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Mississippi's 1st Congressional District

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Mississippi's 1st Congressional District
Incumbent
Assumed office: June 9, 2015

Mississippi's 1st Congressional District in the United States House of Representatives is represented by Trent Kelly (R).

As of the 2020 Census, Mississippi representatives represented an average of 740,979 residents. After the 2010 Census, each member represented 744,560 residents.

Elections

See also: Mississippi's 1st Congressional District election, 2026

General election

The primary will occur on March 10, 2026. The general election will occur on November 3, 2026. General election candidates will be added here following the primary.

Democratic primary

Democratic primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 1

Kelvin Buck (D), Montravius Hall (D), and Cliff Johnson (D) are running in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 1 on March 10, 2026.


Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Republican primary

Republican primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 1

Incumbent Trent Kelly (R) is running in the Republican primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 1 on March 10, 2026.

Candidate
Image of Trent Kelly
Trent Kelly

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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See also: Mississippi's 1st Congressional District election, 2024

General election

General election for U.S. House Mississippi District 1

Incumbent Trent Kelly (R) defeated Dianne Black (D) in the general election for U.S. House Mississippi District 1 on November 5, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Trent Kelly
Trent Kelly (R)
 
69.8
 
223,589
Image of Dianne Black
Dianne Black (D)  Candidate Connection
 
30.2
 
96,697

Total votes: 320,286
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary

Democratic primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 1

Dianne Black (D) defeated Matthew Williams (D) in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 1 on March 12, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Dianne Black
Dianne Black  Candidate Connection
 
85.0
 
12,147
Image of Matthew Williams
Matthew Williams  Candidate Connection
 
15.0
 
2,138

Total votes: 14,285
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Republican primary

Republican primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 1

Incumbent Trent Kelly (R) advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 1 on March 12, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Trent Kelly
Trent Kelly
 
100.0
 
68,842

Total votes: 68,842
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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See also: Mississippi's 1st Congressional District election, 2022

General election

General election for U.S. House Mississippi District 1

Incumbent Trent Kelly (R) defeated Dianne Black (D) in the general election for U.S. House Mississippi District 1 on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Trent Kelly
Trent Kelly (R)
 
73.0
 
122,151
Image of Dianne Black
Dianne Black (D)  Candidate Connection
 
27.0
 
45,238

Total votes: 167,389
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary

Democratic primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 1

Dianne Black (D) defeated Hunter Avery (D) in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 1 on June 7, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Dianne Black
Dianne Black  Candidate Connection
 
79.0
 
8,268
Image of Hunter Avery
Hunter Avery  Candidate Connection
 
21.0
 
2,203

Total votes: 10,471
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Republican primary

Republican primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 1

Incumbent Trent Kelly (R) defeated Mark Strauss (R) in the Republican primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 1 on June 7, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Trent Kelly
Trent Kelly
 
89.8
 
27,447
Image of Mark Strauss
Mark Strauss  Candidate Connection
 
10.2
 
3,109

Total votes: 30,556
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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See also: Mississippi's 1st Congressional District election, 2020

General election

General election for U.S. House Mississippi District 1

Incumbent Trent Kelly (R) defeated Antonia Eliason (D) in the general election for U.S. House Mississippi District 1 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Trent Kelly
Trent Kelly (R)
 
68.7
 
228,787
Image of Antonia Eliason
Antonia Eliason (D)  Candidate Connection
 
31.3
 
104,008

Total votes: 332,795
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary

Democratic primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 1

Antonia Eliason (D) advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 1 on March 10, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Antonia Eliason
Antonia Eliason  Candidate Connection
 
100.0
 
37,830

Total votes: 37,830
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Republican primary

Republican primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 1

Incumbent Trent Kelly (R) advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 1 on March 10, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Trent Kelly
Trent Kelly
 
100.0
 
56,501

Total votes: 56,501
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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See also: United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Mississippi District 1

Incumbent Trent Kelly (R) defeated Randy Wadkins (D) and Tracella Lou O'Hara Hill (Reform Party) in the general election for U.S. House Mississippi District 1 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Trent Kelly
Trent Kelly (R)
 
66.9
 
158,245
Image of Randy Wadkins
Randy Wadkins (D)
 
32.4
 
76,601
Tracella Lou O'Hara Hill (Reform Party)
 
0.7
 
1,675

Total votes: 236,521
(100% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary

Democratic primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 1

Randy Wadkins (D) advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 1 on June 5, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Randy Wadkins
Randy Wadkins
 
100.0
 
11,692

Total votes: 11,692
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary

Republican primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 1

Incumbent Trent Kelly (R) advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 1 on June 5, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Trent Kelly
Trent Kelly
 
100.0
 
30,151

Total votes: 30,151
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Previous election results


District map

2023_01_03_ms_congressional_district_01.jpg

Redistricting

2020-2021

See also: Redistricting in Mississippi after the 2020 census

Gov. Tate Reeves (R) signed the state's congressional redistricting plan—House Bill 384—on January 24, 2022. The state House of Representatives approved the plan, 75-44, on January 6, 2022, with 73 Republicans, one Democrat, and one independent voting in favor and 41 Democrats, two Republicans, and one independent voting against. The state Senate approved the new congressional map, 33-18, on January 12, 2022, with all votes in favor by Republicans and 16 Democrats and two Republicans voting against.[14] The Mississippi Joint Legislative Committee on Redistricting approved the proposal on December 15, 2021.[15]

After the state Senate approved the plan, Lee Sanderlin wrote in the Mississippi Clarion Ledger, “The bill preserves the current balance of congressional power in Mississippi, keeping three seats for Republicans and one for lone Democrat Bennie Thompson, D-Bolton.”[16] Sanderlin also wrote, "This is the first time since the 1965 passage of the Voting Rights Act passed Mississippi's redistricting will go on without federal oversight after a 2013 Supreme Court decision ended the requirement certain states get federal approval for redistricting changes. A federal judge drew the congressional districts in 2002 because legislators could not agree on a map, and again in 2011 because legislators felt they didn't have enough time to do it during session."[16]

How does redistricting in Mississippi work? In Mississippi, both congressional and state legislative district boundaries are drawn by the state legislature. Congressional district lines are approved as regular legislation and are thus subject to veto by the governor. State legislative district boundaries are approved as a joint resolution; as such, they are not subject to gubernatorial veto.[17]

If the legislature cannot approve a state legislative redistricting plan, a five-member commission must draw the lines. This commission comprises the chief justice of the Mississippi Supreme Court, the attorney general, the secretary of state, and the majority leaders of the Mississippi State Senate and the Mississippi House of Representatives.[17]

The Mississippi Constitution requires that state legislative district boundaries be contiguous. State statutes further require that state legislative districts "be compact and cross political boundaries as little as possible."[17]

2020

2019_05_02_ms_congressional_district_01.jpg

2024

2023_01_03_ms_congressional_district_01.jpg

2010-2011

This is the 1st Congressional District of Mississippi after the 2001 redistricting process.
See also: Redistricting in Mississippi after the 2010 census

In 2011, the Mississippi State Legislature re-drew the congressional districts based on updated population information from the 2010 census.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

2026

Heading into the 2026 elections, based on results from the 2024 and 2020 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district is R+18. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 18 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Mississippi's 1st the 46th most Republican district nationally.[18]

2024

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+18. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 18 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Mississippi's 1st the 53rd most Republican district nationally.[19]

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Donald Trump (R) would have defeated Joe Biden (D) 65.1%-33.4%.[20]

2022

Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+18. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 18 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Mississippi's 1st the 53rd most Republican district nationally.[21]

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 33.4% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 65.1%.[22]

2018

Heading into the 2018 elections, based on results from the 2016 and 2012 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+16. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 16 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Mississippi's 1st Congressional District the 74th most Republican nationally.[23]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.93. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.93 points toward that party.[24]

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. Mississippi Secretary of State, "2016 Candidate Qualifying List," accessed January 12, 2016
  2. The Clarion-Ledger, "Primary Results: Statewide, county by county," March 8, 2016
  3. WMC Action News 5, "May 12 election set to fill north Mississippi US House seat," February 24, 2015
  4. WTVA, "Election Results," May 12, 2015
  5. The Hill, "Republican Trent Kelly wins runoff for Miss. House seat," June 2, 2015
  6. Politico, "2012 Election Map, Mississippi," accessed November 6, 2012
  7. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
  8. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008," accessed March 28, 2013
  9. [https://web.archive.org/web/20201120131424/http://www.sos.state.ms.us/elections/2008/First%20Congressional%20Special%20Election/Congressional%20Election%20PDF/2008%20First%20Congressional%20Special%20Election%20Certification.pdf
  10. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2006," accessed March 28, 2013
  11. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2004," accessed March 28, 2013
  12. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 2002," accessed March 28, 2013
  13. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2000," accessed March 28, 2013
  14. Mississippi Legislature, 2022 Regular Session, "House Bill 384," accessed January 24, 2022
  15. Clarion Ledger, "Redistricting committee finalizes Mississippi congressional map proposal, expanding 2nd District," December 15, 2021
  16. 16.0 16.1 Mississippi redistricting: Senate follows House, approves expanded 2nd District January 12, 2022
  17. 17.0 17.1 17.2 All About Redistricting, "Mississippi," accessed May 4, 2015
  18. Cook Political Report, "2025 Cook PVI℠: District Map and List (119th Congress)," accessed July 1, 2025
  19. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
  20. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  21. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
  22. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  23. Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  24. FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
Republican Party (5)
Democratic Party (1)