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New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District election (September 11, 2018 Republican primary)

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2020
2016
New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: June 15, 2018
Primary: September 11, 2018
General: November 6, 2018

Pre-election incumbent:
Carol Shea-Porter (Democrat)
How to vote
Poll times: Varies by municipality
Voting in New Hampshire
Race ratings
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2018): R+2
Cook Political Report: Likely Democratic
Inside Elections: Lean Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018
See also
New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District
1st2nd
New Hampshire elections, 2018
U.S. Congress elections, 2018
U.S. Senate elections, 2018
U.S. House elections, 2018

Former South Hampton Police Chief Eddie Edwards won the September 11 Republican primary. He received 48 percent of the vote. State Sen. Andy Sanborn was second with 42 percent.

New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District flipped five times between 2006 and 2016, and the competitive 2018 race for the seat was targeted by both parties following the announced retirement of Rep. Carol Shea-Porter (D).

Five Republican candidates ran in the race, including Sanborn and Edwards. Both had high-profile endorsements. Their campaigns focused on who had the most conservative credentials and on criticizing elements of each other's personal and work histories.

Edwards’ backers included former Sen. Rick Santorum (R-Pa.), former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani, and Fred Doucette, former co-chair of Donald Trump’s New Hampshire campaign. Sanborn was endorsed by Sens. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) and Ted Cruz (R-Texas) and Trump’s former campaign manager Corey Lewandowski, among others.

Edwards highlighted his history as director of the state Liquor Commission Enforcement Division, as police chief of South Hampton, and as the owner of a regulatory compliance consulting business. His campaign website said he “has seen the waste of government from the inside.”[1] Edwards described himself as “a true conservative who understands the values of honesty and integrity.”[2]

Sanborn emphasized his experience in the state legislature, saying he had a record of lowering taxes. He said referring to Edwards, “My proven conservative record puts me head and shoulders above my opponent, a lifelong government bureaucrat turned lobbyist.”[2]

Both candidates accused each other of turning the race negative and dishonestly representing each other's histories.[3]

Edwards criticized Sanborn over allegations that he made an inappropriate comment to an aide in 2013, while Sanborn responded, “No complaint was ever filed, no policy was ever broken.”[4] On August 16, Edwards was barred from participating in a party-sponsored debate after refusing to pledge to endorse Sanborn if Sanborn won the primary; Edwards cited the 2013 comment as part of his reason for refusing to make the pledge.[5] Sanborn had signed the pledge to endorse the primary winner. Read more below.

Sanborn criticized his main challenger over a settlement Edwards reached with the state in 2013 regarding a complaint alleging that he experienced racial discrimination at the Liquor Commission. Sanborn emphasized that the settlement stipulated that Edwards could no longer work for the commission.[2]



Election results

The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House New Hampshire District 1 on September 11, 2018.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House New Hampshire District 1

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Eddie Edwards
Eddie Edwards
 
48.0
 
23,510
Image of Andy Sanborn
Andy Sanborn
 
41.6
 
20,364
Image of Andy Martin
Andy Martin Candidate Connection
 
4.2
 
2,072
Image of Michael Callis
Michael Callis
 
2.6
 
1,254
Image of Jeff Denaro
Jeff Denaro
 
2.0
 
963
Bruce Crochetiere
 
1.6
 
766

Total votes: 48,929
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Note: Bruce Crochetiere withdrew from the race in July but still appeared on the ballot.

Candidates

Top candidates

Eddie Edwards, former South Hampton chief of police
Eddie Edwards NH.jpeg

Campaign website Facebook Twitter

Party: Republican

Incumbent: No

Political office: None

Biography: Edwards was the chief of police for the town of South Hampton from 2013 to 2014 and director of the New Hampshire Liquor Commission Enforcement Division from 2005 to 2013. He founded Eddie Edwards Consulting, which works with small businesses on regulatory compliance. Edwards is a Navy veteran. He graduated from the FBI National Academy and holds a Bachelor of Business Administration from Northcentral University.[6][7]

Key messages
  • Edwards said that bringing integrity and character to Washington was the primary message of his campaign.[8] In relation to inappropriate remarks Sanborn allegedly made to an aide in 2013, Edwards said Sanborn lacked integrity.[9]
  • Edwards highlighted his work on the issue of substance abuse during his time in law enforcement and his private sector work helping small businesses navigate regulations.[10]
  • Edwards called himself a conservative outsider and Sanborn a career politician.[11]
Andy Sanborn, state senator
Andy Sanborn.jpg

Campaign website Facebook Twitter

Party: Republican

Incumbent: No

Political office: New Hampshire State Senate

Biography: Sanborn was first elected to the New Hampshire State Senate in 2010. He served as chairman of the Senate Commerce, Health and Human Services, and Ways and Means committees. He is also a restaurant owner. Sanborn earned a bachelor's degree in finance, economics, and marketing from New England College.[12][13]

Key messages
  • Sanborn said that he had been called the "conservative conscience of the Senate," pointing to his record of sponsoring bills to lower business and personal taxes.[12][14]
  • Sanborn described himself as a political outsider, saying he entered politics due to his experience with government regulations as a business owner.[12] He said his continuing work in his restaurant kept him in touch with the state's residents and their priorities.[15]
  • Sanborn emphasized that he is a fourth-generation New Hampshirite, contrasting himself with Edwards, who grew up in Georgia.[12]


List of all candidates

See also: Statistics on U.S. Congress candidates, 2018



Republican Party Republican primary candidates


Did not make the ballot:


Candidate Connection = candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey

Endorsements

Republican candidate endorsements
Endorsement Sanborn[16] Edwards[17]
Federal officials
Sen. Rand Paul (R)[18]
Sen. Ted Cruz (R)[19]
National figures
Former Sen. Bob Smith (R)[20]
Former Sen. Rick Santorum (R)[21]
Former NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R)[22]
Former Trump campaign manager Corey Lewandowski
State figures
Former NH Republican Party Chair Jeanie Forrester
52 state representatives
16 former state representatives
State Sen. Harold French
State Sen. Sharon Carson (R)
State Sen. Regina Birdsell (R)
Former NH Republican Party Vice Chairman Cliff Hurst
Former state Rep. Katherine Prudhomme-O'Brien (R)
Former co-chair of Trump's NH campaign Fred Doucette[23]
New Hampshire Union Leader
Local figures
Vice Chair, Bedford GOP Matt Pitaro
Epping Board of Selectmen Vice Chairman Bob Jordan
The Conway Daily Sun[24]
Weirs Times
PACs
Gun Owners of America
With Honor Fund


Campaign themes and policy stances

Eddie Edwards

The following was taken from Edwards' 2018 campaign website.

Create Good, High-Paying Jobs for New Hampshire
By creating high-paying jobs, we will help lift people out of the paycheck-to-paycheck struggle, reduce underemployment, and increase the take-home pay for everyone.

  • Cut the federal corporate tax rate. The United States has the highest tax on business in the industrialized world. Our businesses face an unfair tax burden in a competitive global marketplace. Reducing their taxes will allow them to expand, grow, and create jobs right here in New Hampshire.
  • Reduce regulations and red tape. Unelected bureaucrats have too much power to create and enforce regulations on businesses. It has led to a business climate that is intimidating, arbitrary, and uncertain. Businesses face higher costs from regulations and have been hesitant to expand. Reducing regulations will allow businesses to create jobs.
  • Reduce the cost of energy. The government must allow for the expansion of energy production, storage, and delivery. One of the biggest burdens on business is the high cost of energy. By allowing the free market to drive down the price of energy, we will foster greater job growth across every industry.
  • Repeal and replace Obamacare. Obamacare has driven up costs for individuals, created uncertainty for employers, and reduced patient choice. We must repeal it and replace it with a plan that provides greater consumer choice, protects people with pre-existing conditions, allows for the purchase of health insurance across state lines, grants individuals the same tax benefits as businesses, and fosters more truth in billing transparency for patients and employers.

Cut Taxes and Pass Meaningful Tax Reform
People should be allowed to keep more of what they earn. We must reduce taxes and simplify the tax code for families and individuals.

  • Simplify the tax code to create three tax brackets.
  • Cut the marginal rates on personal income taxes.
  • Eliminate loopholes and subsidies that favor special interests.
  • Pledge to oppose any new taxes or increase in existing taxes.

Reduce College Costs and Address the Student Loan Crisis
Too many students leave college with crippling student loans. It delays the purchase of their first homes and the process of establishing a strong financial foothold. We must create a more cost-conscious higher education system.

  • Demand greater transparency and choice, which will empower parents and students to be better consumers of higher education, put downward pressure on costs, force colleges to cut out waste, and improve overall quality.
  • Increase dual enrollment opportunities for students, allowing them to earn college and high school credit for the same courses.
  • Encourage the development of online classrooms to reduce the overhead of the traditional classroom model and allow state universities to compete globally.
  • Increase outsourcing of publicly-funded campus functions to local private sector businesses.
  • Allow students to earn a full 120-credit hour four-year degree in three years.
  • Encourage students to choose community colleges and trade schools as a career track, or allow them to use their first two years of coursework to transfer to traditional colleges and universities.

Strengthen National Security and Provide for Our Veterans
As a veteran, I have lived the words from the Declaration of Independence: “…and for support of this Declaration, with firm reliance on the protection of Divine Providence, we mutually pledge to each other our lives, our fortunes and our sacred honor.” To keep our nation secure, we must:

  • Ensure that our men and women in uniform have the tools they need to succeed, and provide our veterans with the respect and support they have earned
  • Strengthen our overseas alliances to send a clear message to those who would threaten us, but be very careful about committing American troops to battle.
  • When we do make a decision to fight, we must fight to win. Uncertainty, indecision, and half-measures only prolong conflict.
  • Protect our borders, fully vet new immigrants to the United States, and make our legal immigration more efficient and secure.

Fight the Scourge of Opioid Addiction and Abuse
As a chief of police, I have been on the front lines in the fight against opioid addiction and abuse. I have seen deaths, families torn apart, and communities in crisis. The current opioid crisis was not unforeseen by many in law enforcement and the substance abuse community.

  • Nearly 75% of high school heroin users began with prescription opioids. We must demand greater accountability from pharmaceutical drug companies and physicians.
  • Work closely with both the treatment and law enforcement communities to give them the tools they need.
  • Promote stronger intervention and treatment programs.
  • Remain tough on drug dealers and crime, but understand that this affects everyone in New Hampshire. Good people have been caught up in this crisis.
  • Support resources for local, community-driven substance use disorder prevention messaging

Protect the Second Amendment
Our Founding Fathers rightfully knew how important it would be to protect our right to keep and bear arms. Regrettably, many in Washington have made it their focus to chip away at the Second Amendment. In the U.S. Navy, I was honored to have been awarded with the Expert Shot medal. I later taught countless others as a firearms instructor for the New Hampshire Police Standards and Training Council. This issue is incredibly important to me as I know well how necessary it is for us to fight to protect our liberties.

Granite Staters can be assured that I will never advocate for stricter federal gun laws that would take power away from the state and will always stand with New Hampshire citizens in defense of the Second Amendment.

Fight Illegal Immigration and Build the Wall
Our borders are in crisis as career politicians in both parties have failed to do their jobs for decades. We must build a wall on our southern border and use new technologies to protect our nation wherever a physical barrier would not be prudent. In addition, our leaders need to stand with our border agents, our law enforcement officials, and others who are both on the front lines and in our cities protecting our country. We are a nation of laws and it is imperative that we enforce them.

Stand for the Sanctity of Life​
I am proudly pro-life and will always fight for the unborn and the sanctity of human life.[25]

—Eddie Edwards' campaign website (2018)[26]

Andy Sanborn

Sanborn's campaign website presented his policy priorities in the form of video clips from a July 11 debate. The videos are below.[27]

"Why I am Running"
"Immigration"
"Jobs and the Economy"
"Military"
"Constitutional Originalist"
"Veteran's Affairs"
"Infrastructure"
"Government Department Cuts"


Campaign finance

The reports below were obtained from the Federal Election Commission.


Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Michael Callis Republican Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Bruce Crochetiere Republican Party $329,037 $312,888 $16,149 As of December 31, 2018
Eddie Edwards Republican Party $1,268,155 $1,217,272 $50,884 As of December 31, 2018
Andy Martin Republican Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Andy Sanborn Republican Party $882,961 $882,961 $0 As of December 31, 2018

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2018. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.


Campaign tactics and strategies

Campaign advertisements

Eddie Edwards

"Eddie Edwards' Thoughts on Illegal Immigration" released August 14, 2018
"Eddie Edwards on Our Veterans" released August 15, 2018
"Eddie Edwards Will Fight for Our Second Amendment Rights" released August 16, 2018
"Eddie Edwards: Make the Tax Cuts Permanent" released August 17, 2018
"Eddie Edwards on the Opioid Epidemic" released August 18, 2018
"Eddie Edwards on American Values" released August 21, 2018

Edwards released his first TV ad on September 4.

"Eddie Edwards is Needed in Washington" released September 4, 2018


Andy Sanborn

"Andy Sanborn - I stand with you" released August 14, 2018

Sanborn's attack mailers, Edwards' complaint

Three weeks ahead of the primary, Sanborn's campaign sent out mailers claiming that Edwards opposed President Donald Trump and questioning his position on gun restrictions. Edwards filed a complaint with the state's attorney general because the mailers did not disclose who was sending them. Sanborn's campaign said the omission was an oversight and that it accounted for the error in a document filed with the Federal Election Commission.

Edwards' campaign said that the contents of the mailer were untrue, while Sanborn's campaign maintained they were factually accurate.[28]

Debates and forums

Five candidates participated in a debate on September 6, 2018, hosted by WMUR, Saint Anselm College, and the New Hampshire Union Leader. Watch a video of the debate here.

Noteworthy events

August 16, 2018: Edwards told to leave debate, would not pledge to endorse Sanborn if he won
Edwards and Sanborn were set to participate in a party-sponsored debate on August 16. On August 15, Edwards stated that he would not sign a pledge, required by the party, to support Sanborn should Sanborn win the primary. Edwards showed up to the debate but was asked to leave by state party chairman Wayne MacDonald when he would not sign the pledge.[29]

Edwards cited inappropriate remarks Sanborn allegedly made to an aide in 2013 as part of the reason he would not pledge to endorse him if Sanborn won the primary. In a statement, Edwards said, "No matter where I have been, I have made the same promise to every voter: I am running to bring honesty and integrity back to Congress. ... If Sen. Sanborn and I just had a different perspective on various policies, I would be more than happy to sign the pledge. However, that is not the case. What separates us is much more serious than policy disagreements.”[5]

Sanborn said in a statement, "The Republican Party is strongest when we are united and this race is about more than just my campaign."[5] Sanborn has referred to his 2013 remark as crass but has said that no complaints were filed or policies broken.[3]

Democratic district won by Donald Trump

See also: U.S. House districts represented by a Democrat and won by Donald Trump in 2016 and Split-ticket districts in the 2016 presidential and U.S. House elections

This district was one of 13 Democratic-held U.S. House districts that Donald Trump (R) won in the 2016 presidential election.[30] Some were expected to be among the House's most competitive elections in 2018.


2018 election results in Democratic-held U.S. House districts won by Donald Trump in 2016
District Incumbent 2018 winner 2018 margin 2016 presidential margin 2012 presidential margin
Arizona's 1st Democratic Party Tom O'Halleran Democratic Party Tom O'Halleran D+7.7 Trump+1.1 Romney+2.5
Iowa's 2nd Democratic Party Dave Loebsack Democratic Party Dave Loebsack D+12.2 Trump+4.1 Obama+13.1
Illinois' 17th Democratic Party Cheri Bustos Democratic Party Cheri Bustos D+23.6 Trump+0.7 Obama+17.0
Minnesota's 1st Democratic Party Tim Walz Republican Party Jim Hagedorn R+0.4 Trump+14.9 Obama+1.4
Minnesota's 7th Democratic Party Collin Peterson Democratic Party Collin Peterson D+4.3 Trump+30.8 Romney+9.8
Minnesota's 8th Democratic Party Rick Nolan Republican Party Pete Stauber R+5.5 Trump+15.6 Obama+5.5
New Hampshire's 1st Democratic Party Carol Shea-Porter Democratic Party Chris Pappas D+11.7 Trump+1.6 Obama+1.6
New Jersey's 5th Democratic Party Josh Gottheimer Democratic Party Josh Gottheimer D+11.7 Trump+1.1 Romney+3.1
Nevada's 3rd Democratic Party Jacky Rosen Democratic Party Susie Lee D+9.1 Trump+1.0 Obama+0.8
New York's 18th Democratic Party Sean Patrick Maloney Democratic Party Sean Patrick Maloney D+10.2 Trump+1.9 Obama+4.3
Pennsylvania's 8th Democratic Party Matt Cartwright[31] Democratic Party Matt Cartwright D+9.2 Trump+9.6 Obama+11.9
Pennsylvania's 14th Democratic Party Conor Lamb[32] Republican Party Guy Reschenthaler R+15.9 Trump+29.0 Romney+17.7
Wisconsin's 3rd Democratic Party Ron Kind Democratic Party Ron Kind D+19.4 Trump+4.5 Obama+11.0


Click here to see the 25 Republican-held U.S. House districts that Hillary Clinton (D) won.

Click here to see an overview of all split-ticket districts in the 2016 presidential and U.S. House elections.

Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Race ratings: New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District election, 2018
Race tracker Race ratings
October 30, 2018 October 23, 2018October 16, 2018October 9, 2018
The Cook Political Report Likely Democratic Likely DemocraticLikely DemocraticLikely Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales Lean Democratic Tilt DemocraticTilt DemocraticTilt Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball Likely Democratic Likely DemocraticLean DemocraticLean Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every two weeks throughout the election season.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+2, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 2 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District the 225th most Republican nationally.[33]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.19. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.19 points toward that party.[34]

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

Three of 10 New Hampshire counties—30 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
County Trump margin of victory in 2016 Obama margin of victory in 2012 Obama margin of victory in 2008
Coos County, New Hampshire 8.89% 17.54% 18.19%
Hillsborough County, New Hampshire 0.20% 1.12% 3.73%
Sullivan County, New Hampshire 2.58% 13.27% 17.93%

In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton (D) won New Hampshire with 46.8 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 46.5 percent. In presidential elections between 1789 and 2016, New Hampshire voted Republican 50 percent of the time and Democratic 31 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, New Hampshire voted Democratic with the exception of the 2000 presidential election.[35]

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state Senate districts in New Hampshire. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[36][37]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 12 out of 24 state Senate districts in New Hampshire with an average margin of victory of 17.3 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 10 out of 24 state Senate districts in New Hampshire with an average margin of victory of 14.5 points. Clinton won two districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections.
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 12 out of 24 state Senate districts in New Hampshire with an average margin of victory of 5.6 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 14 out of 24 state Senate districts in New Hampshire with an average margin of victory of 9.6 points. Trump won two districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections.

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in New Hampshire. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[38][39]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 145 out of 204 state House districts in New Hampshire with an average margin of victory of 17.8 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 101 out of 204 state House districts in New Hampshire with an average margin of victory of 17.1 points.
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 59 out of 204 state House districts in New Hampshire with an average margin of victory of 9.9 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 103 out of 204 state House districts in New Hampshire with an average margin of victory of 12.9 points.


State overview

Partisan control

This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in New Hampshire heading into the 2018 elections.

Congressional delegation

State executives

State legislature

  • Republicans controlled both chambers of the New Hampshire General Court. They had a 212-167 majority in the state House and a 14-10 majority in the state Senate.

Trifecta status

  • New Hampshire was a Republican trifecta, meaning that the Republican Party controlled the office of the governor, the state House, and the state Senate.

2018 elections

See also: New Hampshire elections, 2018

New Hampshire held elections for the following positions in 2018:

Demographics

Demographic data for New Hampshire
 New HampshireU.S.
Total population:1,330,111316,515,021
Land area (sq mi):8,9533,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White:93.7%73.6%
Black/African American:1.3%12.6%
Asian:2.4%5.1%
Native American:0.2%0.8%
Pacific Islander:0%0.2%
Two or more:1.8%3%
Hispanic/Latino:3.2%17.1%
Education
High school graduation rate:92.3%86.7%
College graduation rate:34.9%29.8%
Income
Median household income:$66,779$53,889
Persons below poverty level:9.9%11.3%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015)
Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in New Hampshire.
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.

As of July 2016, New Hampshire's three largest cities were Manchester (pop. est. 111,196), Nashua (pop. est. 88,341), and Concord (pop. est. 43,019).[40][41]

State election history

This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in New Hampshire from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the New Hampshire State Board of Elections.

Historical elections

Presidential elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the presidential election in New Hampshire every year from 2000 to 2016.

Election results (President of the United States), New Hampshire 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2016 Democratic Party Hillary Clinton 47.6% Republican Party Donald Trump 47.2% 0.4%
2012 Democratic Party Barack Obama 52.0% Republican Party Mitt Romney 46.4% 5.6%
2008 Democratic Party Barack Obama 54.4% Republican Party John McCain 44.7% 9.7%
2004 Democratic Party John Kerry 50.2% Republican Party George W. Bush 48.9% 1.3%
2000 Republican Party George W. Bush 48.1% Democratic Party Al Gore 46.9% 1.2%

U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in New Hampshire from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.

Election results (U.S. Senator), New Hampshire 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2016 Democratic Party Maggie Hassan 48.0% Republican Party Kelly Ayotte 47.8% 0.2%
2014 Democratic Party Jeanne Shaheen 51.5% Republican Party Scott Brown 48.2% 3.3%
2010 Republican Party Kelly Ayotte 60.2% Democratic Party Paul Hodes 36.7% 23.5%
2008 Democratic Party Jeanne Shaheen 51.6% Republican Party John E. Sununu 45.3% 6.3%
2004 Republican Party Judd Gregg 66.2% Democratic Party Doris Haddock 33.7% 32.5%
2002 Republican Party John E. Sununu 50.8% Democratic Party Jeanne Shaheen 46.4% 4.4%

Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every two years in New Hampshire.

Election results (Governor), New Hampshire 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2016 Republican Party Chris Sununu 48.8% Democratic Party Colin Van Ostern 46.6% 2.2%
2014 Democratic Party Maggie Hassan 52.5% Republican Party Walter Havenstein 47.3% 5.2%
2012 Democratic Party Maggie Hassan 54.6% Republican Party Ovide Lamontagne 42.5% 12.1%
2010 Democratic Party John Lynch 52.6% Republican Party John Stephen 45.1% 7.5%
2008 Democratic Party John Lynch 70.1% Republican Party Joseph Kenney 27.6% 42.5%
2006 Democratic Party John Lynch 74.0% Republican Party Jim Coburn 25.8% 48.2%
2004 Democratic Party John Lynch 51.0% Republican Party Craig Benson 48.9% 2.1%
2002 Republican Party Craig Benson 58.7% Democratic Party Mark Fernald 38.2% 20.5%
2000 Democratic Party Jeanne Shaheen 48.8% Republican Party Gordon Humphrey 43.8% 5.0%

Congressional delegation, 2000-2016

This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent New Hampshire in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.

Congressional delegation, New Hampshire 2000-2016
Year Republicans Republicans (%) Democrats Democrats (%) Balance of power
2016 Republican Party 0 0.0% Democratic Party 2 100.0% D+2
2014 Republican Party 1 50.0% Democratic Party 1 50.0% Even
2012 Republican Party 0 0.0% Democratic Party 2 100.0% D+2
2010 Republican Party 2 100.0% Democratic Party 0 0.0% R+2
2008 Republican Party 0 0.0% Democratic Party 2 100.0% D+2
2006 Republican Party 0 0.0% Democratic Party 2 100.0% D+2
2004 Republican Party 2 100.0% Democratic Party 0 0.0% R+2
2002 Republican Party 2 100.0% Democratic Party 0 0.0% R+2
2000 Republican Party 2 100.0% Democratic Party 0 0.0% R+2

Trifectas, 1992-2017

A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.

New Hampshire Party Control: 1992-2025
Four years of Democratic trifectas  •  Fourteen years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Governor R R R R R D D D D D D R R D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R
Senate R R R R R R R D S R R R R R R D D D D R R R R R R R R D D R R R R R
House R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R D D D D R R D D R R R R D D R R R R R


See also

Footnotes

  1. Eddie Edwards for Congress, “Meet Eddie Edwards,” accessed August 15, 2018
  2. 2.0 2.1 2.2 Seaoastonline.com, “Gloves come off in Edwards-Sanborn GOP Congress race,” August 4, 2018
  3. 3.0 3.1 Seacoastonline.com, "Edwards, Sanborn, make case to New Castle Republicans," August 14, 2018
  4. WMUR, “GOP First Congressional district candidate raises questions about allegations against opponent,” July 11, 2018
  5. 5.0 5.1 5.2 Union Leader, "Edwards pulls out of 1st CD GOP debate over pledge to support opponent," August 15, 2018
  6. Vote Smart, "Eddie Edwards' Biography," accessed August 24, 2018
  7. Edwards for New Hampshire, "Meet Eddie Edwards," accessed August 24, 2018
  8. Edwards for New Hampshire, "Media," accessed August 24, 2018
  9. '"Seacoast Online, "Edwards, Sanborn, make case to New Castle Republicans," August 14, 2018
  10. Edwards for New Hampshire, "About," accessed August 24, 2018
  11. Seacoast Online, "Another View: Edwards on American values of hard work, self-reliance, and patriotism," August 6, 2018
  12. 12.0 12.1 12.2 12.3 Andy Sanborn for Congress, "About," accessed August 24, 2018
  13. Vote Smart, "Andy Sanborn's Biography," August 24, 2018
  14. Bill Track 50, "Andy Sanborn - (R) New Hampshire," accessed August 24, 2018
  15. New Hampshire Public Radio, "Race for the 1st: A Conversation with Andy Sanborn (R)," June 17, 2018
  16. Andy Sanborn for Congress, "Endorsements," accessed August 5, 2018
  17. Edwards for NH, "Home," August 5, 2018
  18. WMUR, "NH Primary Source: Sen. Rand Paul endorses Andy Sanborn for Congress in NH-01," June 27, 2018
  19. WMUR, "NH Primary Source: U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz backs Andy Sanborn in 1st District U.S. House race," August 7, 2018
  20. WMUR, "NH Primary Source: Republican congressional candidates Edwards, Negron pick up endorsements," July 26, 2018
  21. WMUR, "NH Primary Source: Santorum endorses Eddie Edwards for 1st District U.S. House seat," August 6, 2018
  22. NECN, "Rudy Giuliani Endorses Eddie Edwards in New Hampshire," August 1, 2018
  23. The Eagle-Tribune, "Endorsements pile up in 1st District race," August 4 2018
  24. The Conway Daily Sun, "Pappas, Edwards the logical choices," September 3, 2018
  25. Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
  26. Eddie Edwards' campaign website, “Issues,” accessed September 4, 2018
  27. Andy Sanborn's 2018 campaign website, "Principles," accessed September 4, 2018
  28. Associated Press, "Edwards Files Complaint With AG Over 'Illegal Mailer,'" August 29, 2018
  29. Union Leader, "GOP won't budge on unity pledge, so 1st CD debate a bust," August 16, 2018
  30. This figure includes Pennsylvania districts that were redrawn by the state Supreme Court in early 2018 and districts that flipped in special elections.
  31. The new 8th district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 17th District held by Cartwright. Click here to read more.
  32. The new 14th district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 18th District Lamb won in a March 2018 special election. Tim Murphy (R) won the old 18th District in the 2016 election. Click here to read more.
  33. Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  34. FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
  35. 270towin.com, "New Hampshire," accessed June 1, 2017
  36. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
  37. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
  38. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
  39. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
  40. New Hampshire Demographics, "New Hampshire Cities by Population," accessed September 5, 2018
  41. U.S. Census Bureau, "Quickfacts New Hampshire," accessed September 5, 2018


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