Missouri's 1st Congressional District election, 2020
- Election date: Nov. 3
- Registration deadline(s): Oct. 7
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: No
- Recount laws
- Early voting starts: N/A
- Absentee/mail voting deadline(s): Nov. 3 (received)
- Processing, counting, and challenging absentee/mail-in ballots
- Voter ID: Non-photo ID
- Poll times: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m.
2022 →
← 2018
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| Missouri's 1st Congressional District |
|---|
 |
| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: March 31, 2020 |
| Primary: August 4, 2020 General: November 3, 2020 Pre-election incumbent: William Lacy Clay (Democrat) |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voting in Missouri |
| Race ratings |
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020 |
| See also |
1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th Missouri elections, 2020 U.S. Congress elections, 2020 U.S. Senate elections, 2020 U.S. House elections, 2020 |
Cori Bush (D), Anthony Rogers (R), and Alex Furman (L) ran in the November 3, 2020, general election in Missouri's 1st Congressional District.
| Candidate filing deadline | Primary election | General election |
|---|---|---|
Bush advanced to the general election after defeating incumbent Rep. William Lacy Clay and Katherine Bruckner in the Democratic Party primary. Rogers defeated Winnie Heartstrong in the Republican Party primary.
This was the 1st District's first general election since 1968 where a member of the Clay family did appear on the ballot. Clay was first elected in 2000 after the retirement of his father, William Lacy Clay, Sr., who was first elected in 1968.
For more information about the Democratic primary, click here.
For more information about the Republican primary, click here.
As of the 2010 redistricting cycle, Missouri's 1st Congressional District was located in the eastern portion of the state and included St. Louis City and a part of St. Louis County.[1]
Post-election analysis
The table below compares the vote totals in the 2020 presidential election and 2020 U.S. House election for this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
| Presidential and congressional election results, Missouri's 1st Congressional District, 2020 | ||
|---|---|---|
| Race | Presidential | U.S. House |
| Democratic candidate |
80.3 | 78.8 |
| Republican candidate |
18.1 | 19 |
| Difference | 62.2 | 59.8 |
Election procedure changes in 2020
Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.
Missouri modified its absentee/mail-in voting procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:
- Absentee/mail-in voting: Any registered voter could cast an absentee ballot (subject to a notarization requirement) in the general election.
For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Missouri District 1
Cori Bush defeated Anthony Rogers, Alex Furman, and Martin Baker in the general election for U.S. House Missouri District 1 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ |  | Cori Bush (D) | 78.8 | 249,087 |
 | Anthony Rogers (R) | 19.0 | 59,940 | |
 | Alex Furman (L)  | 2.1 | 6,766 | |
 | Martin Baker (Independent) (Write-in) | 0.1 | 378 | |
| Total votes: 316,171 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Missouri District 1
Cori Bush defeated incumbent William Lacy Clay and Katherine Bruckner in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Missouri District 1 on August 4, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Cori Bush | 48.5 | 73,274 |
 | William Lacy Clay | 45.6 | 68,887 | |
| Katherine Bruckner | 5.9 | 8,850 | ||
| Total votes: 151,011 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Missouri District 1
Anthony Rogers defeated Winnie Heartstrong in the Republican primary for U.S. House Missouri District 1 on August 4, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Anthony Rogers | 61.5 | 6,979 |
 | Winnie Heartstrong | 38.5 | 4,367 | |
| Total votes: 11,346 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Libertarian primary election
Libertarian primary for U.S. House Missouri District 1
Alex Furman advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. House Missouri District 1 on August 4, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Alex Furman | 100.0 | 337 |
| Total votes: 337 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
There are no Pivot Counties in Missouri. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Missouri with 56.8 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 38.1 percent. In presidential elections between 1820 and 2016, Missouri voted Democratic 60 percent of the time and Republican 36 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, Missouri voted Republican all five times.[2]
Presidential results by legislative district
The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Missouri. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[3][4]
| In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 43 out of 163 state House districts in Missouri with an average margin of victory of 42.1 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 43 out of 163 state House districts in Missouri with an average margin of victory of 42.3 points. Clinton won two districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections. |
| In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 120 out of 163 state House districts in Missouri with an average margin of victory of 28.3 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 120 out of 163 state House districts in Missouri with an average margin of victory of 39.8 points. Trump won four districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections. |
| 2016 presidential results by state House district | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| District | Obama | Romney | 2012 Margin | Clinton | Trump | 2016 Margin | Party Control |
| 1 | 32.04% | 65.70% | R+33.7 | 23.21% | 71.82% | R+48.6 | R |
| 2 | 29.11% | 68.37% | R+39.3 | 18.22% | 77.17% | R+58.9 | R |
| 3 | 36.98% | 60.40% | R+23.4 | 28.44% | 66.83% | R+38.4 | R |
| 4 | 36.39% | 60.98% | R+24.6 | 20.37% | 75.59% | R+55.2 | R |
| 5 | 32.79% | 65.39% | R+32.6 | 22.37% | 73.86% | R+51.5 | R |
| 6 | 32.16% | 65.56% | R+33.4 | 22.08% | 73.71% | R+51.6 | R |
| 7 | 31.65% | 65.57% | R+33.9 | 19.56% | 76.25% | R+56.7 | R |
| 8 | 35.79% | 61.61% | R+25.8 | 23.95% | 70.41% | R+46.5 | R |
| 9 | 34.60% | 63.39% | R+28.8 | 26.94% | 68.17% | R+41.2 | R |
| 10 | 50.19% | 47.16% | D+3 | 39.22% | 53.18% | R+14 | D |
| 11 | 43.38% | 53.92% | R+10.5 | 30.42% | 63.56% | R+33.1 | R |
| 12 | 37.20% | 60.93% | R+23.7 | 31.35% | 63.12% | R+31.8 | R |
| 13 | 39.45% | 58.95% | R+19.5 | 39.73% | 54.44% | R+14.7 | R |
| 14 | 47.29% | 51.12% | R+3.8 | 47.62% | 46.38% | D+1.2 | R |
| 15 | 49.87% | 47.99% | D+1.9 | 47.19% | 46.22% | D+1 | D |
| 16 | 40.63% | 57.87% | R+17.2 | 40.67% | 53.57% | R+12.9 | R |
| 17 | 47.93% | 49.73% | R+1.8 | 43.14% | 49.84% | R+6.7 | D |
| 18 | 53.60% | 44.12% | D+9.5 | 51.64% | 41.89% | D+9.8 | D |
| 19 | 67.20% | 30.31% | D+36.9 | 62.62% | 31.57% | D+31 | D |
| 20 | 44.19% | 53.35% | R+9.2 | 33.67% | 59.95% | R+26.3 | R |
| 21 | 48.06% | 49.62% | R+1.6 | 41.99% | 51.24% | R+9.2 | D |
| 22 | 87.84% | 11.29% | D+76.6 | 82.46% | 13.76% | D+68.7 | D |
| 23 | 93.66% | 5.77% | D+87.9 | 88.79% | 7.90% | D+80.9 | D |
| 24 | 80.14% | 17.61% | D+62.5 | 80.82% | 13.12% | D+67.7 | D |
| 25 | 64.74% | 33.81% | D+30.9 | 70.87% | 23.52% | D+47.3 | D |
| 26 | 89.47% | 9.61% | D+79.9 | 87.67% | 8.60% | D+79.1 | D |
| 27 | 83.11% | 16.02% | D+67.1 | 79.84% | 16.39% | D+63.5 | D |
| 28 | 60.04% | 37.98% | D+22.1 | 57.30% | 37.43% | D+19.9 | D |
| 29 | 50.35% | 47.90% | D+2.5 | 47.10% | 47.36% | R+0.3 | D |
| 30 | 41.77% | 56.80% | R+15 | 42.87% | 52.37% | R+9.5 | R |
| 31 | 41.89% | 56.06% | R+14.2 | 37.13% | 56.61% | R+19.5 | R |
| 32 | 36.75% | 61.69% | R+24.9 | 32.11% | 62.33% | R+30.2 | R |
| 33 | 33.61% | 64.40% | R+30.8 | 26.00% | 68.90% | R+42.9 | R |
| 34 | 38.59% | 59.89% | R+21.3 | 39.06% | 55.18% | R+16.1 | R |
| 35 | 45.76% | 52.62% | R+6.9 | 46.39% | 47.86% | R+1.5 | R |
| 36 | 64.52% | 34.34% | D+30.2 | 63.12% | 32.17% | D+30.9 | D |
| 37 | 55.42% | 43.24% | D+12.2 | 52.86% | 42.34% | D+10.5 | D |
| 38 | 40.05% | 58.13% | R+18.1 | 34.96% | 59.08% | R+24.1 | R |
| 39 | 36.54% | 61.11% | R+24.6 | 24.45% | 70.95% | R+46.5 | R |
| 40 | 34.56% | 63.42% | R+28.9 | 22.51% | 73.96% | R+51.5 | R |
| 41 | 33.99% | 63.43% | R+29.4 | 22.43% | 72.76% | R+50.3 | R |
| 42 | 33.55% | 64.46% | R+30.9 | 23.28% | 72.55% | R+49.3 | R |
| 43 | 34.21% | 63.36% | R+29.1 | 24.43% | 70.37% | R+45.9 | R |
| 44 | 43.51% | 53.49% | R+10 | 38.05% | 54.07% | R+16 | R |
| 45 | 61.22% | 35.75% | D+25.5 | 59.76% | 32.21% | D+27.5 | D |
| 46 | 56.84% | 40.60% | D+16.2 | 60.06% | 32.92% | D+27.1 | D |
| 47 | 43.59% | 53.79% | R+10.2 | 41.34% | 51.63% | R+10.3 | R |
| 48 | 33.63% | 64.07% | R+30.4 | 24.02% | 70.88% | R+46.9 | R |
| 49 | 33.37% | 64.57% | R+31.2 | 27.21% | 67.14% | R+39.9 | R |
| 50 | 37.65% | 60.00% | R+22.3 | 36.72% | 57.51% | R+20.8 | R |
| 51 | 39.89% | 57.59% | R+17.7 | 30.22% | 63.32% | R+33.1 | R |
| 52 | 36.97% | 60.45% | R+23.5 | 26.53% | 67.54% | R+41 | R |
| 53 | 35.17% | 62.69% | R+27.5 | 25.28% | 69.68% | R+44.4 | R |
| 54 | 34.83% | 62.46% | R+27.6 | 25.65% | 68.40% | R+42.8 | R |
| 55 | 33.16% | 65.23% | R+32.1 | 29.21% | 65.54% | R+36.3 | R |
| 56 | 37.67% | 60.09% | R+22.4 | 31.94% | 61.49% | R+29.5 | R |
| 57 | 32.66% | 64.87% | R+32.2 | 21.67% | 74.19% | R+52.5 | R |
| 58 | 29.14% | 68.67% | R+39.5 | 18.77% | 77.84% | R+59.1 | R |
| 59 | 25.50% | 73.08% | R+47.6 | 21.62% | 74.26% | R+52.6 | R |
| 60 | 40.31% | 57.95% | R+17.6 | 38.04% | 56.67% | R+18.6 | R |
| 61 | 29.60% | 68.70% | R+39.1 | 21.47% | 74.52% | R+53.1 | R |
| 62 | 25.25% | 72.82% | R+47.6 | 16.85% | 79.86% | R+63 | R |
| 63 | 36.01% | 62.54% | R+26.5 | 28.27% | 67.21% | R+38.9 | R |
| 64 | 36.53% | 61.49% | R+25 | 28.02% | 67.41% | R+39.4 | R |
| 65 | 44.10% | 53.73% | R+9.6 | 39.09% | 55.12% | R+16 | R |
| 66 | 89.44% | 9.97% | D+79.5 | 86.60% | 11.08% | D+75.5 | D |
| 67 | 82.02% | 17.23% | D+64.8 | 81.39% | 15.76% | D+65.6 | D |
| 68 | 67.12% | 31.46% | D+35.7 | 64.92% | 30.31% | D+34.6 | D |
| 69 | 60.17% | 38.22% | D+21.9 | 57.88% | 37.44% | D+20.4 | D |
| 70 | 48.02% | 50.51% | R+2.5 | 47.82% | 47.06% | D+0.8 | R |
| 71 | 57.48% | 40.71% | D+16.8 | 57.73% | 36.87% | D+20.9 | D |
| 72 | 57.80% | 40.30% | D+17.5 | 52.30% | 41.87% | D+10.4 | D |
| 73 | 83.56% | 15.27% | D+68.3 | 77.64% | 18.55% | D+59.1 | D |
| 74 | 81.89% | 17.08% | D+64.8 | 77.97% | 18.23% | D+59.7 | D |
| 75 | 94.12% | 5.36% | D+88.8 | 92.25% | 5.61% | D+86.6 | D |
| 76 | 98.95% | 0.83% | D+98.1 | 96.81% | 1.63% | D+95.2 | D |
| 77 | 90.86% | 8.52% | D+82.3 | 89.47% | 7.52% | D+81.9 | D |
| 78 | 87.25% | 11.43% | D+75.8 | 83.50% | 11.60% | D+71.9 | D |
| 79 | 88.10% | 10.89% | D+77.2 | 87.25% | 8.68% | D+78.6 | D |
| 80 | 79.81% | 18.20% | D+61.6 | 77.86% | 16.56% | D+61.3 | D |
| 81 | 74.58% | 23.51% | D+51.1 | 70.04% | 24.84% | D+45.2 | D |
| 82 | 61.35% | 36.62% | D+24.7 | 61.74% | 32.37% | D+29.4 | D |
| 83 | 65.35% | 32.40% | D+32.9 | 65.49% | 27.91% | D+37.6 | D |
| 84 | 87.74% | 11.29% | D+76.4 | 85.75% | 10.26% | D+75.5 | D |
| 85 | 83.85% | 14.94% | D+68.9 | 78.91% | 17.39% | D+61.5 | D |
| 86 | 88.19% | 10.91% | D+77.3 | 86.59% | 9.76% | D+76.8 | D |
| 87 | 57.51% | 41.40% | D+16.1 | 66.36% | 29.30% | D+37.1 | D |
| 88 | 52.34% | 46.64% | D+5.7 | 58.85% | 36.90% | D+22 | D |
| 89 | 33.74% | 65.35% | R+31.6 | 41.97% | 53.65% | R+11.7 | R |
| 90 | 49.71% | 48.99% | D+0.7 | 55.22% | 39.52% | D+15.7 | D |
| 91 | 53.68% | 44.73% | D+8.9 | 57.91% | 35.87% | D+22 | D |
| 92 | 50.25% | 47.87% | D+2.4 | 47.69% | 46.02% | D+1.7 | D |
| 93 | 55.84% | 41.87% | D+14 | 48.85% | 45.46% | D+3.4 | D |
| 94 | 47.09% | 51.41% | R+4.3 | 43.28% | 51.39% | R+8.1 | R |
| 95 | 37.68% | 61.12% | R+23.4 | 35.16% | 60.52% | R+25.4 | R |
| 96 | 35.34% | 63.39% | R+28 | 36.57% | 58.75% | R+22.2 | R |
| 97 | 42.64% | 55.44% | R+12.8 | 33.31% | 61.14% | R+27.8 | D |
| 98 | 36.69% | 61.92% | R+25.2 | 37.69% | 57.34% | R+19.6 | R |
| 99 | 43.11% | 55.19% | R+12.1 | 44.44% | 49.42% | R+5 | R |
| 100 | 36.43% | 62.31% | R+25.9 | 40.91% | 54.30% | R+13.4 | R |
| 101 | 28.87% | 70.23% | R+41.4 | 35.04% | 60.81% | R+25.8 | R |
| 102 | 34.49% | 64.35% | R+29.9 | 32.40% | 62.92% | R+30.5 | R |
| 103 | 35.54% | 63.00% | R+27.5 | 31.48% | 63.41% | R+31.9 | R |
| 104 | 42.14% | 55.94% | R+13.8 | 36.80% | 57.49% | R+20.7 | R |
| 105 | 40.02% | 58.23% | R+18.2 | 36.85% | 57.40% | R+20.6 | R |
| 106 | 43.86% | 54.29% | R+10.4 | 40.91% | 52.87% | R+12 | R |
| 107 | 41.26% | 56.76% | R+15.5 | 34.90% | 59.68% | R+24.8 | R |
| 108 | 34.97% | 63.67% | R+28.7 | 31.12% | 64.19% | R+33.1 | R |
| 109 | 34.37% | 63.30% | R+28.9 | 25.25% | 69.86% | R+44.6 | R |
| 110 | 32.74% | 65.78% | R+33 | 31.86% | 63.33% | R+31.5 | R |
| 111 | 40.22% | 57.43% | R+17.2 | 28.08% | 66.82% | R+38.7 | R |
| 112 | 41.60% | 56.14% | R+14.5 | 29.74% | 65.06% | R+35.3 | R |
| 113 | 42.97% | 55.18% | R+12.2 | 31.77% | 63.08% | R+31.3 | R |
| 114 | 44.32% | 53.83% | R+9.5 | 30.07% | 64.68% | R+34.6 | R |
| 115 | 43.73% | 53.77% | R+10 | 26.77% | 68.89% | R+42.1 | R |
| 116 | 39.07% | 58.78% | R+19.7 | 26.07% | 69.37% | R+43.3 | R |
| 117 | 40.34% | 57.36% | R+17 | 25.24% | 70.97% | R+45.7 | R |
| 118 | 42.84% | 54.85% | R+12 | 24.96% | 70.53% | R+45.6 | D |
| 119 | 37.08% | 60.66% | R+23.6 | 23.82% | 71.94% | R+48.1 | R |
| 120 | 30.41% | 67.53% | R+37.1 | 20.06% | 75.96% | R+55.9 | R |
| 121 | 31.61% | 65.66% | R+34 | 24.74% | 69.39% | R+44.7 | R |
| 122 | 34.34% | 63.53% | R+29.2 | 25.48% | 68.80% | R+43.3 | R |
| 123 | 27.61% | 70.25% | R+42.6 | 17.62% | 78.74% | R+61.1 | R |
| 124 | 28.10% | 70.10% | R+42 | 20.48% | 76.31% | R+55.8 | R |
| 125 | 33.23% | 64.37% | R+31.1 | 20.75% | 75.50% | R+54.8 | R |
| 126 | 31.58% | 66.12% | R+34.5 | 20.06% | 75.46% | R+55.4 | R |
| 127 | 22.58% | 75.67% | R+53.1 | 14.13% | 82.55% | R+68.4 | R |
| 128 | 27.32% | 70.51% | R+43.2 | 18.95% | 76.41% | R+57.5 | R |
| 129 | 27.78% | 69.97% | R+42.2 | 16.36% | 80.03% | R+63.7 | R |
| 130 | 28.04% | 70.17% | R+42.1 | 21.13% | 74.22% | R+53.1 | R |
| 131 | 35.35% | 62.39% | R+27 | 30.11% | 63.51% | R+33.4 | R |
| 132 | 54.62% | 41.76% | D+12.9 | 47.48% | 43.78% | D+3.7 | D |
| 133 | 33.97% | 64.11% | R+30.1 | 30.10% | 63.89% | R+33.8 | R |
| 134 | 39.49% | 58.44% | R+19 | 38.57% | 54.45% | R+15.9 | R |
| 135 | 46.12% | 51.01% | R+4.9 | 43.73% | 48.68% | R+5 | R |
| 136 | 32.89% | 65.46% | R+32.6 | 33.82% | 61.06% | R+27.2 | R |
| 137 | 29.28% | 68.94% | R+39.7 | 22.46% | 73.16% | R+50.7 | R |
| 138 | 24.97% | 73.31% | R+48.3 | 17.62% | 79.22% | R+61.6 | R |
| 139 | 26.11% | 72.20% | R+46.1 | 21.92% | 73.26% | R+51.3 | R |
| 140 | 25.27% | 72.87% | R+47.6 | 19.34% | 76.01% | R+56.7 | R |
| 141 | 25.58% | 72.23% | R+46.6 | 15.31% | 81.45% | R+66.1 | R |
| 142 | 27.29% | 70.19% | R+42.9 | 16.35% | 80.26% | R+63.9 | R |
| 143 | 29.09% | 68.03% | R+38.9 | 16.97% | 79.81% | R+62.8 | R |
| 144 | 36.12% | 61.41% | R+25.3 | 19.14% | 77.84% | R+58.7 | R |
| 145 | 26.77% | 70.97% | R+44.2 | 15.99% | 80.73% | R+64.7 | R |
| 146 | 20.92% | 77.46% | R+56.5 | 16.18% | 80.39% | R+64.2 | R |
| 147 | 35.21% | 62.92% | R+27.7 | 32.57% | 62.66% | R+30.1 | R |
| 148 | 28.61% | 69.95% | R+41.3 | 20.84% | 76.42% | R+55.6 | R |
| 149 | 43.48% | 54.87% | R+11.4 | 30.87% | 67.01% | R+36.1 | R |
| 150 | 34.94% | 63.58% | R+28.6 | 23.89% | 74.47% | R+50.6 | R |
| 151 | 24.82% | 73.46% | R+48.6 | 14.15% | 83.22% | R+69.1 | R |
| 152 | 29.54% | 68.76% | R+39.2 | 20.62% | 76.11% | R+55.5 | R |
| 153 | 25.21% | 72.83% | R+47.6 | 14.81% | 82.43% | R+67.6 | R |
| 154 | 26.84% | 70.66% | R+43.8 | 16.74% | 79.61% | R+62.9 | R |
| 155 | 27.06% | 70.27% | R+43.2 | 16.01% | 80.94% | R+64.9 | R |
| 156 | 24.65% | 73.46% | R+48.8 | 19.20% | 77.30% | R+58.1 | R |
| 157 | 25.44% | 72.55% | R+47.1 | 17.36% | 78.46% | R+61.1 | R |
| 158 | 26.53% | 71.26% | R+44.7 | 18.47% | 78.33% | R+59.9 | R |
| 159 | 23.37% | 74.32% | R+50.9 | 15.21% | 81.38% | R+66.2 | R |
| 160 | 26.02% | 72.10% | R+46.1 | 18.82% | 77.45% | R+58.6 | R |
| 161 | 33.26% | 63.98% | R+30.7 | 27.50% | 66.51% | R+39 | R |
| 162 | 30.13% | 67.39% | R+37.3 | 24.35% | 69.95% | R+45.6 | R |
| 163 | 25.36% | 72.66% | R+47.3 | 19.41% | 75.70% | R+56.3 | R |
| Total | 44.38% | 53.76% | R+9.4 | 38.23% | 56.92% | R+18.7 | - |
| Source: Daily Kos | |||||||
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+29, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 29 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Missouri's 1st Congressional District the 30th most Democratic nationally.[5]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.98. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.98 points toward that party.[6]
Campaign finance
This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[7] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[8] The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.
| Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cori Bush | Democratic Party | $1,429,837 | $1,345,334 | $84,503 | As of December 31, 2020 |
| Anthony Rogers | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Alex Furman | Libertarian Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Martin Baker | Independent | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
|
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
|||||
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[9]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[10][11][12]
| Race ratings: Missouri's 1st Congressional District election, 2020 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
| November 3, 2020 | October 27, 2020 | October 20, 2020 | October 13, 2020 | ||||||
| The Cook Political Report | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
| Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
| Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | |||||
| Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season. | |||||||||
Candidate ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for 1st Congressional District candidates in Missouri in the 2020 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Missouri, click here.
| Filing requirements, 2020 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Signature formula | Filing fee | Filing fee formula | Filing deadline | Source |
| Missouri | 1st Congressional District | Established party | 0 | N/A | $100.00 | Fixed number | 3/31/2020 | Source |
| Missouri | 1st Congressional District | Unaffiliated | 5,488 | 2% of all voters who voted for this office in the last election | N/A | N/A | 7/28/2020 | Source |
District election history
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Missouri District 1
Incumbent William Lacy Clay defeated Robert Vroman and Robb Cunningham in the general election for U.S. House Missouri District 1 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | William Lacy Clay (D) | 80.1 | 219,781 |
 | Robert Vroman (R) | 16.7 | 45,867 | |
 | Robb Cunningham (L) | 3.2 | 8,727 | |
| Total votes: 274,375 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Missouri District 1
Incumbent William Lacy Clay defeated Cori Bush, Joshua Shipp, and Demarco Davidson in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Missouri District 1 on August 7, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | William Lacy Clay | 56.7 | 81,812 |
| Cori Bush | 36.9 | 53,250 | |
 | Joshua Shipp | 3.4 | 4,974 | |
 | Demarco Davidson | 2.9 | 4,243 | |
| Total votes: 144,279 (100.00% precincts reporting) | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Susan Bolhafner (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Missouri District 1
Robert Vroman defeated Edward Van Deventer Jr. and Camille Lombardi-Olive in the Republican primary for U.S. House Missouri District 1 on August 7, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Robert Vroman | 34.5 | 5,101 |
 | Edward Van Deventer Jr. | 32.9 | 4,876 | |
 | Camille Lombardi-Olive | 32.6 | 4,829 | |
| Total votes: 14,806 (100.00% precincts reporting) | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Libertarian primary election
Libertarian primary for U.S. House Missouri District 1
Robb Cunningham advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. House Missouri District 1 on August 7, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Robb Cunningham | 100.0 | 478 |
| Total votes: 478 (100.00% precincts reporting) | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent William Lacy Clay (D) defeated Steven Bailey (R) and Robb Cunningham (L) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Clay defeated Maria Chappelle-Nadal and Bill Haas in the Democratic primary, while Bailey defeated Paul Berry to win the Republican nomination. The primary elections took place on August 2, 2016. Clay won re-election in the November 8 election.[13][14][15]
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic |  William Lacy Clay Incumbent |
75.5% | 236,993 | |
| Republican | Steven Bailey | 20% | 62,714 | |
| Libertarian | Robb Cunningham | 4.6% | 14,317 | |
| Total Votes | 314,024 | |||
| Source: Missouri Secretary of State | ||||
| Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
William Lacy Clay Incumbent |
62.6% | 56,139 | ||
| Maria Chappelle-Nadal | 26.8% | 24,059 | ||
| Bill Haas | 10.5% | 9,422 | ||
| Total Votes | 89,620 | |||
| Source: Missouri Secretary of State |
||||
| Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Steven Bailey |
67.2% | 12,450 | ||
| Paul Berry | 32.8% | 6,067 | ||
| Total Votes | 18,517 | |||
| Source: Missouri Secretary of State |
||||
2014
The 1st Congressional District of Missouri held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent William Lacy Clay (D) defeated Daniel Elder (R) and Robb E. Cunningham (L) in the general election.
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | William Lacy Clay Incumbent |
73% | 119,315 | |
| Republican | Daniel Elder | 21.6% | 35,273 | |
| Libertarian | Robb E. Cunningham | 5.4% | 8,906 | |
| Total Votes | 163,494 | |||
| Source: Missouri Secretary of State | ||||
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri, 2020
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2020
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ United States Census Bureau, "Counties by Congressional Districts," accessed June 8, 2016
- ↑ 270towin.com, "Missouri," accessed June 29, 2017
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Missouri Secretary of State, "UNOFFICIAL Candidate Filing List," accessed March 30, 2016
- ↑ Politico, "Missouri House Primaries Results," August 2, 2016
- ↑ CNN, "Missouri House 01 Results," November 8, 2016
