Missouri's 3rd Congressional District election (August 7, 2018 Democratic primary)
- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 10
- Early voting: N/A
- Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 6
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: No
- Voter ID: Non-photo ID required
- Poll times: 6:00 a.m. to 7:00 p.m.
2020 →
← 2016
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| Missouri's 3rd Congressional District |
|---|
 |
| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: March 27, 2018 |
| Primary: August 7, 2018 General: November 6, 2018 Pre-election incumbent: Blaine Luetkemeyer (Republican) |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voting in Missouri |
| Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican Inside Elections: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018 |
| See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th Missouri elections, 2018 U.S. Congress elections, 2018 U.S. Senate elections, 2018 U.S. House elections, 2018 |
A Democratic Party primary election took place on August 7, 2018, in Missouri's 3rd District to determine which Democrat would run in the district's November 6, 2018, general election.
This page focuses on the Democratic primary. For an overview of the election in general, click here.
Candidates and election results
Katy Geppert advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Missouri District 3 on August 7, 2018.
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Missouri District 3
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ |  | Katy Geppert  | 100.0 | 55,815 |
| Total votes: 55,815 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- John Kiehne (D)
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+18, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 18 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Missouri's 3rd Congressional District the 49th most Republican nationally.[1]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.94. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.94 points toward that party.[2]
State overview
Partisan control
This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Missouri heading into the 2018 elections.
Congressional delegation
- Following the 2016 elections, Democrats and Republicans each held one U.S. Senate seat in Missouri.
- Republicans held six of 8 U.S. House seats in Missouri.
State executives
- As of May 2018, Republicans held three of 12 state executive positions, Democrats held one, and the remaining positions were officially nonpartisan.
- The governor of Missouri was Republican Mike Parson. The state held elections for governor and lieutenant governor on November 6, 2020.
State legislature
- Republicans controlled both chambers of the Missouri General Assembly. They had a 109-45 majority in the state House and a 23-10 majority in the state Senate.
Trifecta status
- Missouri was a Republican trifecta, meaning that the Republican Party controlled the office of the governor, the state House, and the state Senate.
2018 elections
- See also: Missouri elections, 2018
Missouri held elections for the following positions in 2018:
- One U.S. Senate seat
- Eight U.S. House seats
- One lower state executive position
- 17 of 34 state Senate seats
- 163 state House seats
- Municipal elections in Missouri
Demographics
| Demographic data for Missouri | ||
|---|---|---|
| Missouri | U.S. | |
| Total population: | 6,076,204 | 316,515,021 |
| Land area (sq mi): | 68,742 | 3,531,905 |
| Race and ethnicity** | ||
| White: | 82.6% | 73.6% |
| Black/African American: | 11.5% | 12.6% |
| Asian: | 1.8% | 5.1% |
| Native American: | 0.4% | 0.8% |
| Pacific Islander: | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Two or more: | 2.4% | 3% |
| Hispanic/Latino: | 3.9% | 17.1% |
| Education | ||
| High school graduation rate: | 88.4% | 86.7% |
| College graduation rate: | 27.1% | 29.8% |
| Income | ||
| Median household income: | $48,173 | $53,889 |
| Persons below poverty level: | 18.2% | 11.3% |
| Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Missouri. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. | ||
As of July 2016, Missouri's three largest cities were Kansas City (pop. est. 488,943), St. Louis (pop. est. 308,626), and Springfield (pop. est. 167,376).[3][4]
State election history
This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Missouri from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Missouri Secretary of State.
Historical elections
Presidential elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Missouri every year from 2000 to 2016.
| Election results (President of the United States), Missouri 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2016 |  Donald Trump |
56.4% |  Hillary Clinton |
37.9% | 18.5% |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney |
53.8% | Barack Obama |
44.4% | 9.4% |
| 2008 | John McCain |
49.4% | Barack Obama |
49.3% | 0.1% |
| 2004 | George W. Bush |
53.3% | John Kerry |
46.1% | 7.2% |
| 2000 | George W. Bush |
50.4% | Al Gore |
47.1% | 3.3% |
U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Missouri from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.
| Election results (U.S. Senator), Missouri 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2016 | Roy Blunt |
49.2% | Jason Kander |
46.4% | 2.8% |
| 2012 | Claire McCaskill |
54.8% | Todd Akin |
39.1% | 15.7% |
| 2010 | Roy Blunt |
54.2% | Robin Carnahan |
40.6% | 13.6% |
| 2006 | Claire McCaskill |
49.6% | Jim Talent |
47.3% | 2.3% |
| 2004 | Kit Bond |
56.1% | Nancy Farmer |
42.8% | 13.3% |
| 2000 | Mel Carnahan |
50.5% | John Ashcroft |
48.4% | 2.1% |
Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Missouri.
| Election results (Governor), Missouri 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2016 | Eric Greitens |
51.1% | Chris Koster |
45.5% | 5.6% |
| 2012 | Jay Nixon |
54.8% | Dave Spence |
42.5% | 12.3% |
| 2008 | Jay Nixon |
58.4% | Kenny Hulshof |
39.5% | 18.9% |
| 2004 | Matt Blunt |
50.8% | Claire McCaskill |
47.9% | 2.9% |
| 2000 | Bob Holden |
49.1% | Jim Talent |
48.2% | 0.9% |
Congressional delegation, 2000-2016
This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Missouri in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.
| Congressional delegation, Missouri 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Republicans | Republicans (%) | Democrats | Democrats (%) | Balance of power |
| 2016 | 6 |
75% | 2 |
25% | R+4 |
| 2014 | 6 |
75% | 2 |
25% | R+4 |
| 2012 | 6 |
75% | 2 |
25% | R+4 |
| 2010 | 6 |
33.3% | 3 |
66.7% | R+3 |
| 2008 | 5 |
55.5% | 4 |
44.4% | R+1 |
| 2006 | 5 |
55.5% | 4 |
44.4% | R+1 |
| 2004 | 5 |
55.5% | 4 |
44.4% | R+1 |
| 2002 | 5 |
55.5% | 4 |
44.4% | R+1 |
| 2000 | 5 |
55.5% | 4 |
44.4% | R+1 |
Trifectas, 1992-2017
A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.
Missouri Party Control: 1992-2025
Eight years of Democratic trifectas • Thirteen years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri, 2018
- United States House elections in Missouri (August 7, 2018 Democratic primaries)
- Missouri's 3rd Congressional District election (August 7, 2018 Republican primary)
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2018
Footnotes
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ Missouri Demographics, "Missouri Cities by Population," accessed September 5, 2018
- ↑ U.S. Census Bureau, "Quickfacts Missouri," accessed September 5, 2018
