Your monthly support provides voters the knowledge they need to make confident decisions at the polls. Donate today.

Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District election, 2020

From Ballotpedia
Jump to: navigation, search



2022
2018
Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: January 10, 2020
Primary: March 10, 2020
Primary runoff: June 23, 2020
General: November 3, 2020

Pre-election incumbent:
Bennie Thompson (Democrat)
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Mississippi
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020
See also
Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th
Mississippi elections, 2020
U.S. Congress elections, 2020
U.S. Senate elections, 2020
U.S. House elections, 2020

All U.S. congressional districts, including the 2nd Congressional District of Mississippi, held elections in 2020.

Incumbent Bennie Thompson won election in the general election for U.S. House Mississippi District 2.

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
January 10, 2020
March 10, 2020
November 3, 2020


Heading into the election the incumbent was Democrat Bennie Thompson, who was first elected in 1993.


Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District is located in the western portion of the state and includes Attala, Bolivar, Carroll, Claiborne, Coahoma, Copiah, Grenada, Holmes, Humphreys, Issaquena, Jefferson, Leake, Leflore, Montgomery, Panola, Quitman, Sharkey, Sunflower, Tallahatchie, Tunica Warren, Washington, Yalobusha, and Yazoo counties. Areas of Hinds and Madison counties are also included in the district.[1]

Post-election analysis

The table below compares the vote totals in the 2020 presidential election and 2020 U.S. House election for this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

Presidential and congressional election results, Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District, 2020
Race Presidential U.S. House
Democratic candidate Democratic Party 63.7 66
Republican candidate Republican Party 35.2 34
Difference 28.5 32

Election procedure changes in 2020

See also: Changes to election dates, procedures, and administration in response to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, 2020

Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.

Mississippi modified its absentee/mail-in voting procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:

  • Absentee/mail-in voting: Any individual under a physician-ordered quarantine, or an individual caring for a dependent under quarantine, due to COVID-19 was eligible to vote by absentee ballot. The absentee ballot postmark deadline was extended to November 3, 2020, and the receipt deadline to November 10, 2020.

For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.

Explore Election Results site ad border blue.png

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Mississippi District 2

Incumbent Bennie Thompson defeated Brian Flowers in the general election for U.S. House Mississippi District 2 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Bennie Thompson
Bennie Thompson (D)
 
66.0
 
196,224
Image of Brian Flowers
Brian Flowers (R) Candidate Connection
 
34.0
 
101,010

Total votes: 297,234
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary runoff election

Republican primary runoff for U.S. House Mississippi District 2

Brian Flowers defeated Thomas Carey in the Republican primary runoff for U.S. House Mississippi District 2 on June 23, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Brian Flowers
Brian Flowers Candidate Connection
 
70.0
 
3,822
Thomas Carey
 
30.0
 
1,638

Total votes: 5,460
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 2

Incumbent Bennie Thompson defeated Sonia Rathburn in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 2 on March 10, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Bennie Thompson
Bennie Thompson
 
94.0
 
97,921
Image of Sonia Rathburn
Sonia Rathburn Candidate Connection
 
6.0
 
6,256

Total votes: 104,177
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 2

Brian Flowers and Thomas Carey advanced to a runoff. They defeated B.C. Hammond in the Republican primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 2 on March 10, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Brian Flowers
Brian Flowers Candidate Connection
 
37.8
 
9,883
Thomas Carey
 
36.2
 
9,456
Image of B.C. Hammond
B.C. Hammond Candidate Connection
 
26.0
 
6,812

Total votes: 26,151
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

Two of 82 Mississippi counties—2.4 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
County Trump margin of victory in 2016 Obama margin of victory in 2012 Obama margin of victory in 2008
Chickasaw County, Mississippi 6.06% 4.52% 2.13%
Panola County, Mississippi 0.12% 8.62% 6.52%

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+14, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 14 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District the 94th most Democratic nationally.[2]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.95. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.95 points toward that party.[3]

Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[4] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[5] The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Bennie Thompson Democratic Party $1,379,892 $1,099,404 $1,523,548 As of December 31, 2020
Brian Flowers Republican Party $18,341 $17,891 $451 As of December 31, 2020

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.


Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[6]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[7][8][9]

Race ratings: Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District election, 2020
Race trackerRace ratings
November 3, 2020October 27, 2020October 20, 2020October 13, 2020
The Cook Political ReportSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season.

Candidate ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for 2nd Congressional District candidates in Mississippi in the 2020 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Mississippi, click here.

Filing requirements, 2020
State Office Party Signatures required Signature formula Filing fee Filing fee formula Filing deadline Source
Mississippi 2nd Congressional District Qualified party N/A N/A $500.00 Fixed number 1/10/2020 Source
Mississippi 2nd Congressional District Unaffiliated 200 Fixed number $500.00 Fixed number 1/10/2020 Source

District election history

2018

See also: Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District elections, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Mississippi District 2

Incumbent Bennie Thompson defeated Troy Ray and Irving Harris in the general election for U.S. House Mississippi District 2 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Bennie Thompson
Bennie Thompson (D)
 
71.8
 
158,921
Image of Troy Ray
Troy Ray (Independent)
 
21.7
 
48,104
Irving Harris (Reform Party)
 
6.5
 
14,354

Total votes: 221,379
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 2

Incumbent Bennie Thompson advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 2 on June 5, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Bennie Thompson
Bennie Thompson
 
100.0
 
31,203

Total votes: 31,203
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2016

See also: Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Bennie Thompson (D) defeated John Bouie, II (R) Libertarian Johnny McLeod, and Independent Party candidate Troy Ray in the general election. Each of the candidates was unopposed in their respective primary elections.[10]

U.S. House, Mississippi District 2 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngBennie Thompson Incumbent 67.1% 192,343
     Republican John Bouie II 29.1% 83,542
     Independent Troy Ray 2.4% 6,918
     Reform Johnny McLeod 1.3% 3,823
Total Votes 286,626
Source: Mississippi Secretary of State

2014

See also: Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District elections, 2014

The 2nd Congressional District of Mississippi held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Bennie Thompson (D) defeated Troy Ray (I) and Shelley Shoemake (RP) in the general election.

U.S. House, Mississippi District 2 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngBennie Thompson Incumbent 67.7% 100,688
     Independent Troy Ray 24.5% 36,465
     Reform Shelley Shoemake 7.7% 11,493
Total Votes 148,646
Source: Mississippi Secretary of State Official Results

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. Mississippi Redistricting Map, "Map," accessed August 30, 2012
  2. Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  3. FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
  4. Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
  5. Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
  6. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  7. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  8. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  9. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  10. Mississippi Secretary of State, "2016 Candidate Qualifying List," accessed January 12, 2016


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
Republican Party (5)
Democratic Party (1)