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New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District election, 2018
- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 9
- Early voting: Oct. 20 - Nov. 3
- Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 6
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: No
- Voter ID: No
- Poll times: 7:00 a.m. to 7:00 p.m.
2020 →
← 2016
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New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: March 13, 2018 |
Primary: June 5, 2018 General: November 6, 2018 Pre-election incumbent: Steve Pearce (Republican) |
How to vote |
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voting in New Mexico |
Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Toss-up Inside Elections: Tilt Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Toss-up |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd New Mexico elections, 2018 U.S. Congress elections, 2018 U.S. Senate elections, 2018 U.S. House elections, 2018 |
Attorney Xochitl Torres Small (D) defeated state Rep. Yvette Herrell (R) in the general election for New Mexico's 2nd District on November 6, 2018.
All 435 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives were up for election in 2018. The Democratic Party gained a net total of 40 seats, winning control of the chamber. This race was identified as a 2018 battleground that might have affected partisan control of the U.S. House in the 116th Congress. Heading into the election, the Republican Party was in the majority holding 235 seats to Democrats' 193 seats, with seven vacant seats. Democrats needed to win 23 GOP-held seats in 2018 to win control of the House. From 1918 to 2016, the president’s party lost an average of 29 seats in midterm elections.
Incumbent Rep. Steve Pearce (R), who represented the district from 2003-2009 and was elected to the seat again in 2010, ran for governor in 2018, leaving the seat open.[1] Although the district voted for Donald Trump, Mitt Romney, and John McCain in the three presidential elections leading up to the 2018 race, Democrats saw the district as a pick-up opportunity.[2] Election forecasters considered this race to be competitive.
For more information about the Democratic primary, click here.
For more information about the Republican primary, click here.
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House New Mexico District 2
Xochitl Torres Small defeated Yvette Herrell in the general election for U.S. House New Mexico District 2 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Xochitl Torres Small (D) | 50.9 | 101,489 |
![]() | Yvette Herrell (R) | 49.1 | 97,767 |
Total votes: 199,256 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
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If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 2
Xochitl Torres Small defeated Madeleine Hildebrandt in the Democratic primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 2 on June 5, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Xochitl Torres Small | 72.6 | 25,395 |
Madeleine Hildebrandt | 27.4 | 9,577 |
Total votes: 34,972 | ||||
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If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Angel Pena (D)
- David Alcon (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 2
Yvette Herrell defeated Monty Newman, Gavin Clarkson, and Clayburn Griffin in the Republican primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 2 on June 5, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Yvette Herrell | 49.0 | 16,023 |
Monty Newman | 32.0 | 10,474 | ||
![]() | Gavin Clarkson | 12.4 | 4,060 | |
![]() | Clayburn Griffin ![]() | 6.6 | 2,143 |
Total votes: 32,700 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- John Volpato (R)
Candidate profiles
Party: Republican
Incumbent: No
Political office: New Mexico House of Representatives (Elected 2010)
Biography: Herrell attended ITT business school in Boise, Idaho, and studied in the legal secretarial program. She moved to Alamogordo, New Mexico, in 1992. At the time of her run for Congress, Herrell was working as a realtor. [3]
- Herrell said she ran for Congress "because of her passion for serving, her belief in the great state of New Mexico, and her desire to ensure New Mexico has a voice in Washington, D.C. that accurately represents the people and culture of the 2nd Congressional District."[4]
- Herrell's campaign priorities included defunding Planned Parenthood, enforcing immigration laws, and shrinking the size and scope of government.[5]
- Herrell emphasized her time serving in the New Mexico House of Representatives. She said she was named "most conservative member" of the state House and that she co-founded the Balanced Budget Amendment Task Force and the Article V Caucus.[4]
Party: Democratic
Incumbent: No
Political office: None
Biography: Small graduated from Georgetown University. She worked as a field representative for Sen. Tom Udall (D) and as a judicial law clerk for a federal judge. At the time of her run for Congress, Small was working as an attorney at Kemp Smith LLP.[6]
- Small campaigned on expanding access to quality, affordable healthcare. According to her campaign website, this would include "taking on the pharmaceutical companies to lower the cost of prescription drugs, standing up for our veterans by working to fix the VA, and protecting and strengthening Medicare."[7]
- Small also said she would work toward increased funding for public schools, a living wage, and providing comprehensive services to veterans.[7]
- Small emphasized her work as an attorney with local governments, farmers, developers, and conservationists to preserve water in the desert.[8]
Polls
- See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District | |||||||||||||||||||
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Poll | Poll sponsor | Yvette Herrell (R) | Xochitl Torres Small (D) | Undecided | Margin of error | Sample size | |||||||||||||
Research & Polling, Inc. October 26-November 1, 2018 | The Albuquerque Journal | 46% | 45% | 9% | +/-4.8 | 413 | |||||||||||||
NYT Upshot/Siena College October 19-23, 2018 | The New York Times | 45% | 44% | 11% | +/-4.6 | 522 | |||||||||||||
The Tarrance Group September 30-October 2, 2018 | Herrell campaign | 49% | 45% | 6% | +/-4.9 | 400 | |||||||||||||
NYT Upshot/Siena College September 13-18, 2018 | The New York Times | 45% | 46% | 9% | +/-4.9 | 503 | |||||||||||||
Research & Polling, Inc. September 7-13, 2018 | Albuquerque Journal | 48% | 41% | 11% | +/-4.9 | 405 | |||||||||||||
AVERAGES | 46.6% | 44.2% | 9.2% | +/-4.82 | 448.6 | ||||||||||||||
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org. |
Campaign finance
The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Xochitl Torres Small | Democratic Party | $4,810,435 | $4,641,990 | $168,445 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Yvette Herrell | Republican Party | $1,511,999 | $1,341,381 | $170,618 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2018. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
Satellite spending
Satellite spending, commonly referred to as outside spending, describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[9][10][11]
This section lists satellite spending in this race reported by news outlets in alphabetical order. If you are aware of spending that should be included, please email us.
- The Washington Post reported on September 20 that the Congressional Leadership Fund was spending $700,000 to support Yvette Herrell.[12]
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Race ratings: New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District election, 2018 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
October 30, 2018 | October 23, 2018 | October 16, 2018 | October 9, 2018 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Tilt Republican | Tilt Republican | Tilt Republican | Tilt Republican | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every two weeks throughout the election season. |
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+6, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 6 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District the 181st most Republican nationally.[13]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.14. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.14 points toward that party.[14]
Noteworthy endorsements
This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. It also includes a bulleted list of links to official lists of endorsements for any candidates who published that information on their campaign websites. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please click here.
Click the links below to see endorsement lists published on candidate campaign websites, if available.
Campaign advertisements
This section shows advertisements released in this race. Ads released by campaigns and, if applicable, satellite groups are embedded or linked below. If you are aware of advertisements that should be included, please email us.
Xochitl Torres Small
Support
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Yvette Herrell
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Campaign themes
The themes below were taken from the candidates' 2018 campaign websites.
Yvette Herrell
Pro-Life
An unapologetic defender of the unborn, Yvette Herrell has made pro-life legislation a cornerstone of her career. Guided by her faith and belief that all children should have the opportunity to pursue their own American Dream, Yvette spearheaded some of the most stringent pro-life legislation in the New Mexico House of Representatives. She’ll take that same mentality and values to Washington, D.C. where she’ll push to defund Planned Parenthood and strengthen protections for the defenseless.
Immigration
As the only candidate who supported President Trump from Day 1 of his campaign, Yvette Herrell is committed to working with his administration to combat the flow of illegal immigration and secure our borders. New Mexico knows better than most the dangers associated with an unsecure border. The United States is a nation of immigrants but it is vitally important that we enforce immigration laws that are currently on the books. By turning a blind eye to illegal entry into the country, we are essentially telling those who have or are patiently waiting in line to become Americans that their efforts aren’t appreciated or necessary.
2nd Amendment
Our Founding Fathers purposefully made the right of the people to keep and bear arms the 2nd Amendment in the Bill of Rights. Like them, Yvette Herrell believes that this right is God-given and unable to be abridged by man. As a proud NRA member, Yvette remains steadfastly committed to defending the 2nd Amendment against any and all who wish to lessen its importance.
Shrink the Size and Scope of Government
Citizens across New Mexico have many different experiences and stories when it comes to the federal government. However, there is one constant theme: the federal government overreaches. Yvette Herrell led the charge in the New Mexico House of Representatives when it came to reforming a bloated government and rolling back job-killing regulations . . . she’ll do the same thing in Washington, D.C. Yvette knows firsthand that no one knows the best way to run a business better than a business owner. This means that the less that government is involved in the process, the better for our economy and jobs. That is why Yvette believes that it is not the role of government to create jobs but rather create an attractive environment that encourages job creators to continue investing in.[15]
Xochitl Torres Small
Health Care
Everyone should have access to quality, affordable health care. I’m fed up with politicians in Washington playing games with our health care. I’ll always put southern New Mexicans first — that means taking on the pharmaceutical companies to lower the cost of prescription drugs, standing up for our veterans by working to fix the VA, and protecting and strengthening Medicare.
We need an advocate who understands the unique health care needs of rural communities. On the campaign trail, I met an expectant mother who drives hours for each of her prenatal appointments. She’ll have to make that same trip once she goes into labor. This isn’t right, and that’s why, in Congress, I’ll work across party lines to expand rural health care access by providing incentives for medical professionals to serve our rural communities.
Education
Quality education will allow us to break the cycle of poverty and enhance our communities. As a product of Las Cruces Public Schools and the daughter of a teacher and National Education Association member, I will be a strong advocate for public education and will fight to ensure that every student—regardless of income, location, or background—has access to an excellent education.
In Congress, I will work to level the playing field. In southern New Mexico, we have some unique challenges in providing strong public education to our rural and diverse communities. These unique challenges need targeted solutions. That’s why I’ll fight for increased funding for our public schools so that all students have access to the tools and technology they need to succeed in school and in life. I’ll work to increase funding for English language learning programs. I’ll advocate for better pay for teachers so we can retain and attract the best educators to guide our children, and I’ll push to reduce class sizes so every child has the chance to learn. Finally, I’ll invest in early childhood education and work toward universal access to Pre-K for all New Mexican families.
Economic Development
We need to create an economic foundation that gives everyone a fair shot at the American Dream. Politicians in Washington don’t understand our local priorities. I have spent my career delivering results for southern New Mexico. I fought to protect water for our farmers, to bring new funding and support to New Mexico State University—from STEM education to energy research—and to increase broadband throughout our rural communities. I also worked to protect our public lands because I know that our parks and public lands are not only what makes southern New Mexico so beautiful, but also serve as a significant economic driver for the community.
In Congress, I will fight for living wages for hard working New Mexicans and work with stakeholders to provide incentives to attract businesses that offer good-paying jobs. I’ll support investment in 21st century infrastructure, from safe roads to broadband and cell phone service. I’ll find creative ways to streamline interaction with government agencies so New Mexico businesses can operate as efficiently and effectively as possible. And I’ll continue to fight for funding for workforce training and development programs that connect K-12 students to local universities, education programs, and local businesses to prepare New Mexico’s students for the jobs of the future, right here at home.
Veterans
Our veterans have sacrificed to serve this country and defend our freedom. It is our duty to honor veterans by providing them with the comprehensive services they were promised and deserve. I am committed to fight for a VA that is fully funded, fully staffed, and accessible to veterans wherever they are. That means making sure all veterans have more accessible transportation options available to them to access VA clinics or their preferred healthcare provider through an integrated veteran‘s healthcare system, and that the VA is actively reaching out to veterans to ensure that they are getting the services they need. It also means ensuring that veterans have access to the most up-to-date and effective treatments, including for mental health conditions like PTSD and depression. Mental health treatment must be a priority if we are to reduce the staggering number of veteran suicides.
We also need to provide better transition services to service members as they return to civilian life and their communities. Our veterans need to understand the services that are available to them, and we need to provide a full suite of services, including actively connecting veterans to job opportunities and services that combat homelessness.[7]
Social media
Twitter accounts
Tweets by Yvette Herrell Tweets by Xochitl Torres Small
Facebook accounts
Click the icons below to visit the candidates' Facebook pages.
Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
Three of 33 New Mexico counties—9 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008 | |||||||
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County | Trump margin of victory in 2016 | Obama margin of victory in 2012 | Obama margin of victory in 2008 | ||||
Colfax County, New Mexico | 8.55% | 2.24% | 10.73% | ||||
Hidalgo County, New Mexico | 6.73% | 4.96% | 2.92% | ||||
Valencia County, New Mexico | 8.60% | 2.47% | 7.72% |
In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton (D) won New Mexico with 48.3 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 40 percent. In presidential elections between 1912 and 2016, New Mexico voted Democratic 56 percent of the time and Republican 44 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, New Mexico voted Democratic four times. The state voted Republican in 2004.[16]
Presidential results by legislative district
The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in New Mexico. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[17][18]
In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 45 out of 70 state House districts in New Mexico with an average margin of victory of 29.5 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 45 out of 70 state House districts in New Mexico with an average margin of victory of 26.7 points. Clinton won nine districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections. |
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 25 out of 70 state House districts in New Mexico with an average margin of victory of 24.4 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 25 out of 70 state House districts in New Mexico with an average margin of victory of 27 points. Trump won two districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections. |
2016 presidential results by state House district | |||||||
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District | Obama | Romney | 2012 Margin | Clinton | Trump | 2016 Margin | Party Control |
1 | 20.96% | 75.79% | R+54.8 | 18.04% | 72.51% | R+54.5 | R |
2 | 27.47% | 69.17% | R+41.7 | 21.96% | 67.15% | R+45.2 | R |
3 | 22.91% | 73.48% | R+50.6 | 17.17% | 73.66% | R+56.5 | R |
4 | 51.61% | 45.33% | D+6.3 | 42.79% | 42.74% | D+0.1 | R |
5 | 70.17% | 26.83% | D+43.3 | 60.70% | 24.05% | D+36.6 | D |
6 | 70.21% | 27.48% | D+42.7 | 58.64% | 28.48% | D+30.2 | D |
7 | 50.49% | 44.11% | D+6.4 | 40.92% | 45.72% | R+4.8 | R |
8 | 46.36% | 48.66% | R+2.3 | 37.51% | 49.60% | R+12.1 | R |
9 | 71.00% | 26.44% | D+44.6 | 61.37% | 24.12% | D+37.2 | D |
10 | 65.21% | 30.46% | D+34.8 | 56.93% | 31.21% | D+25.7 | D |
11 | 74.16% | 20.74% | D+53.4 | 69.71% | 18.46% | D+51.2 | D |
12 | 68.74% | 26.63% | D+42.1 | 61.46% | 27.69% | D+33.8 | D |
13 | 67.68% | 27.95% | D+39.7 | 59.39% | 27.06% | D+32.3 | D |
14 | 75.95% | 20.09% | D+55.9 | 65.37% | 23.23% | D+42.1 | D |
15 | 49.95% | 45.35% | D+4.6 | 48.43% | 38.84% | D+9.6 | R |
16 | 60.23% | 35.40% | D+24.8 | 54.22% | 33.06% | D+21.2 | D |
17 | 62.55% | 32.61% | D+29.9 | 57.98% | 29.63% | D+28.3 | D |
18 | 74.99% | 17.57% | D+57.4 | 73.69% | 13.64% | D+60.1 | D |
19 | 71.55% | 22.91% | D+48.6 | 67.73% | 20.05% | D+47.7 | D |
20 | 46.26% | 48.57% | R+2.3 | 45.05% | 41.13% | D+3.9 | R |
21 | 61.08% | 33.19% | D+27.9 | 53.96% | 31.12% | D+22.8 | D |
22 | 42.30% | 51.77% | R+9.5 | 40.33% | 46.60% | R+6.3 | R |
23 | 50.61% | 44.70% | D+5.9 | 47.86% | 39.71% | D+8.1 | D |
24 | 52.10% | 42.11% | D+10 | 47.19% | 36.79% | D+10.4 | D |
25 | 60.90% | 33.31% | D+27.6 | 57.03% | 28.81% | D+28.2 | D |
26 | 62.57% | 33.00% | D+29.6 | 55.12% | 32.19% | D+22.9 | D |
27 | 43.63% | 51.56% | R+7.9 | 43.86% | 42.63% | D+1.2 | R |
28 | 43.36% | 51.02% | R+7.7 | 43.31% | 42.27% | D+1 | R |
29 | 48.16% | 47.12% | D+1 | 45.04% | 41.24% | D+3.8 | R |
30 | 50.06% | 44.08% | D+6 | 47.75% | 37.01% | D+10.7 | R |
31 | 38.29% | 57.90% | R+19.6 | 41.78% | 45.91% | R+4.1 | R |
32 | 48.95% | 47.93% | D+1 | 43.90% | 47.34% | R+3.4 | D |
33 | 57.44% | 38.34% | D+19.1 | 55.59% | 32.01% | D+23.6 | D |
34 | 67.75% | 30.86% | D+36.9 | 64.65% | 28.49% | D+36.2 | D |
35 | 58.06% | 38.71% | D+19.3 | 54.23% | 34.26% | D+20 | D |
36 | 53.29% | 43.51% | D+9.8 | 49.35% | 39.28% | D+10.1 | D |
37 | 50.09% | 46.98% | D+3.1 | 49.32% | 39.69% | D+9.6 | D |
38 | 45.97% | 50.34% | R+4.4 | 39.87% | 49.90% | R+10 | R |
39 | 53.53% | 43.60% | D+9.9 | 48.95% | 41.86% | D+7.1 | D |
40 | 69.65% | 27.03% | D+42.6 | 60.30% | 28.99% | D+31.3 | D |
41 | 74.26% | 22.15% | D+52.1 | 64.48% | 23.77% | D+40.7 | D |
42 | 77.86% | 18.20% | D+59.7 | 69.70% | 18.34% | D+51.4 | D |
43 | 51.55% | 42.52% | D+9 | 51.63% | 31.90% | D+19.7 | D |
44 | 42.34% | 53.33% | R+11 | 38.87% | 48.14% | R+9.3 | R |
45 | 75.50% | 20.49% | D+55 | 71.68% | 19.09% | D+52.6 | D |
46 | 76.11% | 19.64% | D+56.5 | 72.91% | 17.80% | D+55.1 | D |
47 | 75.23% | 21.12% | D+54.1 | 75.51% | 16.95% | D+58.6 | D |
48 | 79.43% | 16.14% | D+63.3 | 76.07% | 15.07% | D+61 | D |
49 | 48.75% | 46.04% | D+2.7 | 39.56% | 48.03% | R+8.5 | R |
50 | 54.56% | 40.49% | D+14.1 | 49.33% | 40.67% | D+8.7 | D |
51 | 34.24% | 62.18% | R+27.9 | 29.61% | 60.13% | R+30.5 | R |
52 | 62.23% | 35.17% | D+27.1 | 62.07% | 29.79% | D+32.3 | D |
53 | 48.82% | 48.52% | D+0.3 | 48.39% | 41.93% | D+6.5 | R |
54 | 32.19% | 64.92% | R+32.7 | 25.69% | 66.62% | R+40.9 | R |
55 | 29.64% | 67.48% | R+37.8 | 24.35% | 67.91% | R+43.6 | R |
56 | 34.58% | 61.37% | R+26.8 | 29.21% | 61.10% | R+31.9 | R |
57 | 45.25% | 50.34% | R+5.1 | 39.99% | 46.81% | R+6.8 | R |
58 | 43.98% | 52.91% | R+8.9 | 36.58% | 53.06% | R+16.5 | R |
59 | 29.23% | 67.78% | R+38.5 | 23.93% | 67.65% | R+43.7 | R |
60 | 42.37% | 52.23% | R+9.9 | 38.93% | 47.35% | R+8.4 | R |
61 | 32.56% | 65.02% | R+32.5 | 29.95% | 62.63% | R+32.7 | R |
62 | 19.59% | 78.35% | R+58.8 | 18.39% | 74.53% | R+56.1 | R |
63 | 49.61% | 47.24% | D+2.4 | 36.71% | 51.26% | R+14.6 | D |
64 | 24.47% | 72.92% | R+48.5 | 20.65% | 70.74% | R+50.1 | R |
65 | 79.83% | 16.71% | D+63.1 | 67.22% | 16.91% | D+50.3 | D |
66 | 24.60% | 72.24% | R+47.6 | 21.08% | 69.94% | R+48.9 | R |
67 | 37.15% | 59.71% | R+22.6 | 27.94% | 62.43% | R+34.5 | R |
68 | 47.01% | 48.56% | R+1.5 | 43.56% | 42.91% | D+0.7 | R |
69 | 68.52% | 28.07% | D+40.4 | 56.03% | 29.07% | D+27 | D |
70 | 69.54% | 26.69% | D+42.9 | 60.23% | 28.91% | D+31.3 | D |
Total | 52.99% | 42.84% | D+10.1 | 48.26% | 40.04% | D+8.2 | - |
Source: Daily Kos |
District history
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Steve Pearce (R), who began serving in Congress in 2003, is seeking re-election in 2016. He was the only Republican candidate to file and will face Merrie Soules, the only Democratic candidate to file, and Jack McGrann (R write-in) in the general election on November 8, 2016. No candidate faced a primary opponent in June.[19][20]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
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Republican | ![]() |
62.7% | 143,514 | |
Democratic | Merrie Soules | 37.2% | 85,232 | |
N/A | Write-in | 0% | 70 | |
Total Votes | 228,816 | |||
Source: New Mexico Secretary of State |
2014
The 2nd Congressional District of New Mexico held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Steve Pearce (R) defeated Roxanne Lara (D) in the general election.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
64.4% | 95,209 | |
Democratic | Roxanne "Rocky" Lara | 35.5% | 52,499 | |
Write-in (R) | Jack A. McGrann (write-in) | 0% | 69 | |
Total Votes | 147,777 | |||
Source: New Mexico Secretary of State |
State overview
Partisan control
This section details the partisan control of state and federal positions in New Mexico heading into the 2018 elections.
Congressional delegation
- Following the 2014 elections, Democrats held both U.S. Senate seats in New Mexico.
- Democrats held two of the state's three U.S. House seats while Republicans held the third.
State executives
- As of September 2018, Democrats held 15 of 27 state executive offices. Republicans held six, Libertarians held one, and the remaining five were held by nonpartisan officials.
- The governor of New Mexico was Republican Susana Martinez. Martinez won office in 2010 and was re-elected in 2014.
State legislature
- Democrats controlled both chambers of the New Mexico State Legislature. They had a 38-31 majority in the state House and a 24-18 majority in the state Senate.
Trifecta status
- New Mexico was under divided government, with Democrats controlling both houses of the state legislature and Republican Susana Martinez serving as governor.
2018 elections
- See also: New Mexico elections, 2018
New Mexico held elections for the following positions in 2018:
- One seat in the U.S. Senate
- All three seats in the U.S. House
- Governor
- Eight other state executive offices
- All 70 seats in the state House
- Three of five seats on the state Supreme Court
- Six of 10 seats on the state Court of Appeals
- Municipal elections in Bernalillo County
Demographics
Demographic data for New Mexico | ||
---|---|---|
New Mexico | U.S. | |
Total population: | 2,080,328 | 316,515,021 |
Land area (sq mi): | 121,298 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White: | 73.2% | 73.6% |
Black/African American: | 2.1% | 12.6% |
Asian: | 1.4% | 5.1% |
Native American: | 9.1% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander: | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Two or more: | 3.3% | 3% |
Hispanic/Latino: | 47.4% | 17.1% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate: | 84.2% | 86.7% |
College graduation rate: | 26.3% | 29.8% |
Income | ||
Median household income: | $44,963 | $53,889 |
Persons below poverty level: | 24.7% | 11.3% |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in New Mexico. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
As of July 2016, New Mexico's three largest cities were Albuquerque (pop. est. 560,000), Las Cruces (pop. est. 100,000), and Rio Rancho (pop. est. 96,000).[21]
State election history
This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in New Mexico from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from New Mexico Secretary of State.
Historical elections
Presidential elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the presidential election in New Mexico every year from 2000 to 2016.
Election results (President of the United States), New Mexico 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | ![]() |
48.3% | ![]() |
40.0% | 8.3% |
2012 | ![]() |
53.0% | ![]() |
42.8% | 10.2% |
2008 | ![]() |
56.9% | ![]() |
41.8% | 15.1% |
2004 | ![]() |
49.8% | ![]() |
49.1% | 0.7% |
2000 | ![]() |
47.9% | ![]() |
47.9% | 0.0% |
U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in New Mexico from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.
Election results (U.S. Senator), New Mexico 2000-2014 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2014 | ![]() |
55.6% | ![]() |
44.4% | 11.2% |
2012 | ![]() |
51.0% | ![]() |
45.3% | 5.7% |
2008 | ![]() |
61.3% | ![]() |
38.7% | 22.6% |
2006 | ![]() |
70.6% | ![]() |
29.3% | 41.3% |
2002 | ![]() |
65.0% | ![]() |
35.0% | 30.0% |
2000 | ![]() |
62.7% | ![]() |
37.3% | 25.4% |
Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in New Mexico.
Election results (Governor), New Mexico 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2014 | ![]() |
57.3% | ![]() |
42.7% | 14.6% |
2010 | ![]() |
53.3% | ![]() |
46.5% | 6.8% |
2006 | ![]() |
68.8% | ![]() |
31.2% | 37.6% |
2002 | ![]() |
55.5% | ![]() |
39.0% | 16.5% |
Congressional delegation, 2000-2016
This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent New Mexico in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.
Trifectas, 1992-2017
A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.
New Mexico Party Control: 1992-2025
Eighteen years of Democratic trifectas • No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
See also
- New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District election (June 5, 2018 Democratic primary)
- New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District election (June 5, 2018 Republican primary)
- United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico, 2018
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2018
Footnotes
- ↑ U.S. News, "Republican Rep. Pearce Running for Governor in New Mexico," July 10, 2017
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2016, 2012, and 2008," accessed June 16, 2018
- ↑ Alamogordo News, "Yvette Herrell running for Congressional seat vacated by Pearce," July 11, 2017
- ↑ 4.0 4.1 Yvette Herrell 2018 campaign website, "About," accessed September 24, 2018
- ↑ Yvette Herrell 2018 campaign website, "Issues," accessed September 24, 2018
- ↑ Xochitl Torres Small 2018 campaign website, "Meet Xochitl," accessed September 24, 2018
- ↑ 7.0 7.1 7.2 Xochitl Torres Small 2018 campaign website, "On the Issues," accessed September 24, 2018
- ↑ Xochitl Torres Small 2018 campaign website, "Meet Xochitl," accessed October 25, 2018
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed September 22, 2015
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed September 22, 2015
- ↑ National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," November 6, 2015
- ↑ Washington Post, "GOP super PAC enters five new House races after adding $1.5 million to hold Ryan’s seat," September 20, 2018
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ Cite error: Invalid
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- ↑ 270towin.com, "New Mexico," accessed August 8, 2017
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
- ↑ New Mexico Scretary of State ,"2016 Primary Election Contest/Candidate List," accessed February 3, 2016
- ↑ New Mexico Secretary of State, "2016 General Election Contest/Candidate List," accessed September 7, 2016
- ↑ New Mexico Demographics by Cubit, "New Mexico Cities by Population," accessed September 7, 2018