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New Jersey's 12th Congressional District election, 2022
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| New Jersey's 12th Congressional District |
|---|
| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: April 4, 2022 |
| Primary: June 7, 2022 General: November 8, 2022 |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: 6 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in New Jersey |
| Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic Inside Elections: Solid Democratic Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022 |
| See also |
1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th New Jersey elections, 2022 U.S. Congress elections, 2022 U.S. Senate elections, 2022 U.S. House elections, 2022 |
All U.S. House districts, including the 12th Congressional District of New Jersey, held elections in 2022. The general election was on November 8, 2022. The primary was scheduled for June 7, 2022. The filing deadline was April 4, 2022.
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- New Jersey's 12th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 7 Democratic primary)
- New Jersey's 12th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 7 Republican primary)
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House New Jersey District 12
Incumbent Bonnie Watson Coleman defeated Darius Mayfield and C. Lynn Genrich in the general election for U.S. House New Jersey District 12 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Bonnie Watson Coleman (D) | 63.1 | 125,127 | |
| Darius Mayfield (R) | 35.9 | 71,175 | ||
| C. Lynn Genrich (L) | 1.0 | 1,925 | ||
| Total votes: 198,227 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House New Jersey District 12
Incumbent Bonnie Watson Coleman advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House New Jersey District 12 on June 7, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Bonnie Watson Coleman | 100.0 | 37,440 | |
| Total votes: 37,440 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House New Jersey District 12
Darius Mayfield advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House New Jersey District 12 on June 7, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Darius Mayfield | 100.0 | 13,514 | |
| Total votes: 13,514 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Nick Catucci (R)
Voting information
- See also: Voting in New Jersey
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
No candidate in this race completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.
Campaign finance
| Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bonnie Watson Coleman | Democratic Party | $930,457 | $968,975 | $68,642 | As of December 31, 2022 |
| Darius Mayfield | Republican Party | $266,329 | $260,132 | $6,197 | As of December 31, 2022 |
| C. Lynn Genrich | Libertarian Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
|
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
|||||
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[1]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[2][3][4]
| Race ratings: New Jersey's 12th Congressional District election, 2022 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
| November 8, 2022 | November 1, 2022 | October 25, 2022 | October 18, 2022 | ||||||
| The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
| Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
| Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | |||||
| Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. | |||||||||
Ballot access requirements
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in New Jersey in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in New Jersey, click here.
| Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
| New Jersey | U.S. House | Ballot-qualified party | 200 | N/A | 4/4/2022 | Source |
| New Jersey | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 50 | N/A | 6/7/2022 | Source |
District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting.
- Effect of redistricting - How districts in the state changed as a result of redistricting following the 2020 census.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
District map
Below was the map in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the map in place before the election.
New Jersey District 12
until January 2, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
New Jersey District 12
starting January 3, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Effect of redistricting
The table below details the results of the 2020 presidential election in each district at the time of the 2022 election and its political predecessor district.[5] This data was compiled by Daily Kos Elections.[6]
| 2020 presidential results by Congressional district, New Jersey | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| District | 2022 district | Political predecessor district | ||
| Joe Biden |
Donald Trump |
Joe Biden |
Donald Trump | |
| New Jersey's 1st | 61.5% | 37.1% | 62.1% | 36.6% |
| New Jersey's 2nd | 46.9% | 51.8% | 47.9% | 50.8% |
| New Jersey's 3rd | 56.3% | 42.3% | 49.2% | 49.4% |
| New Jersey's 4th | 38.1% | 60.6% | 44.1% | 54.6% |
| New Jersey's 5th | 55.6% | 43.2% | 51.9% | 46.7% |
| New Jersey's 6th | 59.0% | 39.7% | 57.2% | 41.5% |
| New Jersey's 7th | 51.1% | 47.3% | 54.2% | 44.3% |
| New Jersey's 8th | 72.1% | 26.8% | 71.8% | 27.2% |
| New Jersey's 9th | 58.9% | 40.0% | 62.2% | 36.8% |
| New Jersey's 10th | 80.6% | 18.6% | 84.2% | 15.0% |
| New Jersey's 11th | 57.8% | 40.9% | 52.7% | 46.0% |
| New Jersey's 12th | 66.6% | 32.1% | 67.3% | 31.4% |
Competitiveness
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in New Jersey.
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in New Jersey in 2022. Information below was calculated on May 16, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
Fifty-five candidates filed to run for New Jersey’s 12 U.S. House districts, including 20 Democrats and 35 Republicans. That’s 4.58 candidates per district, more than the 4.17 candidates per district in 2020 and the 4.08 in 2018. This was the first election to take place under new district lines following the 2020 census. New Jersey was apportioned 12 districts, the same number it was apportioned after the 2010 census.
The 55 candidates that ran in 2022 are the highest number of House candidates since at least 2014, the earliest year for which we have data.
Rep. Albio Sires (D) did not file for re-election, making the 8th district the only open seat this year. That’s one more than in 2020, when there were no open seats, and one less than in 2018, when the 2nd and the 11th districts were open. Nine candidates — seven Republicans and two Democrats, including incumbent Rep. Tom Malinowski (D) — filed to run in the 7th district, the most running for one seat this year. That’s two more than in 2020, when seven candidates ran in the 2nd district, and one less than in 2018, when 10 candidates ran in the 11th district.
There were six contested Democratic primaries this year, the lowest number since 2016, and 10 contested Republican primaries, the most since at least 2014. Five incumbents — all Democrats — did not face any primary challengers this year. That’s one more than in 2020, when four incumbents did not face any primary challengers.
Candidates filed to run in the Republican and Democratic primaries in all 12 districts, so no seats were guaranteed to either party this year.
Presidential elections
Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+12. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 12 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made New Jersey's 12th the 113th most Democratic district nationally.[7]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
| 2020 presidential results in New Jersey's 12th based on 2022 district lines | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden |
Donald Trump | |||
| 66.6% | 32.1% | |||
Presidential voting history
New Jersey presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 15 Democratic wins
- 16 Republican wins
| Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winning Party | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Demographics
The table below details demographic data in New Jersey and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.
| Demographic Data for New Jersey | ||
|---|---|---|
| New Jersey | United States | |
| Population | 8,791,894 | 308,745,538 |
| Land area (sq mi) | 7,354 | 3,531,905 |
| Race and ethnicity** | ||
| White | 67.8% | 72.5% |
| Black/African American | 13.5% | 12.7% |
| Asian | 9.5% | 5.5% |
| Native American | 0.2% | 0.8% |
| Pacific Islander | 0% | 0.2% |
| Other (single race) | 6.3% | 4.9% |
| Multiple | 2.7% | 3.3% |
| Hispanic/Latino | 20.2% | 18% |
| Education | ||
| High school graduation rate | 89.8% | 88% |
| College graduation rate | 39.7% | 32.1% |
| Income | ||
| Median household income | $82,545 | $62,843 |
| Persons below poverty level | 10% | 13.4% |
| Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2010). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2014-2019). | ||
| **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. | ||
State party control
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of New Jersey's congressional delegation as of November 2022.
| Congressional Partisan Breakdown from New Jersey, November 2022 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
| Democratic | 2 | 10 | 12 |
| Republican | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 2 | 12 | 14 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in New Jersey's top four state executive offices as of November 2022.
| State executive officials in New Jersey, November 2022 | |
|---|---|
| Office | Officeholder |
| Governor | |
| Lieutenant Governor | |
| Secretary of State | |
| Attorney General | |
State legislature
The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the New Jersey State Legislature as of November 2022.
New Jersey State Senate
| Party | As of November 2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 24 | |
| Republican Party | 16 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 40 | |
New Jersey General Assembly
| Party | As of November 2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 46 | |
| Republican Party | 34 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 80 | |
Trifecta control
As of November 2022, New Jersey was a Democratic trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.
New Jersey Party Control: 1992-2022
Eleven years of Democratic trifectas • Eight years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D |
| Senate | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | S | S | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
| Assembly | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
District history
2020
See also: New Jersey's 12th Congressional District election, 2020
New Jersey's 12th Congressional District election, 2020 (July 7 Democratic primary)
New Jersey's 12th Congressional District election, 2020 (July 7 Republican primary)
General election
General election for U.S. House New Jersey District 12
Incumbent Bonnie Watson Coleman defeated Mark Razzoli, Robert Edward Forchion Jr., and Kenneth Cody in the general election for U.S. House New Jersey District 12 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Bonnie Watson Coleman (D) | 65.6 | 230,883 | |
| Mark Razzoli (R) | 32.6 | 114,591 | ||
| Robert Edward Forchion Jr. (Independent) | 1.3 | 4,512 | ||
Kenneth Cody (Truth Vision Hope Party) ![]() | 0.5 | 1,739 | ||
| Total votes: 351,725 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Watch the Candidate Conversation for this race!
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Stan Koshy (Independent)
- Zadok Rubin (People's Party)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House New Jersey District 12
Incumbent Bonnie Watson Coleman defeated Lisa McCormick in the Democratic primary for U.S. House New Jersey District 12 on July 7, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Bonnie Watson Coleman | 89.2 | 81,936 | |
| Lisa McCormick | 10.8 | 9,928 | ||
| Total votes: 91,864 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House New Jersey District 12
Mark Razzoli advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House New Jersey District 12 on July 7, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Mark Razzoli | 100.0 | 19,992 | |
| Total votes: 19,992 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House New Jersey District 12
Incumbent Bonnie Watson Coleman defeated Daryl Kipnis in the general election for U.S. House New Jersey District 12 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Bonnie Watson Coleman (D) | 68.7 | 173,334 | |
| Daryl Kipnis (R) | 31.3 | 79,041 | ||
| Total votes: 252,375 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House New Jersey District 12
Incumbent Bonnie Watson Coleman advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House New Jersey District 12 on June 5, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Bonnie Watson Coleman | 100.0 | 35,430 | |
| Total votes: 35,430 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Andrew Hartford (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House New Jersey District 12
Daryl Kipnis advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House New Jersey District 12 on June 5, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Daryl Kipnis | 100.0 | 9,776 | |
| Total votes: 9,776 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Bonnie Watson Coleman (D) defeated Steven Uccio (R) and several third party candidates in the general election on November 8, 2016. Watson Coleman defeated Alexander Kucsma in the Democratic primary on June 7, 2016. Watson Coleman won re-election in the November 8 election.[8][9][9][10]
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 62.9% | 181,430 | ||
| Republican | Steven Uccio | 32% | 92,407 | |
| Legalize Marijuana | Edward Forchion | 2.1% | 6,094 | |
| Teddy Roosevelt Progressive | Robert Shapiro | 1% | 2,775 | |
| Libertarian | Thomas Fitzpatrick | 0.9% | 2,482 | |
| Green | Steven Welzer | 0.7% | 2,135 | |
| We the People | Michael Bollentin | 0.5% | 1,311 | |
| Total Votes | 288,634 | |||
| Source: New Jersey Division of Elections | ||||
| Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
93.6% | 66,479 | ||
| Alexander Kucsma | 6.4% | 4,525 | ||
| Total Votes | 71,004 | |||
| Source: New Jersey Division of Elections |
||||
2014
The 12th Congressional District of New Jersey held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Bonnie Watson Coleman (D) defeated Alieta Eck (R), Steven Welzer (G), Kenneth Cody ("Truth Vision Hope"), Allen Cannon (Democratic-Republican), Don Dezarn ("Legalize Marijuana Party") and Jack Freudenheim ("Start the Conversation") in the general election.
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 61% | 90,430 | ||
| Republican | Alieta Eck | 36.5% | 54,168 | |
| Green | Steven Welzer | 0.6% | 890 | |
| Truth Vision Hope | Kenneth Cody | 0.4% | 567 | |
| Democratic-Republican | Allen Cannon | 0.3% | 450 | |
| Legalize Marijuana | Don Dezarn | 0.9% | 1,330 | |
| Start the Conversation | Jack Freudenheim | 0.4% | 531 | |
| Total Votes | 148,366 | |||
| Source: New Jersey Division of Elections | ||||
| Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
43% | 15,603 | ||
| Linda Greenstein | 27.8% | 10,089 | ||
| Upendra Chivukula | 21.8% | 7,890 | ||
| Andrew Zwicker | 7.4% | 2,668 | ||
| Total Votes | 36,250 | |||
| Source: New Jersey Division of Elections - Official Election Results |
||||
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Political predecessor districts are determined primarily based on incumbents and where each chose to seek re-election.
- ↑ Daily Kos Elections, "Daily Kos Elections 2020 presidential results by congressional district (old CDs vs. new CDs)," accessed May 12, 2022
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
- ↑ New Jersey Division of Elections, "Candidates for House of Representatives for Primary Election 6/7/2016," accessed April 5, 2016
- ↑ 9.0 9.1 New Jersey Division of Elections, "General election candidates," accessed August 11, 2016 Cite error: Invalid
<ref>tag; name "genlist16" defined multiple times with different content - ↑ CNN, "New Jersey House 12 Results," November 8, 2016
= candidate completed the