Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District election, 2024
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Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: June 4, 2024 |
Primary: August 13, 2024 General: November 5, 2024 |
How to vote |
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in Minnesota |
Race ratings |
DDHQ and The Hill: Safe Democratic Inside Elections: Solid Democratic Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th Minnesota elections, 2024 U.S. Congress elections, 2024 U.S. Senate elections, 2024 U.S. House elections, 2024 |
All U.S. House districts, including the 3rd Congressional District of Minnesota, held elections in 2024. The general election was November 5, 2024. The primary was August 13, 2024. The filing deadline was June 4, 2024. The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 119th Congress. All 435 House districts were up for election.
At the time of the election, Republicans held a 220-212 majority with three vacancies.[1] As a result of the election, Republicans retained control of the U.S. House, winning 220 seats to Democrats' 215.[2] To read more about the 2024 U.S. House elections, click here.
In the 2022 election in this district, the Democratic candidate won 59.6%-40.4%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have defeated Donald Trump (R) 59.5%-38.5%.[3]
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District election, 2024 (August 13 Republican primary)
- Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District election, 2024 (August 13 Democratic primary)
On November 24, 2023, Dean Phillips, the incumbent, announced he would not seek re-election in 2024.[4]
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Minnesota District 3
Kelly Morrison defeated Tad Jude in the general election for U.S. House Minnesota District 3 on November 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Kelly Morrison (D) | 58.4 | 240,209 |
![]() | Tad Jude (R) ![]() | 41.5 | 170,427 | |
Other/Write-in votes | 0.1 | 504 |
Total votes: 411,140 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Democratic primary election
The Democratic primary election was canceled. Kelly Morrison advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Minnesota District 3.
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Ron Harris (D)
- Dean Phillips (D)
Republican primary election
The Republican primary election was canceled. Tad Jude advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Minnesota District 3.
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Blaize Harty (R)
- Quentin Wittrock (R)
- Brad Kohler (R)
- James Page (R)
Candidate profiles
This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "I have deep roots in the 3rd Congressional District and Minnesota. By background I spent most of my childhood in the town of Maple Lake as the oldest of 11 children. Often I would accompany my father on his delivery route supplying small businesses throughout central Minnesota, including most of the 3rd District. I was elected to a nonpartisan seat in the Minnesota House of Representatives and served 10 years before being elected to serve 6 years as a DFLer in the Minnesota Senate. The district included much of Northern and Western Hennepin County. After that I was elected to serve a 4 year term on the nonpartisan Hennepin County Board of Commissioners. In 1992 I became a Republican. I served 11 years as nonpartisan 10th District Court Judge presiding over both civil and criminal matters. During the course of this public service I have door knocked over 100,000 doors. My education includes graduating from the University of St. Thomas and a JD from the Wm. Mitchell College of Law. I served in the 523rd Army Security Agency and am currently Commander of Post 303 American Legion. I have been instrumental in founding three small businesses currently in operation. I have been active on the boards of a number of community organizations ranging from Catholic Charities to the NW Suburban YMCA. My family consists of wife Jacelyn, 3 sons, an extended family of 6 children and am a grandparent. In my spare time I enjoy Minnesota canoeing, biking and cross country skiing."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Minnesota District 3 in 2024.
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Minnesota
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
Survey responses from candidates in this race
Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.
Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.
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Tad Jude (R)
people to get a start. Food and gas prices are also growing a rate way beyond the raises we get at our jobs. Out of control
government spending contributes to the high taxes we all pay. Locally we have seen huge fraud in the Feeding our Future
program which was supposed to feed children in need, fraud in the Hero Pay program intended to reward those who served us
during the pandemic, and a SW Light Rail fiasco which is 9 years delayed and massively over budget. Yet the Federal
Government continues to run endless budget deficits contributing to inflation. Congress needs to fix this mess. I will be
accountable.
Our border needs to be secure. Fentanyl is taking over 100,000 American lives each year. I have seen unaccompanied minor
children in my courtroom who have been trafficked over the border with no family to care for them. The asylum process has to be
workable for our country and communities. The southern border should have an effective wall, the northern border needs state of
the art surveillance, and enhanced ports of entry installed. Those from other countries who earn advanced education should be
welcomed and employment needs should be recognized in green/work permit programs. Those who have a felony conviction and
are here illegally should be expelled. Our immigration system should recognize the USA as a unique country full of promise.
Protect our community and support law enforcement. As a district court Judge for 11 years it has become painfully obvious that
we have a serious problem in the Hennepin County criminal justice system. Our county attorney needs to do her job in an
impartial, nonpolitical manner. The Ryan Londregan case earlier this year was a failure of the system. This case involved a
Minnesota trooper, doing his job as trained. The case should never have been charged. Law enforcement needs to be welcomed
in our homes, schools and community. Those in Congress and legislature who call for defunding the police should be thrown out.

Tad Jude (R)
clean air, water and land; and preserving Social Security/Medicare. Education has been drifting away from teacher and parent involvement at the cost of reading, writing and STEM achievement of our children. Funding should go with the student into the classroom. Our family enjoys the beautiful parks, lakes and trails we are blessed with and they need to be properly maintained. Our Seniors and work force need to be secure in having Social Security and Medicare available when needed. Plans to "beat
Medicare" or tax Social Security should be defeated.
Tad Jude (R)

Tad Jude (R)

Tad Jude (R)

Tad Jude (R)

Tad Jude (R)

Tad Jude (R)

Tad Jude (R)
Campaign finance
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kelly Morrison | Democratic Party | $2,263,654 | $2,238,265 | $25,389 | As of December 31, 2024 |
Tad Jude | Republican Party | $380,144 | $372,979 | $7,166 | As of December 31, 2024 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[5]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[6][7][8]
Race ratings: Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District election, 2024 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 5, 2024 | October 29, 2024 | October 22, 2024 | October 15, 2024 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
Decision Desk HQ and The Hill | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. |
Ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Minnesota in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Minnesota, click here.
Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024 | ||||||
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State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
Minnesota | U.S. House | Ballot-qualified party[9] | 1,000 | $300.00 | 6/4/2024 | Source |
Minnesota | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 1,000 | N/A | 6/4/2024 | Source |
District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
Below was the map in use at the time of the election. Click the map below to enlarge it.

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Minnesota.
Minnesota U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024 | ||||||||||||||
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Office | Districts/ offices |
Seats | Open seats | Candidates | Possible primaries | Contested Democratic primaries | Contested Republican primaries | % of contested primaries | Incumbents in contested primaries | % of incumbents in contested primaries | ||||
2024 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 29 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 62.5% | 6 | 85.7% | ||||
2022 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 32 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 56.3% | 4 | 50.0% | ||||
2020 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 37 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 62.5% | 6 | 75.0% | ||||
2018 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 38 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 62.5% | 2 | 40.0% | ||||
2016 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 30 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 50.0% | 3 | 42.9% | ||||
2014 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 19 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 18.8% | 0 | 0.0% |
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Minnesota in 2024. Information below was calculated on July 10, 2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
Twenty-nine candidates ran for Minnesota’s eight U.S. House districts, including 14 Democrats and 15 Republicans. That’s an average of 3.63 candidates per district. There were 4.00 candidates per district in 2022, 4.63 candidates per district in 2020 and 4.75 in 2018.
The 29 candidates who ran in Minnesota in 2024 are the fewest number of candidates since 2014, when 19 candidates ran.
The 3rd Congressional District was the only open district in Minnesota in 2024. Incumbent Rep. Dean Phillips (D-03) did not run for re-election to run for President of the United States.
Five candidates—four Democrats and one Republican—ran for the 5th Congressional District, the most candidates who ran for a district in Minnesota in 2024.
Ten primaries—four Democratic and six Republican—were contested in 2024. Between 2014 and 2022, an average of 8.00 primaries were contested each election cycle.
Six incumbents—two Democrats and four Republicans—ran in contested primaries in 2024, tying with 2020 for the most in the last 10 years.
Candidates filed to run in the Republican and Democratic primaries in all districts, meaning no seats were guaranteed to either party.Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+8. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 8 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Minnesota's 3rd the 146th most Democratic district nationally.[10]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
2020 presidential results in Minnesota's 3rd based on 2024 district lines | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() | |||
59.5% | 38.5% |
Inside Elections Baselines
- See also: Inside Elections
Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[11] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.
Inside Elections Baseline for 2024 | ||||
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Democratic Baseline ![]() |
Republican Baseline ![]() |
Difference | ||
55.5 | 40.9 | D+14.6 |
Presidential voting history
- See also: Presidential election in Minnesota, 2020
Minnesota presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 20 Democratic wins
- 10 Republican wins
- 1 other win
Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Winning Party | R | R | R | P[12] | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | D | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Minnesota's congressional delegation as of May 2024.
Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Minnesota | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
Democratic | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Republican | 0 | 4 | 4 |
Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 2 | 8 | 10 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Minnesota's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.
State executive officials in Minnesota, May 2024 | |
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Office | Officeholder |
Governor | ![]() |
Lieutenant Governor | ![]() |
Secretary of State | ![]() |
Attorney General | ![]() |
State legislature
Minnesota State Senate
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 34 | |
Republican Party | 33 | |
Independent | 0 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 67 |
Minnesota House of Representatives
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 70 | |
Republican Party | 60 | |
Independent | 0 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 1 | |
Total | 134 |
Trifecta control
The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.
Minnesota Party Control: 1992-2024
Four years of Democratic trifectas • No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | I | I | I | I | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D |
House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D |
District history
The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2018.
2022
General election
General election for U.S. House Minnesota District 3
Incumbent Dean Phillips defeated Tom Weiler in the general election for U.S. House Minnesota District 3 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Dean Phillips (D) | 59.6 | 198,883 |
Tom Weiler (R) | 40.4 | 134,797 | ||
Other/Write-in votes | 0.1 | 241 |
Total votes: 333,921 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Democratic primary election
The Democratic primary election was canceled. Incumbent Dean Phillips advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Minnesota District 3.
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
Republican primary election
The Republican primary election was canceled. Tom Weiler advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Minnesota District 3.
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Mark Blaxill (R)
2020
General election
General election for U.S. House Minnesota District 3
Incumbent Dean Phillips defeated Kendall Qualls in the general election for U.S. House Minnesota District 3 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Dean Phillips (D) | 55.6 | 246,666 |
Kendall Qualls (R) ![]() | 44.3 | 196,625 | ||
Other/Write-in votes | 0.1 | 312 |
Total votes: 443,603 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Gary Heyer (Independent)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Minnesota District 3
Incumbent Dean Phillips defeated Cole Young in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Minnesota District 3 on August 11, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Dean Phillips | 90.7 | 73,011 |
![]() | Cole Young | 9.3 | 7,443 |
Total votes: 80,454 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Minnesota District 3
Kendall Qualls defeated Leslie Davis in the Republican primary for U.S. House Minnesota District 3 on August 11, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Kendall Qualls ![]() | 75.9 | 25,405 | |
![]() | Leslie Davis | 24.1 | 8,060 |
Total votes: 33,465 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Minnesota District 3
Dean Phillips defeated incumbent Erik Paulsen in the general election for U.S. House Minnesota District 3 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Dean Phillips (D) | 55.6 | 202,404 |
![]() | Erik Paulsen (R) | 44.2 | 160,839 | |
Other/Write-in votes | 0.2 | 706 |
Total votes: 363,949 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Minnesota District 3
Dean Phillips defeated Cole Young in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Minnesota District 3 on August 14, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Dean Phillips | 81.6 | 56,677 |
![]() | Cole Young | 18.4 | 12,784 |
Total votes: 69,461 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Alicia Donahue (D)
- Brian Santa Maria (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Minnesota District 3
Incumbent Erik Paulsen advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Minnesota District 3 on August 14, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Erik Paulsen | 100.0 | 39,077 |
Total votes: 39,077 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ A majority in the U.S. House when there are no vacancies is 218 seats.
- ↑ These figures include the seat of Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-Fla.), who resigned on Nov. 13, 2024, after winning re-election.
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ CBS News, "Rep. Dean Phillips announces he won't seek reelection to 3rd Congressional District amidst presidential run," November 24, 2023
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Petition signatures only required in lieu of a filing fee.
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
- ↑ Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023
- ↑ Progressive Party