New Jersey's 7th Congressional District election (June 5, 2018 Republican primary)
- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 16
- Early voting: Sept. 22 - Nov. 5
- Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 6
- Online registration: No
- Same-day registration: No
- Voter ID: No
- Poll times: 6:00 a.m. to 8:00 p.m.
2020 →
← 2016
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| New Jersey's 7th Congressional District |
|---|
 |
| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: April 2, 2018 |
| Primary: June 5, 2018 General: November 6, 2018 Pre-election incumbent: Leonard Lance (Republican) |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: 6 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in New Jersey |
| Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Toss-up Inside Elections: Toss-up Sabato's Crystal Ball: Toss-up |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018 |
| See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th New Jersey elections, 2018 U.S. Congress elections, 2018 U.S. Senate elections, 2018 U.S. House elections, 2018 |
A Republican Party primary election took place on June 5, 2018, in New Jersey's 7th District to determine which Republican would run in the district's November 6, 2018, general election.
This page focuses on the Republican primary. For an overview of the election in general, click here.
| Candidate Filing Deadline | Primary Election | General Election |
|---|---|---|
Candidates and election results
Incumbent Leonard Lance defeated Lindsay Brown and Raafat Barsoom in the Republican primary for U.S. House New Jersey District 7 on June 5, 2018.
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House New Jersey District 7
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ |  | Leonard Lance | 74.9 | 24,934 |
 | Lindsay Brown | 14.4 | 4,795 | |
 | Raafat Barsoom | 10.7 | 3,556 | |
| Total votes: 33,285 | |||
 = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+3, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 3 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made New Jersey's 7th Congressional District the 215th most Republican nationally.[1]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.03. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.03 points toward that party.[2]
Campaign finance
The table below contains data from FEC Quarterly October 2017 reports. It includes only candidates who reported at least $10,000 in campaign contributions as of September 30, 2017.[3]
Republicans
Republican district won by Hillary Clinton
This district was one of 25 Republican-held U.S. House districts that Hillary Clinton (D) won in the 2016 presidential election.[4] Nearly all were expected to be among the House's most competitive elections in 2018.
Click on the table below to see the full list of districts.
Click here to see the 13 Democratic-held U.S. House districts that Donald Trump (R) won.
State overview
Partisan control
This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in New Jersey heading into the 2018 elections.
Congressional delegation
- Democrats held both U.S. Senate seats in New Jersey.
- Democrats held seven of 12 U.S. House seats in New Jersey, and Republicans held five.
State executives
- As of May 2018, Democrats held five of 14 state executive positions. The other nine positions were held by nonpartisan officials.
- The governor of New Jersey was Democrat Phil Murphy.
State legislature
- Democrats controlled both chambers of the New Jersey State Legislature. They had a 54-26 majority in the state Assembly and a 25-15 majority in the state Senate.
Trifecta status
- New Jersey was a Democratic trifecta, meaning that the Democratic Party held the governorship, a majority in the state Senate, and a majority in the state Assembly.
2018 elections
- See also: New Jersey elections, 2018
New Jersey held elections for the following positions in 2018:
- The Class 1 U.S. Senate seat held by Bob Menendez (D)
- All 12 U.S. House seats
- Local judicial offices
- Local school boards
- Municipal elections in Newark and Essex County
Demographics
| Demographic data for New Jersey | ||
|---|---|---|
| New Jersey | U.S. | |
| Total population: | 8,935,421 | 316,515,021 |
| Land area (sq mi): | 7,354 | 3,531,905 |
| Race and ethnicity** | ||
| White: | 68.3% | 73.6% |
| Black/African American: | 13.5% | 12.6% |
| Asian: | 9% | 5.1% |
| Native American: | 0.2% | 0.8% |
| Pacific Islander: | 0% | 0.2% |
| Two or more: | 2.5% | 3% |
| Hispanic/Latino: | 19% | 17.1% |
| Education | ||
| High school graduation rate: | 88.6% | 86.7% |
| College graduation rate: | 36.8% | 29.8% |
| Income | ||
| Median household income: | $72,093 | $53,889 |
| Persons below poverty level: | 12.7% | 11.3% |
| Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in New Jersey. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. | ||
As of July 2016, New Jersey had a population of approximately 9 million people, and its three largest cities were New Jersey (pop. est. 283,000), Jersey City (pop. est. 265,000), and Paterson (pop. est. 147,000).[9][10]
State election history
This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in New Jersey from 2000 to 2016.
Historical elections
Presidential elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the presidential election in New Jersey every year from 2000 to 2016.
| Election results (President of the United States), New Jersey 2000-2016[11] | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2016 |  Hillary Clinton |
55.5% | Donald Trump |
41.4% | 14.1% |
| 2012 | Barack Obama |
58.4% | Mitt Romney |
40.6% | 17.8% |
| 2008 | Barack Obama |
57.2% | John McCain |
41.7% | 15.5% |
| 2004 | John Kerry |
52.9% | George W. Bush |
46.2% | 6.7% |
| 2000 | Al Gore |
56.1% | George W. Bush |
40.3% | 15.8% |
U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in New Jersey from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.
| Election results (U.S. Senator), New Jersey 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2014[12] | Cory Booker |
55.8% | Jeff Bell |
42.3% | 13.5% |
| 2012[13] | Bob Menendez |
58.9% | Joseph Kyrillos |
39.4% | 19.5% |
| 2008[14] | Frank Lautenberg |
56.0% | Dick Zimmer |
42.0% | 14.0% |
| 2006[15] | Bob Menendez |
53.3% | Thomas Kean Jr. |
44.3% | 9.0% |
| 2002[16] | Frank Lautenberg |
53.9% | Doug Forrester |
44.0% | 9.9% |
| 2000[17] | Jon Corzine |
50.1% | Bob Franks |
47.1% | 3.0% |
Gubernatorial elections, 2001-2017
This chart shows the results of the five gubernatorial elections held between 2001 and 2017. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in New Jersey, and, unlike most states, they take place in odd years.
| Election results (Governor), New Jersey 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2017[18] | Phil Murphy |
56.0% | Kim Guadagno |
41.9% | 14.1% |
| 2013[19] | Chris Christie |
60.3% | Barbara Buono |
38.2% | 22.1% |
| 2009[20] | Chris Christie |
48.5% | Jon Corzine |
44.9% | 3.6% |
| 2005[21] | Jon Corzine |
53.5% | Doug Forrester |
43.0% | 10.5% |
| 2001[22] | Jim McGreevey |
56.4% | Bret Schundler |
41.7% | 14.7% |
Congressional delegation, 2000-2016
This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent New Jersey in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.
| Congressional delegation, New Jersey 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Republicans | Republicans (%) | Democrats | Democrats (%) | Balance of power |
| 2016[23] | 5 |
41.7% | 7 |
58.3% | D+2 |
| 2014[12] | 6 |
50.0% | 6 |
50.0% | Even |
| 2012[13] | 6 |
50.0% | 6 |
50.0% | Even |
| 2010[24] | 6 |
46.2% | 7 |
53.8% | D+1 |
| 2008[14] | 5 |
38.5% | 8 |
61.5% | D+3 |
| 2006[15] | 6 |
46.2% | 7 |
53.8% | D+1 |
| 2004[25] | 6 |
46.2% | 7 |
53.8% | D+1 |
| 2002[16] | 6 |
46.2% | 7 |
53.8% | D+1 |
| 2000[17] | 6 |
46.2% | 7 |
53.8% | D+1 |
Trifectas, 1992-2018
A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.
New Jersey Party Control: 1992-2025
Fourteen years of Democratic trifectas • Eight years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
| Senate | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | S | S | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
| Assembly | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
,
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in New Jersey, 2018
- United States House elections in New Jersey (June 5, 2018 Republican primaries)
- New Jersey's 7th Congressional District election (June 5, 2018 Democratic primary)
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2018
Footnotes
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ FEC, "Federal Election Commission," accessed November 5, 2017
- ↑ This figure includes Pennsylvania districts that were redrawn by the state Supreme Court in early 2018 and districts that flipped in special elections.
- ↑ The new 1st district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 8th District held by Fitzpatrick. Click here to read more.
- ↑ The new 5th district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 7th District held by Meehan. Click here to read more.
- ↑ The new 6th district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 6th District held by Costello. Click here to read more.
- ↑ The new 7th district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 15th District held by Dent. Click here to read more.
- ↑ United States Census Bureau, "QuickFacts New Jersey," March 27, 2018
- ↑ World Population Review, "Population of Cities in New Jersey (2018)," accessed March 27, 2018
- ↑ US Election Atlas, "United States Presidential Election Results," accessed March 27, 2018
- ↑ 12.0 12.1 New Jersey Secretary of State, "2014 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
- ↑ 13.0 13.1 New Jersey Secretary of State, "2012 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
- ↑ 14.0 14.1 New Jersey Secretary of State, "2008 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
- ↑ 15.0 15.1 New Jersey Secretary of State, "2006 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
- ↑ 16.0 16.1 New Jersey Secretary of State, "2002 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
- ↑ 17.0 17.1 New Jersey Secretary of State, "2000 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
- ↑ New Jersey Secretary of State, "2017 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
- ↑ New Jersey Secretary of State, "2013 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
- ↑ New Jersey Secretary of State, "2009 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
- ↑ New Jersey Secretary of State, "2005 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
- ↑ New Jersey Secretary of State, "2001 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
- ↑ New Jersey Secretary of State, "2016 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
- ↑ New Jersey Secretary of State, "2010 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
- ↑ New Jersey Secretary of State, "2004 Election Information Archive," accessed March 27, 2018
