New Jersey's 5th Congressional District election, 2020
- Election date: Nov. 3
- Registration deadline(s): Oct. 13
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: No
- Recount laws
- Early voting starts: N/A
- Absentee/mail voting deadline(s): Nov. 3 (postmarked); Nov. 10 (received)
- Processing, counting, and challenging absentee/mail-in ballots
- Voter ID: No ID
- Poll times: 6 a.m. to 8 p.m.
2022 →
← 2018
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New Jersey's 5th Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: March 30, 2020 |
Primary: July 7, 2020 General: November 3, 2020 Pre-election incumbent: Josh Gottheimer (Democrat) |
How to vote |
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in New Jersey |
Race ratings |
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th New Jersey elections, 2020 U.S. Congress elections, 2020 U.S. Senate elections, 2020 U.S. House elections, 2020 |
All U.S. congressional districts, including the 5th Congressional District of New Jersey, held elections in 2020.
Incumbent Josh Gottheimer won election in the general election for U.S. House New Jersey District 5.
Candidate filing deadline | Primary election | General election |
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Heading into the election the incumbent was Democrat Josh Gottheimer, who was first elected in 2016.
New Jersey's 5th Congressional District is located in the northern portion of the state and includes much of the northern portions of Warren, Sussex, Passaic and Bergen counties.[1]
Post-election analysis
The table below compares the vote totals in the 2020 presidential election and 2020 U.S. House election for this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
Election procedure changes in 2020
Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.
New Jersey modified its absentee/mail-in voting and candidate filing procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:
- Absentee/mail-in voting: Mail-in were ballots sent to all registered voters in the general election.
- Candidate filing procedures: Candidates were allowed to collect and submit petition signatures via electronic means. The petition deadline for unaffiliated candidates for non-presidential office was postponed to July 7, 2020.
For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House New Jersey District 5
Incumbent Josh Gottheimer defeated Frank Pallotta and Louis Vellucci in the general election for U.S. House New Jersey District 5 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Josh Gottheimer (D) | 53.2 | 225,175 |
![]() | Frank Pallotta (R) | 45.6 | 193,333 | |
![]() | Louis Vellucci (American Values Party) ![]() | 1.2 | 5,128 |
Total votes: 423,636 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House New Jersey District 5
Incumbent Josh Gottheimer defeated Arati Kreibich in the Democratic primary for U.S. House New Jersey District 5 on July 7, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Josh Gottheimer | 66.5 | 52,406 |
![]() | Arati Kreibich ![]() | 33.5 | 26,418 |
Total votes: 78,824 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House New Jersey District 5
Frank Pallotta defeated John McCann, James Baldini, and Hector Castillo in the Republican primary for U.S. House New Jersey District 5 on July 7, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Frank Pallotta | 51.7 | 25,834 |
![]() | John McCann | 32.4 | 16,220 | |
James Baldini ![]() | 10.3 | 5,126 | ||
![]() | Hector Castillo | 5.6 | 2,814 |
Total votes: 49,994 | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Dana DiRisio (R)
- Paul Duggan (R)
- Robert Auth (R)
- Mike Ghassali (R)
- Jon Dalrymple Jr. (R)
Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
Two of 21 New Jersey counties—9.5 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008 | |||||||
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County | Trump margin of victory in 2016 | Obama margin of victory in 2012 | Obama margin of victory in 2008 | ||||
Gloucester County, New Jersey | 0.48% | 10.77% | 12.16% | ||||
Salem County, New Jersey | 15.00% | 1.31% | 3.92% |
In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton (D) won New Jersey with 55.5 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 41.4 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, New Jersey voted Democratic 46.67 percent of the time and Republican 53.33 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, New Jersey voted Democratic all five times.
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+3, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 3 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made New Jersey's 5th Congressional District the 217th most Republican nationally.[2]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.09. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.09 points toward that party.[3]
Campaign finance
This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[4] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[5] The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Josh Gottheimer | Democratic Party | $7,799,294 | $3,593,230 | $8,349,098 | As of December 31, 2020 |
Frank Pallotta | Republican Party | $2,100,505 | $2,077,177 | $23,328 | As of December 31, 2020 |
Louis Vellucci | American Values Party | $5,456 | $5,342 | $114 | As of December 31, 2020 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[6]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[7][8][9]
Race ratings: New Jersey's 5th Congressional District election, 2020 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 3, 2020 | October 27, 2020 | October 20, 2020 | October 13, 2020 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report | Solid Democratic | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season. |
District represented by a Democrat in 2020 and won by Donald Trump in 2016
This district was one of 30 Democratic-held U.S. House districts up in 2020 that Donald Trump (R) won in the 2016 presidential election. Most were expected to be among the House's most competitive elections in 2020.
2020 Democratic-held U.S. House districts won by Donald Trump in 2016 | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
District | Incumbent | Ran in 2020? | 2018 congressional margin | 2016 presidential margin | 2012 presidential margin | ||||||||
Arizona's 1st | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+7.7 | Trump+1.1 | Romney+2.5 | ||||||||
Georgia's 6th | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+1.0 | Trump+1.5 | Romney+23.3 | ||||||||
Illinois' 14th | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+5.0 | Trump+3.9 | Romney+10 | ||||||||
Illinois' 17th | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+24.2 | Trump+0.7 | Obama+17 | ||||||||
Iowa's 1st | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+5.1 | Trump+3.5 | Obama+13.7 | ||||||||
Iowa's 2nd | ![]() |
Retired | Democrats+5.2 | Trump+4.1 | Obama+13.1 | ||||||||
Iowa's 3rd | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+2.2 | Trump+3.5 | Obama+4.2 | ||||||||
Maine's 2nd | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+1.3 | Trump+10.3 | Obama+8.6 | ||||||||
Michigan's 8th | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+3.8 | Trump+6.7 | Romney+3.1 | ||||||||
Michigan's 11th | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+6.7 | Trump+4.4 | Romney+5.4 | ||||||||
Minnesota's 2nd | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+5.5 | Trump+1.2 | Obama+0.1 | ||||||||
Minnesota's 7th | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+4.3 | Trump+30.8 | Romney+9.8 | ||||||||
Nevada's 3rd | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+9.1 | Trump+1.0 | Obama+0.8 | ||||||||
New Hampshire's 1st | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+8.6 | Trump+1.6 | Obama+1.6 | ||||||||
New Jersey's 3rd | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+1.3 | Trump+6.2 | Obama+4.6 | ||||||||
New Jersey's 5th | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+13.7 | Trump+1.1 | Romney+3.0 | ||||||||
New Jersey's 11th | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+14.6 | Trump+0.9 | Romney+5.8 | ||||||||
New Mexico's 2nd | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+1.9 | Trump+10.2 | Romney+6.8 | ||||||||
New York's 11th | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+6.5 | Trump+9.8 | Obama+4.3 | ||||||||
New York's 18th | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+10.9 | Trump+1.9 | Obama+4.3 | ||||||||
New York's 19th | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+5.2 | Trump+6.8 | Obama+6.2 | ||||||||
New York's 22nd | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+1.8 | Trump+15.5 | Romney+0.4 | ||||||||
Oklahoma's 5th | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+1.4 | Trump+13.4 | Romney+18.4 | ||||||||
Pennsylvania's 8th | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+9.3 | Trump+9.6 | Obama+11.9 | ||||||||
Pennsylvania's 17th | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+12.5 | Trump+2.6 | Romney+4.5 | ||||||||
South Carolina's 1st | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+1.4 | Trump+13.1 | Romney+18.1 | ||||||||
Utah's 4th | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+0.3 | Trump+6.7 | Romney+37.0 | ||||||||
Virginia's 2nd | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+2.2 | Trump+3.4 | Romney+2.3 | ||||||||
Virginia's 7th | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+1.9 | Trump+6.5 | Romney+10.5 | ||||||||
Wisconsin's 3rd | ![]() |
Yes | Democrats+19.3 | Trump+4.5 | Obama+11 | ||||||||
Source: Sabato's Crystal Ball and Daily Kos |
Click here to see the five U.S. House districts represented by a Republican in 2020 and won by Hillary Clinton in 2016.
Candidate ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for 5th Congressional District candidates in New Jersey in the 2020 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in New Jersey, click here.
Filing requirements, 2020 | ||||||||
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State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Signature formula | Filing fee | Filing fee formula | Filing deadline | Source |
New Jersey | 5th Congressional District | Qualified party | 200 | Fixed number | N/A | N/A | 3/30/2020 | Source |
New Jersey | 5th Congressional District | Unaffiliated | 100 | Fixed number | N/A | N/A | 7/7/2020 | Source |
District election history
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House New Jersey District 5
Incumbent Josh Gottheimer defeated John McCann, James Tosone, and Wendy Goetz in the general election for U.S. House New Jersey District 5 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Josh Gottheimer (D) | 56.2 | 169,546 |
![]() | John McCann (R) | 42.5 | 128,255 | |
![]() | James Tosone (L) ![]() | 0.7 | 2,115 | |
Wendy Goetz (Trade, Health, Environment Party) | 0.6 | 1,907 |
Total votes: 301,823 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House New Jersey District 5
Incumbent Josh Gottheimer advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House New Jersey District 5 on June 5, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Josh Gottheimer | 100.0 | 27,486 |
Total votes: 27,486 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House New Jersey District 5
John McCann defeated Steve Lonegan in the Republican primary for U.S. House New Jersey District 5 on June 5, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | John McCann | 53.0 | 16,685 |
![]() | Steve Lonegan | 47.0 | 14,767 |
Total votes: 31,452 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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2016
New Jersey's 5th Congressional District was a battleground district in 2016. Josh Gottheimer (D) defeated incumbent Scott Garrett (R) and Claudio Belusic (L) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Garrett defeated Michael Cino and Peter Vallorosi in the Republican primary on June 7, 2016. Gottheimer won the November 8 election, defeating incumbent Garrett.[10][11]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ![]() |
51.1% | 172,587 | |
Republican | Scott Garrett Incumbent | 46.7% | 157,690 | |
Libertarian | Claudio Belusic | 2.2% | 7,424 | |
Total Votes | 337,701 | |||
Source: New Jersey Division of Elections |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() |
82.2% | 42,179 | ||
Michael Cino | 9.5% | 4,884 | ||
Peter Vallorosi | 8.3% | 4,252 | ||
Total Votes | 51,315 | |||
Source: New Jersey Division of Elections |
2014
The 5th Congressional District of New Jersey held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Scott Garrett (R) defeated Roy Cho (D) and Mark Quick (For Americans) in the general election.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
55.4% | 104,678 | |
Democratic | Roy Cho | 43.3% | 81,808 | |
For Americans | Mark Quick | 1.3% | 2,435 | |
Total Votes | 188,921 | |||
Source: New Jersey Division of Elections |
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in New Jersey, 2020
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2020
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ New Jersey Redistricting Map, "Map," accessed September 25, 2012
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ New Jersey Division of Elections, "Candidates for House of Representatives for Primary Election 6/7/2016," accessed April 5, 2016
- ↑ CNN, "New Jersey House 05 Results," November 8, 2016