Nebraska's 3rd Congressional District election, 2024
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Nebraska's 3rd Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: February 15, 2024 (incumbent) March 1, 2024 (non-incumbent) |
Primary: May 14, 2024 General: November 5, 2024 |
How to vote |
Poll times: 8 a.m. to 8 p.m. (Central time zone); 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. (Mountain time zone) Voting in Nebraska |
Race ratings |
DDHQ and The Hill: Safe Republican Inside Elections: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd Nebraska elections, 2024 U.S. Congress elections, 2024 U.S. Senate elections, 2024 U.S. House elections, 2024 |
All U.S. House districts, including the 3rd Congressional District of Nebraska, held elections in 2024. The general election was November 5, 2024. The primary was May 14, 2024. The filing deadline for an incumbent was February 15, 2024. The filing deadline for non-incumbent candidates was March 1, 2024. The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 119th Congress. All 435 House districts were up for election.
At the time of the election, Republicans held a 220-212 majority with three vacancies.[1] As a result of the election, Republicans retained control of the U.S. House, winning 220 seats to Democrats' 215.[2] To read more about the 2024 U.S. House elections, click here.
In the 2022 election in this district, the Republican candidate won 78.3%-15.8%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Donald Trump (R) would have defeated Joe Biden (D) 74.9%-23.1%.[3]
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- Nebraska's 3rd Congressional District election, 2024 (May 14 Democratic primary)
- Nebraska's 3rd Congressional District election, 2024 (May 14 Republican primary)
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Nebraska District 3
Incumbent Adrian Smith defeated Daniel Ebers in the general election for U.S. House Nebraska District 3 on November 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Adrian Smith (R) | 80.4 | 243,481 |
![]() | Daniel Ebers (D) | 19.6 | 59,287 |
Total votes: 302,768 | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 3
Daniel Ebers defeated David J. Else in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 3 on May 14, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Daniel Ebers | 52.9 | 7,841 |
![]() | David J. Else | 47.1 | 6,982 |
Total votes: 14,823 | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 3
Incumbent Adrian Smith defeated John Walz and Robert McCuiston in the Republican primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 3 on May 14, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Adrian Smith | 74.2 | 68,056 |
![]() | John Walz ![]() | 18.6 | 17,060 | |
![]() | Robert McCuiston ![]() | 7.3 | 6,654 |
Total votes: 91,770 | ||||
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Candidate profiles
There were no candidate profiles created for this race. Candidate profiles would have appeared here as candidates completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Nebraska
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
No candidate in this race completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.
Campaign finance
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Adrian Smith | Republican Party | $1,996,681 | $1,982,984 | $928,233 | As of December 31, 2024 |
Daniel Ebers | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
David J. Else | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Robert McCuiston | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
John Walz | Republican Party | $33,135 | $37,817 | $766 | As of December 31, 2024 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[4]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[5][6][7]
Race ratings: Nebraska's 3rd Congressional District election, 2024 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 5, 2024 | October 29, 2024 | October 22, 2024 | October 15, 2024 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Decision Desk HQ and The Hill | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. |
Ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Nebraska in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Nebraska, click here.
Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024 | ||||||
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State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
Nebraska | U.S. House | Ballot-qualified party | N/A | $1,740.00 | 2/15/2024 if incumbent; 3/1/2024 if non-incumbent | Source |
Nebraska | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 20% of registered voters in the district who voted for president in 2020, or 2,000, whichever is less | $1,740.00 | 8/1/2024 | Source |
District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
Below was the map in use at the time of the election. Click the map below to enlarge it.

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Nebraska.
Nebraska U.S. House primary competitiveness, 2014-2024 | ||||||||||||||
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Office | Districts/ offices |
Seats | Open seats | Candidates | Possible primaries | Contested Democratic primaries | Contested Republican primaries | % of contested primaries | Incumbents in contested primaries | % of incumbents in contested primaries | ||||
2024 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 66.7% | 3 | 100.0% | ||||
2022 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 100.0% | 2 | 100.0% | ||||
2020 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 66.7% | 2 | 66.7% | ||||
2018 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 33.3% | ||||
2016 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16.7% | 0 | 0.0% | ||||
2014 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 66.7% | 3 | 100.0% |
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Nebraska in 2024. Information below was calculated on March 31, 2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
Eleven candidates ran for Nebraska’s three U.S. House districts, including four Democrats and seven Republicans. That’s 3.7 candidates per district, lower than the 5.3 candidates that ran in 2022 and the 4.7 in 2020
Incumbents filed to run in every district.
Five candidates—two Democrats and three Republicans—ran for the 3rd Congressional District, the most candidates who ran for a district in 2024.
Four primaries—one Democratic and three Republican—were contested in 2024. Six primaries were contested in 2022, four primaries were contested in 2020, and three were in 2018.
All incumbents faced primary challenges in 2024. The last year all incumbents faced primary challengers was in 2014.
Candidates filed to run in the Republican and Democratic primaries in all three districts, meaning no seats are guaranteed to either party.
Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+29. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 29 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Nebraska's 3rd the 5th most Republican district nationally.[8]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
2020 presidential results in Nebraska's 3rd based on 2024 district lines | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() | |||
23.1% | 74.9% |
Inside Elections Baselines
- See also: Inside Elections
Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[9] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.
Inside Elections Baseline for 2024 | ||||
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Democratic Baseline ![]() |
Republican Baseline ![]() |
Difference | ||
22.7 | 74.3 | D+51.6 |
Presidential voting history
- See also: Presidential election in Nebraska, 2020
Nebraska presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 6 Democratic wins
- 25 Republican wins
Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Winning Party | R | R | D | D | D | R | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Nebraska's congressional delegation as of May 2024.
Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Nebraska | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
Democratic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Republican | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 2 | 3 | 5 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Nebraska's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.
State executive officials in Nebraska, May 2024 | |
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Office | Officeholder |
Governor | ![]() |
Lieutenant Governor | ![]() |
Secretary of State | ![]() |
Attorney General | ![]() |
State legislature
Nebraska State Senate
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 16 | |
Republican Party | 32 | |
Independent | 0 | |
Vacancies | 1 | |
Other | 0 | |
Total | 49 |
Trifecta control
The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.
Nebraska Party Control: 1992-2024
Seven years of Democratic trifectas • Twenty-six years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
District history
The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2018.
2022
General election
General election for U.S. House Nebraska District 3
Incumbent Adrian Smith defeated David J. Else and Mark Elworth Jr. in the general election for U.S. House Nebraska District 3 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Adrian Smith (R) | 78.3 | 172,700 |
![]() | David J. Else (D) | 15.8 | 34,836 | |
![]() | Mark Elworth Jr. (Legal Marijuana Now Party) ![]() | 5.9 | 13,016 |
Total votes: 220,552 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 3
David J. Else defeated Daniel Wik in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 3 on May 10, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | David J. Else | 52.2 | 8,701 |
![]() | Daniel Wik | 47.8 | 7,968 |
Total votes: 16,669 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 3
Incumbent Adrian Smith defeated Mike Calhoun in the Republican primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 3 on May 10, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Adrian Smith | 76.0 | 89,453 |
Mike Calhoun | 24.0 | 28,243 |
Total votes: 117,696 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Legal Marijuana Now Party primary election
Legal Marijuana Now Party primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 3
Mark Elworth Jr. advanced from the Legal Marijuana Now Party primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 3 on May 10, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Mark Elworth Jr. ![]() | 100.0 | 89 |
Total votes: 89 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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2020
General election
General election for U.S. House Nebraska District 3
Incumbent Adrian Smith defeated Mark Elworth Jr. and Dustin Hobbs in the general election for U.S. House Nebraska District 3 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Adrian Smith (R) | 78.5 | 225,157 |
![]() | Mark Elworth Jr. (D) | 17.7 | 50,690 | |
Dustin Hobbs (L) | 3.8 | 10,923 |
Total votes: 286,770 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 3
Mark Elworth Jr. advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 3 on May 12, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Mark Elworth Jr. | 100.0 | 26,776 |
Total votes: 26,776 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- David J. Else (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 3
Incumbent Adrian Smith defeated Arron Kowalski, Justin Moran, William Elfgren, and Larry Bolinger in the Republican primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 3 on May 12, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Adrian Smith | 82.6 | 96,260 |
Arron Kowalski | 5.5 | 6,424 | ||
![]() | Justin Moran ![]() | 5.5 | 6,374 | |
![]() | William Elfgren ![]() | 3.5 | 4,063 | |
![]() | Larry Bolinger ![]() | 2.9 | 3,389 |
Total votes: 116,510 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Libertarian primary election
Libertarian primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 3
Dustin Hobbs advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 3 on May 12, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Dustin Hobbs | 100.0 | 561 |
Total votes: 561 | ||||
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2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Nebraska District 3
Incumbent Adrian Smith defeated Paul Theobald in the general election for U.S. House Nebraska District 3 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Adrian Smith (R) | 76.7 | 163,650 |
![]() | Paul Theobald (D) | 23.3 | 49,654 |
Total votes: 213,304 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 3
Paul Theobald advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 3 on May 15, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Paul Theobald | 100.0 | 16,395 |
Total votes: 16,395 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 3
Incumbent Adrian Smith defeated Kirk Penner, Arron Kowalski, and Larry Bolinger in the Republican primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 3 on May 15, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Adrian Smith | 65.7 | 50,878 |
![]() | Kirk Penner | 26.0 | 20,116 | |
Arron Kowalski | 5.8 | 4,461 | ||
![]() | Larry Bolinger | 2.5 | 1,935 |
Total votes: 77,390 | ||||
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See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ A majority in the U.S. House when there are no vacancies is 218 seats.
- ↑ These figures include the seat of Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-Fla.), who resigned on Nov. 13, 2024, after winning re-election.
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
- ↑ Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023