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Nevada's 4th Congressional District election, 2020

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Nevada's 4th Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: March 13, 2020
Primary: June 9, 2020
General: November 3, 2020
Pre-election incumbent:
Steven Horsford (Democrat)
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Nevada
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Likely Democratic
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020
See also
Nevada's 4th Congressional District
1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th
Nevada elections, 2020
U.S. Congress elections, 2020
U.S. Senate elections, 2020
U.S. House elections, 2020

All U.S. congressional districts, including the 4th Congressional District of Nevada, held elections in 2020.

Incumbent Steven Horsford won election in the general election for U.S. House Nevada District 4.

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
March 13, 2020
June 9, 2020
November 3, 2020


Heading into the election the incumbent was Democrat Steven Horsford, who was first elected in 2018.

As of the 2010 redistricting cycle, Nevada's 4th Congressional District was located in the central portion of the state and included the counties of White Pine, Nye, Mineral, Esmeralda and Lincoln. It also included southern Lyon County and northern Clark County.[1]

This race was one of 89 congressional races that were decided by 10 percent or less in 2020.

Post-election analysis

The table below compares the vote totals in the 2020 presidential election and 2020 U.S. House election for this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

Presidential and congressional election results, Nevada's 4th Congressional District, 2020
Race Presidential U.S. House
Democratic candidate Democratic Party 50.9 50.7
Republican candidate Republican Party 47 45.8
Difference 3.9 4.9

Election procedure changes in 2020

See also: Changes to election dates, procedures, and administration in response to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, 2020

Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.

Nevada modified its absentee/mail-in voting procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:

  • Absentee/mail-in voting: Mail-in ballots were sent to all registered voters in the general election.

For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.

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Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Nevada District 4

Incumbent Steven Horsford defeated Jim Marchant, Jonathan Royce Esteban, and Barry Rubinson in the general election for U.S. House Nevada District 4 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Steven Horsford
Steven Horsford (D)
 
50.7
 
168,457
Image of Jim Marchant
Jim Marchant (R) Candidate Connection
 
45.8
 
152,284
Image of Jonathan Royce Esteban
Jonathan Royce Esteban (L) Candidate Connection
 
2.4
 
7,978
Image of Barry Rubinson
Barry Rubinson (Independent American Party)
 
1.1
 
3,750

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 332,469
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Nevada District 4

The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Nevada District 4 on June 9, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Steven Horsford
Steven Horsford
 
75.1
 
39,656
Image of Jennifer Eason
Jennifer Eason Candidate Connection
 
9.4
 
4,968
Image of Gabrielle D'Ayr
Gabrielle D'Ayr Candidate Connection
 
7.3
 
3,847
Image of Gregory Kempton
Gregory Kempton Candidate Connection
 
2.9
 
1,507
Image of Chris Colley
Chris Colley Candidate Connection
 
2.7
 
1,431
Image of George Brucato
George Brucato Candidate Connection
 
2.7
 
1,424

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 52,833
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Nevada District 4

The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House Nevada District 4 on June 9, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Jim Marchant
Jim Marchant Candidate Connection
 
34.7
 
15,760
Image of Sam Peters
Sam Peters
 
28.1
 
12,755
Image of Lisa Song Sutton
Lisa Song Sutton Candidate Connection
 
15.1
 
6,846
Image of Charles Navarro
Charles Navarro Candidate Connection
 
6.3
 
2,870
Image of Rebecca Wood
Rebecca Wood Candidate Connection
 
6.3
 
2,847
Image of Leo Blundo
Leo Blundo Candidate Connection
 
4.2
 
1,923
Image of Rosalie Bingham
Rosalie Bingham
 
2.9
 
1,331
Image of Randi Reed
Randi Reed
 
2.3
 
1,023

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 45,355
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

There are no Pivot Counties in Nevada. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton (D) won Nevada with 47.9 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 45.5 percent. In presidential elections between 1868 and 2016, Nevada voted Republican 51 percent of the time and Democratic 46 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, Nevada voted Democratic three times and Republican the other two.[2]

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state Assembly districts in Nevada. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[3][4]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 26 out of 42 state Assembly districts in Nevada with an average margin of victory of 28.9 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 25 out of 42 state Assembly districts in Nevada with an average margin of victory of 25.4 points.
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 16 out of 42 state Assembly districts in Nevada with an average margin of victory of 15.9 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 17 out of 42 state Assembly districts in Nevada with an average margin of victory of 18.6 points. Trump won two districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+3, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 3 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Nevada's 4th Congressional District the 182nd most Democratic nationally.[5]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.22. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.22 points toward that party.[6]

Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[7] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[8] The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Steven Horsford Democratic Party $3,516,730 $3,048,785 $495,917 As of December 31, 2020
Jim Marchant Republican Party $1,594,082 $1,550,715 $43,367 As of December 31, 2020
Barry Rubinson Independent American Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Jonathan Royce Esteban Libertarian Party $2,788 $1,603 $2,227 As of June 30, 2020

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.


Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[9]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[10][11][12]

Race ratings: Nevada's 4th Congressional District election, 2020
Race trackerRace ratings
November 3, 2020October 27, 2020October 20, 2020October 13, 2020
The Cook Political ReportLikely DemocraticLikely DemocraticLikely DemocraticLikely Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallLikely DemocraticLikely DemocraticLikely DemocraticLikely Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season.

Candidate ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for 4th Congressional District candidates in Nevada in the 2020 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Nevada, click here.

Filing requirements, 2020
State Office Party Signatures required Signature formula Filing fee Filing fee formula Filing deadline Source
Nevada 4th Congressional District Major party 0 N/A $300.00 Fixed number 3/13/2020 Source
Nevada 4th Congressional District Unaffiliated 0 N/A $300.00 Fixed number 3/13/2020 Source

District election history

2018

See also: Nevada's 4th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Nevada District 4

The following candidates ran in the general election for U.S. House Nevada District 4 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Steven Horsford
Steven Horsford (D)
 
51.9
 
121,962
Image of Cresent Hardy
Cresent Hardy (R)
 
43.7
 
102,748
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Submit photo
Warren Markowitz (Independent American Party)
 
1.4
 
3,180
Image of Rodney Smith
Rodney Smith (Independent)
 
1.2
 
2,733
Image of Gregg Luckner
Gregg Luckner (L)
 
0.9
 
2,213
Image of Dean McGonigle
Dean McGonigle (Independent)
 
0.9
 
2,032

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 234,868
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Nevada District 4

The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Nevada District 4 on June 12, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Steven Horsford
Steven Horsford
 
61.7
 
22,730
Image of Patricia Spearman
Patricia Spearman Candidate Connection
 
15.2
 
5,613
Image of Amy Vilela
Amy Vilela
 
9.2
 
3,388
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Submit photo
Allison Stephens Candidate Connection
 
6.0
 
2,216
Image of John Anzalone
John Anzalone
 
5.8
 
2,134
Image of Sid Zeller
Sid Zeller
 
2.0
 
736

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified.

Total votes: 36,817
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Nevada District 4

The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House Nevada District 4 on June 12, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Cresent Hardy
Cresent Hardy
 
47.4
 
15,257
Image of David Gibbs
David Gibbs
 
19.0
 
6,102
Image of Bill Townsend
Bill Townsend Candidate Connection
 
11.4
 
3,659
Image of Kenneth Wegner
Kenneth Wegner
 
11.3
 
3,626
Image of Jeff Miller
Jeff Miller
 
8.0
 
2,563
Image of Mike Monroe
Mike Monroe
 
3.0
 
973

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified.

Total votes: 32,180
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Independent primary election

No Independent candidates ran in the primary.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2016

See also: Nevada's 4th Congressional District election, 2016

Nevada's 4th Congressional District was a battleground district in 2016. State Sen. Ruben Kihuen (D) defeated Republican incumbent Cresent Hardy, Steve Brown (L), and Mike Little (Independent American) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Hardy defeated challengers Mike Monroe and Wayne Villines in the Republican primary, while Kihuen defeated seven other Democrats to win the nomination in the primary. The primary elections took place on June 14, 2016.[13][14][15][16][17][18][19][20]

U.S. House, Nevada District 4 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngRuben Kihuen 48.5% 128,985
     Republican Cresent Hardy Incumbent 44.5% 118,328
     Libertarian Steve Brown 3.8% 10,206
     Independent American Mike Little 3.1% 8,327
Total Votes 265,846
Source: Nevada Secretary of State


U.S. House, Nevada District 4 Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngCresent Hardy Incumbent 76.8% 18,610
Mike Monroe 17.9% 4,336
Wayne Villines 5.3% 1,290
Total Votes 24,236
Source: Nevada Secretary of State
U.S. House, Nevada District 4 Democratic Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngRuben Kihuen 39.9% 12,221
Lucy Flores 25.7% 7,854
Susie Lee 20.9% 6,407
Morse Arberry 6.2% 1,902
Rodney Smith 2.8% 869
Mike Schaefer 2.5% 773
Dan Rolle 1.1% 336
Brandon Casutt 0.8% 240
Total Votes 30,602
Source: Nevada Secretary of State

2014

See also: Nevada's 4th Congressional District elections, 2014

The 4th Congressional District of Nevada held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Cresent Hardy (R) defeated incumbent Steven Horsford (D), Steve Brown (L) and Russell Best (Independent American) in the general election.

U.S. House, Nevada District 4 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Steven Horsford Incumbent 45.8% 59,844
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngCresent Hardy 48.5% 63,466
     Libertarian Steve Brown 3.1% 4,119
     Independent American Russell Best 2.6% 3,352
Total Votes 130,781
Source: Nevada Secretary of State

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. ↑ Nevada Redistricting Map, "Map," accessed September 25, 2012
  2. ↑ 270towin.com, "Nevada," accessed August 3, 2017
  3. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
  4. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
  5. ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  6. ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
  7. ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
  8. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
  9. ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  10. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  11. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  12. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  13. ↑ Nevada Secretary of State, "2016 Filed Non-Judicial Candidates," accessed March 19, 2016
  14. ↑ Facebook, "I AM RUNNING FOR CONGRESS - CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT 4," March 28, 2015
  15. ↑ Las Vegas Review-Journal, "Democrat Lucy Flores announces congressional bid," April 22, 2015
  16. ↑ Las Vegas Review-Journal, "Vegas philanthropist Susie Lee may seek congressional seat," April 27, 2015
  17. ↑ KNPR, "Former Assembly Speaker John Oceguera Running For Congress," July 9, 2015
  18. ↑ Roll Call, "Exclusive: NRCC Announces 12 Members in Patriot Program," February 13, 2015
  19. ↑ The New York Times, "Nevada Primary Results," June 14, 2016
  20. ↑ Nevada Secretary of State, "2016 Master Statewide Certified List of Candidates," accessed September 7, 2016


Nevada's current delegation to the United States Congress
Senators
Catherine Masto (D)
Jacky Rosen (D)
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
Susie Lee (D)
District 4
Democratic Party (5)
Republican Party (1)


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