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New Jersey's 3rd Congressional District election (June 5, 2018 Democratic primary)

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New Jersey's 3rd Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: April 2, 2018
Primary: June 5, 2018
General: November 6, 2018
Pre-election incumbent:
Tom MacArthur (Republican)
How to vote
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 8 p.m.
Voting in New Jersey
Race ratings
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2018): R+2
Cook Political Report: Toss-up
Inside Elections: Tilt Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Toss-up
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018
See also
New Jersey's 3rd Congressional District
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th
New Jersey elections, 2018
U.S. Congress elections, 2018
U.S. Senate elections, 2018
U.S. House elections, 2018

A Democratic Party primary election took place on June 5, 2018, in New Jersey's 3rd District to determine which Democrat would run in the district's November 6, 2018, general election.

This page focuses on the Democratic primary. For an overview of the election in general, click here.

See also: United States House elections in New Jersey (June 5, 2018 Democratic primaries) and United States House Democratic Party primaries, 2018


Candidates and election results

Andrew Kim advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House New Jersey District 3 on June 5, 2018.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House New Jersey District 3

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Andrew Kim
Andrew Kim
 
100.0
 
28,514

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified.

Total votes: 28,514
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+2, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 2 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made New Jersey's 3rd Congressional District the 220th most Republican nationally.[1]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.96. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.96 points toward that party.[2]

Campaign finance

The table below contains data from FEC Quarterly October 2017 reports. It includes only candidates who reported at least $10,000 in campaign contributions as of September 30, 2017.[3] Democratic Party Democrats



State overview

Partisan control

This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in New Jersey heading into the 2018 elections.

Congressional delegation

State executives

  • As of May 2018, Democrats held five of 14 state executive positions. The other nine positions were held by nonpartisan officials.
  • The governor of New Jersey was Democrat Phil Murphy.

State legislature

  • Democrats controlled both chambers of the New Jersey State Legislature. They had a 54-26 majority in the state Assembly and a 25-15 majority in the state Senate.

Trifecta status

  • New Jersey was a Democratic trifecta, meaning that the Democratic Party held the governorship, a majority in the state Senate, and a majority in the state Assembly.

2018 elections

See also: New Jersey elections, 2018

New Jersey held elections for the following positions in 2018:

Demographics

Demographic data for New Jersey
 New JerseyU.S.
Total population:8,935,421316,515,021
Land area (sq mi):7,3543,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White:68.3%73.6%
Black/African American:13.5%12.6%
Asian:9%5.1%
Native American:0.2%0.8%
Pacific Islander:0%0.2%
Two or more:2.5%3%
Hispanic/Latino:19%17.1%
Education
High school graduation rate:88.6%86.7%
College graduation rate:36.8%29.8%
Income
Median household income:$72,093$53,889
Persons below poverty level:12.7%11.3%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015)
Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in New Jersey.
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.

As of July 2016, New Jersey had a population of approximately 9 million people, and its three largest cities were New Jersey (pop. est. 283,000), Jersey City (pop. est. 265,000), and Paterson (pop. est. 147,000).[4][5]

State election history

This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in New Jersey from 2000 to 2016.

Historical elections

Presidential elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the presidential election in New Jersey every year from 2000 to 2016.

Election results (President of the United States), New Jersey 2000-2016[6]
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2016 Democratic Party Hillary Clinton 55.5% Republican Party Donald Trump 41.4% 14.1%
2012 Democratic Party Barack Obama 58.4% Republican Party Mitt Romney 40.6% 17.8%
2008 Democratic Party Barack Obama 57.2% Republican Party John McCain 41.7% 15.5%
2004 Democratic Party John Kerry 52.9% Republican Party George W. Bush 46.2% 6.7%
2000 Democratic Party Al Gore 56.1% Republican Party George W. Bush 40.3% 15.8%

U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in New Jersey from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.

Election results (U.S. Senator), New Jersey 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2014[7] Democratic Party Cory Booker 55.8% Republican Party Jeff Bell 42.3% 13.5%
2012[8] Democratic Party Bob Menendez 58.9% Republican Party Joseph Kyrillos 39.4% 19.5%
2008[9] Democratic Party Frank Lautenberg 56.0% Republican Party Dick Zimmer 42.0% 14.0%
2006[10] Democratic Party Bob Menendez 53.3% Republican Party Thomas Kean Jr. 44.3% 9.0%
2002[11] Democratic Party Frank Lautenberg 53.9% Republican Party Doug Forrester 44.0% 9.9%
2000[12] Democratic Party Jon Corzine 50.1% Republican Party Bob Franks 47.1% 3.0%

Gubernatorial elections, 2001-2017

This chart shows the results of the five gubernatorial elections held between 2001 and 2017. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in New Jersey, and, unlike most states, they take place in odd years.

Election results (Governor), New Jersey 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2017[13] Democratic Party Phil Murphy 56.0% Republican Party Kim Guadagno 41.9% 14.1%
2013[14] Republican Party Chris Christie 60.3% Democratic Party Barbara Buono 38.2% 22.1%
2009[15] Republican Party Chris Christie 48.5% Democratic Party Jon Corzine 44.9% 3.6%
2005[16] Democratic Party Jon Corzine 53.5% Republican Party Doug Forrester 43.0% 10.5%
2001[17] Democratic Party Jim McGreevey 56.4% Republican Party Bret Schundler 41.7% 14.7%

Congressional delegation, 2000-2016

This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent New Jersey in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.

Congressional delegation, New Jersey 2000-2016
Year Republicans Republicans (%) Democrats Democrats (%) Balance of power
2016[18] Republican Party 5 41.7% Democratic Party 7 58.3% D+2
2014[7] Republican Party 6 50.0% Democratic Party 6 50.0% Even
2012[8] Republican Party 6 50.0% Democratic Party 6 50.0% Even
2010[19] Republican Party 6 46.2% Democratic Party 7 53.8% D+1
2008[9] Republican Party 5 38.5% Democratic Party 8 61.5% D+3
2006[10] Republican Party 6 46.2% Democratic Party 7 53.8% D+1
2004[20] Republican Party 6 46.2% Democratic Party 7 53.8% D+1
2002[11] Republican Party 6 46.2% Democratic Party 7 53.8% D+1
2000[12] Republican Party 6 46.2% Democratic Party 7 53.8% D+1

Trifectas, 1992-2018

A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.

New Jersey Party Control: 1992-2025
Fourteen years of Democratic trifectas  •  Eight years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Governor D D R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D
Senate R R R R R R R R R R S S D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D
Assembly R R R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D


,

See also

Footnotes

  1. ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  2. ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
  3. ↑ FEC, "Federal Election Commission," accessed November 5, 2017
  4. ↑ United States Census Bureau, "QuickFacts New Jersey," March 27, 2018
  5. ↑ World Population Review, "Population of Cities in New Jersey (2018)," accessed March 27, 2018
  6. ↑ US Election Atlas, "United States Presidential Election Results," accessed March 27, 2018
  7. ↑ 7.0 7.1 New Jersey Secretary of State, "2014 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
  8. ↑ 8.0 8.1 New Jersey Secretary of State, "2012 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
  9. ↑ 9.0 9.1 New Jersey Secretary of State, "2008 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
  10. ↑ 10.0 10.1 New Jersey Secretary of State, "2006 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
  11. ↑ 11.0 11.1 New Jersey Secretary of State, "2002 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
  12. ↑ 12.0 12.1 New Jersey Secretary of State, "2000 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
  13. ↑ New Jersey Secretary of State, "2017 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
  14. ↑ New Jersey Secretary of State, "2013 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
  15. ↑ New Jersey Secretary of State, "2009 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
  16. ↑ New Jersey Secretary of State, "2005 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
  17. ↑ New Jersey Secretary of State, "2001 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
  18. ↑ New Jersey Secretary of State, "2016 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
  19. ↑ New Jersey Secretary of State, "2010 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
  20. ↑ New Jersey Secretary of State, "2004 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018


New Jersey's current delegation to the United States Congress
Senators
Cory Booker (D)
Andrew Kim (D)
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
District 9
District 10
District 11
District 12
Democratic Party (11)
Republican Party (3)


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