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New Mexico's 3rd Congressional District election (June 5, 2018 Republican primary)
- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 9
- Early voting: Oct. 20 - Nov. 3
- Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 6
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: No
- Voter ID: No
- Poll times: 7:00 a.m. to 7:00 p.m.
2020 →
← 2016
|
| New Mexico's 3rd Congressional District |
|---|
 |
| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: March 13, 2018 |
| Primary: June 5, 2018 General: November 6, 2018 Pre-election incumbent: Ben Ray Lujan (Democrat) |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voting in New Mexico |
| Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic Inside Elections: Solid Democratic Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018 |
| See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd New Mexico elections, 2018 U.S. Congress elections, 2018 U.S. Senate elections, 2018 U.S. House elections, 2018 |
A Republican Party primary election took place on June 5, 2018, in New Mexico's 3rd District to determine which Republican would run in the district's November 6, 2018, general election.
This page focuses on the Republican primary. For an overview of the election in general, click here.
| Candidate Filing Deadline | Primary Election | General Election |
|---|---|---|
Candidates and election results
Jerald Steve McFall advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 3 on June 5, 2018.
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 3
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ |  | Jerald Steve McFall | 100.0 | 20,480 |
| Total votes: 20,480 | |||
 = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+8, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 8 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made New Mexico's 3rd Congressional District the 141st most Democratic nationally.[1]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.93. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.93 points toward that party.[2]
State overview
Partisan control
This section details the partisan control of state and federal positions in New Mexico heading into the 2018 elections.
Congressional delegation
- Following the 2014 elections, Democrats held both U.S. Senate seats in New Mexico.
- Democrats held two of the state's three U.S. House seats while Republicans held the third.
State executives
- As of September 2018, Democrats held 15 of 27 state executive offices. Republicans held six, Libertarians held one, and the remaining five were held by nonpartisan officials.
- The governor of New Mexico was Republican Susana Martinez. Martinez won office in 2010 and was re-elected in 2014.
State legislature
- Democrats controlled both chambers of the New Mexico State Legislature. They had a 38-31 majority in the state House and a 24-18 majority in the state Senate.
Trifecta status
- New Mexico was under divided government, with Democrats controlling both houses of the state legislature and Republican Susana Martinez serving as governor.
2018 elections
- See also: New Mexico elections, 2018
New Mexico held elections for the following positions in 2018:
- One seat in the U.S. Senate
- All three seats in the U.S. House
- Governor
- Eight other state executive offices
- All 70 seats in the state House
- Three of five seats on the state Supreme Court
- Six of 10 seats on the state Court of Appeals
- Municipal elections in Bernalillo County
Demographics
| Demographic data for New Mexico | ||
|---|---|---|
| New Mexico | U.S. | |
| Total population: | 2,080,328 | 316,515,021 |
| Land area (sq mi): | 121,298 | 3,531,905 |
| Race and ethnicity** | ||
| White: | 73.2% | 73.6% |
| Black/African American: | 2.1% | 12.6% |
| Asian: | 1.4% | 5.1% |
| Native American: | 9.1% | 0.8% |
| Pacific Islander: | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Two or more: | 3.3% | 3% |
| Hispanic/Latino: | 47.4% | 17.1% |
| Education | ||
| High school graduation rate: | 84.2% | 86.7% |
| College graduation rate: | 26.3% | 29.8% |
| Income | ||
| Median household income: | $44,963 | $53,889 |
| Persons below poverty level: | 24.7% | 11.3% |
| Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in New Mexico. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. | ||
As of July 2016, New Mexico's three largest cities were Albuquerque (pop. est. 560,000), Las Cruces (pop. est. 100,000), and Rio Rancho (pop. est. 96,000).[3]
State election history
This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in New Mexico from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from New Mexico Secretary of State.
Historical elections
Presidential elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the presidential election in New Mexico every year from 2000 to 2016.
| Election results (President of the United States), New Mexico 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2016 |  Hillary Clinton |
48.3% |  Donald Trump |
40.0% | 8.3% |
| 2012 | Barack Obama |
53.0% | Mitt Romney |
42.8% | 10.2% |
| 2008 | Barack Obama |
56.9% | John McCain |
41.8% | 15.1% |
| 2004 | George W. Bush |
49.8% | John Kerry |
49.1% | 0.7% |
| 2000 | Al Gore |
47.9% | George W. Bush |
47.9% | 0.0% |
U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in New Mexico from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.
| Election results (U.S. Senator), New Mexico 2000-2014 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2014 | Tom Udall |
55.6% | Allan Weh |
44.4% | 11.2% |
| 2012 | Martin Heinrich |
51.0% | Heather Wilson |
45.3% | 5.7% |
| 2008 | Tom Udall |
61.3% | Steve Pearce |
38.7% | 22.6% |
| 2006 | Jeff Bingaman |
70.6% | Allen McCulloch |
29.3% | 41.3% |
| 2002 | Pete Domenici |
65.0% | Gloria Tristani |
35.0% | 30.0% |
| 2000 | Jeff Bingaman |
62.7% | Bill Redmond |
37.3% | 25.4% |
Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in New Mexico.
| Election results (Governor), New Mexico 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2014 | Susana Martinez |
57.3% | Gary King |
42.7% | 14.6% |
| 2010 | Susana Martinez |
53.3% | Diane Denish |
46.5% | 6.8% |
| 2006 | Bill Richardson |
68.8% | John Dendahl |
31.2% | 37.6% |
| 2002 | Bill Richardson |
55.5% | John Sanchez |
39.0% | 16.5% |
Congressional delegation, 2000-2016
This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent New Mexico in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.
| Congressional delegation, New Mexico 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Republicans | Republicans (%) | Democrats | Democrats (%) | Balance of power |
| 2016 | 1 |
33.3% | 2 |
66.7% | D+1 |
| 2014 | 1 |
33.3% | 2 |
66.7% | D+1 |
| 2012 | 1 |
33.3% | 2 |
66.7% | D+1 |
| 2010 | 1 |
33.3% | 2 |
66.7% | D+1 |
| 2008 | 0 |
0.0% | 3 |
100.0% | D+3 |
| 2006 | 2 |
66.7% | 1 |
33.3% | R+1 |
| 2004 | 2 |
66.7% | 1 |
33.3% | R+1 |
| 2002 | 2 |
66.7% | 1 |
33.3% | R+1 |
| 2000 | 2 |
66.7% | 1 |
33.3% | R+1 |
Trifectas, 1992-2017
A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.
New Mexico Party Control: 1992-2025
Eighteen years of Democratic trifectas • No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
| Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
| House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico, 2018
- United States House elections in New Mexico (June 5, 2018 Republican primaries)
- New Mexico's 3rd Congressional District election (June 5, 2018 Democratic primary)
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2018
Footnotes
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ New Mexico Demographics by Cubit, "New Mexico Cities by Population," accessed September 7, 2018
