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New York's 24th Congressional District election, 2018
General election
General election for U.S. House New York District 24
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | John Katko (R) | 52.6 | 136,920 |
![]() | Dana Balter (D) | 47.4 | 123,226 |
Total votes: 260,146 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Bill Bass (Independent)
- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 12
- Early voting: N/A
- Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 6
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: No
- Voter ID: No
- Poll times: 6:00 a.m. and close at 9:00 p.m.
All U.S. congressional districts, including the 24th Congressional District of New York, held elections in 2018. In an article published on December 25, 2017, Politico listed the 24th Congressional District election as one of the top 10 House races to watch in 2018.[1]
Heading into the election the incumbent was John Katko (R), who was first elected in 2014.
New York's 24th Congressional District is located in the central portion of the state and includes Wayne, Cayuga and Onondaga counties and parts of Oswego County.[2]
Candidates and election results
General election
General election
General election for U.S. House New York District 24
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | John Katko (R) | 52.6 | 136,920 |
![]() | Dana Balter (D) | 47.4 | 123,226 |
Total votes: 260,146 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Bill Bass (Independent)
Political party key:
Democratic
Republican
Conservative Party
Green Party
Independence Party
Reform Party
Tax Revolt Party
Women's Equality Party
Working Families Party
Fusion voting candidates
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House New York District 24
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Dana Balter | 62.4 | 14,897 |
![]() | Juanita Perez Williams | 37.6 | 8,958 |
Total votes: 23,855 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Anne Messenger (D)
- Philip LaTessa (D)
- Scott Comegys (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House New York District 24
Candidate | ||
✔ | ![]() | John Katko |
![]() | ||||
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District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+3, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 3 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made New York's 24th Congressional District the 178th most Democratic nationally.[3]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.90. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.90 points toward that party.[4]
Race background
New York's 24th District was listed as one of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's initial targets in 2018.[5] Politico also included the 24th District election in a December 2017 list of the top 10 House races to watch.[1]
Campaign finance
The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Katko | Republican Party | $2,778,979 | $3,016,492 | $48,188 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Dana Balter | Democratic Party | $2,735,634 | $2,711,649 | $23,985 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2018. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
Satellite spending
Satellite spending, commonly referred to as outside spending, describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[6][7][8]
This section lists satellite spending in this race reported by news outlets in alphabetical order. If you are aware of spending that should be included, please email us.
- Change Now announced in late October 2018 that it would spend $400,000 on television ads criticizing Katko for his support of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act.[9]
- The Congressional Leadership Fund announced in June 2018 that it would spend $1 million on ads in support of Katko.[10]
- The House Majority PAC spent $1 million in October 2018 on an ad buy criticizing Katko for his support of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act.[11]
- The National Republican Congressional Committee announced a $645,000 television ad campaign supporting Katko on October 16, 2018.[12]
- No Labels announced it would spend roughly $200,000 on a print and social media campaign supporting Katko in September 2018.[11][13]
- Speak Out Central New York spent more than $280,000 from April to July 2018 criticizing Katko in a television, print, and social media ad campaign.[11]
Republican district won by Hillary Clinton
This district was one of 25 Republican-held U.S. House districts that Hillary Clinton (D) won in the 2016 presidential election.[14] Nearly all were expected to be among the House's most competitive elections in 2018.
Click on the table below to see the full list of districts.
Click here to see the 13 Democratic-held U.S. House districts that Donald Trump (R) won.
Campaign strategies and tactics
Campaign advertisements
Dana Balter
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Polls
- See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
New York's 24th Congressional District election, Balter vs. Katko | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | Dana Balter (D) | John Katko (R) | Undecided | Margin of Error | Sample Size | ||||||||||||||
Siena College (October 18-22, 2018) | 53% | 39% | 8% | +/-4.6 | 500 | ||||||||||||||
Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org |
District history
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as a race to watch. Incumbent John Katko (R) defeated Colleen Deacon (D) and Mimi Satter (Working Families) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Deacon defeated Eric Kingson and Steven Williams in the Democratic primary, while Katko faced no primary challenger. The primary elections took place on June 28, 2016.[19][20]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
60.6% | 182,761 | |
Democratic | Colleen Deacon | 39.4% | 119,040 | |
Total Votes | 301,801 | |||
Source: New York Board of Elections |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() |
49.9% | 6,517 | ||
Eric Kingson | 30.6% | 3,994 | ||
Steven Williams | 19.6% | 2,557 | ||
Total Votes | 13,068 | |||
Source: New York State Board of Elections |
2014
The 24th Congressional District of New York held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. John Katko (R) defeated incumbent Dan Maffei (D) in the general election.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Dan Maffei Incumbent | 40.3% | 80,304 | |
Republican | ![]() |
59.5% | 118,474 | |
N/A | Write-in votes | 0.2% | 444 | |
Total Votes | 199,222 | |||
Source: New York State Board of Elections, NYS Board of Elections Rep. in Congress Election Returns November 4, 2014," accessed August 30, 2021 |
Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
Eighteen of 62 New York counties—29 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008 | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
County | Trump margin of victory in 2016 | Obama margin of victory in 2012 | Obama margin of victory in 2008 | ||||
Broome County, New York | 2.01% | 5.31% | 8.02% | ||||
Cayuga County, New York | 11.64% | 11.40% | 8.48% | ||||
Cortland County, New York | 5.58% | 9.11% | 9.96% | ||||
Essex County, New York | 1.14% | 18.77% | 13.32% | ||||
Franklin County, New York | 5.45% | 26.07% | 22.23% | ||||
Madison County, New York | 14.20% | 0.89% | 0.87% | ||||
Niagara County, New York | 17.75% | 0.84% | 1.00% | ||||
Orange County, New York | 5.50% | 5.65% | 4.13% | ||||
Oswego County, New York | 21.99% | 7.93% | 2.44% | ||||
Otsego County, New York | 11.13% | 2.72% | 5.91% | ||||
Rensselaer County, New York | 1.41% | 12.19% | 9.34% | ||||
St. Lawrence County, New York | 8.82% | 16.71% | 16.33% | ||||
Saratoga County, New York | 3.21% | 2.44% | 3.40% | ||||
Seneca County, New York | 11.01% | 9.08% | 2.60% | ||||
Suffolk County, New York | 6.84% | 3.69% | 5.99% | ||||
Sullivan County, New York | 11.23% | 9.02% | 9.46% | ||||
Warren County, New York | 8.47% | 2.32% | 2.64% | ||||
Washington County, New York | 18.40% | 1.90% | 0.81% |
In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton (D) won New York with 59 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 36.5 percent. In presidential elections between 1792 and 2016, New York voted Democratic 45.6 percent of the time and Republican 35 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, New York voted Democratic all five times.[21]
Presidential results by legislative district
The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state Assembly districts in New York. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[22][23]
In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 114 out of 150 state Assembly districts in New York with an average margin of victory of 46.5 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 99 out of 150 state Assembly districts in New York with an average margin of victory of 50.3 points. Clinton won four districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections. |
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 36 out of 150 state Assembly districts in New York with an average margin of victory of 10.5 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 51 out of 150 state Assembly districts in New York with an average margin of victory of 17.6 points. Trump won 13 districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections. |
2016 Presidential Results by State Assembly District ' | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
District | Obama | Romney | 2012 Margin | Clinton | Trump | 2016 Margin | Party Control |
1 | 54.04% | 44.82% | D+9.2 | 48.70% | 47.90% | D+0.8 | D |
2 | 46.01% | 52.77% | R+6.8 | 38.67% | 58.09% | R+19.4 | R |
3 | 55.11% | 43.52% | D+11.6 | 41.78% | 54.70% | R+12.9 | R |
4 | 53.31% | 45.30% | D+8 | 48.48% | 48.05% | D+0.4 | D |
5 | 47.32% | 51.31% | R+4 | 36.36% | 60.40% | R+24 | R |
6 | 78.89% | 20.28% | D+58.6 | 72.98% | 24.24% | D+48.7 | D |
7 | 47.06% | 51.56% | R+4.5 | 39.08% | 57.31% | R+18.2 | R |
8 | 39.57% | 59.23% | R+19.7 | 36.18% | 60.77% | R+24.6 | R |
9 | 43.39% | 55.49% | R+12.1 | 36.87% | 59.96% | R+23.1 | D[24] |
10 | 51.06% | 47.80% | D+3.3 | 52.08% | 44.85% | D+7.2 | R |
11 | 64.66% | 34.40% | D+30.3 | 55.00% | 42.21% | D+12.8 | D |
12 | 47.31% | 51.62% | R+4.3 | 44.00% | 52.67% | R+8.7 | R |
13 | 58.37% | 40.78% | D+17.6 | 60.78% | 36.72% | D+24.1 | D |
14 | 46.14% | 52.73% | R+6.6 | 41.36% | 55.64% | R+14.3 | R |
15 | 45.71% | 53.03% | R+7.3 | 44.85% | 52.11% | R+7.3 | R |
16 | 52.05% | 47.10% | D+5 | 56.95% | 40.38% | D+16.6 | D |
17 | 45.79% | 53.00% | R+7.2 | 39.11% | 57.86% | R+18.7 | R |
18 | 91.22% | 8.41% | D+82.8 | 87.68% | 10.41% | D+77.3 | D |
19 | 42.58% | 56.33% | R+13.7 | 43.26% | 53.52% | R+10.3 | R |
20 | 48.06% | 51.13% | R+3.1 | 47.00% | 50.24% | R+3.2 | R |
21 | 52.67% | 46.29% | D+6.4 | 51.99% | 45.07% | D+6.9 | R |
22 | 65.29% | 33.82% | D+31.5 | 63.90% | 33.38% | D+30.5 | D |
23 | 61.90% | 37.47% | D+24.4 | 53.34% | 44.39% | D+9 | D |
24 | 78.38% | 20.78% | D+57.6 | 76.56% | 21.44% | D+55.1 | D |
25 | 67.95% | 31.02% | D+36.9 | 64.73% | 32.56% | D+32.2 | D |
26 | 60.52% | 38.40% | D+22.1 | 57.04% | 40.31% | D+16.7 | D |
27 | 66.10% | 32.78% | D+33.3 | 65.49% | 31.64% | D+33.8 | D |
28 | 64.51% | 34.05% | D+30.5 | 64.36% | 32.54% | D+31.8 | D |
29 | 96.48% | 3.31% | D+93.2 | 93.79% | 4.84% | D+89 | D |
30 | 69.24% | 29.36% | D+39.9 | 66.29% | 30.73% | D+35.6 | D |
31 | 94.67% | 5.11% | D+89.6 | 90.76% | 7.84% | D+82.9 | D |
32 | 98.08% | 1.76% | D+96.3 | 94.74% | 4.01% | D+90.7 | D |
33 | 91.02% | 8.63% | D+82.4 | 87.81% | 10.57% | D+77.2 | D |
34 | 83.56% | 15.45% | D+68.1 | 81.22% | 16.12% | D+65.1 | D |
35 | 87.16% | 12.34% | D+74.8 | 83.53% | 14.41% | D+69.1 | D |
36 | 79.87% | 18.03% | D+61.8 | 77.61% | 18.78% | D+58.8 | D |
37 | 83.87% | 14.68% | D+69.2 | 81.38% | 15.40% | D+66 | D |
38 | 80.79% | 18.38% | D+62.4 | 76.29% | 20.96% | D+55.3 | D |
39 | 84.83% | 14.30% | D+70.5 | 82.52% | 15.37% | D+67.2 | D |
40 | 73.69% | 25.42% | D+48.3 | 67.21% | 30.28% | D+36.9 | D |
41 | 64.24% | 34.88% | D+29.4 | 60.37% | 37.52% | D+22.9 | D |
42 | 88.34% | 11.08% | D+77.3 | 87.37% | 10.69% | D+76.7 | D |
43 | 92.71% | 6.67% | D+86 | 89.50% | 8.18% | D+81.3 | D |
44 | 75.88% | 22.30% | D+53.6 | 78.35% | 18.67% | D+59.7 | D |
45 | 39.57% | 59.45% | R+19.9 | 38.92% | 58.66% | R+19.7 | D |
46 | 57.36% | 41.53% | D+15.8 | 52.25% | 44.97% | D+7.3 | D |
47 | 57.51% | 41.30% | D+16.2 | 52.70% | 44.71% | D+8 | D |
48 | 23.67% | 75.67% | R+52 | 28.29% | 69.34% | R+41 | D |
49 | 63.97% | 34.98% | D+29 | 56.74% | 40.36% | D+16.4 | D |
50 | 81.31% | 16.33% | D+65 | 83.62% | 13.09% | D+70.5 | D |
51 | 85.66% | 12.87% | D+72.8 | 83.02% | 13.97% | D+69.1 | D |
52 | 90.09% | 8.07% | D+82 | 91.91% | 5.33% | D+86.6 | D |
53 | 92.91% | 5.37% | D+87.5 | 91.06% | 6.07% | D+85 | D |
54 | 96.13% | 3.35% | D+92.8 | 92.39% | 5.36% | D+87 | D |
55 | 98.83% | 0.99% | D+97.8 | 96.15% | 2.40% | D+93.7 | D |
56 | 98.41% | 0.96% | D+97.4 | 95.55% | 2.09% | D+93.5 | D |
57 | 96.67% | 1.84% | D+94.8 | 95.21% | 2.19% | D+93 | D |
58 | 98.43% | 1.45% | D+97 | 96.16% | 2.69% | D+93.5 | D |
59 | 79.70% | 19.86% | D+59.8 | 74.78% | 23.64% | D+51.1 | D |
60 | 97.18% | 2.69% | D+94.5 | 95.26% | 3.68% | D+91.6 | D |
61 | 73.38% | 25.49% | D+47.9 | 66.08% | 31.15% | D+34.9 | D |
62 | 33.53% | 65.59% | R+32.1 | 23.48% | 74.50% | R+51 | R |
63 | 52.73% | 46.28% | D+6.4 | 44.62% | 52.97% | R+8.3 | D |
64 | 48.50% | 50.32% | R+1.8 | 40.32% | 56.79% | R+16.5 | R |
65 | 81.18% | 17.32% | D+63.9 | 82.52% | 14.32% | D+68.2 | D |
66 | 82.48% | 15.83% | D+66.6 | 88.65% | 8.07% | D+80.6 | D |
67 | 79.90% | 18.81% | D+61.1 | 86.93% | 10.33% | D+76.6 | D |
68 | 93.24% | 6.07% | D+87.2 | 91.42% | 6.29% | D+85.1 | D |
69 | 89.05% | 9.58% | D+79.5 | 90.82% | 6.34% | D+84.5 | D |
70 | 97.06% | 2.16% | D+94.9 | 94.78% | 2.82% | D+92 | D |
71 | 94.24% | 4.79% | D+89.4 | 92.52% | 4.99% | D+87.5 | D |
72 | 92.83% | 6.15% | D+86.7 | 90.73% | 6.93% | D+83.8 | D |
73 | 66.15% | 32.87% | D+33.3 | 78.99% | 17.96% | D+61 | D |
74 | 82.49% | 15.93% | D+66.6 | 85.40% | 11.22% | D+74.2 | D |
75 | 81.59% | 16.96% | D+64.6 | 86.45% | 10.67% | D+75.8 | D |
76 | 71.08% | 27.66% | D+43.4 | 80.57% | 16.33% | D+64.2 | D |
77 | 97.58% | 2.20% | D+95.4 | 94.60% | 4.19% | D+90.4 | D |
78 | 93.63% | 5.85% | D+87.8 | 91.24% | 6.90% | D+84.3 | D |
79 | 97.75% | 2.07% | D+95.7 | 94.79% | 4.02% | D+90.8 | D |
80 | 84.17% | 15.09% | D+69.1 | 81.92% | 15.88% | D+66 | D |
81 | 80.56% | 18.48% | D+62.1 | 81.08% | 16.20% | D+64.9 | D |
82 | 77.59% | 21.72% | D+55.9 | 72.94% | 25.01% | D+47.9 | D |
83 | 97.51% | 2.29% | D+95.2 | 95.42% | 3.44% | D+92 | D |
84 | 96.67% | 3.01% | D+93.7 | 93.79% | 4.84% | D+88.9 | D |
85 | 96.67% | 3.09% | D+93.6 | 93.54% | 5.11% | D+88.4 | D |
86 | 96.98% | 2.77% | D+94.2 | 93.95% | 4.68% | D+89.3 | D |
87 | 94.79% | 4.94% | D+89.8 | 91.38% | 7.06% | D+84.3 | D |
88 | 58.31% | 40.76% | D+17.6 | 65.37% | 31.47% | D+33.9 | D |
89 | 85.20% | 14.17% | D+71 | 82.85% | 15.16% | D+67.7 | D |
90 | 61.30% | 37.80% | D+23.5 | 60.47% | 37.11% | D+23.4 | D |
91 | 61.44% | 37.46% | D+24 | 67.67% | 29.24% | D+38.4 | D |
92 | 63.32% | 35.59% | D+27.7 | 67.46% | 29.61% | D+37.8 | D |
93 | 55.29% | 43.50% | D+11.8 | 63.29% | 33.24% | D+30 | D |
94 | 43.95% | 54.77% | R+10.8 | 42.07% | 54.54% | R+12.5 | R |
95 | 60.73% | 37.96% | D+22.8 | 60.71% | 35.75% | D+25 | D |
96 | 55.79% | 43.29% | D+12.5 | 53.99% | 43.30% | D+10.7 | D |
97 | 55.96% | 42.95% | D+13 | 56.12% | 41.13% | D+15 | D |
98 | 42.17% | 56.42% | R+14.3 | 37.01% | 59.04% | R+22 | R |
99 | 48.43% | 50.22% | R+1.8 | 42.54% | 53.63% | R+11.1 | D |
100 | 58.43% | 40.15% | D+18.3 | 48.34% | 47.78% | D+0.6 | D |
101 | 46.72% | 51.54% | R+4.8 | 37.09% | 57.64% | R+20.6 | R |
102 | 46.17% | 51.68% | R+5.5 | 36.02% | 58.61% | R+22.6 | R |
103 | 63.55% | 33.96% | D+29.6 | 58.26% | 36.29% | D+22 | D |
104 | 63.92% | 34.66% | D+29.3 | 58.16% | 37.80% | D+20.4 | D |
105 | 44.96% | 53.53% | R+8.6 | 40.21% | 55.76% | R+15.5 | R |
106 | 54.56% | 43.55% | D+11 | 48.51% | 46.87% | D+1.6 | D |
107 | 53.05% | 44.89% | D+8.2 | 44.90% | 49.10% | R+4.2 | R |
108 | 70.55% | 27.28% | D+43.3 | 61.59% | 32.95% | D+28.6 | D |
109 | 65.84% | 31.84% | D+34 | 64.15% | 30.37% | D+33.8 | D |
110 | 58.81% | 39.29% | D+19.5 | 55.68% | 39.07% | D+16.6 | D |
111 | 52.50% | 45.71% | D+6.8 | 41.48% | 53.27% | R+11.8 | D |
112 | 48.89% | 49.13% | R+0.2 | 44.94% | 48.94% | R+4 | R |
113 | 52.68% | 45.50% | D+7.2 | 45.69% | 47.82% | R+2.1 | D |
114 | 51.63% | 46.49% | D+5.1 | 41.02% | 52.47% | R+11.4 | R |
115 | 61.84% | 36.53% | D+25.3 | 46.11% | 47.66% | R+1.6 | D |
116 | 54.55% | 43.93% | D+10.6 | 42.31% | 51.66% | R+9.4 | D |
117 | 45.01% | 53.43% | R+8.4 | 31.76% | 62.47% | R+30.7 | R |
118 | 43.83% | 54.51% | R+10.7 | 31.43% | 63.31% | R+31.9 | R |
119 | 51.36% | 46.95% | D+4.4 | 41.04% | 53.84% | R+12.8 | D |
120 | 51.15% | 46.82% | D+4.3 | 37.11% | 57.05% | R+19.9 | R |
121 | 49.52% | 48.41% | D+1.1 | 39.87% | 53.28% | R+13.4 | D |
122 | 45.53% | 52.49% | R+7 | 34.61% | 59.78% | R+25.2 | R |
123 | 55.57% | 42.04% | D+13.5 | 52.23% | 41.96% | D+10.3 | D |
124 | 46.07% | 52.15% | R+6.1 | 37.50% | 56.97% | R+19.5 | R |
125 | 66.01% | 31.04% | D+35 | 64.17% | 29.17% | D+35 | D |
126 | 52.22% | 45.79% | D+6.4 | 43.09% | 50.74% | R+7.7 | R |
127 | 53.56% | 44.89% | D+8.7 | 47.85% | 46.23% | D+1.6 | D |
128 | 67.41% | 30.84% | D+36.6 | 62.44% | 32.51% | D+29.9 | D |
129 | 67.56% | 30.34% | D+37.2 | 61.81% | 32.63% | D+29.2 | D |
130 | 46.79% | 51.25% | R+4.5 | 34.92% | 59.04% | R+24.1 | R |
131 | 49.38% | 48.73% | D+0.6 | 42.69% | 50.88% | R+8.2 | R |
132 | 43.99% | 54.12% | R+10.1 | 33.52% | 60.54% | R+27 | R |
133 | 44.81% | 53.27% | R+8.5 | 41.66% | 52.66% | R+11 | R |
134 | 46.94% | 51.52% | R+4.6 | 40.25% | 54.77% | R+14.5 | R |
135 | 48.95% | 49.37% | R+0.4 | 49.07% | 45.18% | D+3.9 | R |
136 | 65.47% | 32.54% | D+32.9 | 63.46% | 31.09% | D+32.4 | D |
137 | 82.06% | 16.74% | D+65.3 | 76.04% | 20.42% | D+55.6 | D |
138 | 63.64% | 33.69% | D+30 | 60.14% | 33.54% | D+26.6 | D |
139 | 39.87% | 58.03% | R+18.2 | 30.20% | 63.82% | R+33.6 | R |
140 | 57.07% | 40.83% | D+16.2 | 49.45% | 45.32% | D+4.1 | D |
141 | 90.73% | 8.28% | D+82.5 | 87.56% | 9.85% | D+77.7 | D |
142 | 54.21% | 43.95% | D+10.3 | 44.65% | 50.57% | R+5.9 | D |
143 | 53.02% | 45.22% | D+7.8 | 43.36% | 52.14% | R+8.8 | D |
144 | 41.30% | 56.97% | R+15.7 | 33.65% | 61.58% | R+27.9 | R |
145 | 51.63% | 46.76% | D+4.9 | 41.99% | 53.80% | R+11.8 | R |
146 | 50.81% | 47.67% | D+3.1 | 51.71% | 43.66% | D+8.1 | R |
147 | 40.61% | 57.59% | R+17 | 30.82% | 64.29% | R+33.5 | R |
148 | 39.92% | 58.13% | R+18.2 | 28.76% | 65.82% | R+37.1 | R |
149 | 64.10% | 33.69% | D+30.4 | 58.11% | 37.05% | D+21.1 | D |
150 | 45.20% | 53.09% | R+7.9 | 35.59% | 58.89% | R+23.3 | R |
Total | 63.43% | 35.22% | D+28.2 | 59.48% | 36.81% | D+22.7 | - |
Source: Daily Kos |
State overview
Partisan control
This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in New York heading into the 2018 elections.
Congressional delegation
- Following the 2016 elections, Democrats held both U.S. Senate seats in New York.
- Democrats held 17 of 27 U.S. House seats in New York.
State executives
- As of September 2018, Democrats held 5 of 11 state executive positions, and the remaining positions were officially nonpartisan.
- The governor of New York was Democrat Andrew Cuomo. The state held elections for governor and lieutenant governor on November 6, 2018.
State legislature
- Democrats controlled both chambers of the New York State Legislature. They had a 104-41 majority in the state Assembly and a 32-31 majority in the state Senate.
Trifecta status
- New York was a Democratic trifecta, meaning that the Democratic Party controlled the office of the governor, the state House, and the state Senate.
2018 elections
- See also: New York elections, 2018
New York held elections for the following positions in 2018:
- One U.S. Senate seat
- 18 U.S. House seats
- Governor and lieutenant governor
- Two lower state executive positions
- 63 state Senate seats
- 150 state Assembly seats
- Municipal elections in New York, Buffalo, and Erie County
Demographics
Demographic data for New York | ||
---|---|---|
New York | U.S. | |
Total population: | 19,747,183 | 316,515,021 |
Land area (sq mi): | 47,126 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White: | 64.6% | 73.6% |
Black/African American: | 15.6% | 12.6% |
Asian: | 8% | 5.1% |
Native American: | 0.4% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander: | 0% | 0.2% |
Two or more: | 2.9% | 3% |
Hispanic/Latino: | 18.4% | 17.1% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate: | 85.6% | 86.7% |
College graduation rate: | 34.2% | 29.8% |
Income | ||
Median household income: | $59,269 | $53,889 |
Persons below poverty level: | 18.5% | 11.3% |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in New York. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
As of July 2016, New York's three largest cities were New York (pop. est. 8,622,698), Hempstead (pop. est. 774,959), and Brookhaven (pop. est. 486,170).[25][26]
State election history
This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in New York from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the New York State Board of Elections.
Historical elections
Presidential elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the presidential election in New York every year from 2000 to 2016.
Election results (President of the United States), New York 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | ![]() |
59.0% | ![]() |
36.5% | 22.5% |
2012 | ![]() |
63.3% | ![]() |
35.2% | 28.1% |
2008 | ![]() |
62.9% | ![]() |
36.0% | 26.1% |
2004 | ![]() |
58.4% | ![]() |
40.1% | 18.3% |
2000 | ![]() |
60.2% | ![]() |
35.2% | 25.0% |
U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in New York from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.
Election results (U.S. Senator), New York 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | ![]() |
70.7% | ![]() |
27.1% | 43.6% |
2012 | ![]() |
67.6% | ![]() |
24.7% | 42.9% |
2010 | ![]() |
64.0% | ![]() |
31.1% | 32.9% |
2008 | ![]() |
67.0% | ![]() |
31.0% | 36.0% |
2004 | ![]() |
71.2% | ![]() |
24.2% | 47.0% |
2000 | ![]() |
55.3% | ![]() |
43.0% | 22.3% |
Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in New York.
Election results (Governor), New York 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2014 | ![]() |
50.3% | ![]() |
40.3% | 10.0% |
2010 | ![]() |
61.0% | ![]() |
32.5% | 28.5% |
2006 | ![]() |
65.3% | ![]() |
27.1% | 38.2% |
2002 | ![]() |
49.4% | ![]() |
33.5% | 15.9% |
Congressional delegation, 2000-2016
This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent New York in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.
Trifectas, 1992-2017
A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.
New York Party Control: 1992-2025
Nine years of Democratic trifectas • No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Senate | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Assembly | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
See also
- New York's 24th Congressional District election (June 26, 2018 Democratic primary)
- New York's 24th Congressional District election (June 26, 2018 Republican primary)
- United States House of Representatives elections in New York, 2018
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2018
Footnotes
- ↑ 1.0 1.1 Politico, "The Top 10 House Races to Watch in 2018," December 25, 2017
- ↑ New York Redistricting Map, "Map," accessed September 25, 2012
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ DCCC, "House Democrats Playing Offense," January 30, 2017
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed September 22, 2015
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed September 22, 2015
- ↑ National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," November 6, 2015
- ↑ Syracuse.com, "Democratic group launches $400K ad blitz critical of John Katko's tax vote," October 29, 2018
- ↑ Upstate Politics, "NY24: Congressional Republican Super PAC Spending $1M in Pro-Katko Ads," June 11, 2018
- ↑ 11.0 11.1 11.2 Syracuse.com, "John Katko targeted on tax vote by $1 million TV ad campaign," October 3, 2018
- ↑ Syracuse.com, "House Republicans launch $645K ad campaign against Dana Balter," October 17, 2018
- ↑ Upstate Politics, "No Labels Action Super PAC Backs Katko as ‘Having the Guts’ to Break DC Gridlock," September 14, 2018
- ↑ This figure includes Pennsylvania districts that were redrawn by the state Supreme Court in early 2018 and districts that flipped in special elections.
- ↑ The new 1st district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 8th District held by Fitzpatrick. Click here to read more.
- ↑ The new 5th district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 7th District held by Meehan. Click here to read more.
- ↑ The new 6th district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 6th District held by Costello. Click here to read more.
- ↑ The new 7th district was created in early 2018 due to court-ordered redistricting and most closely resembles the old 15th District held by Dent. Click here to read more.
- ↑ New York State Board of Elections, "Filings received for the 2016 Primary Election," accessed May 15, 2016
- ↑ Politico, "New York House Races Results," June 28, 2016
- ↑ 270towin.com, "New York," accessed June 1, 2017
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
- ↑ Democrats won Assembly District 9 in a special election on May 23, 2017. The seat was previously held by a Republican.
- ↑ New York Demographics, "New York Cities by Population," accessed September 4, 2018
- ↑ U.S. Census Bureau, "Quickfacts New York," accessed September 4, 2018