Minnesota's 1st Congressional District election (August 14, 2018 Democratic primary)
- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 16 , or in-person on Nov. 6
- Early voting: Sept. 21 - Nov. 5
- Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 6
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: Yes
- Voter ID: No
- Poll times: 7:00 a.m. to 8:00 p.m.
2020 →
← 2016
|
| Minnesota's 1st Congressional District |
|---|
| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: June 5, 2018 |
| Primary: August 14, 2018 General: November 6, 2018 Pre-election incumbent: Tim Walz (Democrat) |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in Minnesota |
| Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Toss-up Inside Elections: Toss-up Sabato's Crystal Ball: Toss-up |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018 |
| See also |
U.S. Senate (regular) • U.S. Senate (special) • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th Minnesota elections, 2018 U.S. Congress elections, 2018 U.S. Senate elections, 2018 U.S. House elections, 2018 |
Former Obama administration official Dan Feehan faced Colin Minehart (D) in the Democratic primary for Minnesota's 1st Congressional District.
Incumbent Tim Walz (D-Minn.), who had represented the district since 2007, ran for governor rather than pursuing another term in office.[1] Although the district went for Donald Trump (R) in the 2016 presidential election by 15 points, Walz held on to his seat by less than a percentage point. Daily Kos identified this district as the most vulnerable Democratic House seat.[2]
Feehan won the nomination of the Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party endorsement on April 21, 2018.[3]
| Minnesota voter? Dates you need to know. | |
|---|---|
| Primary election | August 14, 2018 |
| Candidate filing deadline | June 5, 2018 |
| Registration deadline | August 14, 2018 |
| Absentee application deadline | August 13, 2018 |
| General election | November 6, 2018 |
| Voting information | |
| Primary type | Open |
| Early voting deadline | August 14, 2018 |
| Polling locations: Go to this page to find early voting locations and your assigned precinct for election day. | |
For more on related elections, please see:
- Minnesota's 1st Congressional District election (August 14, 2018 Republican primary)
- Minnesota's 1st Congressional District election, 2018
- United States House Democratic Party primaries, 2018
- United States House Republican Party primaries, 2018
- Democratic Party primaries in Minnesota, 2018
- Republican Party primaries in Minnesota, 2018
Candidates and election results
Dan Feehan defeated Colin Minehart in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Minnesota District 1 on August 14, 2018.
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Minnesota District 1
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Dan Feehan | 83.1 | 39,252 | |
| Colin Minehart | 16.9 | 7,979 | ||
| Total votes: 47,231 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Vicki Jensen (D)
- Rich Wright (D)
- Regina Mustafa (D)
- Johnny Akzam (D)
- Joe Sullivan (D)
- Bob Ries (D)
Campaign themes and policy stances
Gun regulation
Following a school shooting in Parkland, Florida, in February 2018, the candidates in this race commented on gun ownership and regulations:[4]
- Feehan: "It’s only when Congress takes a holistic approach to study the issue and provide evidence-based policy that we are really going to make progress in eliminating gun violence."
- Jensen on campaign finance laws and the National Rifle Association: "It’s [sic] changes our democracy really and the ability for regular, everyday people to participate in the process and to get involved because they just feel like it doesn’t matter."
- Sullivan: "We need to make sure that there are no loopholes in background checks. If you cannot fly on an airplane, if you have a mental illness, if you cannot pass a background check, then you shouldn’t be able to own a weapon and a weapon you can kill people with.”
- Wright: "[Assault-style rifles] are good weapons for war, but they don’t belong on our streets. They just don’t. And we are seeing the repercussions of having assault weapons on our streets now again."
Candidate forums and debates
February 5, 2018, debate
Six Democratic candidates—Beals, Clegg, Delgado, Flynn, Rhodes, and Ryan—participated in a Democratic debate on February 5, 2018, in Woodstock, New York. The Daily Freeman highlighted the following policy positions for each candidate:[5]
- Beals
- “Right now, we have a foreign policy that endangers our lives, destabilizes our world, abdicates the role we need to be playing as a leader in this world."
- "I was an intelligence officer in the CIA on the day 9/11 happened, and I saw the building evacuated in the beginning of a delirium that descended on our foreign policy that is never-ending."
- "I served in Jerusalem at an office that we already had there, and there’s no need to move an embassy there."
- Clegg
- "[Trump is] challenging all the pillars of our democracy — that is, attacking our free press, now the FBI and the rule of law."
- "We could start to think of obstruction of justice on every Republican in Congress [for their handling of investigations into connections between Trump and the Russian government]."
- Delgado
- "The current [infrastructure] proposal ... is just $200 billion. That’s not a plan, that is a hope of things to come. The real issue boils down to corporate welfare."
- "We are propping up these industries to the tune of about ... $100 billion annually. You throw on top of that a tax scam, which only throws gasoline on the fire, adding $1.02 or $1.03 trillion to our deficit. ... We will have to borrow $1 trillion in 2018 because we don’t have enough revenue coming in.”
- "Dairy farmers told me the frustrating part about it when the dairy truck comes to pick up he milk they don’t know where it’s going. This is a farm that’s been in Schoharie multi generations. ... He talks about how his father knew there might be a distribution plant locally, or there might be a processing plant locally, or marketing, or bottling service. All of that has been ripped to shreds."
- Flynn
- "We have small businesses that are being prevented from growing and from being effective because New York City is establishing what the rules are."
- "My friend Nick, he runs a bike shop, and he’s trying to create more mountain biking trails. These are mountain bikes, not [motorized] dirt bikes ... and these trails are currently hiking trails, and they wanted to make them into mountain biking trails, and New York City said ‘You’re not allowed to do that.'"
- "It’s the role of a congressional [member] to help navigate those situations and be an arbiter and be an advocate for the people in this district against the people in New York state, against people in New Jersey and Pennsylvania. That’s the role that Maurice Hinchey played, and that’s the role that any one of us will have to play as we deal with this issue going forward.”
- Rhodes
- "Washington would try to roll back the clean power plan, allowing the emissions in the western part of the country to go back to the levels they were in the ’70s."
- "You’re going to see the asthma rates go up again here in the Hudson Valley; we’re going to see the acid rain come back again. John Faso, when asked about the rollback of the clean power plan, said, ‘This will not affect New York 19.’ This is from someone who has clearly never hiked a day in the Catskill Mountains, someone who does not have the type of emotional connection to the environment that we have here in New York 19.”
- Ryan
- "North Korea ... keeps me up at night, and we have to have leaders in Congress and the Democratic Party who will stand up and say that tweeting our way into nuclear conflict is wrong. I support [legislation] which would take away the first-strike [nuclear] authorization from the president.”
- "On Afghanistan, when I saw President Trump stand up and give this speech ... six months ago, I almost went through the roof. This guy is extending again, with no plan, no time line, no discussion of the resources and the dollars we’re committing, extending the longest war in our country’s history.”
Campaign finance
| Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Feehan | Democratic Party | $4,177,225 | $4,173,703 | $3,521 | As of December 31, 2018 |
| Colin Minehart | Democratic Party | $200 | $200 | $287 | As of December 31, 2017 |
| Andrew Candler | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Jim Hagedorn | Republican Party | $1,613,541 | $1,612,674 | $1,092 | As of December 31, 2018 |
| Carla Nelson | Republican Party | $537,661 | $537,239 | $422 | As of December 31, 2018 |
| Steve Williams | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
|
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2018. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
|||||
Democratic Party factional conflict
Disputes between candidates endorsed by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) and candidates outside the official organs of the Democratic Party occurred in U.S. House primaries in 2018.
The DCCC, a campaign arm of the Democratic National Committee, endorsed candidates who party leaders believed had the best chance of defeating Republican incumbents.[6]
Some criticized the DCCC's choices. Ryan Grim and Lee Fang wrote in The Intercept, for example, "In district after district, the national party is throwing its weight behind candidates who are out of step with the national mood."[7]
In this primary, the DCCC endorsed Dan Feehan.[6]
The chart below shows a scorecard for how the DCCC performed in competitive Democratic primaries that featured at least one DCCC-endorsed candidate and one other Democratic candidate.
| U.S. House Democratic factions | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Faction | Primary victories in 2018 | |||||||||||
| Endorsed by DCCC | 31 | |||||||||||
| Not endorsed by DCCC | 2 | |||||||||||
Democratic district won by Donald Trump
This district was one of 13 Democratic-held U.S. House districts that Donald Trump (R) won in the 2016 presidential election.[8] Some were expected to be among the House's most competitive elections in 2018.
| 2018 election results in Democratic-held U.S. House districts won by Donald Trump in 2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| District | Incumbent | 2018 winner | 2018 margin | 2016 presidential margin | 2012 presidential margin |
| Arizona's 1st | D+7.7 | Trump+1.1 | Romney+2.5 | ||
| Iowa's 2nd | D+12.2 | Trump+4.1 | Obama+13.1 | ||
| Illinois' 17th | D+23.6 | Trump+0.7 | Obama+17.0 | ||
| Minnesota's 1st | R+0.4 | Trump+14.9 | Obama+1.4 | ||
| Minnesota's 7th | D+4.3 | Trump+30.8 | Romney+9.8 | ||
| Minnesota's 8th | R+5.5 | Trump+15.6 | Obama+5.5 | ||
| New Hampshire's 1st | D+11.7 | Trump+1.6 | Obama+1.6 | ||
| New Jersey's 5th | D+11.7 | Trump+1.1 | Romney+3.1 | ||
| Nevada's 3rd | D+9.1 | Trump+1.0 | Obama+0.8 | ||
| New York's 18th | D+10.2 | Trump+1.9 | Obama+4.3 | ||
| Pennsylvania's 8th | D+9.2 | Trump+9.6 | Obama+11.9 | ||
| Pennsylvania's 14th | R+15.9 | Trump+29.0 | Romney+17.7 | ||
| Wisconsin's 3rd | D+19.4 | Trump+4.5 | Obama+11.0 | ||
Click here to see the 25 Republican-held U.S. House districts that Hillary Clinton (D) won.
Race ratings
| Race ratings: Minnesota's 1st Congressional District election, 2018 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
| October 30, 2018 | October 23, 2018 | October 16, 2018 | October 9, 2018 | ||||||
| The Cook Political Report | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
| Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
| Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
| Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every two weeks throughout the election season. | |||||||||
Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
Nineteen of 87 Minnesota counties—21.8 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
| Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | Trump margin of victory in 2016 | Obama margin of victory in 2012 | Obama margin of victory in 2008 | ||||
| Beltrami County, Minnesota | 9.72% | 9.89% | 10.15% | ||||
| Blue Earth County, Minnesota | 3.69% | 9.48% | 12.95% | ||||
| Chippewa County, Minnesota | 28.70% | 1.87% | 5.87% | ||||
| Clay County, Minnesota | 1.95% | 7.92% | 16.02% | ||||
| Fillmore County, Minnesota | 21.70% | 7.34% | 8.26% | ||||
| Freeborn County, Minnesota | 17.24% | 14.11% | 17.13% | ||||
| Houston County, Minnesota | 13.87% | 3.16% | 10.69% | ||||
| Itasca County, Minnesota | 16.35% | 9.83% | 12.92% | ||||
| Kittson County, Minnesota | 22.05% | 6.03% | 18.54% | ||||
| Koochiching County, Minnesota | 19.85% | 9.45% | 10.10% | ||||
| Lac qui Parle County, Minnesota | 25.60% | 0.90% | 5.92% | ||||
| Mahnomen County, Minnesota | 2.92% | 18.56% | 25.31% | ||||
| Mower County, Minnesota | 7.82% | 22.61% | 23.61% | ||||
| Nicollet County, Minnesota | 3.04% | 7.83% | 10.52% | ||||
| Norman County, Minnesota | 13.34% | 10.79% | 26.94% | ||||
| Rice County, Minnesota | 3.06% | 8.27% | 11.50% | ||||
| Swift County, Minnesota | 25.57% | 9.83% | 13.79% | ||||
| Traverse County, Minnesota | 23.30% | 4.44% | 5.41% | ||||
| Winona County, Minnesota | 2.90% | 12.85% | 19.09% | ||||
In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton (D) won Minnesota with 46.4 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 44.9 percent. In presidential elections between 1860 and 2016, Minnesota voted Republican 50 percent of the time and Democratic 47.5 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, Minnesota voted Democratic all five times.[11]
Presidential results by legislative district
The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Minnesota. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[12][13]
| In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 68 out of 134 state House districts in Minnesota with an average margin of victory of 27.6 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 62 out of 134 state House districts in Minnesota with an average margin of victory of 30.4 points. Clinton won 12 districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections. |
| In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 66 out of 134 state House districts in Minnesota with an average margin of victory of 12.3 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 72 out of 134 state House districts in Minnesota with an average margin of victory of 23.8 points. Trump won seven districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections. |
| 2016 presidential results by state House district | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| District | Obama | Romney | 2012 Margin | Clinton | Trump | 2016 Margin | Party Control |
| 1A | 43.15% | 54.54% | R+11.4 | 27.87% | 64.99% | R+37.1 | R |
| 1B | 46.10% | 51.92% | R+5.8 | 31.45% | 61.37% | R+29.9 | R |
| 2A | 48.08% | 50.09% | R+2 | 33.59% | 60.04% | R+26.4 | R |
| 2B | 42.17% | 56.05% | R+13.9 | 29.64% | 64.36% | R+34.7 | R |
| 3A | 55.31% | 42.36% | D+13 | 43.14% | 49.65% | R+6.5 | D |
| 3B | 60.19% | 38.11% | D+22.1 | 50.13% | 42.59% | D+7.5 | D |
| 4A | 55.32% | 42.31% | D+13 | 48.97% | 41.71% | D+7.3 | D |
| 4B | 46.65% | 51.41% | R+4.8 | 35.41% | 57.18% | R+21.8 | D |
| 5A | 52.05% | 45.83% | D+6.2 | 39.67% | 51.97% | R+12.3 | R |
| 5B | 49.48% | 48.58% | D+0.9 | 35.93% | 57.00% | R+21.1 | R |
| 6A | 63.20% | 34.57% | D+28.6 | 44.68% | 47.85% | R+3.2 | D |
| 6B | 61.82% | 35.90% | D+25.9 | 45.05% | 47.77% | R+2.7 | D |
| 7A | 67.15% | 30.27% | D+36.9 | 62.12% | 28.28% | D+33.8 | D |
| 7B | 69.99% | 27.63% | D+42.4 | 59.01% | 32.66% | D+26.3 | D |
| 8A | 39.32% | 59.07% | R+19.8 | 31.05% | 62.92% | R+31.9 | R |
| 8B | 40.24% | 57.98% | R+17.7 | 27.72% | 65.66% | R+37.9 | R |
| 9A | 37.61% | 60.36% | R+22.7 | 23.48% | 70.76% | R+47.3 | R |
| 9B | 37.60% | 60.41% | R+22.8 | 21.44% | 73.05% | R+51.6 | R |
| 10A | 42.68% | 55.47% | R+12.8 | 31.71% | 61.41% | R+29.7 | R |
| 10B | 44.58% | 53.66% | R+9.1 | 31.38% | 62.81% | R+31.4 | R |
| 11A | 62.19% | 35.79% | D+26.4 | 46.93% | 45.13% | D+1.8 | D |
| 11B | 46.72% | 50.92% | R+4.2 | 31.58% | 61.39% | R+29.8 | R |
| 12A | 46.30% | 51.70% | R+5.4 | 32.87% | 59.48% | R+26.6 | R |
| 12B | 36.32% | 61.98% | R+25.7 | 23.78% | 70.60% | R+46.8 | R |
| 13A | 41.20% | 57.04% | R+15.8 | 29.40% | 63.98% | R+34.6 | R |
| 13B | 40.74% | 57.46% | R+16.7 | 29.76% | 63.36% | R+33.6 | R |
| 14A | 47.70% | 50.25% | R+2.6 | 40.14% | 51.73% | R+11.6 | R |
| 14B | 53.28% | 43.56% | D+9.7 | 43.47% | 46.88% | R+3.4 | R |
| 15A | 42.24% | 55.67% | R+13.4 | 26.60% | 66.72% | R+40.1 | R |
| 15B | 34.92% | 62.92% | R+28 | 21.90% | 71.37% | R+49.5 | R |
| 16A | 45.53% | 52.33% | R+6.8 | 31.31% | 60.77% | R+29.5 | R |
| 16B | 40.08% | 57.64% | R+17.6 | 26.83% | 64.99% | R+38.2 | R |
| 17A | 47.24% | 50.94% | R+3.7 | 29.82% | 63.25% | R+33.4 | R |
| 17B | 47.10% | 51.19% | R+4.1 | 34.89% | 57.60% | R+22.7 | R |
| 18A | 39.80% | 57.83% | R+18 | 26.88% | 65.04% | R+38.2 | R |
| 18B | 37.06% | 60.70% | R+23.6 | 25.23% | 67.02% | R+41.8 | R |
| 19A | 52.51% | 45.09% | D+7.4 | 43.51% | 47.62% | R+4.1 | D |
| 19B | 57.05% | 39.91% | D+17.1 | 48.70% | 40.94% | D+7.8 | D |
| 20A | 40.38% | 57.73% | R+17.4 | 30.47% | 62.58% | R+32.1 | R |
| 20B | 53.95% | 43.71% | D+10.2 | 47.02% | 45.86% | D+1.2 | D |
| 21A | 51.06% | 46.99% | D+4.1 | 40.39% | 51.63% | R+11.2 | R |
| 21B | 44.07% | 53.85% | R+9.8 | 30.94% | 61.07% | R+30.1 | R |
| 22A | 41.53% | 56.48% | R+14.9 | 26.80% | 66.15% | R+39.4 | R |
| 22B | 44.04% | 54.37% | R+10.3 | 30.63% | 63.03% | R+32.4 | R |
| 23A | 39.08% | 58.83% | R+19.8 | 26.82% | 66.32% | R+39.5 | R |
| 23B | 47.30% | 50.57% | R+3.3 | 32.70% | 59.47% | R+26.8 | R |
| 24A | 45.64% | 52.20% | R+6.6 | 33.70% | 57.84% | R+24.1 | R |
| 24B | 47.07% | 50.66% | R+3.6 | 33.44% | 58.77% | R+25.3 | R |
| 25A | 45.24% | 52.32% | R+7.1 | 37.03% | 52.94% | R+15.9 | R |
| 25B | 53.14% | 44.51% | D+8.6 | 50.23% | 40.22% | D+10 | D |
| 26A | 57.64% | 39.78% | D+17.9 | 54.11% | 36.72% | D+17.4 | D |
| 26B | 44.47% | 53.59% | R+9.1 | 38.48% | 53.17% | R+14.7 | R |
| 27A | 55.57% | 42.31% | D+13.3 | 37.42% | 55.76% | R+18.3 | R |
| 27B | 59.95% | 37.84% | D+22.1 | 41.96% | 50.58% | R+8.6 | D |
| 28A | 56.63% | 40.82% | D+15.8 | 46.44% | 44.13% | D+2.3 | D |
| 28B | 51.67% | 46.36% | D+5.3 | 37.30% | 55.31% | R+18 | R |
| 29A | 37.73% | 60.22% | R+22.5 | 28.82% | 63.10% | R+34.3 | R |
| 29B | 40.42% | 57.50% | R+17.1 | 30.71% | 61.38% | R+30.7 | R |
| 30A | 39.60% | 58.57% | R+19 | 30.48% | 61.61% | R+31.1 | R |
| 30B | 36.49% | 61.79% | R+25.3 | 29.58% | 62.31% | R+32.7 | R |
| 31A | 35.58% | 62.46% | R+26.9 | 23.94% | 69.10% | R+45.2 | R |
| 31B | 38.58% | 59.53% | R+20.9 | 29.00% | 63.74% | R+34.7 | R |
| 32A | 41.06% | 56.85% | R+15.8 | 28.13% | 64.23% | R+36.1 | R |
| 32B | 42.98% | 55.07% | R+12.1 | 31.50% | 60.69% | R+29.2 | R |
| 33A | 36.20% | 62.39% | R+26.2 | 37.84% | 54.78% | R+16.9 | R |
| 33B | 43.71% | 54.67% | R+11 | 46.18% | 45.68% | D+0.5 | R |
| 34A | 40.35% | 58.12% | R+17.8 | 40.80% | 51.26% | R+10.5 | R |
| 34B | 46.78% | 51.60% | R+4.8 | 47.91% | 43.62% | D+4.3 | R |
| 35A | 45.40% | 52.32% | R+6.9 | 37.77% | 53.46% | R+15.7 | R |
| 35B | 41.04% | 57.50% | R+16.5 | 36.48% | 55.65% | R+19.2 | R |
| 36A | 48.54% | 49.44% | R+0.9 | 44.09% | 47.07% | R+3 | R |
| 36B | 53.38% | 45.11% | D+8.3 | 52.16% | 40.08% | D+12.1 | D |
| 37A | 53.32% | 44.53% | D+8.8 | 45.38% | 46.05% | R+0.7 | D |
| 37B | 48.64% | 49.49% | R+0.9 | 43.74% | 48.04% | R+4.3 | R |
| 38A | 44.17% | 53.89% | R+9.7 | 40.36% | 51.11% | R+10.7 | R |
| 38B | 46.39% | 51.99% | R+5.6 | 45.39% | 46.56% | R+1.2 | R |
| 39A | 45.12% | 53.25% | R+8.1 | 40.85% | 51.57% | R+10.7 | R |
| 39B | 47.78% | 50.62% | R+2.8 | 45.97% | 46.25% | R+0.3 | R |
| 40A | 69.71% | 28.69% | D+41 | 67.81% | 26.13% | D+41.7 | D |
| 40B | 68.60% | 29.42% | D+39.2 | 65.29% | 27.68% | D+37.6 | D |
| 41A | 59.61% | 38.36% | D+21.2 | 55.79% | 35.28% | D+20.5 | D |
| 41B | 62.30% | 35.32% | D+27 | 62.11% | 29.12% | D+33 | D |
| 42A | 51.48% | 46.50% | D+5 | 52.61% | 38.39% | D+14.2 | R |
| 42B | 56.76% | 41.28% | D+15.5 | 56.05% | 35.37% | D+20.7 | D |
| 43A | 56.52% | 41.92% | D+14.6 | 54.01% | 38.15% | D+15.9 | D |
| 43B | 57.50% | 40.33% | D+17.2 | 52.35% | 39.35% | D+13 | D |
| 44A | 47.99% | 50.66% | R+2.7 | 53.47% | 38.83% | D+14.6 | R |
| 44B | 54.39% | 44.30% | D+10.1 | 57.27% | 35.36% | D+21.9 | D |
| 45A | 59.17% | 38.72% | D+20.5 | 58.13% | 33.53% | D+24.6 | D |
| 45B | 63.39% | 34.34% | D+29.1 | 64.02% | 27.43% | D+36.6 | D |
| 46A | 64.31% | 33.66% | D+30.7 | 66.50% | 25.81% | D+40.7 | D |
| 46B | 65.79% | 32.01% | D+33.8 | 68.45% | 23.31% | D+45.1 | D |
| 47A | 35.32% | 63.07% | R+27.7 | 31.29% | 60.91% | R+29.6 | R |
| 47B | 42.17% | 56.19% | R+14 | 44.19% | 47.17% | R+3 | R |
| 48A | 52.14% | 46.19% | D+5.9 | 55.55% | 36.50% | D+19.1 | D |
| 48B | 46.72% | 51.70% | R+5 | 53.09% | 39.54% | D+13.6 | R |
| 49A | 52.29% | 46.68% | D+5.6 | 60.37% | 32.60% | D+27.8 | R |
| 49B | 52.45% | 46.18% | D+6.3 | 56.50% | 36.35% | D+20.2 | D |
| 50A | 63.81% | 33.98% | D+29.8 | 61.93% | 29.97% | D+32 | D |
| 50B | 56.96% | 40.99% | D+16 | 55.51% | 36.29% | D+19.2 | D |
| 51A | 55.56% | 42.44% | D+13.1 | 54.45% | 37.27% | D+17.2 | D |
| 51B | 51.44% | 46.79% | D+4.7 | 54.17% | 37.06% | D+17.1 | D |
| 52A | 58.72% | 39.32% | D+19.4 | 56.76% | 34.99% | D+21.8 | D |
| 52B | 52.90% | 45.36% | D+7.5 | 49.95% | 42.08% | D+7.9 | R |
| 53A | 56.63% | 41.59% | D+15 | 54.59% | 37.63% | D+17 | D |
| 53B | 46.78% | 51.95% | R+5.2 | 50.81% | 42.01% | D+8.8 | R |
| 54A | 55.87% | 41.75% | D+14.1 | 46.83% | 43.55% | D+3.3 | R |
| 54B | 49.32% | 48.74% | D+0.6 | 42.76% | 48.63% | R+5.9 | R |
| 55A | 46.18% | 51.67% | R+5.5 | 43.39% | 47.89% | R+4.5 | R |
| 55B | 38.11% | 60.15% | R+22 | 34.43% | 57.98% | R+23.5 | R |
| 56A | 47.26% | 50.85% | R+3.6 | 47.12% | 44.13% | D+3 | R |
| 56B | 49.26% | 48.97% | D+0.3 | 48.62% | 43.89% | D+4.7 | R |
| 57A | 50.85% | 47.34% | D+3.5 | 49.06% | 42.78% | D+6.3 | D |
| 57B | 48.75% | 49.64% | R+0.9 | 48.21% | 43.72% | D+4.5 | R |
| 58A | 42.24% | 56.02% | R+13.8 | 40.36% | 51.99% | R+11.6 | R |
| 58B | 42.46% | 55.75% | R+13.3 | 34.86% | 57.04% | R+22.2 | R |
| 59A | 84.23% | 13.96% | D+70.3 | 78.85% | 13.74% | D+65.1 | D |
| 59B | 80.65% | 17.23% | D+63.4 | 79.46% | 13.04% | D+66.4 | D |
| 60A | 77.47% | 18.61% | D+58.9 | 76.38% | 14.48% | D+61.9 | D |
| 60B | 76.39% | 19.31% | D+57.1 | 79.57% | 11.88% | D+67.7 | D |
| 61A | 78.23% | 19.40% | D+58.8 | 81.47% | 12.06% | D+69.4 | D |
| 61B | 78.20% | 19.94% | D+58.3 | 81.29% | 12.45% | D+68.8 | D |
| 62A | 86.72% | 9.26% | D+77.5 | 84.08% | 7.57% | D+76.5 | D |
| 62B | 86.87% | 10.09% | D+76.8 | 85.70% | 6.89% | D+78.8 | D |
| 63A | 82.84% | 14.33% | D+68.5 | 81.97% | 10.62% | D+71.4 | D |
| 63B | 73.83% | 23.99% | D+49.8 | 73.80% | 18.58% | D+55.2 | D |
| 64A | 76.89% | 20.30% | D+56.6 | 78.82% | 13.58% | D+65.2 | D |
| 64B | 70.63% | 27.37% | D+43.3 | 74.41% | 18.39% | D+56 | D |
| 65A | 83.74% | 13.76% | D+70 | 80.78% | 12.13% | D+68.6 | D |
| 65B | 77.60% | 19.70% | D+57.9 | 74.28% | 17.59% | D+56.7 | D |
| 66A | 65.92% | 31.91% | D+34 | 67.89% | 23.85% | D+44 | D |
| 66B | 78.86% | 18.90% | D+60 | 76.62% | 15.90% | D+60.7 | D |
| 67A | 76.07% | 21.79% | D+54.3 | 70.99% | 21.62% | D+49.4 | D |
| 67B | 74.76% | 23.00% | D+51.8 | 70.67% | 22.02% | D+48.6 | D |
| Total | 52.84% | 45.12% | D+7.7 | 46.88% | 45.34% | D+1.5 | - |
| Source: Daily Kos | |||||||
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+5, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 5 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Minnesota's 1st Congressional District the 190th most Republican nationally.[14]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.03. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.03 points toward that party.[15]
District election history
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Tim Walz (D) defeated Jim Hagedorn (R) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Walz faced no primary challenger, while Hagedorn defeated Steve Williams in the Republican primary on August 9, 2016.[16][17]
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 50.3% | 169,074 | ||
| Republican | Jim Hagedorn | 49.6% | 166,526 | |
| N/A | Write-in | 0.1% | 277 | |
| Total Votes | 335,877 | |||
| Source: Minnesota Secretary of State | ||||
| Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
76.5% | 10,851 | ||
| Steve Williams | 23.5% | 3,330 | ||
| Total Votes | 14,181 | |||
| Source: Minnesota Secretary of State |
||||
2014
The 1st Congressional District of Minnesota held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Tim Walz (D) defeated challenger Jim Hagedorn (R) in the general election.
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 54.2% | 122,851 | ||
| Republican | Jim Hagedorn | 45.7% | 103,536 | |
| N/A | Write-in | 0.1% | 308 | |
| Total Votes | 226,695 | |||
| Source: Minnesota Secretary of State | ||||
General election candidates
Tim Walz - Incumbent 
Jim Hagedorn
August 12, 2014, primary results
|
Withdrew from race
2012
The 1st Congressional District of Minnesota held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012, which incumbent Tim Walz won.[22]
2010
On November 2, 2010, Tim Walz (D) won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Randy Demmer (R), Steven Wilson (I) and Lars Johnson (Party Free) in the general election.[23]
2008
On November 4, 2008, Tim Walz (D) won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Brian J. Davis (R) and Gregory Mikkelson (I) in the general election.[24]
State overview
Partisan control
This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Minnesota heading into the 2018 elections.
Congressional delegation
- Following the 2016 elections, Democrats held both U.S. Senate seats in Minnesota.
- Democrats held 5 of 8 U.S. House seats in Minnesota.
State executives
- The governor of Minnesota was Democrat Mark Dayton. The state held an election for governor and lieutenant governor on November 6, 2018.
State legislature
- Republicans had a 77-56 majority in the state House. The state Senate was tied, with 33 Republicans and 33 Democrats.
Trifecta status
- Minnesota was under divided government, meaning that the two parties shared control of the state government. Mark Dayton (D) served as governor, while Republicans controlled the state legislature.
2018 elections
- See also: Minnesota elections, 2018
Minnesota held elections for the following positions in 2018:
- Two U.S. Senate seats (one regular election and one special election)
- 8 U.S. House seats
- Governor and lieutenant governor
- Five lower state executive positions
- 134 state House seats
- One state Senate seat
- Municipal elections in St. Paul, Hennepin County, and Ramsey County
Demographics
| Demographic data for Minnesota | ||
|---|---|---|
| Minnesota | U.S. | |
| Total population: | 5,482,435 | 316,515,021 |
| Land area (sq mi): | 79,627 | 3,531,905 |
| Race and ethnicity** | ||
| White: | 84.8% | 73.6% |
| Black/African American: | 5.5% | 12.6% |
| Asian: | 4.4% | 5.1% |
| Native American: | 1% | 0.8% |
| Pacific Islander: | 0% | 0.2% |
| Two or more: | 2.7% | 3% |
| Hispanic/Latino: | 5% | 17.1% |
| Education | ||
| High school graduation rate: | 92.4% | 86.7% |
| College graduation rate: | 33.7% | 29.8% |
| Income | ||
| Median household income: | $61,492 | $53,889 |
| Persons below poverty level: | 12.2% | 11.3% |
| Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Minnesota. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. | ||
As of July 2016, Minnesota's three largest cities were Minneapolis (pop. est. 422,000), St. Paul (pop. est. 307,000), and Rochester (pop. est. 116,000).[25]
State election history
This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Minnesota from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Minnesota Secretary of State.
Historical elections
Presidential elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Minnesota every year from 2000 to 2016.
| Election results (President of the United States), Minnesota 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2016 | 46.4% | 44.9% | 1.5% | ||
| 2012 | 52.7% | 45.0% | 7.7% | ||
| 2008 | 54.1% | 43.8% | 10.3% | ||
| 2004 | 51.1% | 47.6% | 3.5% | ||
| 2000 | 47.9% | 45.5% | 2.4% | ||
U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Minnesota from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.
| Election results (U.S. Senator), Minnesota 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2014 | 53.2% | 42.9% | 10.3% | ||
| 2012 | 65.2% | 30.5% | 34.7% | ||
| 2008 | 41.99% | 41.98% | 0.01% | ||
| 2006 | 58.1% | 37.9% | 20.2% | ||
| 2002 | 49.5% | 47.3% | 2.2% | ||
| 2000 | 48.8% | 43.3% | 5.5% | ||
Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Minnesota.
| Election results (Governor), Minnesota 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2014 | 50.1% | 44.5% | 5.6% | ||
| 2010 | 43.6% | 43.2% | 0.4% | ||
| 2006 | 46.7% | 45.7% | 1.0% | ||
| 2002 | 44.4% | 36.5% | 7.9% | ||
Congressional delegation, 2000-2016
This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Minnesota in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.
Trifectas, 1992-2017
A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.
Minnesota Party Control: 1992-2025
Four years of Democratic trifectas • No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | I | I | I | I | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
| Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D |
| House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | S |
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota, 2018
- United States House elections in Minnesota (August 14, 2018 Democratic primaries)
- Minnesota's 1st Congressional District election (August 14, 2018 Republican primary)
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2018
Footnotes
- ↑ Post Bulletin, "Democrat Walz to run for governor," March 27, 2017
- ↑ Daily Kos, "The most vulnerable House members of 2018, in two charts," January 14, 2018
- ↑ MinnPost, "In southern Minnesota’s 1st District, Democrats unify ahead of competitive race on Trump turf, while GOP faces primary," April 23, 2018
- ↑ Winona Daily News, "1st Congressional District candidates divided over gun control," February 18, 2018
- ↑ The Daily Freeman, "In Democratic congressional candidate debate, U.S. Rep. John Faso and Trump come under fire," December 5, 2018
- ↑ 6.0 6.1 DCCC, "Red to Blue Candidates," accessed May 15, 2018
- ↑ The Intercept, "THE DEAD ENDERS: Candidates Who Signed Up to Battle Donald Trump Must Get Past the Democratic Party First," January 23, 2018
- ↑ This figure includes Pennsylvania districts that were redrawn by the state Supreme Court in early 2018 and districts that flipped in special elections.
- ↑ The new 8th district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 17th District held by Cartwright. Click here to read more.
- ↑ The new 14th district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 18th District Lamb won in a March 2018 special election. Tim Murphy (R) won the old 18th District in the 2016 election. Click here to read more.
- ↑ 270towin.com, "Minnesota," accessed June 29, 2017
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ Minnesota Secretary of State, "Candidate Filings," accessed June 1, 2016
- ↑ Politico, "Minnesota House Primaries Results," August 9, 2016
- ↑ Minnesota Secretary of State, "2014 State General Election Candidate Filings," accessed June 11, 2014
- ↑ The State.com, "Political newcomer joins GOP 1st District race," accessed August 19, 2013
- ↑ 20.0 20.1 NU Journal, "Hagedorn to announce run for 1st District today," accessed September 4, 2013
- ↑ 21.0 21.1 Star Tribune, "GOP delegates select businessman Miller to oppose Rep. Tim Walz after 2 challengers step aside," accessed April 8, 2014
- ↑ ABC News, "General Election Results 2012-Minnesota," accessed November 7, 2012
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ Minnesota Demographics, "Minnesota Cities by Population," accessed September 4, 2018
= candidate completed the