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Michigan gubernatorial election, 2022 (August 2 Republican primary)

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2026
2018
Governor of Michigan
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: April 19, 2022
Primary: August 2, 2022
General: November 8, 2022

Pre-election incumbent(s):
Gretchen Whitmer (Democratic)
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m.
Voting in Michigan
Ballotpedia analysis
Federal and state primary competitiveness
State executive elections in 2022
Impact of term limits in 2022
State government trifectas
State government triplexes
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022
Michigan
executive elections
Governor

Lieutenant Governor
Attorney General
Secretary of State
State Board of Education (2 seats)
University of Michigan Board of Regents (2 seats)
Michigan State University Board of Trustees (2 seats)
Wayne State University Board of Governors (2 seats)

Tudor Dixon defeated Ryan Kelley, Ralph Rebandt, Kevin Rinke, Garrett Soldano, and three write-in candidates in the Republican primary for governor of Michigan on Aug. 2, 2022.

Dixon faced incumbent Gov. Gretchen Whitmer (D) in the November general election.

Dixon was a former news anchor for America's Voice News.[1] Dixon called herself "the visionary and clear policy leader in the Republican field," saying she would "rebuild and grow the economy, stop the indoctrination of our school children, ... [and] apply common-sense reforms to Michigan's elections."[2]

Kelley owned a real estate investment firm.[3] Kelley said, "We have God-given rights, not government granted privileges," adding that he would "protect and defend those rights from an overreaching federal government." Kelley referred to Whitmer as a "radical left wing dictator."[4]

Rinke owned and operated a group of car dealerships in the Detroit area.[5] Rinke highlighted his business experience, saying he would "get the government out of the way, eliminate regulations, lower costs and let businesses do what they do best: create good paying jobs for our communities."[6]

Soldano was a chiropractor and co-founder of Stand Up Michigan, a group opposed to the state's coronavirus policies.[7] Soldano said he was "standing up for Michigan" and "running to be your voice and return our government to We the People," listing integrity, transparency, and freedom as three key points of his campaign.[8]

Several candidates received noteworthy endorsements. The Michigan Chamber of Commerce and former U.S. President Donald Trump (R) endorsed Dixon.[9][10] The Michigan Coalition for Freedom and the National Firearms Coalition endorsed Kelley.[11][12] Michael Brown, a state police captain and former Republican gubernatorial candidate, endorsed Rinke.[13]

Five candidates failed to qualify for the Republican primary ballot after a May 23 Bureau of Elections report that found 36 petition circulators forged an estimated 68,000 signatures across multiple campaigns’ nominating petitions, including those of the affected gubernatorial candidates.[14] One of those candidates—former Detroit Police Chief James Craig, a fundraising leader in the race—ran as a write-in candidate in the primary.

Ralph Rebandt (R) completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Click on a candidate's name to view that candidate's responses.

This page focuses on Michigan's Republican Party gubernatorial primary. For more in-depth information on Michigan's Democratic gubernatorial primary and the general election, see the following pages:

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Election news

This section includes a timeline of events leading up to the primary.

Candidates and election results

Republican primary election

Republican primary for Governor of Michigan

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Tudor Dixon
Tudor Dixon
 
39.7
 
436,350
Image of Kevin Rinke
Kevin Rinke
 
21.5
 
236,306
Image of Garrett Soldano
Garrett Soldano
 
17.5
 
192,442
Image of Ryan Kelley
Ryan Kelley
 
15.1
 
165,587
Image of Ralph Rebandt
Ralph Rebandt Candidate Connection
 
4.1
 
45,046
Image of James Craig
James Craig (Write-in)
 
2.1
 
23,521
Elizabeth Adkisson (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
11
Justin Blackburn (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
10

Total votes: 1,099,273
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

News and conflicts in this primary

This race was featured in The Heart of the Primaries, a newsletter capturing stories related to conflicts within each major party. Click here to read more about conflict in this and other 2022 Republican gubernatorial primaries. Click here to subscribe to the newsletter.

Candidate comparison

Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.

Image of Tudor Dixon

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Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Biography:  Dixon received a bachelor's degree in psychology from the University of Kentucky in 1998. From 2002 to 2017, Dixon worked in steel sales. In 2017, Dixon began working in news media, including a role as news anchor for America's Voice News.



Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.


Dixon called herself "the visionary and clear policy leader in the Republican field," saying she would "rebuild and grow the economy, stop the indoctrination of our school children, ... [and] apply common-sense reforms to Michigan's elections."


Dixon said, "I'm running for governor to get us back on track," adding, "I want the government to give you the tools you need to build your own American dream, and then get out of the way so you can."


Dixon said, "I'm not a politician ... I'm a Michigander," calling herself "[a] conservative outsider lacking the insider political connections of her opponents."


Show sources

This information was current as of the candidate's run for Governor of Michigan in 2022.

Image of Ryan Kelley

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Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Biography:  Kelley attended Grand Rapids Community College before beginning his career at Ameritech, which later became AT&T. In 2011, Kelley began to work in real estate investment, opening his own firm in 2019.



Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.


Kelley said, "We have God-given rights, not government granted privileges," adding that he would "protect and defend those rights from an overreaching federal government," and referring to Gov. Gretchen Whitmer (D) as a "radical left wing dictator."


Kelley said a governor should lead by example and highlighted his political organizing experiences, saying, "After the stolen 2020 election, [he] organized 'Stop the Steal' rallies," and, in 2020, "protected a Civil War statue ... from being torn down by Antifa and [Black Lives Matter]."


Kelley said, "[E]lection integrity must ... be a core action of Michigan elections," adding that he would end automatic absentee/mail-in ballots, ballot drop boxes, and same-day voter registration.


Show sources

This information was current as of the candidate's run for Governor of Michigan in 2022.

Image of Ralph Rebandt

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Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography "Ralph was raised in Woodhaven, Wayne County. He served as lead pastor for Oakland Hills Community Church, Farmington Hills for 35 years. He is chaplain for the Michigan Association of Chiefs of Police, Southeastern Michigan Chiefs of Police, Farmington Hills Police Department, Beverly Hills Police Department, and serves on the board for the Farmington Hills Crime Prevention Advisory Committee. He earned a Bachelor's Degree in Religious Education from Summit University, Clarks Summit, Pennsylvania; Master's Degree in Religious Education and Master of Divinity Degree from Westminster Seminary, Philadelphia, where he graduated magna cum laude and acquired credits in the Ph.D. program. He was a member of the International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers, the Michigan Laborers Union, and the United Steelworkers. He served as Religious Advisor on Governor Engler’s Sex and Drugs Education Task Force and as a member for Farmington Families in Action. Presently, he serves as a member of the Board of Governors for the Council for National Policy in Washington, D.C., and as a member of Farmington Hills Suicide Awareness for Everyone. He and his high school sweetheart, Carol, were married in 1976 and have four grown children and sixteen grandchildren. They live in Oakland County, Michigan."


Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.


I will restore the foundation of our National Motto "In God We Trust". The First Amendment was designed to protect the religious rights of American citizens, and although our National Motto, "In God We Trust", has been challenged numerous times over the past 50 years, it has been successfully upheld by the Supreme Court. The Founders understood this and framed our Declaration of Independence to confirm the fact that our rights come from God and not the government or any other entity. Unless we get God right, nothing else will matter, and the claims of socialism and communism will find a place in the public square and in the marketplace of ideas.


I will uphold the original meaning of the U.S. Constitution and appoint administration, assign department heads, and fill vacancies with those who uphold the same. Many of our liberties have been confiscated and I will fight to restore election integrity, medical freedom, school choice, American exceptionalism, limited government, protection of unborn life, protection of free speech, protection of religion, and protection of the Second Amendment as written and understood by our Founders.


Michigan will need a strong leader to navigate through the post pandemic economy, and I have consulted with some of the nation’s finest and most respected conservative economists to develop a plan that will allow Michigan to not just coast, but soar to new economic horizons. This plan includes the reduction of government regulation, budget accountability, and tax reform that will attract others to move to Michigan as we become a Lighthouse to the Nation.

This information was current as of the candidate's run for Governor of Michigan in 2022.

Image of Kevin Rinke

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Biography:  Rinke received a bachelor's degree in advertising and statistics from Michigan State University in 1983. After graduating, Rinke joined his family's car dealership business, Rinke Automotive Group. In 2009, Rinke joined Cassell & Associates, an organization focused on the rehabilitation of individuals with traumatic brain injuries.



Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.


Rinke said, "I'm a businessman, not a politician," adding that, as governor, he would "get the same results for you that I've gotten for hundreds of thousands of employees in the State of Michigan."


Rinke said "the 2020 eleciton was rife with administrative problems, leading to a tainted election in the eyes of millions," adding that he would "institute common sense reforms that make it easy to vote and impossible to cheat."


Rinke highlighted his business experience, saying he would "get the government out of the way, eliminate regulations, lower costs and let businesses do what they do best: create good paying jobs for our communities."


Show sources

This information was current as of the candidate's run for Governor of Michigan in 2022.

Image of Garrett Soldano

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Biography:  Soldano received a bachelor's degree in criminal justice from Western Michigan University. Following graduation, Soldano worked in construction before receiving a degree from Palmer College of Chiropractic. In 2020, Soldano co-founded Stand Up Michigan, a group opposed to the state's coronavirus policies. At the time of the primary, Soldano worked as a chiropractor and owned and operated Soldano Family Chiropractic Center.



Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.


On his campaign website, Soldano said he was "standing up for Michigan" and "running to be your voice and return our government to We the People," listing integrity, transparency, and freedom as three key points of his campaign.


Soldano opposed Michigan's coronavirus responses, saying, "No governor should ever have as much power as [Gov. Gretchen] Whitmer has abused," and emphasizing his activism against those policies, saying he "led the fight to re-open our economy" and would "get back to work to rebuild all that's been lost."


Soldano said, "the woke groomer mafia wants to indoctrinate and subjugate our kids to their warped fantasies" and that he would "turn Michigan into the parent's rights capital of America and transition woke Whitmer out of office."


Show sources

This information was current as of the candidate's run for Governor of Michigan in 2022.

Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

Survey responses from candidates in this race

Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.

Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.

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I will restore the foundation of our National Motto "In God We Trust". The First Amendment was designed to protect the religious rights of American citizens, and although our National Motto, "In God We Trust", has been challenged numerous times over the past 50 years, it has been successfully upheld by the Supreme Court. The Founders understood this and framed our Declaration of Independence to confirm the fact that our rights come from God and not the government or any other entity. Unless we get God right, nothing else will matter, and the claims of socialism and communism will find a place in the public square and in the marketplace of ideas.

I will uphold the original meaning of the U.S. Constitution and appoint administration, assign department heads, and fill vacancies with those who uphold the same. Many of our liberties have been confiscated and I will fight to restore election integrity, medical freedom, school choice, American exceptionalism, limited government, protection of unborn life, protection of free speech, protection of religion, and protection of the Second Amendment as written and understood by our Founders.

Michigan will need a strong leader to navigate through the post pandemic economy, and I have consulted with some of the nation’s finest and most respected conservative economists to develop a plan that will allow Michigan to not just coast, but soar to new economic horizons. This plan includes the reduction of government regulation, budget accountability, and tax reform that will attract others to move to Michigan as we become a Lighthouse to the Nation.
I am passionate about policies that promote God, family, and country, and these are foundational to how I view public policy. The best way to implement change is by considering those who would be affected by it. Too often, bureaucratic ideas and projects are embraced by those who are unrelated to the fallout from those decisions. Rarely is God discussed, seldom is the family unit considered, and what is best for the country has been replaced by global aspirations. It’s time that strategies are employed that include an intentional discussion on how God, family, and country are affected by policy. Policies that I am passionate about include election integrity, medical freedom, school choice, educational reform, budget accountability, American exceptionalism, limited government, protection of unborn life, protection of free speech, protection of religion, support of law enforcement, and protection of the Second Amendment.
Jesus Christ is my Savior and His example is the most important in my life. I have been blessed with many role models starting with my parents, many solid exemplary school teachers, my wife and beautiful family, and many pastors who have exemplified the humility of Christ. I have a deep respect for our Founders who pledged their lives, their fortunes, and their sacred honor for the cause of freedom. As far as national leaders, I have deep respect for George Washington, Abraham Lincoln, Ronald Reagan, and Donald Trump because they all did the right thing in the face of fierce opposition.
The Founders understood the limited role of government as revealed in the U.S. Constitution. I would encourage everyone to read through the U. S. Constitution and other foundational documents to understand the purpose and intent of the role of government.
I am a man of integrity. I tell the truth.

I make wise decisions based on truth.

I put others before myself.

I have been married to my wife for 45 years and we have four children and 16 grandchildren.

I have served the citizens of Michigan for 35 years in varied capacities.

I have developed relationships with people from all walks of life.

I serve on the Board of Governors for the Council for National Policy, Washington D.C. and have developed relationships with conservative national leaders.

I am a historian and understand the role of government and that where there is limited government there is more freedom.

That I was the most honest, transparent, accessible, and accountable governor in the history of Michigan who served the state well and brought unity and common sense back to civic life.
I ran a paper route for the Detroit Free Press for a couple years during my early teen years.
The Bible is my favorite book because it is God's revelation.
Losing a granddaughter at 3 weeks of age due to congenital birth defects.
Those who are the best servants make the best governors. I have served the people of Michigan for the past 35 years with integrity and transparency as a pastor, a community leader, and police chaplain. I've experienced the joys and disappointments of the people of Michigan and have supported them in a wide variety of situations. I am a compassionate listener, and I believe that a governor should listen more than speak. Governors are elected officials who represent and serve the people. I agree with Ronald Reagan who once said "Government's first duty is to protect the people, not run their lives." Governors must be willing to stand firm for what is right and have the ability to motivate and encourage others to stand with them in the face of opposition. They must understand that you can't fix the state until you fix the city, and you can't fix the city until you fix the neighborhood, and you can't fix the neighborhood until you fix the family.
I believe that good governors are the last line of defense when the national government has gone out of control. Governors must be willing to make the tough calls and to stand firm in defense of the Constitution and rights of its citizens.

In the state of Michigan, reducing government regulation, encouraging the growth of small business, promoting the start of new business, encouraging and approving legislation that promotes integrity in our elections, encouraging energy independence, and supporting our Constitutional rights are all responsibilities that are important to me as the 50th governor of Michigan as well as the people of this great state.

Operation Roundtable is a strategy listed on our website, ralphrebandtforgovrnor.com that will be used to address the state budget of Michigan. There are nine segments of society that are affected by the budget, yet as politics usually go, only one segment is represented in discussing the budget, and that being politicians, and most often these politicians listen to lobbyists in preparation for budget decisions. However, I will listen to representation from every day, ordinary citizens that will be invited to the round table in my office. The budget involves more people than just politicians, and this should be reflected in the adoption of state budget and budgetary concerns.
In Michigan, the governor has the power to make line-item vetoes. I would consider the advice of my colleagues, of the Roundtable participants, and of the Republican core values of God, family, and country.
The ideal relationship between governor and state legislature is first and foremost open, honest, and transparent dialogue. Secondly there needs to be an understanding that both governor and legislature serve the people, and are accountable to them. Thirdly, there must be commitment to support and defend the Constitution of Michigan and the Constitution of the United States.
Michigan is the most amazing state in America! It is surrounded by almost 20% of the world’s fresh water. From our natural resources, innovative industries, small businesses, agricultural ingenuities, educational choices, and gorgeous lakes, Pure Michigan is second to none. You can watch the sunrise over Lake Huron, jump in your car, and catch the sunset over Lake Michigan – all in one day! I love the hard working, friendly, resilient people of Michigan. We are part of a carefully woven tapestry; a tapestry that has survived a Revolution, a Civil War, two World Wars, and a host of other catastrophic events.
Economy, rights, liberty, use of natural resources, education reform, infrastructure, help for hard hit zip codes and our most vulnerable citizens. Governor Gretchen Whitmer has created challenges for the people of Michigan in almost every area and segment of society. Although these are challenges, it is easier to see the light when darkness has prevailed, and our way out is clear, we just need the right leadership at the helm.
Only as defined by law and with the founding principles of liberty and freedom.



Campaign advertisements

This section includes a selection of up to three campaign advertisements per candidate released in this race, as well as links to candidates' YouTube, Vimeo, and/or Facebook video pages. If you are aware of other links that should be included, please email us.

Republican Party Tudor Dixon

May 27, 2021

View more ads here:

Republican Party Ryan Kelley

July 19, 2022
July 19, 2022
Oct. 29, 2021

View more ads here:

Republican Party Ralph Rebandt

June 11, 2022
Nov. 27, 2021

View more ads here:

Republican Party Kevin Rinke

July 7, 2022
May 22, 2022
Feb. 7, 2022

View more ads here:

Republican Party Garrett Soldano

July 20, 2022
June 15, 2022
May 10, 2021

View more ads here:

Republican Party James Craig (write-in)

Jan. 27, 2022
July 21, 2021

View more ads here:

Satellite ads

This section includes a selection of campaign advertisements released by satellite groups. If you are aware of other satellite ads that should be included, please email us.

Michigan Families United

Michigan Families United spent $948,070 on media production and placement for ads supporting Dixon on June 8.[56][57] Michigan Families United reported $2.5 million raised between April and July, 40% of which ($1 million) came from members of the DeVos family.[58] That ad is included below:

June 9, 2022
Put Michigan First

Put Michigan First, a group affiliated with the Democratic Governors Association, spent $2 million on ads opposing Dixon.[59] That ad is included below:

July 26, 2022

Debates and forums

This section includes links to debates, forums, and other similar events where multiple candidates in this race participated. If you are aware of any debates or forums that should be included, please email us.

July 27 debate

On July 27, 2022, Dixon, Kelley, Rebandt, Rinke, and Soldano participated in a debate hosted by the Oakland County Republican Party and WJR Radio 760 AM.[16]

Click on the links below for summaries of the event:

July 25 candidate profiles

On July 25, 2022, Michigan Radio released candidate profiles for Dixon, Kelley, Rebandt, Rinke, and Soldano.[19] Links to these profiles can be found below:

July 20 debate

On July 20, 2022, Dixon, Kelley, Rebandt, Rinke, and Soldano participated in a debate hosted by WXYZ and the Michigan Republican Party.[25]

Click on the links below for summaries of the event:

July 15 candidate conversation

On July 15, 2022, Kelley, Rebandt, Rinke, and Soldano participated in a candidate conversation hosted by Off the Record with Tim Skubick.[28]

Click on the link below for a summary of the event:

July 6 debate

On July 6, 2022, Dixon, Kelley, Rinke, and Soldano participated in a debate hosted by WOOD TV8.[31]

Click on the links below for summaries of the event:

June 30 debate

On June 30, 2022, Dixon, Kelley, Rebandt, Rinke, and Soldano participated in a debate hosted by Brighter Michigan PAC.[33]

Click on the links below for summaries of the event:

June 2 debate

On June 2, 2022, Dixon, Rebandt, Rinke, and Soldano participated in a debate hosted by the Mackinac Policy Conference.[47]

Click on the links below for summaries of the event:

May 28 debate

On May 28, 2022, Dixon, Kelley, Rebandt, Rinke, and Soldano participated in a debate hosted by Citizens Liberating Michigan and Stand Up Michigan. Markey, who was removed from the primary ballot, also participated.[52]

Click on the links below for summaries of the event:

May 12 debate

On May 12, 2022, Dixon, Kelley, Rebandt, Rinke, and Soldano participated in a debate hosted by the Livingston County Republican Party and the Michigan Information & Research Service. Three candidates who were later removed from the primary ballot—Brown, Johnson, and Markey—also participated.[55]

Click on the links below for summaries of the event:

Noteworthy endorsements

See also: Ballotpedia: Our approach to covering endorsements

This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. It also includes a bulleted list of links to official lists of endorsements for any candidates who published that information on their campaign websites. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please click here.

Republican primary endorsements
Endorser Republican Party James Craig Republican Party Tudor Dixon Republican Party Ryan Kelley Republican Party Ralph Rebandt Republican Party Kevin Rinke
Government officials
U.S. Rep. Bill Huizenga (R)  source        
U.S. Rep. Lisa McClain (R)  source        
State Sen. Jon Bumstead (R)  source        
State Sen. Ken Horn (R)  source        
Sen. Maj. Leader Mike Shirkey (R)  source        
State Sen. Curt VanderWall (R)  source        
State Sen. Roger Victory (R)  source        
State Rep. Julie Alexander (R)  source        
State Rep. Joseph Bellino (R)  source        
State Rep. Timothy Beson (R)  source        
State Rep. Diana Farrington (R)  source        
State Rep. Andrew Fink (R)  source        
State Rep. Gregory Markkanen (R)  source        
State Rep. Luke Meerman (R)  source        
State Rep. Brad Paquette (R)  source        
State Sen. Douglas Wozniak (R)  source        
Individuals
Frmr. gubernatorial candidate Michael Brown  source        
Businessman Dick DeVos  source        
Frmr. Gov. John Engler  source        
Frmr. U.S. Rep. Newt Gingrich  source        
Frmr. Dir. of Natl. Intelligence Ric Grenell  source        
Talk show host Hugh Hewitt  source        
Businessman Mike Lindell  source        
Frmr. U.S. President Donald Trump  source        
Newspapers and editorials
Detroit Free Press Editorial Board  source        
The Detroit News Editorial Board  source        
Organizations
American Conservative Union  source        
American Patriots Forum  source        
Associated Builders and Contractors of Michigan  source        
Conservative Country USA  source        
Michigan Chamber of Commerce PAC  source        
Michigan Coalition for Freedom  source        
Michigan Health Choice Alliance  source        
National Firearms Coalition  source        
Patriot Approved  source        
Police Officers Association of Michigan  source        
Right to Life of Michigan PAC  source        

Election competitiveness

Polls

See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls

Polls are conducted with a variety of methodologies and have margins of error or credibility intervals.[60] The Pew Research Center wrote, "A margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level means that if we fielded the same survey 100 times, we would expect the result to be within 3 percentage points of the true population value 95 of those times."[61] For tips on reading polls from FiveThirtyEight, click here. For tips from Pew, click here.

Below we provide results for polls that are included in polling aggregation from FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics, when available. Click here to read about FiveThirtyEight's criteria for including polls in its aggregation. We only report polls for which we can find a margin of error or credibility interval.


Michigan gubernatorial election, 2022: Republican primary election polls
Poll Date Dixon Kelley Rebandt Rinke Soldano Craig[62] Undecided/Other Margin of error Sample size[63] Sponsor[64]
Trafalgar Group July 26-28 28% 14% 3% 17% 19% -- 19%[65] ± 2.9 1,098 LV Michigan News Source[15]
Mitchell Research July 24-25, 2022 28% 14% 1% 22% 11% -- 25%[66] ± 5.0 436 LV MIRS[18]
Mitchell Research July 17-18, 2022 28% 15% 1% 20% 10% -- 26%[67] ± 4.4 501 LV MIRS[26]
Glengariff Group July 13-15, 2022 19% 13% 2% 15% 12% -- 40%[68] ± 4.4 500 LV The Detroit News/WDIV-TV[27]
Mitchell Research July 7-8, 2022 26% 15% 1% 13% 13% -- 33%[69] ± 3.8 683 LV MIRS[70]


General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[78]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[79][80][81]

Race ratings: Michigan gubernatorial election, 2022
Race trackerRace ratings
November 8, 2022November 1, 2022October 25, 2022October 18, 2022
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLikely DemocraticLikely Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesTilt DemocraticTilt DemocraticTilt DemocraticTilt Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallLean DemocraticLikely DemocraticLikely DemocraticLikely Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Election spending

Campaign finance

The tables below contain data from financial reports submitted to state agencies. The data is gathered and made available by Transparency USA. Transparency USA tracks loans separately from total contributions. View each candidates’ loan totals, if any, by clicking “View More” in the table below and learn more about this data here.

Satellite spending

See also: Satellite spending

Satellite spending describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[82][83][84]

If available, links to satellite spending reports by the Federal Election Commission and OpenSecrets.org are linked below. Any satellite spending reported in other resources is displayed in a table. This table may not represent the actual total amount spent by satellite groups in the election. Satellite spending for which specific amounts, dates, or purposes are not reported are marked "N/A." To help us complete this information, or to notify us of additional satellite spending, email us.

Satellite spending in Michigan gubernatorial Republican primary, 2022
Organization Amount Date Purpose
Put Michigan First[17]$2,000,000July 27, 2022Ads opposing Tudor Dixon
Michigan Families United[56][57]$948,070June 8, 2022Ads supporting Tudor Dixon

Noteworthy events

Court rules not to restore four candidates to ballot

Five candidates failed to qualify for the ballot following a May 23 report from the state Bureau of Elections that found 36 petition circulators had forged an estimated 68,000 signatures across multiple campaigns’ sets of nominating petitions, including those of the affected gubernatorial candidates.[14]

James Craig and Perry Johnson, whom The Detroit News described as “top candidates for the Republican nomination,” were among those candidates, alongside Donna Brandenburg, Michael Brown, and Michael Markey Jr. Brown withdrew his candidacy on May 24 following the initial release of the report.[85][86]

Brandenburg, Craig, Johnson, and Markey filed lawsuits asking election officials to check every signature on the identified circulators' sheets against the voter file rather than excluding all signatures without a full review.[87][88]

On June 1, the Michigan Court of Appeals denied Johnson and Markey's requests.[89] On June 2, the Michigan Court of Claims denied Craig's request.[90] All three candidates appealed the decision to the Michigan Supreme Court.[87][89][90] On June 3, the state supreme court ruled it was "not persuaded that the questions presented should be reviewed by this Court."[91] On June 6, the state supreme court rejected Brandenburg's lawsuit, which she had filed directly with the court.[45]

Johnson filed a separate lawsuit in the United States District Court for the Eastern District of Michigan on June 6 asking the court to cease the printing of ballots and either decrease the number of signatures needed to qualify for the ballot or to place his name on the ballot.[92] The court denied this request on June 13.[93]

On June 9, Craig announced a write-in candidacy for the gubernatorial nomination.[94]

During the signature review process, election officials identified the circulators’ sheets with fraudulent signatures and checked a sample of roughly 7,000 against the state’s Qualified Voter File. Every signature from that sample was deemed invalid. Following that review, the bureau decided to exclude all signatures those circulators gathered.[95] After excluding signatures gathered by these particular circulators, the bureau determined the candidates had submitted an insufficient number of valid signatures and would not appear on the ballot.[14]

Election analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about demographics, past elections, and partisan control of the state.

  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the state.
  • Statewide elections - Information about recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections in the state.
  • State partisanship - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
  • Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.

Presidential elections

See also: Presidential voting trends in Michigan and The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Cook PVI by congressional district

Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index for Michigan, 2022
District Incumbent Party PVI
Michigan's 1st Jack Bergman Ends.png Republican R+13
Michigan's 2nd John Moolenaar Ends.png Republican R+16
Michigan's 3rd Peter Meijer Ends.png Republican D+1
Michigan's 4th Bill Huizenga Ends.png Republican R+5
Michigan's 5th Tim Walberg Ends.png Republican R+15
Michigan's 6th Debbie Dingell Electiondot.png Democratic D+11
Michigan's 7th Elissa Slotkin Electiondot.png Democratic R+2
Michigan's 8th Dan Kildee Electiondot.png Democratic R+1
Michigan's 9th Lisa McClain Ends.png Republican R+18
Michigan's 10th Open Electiondot.png Democratic R+3
Michigan's 11th Haley Stevens / Andy Levin Electiondot.png Democratic D+7
Michigan's 12th Rashida Tlaib Electiondot.png Democratic D+23
Michigan's 13th Open Electiondot.png Democratic D+23


2020 presidential results by 2022 congressional district lines

2020 presidential results in congressional districts based on 2022 district lines, Michigan[96]
District Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
Michigan's 1st 39.3% 59.1%
Michigan's 2nd 35.0% 63.2%
Michigan's 3rd 53.3% 44.8%
Michigan's 4th 47.1% 51.1%
Michigan's 5th 37.1% 61.2%
Michigan's 6th 62.7% 36.0%
Michigan's 7th 49.4% 48.9%
Michigan's 8th 50.3% 48.2%
Michigan's 9th 34.6% 64.0%
Michigan's 10th 48.8% 49.8%
Michigan's 11th 59.3% 39.4%
Michigan's 12th 73.7% 25.2%
Michigan's 13th 74.2% 24.6%


2012-2020

How a state's counties vote in a presidential election and the size of those counties can provide additional insights into election outcomes at other levels of government including statewide and congressional races. Below, four categories are used to describe each county's voting pattern over the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections: Solid, Trending, Battleground, and New. Click [show] on the table below for examples:


Following the 2020 presidential election, 46.0% of Michiganians lived in one of the state's eight Solid Democratic counties, which voted for the Democratic presidential candidate in every election from 2012 to 2020, and 29.1% lived in one of 61 Solid Republican counties. Overall, Michigan was Battleground Democratic, having voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2012, Donald Trump (R) in 2016, and Joe Biden (D) in 2020. Use the table below to view the total number of each type of county in Michigan following the 2020 election as well as the overall percentage of the state population located in each county type.

Historical voting trends

Michigan presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 13 Democratic wins
  • 17 Republican wins
  • 1 other win
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party R R R P[97] R R R R D D R D R R R D D D R R R R R D D D D D D R D

Statewide elections

This section details the results of the five most recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections held in the state.

U.S. Senate elections

See also: List of United States Senators from Michigan

The table below details the vote in the five most recent U.S. Senate races in Michigan.

U.S. Senate election results in Michigan
Race Winner Runner up
2020 49.9%Democratic Party 48.2%Republican Party
2018 52.3%Democratic Party 45.8%Republican Party
2014 54.6%Democratic Party 41.3%Republican Party
2012 58.6%Democratic Party 38.0%Republican Party
2008 62.7%Democratic Party 33.8%Republican Party
Average 55.6 41.4

Gubernatorial elections

See also: Governor of Michigan

The table below details the vote in the five most recent gubernatorial elections in Michigan.

Gubernatorial election results in Michigan
Race Winner Runner up
2018 53.3%Democratic Party 43.7%Republican Party
2014 50.9%Republican Party 46.9%Democratic Party
2010 58.1%Republican Party 39.9%Democratic Party
2006 56.4%Democratic Party 42.3%Republican Party
2002 51.4%Democratic Party 47.4%Republican Party
Average 54.0 44.0

State partisanship

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Michigan's congressional delegation as of November 2022.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Michigan, November 2022
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 2 7 9
Republican 0 7 7
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 14 16

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Michigan's top four state executive offices as of November 2022.

State executive officials in Michigan, November 2022
Office Officeholder
Governor Democratic Party Gretchen Whitmer
Lieutenant Governor Democratic Party Garlin Gilchrist II
Secretary of State Democratic Party Jocelyn Benson
Attorney General Democratic Party Dana Nessel

State legislature

The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Michigan State Legislature as of November 2022.

Michigan State Senate

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 16
     Republican Party 22
     Vacancies 0
Total 38

Michigan House of Representatives

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 53
     Republican Party 56
     Vacancies 1
Total 110

Trifecta control

As of November 2022, Michigan was a divided government, with Democrats controlling the governorship and Republican majorities in both chambers of the state legislature. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.

Michigan Party Control: 1992-2022
No Democratic trifectas  •  14 years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
Governor R R R R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R D D D D
Senate R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D S S R R D D R R R R R R R R D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R

Demographics

The table below details demographic data in Michigan and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.

Demographic Data for Michigan
Michigan United States
Population 10,077,331 331,449,281
Land area (sq mi) 56,609 3,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White 77.6% 70.4%
Black/African American 13.6% 12.6%
Asian 3.2% 5.6%
Native American 0.5% 0.8%
Pacific Islander 0% 0.2%
Other (single race) 1.3% 5.1%
Multiple 3.8% 5.2%
Hispanic/Latino 5.2% 18.2%
Education
High school graduation rate 91.3% 88.5%
College graduation rate 30% 32.9%
Income
Median household income $59,234 $64,994
Persons below poverty level 13.7% 12.8%
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2015-2020).
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.


Election context

Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for gubernatorial candidates in Michigan in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Michigan, click here.

Filing requirements for gubernatorial candidates, 2022
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source Notes
Michigan Governor Democratic or Republican 15,000 N/A 4/19/2022 Source
Michigan Governor Unaffiliated 12,000 N/A 2022-07-21 Source

Michigan gubernatorial election history

2018

See also: Michigan gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial election, 2018

General election

General election for Governor of Michigan

The following candidates ran in the general election for Governor of Michigan on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Gretchen Whitmer
Gretchen Whitmer (D)
 
53.3
 
2,266,193
Image of Bill Schuette
Bill Schuette (R) Candidate Connection
 
43.7
 
1,859,534
Image of Bill Gelineau
Bill Gelineau (L)
 
1.3
 
56,606
Image of Todd Schleiger
Todd Schleiger (U.S. Taxpayers Party)
 
0.7
 
29,219
Image of Jennifer Kurland
Jennifer Kurland (G)
 
0.7
 
28,799
Image of Keith Butkovich
Keith Butkovich (Natural Law Party)
 
0.2
 
10,202
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.0
 
32

Total votes: 4,250,585
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for Governor of Michigan

Gretchen Whitmer defeated Abdul El-Sayed and Shri Thanedar in the Democratic primary for Governor of Michigan on August 7, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Gretchen Whitmer
Gretchen Whitmer
 
52.0
 
588,436
Image of Abdul El-Sayed
Abdul El-Sayed
 
30.2
 
342,179
Image of Shri Thanedar
Shri Thanedar
 
17.7
 
200,645

Total votes: 1,131,260
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for Governor of Michigan

Bill Schuette defeated Brian Calley, Patrick Colbeck, and Jim Hines in the Republican primary for Governor of Michigan on August 7, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Bill Schuette
Bill Schuette Candidate Connection
 
50.7
 
501,959
Image of Brian Calley
Brian Calley
 
25.2
 
249,185
Image of Patrick Colbeck
Patrick Colbeck
 
13.1
 
129,646
Image of Jim Hines
Jim Hines
 
11.0
 
108,735

Total votes: 989,525
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Green primary election

Green primary for Governor of Michigan

Jennifer Kurland advanced from the Green primary for Governor of Michigan on August 7, 2018.

Candidate
Image of Jennifer Kurland
Jennifer Kurland

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Libertarian primary election

Libertarian primary for Governor of Michigan

Bill Gelineau defeated John Tatar in the Libertarian primary for Governor of Michigan on August 7, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Bill Gelineau
Bill Gelineau
 
57.8
 
4,034
John Tatar
 
42.2
 
2,941

Total votes: 6,975
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2014

See also: Michigan gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial election, 2014
Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Michigan, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngRick Snyder/Brian Calley Incumbent 50.9% 1,607,399
     Democratic Mark Schauer/Lisa Brown 46.9% 1,479,057
     Libertarian Mary Buzuma/Scott Boman 1.1% 35,723
     U.S. Taxpayers Mark McFarlin/Richard Mendoza 0.6% 19,368
     Green Paul Homeniuk/Candace R. Caveny 0.5% 14,934
     Nonpartisan Write-in votes 0% 50
Total Votes 3,156,531
Election results via Michigan Department of State

2022 battleground elections

See also: Battlegrounds

This election was a battleground race. Other 2022 battleground elections included:

See also

Michigan State Executive Elections News and Analysis
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Michigan State Executive Offices
Michigan State Legislature
Michigan Courts
2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
Michigan elections: 2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
Party control of state government
State government trifectas
State of the state addresses
Partisan composition of governors

External links

Footnotes

  1. LinkedIn, "Tudor Dixon," accessed July 3, 2022
  2. Tudor Dixon's 2022 campaign website, "Meet Tudor Dixon," accessed July 23, 2022
  3. Ryan Kelley's 2022 campaign website, "Ryan D. Kelley," accessed July 3, 2022
  4. Ryan Kelley's 2022 campaign website, "Ryan Kelley for Governor," accessed July 3, 2022
  5. The Oakland Press, "Businessman Kevin Rinke launches campaign for Michigan governor," Nov. 22, 2021
  6. Kevin Rinke's 2022 campaign website, "Issues," accessed July 3, 2022
  7. Garrett Soldano's 2022 campaign website, "Meet Garrett," accessed July 3, 2022
  8. Garrett Soldano's 2022 campaign website, "Issues," accessed July 3, 2022
  9. Tudor Dixon's 2022 campaign website, "Endorsements," accessed July 3, 2022
  10. 10.0 10.1 Detroit Free Press, "Donald Trump endorses Tudor Dixon in Republican race for governor," July 29, 2022
  11. Michigan Coalition for Freedom, "Press Release," June 30, 2022
  12. Facebook, "Ryan. D. Kelley for 50th Governor of Michigan," June 22, 2022
  13. Facebook, "Kevin Rinke," June 13, 2022
  14. 14.0 14.1 14.2 State of Michigan Bureau of Elections, "Staff Report on Fraudulent Nominating Petitions," May 23, 2022
  15. 15.0 15.1 Michigan News Source, "EXCLUSIVE: Dixon Holds Strong Lead in New Poll Entering Final Days," July 29, 2022
  16. 16.0 16.1 WJR Radio 760 AM, "The Republican Gubernatorial Debate ~ July 27, 2022," July 27, 2022
  17. 17.0 17.1 Bridge Michigan, "Democrats slam Tudor Dixon in attack ad, days before Michigan governor primary," July 27, 2022
  18. 18.0 18.1 RealClearPolitics, "Dixon Stop's Rinke's Momentum - Leads by 6%," July 26, 2022
  19. 19.0 19.1 Michigan Radio, "Meet the Republican candidates for Michigan governor," July 25, 2022
  20. Facebook, "Kevin Rinke," July 25, 2022
  21. Facebook, "Mike Endorses Ralph," July 24, 2022
  22. Facebook, "Ryan D. Kelley for 50th Governor of Michigan," July 23, 2022
  23. Detroit Free Press, "Endorsement: Kevin Rinke is Republicans' safest bet in a pitiful GOP field," July 23, 2022
  24. Facebook, "Tudor Dixon," July 22, 2022
  25. 25.0 25.1 WXYZ, "WATCH: WXYZ-TV, Michigan Scripps' stations host Republican Gubernatorial primary debate," July 20, 2022
  26. 26.0 26.1 RealClearPolitics, "Mitchell Research & Communications," July 18, 2022
  27. 27.0 27.1 The Detroit News, "Tudor Dixon holds slim lead, GOP race for Michigan governor 'complete toss-up,' poll shows," July 18, 2022
  28. 28.0 28.1 WKAR, "July 15, 2022 - Candidate Conversation | OFF THE RECORD," July 15, 2022
  29. RealClearPolitics, "Dixon Surges to 11% Lead in GOP Governor's Race," July 11, 2022
  30. Facebook, "Tudor Dixon," July 7, 2022
  31. 31.0 31.1 YouTube, "Republican candidates for Michigan governor debate in Grand Rapids," July 6, 2022
  32. Patriot Approved, "Governor," accessed July 2, 2022
  33. 33.0 33.1 YouTube, "WATCH: Full Michigan GOP governor candidates debate," June 30, 2022
  34. The Detroit News, "Endorsement: Our choice in the Republican primary for governor," June 30, 2022
  35. Michigan Coalition for Freedom, "Press Release," June 30, 2022
  36. Facebook, "Tudor Dixon," June 24, 2022
  37. Facebook, "Ralph Rebandt for Governor," June 24, 2022
  38. RealClearPolitics, "Dixon - Rinke - Kelley Tied for Lead in GOP Race," June 23, 2022
  39. Facebook, "Ryan D. Kelley for 50th Governor of Michigan," June 22, 2022
  40. Detroit Free Press, "Free Press poll: Kelley leading GOP gubernatorial field after arrest," June 16, 2022
  41. Facebook, "Kevin Rinke," June 13, 2022
  42. Detroit Free Press, "Judge denies Perry Johnson's request to get on August primary ballot," June 13, 2022
  43. The Detroit News, "Craig plans write-in campaign for governor; Johnson tries to halt ballot printing," June 10, 2022
  44. MLive, "Perry Johnson files federal lawsuit, wants court to halt Michigan’s ballot printing," June 6, 2022
  45. 45.0 45.1 45.2 Michigan Courts, "MSC 16442," accessed June 21, 2022
  46. The New York Times, "Three G.O.P. candidates for Michigan governor will stay off the ballot, the state’s Supreme Court rules." June 6, 2022
  47. 47.0 47.1 YouTube, "2022 Republican Primary Michigan Gubernatorial Debate," June 2, 2022
  48. The Washington Post, "Mich. GOP candidates lose bids to appear on ballot after fraudulent petitions," June 2, 2022
  49. WILX, "Court denies Perry Johnson, Michael Markey appeals to appear on gubernatorial primary," June 1, 2022
  50. 50.0 50.1 Detroit Free Press, "Disqualified Republican governor hopefuls battle it out in court," accessed June 21, 2022
  51. Deadline Detroit, "Poll: After Michigan Candidates Purge, Ryan Kelley Leads GOP Race For Governor," May 28, 2022
  52. 52.0 52.1 YouTube, "2022 Northern Michigan GOP Gubernatorial Debate," May 31, 2022
  53. RRN, "GOP Governor Candidate Withdraws Over Fraudulent Signatures," May 24, 2022
  54. State of Michigan Bureau of Elections, "Staff Report on Fraudulent Nominating Petitions, May 23, 2022
  55. 55.0 55.1 WWMT, "First public debate in election cycle: Michigan GOP gubernatorial candidates squared off," May 12, 2022
  56. 56.0 56.1 Michigan.gov, "Campaign Finance Searchable Database," accessed July 28, 2022
  57. 57.0 57.1 Bridge Michigan, "PACs backed by DeVos, others spend $2M on ads to aid Tudor Dixon, records show," July 25, 2022
  58. Michigan.gov, "Campaign Finance Searchable Database," accessed July 28, 2022
  59. Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named pfmss1
  60. For more information on the difference between margins of error and credibility intervals, see explanations from the American Association for Public Opinion Research and Ipsos.
  61. Pew Research Center, "5 key things to know about the margin of error in election polls," September 8, 2016
  62. Craig did not qualify for the primary ballot and chose to run a write-in campaign.
  63. RV=Registered Voters
    LV=Likely Voters
  64. The sponsor is the person or group that funded all or part of the poll.
  65. Undecided: 19%
  66. Undecided: 25%
  67. Not sure: 26%
  68. Undecided: 38%
    Refused to answer: 2%
  69. Undecided: 33%
  70. RealClearPolitics, "Dixon surgery to 11% Lead in GOP Governor's Race," July 11, 2022
  71. Craig did not qualify for the primary ballot and chose to run a write-in campaign.
  72. RV=Registered Voters
    LV=Likely Voters
  73. The sponsor is the person or group that funded all or part of the poll.
  74. Undecided: 46%
  75. RealClearPolitics, "Dixon - Rinke - Kelley Tied for Lead in GOP Race," June 23, 2022
  76. Undecided/Refused: 45%
    Other candidate by write-in: 7%
  77. Detroit Free Press, "Free Press poll: Kelley leading GOP gubernatorial field after arrest," June 16, 2022
  78. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  79. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  80. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  81. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  82. OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed December 12, 2021
  83. OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed December 12, 2021
  84. National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," December 12, 2021
  85. The Detroit News, "James Craig, Perry Johnson, 3 others ineligible for ballot, Bureau of Elections says," May 23, 2022
  86. RRN, "GOP Governor Candidate Withdraws Over Fraudulent Signatures," May 24, 2022
  87. 87.0 87.1 Detroit Free Press, "Disqualified Republican governor hopefuls battle it out in court," June 1, 2022
  88. Michigan Courts, "MSC 16442," accessed June 21, 2022
  89. 89.0 89.1 WILX, "Court denies Perry Johnson, Michael Markey appeals to appear on gubernatorial primary," June 1, 2022
  90. 90.0 90.1 Washington Post, "Mich. GOP candidates lose bids to appear on ballot after fraudulent petitions," June 2, 2022
  91. New York Times, "Three G.O.P. candidates for Michigan governor will stay off the ballot, the state’s Supreme Court rules," June 3, 2022
  92. MLive, "Perry Johnson files federal lawsuit, wants court to halt Michigan’s ballot printing," June 6, 2022
  93. Detroit Free Press, "Judge denies Perry Johnson's request to get on August primary ballot," June 13, 2022
  94. The Detroit News, "Craig plans write-in campaign for governor; Johnson tries to halt ballot printing," June 10, 2022
  95. The Detroit News, "Board of canvassers deadlocks, blocking 5 candidates for governor from ballot," May 26, 2022
  96. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012," accessed September 9, 2022
  97. Progressive Party