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Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District election, 2020
- Election date: Nov. 3
- Registration deadline(s): Oct. 5
- Online registration: No
- Same-day registration: No
- Recount laws
- Early voting starts: N/A
- Absentee/mail voting deadline(s): Nov. 3 (postmarked); Nov. 10 (received)
- Processing, counting, and challenging absentee/mail-in ballots
- Voter ID: Photo ID
- Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.
2022 →
← 2018
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Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: January 10, 2020 |
Primary: March 10, 2020 Primary runoff: June 23, 2020 General: November 3, 2020 Pre-election incumbent: Bennie Thompson (Democrat) |
How to vote |
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voting in Mississippi |
Race ratings |
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th Mississippi elections, 2020 U.S. Congress elections, 2020 U.S. Senate elections, 2020 U.S. House elections, 2020 |
All U.S. congressional districts, including the 2nd Congressional District of Mississippi, held elections in 2020.
Incumbent Bennie Thompson won election in the general election for U.S. House Mississippi District 2.
Candidate filing deadline | Primary election | General election |
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Heading into the election the incumbent was Democrat Bennie Thompson, who was first elected in 1993.
Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District is located in the western portion of the state and includes Attala, Bolivar, Carroll, Claiborne, Coahoma, Copiah, Grenada, Holmes, Humphreys, Issaquena, Jefferson, Leake, Leflore, Montgomery, Panola, Quitman, Sharkey, Sunflower, Tallahatchie, Tunica Warren, Washington, Yalobusha, and Yazoo counties. Areas of Hinds and Madison counties are also included in the district.[1]
Post-election analysis
The table below compares the vote totals in the 2020 presidential election and 2020 U.S. House election for this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
Election procedure changes in 2020
Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.
Mississippi modified its absentee/mail-in voting procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:
- Absentee/mail-in voting: Any individual under a physician-ordered quarantine, or an individual caring for a dependent under quarantine, due to COVID-19 was eligible to vote by absentee ballot. The absentee ballot postmark deadline was extended to November 3, 2020, and the receipt deadline to November 10, 2020.
For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Mississippi District 2
Incumbent Bennie Thompson defeated Brian Flowers in the general election for U.S. House Mississippi District 2 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Bennie Thompson (D) | 66.0 | 196,224 |
![]() | Brian Flowers (R) ![]() | 34.0 | 101,010 |
Total votes: 297,234 | ||||
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If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Republican primary runoff election
Republican primary runoff for U.S. House Mississippi District 2
Brian Flowers defeated Thomas Carey in the Republican primary runoff for U.S. House Mississippi District 2 on June 23, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Brian Flowers ![]() | 70.0 | 3,822 |
Thomas Carey | 30.0 | 1,638 |
Total votes: 5,460 | ||||
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If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 2
Incumbent Bennie Thompson defeated Sonia Rathburn in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 2 on March 10, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Bennie Thompson | 94.0 | 97,921 |
![]() | Sonia Rathburn ![]() | 6.0 | 6,256 |
Total votes: 104,177 | ||||
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If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 2
Brian Flowers and Thomas Carey advanced to a runoff. They defeated B.C. Hammond in the Republican primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 2 on March 10, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Brian Flowers ![]() | 37.8 | 9,883 |
✔ | Thomas Carey | 36.2 | 9,456 | |
![]() | B.C. Hammond ![]() | 26.0 | 6,812 |
Total votes: 26,151 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
Two of 82 Mississippi counties—2.4 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008 | |||||||
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County | Trump margin of victory in 2016 | Obama margin of victory in 2012 | Obama margin of victory in 2008 | ||||
Chickasaw County, Mississippi | 6.06% | 4.52% | 2.13% | ||||
Panola County, Mississippi | 0.12% | 8.62% | 6.52% |
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+14, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 14 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District the 94th most Democratic nationally.[2]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.95. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.95 points toward that party.[3]
Campaign finance
This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[4] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[5] The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
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Bennie Thompson | Democratic Party | $1,379,892 | $1,099,404 | $1,523,548 | As of December 31, 2020 |
Brian Flowers | Republican Party | $18,341 | $17,891 | $451 | As of December 31, 2020 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[6]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[7][8][9]
Race ratings: Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District election, 2020 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 3, 2020 | October 27, 2020 | October 20, 2020 | October 13, 2020 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season. |
Candidate ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for 2nd Congressional District candidates in Mississippi in the 2020 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Mississippi, click here.
Filing requirements, 2020 | ||||||||
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State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Signature formula | Filing fee | Filing fee formula | Filing deadline | Source |
Mississippi | 2nd Congressional District | Qualified party | N/A | N/A | $500.00 | Fixed number | 1/10/2020 | Source |
Mississippi | 2nd Congressional District | Unaffiliated | 200 | Fixed number | $500.00 | Fixed number | 1/10/2020 | Source |
District election history
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Mississippi District 2
Incumbent Bennie Thompson defeated Troy Ray and Irving Harris in the general election for U.S. House Mississippi District 2 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Bennie Thompson (D) | 71.8 | 158,921 |
![]() | Troy Ray (Independent) | 21.7 | 48,104 | |
Irving Harris (Reform Party) | 6.5 | 14,354 |
Total votes: 221,379 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
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If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 2
Incumbent Bennie Thompson advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 2 on June 5, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Bennie Thompson | 100.0 | 31,203 |
Total votes: 31,203 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Bennie Thompson (D) defeated John Bouie, II (R) Libertarian Johnny McLeod, and Independent Party candidate Troy Ray in the general election. Each of the candidates was unopposed in their respective primary elections.[10]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ![]() |
67.1% | 192,343 | |
Republican | John Bouie II | 29.1% | 83,542 | |
Independent | Troy Ray | 2.4% | 6,918 | |
Reform | Johnny McLeod | 1.3% | 3,823 | |
Total Votes | 286,626 | |||
Source: Mississippi Secretary of State |
2014
The 2nd Congressional District of Mississippi held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Bennie Thompson (D) defeated Troy Ray (I) and Shelley Shoemake (RP) in the general election.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ![]() |
67.7% | 100,688 | |
Independent | Troy Ray | 24.5% | 36,465 | |
Reform | Shelley Shoemake | 7.7% | 11,493 | |
Total Votes | 148,646 | |||
Source: Mississippi Secretary of State Official Results |
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi, 2020
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2020
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Mississippi Redistricting Map, "Map," accessed August 30, 2012
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Mississippi Secretary of State, "2016 Candidate Qualifying List," accessed January 12, 2016