New Mexico election preview, 2024
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Last updated: Oct. 2, 2024
Thousands of general elections are taking place across the United States on Nov. 5, 2024. Those elections include offices at the federal, state, and local levels. This is one of 50 pages in which Ballotpedia previews the elections happening in each state as part of the Daily Brew’s 50 states in 25 days series.
This page provides an overview of all elections happening in New Mexico within our coverage scope on Nov. 5, 2024. Those elections include office for three U.S. Representatives, one U.S. Senator, five seats on the New Mexico Public Education Commission, 70 state Representatives, 42 state Senators, one state supreme court justice, and three intermediate appellate court justices. Additionally, there are eight statewide ballot measures on the ballot in New Mexico. On this page, you will also find information regarding:
- How to vote in New Mexico
- The elected offices that New Mexico voters can expect to see on their ballots
- The races in New Mexico that Ballotpedia is covering as battlegrounds
- The ballot measures that voters in New Mexico will decide on
- Ballotpedia's Sample Ballot Lookup Tool
- The partisan balance of New Mexico's congressional delegation and state government
- Past presidential election results in New Mexico
- The competitiveness of legislative elections in New Mexico
- The candidates who are on the ballot in New Mexico
Voting information
- See also: Voting in New Mexico
What's on the ballot?
2024 elections
- See also: New Mexico elections, 2024
New Mexico voters will elect one U.S. Senator and three U.S. Representatives. Incumbent Senator Martin Heinrich (D) is running for re-election. Incumbents are running in the three U.S. House Districts.
One statewide executive office, the New Mexico Public Education Commission, has five seats up for election. Four incumbents hold these seats, and one seat is open.
All 70 seats in the state House are up for election. All 42 seats in the state Senate are up for a regularly scheduled election. In the House, three incumbents were defeated for re-nomination. In the Senate, four incumbents were defeated for re-nomination. To read more about legislative incumbents who lost re-nomination, click here
One seat on the New Mexico Supreme Court and three on the New Mexico Court of Appeals are up for election. New Mexico is one of 20 states that use retention elections at the state supreme court level and one of 19 states that use this method for at least one type of court below the supreme court level. Incumbents hold all of these seats.
Municipal elections will be held in Santa Fe for district attorney. Municipal elections will also be held in Bernalillo County for clerk, treasurer, county commissioners, district attorney, and metropolitan court judge. Bernalillo County is one of 80 counties included in Ballotpedia's coverage of municipal elections.
Below is a list of New Mexico elections covered by Ballotpedia in 2024. Click the links to learn more about each type:
| New Mexico elections, 2024 | ||
|---|---|---|
| Office | Elections? | More information |
| U.S. Senate | ✓ | Click here |
| U.S. House | ✓ | Click here |
| Congress special election | — | — |
| Governor | — | — |
| Other state executive | ✓ | Click here |
| State Senate | ✓ | Click here |
| State House | ✓ | Click here |
| Special state legislative | — | — |
| State Supreme Court | ✓ | Click here |
| Intermediate appellate courts | ✓ | Click here |
| School boards | — | — |
| Municipal government | ✓ | Click here |
| Recalls | — | — |
| Ballot measures | ✓ | Click here |
| Local ballot measures | ✓ | Click here |
Legend: ✓ election(s) / — no elections
Subject to Ballotpedia's scope
Your ballot
- See also: Sample Ballot Lookup
Noteworthy elections
As of Oct 2, 2024, Ballotpedia has identified two elections as battleground races. These are the races that we expect to have a meaningful effect on the balance of power in governments or to be particularly competitive or compelling.
- United States Senate election in New Mexico, 2024: Incumbent Martin Heinrich (D) and Nella Domenici (R) are running. In 2018, Heinrich's margin of victory was 23.6%. As of Oct. 2, 2024, four major election forecasters differed in their ratings for the general election, with one rating it Likely Democratic and three rating it Solid Democratic.
- New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District election, 2024: Incumbent Gabriel Vasquez (D) and Yvette Herrell (R) are running in a rematch of the 2022 election. As of Oct. 2, 2024, four major election forecasters differed in their ratings for the general election, with one rating it Likely Democratic, one rating it Lean Democratic, and two ranking it a Toss-Up.
Ballot measures
- See also: New Mexico 2024 ballot measures
There are eight statewide ballot measures on the ballot in New Mexico.
| Type | Title | Description | Result | Yes Votes | No Votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bond Question 1 | Issues $30.76 million in bonds to fund senior citizens facilities |
|
572,049 (70%) |
242,732 (30%) |
|
| Bond Question 2 | Issues $19.305 million in bonds to fund public libraries |
|
545,321 (67%) |
265,087 (33%) |
|
| Bond Question 3 | Issue $230.26 million in bonds to fund capital improvement projects for higher education institutions, special public schools, and tribal schools |
|
530,807 (66%) |
277,070 (34%) |
|
| Bond Question 4 | Issues $10.297 million in bonds to modernize public safety radio communications systems |
|
498,733 (63%) |
292,783 (37%) |
|
| Constitutional Amendment 1 | Proportionally applies the disabled veteran property tax exemption according to a veteran's disability rating |
|
701,047 (83%) |
145,855 (17%) |
|
| Constitutional Amendment 2 | Increases the property tax exemption for veterans from $4,000 to $10,000, adjusted annually for inflation |
|
611,027 (72%) |
240,349 (28%) |
|
| Constitutional Amendment 3 | Authorize the designee of the dean of the University of New Mexico Law School serve as chair of the judicial nomination commission |
|
412,465 (51%) |
389,871 (49%) |
|
| Constitutional Amendment 4 | Authorize the board of county commissioners to set salaries for county officers and clarify that fees collected by the county are to be deposited into the county treasury |
|
520,128 (66%) |
271,961 (34%) |
From 1996 to 2022, 109 ballot measures were on the ballot in New Mexico. Voters approved 96 measures and defeated 13.
State analysis
Partisan balance
Democrats represent all three districts in New Mexico’s U.S. House delegation. In the U.S. House, Republicans have a 220-212 majority with three vacancies.
Both of New Mexico's U.S. Senators—Martin Heinrich and Ben Ray Lujan—are Democrats. Democrats have a majority in the U.S. Senate. There are 47 Democrats, 49 Republicans, and four independents. Three independents caucus with the Democratic Party, and one other counts towards the Democratic majority for committee purposes.
Democrats have a 27-15 majority in the state Senate and a 45-25 majority in the state House. Democrats have held a majority in the state Senate since 2003 and have had a majority in the state House since 1955.
Because the governor is a Democrat, New Mexico is one of 17 states with a Democratic trifecta. It has held this status since 2019, when Michelle Lujan Grisham (D) took office as governor. New Mexico's attorney general and secretary of state are also Democrats. This makes New Mexico one of 20 states with a Democratic triplex. It has held this status since 2019.
Past presidential election results in New Mexico
How a state's counties vote in a presidential election and the size of those counties can provide additional insights into election outcomes at other levels of government including statewide and congressional races. Below, four categories are used to describe each county's voting pattern over the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections: Solid, Trending, Battleground, and New. Click [show] on the table below for examples:
| County-level voting pattern categories | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | |||||||
| Status | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | ||||
| Solid Democratic | D | D | D | ||||
| Trending Democratic | R | D | D | ||||
| Battleground Democratic | D | R | D | ||||
| New Democratic | R | R | D | ||||
| Republican | |||||||
| Status | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | ||||
| Solid Republican | R | R | R | ||||
| Trending Republican | D | R | R | ||||
| Battleground Republican | R | D | R | ||||
| New Republican | D | D | R | ||||
Following the 2020 presidential election, 69.6% of New Mexicans lived in one of the state's 14 Solid Democratic counties, which voted for the Democratic presidential candidate in every election from 2012 to 2020, and 26.% lived in one of 16 Solid Republican counties. Overall, New Mexico was Solid Democratic, having voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2012, Hillary Clinton (D) in 2016, and Joe Biden (D) in 2020. Use the table below to view the total number of each type of county in New Mexico following the 2020 election as well as the overall percentage of the state population located in each county type.
| New Mexico county-level statistics, 2020 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solid Democratic | 14 | 69.6% | |||||
| Solid Republican | 16 | 26.0% | |||||
| Trending Republican | 3 | 4.4% | |||||
| Total voted Democratic | 14 | 69.6% | |||||
| Total voted Republican | 19 | 30.4% | |||||
State legislative competitiveness
According to Ballotpedia's annual state legislative competitiveness report, New Mexico had a Competitiveness Index of 27.3, ranking it 31st of the 44 states that held elections.
- 19 of the 112 seats up for election were open (17%).
- 22 of the 93 incumbents who ran for re-election faced contested primaries (24%).
- 46 of the 112 seats up for election were contested by both major parties (41%).
2010-2024
Hover over column headings to learn more about their contents.
| State Legislative Competitiveness Index in New Mexico, 2010-2024 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Open seats | Incs. in contested primaries | Major party competition | Competitiveness Index | Rank | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 4.3% | 20.9% | 47.1% | 24.1 | 41 / 44 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 19.6% | 26.4% | 48.2% | 31.4 | 31 / 44 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 15.7% | 11.9% | 50.0% | 25.9 | 29 / 44 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 8.9% | 8.8% | 37.5% | 18.4 | 40 / 44 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 12.9% | 9.8% | 45.7% | 22.8 | 43 / 44 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2020 | 9.8% | 19.8% | 71.4% | 33.7 | 18 / 44 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 17.1% | 20.7% | 48.6% | 28.8 | 36 / 44 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17.0% | 23.7% | 41.1% | 27.3 | 31 / 44 | |||||||||||||||||||
In 2024
Hover over column headings to learn more about their contents. Click on headings for more state-specific information.
| State Legislative Competitiveness Index in New Mexico, 2024 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chamber | Open seats | Incs. in contested primaries | Major party competition | Competitiveness Index | ||||||||||||||||||||
| House | 11.4% | 21.0% | 44.3% | 25.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Senate | 26.2% | 29.0% | 35.7% | 30.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Total | 17.0% | 23.7% | 41.1% | 27.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||
List of candidates
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= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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 | New Mexico Supreme Court (Retention election) | Nonpartisan | Won General |
 | New Mexico Court of Appeals (Retention election) | Nonpartisan | Won General |
 | New Mexico Court of Appeals (Retention election) | Nonpartisan | Won General |
 | New Mexico Court of Appeals (Retention election) | Nonpartisan | Won General |
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
| candidate | office | party | status |
|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Won General | ||
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Bernalillo County Metropolitan Court Division I (Retention election) | Democratic | Won General | |
 | Bernalillo County Metropolitan Court Division III (Retention election) | Democratic | Won General |
Bernalillo County Metropolitan Court Division IX (Retention election) | Democratic | Won General | |
Bernalillo County Metropolitan Court Division VII (Retention election) | Democratic | Won General | |
Democratic | Won General | ||
Bernalillo County Metropolitan Court Division XIII (Retention election) | Republican | Won General | |
 | Bernalillo County Metropolitan Court Division XV (Retention election) | Democratic | Won General |
Bernalillo County Metropolitan Court Division XVII (Retention election) | Democratic | Won General | |
 | New Mexico 2nd Judicial District Court Division III (Retention election) | Nonpartisan | Won General |
 | New Mexico 2nd Judicial District Court Division IX (Retention election) | Nonpartisan | Won General |
 | New Mexico 2nd Judicial District Court Division VI (Retention election) | Nonpartisan | Won General |
 | New Mexico 2nd Judicial District Court Division XII (Retention election) | Nonpartisan | Won General |
 | New Mexico 2nd Judicial District Court Division XV (Retention election) | Nonpartisan | Won General |
 | New Mexico 2nd Judicial District Court Division XVIII (Retention election) | Nonpartisan | Won General |
New Mexico 2nd Judicial District Court Division XXI (Retention election) | Nonpartisan | Won General | |
 | New Mexico 2nd Judicial District Court Division XXVII (Retention election) | Nonpartisan | Won General |
 | New Mexico 2nd Judicial District Court Division XXX (Retention election) | Nonpartisan | Won General |
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
See also
Footnotes
