Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District election (June 5, 2018 Democratic primary)
- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 8 (in-person); Oct. 9 (postmark by mail)
- Early voting: N/A
- Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 3
- Online registration: No
- Same-day registration: No
- Voter ID: Photo ID required
- Poll times: 7:00 a.m. to 7:00 p.m.
2020 →
← 2016
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| Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District |
|---|
 |
| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: March 1, 2018 |
| Primary: June 5, 2018 Primary runoff: June 26, 2018 (if needed) General: November 6, 2018 Pre-election incumbent: Gregg Harper (Republican) |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voting in Mississippi |
| Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican Inside Elections: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018 |
| See also |
U.S. Senate (regular) • U.S. Senate (special) • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th Mississippi elections, 2018 U.S. Congress elections, 2018 U.S. Senate elections, 2018 U.S. House elections, 2018 |
A Democratic Party primary election took place on June 5, 2018, in Mississippi's 3rd District to determine which Democrat would run in the district's November 6, 2018, general election.
This page focuses on the Democratic primary. For an overview of the election in general, click here.
| Candidate Filing Deadline | Primary Election | General Election |
|---|---|---|
Candidates and election results
Michael Evans defeated Michael Aycox in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 3 on June 5, 2018.
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 3
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ |  | Michael Evans | 69.3 | 17,016 |
 | Michael Aycox | 30.7 | 7,525 | |
| Total votes: 24,541 | |||
 = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Omeria Scott (D)
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+13, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 13 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District the 101st most Republican nationally.[1]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.80. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.80 points toward that party.[2]
State overview
Partisan control
This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Mississippi heading into the 2018 elections.
Congressional delegation
- Following the 2016 elections, Republicans held both U.S. Senate seats in Mississippi.
- Republicans held three of four U.S. House seats in Mississippi.
State executives
- As of September 2018, Republicans held eight of 11 state executive positions, with the remaining three held by Democrats.
- The governor of Mississippi was Republican Phil Bryant. Bryant won election in 2011 and was re-elected in 2015.
State legislature
- Republicans controlled both chambers of the Mississippi State Legislature. They had a 74-46 majority in the state House and a 33-19 majority in the state Senate.
Trifecta status
- Mississippi was a Republican trifecta, meaning that the Republican Party held the governorship and both chambers of the state legislature.
2018 elections
- See also: Mississippi elections, 2018
Mississippi held elections for the following positions in 2018:
- Both U.S. Senate seats (one regularly-scheduled and one special election)
- All four U.S. House seats
- One of nine state Supreme Court seats
- Five of 10 state Court of Appeals seats
Demographics
| Demographic data for Mississippi | ||
|---|---|---|
| Mississippi | U.S. | |
| Total population: | 2,989,390 | 316,515,021 |
| Land area (sq mi): | 46,923 | 3,531,905 |
| Race and ethnicity** | ||
| White: | 59.2% | 73.6% |
| Black/African American: | 37.4% | 12.6% |
| Asian: | 1% | 5.1% |
| Native American: | 0.4% | 0.8% |
| Pacific Islander: | 0% | 0.2% |
| Two or more: | 1.2% | 3% |
| Hispanic/Latino: | 2.9% | 17.1% |
| Education | ||
| High school graduation rate: | 82.3% | 86.7% |
| College graduation rate: | 20.7% | 29.8% |
| Income | ||
| Median household income: | $39,665 | $53,889 |
| Persons below poverty level: | 27% | 11.3% |
| Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Mississippi. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. | ||
As of July 2016, Mississippi's three largest cities were Jackson (pop. est. 170,000), Gulfport (pop. est. 72,000), and Southaven (pop. est. 54,000).[3]
State election history
This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Mississippi from 2000 to 2016. Data comes from the Mississippi Secretary of State.
Historical elections
Presidential elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Mississippi every year from 2000 to 2016.
| Election results (President of the United States), Mississippi 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2016 |  Donald Trump |
57.9% |  Hillary Clinton |
40.1% | 17.8% |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney |
55.3% | Barack Obama |
43.8% | 11.5% |
| 2008 | John McCain |
56.2% | Barack Obama |
43.0% | 13.2% |
| 2004 | George W. Bush |
59.5% | John Kerry |
39.8% | 19.7% |
| 2000 | George W. Bush |
57.6% | Al Gore |
40.7% | 16.9% |
U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Mississippi from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the two seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.
| Election results (U.S. Senator), Mississippi 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2014 | Thad Cochran |
59.9% | Travis Childers |
37.9% | 22.0% |
| 2012 | Roger Wicker |
57.2% | Albert Gore |
40.6% | 16.6% |
| 2008 | Thad Cochran |
61.4% | Erik Fleming |
38.6% | 22.8% |
| 2008 (special) | Roger Wicker |
55.0% | Ronnie Musgrove |
45.0% | 10.0% |
| 2006 | Trent Lott |
63.6% | Erik Fleming |
34.9% | 28.7% |
| 2002 | Thad Cochran |
84.6% |  Shawn O'Hara |
15.4% | 69.2% |
| 2000 | Trent Lott |
65.9% | Troy Brown |
31.6% | 34.3% |
Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Mississippi.
| Election results (Governor), Mississippi 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2015 | Phil Bryant |
66.6% | Robert Gray |
32.1% | 34.5% |
| 2011 | Phil Bryant |
61.0% | Johnny DuPree |
39.0% | 22.0% |
| 2007 | Haley Barbour |
57.9% | John Eaves |
42.1% | 15.8% |
| 2003 | Haley Barbour |
52.6% | Ronnie Musgrove |
45.8% | 6.8% |
Congressional delegation, 2000-2016
This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Mississippi in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.
| Congressional delegation, Mississippi 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Republicans | Republicans (%) | Democrats | Democrats (%) | Balance of power |
| 2016 | 4 |
75.0% | 1 |
25.0% | R+2 |
| 2014 | 4 |
75.0% | 1 |
25.0% | R+2 |
| 2012 | 4 |
75.0% | 1 |
25.0% | R+2 |
| 2010 | 4 |
75.0% | 1 |
25.0% | R+2 |
| 2008 | 1 |
25.0% | 3 |
75.0% | D+2 |
| 2006 | 2 |
50.0% | 2 |
50.0% | Even |
| 2004 | 2 |
50.0% | 2 |
50.0% | Even |
| 2002 | 2 |
50.0% | 2 |
50.0% | Even |
| 2008 | 2 |
40.0% | 3 |
60.0% | D+1 |
Trifectas, 1992-2017
A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.
Mississippi Party Control: 1992-2025
Four years of Democratic trifectas • Fourteen years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R[4] | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi, 2018
- United States House elections in Mississippi (June 5, 2018 Democratic primaries)
- Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District election (June 5, 2018 Republican primary)
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2018
Footnotes
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ Mississippi Demographics by Cubit, "Mississippi Cities by Population," accessed September 10, 2018
- ↑ Republicans gained a majority in 2007 when two Democratic state senators switched their party affiliation. Democrats regained the majority as a result of the 2007 elections.
