Help us improve in just 2 minutes—share your thoughts in our reader survey.

Missouri's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 (August 2 Republican primary)

From Ballotpedia
Jump to: navigation, search



2024 →
← 2020
Missouri's 3rd Congressional District
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: March 29, 2022
Primary: August 2, 2022
General: November 8, 2022
How to vote
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Missouri
Race ratings
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2022): R+16
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022
See also
Missouri's 3rd Congressional District
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th
Missouri elections, 2022
U.S. Congress elections, 2022
U.S. Senate elections, 2022
U.S. House elections, 2022

A Republican Party primary took place on August 2, 2022, in Missouri's 3rd Congressional District to determine which Republican candidate would run in the district's general election on November 8, 2022.

Incumbent Blaine Luetkemeyer advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Missouri District 3.

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
March 29, 2022
August 2, 2022
November 8, 2022


A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. Primaries are state-level and local-level elections that take place prior to a general election. Missouri utilizes an open primary system, in which registered voters do not have to be members of a party to vote in that party's primary.[1][2][3]

For information about which offices are nominated via primary election, see this article.

This page focuses on Missouri's 3rd Congressional District Republican primary. For more in-depth information on the district's Democratic primary and the general election, see the following pages:

HOTP-GOP-Ad-1-Small.png

Candidates and election results

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Missouri District 3

Incumbent Blaine Luetkemeyer defeated Brandon Wilkinson, Dustin Hill, and Richard Skwira Jr. in the Republican primary for U.S. House Missouri District 3 on August 2, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Blaine Luetkemeyer
Blaine Luetkemeyer
 
69.6
 
66,430
Image of Brandon Wilkinson
Brandon Wilkinson Candidate Connection
 
16.5
 
15,796
Image of Dustin Hill
Dustin Hill Candidate Connection
 
12.2
 
11,610
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Submit photo
Richard Skwira Jr.
 
1.7
 
1,616

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 95,452
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[4] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[5] Click here to view the reporting schedule for candidates for U.S. Congress in 2022.

U.S. Congress campaign reporting schedule, 2022
Report Close of books Filing deadline
Year-end 2021 12/31/2021 1/31/2022
April quarterly 3/31/2022 4/15/2022
July quarterly 6/30/2022 7/15/2022
October quarterly 9/30/2022 10/15/2022
Pre-general 10/19/2022 10/27/2022
Post-general 11/28/2022 12/08/2022
Year-end 2022 12/31/2022 1/31/2023


Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Blaine Luetkemeyer Republican Party $3,640,059 $4,074,349 $1,771,114 As of December 31, 2022
Dustin Hill Republican Party $37,160 $36,387 $960 As of December 31, 2022
Richard Skwira Jr. Republican Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Brandon Wilkinson Republican Party $36,944 $34,654 $2,728 As of July 15, 2022

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.


Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Missouri in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Missouri, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Missouri U.S. House Ballot-qualified party N/A $300.00 3/29/2022 Source
Missouri U.S. House Unaffiliated 2% of total votes cast for the office in the last election, or 10,000, whichever is less N/A 8/1/2022 Source

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting.
  • Effect of redistricting - How districts in the state changed as a result of redistricting following the 2020 census.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.

District map

Below was the map in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the map in place before the election.

Missouri District 3
until January 2, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.

Missouri District 3
starting January 3, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.


Effect of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in Missouri after the 2020 census

The table below details the results of the 2020 presidential election in each district at the time of the 2022 election and its political predecessor district.[6] This data was compiled by Daily Kos Elections.[7]

2020 presidential results by Congressional district, Missouri
District 2022 district Political predecessor district
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
Missouri's 1st 78.4% 20.0% 80.3% 18.1%
Missouri's 2nd 45.3% 53.0% 49.2% 49.2%
Missouri's 3rd 35.9% 62.2% 31.3% 66.8%
Missouri's 4th 29.3% 68.7% 31.9% 66.0%
Missouri's 5th 62.2% 35.9% 58.4% 39.6%
Missouri's 6th 30.6% 67.7% 35.0% 63.3%
Missouri's 7th 28.4% 69.8% 28.1% 70.0%
Missouri's 8th 23.6% 75.0% 21.3% 77.3%

Competitiveness

See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2022

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Missouri.

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Missouri in 2022. Information below was calculated on June 21, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

Fifty-nine candidates filed to run for Missouri's eight U.S. House districts, including 22 Democrats and 37 Republicans. That's 7.37 candidates per district, more than the five candidates per district in 2020 and the 4.87 in 2018. This was the first election to take place under new district lines following the 2020 census. Missouri was apportioned eight districts, the same number it was apportioned after the 2010 census.

The 59 candidates who filed to run this year were the most candidates running for Missouri's U.S. House seats since at least 2014, the earliest year for which we have data.

Two districts — the 4th and the 7th — were open. Rep. Vicky Hartzler (R), who represented the 4th district, and Rep. Billy Long (R), who represented the 7th district, ran for the U.S. Senate. The two open seats this year were the first U.S. House seats to open up in the state since at least 2012, the earliest year for which we have data. Eleven candidates — three Democrats and eight Republicans — ran to replace Long, the most candidates who ran for a seat this year..

There were six contested Democratic primaries, the most since at least 2014, and eight contested Republican primaries, the most since 2016, when there were also eight contested Republican primaries. All six incumbents who ran for re-election faced primary challengers, the same number as in 2020 and one more than in 2018. Candidates filed to run in the Republican and Democratic primaries in all eight districts, so no seats were guaranteed to either party this year.

Presidential elections

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+16. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 16 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Missouri's 3rd the 78th most Republican district nationally.[8]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in Missouri's 3rd based on 2022 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
35.9% 62.2%

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Missouri, 2020

Missouri presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 14 Democratic wins
  • 17 Republican wins
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party D R R D D R R R D D D D D R D D D R R D R R R D D R R R R R R


Demographics

The table below details demographic data in Missouri and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.

Demographic Data for Missouri
Missouri United States
Population 6,154,913 331,449,281
Land area (sq mi) 68,745 3,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White 81.3% 70.4%
Black/African American 11.4% 12.6%
Asian 2% 5.6%
Native American 0.4% 0.8%
Pacific Islander 0.1% 0.2%
Other (single race) 1.3% 5.1%
Multiple 3.5% 5.2%
Hispanic/Latino 4.3% 18.2%
Education
High school graduation rate 90.6% 88.5%
College graduation rate 29.9% 32.9%
Income
Median household income $57,290 $64,994
Persons below poverty level 13% 12.8%
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2015-2020).
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.


State party control

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Missouri's congressional delegation as of November 2022.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Missouri, November 2022
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 0 2 2
Republican 2 6 8
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 8 10

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Missouri's top four state executive offices as November 2022.

State executive officials in Missouri, November 2022
Office Officeholder
Governor Republican Party Mike Parson
Lieutenant Governor Republican Party Mike Kehoe
Secretary of State Republican Party Jay Ashcroft
Attorney General Republican Party Eric Schmitt

State legislature

The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Missouri General Assembly as of November 2022.

Missouri State Senate

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 10
     Republican Party 24
     Vacancies 0
Total 34

Missouri House of Representatives

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 48
     Republican Party 107
     Vacancies 8
Total 163

Trifecta control

As of November 2022, Missouri was a Republican trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.

Missouri Party Control: 1992-2022
Eight years of Democratic trifectas  •  Ten years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
Governor R D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R D D D D D D D D R R R R R R
Senate D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. ↑ NCSL,"State Primary Election Types," accessed April 4, 2023
  2. ↑ Ballotpedia research conducted December 26, 2013, through January 3, 2014, researching and analyzing various state websites and codes.
  3. ↑ John R. Ashcroft Missouri Secretary of State,"Frequently Asked Questions," accessed April 4, 2023
  4. ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
  5. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
  6. ↑ Political predecessor districts are determined primarily based on incumbents and where each chose to seek re-election.
  7. ↑ Daily Kos Elections, "Daily Kos Elections 2020 presidential results by congressional district (old CDs vs. new CDs)," accessed May 12, 2022
  8. ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023


Missouri's current delegation to the United States Congress
Senators
Josh Hawley (R)
Eric Schmitt (R)
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
Bob Onder (R)
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
Republican Party (8)
Democratic Party (2)


v • e
2021-2022 Elections to the United States Congress
Senate by StateCongressLogo.png
House by State
Alabama • Alaska • Arizona • Arkansas • California • Colorado • Connecticut • Delaware • Florida • Georgia • Hawaii • Idaho • Illinois • Indiana • Iowa • Kansas • Kentucky • Louisiana • Maine • Maryland • Massachusetts • Michigan • Minnesota • Mississippi • Missouri • Montana • Nebraska • Nevada • New Hampshire • New Jersey • New Mexico • New York • North Carolina • North Dakota • Ohio • Oklahoma • Oregon • Pennsylvania • Rhode Island • South Carolina • South Dakota • Tennessee • Texas • Utah • Vermont • Virginia • Washington • West Virginia • Wisconsin • Wyoming
Election information
Super PACs/Organizations
Retrieved from "https://ballotpedia.org/wiki/index.php?title=Missouri%27s_3rd_Congressional_District_election,_2022_(August_2_Republican_primary)&oldid=8947940"