Montana State Senate elections, 2018

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GeneralNovember 6, 2018
PrimaryJune 5, 2018
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Republicans held control of the Montana State Senate, winning 14 seats to Democrats' 11 seats and establishing a 30-20 majority in 2018. Twenty-five seats out of the chamber's 50 seats were up for election. At the time of the election, Republicans held a 32-18 majority.

Following the 2018 election, Montana continued to be under divided government with Republicans keeping control of both the state House and Senate. The governor's office, held by Steve Bullock (D), was not up for election.

Because state senators in Montana serve four-year terms, winning candidates in the 2018 election served through 2022 and played a role in Montana's redistricting process—the drawing of boundary lines for congressional and state legislative districts. In Montana, an independent commission draws state legislative district boundaries. Senate and House majority and minority leaders appoint members to the commision. Read more below.

The Montana State Senate was one of 87 state legislative chambers with elections in 2018. There are 99 chambers throughout the country.

Montana state senators serve staggered, four-year terms and half of the Senate is up for election every two years.


HIGHLIGHTS
  • Republicans maintained control of the Senate following the 2016 elections by a 32-18 margin. To retake control of the chamber in 2018, Democrats needed to gain eight seats. Republicans needed to gain two seats to gain a veto-proof majority in 2018. A two-thirds majority—34 seats in the state Senate—is required to override a gubernatorial veto.
  • Of the 25 seats up for election, six Montana senators or 24 percent of the chamber was term limited in 2018. Of the six term limited seats in 2018, two were controlled by Democrats and the other four were controlled by Republicans. As of July 2017, of the 25 seats up for election in 2018, Republicans held 16 seats and Democrats the other nine.
  • Three Senate districts in Montana intersect with Pivot Counties. These three districts are of 710 state legislative districts that intersect with one or more Pivot Counties. These 206 Pivot Counties voted for Trump (R) in 2016 after voting for Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012. Read more below.
  • Montana came under divided government following the 2004 elections when the Democratic Party took control of the state Senate and governor's office, breaking the Republican trifecta. Republicans retook control of the state Senate in the 2008 elections, while the state House was already controlled by Republicans prior to the election. Gov. Steve Bullock (D) was elected to a four-year term in 2016.
  • Post-election analysis

    See also: State legislative elections, 2018

    The Republican Party maintained control of both chambers of the Montana State Legislature in the 2018 election. In the state Senate, 25 out of 50 seats were up for election. The Republican Montana State Senate majority was reduced from 32-18 to 30-20. One Republican incumbent was defeated in the primary and one Republican incumbent was defeated in the general election.

    The Montana House of Representatives held elections for all 100 seats. The Republican majority in the House of Representatives was reduced from 59-41 to 58-42. Two Republican incumbents were defeated in the general election.

    National background

    On November 6, 2018, 87 of the nation's 99 state legislative chambers held regularly scheduled elections for 6,073 of 7,383 total seats, meaning that nearly 82 percent of all state legislative seats were up for election.

    • Entering the 2018 election, Democrats held 42.6 percent, Republicans held 56.8 percent, and independents and other parties held 0.6 percent of the seats up for regular election.
    • Following the 2018 election, Democrats held 47.3 percent, Republicans held 52.3 percent, and independents and other parties held 0.4 percent of the seats up for regular election.
    • A total of 469 incumbents were defeated over the course of the election cycle, with roughly one-third of them defeated in the primary.

    Want more information?

    Candidates

    General election

    Montana State Senate General Election 2018

    • Incumbents are marked with an (i) after their name.
    • Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
    Office Democratic Party Democratic Republican Party Republican Other
    District 1

    Green check mark transparent.pngMike Cuffe

    Austen Lee Nelson (Libertarian Party)

    District 4

    Diane Taylor-Mahnke

    Green check mark transparent.pngMark Blasdel (i)

    District 5

    Did not make the ballot:
    Jennifer Allen 

    Green check mark transparent.pngBob Keenan (i)

    District 8

    Green check mark transparent.pngSusan Webber

    District 9

    Kurt Dyer

    Green check mark transparent.pngBruce Gillespie

    District 11

    Green check mark transparent.pngTom Jacobson

    Adam Rosendale

    District 12

    Green check mark transparent.pngCarlie Boland (i)

    Steven Galloway  Candidate Connection

    District 13

    Bob Moretti

    Green check mark transparent.pngBrian Hoven (i)

    Kevin Leatherbarrow (Libertarian Party)

    District 14

    Paul Tuss

    Green check mark transparent.pngRussel Tempel (i)

    District 19

    Mary Zeiss Stange

    Green check mark transparent.pngKenneth Bogner

    District 20

    Green check mark transparent.pngDuane Ankney (i)

    District 22

    Jennifer Merecki

    Green check mark transparent.pngDoug Kary (i)  Candidate Connection

    District 24

    Green check mark transparent.pngMary McNally (i)

    Tom McGillvray

    District 27

    Bryan Stafford

    Green check mark transparent.pngCary Smith (i)

    District 29

    Betsy Scanlin

    Green check mark transparent.pngDavid Howard (i)

    District 30

    Dan Vermillion

    Green check mark transparent.pngJohn Esp

    Frank McLain (Libertarian Party)

    Did not make the ballot:
    Mark Lighthiser  (Libertarian Party)

    District 32

    Green check mark transparent.pngPat Flowers

    Jedediah Hinkle (i)  Candidate Connection

    Francis Wendt (Libertarian Party)

    District 33

    Green check mark transparent.pngJennifer Pomnichowski (i)

    District 34

    Sam Newville

    Green check mark transparent.pngGordon Vance (i)

    District 41

    Green check mark transparent.pngJanet Ellis

    John Schmidt

    District 42

    Green check mark transparent.pngJill Cohenour (i)

    Bob Leach  Candidate Connection

    District 43

    Green check mark transparent.pngJason Ellsworth

    Laura Garber (Independent)

    District 48

    Green check mark transparent.pngNate McConnell (i)

    Adam Pummill

    District 49

    Green check mark transparent.pngDiane Sands (i)

    Chase Reynolds

    Did not make the ballot:
    Greg Strandberg  (Green Party)

    District 50

    Green check mark transparent.pngBryce Bennett

    Niki Sardot  Candidate Connection


    Primary election

    See also: Montana state legislative Republican primaries, 2018 and Montana state legislative Democratic primaries, 2018
    Montana State Senate primary candidates
    District Democratic Party

    Democrat

    Republican Party

    Republican

    Other
    1 No candidate Mike Cuffe Approveda
    4 Diane Taylor-Mahnke Approveda Mark Blasdel (I) Approveda
    5 Jennifer Allen Approveda Bob Keenan (I) Approveda
    8 Susan Webber Approveda No candidate
    9 Kurt Dyer Approveda Charlie Brown: 2,896 Approveda
    Bruce Gillespie: 2,538
    11 Tom Jacobson Approveda Adam Rosendale Approveda
    12 Carlie Boland (I) Approveda Steven Galloway Approveda
    13 Bob Moretti Approveda Brian Hoven (I) Approveda
    14 Paul Tuss Approveda Russel Tempel: 1,693 (I) Approveda
    Brad Lotton: 1,543
    19 Mary Zeiss Stange Approveda Kenneth Bogner: 1,981 Approveda
    Jerry Schillinger: 1,829
    Bill Harris: 789
    20 No candidate Duane Ankney (I) Approveda
    22 Jennifer Merecki: 1,164 Approveda
    David Graves: 447
    Douglas Kary (I) Approveda
    24 Mary McNally (I) Approveda Tom McGillvray Approveda
    27 Bryan Stafford Approveda Cary Smith (I) Approveda
    29 Betsy Scanlin Approveda David Howard: 2,721 (I) Approveda
    Andrew Forcier: 1,723
    30 Dan Vermillion Approveda John Esp Approveda
    32 Pat Flowers Approveda Jedediah Hinkle (I) Approveda
    33 Jennifer Pomnichowski (I) Approveda No candidate
    34 Sam Newville Approveda Gordon Vance (I) Approveda
    41 Janet Ellis: 2,880 Approveda
    Michael Uda: 623
    John Schmidt Approveda
    42 Jill Cohenour (I) Approveda Bob Leach Approveda
    43 No candidate Jason Ellsworth: 1,809 Approveda
    Patrick Connell: 1,550 (I)
    Scott Roy McLean: 1,064
    48 Nate McConnell (I) Approveda Adam Pummill Approveda
    49 Diane Sands (I) Approveda Chase Reynolds Approveda
    50 Bryce Bennett Approveda Niki Sardot Approveda
    Notes • An (I) denotes an incumbent.
    • Candidate lists can change frequently throughout an election season. Ballotpedia staff update this list monthly. To suggest changes, click here to email our State Legislature Project.

    Margins of victory

    See also: Margin of victory analysis for the 2018 state legislative elections

    A margin of victory (MOV) analysis for the 2018 Montana State Senate races is presented in this section. MOV represents the percentage of total votes that separated the winner and the second-place finisher. For example, if the winner of a race received 47 percent of the vote and the second-place finisher received 45 percent of the vote, the MOV is 2 percent.

    The table below presents the following figures for each party:

    • Elections won
    • Elections won by less than 10 percentage points
    • Elections won without opposition
    • Average margin of victory[3]
    Montana State Senate: 2018 Margin of Victory Analysis
    Party Elections won Elections won by less than 10% Unopposed elections Average margin of victory[3]
    Democratic Party Democratic
    11
    4
    2
    14.7%
    Republican Party Republican
    14
    3
    2
    30.7%
    Grey.png Other
    0
    0
    0
    N/A
    Total
    25
    7
    4
    22.7%



    The margin of victory in each race is presented below. The list is sorted from the closest MOV to the largest (including unopposed races).

    Montana State Senate: 2018 Margin of Victory by District
    District Winning Party Losing Party Margin of Victory
    Montana State Senate District 14
    Ends.png Republican
    Electiondot.png Democratic
    1.5%
    Montana State Senate District 12
    Electiondot.png Democratic
    Ends.png Republican
    2.9%
    Montana State Senate District 49
    Electiondot.png Democratic
    Ends.png Republican
    3.2%
    Montana State Senate District 32
    Electiondot.png Democratic
    Ends.png Republican
    3.6%
    Montana State Senate District 24
    Electiondot.png Democratic
    Ends.png Republican
    8.0%
    Montana State Senate District 30
    Ends.png Republican
    Electiondot.png Democratic
    8.8%
    Montana State Senate District 13
    Ends.png Republican
    Electiondot.png Democratic
    9.3%
    Montana State Senate District 42
    Electiondot.png Democratic
    Ends.png Republican
    14.1%
    Montana State Senate District 11
    Electiondot.png Democratic
    Ends.png Republican
    15.0%
    Montana State Senate District 41
    Electiondot.png Democratic
    Ends.png Republican
    15.5%
    Montana State Senate District 22
    Ends.png Republican
    Electiondot.png Democratic
    20.9%
    Montana State Senate District 43
    Ends.png Republican
    Grey.png Independent
    24.1%
    Montana State Senate District 48
    Electiondot.png Democratic
    Ends.png Republican
    25.5%
    Montana State Senate District 4
    Ends.png Republican
    Electiondot.png Democratic
    29.0%
    Montana State Senate District 34
    Ends.png Republican
    Electiondot.png Democratic
    29.8%
    Montana State Senate District 29
    Ends.png Republican
    Electiondot.png Democratic
    33.7%
    Montana State Senate District 27
    Ends.png Republican
    Electiondot.png Democratic
    36.2%
    Montana State Senate District 50
    Electiondot.png Democratic
    Ends.png Republican
    44.4%
    Montana State Senate District 9
    Ends.png Republican
    Electiondot.png Democratic
    46.5%
    Montana State Senate District 19
    Ends.png Republican
    Electiondot.png Democratic
    61.7%
    Montana State Senate District 1
    Ends.png Republican
    Specialsession.png Libertarian
    66.3%
    Montana State Senate District 20
    Ends.png Republican
    None
    Unopposed
    Montana State Senate District 33
    Electiondot.png Democratic
    None
    Unopposed
    Montana State Senate District 8
    Electiondot.png Democratic
    None
    Unopposed
    Montana State Senate District 5
    Ends.png Republican
    None
    Unopposed


    Seats flipped

    See also: State legislative seats that changed party control, 2018

    The below map displays each seat in the Montana State Senate which changed partisan hands as a result of the 2018 elections, shaded according to the partisan affiliation of the winner in 2018. Hover over a shaded district for more information.

    State legislative seats flipped in 2018, Montana State Senate
    District Incumbent 2018 winner Direction of flip
    Montana State Senate District 11 Republican Party Edward Buttrey Democratic Party Tom Jacobson R to D
    Montana State Senate District 32 Republican Party Jedediah Hinkle Democratic Party Pat Flowers R to D

    Incumbents retiring

    Eight incumbents did not run for re-election in 2018.[4] Those incumbents were:

    Name Party Office
    Chas Vincent Ends.png Republican Senate District 1
    Lea Whitford Electiondot.png Democratic Senate District 8
    Llew Jones Ends.png Republican Senate District 9
    Edward Buttrey Ends.png Republican Senate District 11
    Frederick "Eric" Moore Ends.png Republican Senate District 19
    Nels Swandal Ends.png Republican Senate District 30
    Mary Caferro Electiondot.png Democratic Senate District 41
    Tom Facey Electiondot.png Democratic Senate District 50

    Process to become a candidate

    See also: Ballot access requirements for political candidates in Montana

    For qualified party candidates

    DocumentIcon.jpg See statutes: Title 13, Chapter 10, Section 201 of the Montana Code

    In order to qualify for placement on the primary ballot, a candidate for the nomination of a recognized political party must file a declaration of nomination and pay the required filing fees. The declaration must include an oath of candidacy, which the candidate is required to sign to affirm that, under the state constitution and applicable federal and state laws, he or she is qualified to hold the office being sought. This paperwork must be filed with the Montana Secretary of State if the office being sought is a congressional seat, a state or district office voted for in more than one county, or a state legislative seat.[5][6]

    Filing fees are established in Title 13, Chapter 10, Section 202, of the Montana Code Annotated 2023. These fees are summarized in the table below.[7]

    Filing fees
    Office sought How the fee is determined
    For offices earning an annual salary of $2,500 or less and members of the state legislature $15
    For offices (except county-level) earning an annual salary of more than $2,500 1% of salary
    For offices in which compensation is paid in fees $10

    For independent, indigent, and non-qualified party candidates

    DocumentIcon.jpg See statutes: Title 13, Chapter 10, Section 501 of the Montana Code Annotated 2013

    In order to qualify for placement on the general election ballot, a candidate must file an "Independent, Minor Party, or Indigent Candidate Declaration, Oath of Candidacy, and Petition for Nomination." Independent and non-qualified party candidates are liable for the same filing fees as qualified party candidates (see table above). Indigent candidates (i.e., those who do not have the resources to pay the filing fees) are not required to pay the statutory filing fees and may have their names placed on the ballot via the petition process only.[8][9]

    Nominating petitions must be signed by electors residing within the state and district or political subdivision in which the official is to be elected. Valid signatures must total at least 5 percent of the total votes cast at the last general election for the successful candidate for the office being sought.[10]

    For write-in candidates

    In order to have his or her votes counted, a write-in candidate must submit to the Montana Secretary of State a "Declaration of Intent and Oath of Candidacy" and pay the requisite filing fees (noted above).[11]

    Qualifications

    See also: State legislature candidate requirements by state

    To be eligible to serve in the Montana State Senate, a candidate must be:[12]

    • A resident of the state for at least one year next preceding the general election
    • A resident of the county for six months preceding the general election if it contains one or more districts or of the district if it contains all or parts of more than one county.

    Salaries and per diem

    See also: Comparison of state legislative salaries
    State legislative salaries, 2024[13]
    SalaryPer diem
    $104.86/legislative day$171/day

    When sworn in

    See also: When state legislators assume office after a general election

    Montana legislators assume office the first Monday of January following the election. If January 1 is a Monday, legislators assume office on the first Wednesday.[14]

    Montana political history

    See also: Partisan composition of state senates and State government trifectas

    Party control

    2018

    In the 2018 elections, the Republican majority in the Montana State Senate was reduced from 32-18 to 30-20.

    Montana State Senate
    Party As of November 6, 2018 After November 7, 2018
         Democratic Party 18 20
         Republican Party 32 30
    Total 50 50

    2016

    In the 2016 elections, Republicans maintained their majority in the Montana State Senate.

    Montana State Senate
    Party As of November 7, 2016 After November 8, 2016
         Democratic Party 20 18
         Republican Party 29 32
         Vacancy 1 0
    Total 50 50

    Trifectas

    A state government trifecta is a term that describes single-party government, when one political party holds the governor's office and has majorities in both chambers of the legislature in a state government. Republicans in Montana held a state government trifecta for 10 years between 1992 and 2017.

    Montana Party Control: 1992-2025
    No Democratic trifectas  •  Fifteen years of Republican trifectas
    Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

    Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
    Governor R R R R R R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R
    Senate D D D R R R R R R R R R R D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
    House D R R R R R R R R R R R R S S R R S S R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R

    Impact of term limits

    See also: Impact of term limits on state senate elections in 2018 and Impact of term limits on state legislative elections in 2018

    The Montana State Senate has been a term-limited state Senate since Montana voters approved CI-64 in 1992. C-64 created Section 8 of Article IV of the Montana Constitution, which says that Montana State Senators cannot serve eight or more years in any 16-year period as a state senator.

    A total of 25 out of 50 seats in the Montana State Senate were up for election in 2018. In the 2018 elections, six senators were ineligible to run because of term limits. The following state senators were term-limited in 2018:

    Democratic: (2)

    Republicans (4):

    Of the 87 state legislative chambers that held elections in 2018, 24 of them—12 senate chambers and 12 house chambers—included incumbents who were unable to run for re-election due to term limits.[15] In the 24 chambers affected by term limits in 2018, 1,463 seats were up for election.[16] The Nevada Senate, Arkansas House, and Arkansas Senate are impacted by term limits, but no incumbents were term-limited in 2018. There are 99 chambers throughout the country.

    A total of 271 state legislators—96 state senators and 175 state representatives—were ineligible to run in the 2018 elections because of term limits. This represented 4 percent of the 6,066 total seats up for election in November 2018.[17][18] Republicans had twice as many state legislators term-limited in 2018 than Democrats. A total of 86 Democrats were term-limited, while 177 Republicans were term-limited.

    Wave election analysis

    See also: Wave elections (1918-2016)

    The term wave election is frequently used to describe an election cycle in which one party makes significant electoral gains. How many seats would Republicans have had to lose for the 2018 midterm election to be considered a wave election?

    Ballotpedia examined the results of the 50 election cycles that occurred between 1918 and 2016—spanning from President Woodrow Wilson's (D) second midterm in 1918 to Donald Trump's (R) first presidential election in 2016. We define wave elections as the 20 percent of elections in that period resulting in the greatest seat swings against the president's party.

    Applying this definition to state legislative elections, we found that Republicans needed to lose 494 seats for 2018 to qualify as a wave election.

    The chart below shows the number of seats the president's party lost in the 10 state legislative waves from 1918 to 2016. Click here to read the full report.

    State legislative wave elections
    Year President Party Election type State legislative seats change Elections analyzed[19]
    1932 Hoover R Presidential -1,022 7,365
    1922 Harding R First midterm -907 6,907
    1966 Johnson D First midterm[20] -782 7,561
    1938 Roosevelt D Second midterm -769 7,179
    1958 Eisenhower R Second midterm -702 7,627
    2010 Obama D First midterm -702 7,306
    1974 Ford R Second midterm[21] -695 7,481
    1920 Wilson D Presidential -654 6,835
    1930 Hoover R Presidential -640 7,361
    1954 Eisenhower R First midterm -494 7,513

    Competitiveness

    Every year, Ballotpedia uses official candidate lists from each state to examine the competitiveness of every state legislative race in the country. Nationally, there has been a steady decline in electoral competitiveness since 2010. Most notable is that the number of districts with general election competition has dropped by more than 10 percent.

    Results from 2016

    Click here to read the full study »


    Historical context

    See also: Competitiveness in State Legislative Elections: 1972-2014

    Uncontested elections: In 2014, 32.8 percent of Americans lived in states with an uncontested state senate election. Similarly, 40.4 percent of Americans lived in states with uncontested house elections. Primary elections were uncontested even more frequently, with 61 percent of people living in states with no contested primaries. Uncontested elections often occur in locations that are so politically one-sided that the result of an election would be a foregone conclusion regardless of whether it was contested or not.

    F5 Pop. % with uncontested state legislative races.png

    Open seats: In most cases, an incumbent will run for re-election, which decreases the number of open seats available. In 2014, 83 percent of the 6,057 seats up for election saw the incumbent running for re-election. The states that impose term limits on their legislatures typically see a higher percentage of open seats in a given year because a portion of incumbents in each election are forced to leave office. Overall, the number of open seats decreased from 2012 to 2014, dropping from 21.2 percent in 2012 to 17.0 percent in 2014.

    Incumbent win rates: Ballotpedia's competitiveness analysis of elections between 1972 and 2014 documented the high propensity for incumbents to win re-election in state legislative elections. In fact, since 1972, the win rate for incumbents had not dropped below 90 percent—with the exception of 1974, when 88 percent of incumbents were re-elected to their seats. Perhaps most importantly, the win rate for incumbents generally increased over time. In 2014, 96.5 percent of incumbents were able to retain their seats. Common convention holds that incumbents are able to leverage their office to maintain their seat. However, the high incumbent win rate may actually be a result of incumbents being more likely to hold seats in districts that are considered safe for their party.

    Marginal primaries: Often, competitiveness is measured by examining the rate of elections that have been won by amounts that are considered marginal (5 percent or less). During the 2014 election, 90.1 percent of primary and general election races were won by margins higher than 5 percent. Interestingly, it is usually the case that only one of the two races—primary or general—will be competitive at a time. This means that if a district's general election is competitive, typically one or more of the district's primaries were won by more than 5 percent. The reverse is also true: If a district sees a competitive primary, it is unlikely that the general election for that district will be won by less than 5 percent. Primaries often see very low voter turnout in comparison to general elections. In 2014, there were only 27 million voters for state legislative primaries, but approximately 107 million voters for the state legislative general elections.

    Redistricting in Montana

    See also: Redistricting in Montana

    Because state senators in Montana serve four-year terms, winning candidates in the 2018 election served through 2022 and played a role in Montana's redistricting process—the drawing of boundary lines for congressional and state legislative districts. In Montana, an independent commission draws state legislative district boundaries. Senate and House majority and minority leaders appoint members to the commision. Prior to 2020-2022, redistricting last took place in Montana from 2011-2012.

    State process

    Montana uses a non-politician commission for congressional and state legislative redistricting. This commission comprises five members. The majority and minority leaders of each chamber of the state legislature select one member a piece. These four members then select a fifth to serve as the commission's chair. If the first four commissioners are unable to agree on an appointment, the Montana Supreme Court may select the fifth member.[22]

    The Montana Constitution requires that no commissioner be a public official. State statutes require that two of the first four commissioners "must be selected from certain counties (roughly, in the Montana Rockies to the west) and two must be selected from the rest of the state (to the east)."[22]

    The state's Districting and Apportionment Commission must complete congressional redistricting within 90 days of receiving federal census data. It must prepare a legislative redistricting plan "by the 10th legislative day of the first regular session after the federal census results are available. The Legislature then has 30 days to make recommendations to the commission. Within 30 days of receiving the Legislature's recommendations, the commission must file the redistricting plan with the Secretary of State, and it becomes law. Although the commission may modify the plan to accommodate the Legislature's recommendations, it is not required to do so."[23]

    The state constitution requires that districts be both contiguous and compact.[22]

    The ... commission has stated that it may gauge compactness by looking to a district's general appearance, and the degree to which it fosters "functional compactness" through "travel and transportation, communication, and geography." The commission has similarly determined that it will, in drawing legislative districts, consider the boundary lines of political subdivisions (counties, cities, towns, school districts, Indian reservations, neighborhood commissions, and others); follow geographic boundaries; and consider keeping intact communities of interest (based on "Indian reservations, urban[, suburban, or rural] interests, . . . neighborhoods, trade areas, geographic location, communication and transportation networks, media markets, social, cultural and economic interests, or occupations and lifestyles").[24]
    —All About Redistricting

    Pivot Counties

    See also: Pivot Counties by state

    Three of 56 Montana counties—5.4 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

    Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
    County Trump margin of victory in 2016 Obama margin of victory in 2012 Obama margin of victory in 2008
    Blaine County, Montana 2.46% 15.32% 19.24%
    Hill County, Montana 17.18% 3.50% 12.21%
    Roosevelt County, Montana 6.49% 15.58% 26.27%

    In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Montana with 56.2 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 35.7 percent. In presidential elections between 1892 and 2016, Montana voted Republican 65.6 percent of the time and Democratic 34.4 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, Montana voted Republican all five times.[25]

    Presidential results by legislative district

    The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state Senate districts in Montana. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[26][27]

    In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 19 out of 50 state Senate districts in Montana with an average margin of victory of 13.6 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 11 out of 50 state Senate districts in Montana with an average margin of victory of 17.8 points.
    In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 31 out of 50 state Senate districts in Montana with an average margin of victory of 28.8 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 39 out of 50 state Senate districts in Montana with an average margin of victory of 30.9 points. Trump won eight districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections.

    See also

    External links

    Footnotes

    1. If one missed the Oct. 9 deadline, he or she could have still voted in the election by registering in person at the county election office. Late registration was available until the close of polls on Election Day.
    2. If one missed the Oct. 9 deadline, he or she could have still voted in the election by registering in person at the county election office. Late registration was available until the close of polls on Election Day.
    3. 3.0 3.1 Excludes unopposed elections
    4. Ballotpedia defines an incumbent as retiring if the incumbent did not file for office or filed for office but withdrew, was disqualified, or otherwise left a race in a manner other than losing the primary, primary runoff, or convention. If an incumbent runs as a write-in candidate, Ballotpedia does not consider them to be retiring. If an incumbent runs in the same chamber for a different seat, Ballotpedia does not consider them to be retiring.
    5. Montana Secretary of State, "Candidates information," accessed April 28, 2025
    6. Montana Code Annotated 2023, "Title 13, Chapter 10, Section 201," accessed April 28, 2025
    7. Montana Code Annotated 2023, "Title 13, Chapter 10, Section 202," accessed April 28, 2025
    8. Montana Secretary of State, "Information for Independent, Minor Party and Indigent Candidates," accessed January 7, 2014
    9. Montana Code Annotated 2023, "Title 13, Chapter 10, Section 501," accessed April 28, 2025
    10. Montana Code Annotated 2023, "Title 13, Chapter 10, Section 502," accessed April 28, 2025
    11. Montana Secretary of State, "Information for Write-in Candidates," accessed April 27, 2025
    12. Montana Legislative Services, "Constitution of Montana," accessed March 6, 2014 (Referenced Art. V, Sec. 4)
    13. National Conference of State Legislatures, "2024 Legislator Compensation," August 21, 2024
    14. Montana State Legislature, "Montana Code Annotated 2021, 5-2-102. Term of office," accessed November 4, 2021
    15. The Nevada Senate, Arkansas House, and Arkansas Senate were up for election in 2018 and have term limits, but no incumbents were term-limited in 2018.
    16. The Nevada Senate, Arkansas House, and Arkansas Senate are impacted by term limits, but no incumbents were term-limited in 2018. In the three chambers, a total of 129 seats were up for election in 2018. No legislators were unable to run in 2018 in those three chamber because of term limits.
    17. Ballotpedia confirmed through phone calls that at least seven California legislators were term-limited in 2018. The number of California legislators term-limited and the overall number of term-limited state legislators had a chance to change if Ballotpedia could confirm that more members were term-limited in 2018.
    18. Some of the 271 term-limited state legislators in 2018 may resign before their term ends. These legislators were still counted in the total number of term-limited legislators in 2018.
    19. The number of state legislative seats available for analysis varied, with as many as 7,795 and as few as 6,835.
    20. Lyndon Johnson's (D) first term began in November 1963 after the death of President John F. Kennedy (D), who was first elected in 1960. Before Johnson had his first midterm in 1966, he was re-elected president in 1964.
    21. Gerald Ford's (R) first term began in August 1974 following the resignation of President Richard Nixon (R), who was first elected in 1968 and was re-elected in 1972. Because Ford only served for two full months before facing the electorate, this election is classified as Nixon's second midterm.
    22. 22.0 22.1 22.2 All About Redistricting, "Montana," accessed April 29, 2015
    23. Montana State Legislature, "Districting and Apportionment Commission," accessed October 6, 2021
    24. Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
    25. 270towin.com, "Montana," accessed June 29, 2017
    26. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
    27. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017


    Current members of the Montana State Senate
    Leadership
    Senate President:Matt Regier
    Majority Leader:Tom McGillvray
    Senators
    District 1
    District 2
    Dave Fern (D)
    District 3
    District 4
    District 5
    District 6
    District 7
    District 8
    District 9
    District 10
    District 11
    District 12
    District 13
    District 14
    District 15
    District 16
    District 17
    District 18
    District 19
    District 20
    District 21
    District 22
    District 23
    District 24
    District 25
    District 26
    District 27
    District 28
    District 29
    John Esp (R)
    District 30
    District 31
    District 32
    District 33
    District 34
    District 35
    District 36
    District 37
    District 38
    District 39
    District 40
    District 41
    District 42
    District 43
    District 44
    District 45
    District 46
    District 47
    District 48
    District 49
    District 50
    Republican Party (32)
    Democratic Party (18)