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Nebraska's 1st Congressional District election, 2022 (May 10 Republican primary)
- Primary date: May 10
- Mail-in registration deadline: April 22
- Online reg. deadline: April 22
- In-person reg. deadline: May 2
- Early voting starts: April 11
- Early voting ends: May 9
- Poll times: 8 a.m. to 8 p.m.
- Absentee/mail-in deadline: May 10
2024 →
← 2020
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Nebraska's 1st Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: February 15, 2022/March 1, 2022 |
Primary: May 10, 2022 General: November 8, 2022 |
How to vote |
Poll times: 8 a.m. to 8 p.m. (Central time zone); 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. (Mountain time zone) Voting in Nebraska |
Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican Inside Elections: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022 |
See also |
1st • 2nd • 3rd Nebraska elections, 2022 U.S. Congress elections, 2022 U.S. Senate elections, 2022 U.S. House elections, 2022 |
Mike Flood defeated former U.S. Rep. Jeff Fortenberry, Curtis Huffman, John Glen Weaver, and Thireena Yuki Connely in the Republican primary election for Nebraska's 1st Congressional District on May 10, 2022. This was the first contested Republican primary in the 1st District since 2014 and the first after Fortenberry was found guilty in a federal trial stemming from a 2016 campaign finance investigation.
Fortenberry resigned from Congress on March 31 following his conviction.[1] Fortenberry's name remained on the May primary ballot because the deadline to withdraw had already passed.[2]
Before Fortenberry's conviction, media attention focused on Fortenberry and Flood. The Lincoln Journal Star's Don Walton described the primary as "the first bigtime GOP primary battle in the eastern Nebraska congressional district since ... 2004."[3]
Flood was a member of the Nebraska Senate. He first served in the chamber from 2005 to 2013 and was elected again in 2020. Flood highlighted Fortenberry's indictment, saying, "If our nominee has to focus on beating felony criminal charges instead of defeating a serious Democrat opponent, we risk defeat in November."[4] Flood said he would "fight the Biden-Pelosi agenda at every turn, stopping their attempts to bankrupt our country with socialist giveaways that will destroy our economy."[5] Flood also promoted endorsements he received from Gov. Pete Ricketts (R) and former Gov. Dave Heineman (R).[6]
The 1st District is located in eastern Nebraska surrounding the outskirts of Omaha and including population centers like Lincoln, Norfolk, and Columbus. While district lines have changed, Republicans have represented the 1st District continuously since 1967. From 2006 to 2020, Fortenberry's average margin of victory was 32 percentage points. After redistricting in 2021, the 1st District changed from an R+21 lean to an R+17 lean, according to FiveThirtyEight.[7]
Curtis Huffman (R), John Glen Weaver (R), and Thireena Yuki Connely (R) completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Click on a candidate's name to view that candidate's responses.
This page focuses on Nebraska's 1st Congressional District Republican primary. For more in-depth information on the district's Democratic primary and the general election, see the following pages:
- Nebraska's 1st Congressional District election, 2022 (May 10 Democratic primary)
- Nebraska's 1st Congressional District election, 2022
Election news
Click below to view a timeline leading up to the election, including polling, debates, and other noteworthy events.

Candidates and election results
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 1
Incumbent Mike Flood defeated Jeffrey Fortenberry (Unofficially withdrew), John Glen Weaver, Thireena Yuki Connely, and Curtis Huffman in the Republican primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 1 on May 10, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Mike Flood | 73.9 | 61,265 |
![]() | Jeffrey Fortenberry (Unofficially withdrew) | 11.8 | 9,807 | |
![]() | John Glen Weaver ![]() | 6.6 | 5,470 | |
Thireena Yuki Connely ![]() | 4.0 | 3,353 | ||
![]() | Curtis Huffman ![]() | 3.7 | 3,062 |
Total votes: 82,957 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Candidate comparison
Candidate profiles
This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: Yes
Political Office:
- Nebraska State Senate District 19 (Assumed office: 2021; 2005-2013)
Biography: Flood received a bachelor's degree in American Studies from Notre Dame and a law degree from the University of Nebraska at Lincoln. At the time of the primary, he was a partner at a Norfolk law firm and owned a network of radio stations. Flood served as speaker of the state Senate from 2007 to 2013.
Show sources
Sources: Mike Flood's campaign website, "WATCH: Flood Announces Campaign for Congress," Jan. 16, 2022, Mike Flood's campaign website, "RELEASE: Flood Admits He's 'Kind Of A Nerd' In Latest TV Spot," Feb. 7, 2022, Mike Flood's campaign website, "Issues," accessed Feb. 15, 2022; LinkedIn, "Mike Flood," accessed Feb. 15, 2022, Mike Flood's campaign website, "About," accessed Feb. 15, 2022
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Nebraska District 1 in 2022.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office:
- U.S. House of Representatives District 1 (2005-2022)
- Lincoln City Council (1997-2001)
Biography: Fortenberry received a bachelor's degree in economics from Louisiana State University in 1982. He also received graduate degrees in public policy and theology. Before entering office, Fortenberry was an executive at a publishing company in Lincoln and previously worked as a policy analyst in the U.S. Senate.
Show sources
Sources: Jeff Fortenberry's campaign website, "About," accessed Feb. 15, 2022, Jeff Fortenberry's campaign website, "Where I Stand," accessed Feb. 15, 2022, KETV, "Nebraska Rep. Jeff Fortenberry releases campaign ad targeting congressional challenger Mike Flood," Jan. 28, 2022; Jeff Fortenberry's official website, "Biography," archived Dec. 5, 2014, VoteSmart, "Jeff Fortenberry's Biography," accessed Feb. 15, 2022
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Nebraska District 1 in 2022.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "My name is Curtis Huffman, and I was born and raised in Papillion, NE. I enlisted into the USAF in 1998 and served in the Security Forces Career Field and in 2002 finished my Criminal Justice Degree. I Retired from Active Duty in 2018 at the Rank of MSgt, and then went back to college and completed an Accounting Degree. My Wife and I will have our 23rd year anniversary this year and we have two children ages 21 and 19. It is time We the People must stand and fight for our freedoms. With my Law Enforcement and Accounting background I feel I am uniquely suited to address our nations fiscal issues."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Nebraska District 1 in 2022.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "22 yrs Air Force (1999 - 2022) Lt Col, 11 deployments, combat veteran of Iraq & Afghanistan, farmer, Real Estate businessman, married with wife and daughter. No political experience and not beholden to anyone but the people of the 1st Congressional District. The desire to continue my service to my country and community is why I am running."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Nebraska District 1 in 2022.
Do you have a photo that could go here? Click here to submit it for this profile!
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "I am a homeschool mother and a writer. I was born to a Nebraskan marine and a Japanese teacher. I write school curricula and am also a published author. Throughout the week, I teach dance, gymnastics, and group fitness. As a patriot and a Constitutionalist, I want America to get back on track to what the founding fathers had envisioned for us."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Nebraska District 1 in 2022.
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
Survey responses from candidates in this race
Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.
Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.
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Curtis Huffman (R)
Protecting the 2nd Amendment. During My 20 Year Career in Security Forces, about 8 years of it I was a Combat Arms Training and Maintenance Instructor. I repaired all the USAF types of Firearms, and I am very familiar with the differences between them and the Civilian versions. I am tired of hearing politicians that are ignorant about firearms continue to lie to the American people just because they say an AR-15 looks scary. The Second Amendment is the only tool we have that stands in the breach between us being citizens of a free country or us being subjects of our government.
Limited Federal Government. With the amount of spending that our government is doing there is no longer a can to kick down the road. We must stop the out-of-control spending and get our fiscal house back into order. We need people in D.C. that have the will to take the necessary steps to cut this massive spending and look at where we can cut the size and scope of the federal government. I believe that our federal government must return the power they have taken from the State 's.

John Glen Weaver (R)
Pro-life, True Conservative. All lives are precious. We must stop drug overdoses from the flow of drugs across the border. We must overturn Roe v. Wade.
National Security. America is exceptional and we must provide the world leadership. I would expand Offutt AFB / USSTRATCOM missions by adding the B21 & NC3 systems
Our children deserve education, not indoctrination
We need to ensure that our rights won't be chipped away

Curtis Huffman (R)

John Glen Weaver (R)
Pro-Life. As a country, we must place more value on LIFE. I believe that each life (born and unborn) is created by God for a special, unique purpose, and that every life has inherent value. Being pro-life goes beyond politics. It is a foundational, moral position on the side of humanity. I will fight for LIFE.
Immigration and Border security. Border security must come first, before we have any other conversation about immigration policies. Enough is enough, let’s enforce our laws and build a wall and establish a national ID card system. We should not only build the wall but also ramp up tech-savvy ways to secure our border, like drones and sensors. My 22+ years serving in national security makes me uniquely qualified to assess different proposals and find the right solution.

John Glen Weaver (R)

John Glen Weaver (R)

Curtis Huffman (R)

John Glen Weaver (R)

Curtis Huffman (R)

John Glen Weaver (R)

John Glen Weaver (R)

John Glen Weaver (R)

Curtis Huffman (R)

John Glen Weaver (R)

John Glen Weaver (R)

John Glen Weaver (R)

John Glen Weaver (R)

John Glen Weaver (R)

John Glen Weaver (R)

Curtis Huffman (R)

John Glen Weaver (R)

John Glen Weaver (R)
2. House Armed Services 3. House Committee on Veterans Affairs
4. House Foreign Affairs Committee
John Glen Weaver (R)

Curtis Huffman (R)

John Glen Weaver (R)

John Glen Weaver (R)

John Glen Weaver (R)

John Glen Weaver (R)

Curtis Huffman (R)

John Glen Weaver (R)
Campaign advertisements
This section includes a selection of up to three campaign advertisements per candidate released in this race, as well as links to candidates' YouTube, Vimeo, and/or Facebook video pages. If you are aware of other links that should be included, please email us.
Jeff Fortenberry
Feb. 9, 2022 |
View more ads here:
Mike Flood
May 1, 2022 |
March 23, 2022 |
Feb. 2, 2022 |
View more ads here:
Debates and forums
April 24 candidate interviews
On April 24, 2022, KETV NewsWatch 7 released an interview series on the congressional race featuring Flood and Weaver.[8]
March 10 candidate forum
On March 10, 2022, Flood, Fortenberry, and Weaver participated in a candidate forum hosted by the Nebraska Farm Bureau.[16]
News and conflicts in this primary
This race was featured in The Heart of the Primaries, a newsletter capturing stories related to conflicts within each major party. Click here to read more about conflict in this and other 2022 Republican U.S. House primaries. Click here to subscribe to the newsletter.
Noteworthy endorsements
This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. It also includes a bulleted list of links to official lists of endorsements for any candidates who published that information on their campaign websites. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please click here.
Republican Party primary endorsements | ||
---|---|---|
Endorser | ![]() | ![]() |
Government officials | ||
U.S. Rep. Adrian Smith (R) source | ✔ | |
Gov. Pete Ricketts (R) source | ✔ | |
State Sen. Tom Brewer (R) source | ✔ | |
Papillion Mayor David Black source | ✔ | |
Bellevue Mayor Rusty Hike source | ✔ | |
La Vista Mayor Doug Kindig source | ✔ | |
Norfolk Mayor Josh Moenning source | ✔ | |
Lt. Gov. Mike Foley (R) source | ✔ | |
Individuals | ||
Neb. Right to Life Exec. Dir. Sandy Danek source | ✔ | |
Frmr. 2nd. District Rep. Hal Daub source | ✔ | |
Frmr. NEGOP Chairman Mark Fahleson source | ✔ | |
Frmr. Gov. David Heineman source | ✔ | |
Frmr. NEGOP Chairman David Kramer source | ✔ | |
Frmr. 3rd District Rep. Tom Osborne source | ✔ | |
Frmr. NEGOP Chairman Mark Quandahl source | ✔ | |
Organizations | ||
Nebraska Farm Bureau source | ✔ |
Election competitiveness
Polls
We provide results for polls that are included in polling aggregation from FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics, when available. No polls were available for this election. To notify us of polls published in this election, please email us.
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[21]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[22][23][24]
Race ratings: Nebraska's 1st Congressional District election, 2022 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 8, 2022 | November 1, 2022 | October 25, 2022 | October 18, 2022 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. |
Election spending
Campaign finance
This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[25] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[26] Click here to view the reporting schedule for candidates for U.S. Congress in 2022.
U.S. Congress campaign reporting schedule, 2022 | ||
---|---|---|
Report | Close of books | Filing deadline |
Year-end 2021 | 12/31/2021 | 1/31/2022 |
April quarterly | 3/31/2022 | 4/15/2022 |
July quarterly | 6/30/2022 | 7/15/2022 |
October quarterly | 9/30/2022 | 10/15/2022 |
Pre-general | 10/19/2022 | 10/27/2022 |
Post-general | 11/28/2022 | 12/08/2022 |
Year-end 2022 | 12/31/2022 | 1/31/2023 |
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mike Flood | Republican Party | $2,195,051 | $2,188,179 | $6,872 | As of December 31, 2022 |
Jeffrey Fortenberry | Republican Party | $784,947 | $1,503,382 | $0 | As of September 30, 2022 |
Curtis Huffman | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
John Glen Weaver | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Thireena Yuki Connely | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
Satellite spending
- See also: Satellite spending
Satellite spending describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[27][28][29]
If available, this section includes links to online resources tracking satellite spending in this election. To notify us of a resource to add, email us.
By candidate | By election |
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Noteworthy events
Fortenberry's federal indictment (2021)
Election context
Election history
2020
See also: Nebraska's 1st Congressional District election, 2020
Nebraska's 1st Congressional District election, 2020 (May 12 Democratic primary)
Nebraska's 1st Congressional District election, 2020 (May 12 Republican primary)
General election
General election for U.S. House Nebraska District 1
Incumbent Jeffrey Fortenberry defeated Kate Bolz and Dennis Grace in the general election for U.S. House Nebraska District 1 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Jeffrey Fortenberry (R) | 59.5 | 189,006 |
![]() | Kate Bolz (D) | 37.7 | 119,622 | |
![]() | Dennis Grace (L) ![]() | 2.8 | 8,938 |
Total votes: 317,566 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 1
Kate Bolz defeated Barbara Ramsey in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 1 on May 12, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Kate Bolz | 77.6 | 43,400 |
Barbara Ramsey ![]() | 22.4 | 12,497 |
Total votes: 55,897 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 1
Incumbent Jeffrey Fortenberry advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 1 on May 12, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Jeffrey Fortenberry | 100.0 | 84,017 |
Total votes: 84,017 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Nicholas Oviatt (R)
Libertarian primary election
Libertarian primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 1
Dennis Grace advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 1 on May 12, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Dennis Grace ![]() | 100.0 | 1,047 |
Total votes: 1,047 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Nebraska District 1
Incumbent Jeffrey Fortenberry defeated Jessica McClure in the general election for U.S. House Nebraska District 1 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Jeffrey Fortenberry (R) | 60.4 | 141,712 |
![]() | Jessica McClure (D) | 39.6 | 93,069 |
Total votes: 234,781 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 1
Jessica McClure defeated Dennis Crawford in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 1 on May 15, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Jessica McClure | 66.1 | 22,199 |
![]() | Dennis Crawford | 33.9 | 11,386 |
Total votes: 33,585 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 1
Incumbent Jeffrey Fortenberry advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 1 on May 15, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Jeffrey Fortenberry | 100.0 | 51,809 |
Total votes: 51,809 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Jeff Fortenberry (R) defeated Daniel Wik (D) in the general election. Neither candidate faced a primary opponent on May 10, 2016.[30]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
69.5% | 189,771 | |
Democratic | Daniel Wik | 30.5% | 83,467 | |
Total Votes | 273,238 | |||
Source: Nebraska Secretary of State |
Primary candidates:[31] |
Democratic ![]() |
Republican ![]() |
2014
The 1st Congressional District of Nebraska held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Jeff Fortenberry (R) defeated Dennis Crawford (D) in the general election.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
68.8% | 123,219 | |
Democratic | Dennis Crawford | 31.2% | 55,838 | |
Total Votes | 179,057 | |||
Source: Nebraska Secretary of State |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() |
86.1% | 63,673 | ||
Jessica L. Turek | 8% | 5,902 | ||
Dennis Parker | 6% | 4,407 | ||
Total Votes | 73,982 | |||
Source: Nebraska Secretary of State |
Ballot access requirements
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Nebraska in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Nebraska, click here.
Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
Nebraska | U.S. House | Ballot-qualified party | N/A | $1,740.00 | 2/15/2022 | Source |
Nebraska | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 20% of registered voters in the district who voted for president in 2020, or 2,000, whichever is less | $1,740.00 | 9/1/2022 | Source |
District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting.
- Effect of redistricting - How districts in the state changed as a result of redistricting following the 2020 census.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
District map
Below was the map in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the map in place before the election.
Nebraska District 1
until January 2, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Nebraska District 1
starting January 3, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Effect of redistricting
The table below details the results of the 2020 presidential election in each district at the time of the 2022 election and its political predecessor district.[33] This data was compiled by Daily Kos Elections.[34]
2020 presidential results by Congressional district, Nebraska | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
District | 2022 district | Political predecessor district | ||
Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() |
Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() | |
Nebraska's 1st | 43.3% | 54.3% | 41.3% | 56.3% |
Nebraska's 2nd | 52.2% | 45.8% | 52.2% | 45.7% |
Nebraska's 3rd | 23.1% | 74.9% | 22.4% | 75.6% |
Competitiveness
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Nebraska.
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Nebraska in 2022. Information below was calculated on March 25, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
In 2022, 16 candidates filed to run for Nebraska’s three U.S. House districts, including nine Republicans, six Democrats, and one Legal Marijuana Now candidate. That's 5.3 candidates per district, more than the 4.7 candidates per district in 2020 and 3.7 in 2018.
This was the first candidate filing deadline to take place under new district lines adopting during Nebraska's decennial redistricting process. Nebraska was apportioned three congressional districts, the same number it had after the 2010 census.
Incumbent Reps. Don Bacon (R) and Adrian Smith (R) filed for re-election and both drew primary challengers. Former Rep. Jeff Fortenberry (R) also filed for re-election in the 1st District. On March 31, Fortenberry resigned from Congress following his conviction on campaign finance-related charges in federal court. This resignation came after the election withdrawal deadline, meaning Fortenberry's name would remain on the primary ballot.[35]
Since Fortenberry would no longer be an incumbent at the time of the primary, the 1st District was counted as an open seat in this analysis. This created the first open-seat regular election for U.S. House in Nebraska since 2006. The last time an incumbent lost in the state was in 2016 when Bacon defeated one-term incumbent Brad Ashford (D).
Presidential elections
Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+9. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 9 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Nebraska's 1st the 156th most Republican district nationally.[36]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
2020 presidential results in Nebraska's 1st based on 2022 district lines | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() | |||
43.3% | 54.3% |
Presidential voting history
- See also: Presidential election in Nebraska, 2020
Nebraska presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 6 Democratic wins
- 25 Republican wins
Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Winning Party | R | R | D | D | D | R | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Demographics
The table below details demographic data in Nebraska and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.
Demographic Data for Nebraska | ||
---|---|---|
Nebraska | United States | |
Population | 1,961,504 | 331,449,281 |
Land area (sq mi) | 76,817 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White | 85.3% | 70.4% |
Black/African American | 4.8% | 12.6% |
Asian | 2.5% | 5.6% |
Native American | 0.9% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Other (single race) | 2.5% | 5.1% |
Multiple | 3.9% | 5.2% |
Hispanic/Latino | 11.2% | 18.2% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate | 91.6% | 88.5% |
College graduation rate | 32.5% | 32.9% |
Income | ||
Median household income | $63,015 | $64,994 |
Persons below poverty level | 10.4% | 12.8% |
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2015-2020). | ||
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
State party control
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Nebraska's congressional delegation as of November 2022.
Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Nebraska, November 2022 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
Democratic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Republican | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 2 | 3 | 5 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Nebraska's top four state executive offices as of November 2022.
State executive officials in Nebraska, November 2022 | |
---|---|
Office | Officeholder |
Governor | ![]() |
Lieutenant Governor | ![]() |
Secretary of State | ![]() |
Attorney General | ![]() |
State legislature
The table below highlights the partisan composition of the Nebraska State Senate as of November 2022.
Nebraska State Senate
Party | As of November 2022 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 17 | |
Republican Party | 32 | |
Independent | 0 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 49 |
Trifecta control
As of November 2022, Nebraska was a Republican trifecta, with a majority in the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.
Nebraska Party Control: 1992-2022
Seven years of Democratic trifectas • Twenty-four years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
2022 battleground elections
- See also: Battlegrounds
This election was a battleground race. Other 2022 battleground elections included:
- Arkansas Secretary of State election, 2022 (May 24 Republican primary)
- Kansas' 3rd Congressional District election, 2022
- Pennsylvania's 17th Congressional District election, 2022
- United States House election in Alaska, 2022 (August 16 top-four primary)
- United States Senate election in Colorado, 2022 (June 28 Republican primary)
See also
- Nebraska's 1st Congressional District election, 2022 (May 10 Democratic primary)
- Nebraska's 1st Congressional District election, 2022
- United States House elections in Nebraska, 2022 (May 10 Democratic primaries)
- United States House elections in Nebraska, 2022 (May 10 Republican primaries)
- United States House Democratic Party primaries, 2022
- United States House Republican Party primaries, 2022
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2022
- U.S. House battlegrounds, 2022
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ The Washington Post, "Rep. Jeff Fortenberry resigns after being found guilty of lying to FBI," March 26, 2022
- ↑ KMTV, "Fortenberry resignation sets up unique situation with special election," March 28, 2022
- ↑ Lincoln Journal Star, "Don Walton: Fortenberry and Flood share top billing with Republican governor's race," Jan. 30, 2022
- ↑ Mike Flood's campaign website, "WATCH: Flood Announces Campaign for Congress," Jan. 16, 2022
- ↑ Mike Flood's campaign website, "Issues," accessed Feb. 16, 2022
- ↑ 6.0 6.1 1011 NOW, "Pete Ricketts and Dave Heineman endorse Mike Flood for Congress," Jan. 21, 2022
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Nebraska," accessed March 1, 2022
- ↑ 8.0 8.1 YouTube, "Chronicle: Race for Nebraska's 1st Congressional District Part 1," April 24, 2022
- ↑ Lincoln Journal Star, "U.S. Chamber of Commerce hands Flood early endorsement," April 19, 2022
- ↑ Facebook, "Mike Flood for Congress," April 13, 2022
- ↑ Facebook, "Mike Flood for Congress," April 12, 2022
- ↑ Facebook, "Mike Flood for Congress," April 7, 2022
- ↑ Facebook, "Mike Flood for Congress," April 5, 2022
- ↑ KMTV, "Fortenberry resignation sets up unique situation with special election," March 28, 2022
- ↑ The Washington Post, "Rep. Jeff Fortenberry resigns after being found guilty of lying to FBI," March 26, 2022
- ↑ 16.0 16.1 YouTube, "Nebraska Farm Bureau's 1st Congressional District Forum," March 17, 2022
- ↑ Facebook, "Mike Flood for Congress," Feb. 23, 2022
- ↑ Facebook, "Mike Flood for Congress," Feb. 4, 2022
- ↑ Cite error: Invalid
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- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed December 12, 2021
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed December 12, 2021
- ↑ National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," December 12, 2021
- ↑ Nebraska Secretary of State, "Statewide Candidate List," March 2, 2016
- ↑ Candidates are listed by party and alphabetically within each party.
- ↑ 32.0 32.1 Nebraska Secretary of State, "Statewide Candidate List," March 2, 2016
- ↑ Political predecessor districts are determined primarily based on incumbents and where each chose to seek re-election.
- ↑ Daily Kos Elections, "Daily Kos Elections 2020 presidential results by congressional district (old CDs vs. new CDs)," accessed May 12, 2022
- ↑ KMTV, "Fortenberry resignation sets up unique situation with special election," March 28, 2022
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023