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Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District election, 2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Mississippi District 2
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Bennie Thompson (D) | 71.8 | 158,921 |
![]() | Troy Ray (Independent) | 21.7 | 48,104 | |
Irving Harris (Reform Party) | 6.5 | 14,354 |
Total votes: 221,379 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
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If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 8 (in-person); Oct. 9 (postmark by mail)
- Early voting: N/A
- Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 3
- Online registration: No
- Same-day registration: No
- Voter ID: Photo ID required
- Poll times: 7:00 a.m. to 7:00 p.m.
2020 →
← 2016
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Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: March 1, 2018 |
Primary: June 5, 2018 Primary runoff: June 26, 2018 (if needed) General: November 6, 2018 Pre-election incumbent: Bennie Thompson (Democrat) |
How to vote |
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voting in Mississippi |
Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic Inside Elections: Solid Democratic Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018 |
See also |
U.S. Senate (regular) • U.S. Senate (special) • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th Mississippi elections, 2018 U.S. Congress elections, 2018 U.S. Senate elections, 2018 U.S. House elections, 2018 |
All U.S. congressional districts, including the 2nd Congressional District of Mississippi, held elections in 2018.
Heading into the election the incumbent was Bennie Thompson (D), who was first elected in 1993.
Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District was one of 39 U.S. House districts where a Republican did not run in 2018. To learn more click here.
Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District is located in the western portion of the state and includes Attala, Bolivar, Carroll, Claiborne, Coahoma, Copiah, Grenada, Holmes, Humphreys, Issaquena, Jefferson, Leake, Leflore, Montgomery, Panola, Quitman, Sharkey, Sunflower, Tallahatchie, Tunica Warren, Washington, Yalobusha, and Yazoo counties. Areas of Hinds and Madison counties are also included in the district.[1]
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Mississippi District 2
Incumbent Bennie Thompson defeated Troy Ray and Irving Harris in the general election for U.S. House Mississippi District 2 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Bennie Thompson (D) | 71.8 | 158,921 |
![]() | Troy Ray (Independent) | 21.7 | 48,104 | |
Irving Harris (Reform Party) | 6.5 | 14,354 |
Total votes: 221,379 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 2
Incumbent Bennie Thompson advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 2 on June 5, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Bennie Thompson | 100.0 | 31,203 |
Total votes: 31,203 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+14, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 14 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District the 94th most Democratic nationally.[2]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.95. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.95 points toward that party.[3]
Campaign contributions
The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bennie Thompson | Democratic Party | $1,020,602 | $1,034,484 | $1,243,060 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Irving Harris | Reform Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Troy Ray | Independent | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2018. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
District history
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Bennie Thompson (D) defeated John Bouie, II (R) Libertarian Johnny McLeod, and Independent Party candidate Troy Ray in the general election. Each of the candidates was unopposed in their respective primary elections.[4]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ![]() |
67.1% | 192,343 | |
Republican | John Bouie II | 29.1% | 83,542 | |
Independent | Troy Ray | 2.4% | 6,918 | |
Reform | Johnny McLeod | 1.3% | 3,823 | |
Total Votes | 286,626 | |||
Source: Mississippi Secretary of State |
2014
The 2nd Congressional District of Mississippi held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Bennie Thompson (D) defeated Troy Ray (I) and Shelley Shoemake (RP) in the general election.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ![]() |
67.7% | 100,688 | |
Independent | Troy Ray | 24.5% | 36,465 | |
Reform | Shelley Shoemake | 7.7% | 11,493 | |
Total Votes | 148,646 | |||
Source: Mississippi Secretary of State Official Results |
Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
Two of 82 Mississippi counties—2.4 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008 | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
County | Trump margin of victory in 2016 | Obama margin of victory in 2012 | Obama margin of victory in 2008 | ||||
Chickasaw County, Mississippi | 6.06% | 4.52% | 2.13% | ||||
Panola County, Mississippi | 0.12% | 8.62% | 6.52% |
State overview
Partisan control
This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Mississippi heading into the 2018 elections.
Congressional delegation
- Following the 2016 elections, Republicans held both U.S. Senate seats in Mississippi.
- Republicans held three of four U.S. House seats in Mississippi.
State executives
- As of September 2018, Republicans held eight of 11 state executive positions, with the remaining three held by Democrats.
- The governor of Mississippi was Republican Phil Bryant. Bryant won election in 2011 and was re-elected in 2015.
State legislature
- Republicans controlled both chambers of the Mississippi State Legislature. They had a 74-46 majority in the state House and a 33-19 majority in the state Senate.
Trifecta status
- Mississippi was a Republican trifecta, meaning that the Republican Party held the governorship and both chambers of the state legislature.
2018 elections
- See also: Mississippi elections, 2018
Mississippi held elections for the following positions in 2018:
- Both U.S. Senate seats (one regularly-scheduled and one special election)
- All four U.S. House seats
- One of nine state Supreme Court seats
- Five of 10 state Court of Appeals seats
Demographics
Demographic data for Mississippi | ||
---|---|---|
Mississippi | U.S. | |
Total population: | 2,989,390 | 316,515,021 |
Land area (sq mi): | 46,923 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White: | 59.2% | 73.6% |
Black/African American: | 37.4% | 12.6% |
Asian: | 1% | 5.1% |
Native American: | 0.4% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander: | 0% | 0.2% |
Two or more: | 1.2% | 3% |
Hispanic/Latino: | 2.9% | 17.1% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate: | 82.3% | 86.7% |
College graduation rate: | 20.7% | 29.8% |
Income | ||
Median household income: | $39,665 | $53,889 |
Persons below poverty level: | 27% | 11.3% |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Mississippi. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
As of July 2016, Mississippi's three largest cities were Jackson (pop. est. 170,000), Gulfport (pop. est. 72,000), and Southaven (pop. est. 54,000).[5]
State election history
This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Mississippi from 2000 to 2016. Data comes from the Mississippi Secretary of State.
Historical elections
Presidential elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Mississippi every year from 2000 to 2016.
Election results (President of the United States), Mississippi 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | ![]() |
57.9% | ![]() |
40.1% | 17.8% |
2012 | ![]() |
55.3% | ![]() |
43.8% | 11.5% |
2008 | ![]() |
56.2% | ![]() |
43.0% | 13.2% |
2004 | ![]() |
59.5% | ![]() |
39.8% | 19.7% |
2000 | ![]() |
57.6% | ![]() |
40.7% | 16.9% |
U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Mississippi from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the two seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.
Election results (U.S. Senator), Mississippi 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2014 | ![]() |
59.9% | ![]() |
37.9% | 22.0% |
2012 | ![]() |
57.2% | ![]() |
40.6% | 16.6% |
2008 | ![]() |
61.4% | ![]() |
38.6% | 22.8% |
2008 (special) | ![]() |
55.0% | ![]() |
45.0% | 10.0% |
2006 | ![]() |
63.6% | ![]() |
34.9% | 28.7% |
2002 | ![]() |
84.6% | ![]() |
15.4% | 69.2% |
2000 | ![]() |
65.9% | ![]() |
31.6% | 34.3% |
Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Mississippi.
Election results (Governor), Mississippi 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2015 | ![]() |
66.6% | ![]() |
32.1% | 34.5% |
2011 | ![]() |
61.0% | ![]() |
39.0% | 22.0% |
2007 | ![]() |
57.9% | ![]() |
42.1% | 15.8% |
2003 | ![]() |
52.6% | ![]() |
45.8% | 6.8% |
Congressional delegation, 2000-2016
This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Mississippi in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.
Trifectas, 1992-2017
A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.
Mississippi Party Control: 1992-2025
Four years of Democratic trifectas • Fourteen years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R[6] | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
See also
- Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District election (June 5, 2018 Democratic primary)
- Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District election (June 5, 2018 Republican primary)
- United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi, 2018
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2018
Footnotes
- ↑ Mississippi Redistricting Map, "Map," accessed August 30, 2012
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ Mississippi Secretary of State, "2016 Candidate Qualifying List," accessed January 12, 2016
- ↑ Mississippi Demographics by Cubit, "Mississippi Cities by Population," accessed September 10, 2018
- ↑ Republicans gained a majority in 2007 when two Democratic state senators switched their party affiliation. Democrats regained the majority as a result of the 2007 elections.