Rashida Tlaib framed herself as a progressive grassroots candidate in her run for Congress. She was endorsed by the Bernie Sanders-aligned Justice Democrats and had the unofficial support of U.S. Rep. and Democratic National Committee Deputy Chairman Keith Ellison. Like Ellison, she is Muslim and would be the first American Muslim woman ever elected to Congress.[4]
In addition to Justice Democrats, Tlaib had support from progressive influencers like Democracy for America and the Progressive Change Campaign Committee.[13][14]
Tlaib's policy platform called for impeaching President Donald Trump, raising the minimum wage to $15 per hour, ending tax breaks for corporations, moving to a single-payer healthcare system in line with Sanders' Medicare For All proposal, and changing the Civil Rights Act so that plaintiffs can more easily file lawsuits based on disparate impact claims.[15][16][17] She said she likely would not vote for Nancy Pelosi as the Democratic leader, citing Pelosi's defense of John Conyers Jr. after he was accused of sexual misconduct.[15]
Tlaib was elected to the Michigan state House in 2008 and served until 2014 when she was term-limited. She was the first Muslim woman to ever serve in the Michigan Legislature. After leaving the legislature, Tlaib began working for the Sugar Law Center for Economic and Social Justice as an advocate. She earned her B.A. in political science from Wayne State University and her law degree from Thomas Cooley Law School. Her parents are Palestinian and immigrated to the United States.[18]
Bill Wild
According to the Daily Kos, Westland Mayor Bill Wild, the only white candidate running, could have won with a narrow plurality of white voters because, as of 2018, Westland was the second-largest city in the 13th District.[5][2] The Intercept wrote that Wild could target progressive suburban voters as well.[4]
When asked about his strategy, Wild said that Detroit voters were receptive to him in a previous campaign for Wayne County executive and that "[w]e’re all talking the same things. Good schools; clean, safe neighborhoods and good jobs and opportunities.”[2] His campaign platform called for tightening gun regulations, allowing DACA recipients to become citizens, helping the district secure federal dollars, and implementing Medicare for All.[19]
Wild was elected to the Westland City Council in 2001 and was appointed as mayor in 2007. Before that, he served on Westland's planning commission.[20]
Coleman Young II
State Sen. Coleman Young ran for Congress one year after he unsuccessfully tried to unseat Detroit Mayor Mike Duggan. He ran in the regularly scheduled election for the 13th District but not the special election to complete the final months of the term John Conyers Jr. was elected to in 2016.
In his December campaign announcement, Young called for a $15 per hour minimum wage. He also said he respected Conyers for his work in the Civil Rights Movement, which he credited for opening public offices for other black politicians, but disapproved of the conduct that led to sexual harassment allegations against him.[21]
Young was first elected to the Michigan State Senate in 2010. Prior to that, he had served in the Michigan House of Representatives since being elected in 2004. His father was Coleman Young, the first black mayor of Detroit who served from 1974 to 1994.[22]
List of regularly scheduled election candidates
Democratic primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
Candidates who filed for concurrent special election
Democratic primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
Former candidates
John Conyers III
John Conyers III planned to run for Congress, but, on May 16, 2018, the office of Wayne County Clerk Cathy Garrett announced that he had not collected the 1,000 valid signatures required to be on the ballot in the regularly scheduled election. Only 905 of the 1,914 signatures he submitted were valid. He also filed to run in the special election for the seat and only 880 of the 1,905 signatures were deemed valid by the clerk's office.[23] On May 21, Garrett announced that Conyers would be removed from the ballot for both primaries.[24] Read more below.
He is the eldest son of former incumbent John Conyers Jr., who endorsed him as his replacement. In December 2017, Conyers III said his father's endorsement “caught [him] off guard,” but he later told The Intercept that he had been planning on running for the seat in 2020.[25][4]
His policy platform called for at least a $15 minimum wage, subsidized college education, and increased mental health services for non-white students. Conyers did not actively solicit campaign contributions in the first quarter of 2018, saying he focused on gathering petition signatures to qualify for the ballot instead.[4]
Conyers' professional experience includes working as a hedge fund manager and as a consultant in multiple disciplines. He said he lives in both Detroit and Los Angeles.[25] He was arrested in February 2017 on domestic violence charges. He denied allegations that he initiated the incident, which resulted in his then-girlfriend being stabbed, but apologized for his role. Prosecutors did not file charges against him.[26]
Timeline
- August 2, 2018: All candidates met in a debate. See full coverage here.
- July 30, 2018: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez endorsed Rashida Tlaib.
- July 29, 2018: The Detroit Free Press endorsed Rashida Tlaib.
- July 28, 2018: Moveon.Org spent $23,000 in support of Rashida Tlaib.
- July 25-26: A poll from EPIC-MRA found Brenda Jones with 24 percent, Rashida Tlaib with 21 percent, Bill Wild with 17 percent, Coleman Young II with 9 percent, Ian Conyers with 6 percent, and Shanelle Jackson with 4 percent. Nineteen percent of those surveyed were undecided.
- July 16-19: A poll from Target Insyght found Brenda Jones with 21 percent, Bill Wild with 20 percent, Rashida Tlaib with 19 percent, Coleman Young II with 14 percent, Ian Conyers with 8 percent, and Shanelle Jackson with 4 percent. Fourteen percent of those surveyed were undecided.
- July 18, 2018: Campaign finance disclosures showed that Rashida Tlaib raised more than $1 million and had more than $240,000 in cash on hand, Bill Wild raised nearly $540,000 and had more than $90,000 in cash on hand, Ian Conyers raised $190,000 and had nearly $60,000 in cash on hand, Brenda Jones raised more than $180,000 and had about $28,000 in cash on hand, and Coleman Alexander II raised nearly $31,000 and had about $6,000 in cash on hand.
- July 12, 2018: The Detroit News endorsed Ian Conyers.
- June 30, 2018: Campaign finance disclosures from the second quarter of 2018 showed that Rashida Tlaib raised about $893,000 and had about $219,000 in cash on hand, Bill Wild raised about $392,000 and had about $100,000 in cash on hand, Ian Conyers raised about $181,000 and had about $61,000 in cash on hand, Brenda Jones raised about $167,000 and had about $54,000 in cash on hand, and Coleman Young II raised about $31,000 and had about $5,500 in cash on hand.
- June 28, 2018: The Detroit Regional Chamber endorsed Ian Conyers.
- June 18, 2018: The Michigan AFL-CIO endorsed Brenda Jones.
- June 13, 2018: The Michigan Court of Appeals upheld the decision to remove John Conyers III from the ballot for the regular primary and the special primary.
- June 10, 2018: Bill Wild, Brenda Jones, and Coleman Young II participated in a candidate forum. See full coverage here.
- May 21, 2018: Wayne County Clerk Cathy Garrett announced that John Conyers III would be removed from the ballot for the regular primary and the special primary because he did not collect enough signatures.
- March 31, 2018: Campaign finance disclosures for the first quarter of 2018 showed the following:
- Rashida Tlaib had raised nearly $590,000 and had nearly $460,000 in cash-on-hand.
- Bill Wild had raised almost $140,000 and had about $125,000 in cash-on-hand.
- Ian Conyers had raised nearly $90,000 and had nearly $60,000 in cash-on-hand.
- Brenda Jones had raised about $40,000 and had nearly the same in cash-on-hand.
- Coleman Young II had raised more than $15,000 and had the same in cash-on-hand.
- John Conyers III had raised $3,100 and had did not have any cash-on-hand.
- March 28, 2018: A federal judge rejected a request from Michael Gilmore to move up the date of the election. Gilmore had argued that Gov. Rick Synder's (R) scheduling of the election left the 13th District without representation during important congressional debates.
- March 5, 2018: A 30-member group of Detroit clergy, labor union leaders, and Democratic Party activists met and decided to unify their support behind Brenda Jones. They wanted to avoid splitting the vote of black Detroiters.
- February 5, 2018: Detroit Mayor Mike Duggan endorsed Brenda Jones.
- December 5, 2017: John Conyers Jr. (D) resigned from his seat after being accused of sexual harassment. He endorsed his son, John Conyers III, as his replacement.
Endorsements
Ballotpedia tracks endorsements by organizations and elected officials. To notify us of other endorsements, please email us.
Democratic primary endorsements | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Endorsement | Date | Ian Conyers | John Conyers III | Jones | Tlaib | Wild | Young | ||
Individuals | |||||||||
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez[27] | July 30, 2018 | ✔ | |||||||
Mike Duggan, mayor of Detroit[28] | February 5, 2018 | ✔ | |||||||
John Conyers Jr., former District 13 representative[29] | December 5, 2017 | ✔ | |||||||
Muriel Bowser, mayor of Washington, D.C.[2] | Unknown | ✔ | |||||||
U.S. Rep. Brenda Lawrence (D-Mich.)[30] | Unknown | ✔ | |||||||
Warren Evans, Wayne County Executive[30] | Unknown | ✔ | |||||||
James Tate, Detroit City Council[30] | Unknown | ✔ | |||||||
State Rep. Sylvia Santana[30] | Unknown | ✔ | |||||||
Bishop P.A. Brooks[30] | Unknown | ✔ | |||||||
Bishop J.H. Sheard[30] | Unknown | ✔ | |||||||
Reverend Ronald Griffin[30] | Unknown | ✔ | |||||||
U.S. Rep. Pramila Jayapal (D-Wash.)[31] | Unknown | ✔ | |||||||
State Rep. Stephanie Chang[31] | Unknown | ✔ | |||||||
Ilona Varga, Wayne County Commissioner[31] | Unknown | ✔ | |||||||
Michael Moore, filmmaker[31] | Unknown | ✔ | |||||||
Organizations | |||||||||
Michigan Chronicle[32] | August 2, 2018 | ✔ | |||||||
The Detroit Free Press[33] | July 29, 2018 | ✔ | |||||||
The Detroit News[34] | July 12, 2018 | ✔ | |||||||
Detroit Regional Chamber[35] | June 28, 2018 | ✔ | |||||||
Michigan AFL-CIO[36] | June 18, 2018 | ✔ | |||||||
United Food & Commercial Workers Union Local 876[37] | May 3, 2018 | ✔ | |||||||
United Automobile Workers International Union[30] | Unknown | ✔ | |||||||
Communications Workers of America, District 4[30] | Unknown | ✔ | |||||||
American Federation of Teachers-Michigan[30] | Unknown | ✔ | |||||||
Detroit Police Officers Association[30] | Unknown | ✔ | |||||||
Michigan Association of Police Officers[30] | Unknown | ✔ | |||||||
Michigan Regional Council of Carpenters and Millwrights[30] | Unknown | ✔ | |||||||
Michigan Building Trades Council[30] | Unknown | ✔ | |||||||
Operating Engineers Local 324[30] | Unknown | ✔ | |||||||
Justice Democrats[31] | Unknown | ✔ | |||||||
Democracy for America[31] | Unknown | ✔ | |||||||
Our Revolution[38] | Unknown | ✔ | |||||||
Progressive Change Campaign Committee[31] | Unknown | ✔ | |||||||
Arab American Democratic Action Fund[31] | Unknown | ✔ |
Campaign finance
This chart contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission for the special election.
This chart contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission for the regular election.
Satellite spending
- Climate Hawks Vote Political Action spent $2,500 supporting Rashida Tlaib on August 3.[39]
- Moveon.Org spent about $24,000 supporting Rashida Tlaib on July 28.[39]
Campaign strategies and tactics
Racial politics
According to the Detroit Free Press, a major issue in the race was whether a black candidate from the Detroit area would replace Conyers in the majority-minority district. As of 2015, there were 122 majority minority districts in Congress.
There was a possibility of a large number of candidates splitting the vote and allowing a non-black candidate to win a narrow plurality of the vote. The Press mentioned Westfield Mayor Bill Wild, who is white, and former state Rep. Rashida Tlaib, who is Arab-American and of Palestinian heritage, as candidates who could pursue the strategy.[2] According to Statistical Atlas, the district's racial breakdown was 56.3 percent black, 33.6 percent white, 6.3 percent Hispanic, 1.2 percent Asian, and 2.2 percent mixed in a recent survey.[40]
The Daily Kos wrote Wild's strategy could have been to target white voters in the mostly black district. It said, "The primary electorate here also usually has a substantial black majority, and Wild may struggle to make inroads against several black candidates if voting polarizes along racial lines, as it often does. However, if several Detroit-based candidates split the vote there, Wild could win with a simple plurality in a state that doesn't require runoffs."[5] When asked about this strategy, Wild said that Detroit voters were receptive to him in a previous campaign for Wayne County executive and that "We’re all talking the same things. Good schools; clean, safe neighborhoods and good jobs and opportunities.”[2]
The Press mentioned that Tlaib's candidacy could have motivated Muslim voters and voters of Arab descent residing south and west of Detroit.[2]
On March 5, the Detroit Free Press reported that a 30-member group of Detroit clergy, labor union leaders, and Democratic Party activists met and decided to unify their efforts behind Brenda Jones. While the specific persons in the group were not identified, Jonathan Kinloch, chairman of the 13th District Democratic Party organization, said the group endorsement was arranged in order to prevent the vote from splitting in the primary. The members of the group were directed to return to their respective organizations and promote Jones' candidacy.[3]
Kinloch told the Detroit Free Press the following when asked about the possibility of a non-black candidate winning the seat: “That is a very, very, very big concern among a lot of folks that I talk to...Yes, we have an African American (member of Congress) in Brenda Lawrence. But she’s not from the city ... not to mention it (the loss of a black Detroiter in Congress) would decrease the number of African-American voices that are part of the Congressional Black Caucus. … There are some serious concerns."[2]
Ideology
Rashida Tlaib ran as a progressive, saying she would vote to impeach Donald Trump, favored single-payer healthcare, and likely would not support Nancy Pelosi as Democratic leader due to her support for Conyers after he was accused of sexual harassment.[15] She campaigned with U.S. Rep. and former Congressional Progressive Caucus Chairman Keith Ellison (D-Minn.), who could not formally endorse candidates due to his role as Deputy Chairman of the Democratic National Committee.[4]
“For Rashida, her play is not so much being the farthest-left candidate on policy, it’s being the farthest left on rhetoric and tactics,” said Democratic strategist Susan Demas. “And she’s not afraid to say, ‘If I’m elected, I’m impeaching Donald Trump, that’s my calling card.'”[15]
Following Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's defeat of U.S. Rep. Joe Crowley (D-N.Y.) in his June 26 primary, Tlaib's campaign compared her to Ocasio-Cortez. Her campaign manager said, "We are basically running the same campaign, with the same platform and with a very similar candidate...We feel like we are part of this wave that's coming: unapologetically progressive people who are unafraid of taking on the Democratic establishment."[41]
Conyers family dispute over succession and failure of John Conyers III to qualify for ballot
In December 2017, Politico reported that John Conyers had originally wanted his nephew, state Sen. Ian Conyers, to replace him in Congress. However, Politico said that after Ian told the New York Times that Conyers was going to resign before he had made an official announcement, Conyers' wife Monica was angered and pushed for her and Conyers' son, John Conyers III, to be the new replacement.
After Conyers endorsed his son to replace him, Ian tweeted, “Monica - I spoke to my great uncle Thursday night via phone from hospital. His advice Run!” He later deleted the tweet.[1]
On March 16, the office of Wayne County Clerk Cathy Garrett announced that John Conyers III had not collected the 1,000 valid signatures required to be on the ballot in the regularly scheduled election. Only 905 of the 1,914 signatures he submitted were valid. He also filed to run in the special election for the seat and only 880 of the 1,905 signatures were deemed valid by the clerk's office.
Ian Conyers asked the clerk's office to verify the validity of his cousin's signatures. Jonathan Kinloch, chairman of the 13th Congressional District Democratic Party, said that Ian would benefit from being the only person named Conyers on the ballot.[23]
On May 21, Garrett announced that Conyers would be removed from the ballot for both primaries.[24] On May 29, Conyers III filed a lawsuit in Wayne County Circuit Court asking to be put back on the ballot. The suit claimed that Garrett's office failed to accept at least 188 valid signatures.[42]
On June 5, a Wayne County judge ruled against Conyers III.[43]
On June 12, the Michigan Court of Appeals upheld the decision to remove Conyers III from the ballot.[44]
On July 2, Conyers III told the Detroit News that he was collecting petition signatures to appear on the general election ballot as an independent. He had until July 19 to collect 3,000 signatures.[7]
On July 19, the Wayne County Clerk’s office informed Conyers III that he was ineligible to appear as an independent candidate because Michigan law prevented candidates from running in a partisan primary and as in an independent for the same office in an election cycle.[45][46]
Campaign advertisements
Rashida Tlaib
|
United for Progress ads opposing Rashida Tlaib
In July 2018, the group United for Progress ran these Facebook ads opposing Rashida Tlaib. The ads claimed that Tlaib did not introduce a $15 minimum wage bill while serving in the Michigan state House, supported state control of Belle Isle, and opposed a bill that would have banned discrimination against pregnant women in the workplace.
In response, Tlaib said the votes were being taken out of context and that the group had not properly disclosed its financial statements with the federal government. “Obviously, whoever’s behind this has to hide where the money is coming from,” Tlaib said.
A spokeswoman for the group said it was not affiliated with any of the other 13th District candidates.[47]
CitizenDetroit candidate videos
The community organization CitizenDetroit produced the following videos of the candidates stating their campaign themes and goals.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Polls
- See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
Michigan's 13th Congressional District Democratic primary, 2018 | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | Poll sponsor | Brenda Jones | Rashida Tlaib | Bill Wild | Coleman Young II | Ian Conyers | Shanelle Jackson | Undecided | Margin of error | Sample size | |||||||||
EPIC-MRA (July 25 - 26, 2018) | The Detroit Free Press | 24% | 21% | 17% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 19% | +/-4.0 | 700 | |||||||||
Target Insyght (July 16 - 19, 2018) | N/A | 21% | 19% | 20% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 14% | +/-4.0 | 600 | |||||||||
AVERAGES | 22.5% | 20% | 18.5% | 11.5% | 7% | 4% | 16.5% | +/-4 | 650 | ||||||||||
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org. |
Noteworthy events
Scheduling lawsuit
On December 28, 2017, candidate Michael Gilmore filed a lawsuit against Michigan Gov. Rick Snyder (R) because he scheduled the special election to be held at the same time as the November 6, 2018, general election for the seat. Gilmore argued that the 11-month delay in filling Conyers' seat was unconstitutional, claiming that it violated the due process and equal protection clauses of the U.S. Constitution. The suit he filed said, "As a result of the standing vacancy, the district did not have a vote on the $1.5-trillion tax reform law recently passed by Congress and will continue to be voiceless on important issues."
Gov. Snyder's office did not comment on the lawsuit. At the time the election date was announced, he cited the costs of holding a special election as the reason for consolidating it with the November 2018 elections. Snyder was supported in his decision by Jonathan Kinloch, the Democratic chairman of Michigan's 13th Congressional District. Snyder spokeswoman Anna Heaton said the governor consulted with the Wayne County executive’s office, Detroit Mayor Mike Duggan, and Secretary of State Ruth Johnson (R) when deciding the scheduling.[48]
Campaign themes and policy stances
Campaign themes from candidates' websites are shown, if available.
Ian Conyers
Conyers' campaign website stated the following:
“ |
Creating an environment for meaningful jobs to flourish I know what it's like to have family members look for work, which has driven my approach to delivering results. When we hire more women, veterans and minorities to infrastructure projects it does not just secure growth, it opens doors for the next generation. I will take this innovative approach to Washington as your next Congressman from the 13th District. Developing Equitable Communities Since tasking office, I have authored and voted for policies to make our communities stronger by helping veterans get a fast track to housing, investing in our children's healthy eating, and protecting our seniors opportunity to retire with dignity. This campaign is about all of us having a fair chance to thrive in the communities we love. 21st Century Public Safety and Transportation In addition to serving as State Senator, I am a trained and well practiced Urban Planner. Together we can continue to revitalize our neighborhoods via 21st century public safety and transportation for Detroit and Wayne County. As your U.S. Representative, I will make clear the needs of hard-working Michigan families. [49] |
” |
—Ian Conyers' campaign website (2018)[50] |
Rashida Tlaib
Tlaib's campaign website stated the following:
“ |
Economic Justice makes us healthier, safer, and makes our community fairer for everyone Standing up for Unions: I’ll protect our unions, the organizations that built our middle class and are on the front lines of the fight against the Republicans and their billionaire friends. Preventing Cuts to Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid: The Republicans are eager to cut Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid to pay for their tax cuts for the rich, and we can’t let them get away with it. Promoting Homeownership: I will take on the Wall Street banks that discriminate against our families and defraud us, and provide a pathway to homeownership so more of our families can have their own piece of the American Dream. Ending Corporate Welfare: We must stop tax giveaways to rich corporations and developers while our schools are crumbling and people are losing their homes. Equal Pay for Equal Work: Women deserve equal pay for equal work, and I’ll fight to end wage discrimination and close the pay gap. Debt-Free College and Vocational Training: The cost of higher education is a major barrier for many people, and we must make public colleges, universities, and trade schools tuition free for working families. Overturning Citizens United and Restoring the Voting Rights Act: Big money has hijacked our politics and we must overturn Citizens United to ensure all of our voices are heard. We must also restore the Voting Rights Act and fight back against voter suppression that targets minorities and tries to silence us. Medicare-for-All will ensure everyone has access to the healthcare they need We’re the only major nation on Earth that does not guarantee healthcare for its residents, and because of it millions of people in this country still do not have access to the health services they need. Environmental Protection to keep our families safe and healthy I’ll fight to undo the terrible cuts the Trump Administration has made to the EPA’s budget and hold polluters accountable, not give them a license to poison us. I don’t tolerate bullies, and I’m not going to let them poison my kids or yours. Protecting Public Schools and increasing access to higher education to uplift our communities Debt-Free College and Vocational Training: The cost of higher education is a major barrier for many people, and we must make public colleges, universities, and trade schools tuition free for working families. We must expand access to vocational training that builds skills and prepares people for careers. |
” |
—Rashida Tlaib's campaign website (2018)[51] |
Civil Rights Act changes
On July 11, Tlaib announced that she would seek changes to the federal Civil Rights Act if elected. These changes included making it easier for plaintiffs to sue using disparate impact claims, changing Title IX (which she said “create[s] incentives” for officials to ignore gender discrimination), and decreasing corporations' ability to use mandatory arbitration. She said the disparate impact changes could allow lawsuits related to a number of issues that affect poor communities of color, including redlining for bank loans and insurance coverage, the use of credit scores to determine loan qualifications, and low-quality infrastructure in schools. Tlaib said she developed her proposal after listening to the problems that community members most frequently discussed.[17]
Bill Wild
Wild's campaign website stated the following:
“ |
SAVING LIVES: COMMON SENSE GUN LAWS IMMIGRATION: PRIORITIZING FAMILIES AND FAIRNESS BRINGING HOME FEDERAL RESOURCES AND CUTTING RED TAPE FAIRNESS AND EQUALITY FOR WOMEN ACCESS TO JOBS, ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITY AND FAIRNESS VOTING RIGHTS AND EXPANDING ACCESS TO THE BALLOT BOX REBUILDING OUR ROADS, BRIDGES AND WATER SYSTEMS SUPPORTING SENIORS HEALTH CARE: AFFORDABILITY AND EQUAL ACCESS IMPROVING PUBLIC EDUCATION AND SUPPORTING TEACHERS LGBTQ EQUALITY FIGHTING FOR RELIABLE, AFFORDABLE TRANSIT CRIMINAL JUSTICE REFORM |
” |
—Bill Wild's campaign website (2018)[52] |
Race ratings
Race ratings: Michigan's 13th Congressional District election, 2018 | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
October 30, 2018 | October 23, 2018 | October 16, 2018 | October 9, 2018 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every two weeks throughout the election season. |
Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
Twelve of 83 Michigan counties—14 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008 | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
County | Trump margin of victory in 2016 | Obama margin of victory in 2012 | Obama margin of victory in 2008 | ||||
Bay County, Michigan | 12.55% | 5.56% | 15.31% | ||||
Calhoun County, Michigan | 12.46% | 1.60% | 9.36% | ||||
Eaton County, Michigan | 4.72% | 3.13% | 8.40% | ||||
Gogebic County, Michigan | 14.80% | 8.10% | 17.27% | ||||
Isabella County, Michigan | 3.66% | 9.28% | 19.26% | ||||
Lake County, Michigan | 22.77% | 5.01% | 12.28% | ||||
Macomb County, Michigan | 11.53% | 3.99% | 8.62% | ||||
Manistee County, Michigan | 15.29% | 5.93% | 13.26% | ||||
Monroe County, Michigan | 21.97% | 0.98% | 4.35% | ||||
Saginaw County, Michigan | 1.13% | 11.89% | 17.34% | ||||
Shiawassee County, Michigan | 19.59% | 3.67% | 8.59% | ||||
Van Buren County, Michigan | 13.92% | 0.45% | 8.78% |
In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Michigan with 47.5 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 47.3 percent. In presidential elections between 1836 and 2016, Michigan voted Republican 60.8 percent of the time and Democratic 34.7 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, Michigan voted Democratic four out of the five elections.[53]
Presidential results by legislative district
The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Michigan. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[54][55]
In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 53 out of 110 state House districts in Michigan with an average margin of victory of 37.1 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 43 out of 110 state House districts in Michigan with an average margin of victory of 39.3 points. Clinton won four districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections. |
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 57 out of 110 state House districts in Michigan with an average margin of victory of 12.4 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 67 out of 110 state House districts in Michigan with an average margin of victory of 21.2 points. Trump won eight districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections. |
2016 presidential results by state House district | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
District | Obama | Romney | 2012 Margin | Clinton | Trump | 2016 Margin | Party Control |
1 | 76.12% | 23.52% | D+52.6 | 74.49% | 22.85% | D+51.6 | D |
2 | 75.84% | 23.76% | D+52.1 | 74.45% | 22.64% | D+51.8 | D |
3 | 98.21% | 1.58% | D+96.6 | 96.30% | 2.42% | D+93.9 | D |
4 | 96.04% | 3.37% | D+92.7 | 92.77% | 5.06% | D+87.7 | D |
5 | 96.95% | 2.71% | D+94.2 | 93.33% | 4.83% | D+88.5 | D |
6 | 94.15% | 5.34% | D+88.8 | 90.29% | 7.44% | D+82.9 | D |
7 | 98.97% | 0.86% | D+98.1 | 96.95% | 1.74% | D+95.2 | D |
8 | 97.77% | 1.98% | D+95.8 | 95.72% | 2.90% | D+92.8 | D |
9 | 96.42% | 3.28% | D+93.1 | 93.92% | 4.34% | D+89.6 | D |
10 | 83.03% | 16.36% | D+66.7 | 80.28% | 16.66% | D+63.6 | D |
11 | 69.83% | 29.28% | D+40.6 | 60.65% | 34.79% | D+25.9 | D |
12 | 69.66% | 29.46% | D+40.2 | 56.96% | 38.90% | D+18.1 | D |
13 | 58.70% | 40.26% | D+18.4 | 47.99% | 46.73% | D+1.3 | D |
14 | 63.97% | 34.90% | D+29.1 | 50.54% | 44.29% | D+6.2 | D |
15 | 65.45% | 33.49% | D+32 | 62.76% | 31.92% | D+30.8 | D |
16 | 65.88% | 33.26% | D+32.6 | 56.06% | 38.69% | D+17.4 | D |
17 | 53.64% | 45.27% | D+8.4 | 38.41% | 56.34% | R+17.9 | R |
18 | 58.28% | 40.69% | D+17.6 | 50.48% | 44.92% | D+5.6 | D |
19 | 47.24% | 51.98% | R+4.7 | 43.64% | 51.18% | R+7.5 | R |
20 | 47.63% | 51.76% | R+4.1 | 49.30% | 45.76% | D+3.5 | R |
21 | 55.97% | 43.27% | D+12.7 | 54.96% | 40.68% | D+14.3 | D |
22 | 62.75% | 36.16% | D+26.6 | 50.97% | 44.23% | D+6.7 | D |
23 | 51.61% | 47.53% | D+4.1 | 41.73% | 53.84% | R+12.1 | D |
24 | 48.16% | 51.15% | R+3 | 40.03% | 55.91% | R+15.9 | R |
25 | 51.35% | 47.82% | D+3.5 | 42.94% | 52.49% | R+9.6 | D |
26 | 58.60% | 40.29% | D+18.3 | 56.27% | 37.48% | D+18.8 | D |
27 | 74.32% | 24.77% | D+49.6 | 71.48% | 23.39% | D+48.1 | D |
28 | 63.19% | 35.81% | D+27.4 | 54.82% | 40.99% | D+13.8 | D |
29 | 75.48% | 23.86% | D+51.6 | 69.48% | 26.66% | D+42.8 | D |
30 | 47.68% | 51.54% | R+3.9 | 39.34% | 57.11% | R+17.8 | R |
31 | 57.26% | 41.80% | D+15.5 | 47.27% | 48.11% | R+0.8 | D |
32 | 45.10% | 53.91% | R+8.8 | 30.78% | 64.53% | R+33.8 | R |
33 | 43.07% | 56.18% | R+13.1 | 32.28% | 63.80% | R+31.5 | R |
34 | 91.05% | 8.32% | D+82.7 | 85.10% | 12.15% | D+73 | D |
35 | 81.97% | 17.64% | D+64.3 | 81.81% | 15.71% | D+66.1 | D |
36 | 38.24% | 61.04% | R+22.8 | 30.40% | 65.42% | R+35 | R |
37 | 59.10% | 40.27% | D+18.8 | 60.06% | 35.59% | D+24.5 | D |
38 | 45.76% | 53.61% | R+7.9 | 45.77% | 49.43% | R+3.7 | R |
39 | 47.87% | 51.46% | R+3.6 | 45.98% | 49.67% | R+3.7 | R |
40 | 46.75% | 52.82% | R+6.1 | 53.61% | 42.72% | D+10.9 | R |
41 | 47.73% | 51.57% | R+3.8 | 48.35% | 46.97% | D+1.4 | R |
42 | 39.08% | 60.20% | R+21.1 | 35.20% | 59.46% | R+24.3 | R |
43 | 44.30% | 54.75% | R+10.5 | 37.46% | 56.79% | R+19.3 | R |
44 | 40.04% | 59.10% | R+19.1 | 33.95% | 60.71% | R+26.8 | R |
45 | 43.50% | 55.87% | R+12.4 | 43.89% | 51.48% | R+7.6 | R |
46 | 38.96% | 60.14% | R+21.2 | 33.28% | 61.11% | R+27.8 | R |
47 | 36.64% | 62.49% | R+25.9 | 29.62% | 65.24% | R+35.6 | R |
48 | 58.92% | 39.84% | D+19.1 | 42.94% | 51.79% | R+8.9 | D |
49 | 70.36% | 28.78% | D+41.6 | 62.12% | 33.46% | D+28.7 | D |
50 | 56.32% | 42.74% | D+13.6 | 47.23% | 47.93% | R+0.7 | D |
51 | 45.91% | 53.06% | R+7.1 | 35.38% | 58.95% | R+23.6 | R |
52 | 51.66% | 47.46% | D+4.2 | 52.00% | 42.81% | D+9.2 | D |
53 | 79.38% | 19.51% | D+59.9 | 84.00% | 11.95% | D+72.1 | D |
54 | 75.10% | 23.79% | D+51.3 | 72.03% | 23.05% | D+49 | D |
55 | 67.37% | 31.61% | D+35.8 | 68.76% | 26.59% | D+42.2 | D |
56 | 48.37% | 50.57% | R+2.2 | 35.50% | 59.23% | R+23.7 | R |
57 | 49.04% | 49.87% | R+0.8 | 36.78% | 57.21% | R+20.4 | R |
58 | 38.71% | 60.10% | R+21.4 | 26.28% | 68.98% | R+42.7 | R |
59 | 44.29% | 54.72% | R+10.4 | 32.68% | 61.96% | R+29.3 | R |
60 | 72.01% | 26.83% | D+45.2 | 69.41% | 24.00% | D+45.4 | D |
61 | 50.04% | 49.13% | D+0.9 | 49.18% | 44.85% | D+4.3 | R |
62 | 55.24% | 43.75% | D+11.5 | 46.21% | 48.51% | R+2.3 | R |
63 | 44.40% | 54.59% | R+10.2 | 36.73% | 57.51% | R+20.8 | R |
64 | 47.70% | 51.23% | R+3.5 | 39.65% | 54.58% | R+14.9 | R |
65 | 45.58% | 53.37% | R+7.8 | 34.34% | 59.82% | R+25.5 | R |
66 | 49.22% | 49.68% | R+0.5 | 40.21% | 53.57% | R+13.4 | R |
67 | 54.11% | 44.79% | D+9.3 | 48.13% | 45.14% | D+3 | D |
68 | 74.22% | 24.64% | D+49.6 | 69.86% | 24.09% | D+45.8 | D |
69 | 63.28% | 35.87% | D+27.4 | 65.25% | 29.76% | D+35.5 | D |
70 | 46.16% | 52.60% | R+6.4 | 31.66% | 61.85% | R+30.2 | R |
71 | 51.63% | 47.28% | D+4.4 | 45.73% | 48.08% | R+2.4 | R |
72 | 42.84% | 56.25% | R+13.4 | 42.15% | 51.76% | R+9.6 | R |
73 | 38.17% | 60.92% | R+22.8 | 38.73% | 55.53% | R+16.8 | R |
74 | 38.55% | 60.36% | R+21.8 | 34.41% | 58.80% | R+24.4 | R |
75 | 74.68% | 23.76% | D+50.9 | 72.00% | 20.81% | D+51.2 | D |
76 | 54.72% | 44.21% | D+10.5 | 56.22% | 36.96% | D+19.3 | D |
77 | 40.65% | 58.32% | R+17.7 | 39.18% | 54.16% | R+15 | R |
78 | 42.78% | 56.14% | R+13.4 | 35.48% | 58.95% | R+23.5 | R |
79 | 47.82% | 51.46% | R+3.6 | 43.78% | 51.52% | R+7.7 | R |
80 | 41.20% | 57.64% | R+16.4 | 34.03% | 59.93% | R+25.9 | R |
81 | 43.91% | 55.01% | R+11.1 | 29.26% | 65.68% | R+36.4 | R |
82 | 43.67% | 55.14% | R+11.5 | 28.22% | 66.56% | R+38.3 | R |
83 | 46.42% | 52.52% | R+6.1 | 33.33% | 60.79% | R+27.5 | R |
84 | 43.28% | 55.59% | R+12.3 | 28.81% | 66.70% | R+37.9 | R |
85 | 49.88% | 48.85% | D+1 | 35.62% | 57.97% | R+22.4 | R |
86 | 36.01% | 62.99% | R+27 | 34.93% | 58.61% | R+23.7 | R |
87 | 40.02% | 58.70% | R+18.7 | 30.07% | 63.54% | R+33.5 | R |
88 | 26.40% | 72.87% | R+46.5 | 25.79% | 68.49% | R+42.7 | R |
89 | 37.56% | 61.56% | R+24 | 36.28% | 57.85% | R+21.6 | R |
90 | 32.62% | 66.46% | R+33.8 | 32.75% | 60.91% | R+28.2 | R |
91 | 50.46% | 48.46% | D+2 | 39.61% | 54.18% | R+14.6 | R |
92 | 67.85% | 31.32% | D+36.5 | 58.17% | 36.52% | D+21.7 | D |
93 | 46.26% | 52.90% | R+6.6 | 38.97% | 55.17% | R+16.2 | R |
94 | 43.56% | 55.67% | R+12.1 | 37.44% | 57.65% | R+20.2 | R |
95 | 74.44% | 24.76% | D+49.7 | 66.46% | 29.76% | D+36.7 | D |
96 | 53.72% | 45.31% | D+8.4 | 43.05% | 51.44% | R+8.4 | D |
97 | 45.55% | 53.21% | R+7.7 | 30.25% | 65.08% | R+34.8 | R |
98 | 43.01% | 56.04% | R+13 | 37.35% | 55.97% | R+18.6 | R |
99 | 50.75% | 48.05% | D+2.7 | 40.94% | 52.83% | R+11.9 | R |
100 | 43.36% | 55.52% | R+12.2 | 30.44% | 64.16% | R+33.7 | R |
101 | 48.22% | 50.74% | R+2.5 | 40.48% | 53.98% | R+13.5 | R |
102 | 42.55% | 56.27% | R+13.7 | 30.87% | 63.45% | R+32.6 | R |
103 | 42.90% | 55.90% | R+13 | 28.62% | 66.46% | R+37.8 | R |
104 | 43.58% | 55.39% | R+11.8 | 40.74% | 53.27% | R+12.5 | R |
105 | 40.35% | 58.47% | R+18.1 | 31.11% | 63.83% | R+32.7 | R |
106 | 45.20% | 53.57% | R+8.4 | 32.06% | 63.22% | R+31.2 | R |
107 | 43.34% | 55.54% | R+12.2 | 35.33% | 58.84% | R+23.5 | R |
108 | 44.37% | 54.58% | R+10.2 | 32.79% | 62.29% | R+29.5 | R |
109 | 53.29% | 45.44% | D+7.9 | 44.75% | 48.82% | R+4.1 | D |
110 | 47.04% | 51.62% | R+4.6 | 37.59% | 56.55% | R+19 | D |
Total | 54.30% | 44.79% | D+9.5 | 47.36% | 47.59% | R+0.2 | - |
Source: Daily Kos |
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+32, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 32 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Michigan's 13th Congressional District the 21st most Democratic nationally.[56]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.94. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.94 points toward that party.[57]
State overview
Partisan control
This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Michigan heading into the 2018 elections.
Congressional delegation
- Following the 2016 elections, Democrats held both U.S. Senate seats in Michigan.
- Republicans held 9 of 14 U.S. House seats in Michigan, Democrats held four seats, and one seat was vacant.
State executives
- As of September 2018, Republicans held eight of 16 state executive positions, Democrats held four, and the remaining four positions were officially nonpartisan.
- The governor of Michigan was Republican Rick Snyder. The state held an election for governor and lieutenant governor on November 6, 2018.
State legislature
- Republicans controlled both chambers of the Michigan State Legislature. They had a 63-46 majority in the state House and a 27-10 majority in the state Senate.
Trifecta status
- Michigan was a Republican trifecta, meaning that the Republican Party controlled the state government. Rick Snyder (R) served as governor, while Republicans controlled the state legislature.
2018 elections
- See also: Michigan elections, 2018
Michigan held elections for the following positions in 2018:
- One U.S. Senate seat
- 14 U.S. House seats
- Governor and lieutenant governor
- Five lower state executive positions
- 38 state Senate seats
- 110 state House seats
- Municipal elections in Wayne County
Demographics
Demographic data for Michigan | ||
---|---|---|
Michigan | U.S. | |
Total population: | 9,917,715 | 316,515,021 |
Land area (sq mi): | 56,539 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White: | 79% | 73.6% |
Black/African American: | 14% | 12.6% |
Asian: | 2.7% | 5.1% |
Native American: | 0.5% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander: | 0% | 0.2% |
Two or more: | 2.6% | 3% |
Hispanic/Latino: | 4.7% | 17.1% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate: | 89.6% | 86.7% |
College graduation rate: | 26.9% | 29.8% |
Income | ||
Median household income: | $49,576 | $53,889 |
Persons below poverty level: | 20% | 11.3% |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Michigan. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
As of July 2016, Michigan's three largest cities were Detroit (pop. est. 673,000), Grand Rapids (pop. est. 199,000), and Warren (pop. est. 135,000).[58]
State election history
This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Michigan from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Michigan Secretary of State.
Historical elections
Presidential elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Michigan every year from 2000 to 2016.
Election results (President of the United States), Michigan 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | ![]() |
47.5% | ![]() |
47.3% | 0.2% |
2012 | ![]() |
54.2% | ![]() |
44.7% | 9.5% |
2008 | ![]() |
57.4% | ![]() |
41.0% | 16.4% |
2004 | ![]() |
51.2% | ![]() |
47.8% | 3.4% |
2000 | ![]() |
51.3% | ![]() |
46.2% | 5.1% |
U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Michigan from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.
Election results (U.S. Senator), Michigan 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2014 | ![]() |
54.6% | ![]() |
41.3% | 13.3% |
2012 | ![]() |
58.8% | ![]() |
38.0% | 20.8% |
2008 | ![]() |
62.7% | ![]() |
33.9% | 28.8% |
2006 | ![]() |
56.9% | ![]() |
41.3% | 15.6% |
2002 | ![]() |
60.6% | ![]() |
37.9% | 22.7% |
2000 | ![]() |
49.5% | ![]() |
47.9% | 1.6% |
Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Michigan.
Election results (Governor), Michigan 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2014 | ![]() |
50.9% | ![]() |
46.9% | 4.0% |
2010 | ![]() |
58.1% | ![]() |
39.9% | 18.2% |
2006 | ![]() |
56.4% | ![]() |
42.3% | 14.1% |
2002 | ![]() |
51.4% | ![]() |
47.4% | 4.0% |
Congressional delegation, 2000-2016
This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Michigan in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.
Trifectas, 1992-2017
A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.
Michigan Party Control: 1992-2025
Two years of Democratic trifectas • Fourteen years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Senate | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D |
House | D | S | S | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | R |
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan, 2018
- United States House elections in Michigan (August 7, 2018 Democratic primaries)
- Michigan's 13th Congressional District election (August 7, 2018 Republican primary)
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2018
Footnotes
- ↑ 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 Politico, "John Conyers Was An Icon. Then He Lost His Way.," December 6, 2017
- ↑ 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.8 Detroit Free Press, "Race for John Conyers' open seat a Democratic free-for-all," March 2, 2018
- ↑ 3.0 3.1 3.2 Detroit Free Press, "Detroit 'stakeholders' group backs Brenda Jones to replace Conyers for Congress," March 5, 2018
- ↑ 4.0 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 The Intercept, "JOHN CONYERS RESIGNED FROM CONGRESS OVER SEXUAL HARASSMENT. HIS SON AND GRANDNEPHEW MIGHT LOSE THE RACE TO REPLACE HIM.," April 16, 2018
- ↑ 5.0 5.1 5.2 Daily Kos, "Voting Rights Roundup: Pennsylvania court orders a fair congressional map to replace GOP gerrymander," February 23, 2018
- ↑ 6.0 6.1 Detroit News, "Ian Conyers announces U.S. Congress bid," January 29, 2018
- ↑ 7.0 7.1 Detroit News, "John Conyers III plans to run for Congress as independent," July 2, 2018
- ↑ Ian Conyers for Congress, "Priorities," accessed May 3, 2018
- ↑ Ian Conyers for Congress, "About Ian," accessed May 3, 2018
- ↑ Brenda Jones for Congress, "Detroit City Council President Brenda Jones Announces Run for Michigan’s 13th Congressional District," January 27, 2018
- ↑ Detroit Free Press, "Race for John Conyers' open seat a Democratic free-for-all," March 2, 2018
- ↑ Brenda Jones for Congress, "About," accessed May 3, 2018
- ↑ FEC, "MI-13," accessed May 3, 2018
- ↑ Rashida Tlaib for Congress, "Endorsements," accessed May 3, 2018
- ↑ 15.0 15.1 15.2 15.3 The Hill, "Dem hoping to replace Conyers pushes Trump impeachment," April 4, 2018
- ↑ Rashida Tlaib for Congress, "Priorities," accessed May 3, 2018
- ↑ 17.0 17.1 Detroit News, "Tlaib proposes changes to Civil Rights Act," July 11, 2018
- ↑ Rashida Tlaib for Congress," "About," accessed May 3, 2018
- ↑ Bill Wild for Congress, "Our Priorities," accessed July 9, 2018
- ↑ Bill Wild for Congress, "About," accessed May 3, 2018
- ↑ Detroit News, "Coleman Young II running for Congress," December 8, 2017
- ↑ Detroit Free Press, "State Sen. Coleman Young II says he's running for Detroit mayor," February 19, 2017
- ↑ 23.0 23.1 Roll Call, "Conyers’ Son Fails to Make the Ballot," May 17, 2018
- ↑ 24.0 24.1 Detroit News, "Clerk tosses Conyers III from Congress ballot," May 21, 2018
- ↑ 25.0 25.1 Detroit News, "Conyers III denies allegations, unsure on Congress run," December 7, 2017
- ↑ New York Times, "John Conyers’s Son Was Arrested This Year, Accused of Stabbing His Girlfriend," December 6, 2017
- ↑ YouTube, "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez endorses Fayrouz Saad & Rashida Tlaib," July 30, 2018
- ↑ Detroit Free Press, "Riley: Detroit mayor endorses Brenda Jones to replace John Conyers," February 5, 2018
- ↑ Time, "John Conyers Says He Will Retire From Congress Amid Harassment Allegations," December 5, 2017
- ↑ 30.00 30.01 30.02 30.03 30.04 30.05 30.06 30.07 30.08 30.09 30.10 30.11 30.12 30.13 30.14 Brenda Jones for Congress, "Endorsements," accessed May 3, 2018
- ↑ 31.0 31.1 31.2 31.3 31.4 31.5 31.6 31.7 Rashida Tlaib for Congress, "Endorsements," accessed May 3, 2018
- ↑ Michigan Chronicle, "Michigan Chronicle announces political endorsements for Primary Election," August 2, 2018
- ↑ The Detroit Free Press, "Endorsement: Rashida Tlaib the right fit for Detroit's 13th District," July 29, 2018
- ↑ Detroit News, "For Congress, from Metro Detroit," July 12, 2018
- ↑ Detroit News, "Political Insider: Epstein fundraiser canceled over her Trump support," June 28, 2018
- ↑ Michigan AFL-CIO, "Michigan AFL-CIO Endorses Candidates for 2018 Election," June 18, 2018
- ↑ Rashida Tlaib for Congress, "UFCW Local 876 Endorses Rashida Tlaib for Congress," May 3, 2018
- ↑ Our Revolution, "Rashida Tlaib," accessed August 2, 2018
- ↑ 39.0 39.1 ProPublica, "Michigan’s 13th District House Race - 2018 cycle," accessed August 1, 2018
- ↑ Statistical Atlas, "Race and Ethnicity in Congressional District 13, Michigan," accessed February 24, 2018
- ↑ CNN, "She could be the first Muslim woman in Congress. She has to defeat Detroit's Democratic establishment first," July 5, 2018
- ↑ Detroit News, "Conyers' son sues to get back on ballot," May 29, 2018
- ↑ Detroit News, "Judge denies Conyers' request to get back on ballot," June 5, 2018
- ↑ Detroit Free Press, "Court of Appeals makes it final: Conyers' son off ballot," June 12, 2018
- ↑ Bridge Michigan, "John Conyers’ son rejected again in bid for U.S. Congress," July 31, 2018
- ↑ Detroit News, "Conyers III disqualified as independent candidate for Congress," July 31, 2018
- ↑ Detroit News, "'Dark money' group behind Tlaib attack ads," July 20, 2018
- ↑ The Spokesman-Review, "Candidate for John Conyers’ seat sues Gov. Snyder over special election date," December 29, 2017
- ↑ 49.0 49.1 49.2 Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
- ↑ Ian Conyers for Congress, “Issues,” accessed June 16, 2018
- ↑ Rashida Tlaib for Congress, “Issues,” accessed June 16, 2018
- ↑ Bill Wild for Congress, “Issues,” accessed June 16, 2018
- ↑ 270towin.com, "Michigan," accessed June 29, 2017
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ Michigan Demographics, "Michigan Cities by Population," accessed September 5, 2018