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Missouri's 5th Congressional District election, 2020

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2022
2018
Missouri's 5th Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: March 31, 2020
Primary: August 4, 2020
General: November 3, 2020

Pre-election incumbent:
Emanuel Cleaver (Democrat)
How to vote
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Missouri
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020
See also
Missouri's 5th Congressional District
1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th
Missouri elections, 2020
U.S. Congress elections, 2020
U.S. Senate elections, 2020
U.S. House elections, 2020

All U.S. congressional districts, including the 5th Congressional District of Missouri, held elections in 2020.

Incumbent Emanuel Cleaver won election in the general election for U.S. House Missouri District 5.

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
March 31, 2020
August 4, 2020
November 3, 2020


Heading into the election the incumbent was Democrat Emanuel Cleaver, who was first elected in 2004.

Missouri's 5th Congressional District is located in the western portion of the state and includes all of Lafayette, Ray and Saline counties along with portions of Clay and Jackson counties.[1]

Post-election analysis

The table below compares the vote totals in the 2020 presidential election and 2020 U.S. House election for this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

Presidential and congressional election results, Missouri's 5th Congressional District, 2020
Race Presidential U.S. House
Democratic candidate Democratic Party 58.4 58.8
Republican candidate Republican Party 39.6 38.6
Difference 18.8 20.2

Election procedure changes in 2020

See also: Changes to election dates, procedures, and administration in response to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, 2020

Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.

Missouri modified its absentee/mail-in voting procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:

  • Absentee/mail-in voting: Any registered voter could cast an absentee ballot (subject to a notarization requirement) in the general election.

For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.

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Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Missouri District 5

Incumbent Emanuel Cleaver defeated Ryan Derks, Robin Dominick, Antwain Winters, and Billy Ballard in the general election for U.S. House Missouri District 5 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Emanuel Cleaver
Emanuel Cleaver (D)
 
58.8
 
207,180
Image of Ryan Derks
Ryan Derks (R) Candidate Connection
 
38.6
 
135,934
Image of Robin Dominick
Robin Dominick (L)
 
2.6
 
9,272
Image of Antwain Winters
Antwain Winters (G) (Write-in) Candidate Connection
 
0.0
 
41
Billy Ballard (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
1

Total votes: 352,428
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Missouri District 5

Incumbent Emanuel Cleaver defeated Maite Salazar in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Missouri District 5 on August 4, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Emanuel Cleaver
Emanuel Cleaver
 
85.3
 
75,040
Maite Salazar Candidate Connection
 
14.7
 
12,923

Total votes: 87,963
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Missouri District 5

The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House Missouri District 5 on August 4, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Ryan Derks
Ryan Derks Candidate Connection
 
34.0
 
13,832
Image of Jerry Barham
Jerry Barham
 
31.7
 
12,880
Image of Clay Chastain
Clay Chastain
 
18.5
 
7,519
Image of Weldon Woodward
Weldon Woodward Candidate Connection
 
5.9
 
2,381
Image of R. H. Hess
R. H. Hess Candidate Connection
 
5.4
 
2,207
Richonda Oaks
 
4.6
 
1,872

Total votes: 40,691
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Libertarian primary election

Libertarian primary for U.S. House Missouri District 5

Robin Dominick advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. House Missouri District 5 on August 4, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Robin Dominick
Robin Dominick
 
100.0
 
542

Total votes: 542
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

There are no Pivot Counties in Missouri. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Missouri with 56.8 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 38.1 percent. In presidential elections between 1820 and 2016, Missouri voted Democratic 60 percent of the time and Republican 36 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, Missouri voted Republican all five times.[2]

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Missouri. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[3][4]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 43 out of 163 state House districts in Missouri with an average margin of victory of 42.1 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 43 out of 163 state House districts in Missouri with an average margin of victory of 42.3 points. Clinton won two districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections.
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 120 out of 163 state House districts in Missouri with an average margin of victory of 28.3 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 120 out of 163 state House districts in Missouri with an average margin of victory of 39.8 points. Trump won four districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+7, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 7 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Missouri's 5th Congressional District the 145th most Democratic nationally.[5]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.06. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.06 points toward that party.[6]

Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[7] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[8] The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Emanuel Cleaver Democratic Party $1,415,880 $950,094 $927,864 As of December 31, 2020
Ryan Derks Republican Party $76,948 $76,948 $0 As of December 11, 2020
Antwain Winters Green Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Robin Dominick Libertarian Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Billy Ballard Independent $0 $0 $0 Data not available***

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.


Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[9]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[10][11][12]

Race ratings: Missouri's 5th Congressional District election, 2020
Race trackerRace ratings
November 3, 2020October 27, 2020October 20, 2020October 13, 2020
The Cook Political ReportSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season.

Candidate ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for 5th Congressional District candidates in Missouri in the 2020 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Missouri, click here.

Filing requirements, 2020
State Office Party Signatures required Signature formula Filing fee Filing fee formula Filing deadline Source
Missouri 5th Congressional District Established party 0 N/A $100.00 Fixed number 3/31/2020 Source
Missouri 5th Congressional District Unaffiliated 5,676 2% of all voters who voted for this office in the last election N/A N/A 7/28/2020 Source

District election history

2018

See also: Missouri's 5th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Missouri District 5

Incumbent Emanuel Cleaver defeated Jacob Turk, Alexander Howell, Maurice Copeland, and E.C. Fredland in the general election for U.S. House Missouri District 5 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Emanuel Cleaver
Emanuel Cleaver (D)
 
61.7
 
175,019
Image of Jacob Turk
Jacob Turk (R)
 
35.6
 
101,069
Image of Alexander Howell
Alexander Howell (L)
 
1.7
 
4,725
Maurice Copeland (G)
 
0.7
 
2,091
E.C. Fredland (Constitution Party)
 
0.3
 
876
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.0
 
5

Total votes: 283,785
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Missouri District 5

Incumbent Emanuel Cleaver advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Missouri District 5 on August 7, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Emanuel Cleaver
Emanuel Cleaver
 
100.0
 
87,449

Total votes: 87,449
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Missouri District 5

Jacob Turk defeated Kress Cambers and Richonda Oaks in the Republican primary for U.S. House Missouri District 5 on August 7, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Jacob Turk
Jacob Turk
 
75.1
 
35,883
Image of Kress Cambers
Kress Cambers
 
17.6
 
8,423
Richonda Oaks
 
7.3
 
3,467

Total votes: 47,773
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Constitution primary election

Constitution primary for U.S. House Missouri District 5

E.C. Fredland advanced from the Constitution primary for U.S. House Missouri District 5 on August 7, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
E.C. Fredland
 
100.0
 
184

Total votes: 184
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Green primary election

Green primary for U.S. House Missouri District 5

Maurice Copeland advanced from the Green primary for U.S. House Missouri District 5 on August 7, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Maurice Copeland
 
100.0
 
315

Total votes: 315
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Libertarian primary election

Libertarian primary for U.S. House Missouri District 5

Alexander Howell defeated Cisse Spragins in the Libertarian primary for U.S. House Missouri District 5 on August 7, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Alexander Howell
Alexander Howell
 
56.3
 
512
Image of Cisse Spragins
Cisse Spragins
 
43.7
 
398

Total votes: 910
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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2016

See also: Missouri's 5th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Emanuel Cleaver (D) defeated Jacob Turk (R) and Roy Welborn (L) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Cleaver defeated Robert Gough in the Democratic primary, while Turk defeated Austin Rucker, Berton Knox, and Michael Burris to win the Republican nomination. The primary elections took place on August 2, 2016.[13][14]

U.S. House, Missouri District 5 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngEmanuel Cleaver Incumbent 58.8% 190,766
     Republican Jacob Turk 38.2% 123,771
     Libertarian Roy Welborn 3% 9,733
Total Votes 324,270
Source: Missouri Secretary of State


U.S. House, Missouri District 5 Democratic Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngEmanuel Cleaver Incumbent 88.2% 48,755
Robert Gough 11.8% 6,519
Total Votes 55,274
Source: Missouri Secretary of State


U.S. House, Missouri District 5 Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngJacob Turk 68% 28,096
Michael Burris 16.7% 6,898
Austin Rucker 10% 4,137
Berton Knox 5.2% 2,166
Total Votes 41,297
Source: Missouri Secretary of State

2014

See also: Missouri's 5th Congressional District elections, 2014

The 5th Congressional District of Missouri held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Emanuel Cleaver (D) defeated Jacob Turk (R) and Roy Welborn (L) in the general election.

U.S. House, Missouri District 5 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngEmanuel Cleaver Incumbent 51.6% 79,256
     Republican Jacob Turk 45% 69,071
     Libertarian Roy Welborn 3.5% 5,308
Total Votes 153,635
Source: Missouri Secretary of State

See also

External links

Footnotes


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
Bob Onder (R)
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
Republican Party (8)
Democratic Party (2)