Nebraska's 1st Congressional District election, 2022
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Nebraska's 1st Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: February 15, 2022/March 1, 2022 |
Primary: May 10, 2022 General: November 8, 2022 Pre-election incumbent: Mike Flood (Republican) |
How to vote |
Poll times: 8 a.m. to 8 p.m. (Central time zone); 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. (Mountain time zone) Voting in Nebraska |
Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican Inside Elections: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022 |
See also |
1st • 2nd • 3rd Nebraska elections, 2022 U.S. Congress elections, 2022 U.S. Senate elections, 2022 U.S. House elections, 2022 |
All U.S. House districts, including the 1st Congressional District of Nebraska, held elections in 2022. The general election was on November 8, 2022. The primary was scheduled for May 10, 2022. The filing deadline for an incumbent was February 15, 2022. The filing deadline for non-incumbent candidates was March 1, 2022.
Heading into the election the incumbent is Republican Mike Flood, who was first elected in 2022 in a special election to replace former incumbent Jeff Fortenberry (R).
The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 118th Congress. All 435 House districts were up for election.
Republicans won a 222-213 majority in the U.S. House in 2022.
Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 43.3% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 54.3%.[1]
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- Nebraska's 1st Congressional District election, 2022 (May 10 Democratic primary)
- Nebraska's 1st Congressional District election, 2022 (May 10 Republican primary)
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Nebraska District 1
Incumbent Mike Flood defeated Patty Pansing Brooks in the general election for U.S. House Nebraska District 1 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Mike Flood (R) | 57.9 | 129,236 |
![]() | Patty Pansing Brooks (D) | 42.1 | 93,929 |
Total votes: 223,165 | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 1
Patty Pansing Brooks defeated Jazari Kual Zakaria in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 1 on May 10, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Patty Pansing Brooks | 86.5 | 31,808 |
Jazari Kual Zakaria ![]() | 13.5 | 4,944 |
Total votes: 36,752 | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 1
Incumbent Mike Flood defeated Jeffrey Fortenberry (Unofficially withdrew), John Glen Weaver, Thireena Yuki Connely, and Curtis Huffman in the Republican primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 1 on May 10, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Mike Flood | 73.9 | 61,265 |
![]() | Jeffrey Fortenberry (Unofficially withdrew) | 11.8 | 9,807 | |
![]() | John Glen Weaver ![]() | 6.6 | 5,470 | |
Thireena Yuki Connely ![]() | 4.0 | 3,353 | ||
![]() | Curtis Huffman ![]() | 3.7 | 3,062 |
Total votes: 82,957 | ||||
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Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
No candidate in this race completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Nebraska
Campaign finance
This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[2] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[3] Click here to view the reporting schedule for candidates for U.S. Congress in 2022.
U.S. Congress campaign reporting schedule, 2022 | ||
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Report | Close of books | Filing deadline |
Year-end 2021 | 12/31/2021 | 1/31/2022 |
April quarterly | 3/31/2022 | 4/15/2022 |
July quarterly | 6/30/2022 | 7/15/2022 |
October quarterly | 9/30/2022 | 10/15/2022 |
Pre-general | 10/19/2022 | 10/27/2022 |
Post-general | 11/28/2022 | 12/08/2022 |
Year-end 2022 | 12/31/2022 | 1/31/2023 |
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
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Mike Flood | Republican Party | $2,195,051 | $2,188,179 | $6,872 | As of December 31, 2022 |
Patty Pansing Brooks | Democratic Party | $1,758,459 | $1,757,282 | $1,177 | As of December 31, 2022 |
Jazari Kual Zakaria | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Jeffrey Fortenberry | Republican Party | $784,947 | $1,503,382 | $0 | As of September 30, 2022 |
Curtis Huffman | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
John Glen Weaver | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Thireena Yuki Connely | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[4]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[5][6][7]
Race ratings: Nebraska's 1st Congressional District election, 2022 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 8, 2022 | November 1, 2022 | October 25, 2022 | October 18, 2022 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. |
Ballot access requirements
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Nebraska in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Nebraska, click here.
Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022 | ||||||
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State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
Nebraska | U.S. House | Ballot-qualified party | N/A | $1,740.00 | 2/15/2022 | Source |
Nebraska | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 20% of registered voters in the district who voted for president in 2020, or 2,000, whichever is less | $1,740.00 | 9/1/2022 | Source |
District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting.
- Effect of redistricting - How districts in the state changed as a result of redistricting following the 2020 census.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
District map
Below was the map in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the map in place before the election.
Nebraska District 1
until January 2, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Nebraska District 1
starting January 3, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Effect of redistricting
The table below details the results of the 2020 presidential election in each district at the time of the 2022 election and its political predecessor district.[8] This data was compiled by Daily Kos Elections.[9]
2020 presidential results by Congressional district, Nebraska | ||||
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District | 2022 district | Political predecessor district | ||
Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() |
Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() | |
Nebraska's 1st | 43.3% | 54.3% | 41.3% | 56.3% |
Nebraska's 2nd | 52.2% | 45.8% | 52.2% | 45.7% |
Nebraska's 3rd | 23.1% | 74.9% | 22.4% | 75.6% |
Competitiveness
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Nebraska.
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Nebraska in 2022. Information below was calculated on March 25, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
In 2022, 16 candidates filed to run for Nebraska’s three U.S. House districts, including nine Republicans, six Democrats, and one Legal Marijuana Now candidate. That's 5.3 candidates per district, more than the 4.7 candidates per district in 2020 and 3.7 in 2018.
This was the first candidate filing deadline to take place under new district lines adopting during Nebraska's decennial redistricting process. Nebraska was apportioned three congressional districts, the same number it had after the 2010 census.
Incumbent Reps. Don Bacon (R) and Adrian Smith (R) filed for re-election and both drew primary challengers. Former Rep. Jeff Fortenberry (R) also filed for re-election in the 1st District. On March 31, Fortenberry resigned from Congress following his conviction on campaign finance-related charges in federal court. This resignation came after the election withdrawal deadline, meaning Fortenberry's name would remain on the primary ballot.[10]
Since Fortenberry would no longer be an incumbent at the time of the primary, the 1st District was counted as an open seat in this analysis. This created the first open-seat regular election for U.S. House in Nebraska since 2006. The last time an incumbent lost in the state was in 2016 when Bacon defeated one-term incumbent Brad Ashford (D).
Presidential elections
Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+9. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 9 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Nebraska's 1st the 156th most Republican district nationally.[11]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
2020 presidential results in Nebraska's 1st based on 2022 district lines | ||||
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Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() | |||
43.3% | 54.3% |
Presidential voting history
- See also: Presidential election in Nebraska, 2020
Nebraska presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 6 Democratic wins
- 25 Republican wins
Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Winning Party | R | R | D | D | D | R | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Demographics
The table below details demographic data in Nebraska and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.
Demographic Data for Nebraska | ||
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Nebraska | United States | |
Population | 1,961,504 | 331,449,281 |
Land area (sq mi) | 76,817 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White | 85.3% | 70.4% |
Black/African American | 4.8% | 12.6% |
Asian | 2.5% | 5.6% |
Native American | 0.9% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Other (single race) | 2.5% | 5.1% |
Multiple | 3.9% | 5.2% |
Hispanic/Latino | 11.2% | 18.2% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate | 91.6% | 88.5% |
College graduation rate | 32.5% | 32.9% |
Income | ||
Median household income | $63,015 | $64,994 |
Persons below poverty level | 10.4% | 12.8% |
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2015-2020). | ||
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
State party control
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Nebraska's congressional delegation as of November 2022.
Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Nebraska, November 2022 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
Democratic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Republican | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 2 | 3 | 5 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Nebraska's top four state executive offices as of November 2022.
State executive officials in Nebraska, November 2022 | |
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Office | Officeholder |
Governor | ![]() |
Lieutenant Governor | ![]() |
Secretary of State | ![]() |
Attorney General | ![]() |
State legislature
The table below highlights the partisan composition of the Nebraska State Senate as of November 2022.
Nebraska State Senate
Party | As of November 2022 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 17 | |
Republican Party | 32 | |
Independent | 0 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 49 |
Trifecta control
As of November 2022, Nebraska was a Republican trifecta, with a majority in the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.
Nebraska Party Control: 1992-2022
Seven years of Democratic trifectas • Twenty-four years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
District history
2020
See also: Nebraska's 1st Congressional District election, 2020
Nebraska's 1st Congressional District election, 2020 (May 12 Democratic primary)
Nebraska's 1st Congressional District election, 2020 (May 12 Republican primary)
General election
General election for U.S. House Nebraska District 1
Incumbent Jeffrey Fortenberry defeated Kate Bolz and Dennis Grace in the general election for U.S. House Nebraska District 1 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Jeffrey Fortenberry (R) | 59.5 | 189,006 |
![]() | Kate Bolz (D) | 37.7 | 119,622 | |
![]() | Dennis Grace (L) ![]() | 2.8 | 8,938 |
Total votes: 317,566 | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 1
Kate Bolz defeated Barbara Ramsey in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 1 on May 12, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Kate Bolz | 77.6 | 43,400 |
Barbara Ramsey ![]() | 22.4 | 12,497 |
Total votes: 55,897 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 1
Incumbent Jeffrey Fortenberry advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 1 on May 12, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Jeffrey Fortenberry | 100.0 | 84,017 |
Total votes: 84,017 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Nicholas Oviatt (R)
Libertarian primary election
Libertarian primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 1
Dennis Grace advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 1 on May 12, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Dennis Grace ![]() | 100.0 | 1,047 |
Total votes: 1,047 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Nebraska District 1
Incumbent Jeffrey Fortenberry defeated Jessica McClure in the general election for U.S. House Nebraska District 1 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Jeffrey Fortenberry (R) | 60.4 | 141,712 |
![]() | Jessica McClure (D) | 39.6 | 93,069 |
Total votes: 234,781 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 1
Jessica McClure defeated Dennis Crawford in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 1 on May 15, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Jessica McClure | 66.1 | 22,199 |
![]() | Dennis Crawford | 33.9 | 11,386 |
Total votes: 33,585 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 1
Incumbent Jeffrey Fortenberry advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 1 on May 15, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Jeffrey Fortenberry | 100.0 | 51,809 |
Total votes: 51,809 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Jeff Fortenberry (R) defeated Daniel Wik (D) in the general election. Neither candidate faced a primary opponent on May 10, 2016.[12]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
69.5% | 189,771 | |
Democratic | Daniel Wik | 30.5% | 83,467 | |
Total Votes | 273,238 | |||
Source: Nebraska Secretary of State |
Primary candidates:[13] |
Democratic ![]() |
Republican ![]() |
2014
The 1st Congressional District of Nebraska held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Jeff Fortenberry (R) defeated Dennis Crawford (D) in the general election.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
68.8% | 123,219 | |
Democratic | Dennis Crawford | 31.2% | 55,838 | |
Total Votes | 179,057 | |||
Source: Nebraska Secretary of State |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() |
86.1% | 63,673 | ||
Jessica L. Turek | 8% | 5,902 | ||
Dennis Parker | 6% | 4,407 | ||
Total Votes | 73,982 | |||
Source: Nebraska Secretary of State |
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Political predecessor districts are determined primarily based on incumbents and where each chose to seek re-election.
- ↑ Daily Kos Elections, "Daily Kos Elections 2020 presidential results by congressional district (old CDs vs. new CDs)," accessed May 12, 2022
- ↑ KMTV, "Fortenberry resignation sets up unique situation with special election," March 28, 2022
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
- ↑ Nebraska Secretary of State, "Statewide Candidate List," March 2, 2016
- ↑ Candidates are listed by party and alphabetically within each party.
- ↑ 14.0 14.1 Nebraska Secretary of State, "Statewide Candidate List," March 2, 2016