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New Hampshire's 2nd Congressional District election (September 11, 2018 Republican primary)
- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 23
- Early voting: N/A
- Absentee voting deadline: Varies by locality
- Online registration: No
- Same-day registration: Yes
- Voter ID: Photo ID required
- Poll times: In general, polling places open between 6:00 a.m. and 11:00 a.m. and close at 7:00 p.m. Eastern Time
2020 →
← 2016
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| New Hampshire's 2nd Congressional District |
|---|
 |
| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: June 15, 2018 |
| Primary: September 11, 2018 General: November 6, 2018 Pre-election incumbent: Ann McLane Kuster (Democrat) |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: Varies by municipality Voting in New Hampshire |
| Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic Inside Elections: Solid Democratic Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018 |
| See also |
1st • 2nd New Hampshire elections, 2018 U.S. Congress elections, 2018 U.S. Senate elections, 2018 U.S. House elections, 2018 |
A Republican Party primary election took place on September 11, 2018, in New Hampshire's 2nd District to determine which Republican would run in the district's November 6, 2018, general election.
This page focuses on the Republican primary. For an overview of the election in general, click here.
Candidates and election results
The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House New Hampshire District 2 on September 11, 2018.
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House New Hampshire District 2
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ |  | Steve Negron | 26.0 | 11,166 |
| Stewart Levenson | 25.3 | 10,858 | ||
| Lynne Blankenbeker | 22.9 | 9,836 | ||
 | Bob Burns | 15.9 | 6,811 | |
| Brian Belanger | 5.6 | 2,388 | ||
 | Jay Mercer | 2.9 | 1,232 | |
 | Gerard Beloin | 1.5 | 623 | |
| Total votes: 42,914 | |||
 = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+2, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 2 percentage point more Democratic than the national average. This made New Hampshire's 2nd Congressional District the 188th most Democratic nationally.[1]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.10. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.10 points toward that party.[2]
Campaign finance
The table below contains data from FEC Quarterly October 2017 reports. It includes only candidates who reported at least $10,000 in campaign contributions as of September 30, 2017.[3]
Republicans
State overview
Partisan control
This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in New Hampshire heading into the 2018 elections.
Congressional delegation
- Following the 2016 elections, Democrats held both U.S. Senate seats in New Hampshire.
- Democrats held both U.S. House seats in New Hampshire.
State executives
- As of May 2018, Republicans held three of 12 state executive positions (including the majority of the seats on the New Hampshire Executive Council), Democrats held one, and the remaining positions were officially nonpartisan.
- The governor of New Hampshire was Republican Chris Sununu. The state held an election for governor on November 6, 2018.
State legislature
- Republicans controlled both chambers of the New Hampshire General Court. They had a 212-167 majority in the state House and a 14-10 majority in the state Senate.
Trifecta status
- New Hampshire was a Republican trifecta, meaning that the Republican Party controlled the office of the governor, the state House, and the state Senate.
2018 elections
- See also: New Hampshire elections, 2018
New Hampshire held elections for the following positions in 2018:
- 18 U.S. House seats
- Governor
- Five state executive council seats
- 24 state Senate seats
- 400 state House seats
Demographics
| Demographic data for New Hampshire | ||
|---|---|---|
| New Hampshire | U.S. | |
| Total population: | 1,330,111 | 316,515,021 |
| Land area (sq mi): | 8,953 | 3,531,905 |
| Race and ethnicity** | ||
| White: | 93.7% | 73.6% |
| Black/African American: | 1.3% | 12.6% |
| Asian: | 2.4% | 5.1% |
| Native American: | 0.2% | 0.8% |
| Pacific Islander: | 0% | 0.2% |
| Two or more: | 1.8% | 3% |
| Hispanic/Latino: | 3.2% | 17.1% |
| Education | ||
| High school graduation rate: | 92.3% | 86.7% |
| College graduation rate: | 34.9% | 29.8% |
| Income | ||
| Median household income: | $66,779 | $53,889 |
| Persons below poverty level: | 9.9% | 11.3% |
| Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in New Hampshire. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. | ||
As of July 2016, New Hampshire's three largest cities were Manchester (pop. est. 111,196), Nashua (pop. est. 88,341), and Concord (pop. est. 43,019).[4][5]
State election history
This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in New Hampshire from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the New Hampshire State Board of Elections.
Historical elections
Presidential elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the presidential election in New Hampshire every year from 2000 to 2016.
| Election results (President of the United States), New Hampshire 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2016 |  Hillary Clinton |
47.6% | Donald Trump |
47.2% | 0.4% |
| 2012 | Barack Obama |
52.0% | Mitt Romney |
46.4% | 5.6% |
| 2008 | Barack Obama |
54.4% | John McCain |
44.7% | 9.7% |
| 2004 | John Kerry |
50.2% | George W. Bush |
48.9% | 1.3% |
| 2000 | George W. Bush |
48.1% | Al Gore |
46.9% | 1.2% |
U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in New Hampshire from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.
| Election results (U.S. Senator), New Hampshire 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2016 | Maggie Hassan |
48.0% | Kelly Ayotte |
47.8% | 0.2% |
| 2014 | Jeanne Shaheen |
51.5% | Scott Brown |
48.2% | 3.3% |
| 2010 | Kelly Ayotte |
60.2% | Paul Hodes |
36.7% | 23.5% |
| 2008 | Jeanne Shaheen |
51.6% | John E. Sununu |
45.3% | 6.3% |
| 2004 | Judd Gregg |
66.2% | Doris Haddock |
33.7% | 32.5% |
| 2002 | John E. Sununu |
50.8% | Jeanne Shaheen |
46.4% | 4.4% |
Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every two years in New Hampshire.
| Election results (Governor), New Hampshire 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2016 | Chris Sununu |
48.8% | Colin Van Ostern |
46.6% | 2.2% |
| 2014 | Maggie Hassan |
52.5% | Walter Havenstein |
47.3% | 5.2% |
| 2012 | Maggie Hassan |
54.6% | Ovide Lamontagne |
42.5% | 12.1% |
| 2010 | John Lynch |
52.6% | John Stephen |
45.1% | 7.5% |
| 2008 | John Lynch |
70.1% | Joseph Kenney |
27.6% | 42.5% |
| 2006 | John Lynch |
74.0% | Jim Coburn |
25.8% | 48.2% |
| 2004 | John Lynch |
51.0% | Craig Benson |
48.9% | 2.1% |
| 2002 | Craig Benson |
58.7% | Mark Fernald |
38.2% | 20.5% |
| 2000 | Jeanne Shaheen |
48.8% | Gordon Humphrey |
43.8% | 5.0% |
Congressional delegation, 2000-2016
This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent New Hampshire in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.
| Congressional delegation, New Hampshire 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Republicans | Republicans (%) | Democrats | Democrats (%) | Balance of power |
| 2016 | 0 |
0.0% | 2 |
100.0% | D+2 |
| 2014 | 1 |
50.0% | 1 |
50.0% | Even |
| 2012 | 0 |
0.0% | 2 |
100.0% | D+2 |
| 2010 | 2 |
100.0% | 0 |
0.0% | R+2 |
| 2008 | 0 |
0.0% | 2 |
100.0% | D+2 |
| 2006 | 0 |
0.0% | 2 |
100.0% | D+2 |
| 2004 | 2 |
100.0% | 0 |
0.0% | R+2 |
| 2002 | 2 |
100.0% | 0 |
0.0% | R+2 |
| 2000 | 2 |
100.0% | 0 |
0.0% | R+2 |
Trifectas, 1992-2017
A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.
New Hampshire Party Control: 1992-2025
Four years of Democratic trifectas • Fourteen years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| Senate | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | S | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | R |
| House | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | R |
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire, 2018
- United States House elections in New Hampshire (September 11, 2018 Republican primaries)
- New Hampshire's 2nd Congressional District election (September 11, 2018 Democratic primary)
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2018
Footnotes
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ FEC, "Federal Election Commission," accessed November 5, 2017
- ↑ New Hampshire Demographics, "New Hampshire Cities by Population," accessed September 5, 2018
- ↑ U.S. Census Bureau, "Quickfacts New Hampshire," accessed September 5, 2018
