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Montana's 1st Congressional District election, 2026

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2024
Montana's 1st Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: March 4, 2026
Primary: June 2, 2026
General: November 3, 2026
How to vote
Poll times:

7 a.m. to 8 p.m.
Voting in Montana

Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Likely Republican
DDHQ and The Hill: Pending
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2026
See also
Montana's 1st Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd
Montana elections, 2026
U.S. Congress elections, 2026
U.S. Senate elections, 2026
U.S. House elections, 2026

All U.S. House districts, including the 1st Congressional District of Montana, are holding elections in 2026. The general election is November 3, 2026. The primary is June 2, 2026. The filing deadline is March 4, 2026. For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:

Candidates and election results

Note: The following list includes official candidates only. Ballotpedia defines official candidates as people who:

  • Register with a federal or state campaign finance agency before the candidate filing deadline
  • Appear on candidate lists released by government election agencies

General election

The primary will occur on June 2, 2026. The general election will occur on November 3, 2026. General election candidates will be added here following the primary.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Montana District 1

Russell Cleveland and Matt Rains are running in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Montana District 1 on June 2, 2026.


Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Montana District 1

Incumbent Ryan K. Zinke is running in the Republican primary for U.S. House Montana District 1 on June 2, 2026.

Candidate
Image of Ryan K. Zinke
Ryan K. Zinke

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Candidate profiles

There are currently no candidate profiles created for this race. Candidate profiles will appear here as they are created. Encourage the candidates in this race to complete Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey so that their profile will appear here.

Voting information

See also: Voting in Montana

Ballotpedia will publish the dates and deadlines related to this election as they are made available.

Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

No candidate in this race has completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Ballotpedia is seeking 100 percent participation so voters can learn more about all the candidates on their ballots.

Campaign finance

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Ryan K. Zinke Republican Party $2,963,129 $1,376,573 $2,267,087 As of September 30, 2025
Russell Cleveland Democratic Party $72,020 $33,457 $38,562 As of September 30, 2025
Matt Rains Democratic Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2026. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.

General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[1]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[2][3][4]

Race ratings: Montana's 1st Congressional District election, 2026
Race trackerRace ratings
12/23/202512/16/202512/9/202512/2/2025
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterLikely RepublicanLikely RepublicanLikely RepublicanLikely Republican
Decision Desk HQ and The HillPendingPendingPendingPending
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallLikely RepublicanLikely RepublicanLikely RepublicanLikely Republican
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Montana in the 2026 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Montana, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2026
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Montana U.S. House Ballot-qualified party N/A $1740 3/4/2026 Source
Montana U.S. House Unaffiliated 6,128 $1740 6/1/2026 Source


District history

The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2020.

General election

General election for U.S. House Montana District 1

Incumbent Ryan K. Zinke (R) defeated Monica Tranel (D) and Dennis Hayes (L) in the general election for U.S. House Montana District 1 on November 5, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Ryan K. Zinke
Ryan K. Zinke (R)
 
52.3
 
168,529
Image of Monica Tranel
Monica Tranel (D)
 
44.6
 
143,783
Dennis Hayes (L)
 
3.1
 
9,954

Total votes: 322,266
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary

Democratic primary for U.S. House Montana District 1

Monica Tranel (D) advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Montana District 1 on June 4, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Monica Tranel
Monica Tranel
 
100.0
 
59,806

Total votes: 59,806
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary

Republican primary for U.S. House Montana District 1

Incumbent Ryan K. Zinke (R) defeated Mary Todd (R) in the Republican primary for U.S. House Montana District 1 on June 4, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Ryan K. Zinke
Ryan K. Zinke
 
73.7
 
66,409
Image of Mary Todd
Mary Todd
 
26.3
 
23,647

Total votes: 90,056
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Libertarian Party primary

Libertarian primary for U.S. House Montana District 1

Dennis Hayes (L) defeated Ernie Noble (L) (Withdrew, appeared on ballot) in the Libertarian Party primary for U.S. House Montana District 1 on June 4, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Dennis Hayes
 
65.4
 
390
Ernie Noble (Withdrew, appeared on ballot)
 
34.6
 
206

Total votes: 596
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

General election

General election for U.S. House Montana District 1

Ryan K. Zinke (R) defeated Monica Tranel (D) and John Lamb (L) in the general election for U.S. House Montana District 1 on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Ryan K. Zinke
Ryan K. Zinke (R)
 
49.6
 
123,102
Image of Monica Tranel
Monica Tranel (D)
 
46.5
 
115,265
Image of John Lamb
John Lamb (L)
 
3.9
 
9,593

Total votes: 247,960
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary

Democratic primary for U.S. House Montana District 1

Monica Tranel (D) defeated Cora Neumann (D) and Tom Winter (D) in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Montana District 1 on June 7, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Monica Tranel
Monica Tranel
 
64.9
 
37,138
Image of Cora Neumann
Cora Neumann
 
26.9
 
15,396
Image of Tom Winter
Tom Winter
 
8.2
 
4,723

Total votes: 57,257
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary

Republican primary for U.S. House Montana District 1

Ryan K. Zinke (R) defeated Albert Olszewski (R), Mary Todd (R), Matt Jette (R), and Mitch Heuer (R) in the Republican primary for U.S. House Montana District 1 on June 7, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Ryan K. Zinke
Ryan K. Zinke
 
41.7
 
35,601
Image of Albert Olszewski
Albert Olszewski
 
39.7
 
33,927
Image of Mary Todd
Mary Todd  Candidate Connection
 
10.4
 
8,915
Image of Matt Jette
Matt Jette  Candidate Connection
 
5.8
 
4,973
Mitch Heuer
 
2.3
 
1,953

Total votes: 85,369
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Libertarian Party primary

The Libertarian Party primary scheduled for June 7, 2022, was canceled. John Lamb (L) advanced from the Libertarian Party primary for U.S. House Montana District 1 without appearing on the ballot.

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2026 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.


Below is the district map in place for this election. Click the map below to enlarge it.

2023_01_03_mt_congressional_district_01.jpg
See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2026
Information about competitiveness will be added here as it becomes available.

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2026 elections, based on results from the 2024 and 2020 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district is R+5. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 5 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Montana's 1st the 185th most Republican district nationally.[5]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2024 presidential election was in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by The Downballot.

2024 presidential results in Montana's 1st Congressional District
Kamala Harris Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
43.0% 54.0%

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Montana, 2024

Montana presidential election results (1900-2024)

  • 10 Democratic wins
  • 21 Republican wins
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024
Winning Party D R R D D R R R D D D D D R R R D R R R R R R D R R R R R R R R
See also: Party control of Montana state government

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Montana's congressional delegation as of October 2025.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Montana
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 0 0 0
Republican 2 2 4
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 2 4

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Montana's top four state executive offices as of October 2025.

State executive officials in Montana, October 2025
Office Officeholder
Governor Republican Party Greg Gianforte
Lieutenant Governor Republican Party Kristen Juras
Secretary of State Republican Party Christi Jacobsen
Attorney General Republican Party Austin Knudsen

State legislature

Montana State Senate

Party As of October 2025
     Democratic Party 18
     Republican Party 32
     Other 0
     Vacancies 0
Total 50

Montana House of Representatives

Party As of October 2025
     Democratic Party 42
     Republican Party 58
     Other 0
     Vacancies 0
Total 100

Trifecta control

Montana Party Control: 1992-2025
No Democratic trifectas  •  Fifteen years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Governor R R R R R R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R
Senate D D D R R R R R R R R R R D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D R R R R R R R R R R R R S S R R S S R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R

See also

Montana 2026 primaries 2026 U.S. Congress elections
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Montana congressional delegation
Voting in Montana
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Democratic primary battlegrounds
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U.S. Senate elections
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Ballot access

External links

Footnotes

  1. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  2. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  3. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  4. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  5. Cook Political Report, "2025 Cook PVI℠: District Map and List (119th Congress)," accessed July 1, 2025


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
Republican Party (4)