New Jersey's 11th Congressional District election, 2020

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2022
2018
New Jersey's 11th Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: March 30, 2020
Primary: July 7, 2020
General: November 3, 2020

Pre-election incumbent:
Mikie Sherrill (Democrat)
How to vote
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 8 p.m.
Voting in New Jersey
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020
See also
New Jersey's 11th Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th
New Jersey elections, 2020
U.S. Congress elections, 2020
U.S. Senate elections, 2020
U.S. House elections, 2020

All U.S. congressional districts, including the 11th Congressional District of New Jersey, held elections in 2020.

Incumbent Mikie Sherrill won election in the general election for U.S. House New Jersey District 11.

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
March 30, 2020
July 7, 2020
November 3, 2020


Heading into the election the incumbent was Democrat Mikie Sherrill, who was first elected in 2018.

As of the 2010 Census, New Jersey's 11th Congressional District was located in the northern portion of the state and included portions of Morris, Pasaic, Essex, and Sussex counties.[1]

Post-election analysis

The table below compares the vote totals in the 2020 presidential election and 2020 U.S. House election for this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

Presidential and congressional election results, New Jersey's 11th Congressional District, 2020
Race Presidential U.S. House
Democratic candidate Democratic Party 52.9 53.3
Republican candidate Republican Party 45.8 46.7
Difference 7.1 6.6

Election procedure changes in 2020

See also: Changes to election dates, procedures, and administration in response to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, 2020

Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.

New Jersey modified its absentee/mail-in voting and candidate filing procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:

  • Absentee/mail-in voting: Mail-in were ballots sent to all registered voters in the general election.
  • Candidate filing procedures: Candidates were allowed to collect and submit petition signatures via electronic means. The petition deadline for unaffiliated candidates for non-presidential office was postponed to July 7, 2020.

For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.

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Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House New Jersey District 11

Incumbent Mikie Sherrill defeated Rosemary Becchi in the general election for U.S. House New Jersey District 11 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Mikie Sherrill
Mikie Sherrill (D)
 
53.3
 
235,163
Image of Rosemary Becchi
Rosemary Becchi (R)
 
46.7
 
206,013

Total votes: 441,176
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House New Jersey District 11

Incumbent Mikie Sherrill advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House New Jersey District 11 on July 7, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Mikie Sherrill
Mikie Sherrill
 
100.0
 
79,961

Total votes: 79,961
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House New Jersey District 11

Rosemary Becchi advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House New Jersey District 11 on July 7, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Rosemary Becchi
Rosemary Becchi
 
100.0
 
46,774

Total votes: 46,774
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

Two of 21 New Jersey counties—9.5 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
County Trump margin of victory in 2016 Obama margin of victory in 2012 Obama margin of victory in 2008
Gloucester County, New Jersey 0.48% 10.77% 12.16%
Salem County, New Jersey 15.00% 1.31% 3.92%

In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton (D) won New Jersey with 55.5 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 41.4 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, New Jersey voted Democratic 46.67 percent of the time and Republican 53.33 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, New Jersey voted Democratic all five times.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+3, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 3 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made New Jersey's 11th Congressional District the 209th most Republican nationally.[2]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.07. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.07 points toward that party.[3]

Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[4] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[5] The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Mikie Sherrill Democratic Party $6,494,470 $3,807,868 $3,131,721 As of December 31, 2020
Rosemary Becchi Republican Party $1,698,565 $1,697,769 $1,295 As of December 31, 2020

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.


Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[6]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[7][8][9]

Race ratings: New Jersey's 11th Congressional District election, 2020
Race trackerRace ratings
November 3, 2020October 27, 2020October 20, 2020October 13, 2020
The Cook Political ReportSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season.

District represented by a Democrat in 2020 and won by Donald Trump in 2016

See also: U.S. House districts represented by a Democrat in 2020 and won by Donald Trump in 2016

This district was one of 30 Democratic-held U.S. House districts up in 2020 that Donald Trump (R) won in the 2016 presidential election. Most were expected to be among the House's most competitive elections in 2020.


2020 Democratic-held U.S. House districts won by Donald Trump in 2016
District Incumbent Ran in 2020? 2018 congressional margin 2016 presidential margin 2012 presidential margin
Arizona's 1st Democratic Party Tom O'Halleran Yes Democrats+7.7 Trump+1.1 Romney+2.5
Georgia's 6th Democratic Party Lucy McBath Yes Democrats+1.0 Trump+1.5 Romney+23.3
Illinois' 14th Democratic Party Lauren Underwood Yes Democrats+5.0 Trump+3.9 Romney+10
Illinois' 17th Democratic Party Cheri Bustos Yes Democrats+24.2 Trump+0.7 Obama+17
Iowa's 1st Democratic Party Abby Finkenauer Yes Democrats+5.1 Trump+3.5 Obama+13.7
Iowa's 2nd Democratic Party Dave Loebsack Retired Democrats+5.2 Trump+4.1 Obama+13.1
Iowa's 3rd Democratic Party Cindy Axne Yes Democrats+2.2 Trump+3.5 Obama+4.2
Maine's 2nd Democratic Party Jared Golden Yes Democrats+1.3 Trump+10.3 Obama+8.6
Michigan's 8th Democratic Party Elissa Slotkin Yes Democrats+3.8 Trump+6.7 Romney+3.1
Michigan's 11th Democratic Party Haley Stevens Yes Democrats+6.7 Trump+4.4 Romney+5.4
Minnesota's 2nd Democratic Party Angie Craig Yes Democrats+5.5 Trump+1.2 Obama+0.1
Minnesota's 7th Democratic Party Collin Peterson Yes Democrats+4.3 Trump+30.8 Romney+9.8
Nevada's 3rd Democratic Party Susie Lee Yes Democrats+9.1 Trump+1.0 Obama+0.8
New Hampshire's 1st Democratic Party Chris Pappas Yes Democrats+8.6 Trump+1.6 Obama+1.6
New Jersey's 3rd Democratic Party Andrew Kim Yes Democrats+1.3 Trump+6.2 Obama+4.6
New Jersey's 5th Democratic Party Josh Gottheimer Yes Democrats+13.7 Trump+1.1 Romney+3.0
New Jersey's 11th Democratic Party Mikie Sherrill Yes Democrats+14.6 Trump+0.9 Romney+5.8
New Mexico's 2nd Democratic Party Xochitl Torres Small Yes Democrats+1.9 Trump+10.2 Romney+6.8
New York's 11th Democratic Party Max Rose Yes Democrats+6.5 Trump+9.8 Obama+4.3
New York's 18th Democratic Party Sean Maloney Yes Democrats+10.9 Trump+1.9 Obama+4.3
New York's 19th Democratic Party Antonio Delgado Yes Democrats+5.2 Trump+6.8 Obama+6.2
New York's 22nd Democratic Party Anthony Brindisi Yes Democrats+1.8 Trump+15.5 Romney+0.4
Oklahoma's 5th Democratic Party Kendra Horn Yes Democrats+1.4 Trump+13.4 Romney+18.4
Pennsylvania's 8th Democratic Party Matt Cartwright Yes Democrats+9.3 Trump+9.6 Obama+11.9
Pennsylvania's 17th Democratic Party Conor Lamb Yes Democrats+12.5 Trump+2.6 Romney+4.5
South Carolina's 1st Democratic Party Joe Cunningham Yes Democrats+1.4 Trump+13.1 Romney+18.1
Utah's 4th Democratic Party Ben McAdams Yes Democrats+0.3 Trump+6.7 Romney+37.0
Virginia's 2nd Democratic Party Elaine Luria Yes Democrats+2.2 Trump+3.4 Romney+2.3
Virginia's 7th Democratic Party Abigail Spanberger Yes Democrats+1.9 Trump+6.5 Romney+10.5
Wisconsin's 3rd Democratic Party Ron Kind Yes Democrats+19.3 Trump+4.5 Obama+11
Source: Sabato's Crystal Ball and Daily Kos


Click here to see the five U.S. House districts represented by a Republican in 2020 and won by Hillary Clinton in 2016.

Candidate ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for 11th Congressional District candidates in New Jersey in the 2020 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in New Jersey, click here.

Filing requirements, 2020
State Office Party Signatures required Signature formula Filing fee Filing fee formula Filing deadline Source
New Jersey 11th Congressional District Qualified party 200 Fixed number N/A N/A 3/30/2020 Source
New Jersey 11th Congressional District Unaffiliated 100 Fixed number N/A N/A 7/7/2020 Source

District election history

2018

See also: New Jersey's 11th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House New Jersey District 11

Mikie Sherrill defeated Jay Webber, Robert Crook, and Ryan Martinez in the general election for U.S. House New Jersey District 11 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Mikie Sherrill
Mikie Sherrill (D)
 
56.8
 
183,684
Image of Jay Webber
Jay Webber (R)
 
42.1
 
136,322
Image of Robert Crook
Robert Crook (Honesty, Integrity, Compassion Party) Candidate Connection
 
0.7
 
2,182
Ryan Martinez (L) Candidate Connection
 
0.4
 
1,386

Total votes: 323,574
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House New Jersey District 11

Mikie Sherrill defeated Tamara Harris, Mark Washburne, Alison Heslin, and Mitchell Cobert in the Democratic primary for U.S. House New Jersey District 11 on June 5, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Mikie Sherrill
Mikie Sherrill
 
77.4
 
35,338
Image of Tamara Harris
Tamara Harris
 
14.5
 
6,615
Mark Washburne
 
3.4
 
1,538
Alison Heslin
 
2.7
 
1,253
Mitchell Cobert
 
1.9
 
885

Total votes: 45,629
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House New Jersey District 11

Jay Webber defeated Peter de Neufville, Antony Ghee, Patrick Allocco, and Martin Hewitt in the Republican primary for U.S. House New Jersey District 11 on June 5, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Jay Webber
Jay Webber
 
40.0
 
16,417
Peter de Neufville
 
30.5
 
12,487
Antony Ghee
 
21.9
 
8,991
Image of Patrick Allocco
Patrick Allocco
 
4.1
 
1,680
Image of Martin Hewitt
Martin Hewitt
 
3.5
 
1,428

Total votes: 41,003
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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2016

See also: New Jersey's 11th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Rodney Frelinghuysen (R) defeated Joseph Wenzel (D), Jeff Hetrick (L), and Thomas DePasquale (Financial Independence) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Frelinghuysen defeated Rick Van Glahn in the Republican primary, while Wenzel won the Democratic nomination against Lee Anne Brogowski and Richard McFarlane. The primary elections took place on June 7, 2016. Frelinghuysen won re-election in the November 8 election.[10][11][12]

U.S. House, New Jersey District 11 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngRodney Frelinghuysen Incumbent 58% 194,299
     Democratic Joseph Wenzel 38.9% 130,162
     Financial Independence Thomas DePasquale 2.1% 7,056
     Libertarian Jeff Hetrick 1% 3,475
Total Votes 334,992
Source: New Jersey Division of Elections


U.S. House, New Jersey District 11 Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngRodney Frelinghuysen Incumbent 76.2% 44,618
Rick Van Glahn 23.8% 13,909
Total Votes 58,527
Source: New Jersey Division of Elections


U.S. House, New Jersey District 11 Democratic Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngJoseph Wenzel 70.4% 34,688
Richard McFarlane 17.8% 8,751
Lee Anne Brogowski 11.8% 5,799
Total Votes 49,238
Source: New Jersey Division of Elections

2014

See also: New Jersey's 11th Congressional District elections, 2014

The 11th Congressional District of New Jersey held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Rodney Frelinghuysen (R) defeated Mark Dunec (D) in the general election.

U.S. House, New Jersey District 11 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngRodney Frelinghuysen Incumbent 62.6% 109,455
     Democratic Mark Dunec 37.4% 65,477
Total Votes 174,932
Source: New Jersey Division of Elections

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. New Jersey Redistricting Map, "Map," accessed September 25, 2012
  2. Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  3. FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
  4. Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
  5. Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
  6. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  7. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  8. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  9. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  10. New Jersey Division of Elections, "Candidates for House of Representatives for Primary Election 6/7/2016," accessed April 5, 2016
  11. New Jersey Secretary of State, "Candidates for House of Representatives," accessed September 7, 2016
  12. CNN, "New Jersey House 11 Results," November 8, 2016


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