Missouri's 4th Congressional District election, 2020
- Election date: Nov. 3
- Registration deadline(s): Oct. 7
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: No
- Recount laws
- Early voting starts: N/A
- Absentee/mail voting deadline(s): Nov. 3 (received)
- Processing, counting, and challenging absentee/mail-in ballots
- Voter ID: Non-photo ID
- Poll times: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m.
2022 →
← 2018
|
| Missouri's 4th Congressional District |
|---|
 |
| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: March 31, 2020 |
| Primary: August 4, 2020 General: November 3, 2020 Pre-election incumbent: Vicky Hartzler (Republican) |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voting in Missouri |
| Race ratings |
Inside Elections: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020 |
| See also |
1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th Missouri elections, 2020 U.S. Congress elections, 2020 U.S. Senate elections, 2020 U.S. House elections, 2020 |
All U.S. congressional districts, including the 4th Congressional District of Missouri, held elections in 2020.
Incumbent Vicky Hartzler won election in the general election for U.S. House Missouri District 4.
| Candidate filing deadline | Primary election | General election |
|---|---|---|
Heading into the election the incumbent was Republican Vicky Hartzler, who was first elected in 2010.
Missouri's 4th Congressional District is located in the central and western portion of the state and includes Barton, Bates, Benton, Boone, Cass, Cedar, Cooper, Dade, Dallas, Henry, Hickory, Howard, Johnson, Laclede, Moniteau, Morgan, Pettis, Pulaski, Randolph, St. Clair, and Vernon counties. The district also includes areas of Audrain, Camden, and Webster counties.[1]
Post-election analysis
The table below compares the vote totals in the 2020 presidential election and 2020 U.S. House election for this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
| Presidential and congressional election results, Missouri's 4th Congressional District, 2020 | ||
|---|---|---|
| Race | Presidential | U.S. House |
Democratic candidate  |
31.9 | 29.7 |
Republican candidate  |
66 | 67.6 |
| Difference | 34.1 | 37.9 |
Election procedure changes in 2020
Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.
Missouri modified its absentee/mail-in voting procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:
- Absentee/mail-in voting: Any registered voter could cast an absentee ballot (subject to a notarization requirement) in the general election.
For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Missouri District 4
Incumbent Vicky Hartzler defeated Lindsey Simmons and Steven Koonse in the general election for U.S. House Missouri District 4 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ |  | Vicky Hartzler (R) | 67.6 | 245,247 |
 | Lindsey Simmons (D)  | 29.7 | 107,635 | |
 | Steven Koonse (L) | 2.7 | 9,954 | |
| Total votes: 362,836 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Missouri District 4
Lindsey Simmons advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Missouri District 4 on August 4, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Lindsey Simmons | 100.0 | 38,339 |
| Total votes: 38,339 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Erich Arvidson (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Missouri District 4
Incumbent Vicky Hartzler defeated Neal Gist in the Republican primary for U.S. House Missouri District 4 on August 4, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Vicky Hartzler | 76.6 | 80,652 |
 | Neal Gist | 23.4 | 24,646 | |
| Total votes: 105,298 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Libertarian primary election
Libertarian primary for U.S. House Missouri District 4
Steven Koonse defeated Robert E. Smith in the Libertarian primary for U.S. House Missouri District 4 on August 4, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Steven Koonse | 53.0 | 357 |
 | Robert E. Smith | 47.0 | 316 | |
| Total votes: 673 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
There are no Pivot Counties in Missouri. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Missouri with 56.8 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 38.1 percent. In presidential elections between 1820 and 2016, Missouri voted Democratic 60 percent of the time and Republican 36 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, Missouri voted Republican all five times.[2]
Presidential results by legislative district
The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Missouri. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[3][4]
| In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 43 out of 163 state House districts in Missouri with an average margin of victory of 42.1 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 43 out of 163 state House districts in Missouri with an average margin of victory of 42.3 points. Clinton won two districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections. |
| In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 120 out of 163 state House districts in Missouri with an average margin of victory of 28.3 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 120 out of 163 state House districts in Missouri with an average margin of victory of 39.8 points. Trump won four districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections. |
| 2016 presidential results by state House district | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| District | Obama | Romney | 2012 Margin | Clinton | Trump | 2016 Margin | Party Control |
| 1 | 32.04% | 65.70% | R+33.7 | 23.21% | 71.82% | R+48.6 | R |
| 2 | 29.11% | 68.37% | R+39.3 | 18.22% | 77.17% | R+58.9 | R |
| 3 | 36.98% | 60.40% | R+23.4 | 28.44% | 66.83% | R+38.4 | R |
| 4 | 36.39% | 60.98% | R+24.6 | 20.37% | 75.59% | R+55.2 | R |
| 5 | 32.79% | 65.39% | R+32.6 | 22.37% | 73.86% | R+51.5 | R |
| 6 | 32.16% | 65.56% | R+33.4 | 22.08% | 73.71% | R+51.6 | R |
| 7 | 31.65% | 65.57% | R+33.9 | 19.56% | 76.25% | R+56.7 | R |
| 8 | 35.79% | 61.61% | R+25.8 | 23.95% | 70.41% | R+46.5 | R |
| 9 | 34.60% | 63.39% | R+28.8 | 26.94% | 68.17% | R+41.2 | R |
| 10 | 50.19% | 47.16% | D+3 | 39.22% | 53.18% | R+14 | D |
| 11 | 43.38% | 53.92% | R+10.5 | 30.42% | 63.56% | R+33.1 | R |
| 12 | 37.20% | 60.93% | R+23.7 | 31.35% | 63.12% | R+31.8 | R |
| 13 | 39.45% | 58.95% | R+19.5 | 39.73% | 54.44% | R+14.7 | R |
| 14 | 47.29% | 51.12% | R+3.8 | 47.62% | 46.38% | D+1.2 | R |
| 15 | 49.87% | 47.99% | D+1.9 | 47.19% | 46.22% | D+1 | D |
| 16 | 40.63% | 57.87% | R+17.2 | 40.67% | 53.57% | R+12.9 | R |
| 17 | 47.93% | 49.73% | R+1.8 | 43.14% | 49.84% | R+6.7 | D |
| 18 | 53.60% | 44.12% | D+9.5 | 51.64% | 41.89% | D+9.8 | D |
| 19 | 67.20% | 30.31% | D+36.9 | 62.62% | 31.57% | D+31 | D |
| 20 | 44.19% | 53.35% | R+9.2 | 33.67% | 59.95% | R+26.3 | R |
| 21 | 48.06% | 49.62% | R+1.6 | 41.99% | 51.24% | R+9.2 | D |
| 22 | 87.84% | 11.29% | D+76.6 | 82.46% | 13.76% | D+68.7 | D |
| 23 | 93.66% | 5.77% | D+87.9 | 88.79% | 7.90% | D+80.9 | D |
| 24 | 80.14% | 17.61% | D+62.5 | 80.82% | 13.12% | D+67.7 | D |
| 25 | 64.74% | 33.81% | D+30.9 | 70.87% | 23.52% | D+47.3 | D |
| 26 | 89.47% | 9.61% | D+79.9 | 87.67% | 8.60% | D+79.1 | D |
| 27 | 83.11% | 16.02% | D+67.1 | 79.84% | 16.39% | D+63.5 | D |
| 28 | 60.04% | 37.98% | D+22.1 | 57.30% | 37.43% | D+19.9 | D |
| 29 | 50.35% | 47.90% | D+2.5 | 47.10% | 47.36% | R+0.3 | D |
| 30 | 41.77% | 56.80% | R+15 | 42.87% | 52.37% | R+9.5 | R |
| 31 | 41.89% | 56.06% | R+14.2 | 37.13% | 56.61% | R+19.5 | R |
| 32 | 36.75% | 61.69% | R+24.9 | 32.11% | 62.33% | R+30.2 | R |
| 33 | 33.61% | 64.40% | R+30.8 | 26.00% | 68.90% | R+42.9 | R |
| 34 | 38.59% | 59.89% | R+21.3 | 39.06% | 55.18% | R+16.1 | R |
| 35 | 45.76% | 52.62% | R+6.9 | 46.39% | 47.86% | R+1.5 | R |
| 36 | 64.52% | 34.34% | D+30.2 | 63.12% | 32.17% | D+30.9 | D |
| 37 | 55.42% | 43.24% | D+12.2 | 52.86% | 42.34% | D+10.5 | D |
| 38 | 40.05% | 58.13% | R+18.1 | 34.96% | 59.08% | R+24.1 | R |
| 39 | 36.54% | 61.11% | R+24.6 | 24.45% | 70.95% | R+46.5 | R |
| 40 | 34.56% | 63.42% | R+28.9 | 22.51% | 73.96% | R+51.5 | R |
| 41 | 33.99% | 63.43% | R+29.4 | 22.43% | 72.76% | R+50.3 | R |
| 42 | 33.55% | 64.46% | R+30.9 | 23.28% | 72.55% | R+49.3 | R |
| 43 | 34.21% | 63.36% | R+29.1 | 24.43% | 70.37% | R+45.9 | R |
| 44 | 43.51% | 53.49% | R+10 | 38.05% | 54.07% | R+16 | R |
| 45 | 61.22% | 35.75% | D+25.5 | 59.76% | 32.21% | D+27.5 | D |
| 46 | 56.84% | 40.60% | D+16.2 | 60.06% | 32.92% | D+27.1 | D |
| 47 | 43.59% | 53.79% | R+10.2 | 41.34% | 51.63% | R+10.3 | R |
| 48 | 33.63% | 64.07% | R+30.4 | 24.02% | 70.88% | R+46.9 | R |
| 49 | 33.37% | 64.57% | R+31.2 | 27.21% | 67.14% | R+39.9 | R |
| 50 | 37.65% | 60.00% | R+22.3 | 36.72% | 57.51% | R+20.8 | R |
| 51 | 39.89% | 57.59% | R+17.7 | 30.22% | 63.32% | R+33.1 | R |
| 52 | 36.97% | 60.45% | R+23.5 | 26.53% | 67.54% | R+41 | R |
| 53 | 35.17% | 62.69% | R+27.5 | 25.28% | 69.68% | R+44.4 | R |
| 54 | 34.83% | 62.46% | R+27.6 | 25.65% | 68.40% | R+42.8 | R |
| 55 | 33.16% | 65.23% | R+32.1 | 29.21% | 65.54% | R+36.3 | R |
| 56 | 37.67% | 60.09% | R+22.4 | 31.94% | 61.49% | R+29.5 | R |
| 57 | 32.66% | 64.87% | R+32.2 | 21.67% | 74.19% | R+52.5 | R |
| 58 | 29.14% | 68.67% | R+39.5 | 18.77% | 77.84% | R+59.1 | R |
| 59 | 25.50% | 73.08% | R+47.6 | 21.62% | 74.26% | R+52.6 | R |
| 60 | 40.31% | 57.95% | R+17.6 | 38.04% | 56.67% | R+18.6 | R |
| 61 | 29.60% | 68.70% | R+39.1 | 21.47% | 74.52% | R+53.1 | R |
| 62 | 25.25% | 72.82% | R+47.6 | 16.85% | 79.86% | R+63 | R |
| 63 | 36.01% | 62.54% | R+26.5 | 28.27% | 67.21% | R+38.9 | R |
| 64 | 36.53% | 61.49% | R+25 | 28.02% | 67.41% | R+39.4 | R |
| 65 | 44.10% | 53.73% | R+9.6 | 39.09% | 55.12% | R+16 | R |
| 66 | 89.44% | 9.97% | D+79.5 | 86.60% | 11.08% | D+75.5 | D |
| 67 | 82.02% | 17.23% | D+64.8 | 81.39% | 15.76% | D+65.6 | D |
| 68 | 67.12% | 31.46% | D+35.7 | 64.92% | 30.31% | D+34.6 | D |
| 69 | 60.17% | 38.22% | D+21.9 | 57.88% | 37.44% | D+20.4 | D |
| 70 | 48.02% | 50.51% | R+2.5 | 47.82% | 47.06% | D+0.8 | R |
| 71 | 57.48% | 40.71% | D+16.8 | 57.73% | 36.87% | D+20.9 | D |
| 72 | 57.80% | 40.30% | D+17.5 | 52.30% | 41.87% | D+10.4 | D |
| 73 | 83.56% | 15.27% | D+68.3 | 77.64% | 18.55% | D+59.1 | D |
| 74 | 81.89% | 17.08% | D+64.8 | 77.97% | 18.23% | D+59.7 | D |
| 75 | 94.12% | 5.36% | D+88.8 | 92.25% | 5.61% | D+86.6 | D |
| 76 | 98.95% | 0.83% | D+98.1 | 96.81% | 1.63% | D+95.2 | D |
| 77 | 90.86% | 8.52% | D+82.3 | 89.47% | 7.52% | D+81.9 | D |
| 78 | 87.25% | 11.43% | D+75.8 | 83.50% | 11.60% | D+71.9 | D |
| 79 | 88.10% | 10.89% | D+77.2 | 87.25% | 8.68% | D+78.6 | D |
| 80 | 79.81% | 18.20% | D+61.6 | 77.86% | 16.56% | D+61.3 | D |
| 81 | 74.58% | 23.51% | D+51.1 | 70.04% | 24.84% | D+45.2 | D |
| 82 | 61.35% | 36.62% | D+24.7 | 61.74% | 32.37% | D+29.4 | D |
| 83 | 65.35% | 32.40% | D+32.9 | 65.49% | 27.91% | D+37.6 | D |
| 84 | 87.74% | 11.29% | D+76.4 | 85.75% | 10.26% | D+75.5 | D |
| 85 | 83.85% | 14.94% | D+68.9 | 78.91% | 17.39% | D+61.5 | D |
| 86 | 88.19% | 10.91% | D+77.3 | 86.59% | 9.76% | D+76.8 | D |
| 87 | 57.51% | 41.40% | D+16.1 | 66.36% | 29.30% | D+37.1 | D |
| 88 | 52.34% | 46.64% | D+5.7 | 58.85% | 36.90% | D+22 | D |
| 89 | 33.74% | 65.35% | R+31.6 | 41.97% | 53.65% | R+11.7 | R |
| 90 | 49.71% | 48.99% | D+0.7 | 55.22% | 39.52% | D+15.7 | D |
| 91 | 53.68% | 44.73% | D+8.9 | 57.91% | 35.87% | D+22 | D |
| 92 | 50.25% | 47.87% | D+2.4 | 47.69% | 46.02% | D+1.7 | D |
| 93 | 55.84% | 41.87% | D+14 | 48.85% | 45.46% | D+3.4 | D |
| 94 | 47.09% | 51.41% | R+4.3 | 43.28% | 51.39% | R+8.1 | R |
| 95 | 37.68% | 61.12% | R+23.4 | 35.16% | 60.52% | R+25.4 | R |
| 96 | 35.34% | 63.39% | R+28 | 36.57% | 58.75% | R+22.2 | R |
| 97 | 42.64% | 55.44% | R+12.8 | 33.31% | 61.14% | R+27.8 | D |
| 98 | 36.69% | 61.92% | R+25.2 | 37.69% | 57.34% | R+19.6 | R |
| 99 | 43.11% | 55.19% | R+12.1 | 44.44% | 49.42% | R+5 | R |
| 100 | 36.43% | 62.31% | R+25.9 | 40.91% | 54.30% | R+13.4 | R |
| 101 | 28.87% | 70.23% | R+41.4 | 35.04% | 60.81% | R+25.8 | R |
| 102 | 34.49% | 64.35% | R+29.9 | 32.40% | 62.92% | R+30.5 | R |
| 103 | 35.54% | 63.00% | R+27.5 | 31.48% | 63.41% | R+31.9 | R |
| 104 | 42.14% | 55.94% | R+13.8 | 36.80% | 57.49% | R+20.7 | R |
| 105 | 40.02% | 58.23% | R+18.2 | 36.85% | 57.40% | R+20.6 | R |
| 106 | 43.86% | 54.29% | R+10.4 | 40.91% | 52.87% | R+12 | R |
| 107 | 41.26% | 56.76% | R+15.5 | 34.90% | 59.68% | R+24.8 | R |
| 108 | 34.97% | 63.67% | R+28.7 | 31.12% | 64.19% | R+33.1 | R |
| 109 | 34.37% | 63.30% | R+28.9 | 25.25% | 69.86% | R+44.6 | R |
| 110 | 32.74% | 65.78% | R+33 | 31.86% | 63.33% | R+31.5 | R |
| 111 | 40.22% | 57.43% | R+17.2 | 28.08% | 66.82% | R+38.7 | R |
| 112 | 41.60% | 56.14% | R+14.5 | 29.74% | 65.06% | R+35.3 | R |
| 113 | 42.97% | 55.18% | R+12.2 | 31.77% | 63.08% | R+31.3 | R |
| 114 | 44.32% | 53.83% | R+9.5 | 30.07% | 64.68% | R+34.6 | R |
| 115 | 43.73% | 53.77% | R+10 | 26.77% | 68.89% | R+42.1 | R |
| 116 | 39.07% | 58.78% | R+19.7 | 26.07% | 69.37% | R+43.3 | R |
| 117 | 40.34% | 57.36% | R+17 | 25.24% | 70.97% | R+45.7 | R |
| 118 | 42.84% | 54.85% | R+12 | 24.96% | 70.53% | R+45.6 | D |
| 119 | 37.08% | 60.66% | R+23.6 | 23.82% | 71.94% | R+48.1 | R |
| 120 | 30.41% | 67.53% | R+37.1 | 20.06% | 75.96% | R+55.9 | R |
| 121 | 31.61% | 65.66% | R+34 | 24.74% | 69.39% | R+44.7 | R |
| 122 | 34.34% | 63.53% | R+29.2 | 25.48% | 68.80% | R+43.3 | R |
| 123 | 27.61% | 70.25% | R+42.6 | 17.62% | 78.74% | R+61.1 | R |
| 124 | 28.10% | 70.10% | R+42 | 20.48% | 76.31% | R+55.8 | R |
| 125 | 33.23% | 64.37% | R+31.1 | 20.75% | 75.50% | R+54.8 | R |
| 126 | 31.58% | 66.12% | R+34.5 | 20.06% | 75.46% | R+55.4 | R |
| 127 | 22.58% | 75.67% | R+53.1 | 14.13% | 82.55% | R+68.4 | R |
| 128 | 27.32% | 70.51% | R+43.2 | 18.95% | 76.41% | R+57.5 | R |
| 129 | 27.78% | 69.97% | R+42.2 | 16.36% | 80.03% | R+63.7 | R |
| 130 | 28.04% | 70.17% | R+42.1 | 21.13% | 74.22% | R+53.1 | R |
| 131 | 35.35% | 62.39% | R+27 | 30.11% | 63.51% | R+33.4 | R |
| 132 | 54.62% | 41.76% | D+12.9 | 47.48% | 43.78% | D+3.7 | D |
| 133 | 33.97% | 64.11% | R+30.1 | 30.10% | 63.89% | R+33.8 | R |
| 134 | 39.49% | 58.44% | R+19 | 38.57% | 54.45% | R+15.9 | R |
| 135 | 46.12% | 51.01% | R+4.9 | 43.73% | 48.68% | R+5 | R |
| 136 | 32.89% | 65.46% | R+32.6 | 33.82% | 61.06% | R+27.2 | R |
| 137 | 29.28% | 68.94% | R+39.7 | 22.46% | 73.16% | R+50.7 | R |
| 138 | 24.97% | 73.31% | R+48.3 | 17.62% | 79.22% | R+61.6 | R |
| 139 | 26.11% | 72.20% | R+46.1 | 21.92% | 73.26% | R+51.3 | R |
| 140 | 25.27% | 72.87% | R+47.6 | 19.34% | 76.01% | R+56.7 | R |
| 141 | 25.58% | 72.23% | R+46.6 | 15.31% | 81.45% | R+66.1 | R |
| 142 | 27.29% | 70.19% | R+42.9 | 16.35% | 80.26% | R+63.9 | R |
| 143 | 29.09% | 68.03% | R+38.9 | 16.97% | 79.81% | R+62.8 | R |
| 144 | 36.12% | 61.41% | R+25.3 | 19.14% | 77.84% | R+58.7 | R |
| 145 | 26.77% | 70.97% | R+44.2 | 15.99% | 80.73% | R+64.7 | R |
| 146 | 20.92% | 77.46% | R+56.5 | 16.18% | 80.39% | R+64.2 | R |
| 147 | 35.21% | 62.92% | R+27.7 | 32.57% | 62.66% | R+30.1 | R |
| 148 | 28.61% | 69.95% | R+41.3 | 20.84% | 76.42% | R+55.6 | R |
| 149 | 43.48% | 54.87% | R+11.4 | 30.87% | 67.01% | R+36.1 | R |
| 150 | 34.94% | 63.58% | R+28.6 | 23.89% | 74.47% | R+50.6 | R |
| 151 | 24.82% | 73.46% | R+48.6 | 14.15% | 83.22% | R+69.1 | R |
| 152 | 29.54% | 68.76% | R+39.2 | 20.62% | 76.11% | R+55.5 | R |
| 153 | 25.21% | 72.83% | R+47.6 | 14.81% | 82.43% | R+67.6 | R |
| 154 | 26.84% | 70.66% | R+43.8 | 16.74% | 79.61% | R+62.9 | R |
| 155 | 27.06% | 70.27% | R+43.2 | 16.01% | 80.94% | R+64.9 | R |
| 156 | 24.65% | 73.46% | R+48.8 | 19.20% | 77.30% | R+58.1 | R |
| 157 | 25.44% | 72.55% | R+47.1 | 17.36% | 78.46% | R+61.1 | R |
| 158 | 26.53% | 71.26% | R+44.7 | 18.47% | 78.33% | R+59.9 | R |
| 159 | 23.37% | 74.32% | R+50.9 | 15.21% | 81.38% | R+66.2 | R |
| 160 | 26.02% | 72.10% | R+46.1 | 18.82% | 77.45% | R+58.6 | R |
| 161 | 33.26% | 63.98% | R+30.7 | 27.50% | 66.51% | R+39 | R |
| 162 | 30.13% | 67.39% | R+37.3 | 24.35% | 69.95% | R+45.6 | R |
| 163 | 25.36% | 72.66% | R+47.3 | 19.41% | 75.70% | R+56.3 | R |
| Total | 44.38% | 53.76% | R+9.4 | 38.23% | 56.92% | R+18.7 | - |
| Source: Daily Kos | |||||||
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+17, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 17 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Missouri's 4th Congressional District the 59th most Republican nationally.[5]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.77. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.77 points toward that party.[6]
Campaign finance
This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[7] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[8] The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.
| Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vicky Hartzler | Republican Party | $1,708,431 | $1,343,060 | $645,432 | As of December 31, 2020 |
| Lindsey Simmons | Democratic Party | $401,750 | $390,438 | $11,282 | As of December 31, 2020 |
| Steven Koonse | Libertarian Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
|
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
|||||
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[9]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[10][11][12]
| Race ratings: Missouri's 4th Congressional District election, 2020 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
| November 3, 2020 | October 27, 2020 | October 20, 2020 | October 13, 2020 | ||||||
| The Cook Political Report | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
| Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
| Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
| Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season. | |||||||||
Candidate ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for 4th Congressional District candidates in Missouri in the 2020 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Missouri, click here.
| Filing requirements, 2020 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Signature formula | Filing fee | Filing fee formula | Filing deadline | Source |
| Missouri | 4th Congressional District | Established party | 0 | N/A | $100.00 | Fixed number | 3/31/2020 | Source |
| Missouri | 4th Congressional District | Unaffiliated | 5,866 | 2% of all voters who voted for this office in the last election | N/A | N/A | 7/28/2020 | Source |
District election history
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Missouri District 4
Incumbent Vicky Hartzler defeated Renee Hoagenson and Mark Bliss in the general election for U.S. House Missouri District 4 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Vicky Hartzler (R) | 64.8 | 190,138 |
 | Renee Hoagenson (D) | 32.7 | 95,968 | |
 | Mark Bliss (L) | 2.5 | 7,210 | |
| Total votes: 293,316 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Missouri District 4
Renee Hoagenson defeated Hallie Thompson in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Missouri District 4 on August 7, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Renee Hoagenson | 51.9 | 24,139 |
 | Hallie Thompson | 48.1 | 22,398 | |
| Total votes: 46,537 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Missouri District 4
Incumbent Vicky Hartzler defeated John Webb in the Republican primary for U.S. House Missouri District 4 on August 7, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Vicky Hartzler | 73.5 | 74,226 |
 | John Webb | 26.5 | 26,787 | |
| Total votes: 101,013 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
Libertarian primary election
Libertarian primary for U.S. House Missouri District 4
Mark Bliss defeated Steven Koonse in the Libertarian primary for U.S. House Missouri District 4 on August 7, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Mark Bliss | 56.1 | 398 |
| Steven Koonse | 43.9 | 312 | |
| Total votes: 710 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Vicky Hartzler (R) defeated Gordon Christensen (D) and Mark Bliss (L) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Hartzler defeated John Webb in the Republican primary, while Christensen defeated Jack Truman to win the Democratic nomination. The primary elections took place on August 2, 2016. Hartzler won re-election in the November 8 election.[13][14][15]
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican |  Vicky Hartzler Incumbent |
67.8% | 225,348 | |
| Democratic | Gordon Christensen | 27.8% | 92,510 | |
| Libertarian | Mark Bliss | 4.3% | 14,376 | |
| Total Votes | 332,234 | |||
| Source: Missouri Secretary of State | ||||
| Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Gordon Christensen |
62.7% | 17,160 | ||
| Jack Truman | 37.3% | 10,196 | ||
| Total Votes | 27,356 | |||
| Source: Missouri Secretary of State |
||||
| Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Vicky Hartzler Incumbent |
72.5% | 73,853 | ||
| John Webb | 27.5% | 28,037 | ||
| Total Votes | 101,890 | |||
| Source: Missouri Secretary of State |
||||
2014
The 4th Congressional District of Missouri held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Vicky Hartzler (R) defeated Nate Irvin (D) and Herschel Young (L) in the general election.
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Vicky Hartzler Incumbent |
68.1% | 120,014 | |
| Democratic | Nate Irvin | 26.4% | 46,464 | |
| Libertarian | Herschel Young | 5.6% | 9,793 | |
| Write-in | Gregory A. Cowan | 0% | 15 | |
| Total Votes | 176,286 | |||
| Source: Missouri Secretary of State | ||||
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri, 2020
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2020
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ United States Census Bureau, "Counties by Congressional Districts," accessed June 8, 2016
- ↑ 270towin.com, "Missouri," accessed June 29, 2017
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Missouri Secretary of State, "UNOFFICIAL Candidate Filing List," accessed March 30, 2016
- ↑ Politico, "Missouri House Primaries Results," August 2, 2016
- ↑ CNN, "Missouri House 04 Results," November 8, 2016
