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New York's 1st Congressional District election, 2024 (June 25 Democratic primary)

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2026
2022
New York's 1st Congressional District
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: April 4, 2024
Primary: June 25, 2024
General: November 5, 2024
How to vote
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 9 p.m.
Voting in New York
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Likely Republican
DDHQ and The Hill: Lean Republican
Inside Elections: Likely Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024
See also
New York's 1st Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th14th15th16th17th18th19th20th21st22nd23rd24th25th26th
New York elections, 2024
U.S. Congress elections, 2024
U.S. Senate elections, 2024
U.S. House elections, 2024

John Avlon (D) won the Democratic primary in New York's 1st Congressional District on June 25, 2024. Click here to view the primary results.

According to Spectrum News, Avlon and Goroff differed in their strategy for the general election. Avlon said he would try to appeal to swing voters: "You need candidates who can energize people, inspire the base, but also win over independent voters and that reasonable edge of Republicans." Goroff said she would focus on boosting turnout: "We need to give voters a reason to show up. We need to give them a reason to vote for the Democrat. That means providing a real contrast with Nick LaLota."[1]

Avlon was a former CNN anchor who earlier served as editor-in-chief of The Daily Beast and as speechwriter to then-Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R).[2] Avlon said he was running because "now is one of those times in our nation's history when we're all called to stand up for something bigger than ourselves...it’s time for us all to put country over party."[3] Referring to Goroff's 2020 campaign in the district, Avlon said he was the better candidate because Goroff had lost once before.[4]

Goroff was the former chairwoman of the chemistry department at Stony Brook University and the founder of a local nonprofit that opposed Moms for Liberty in school board elections.[5] Goroff said she was running "to cut costs for Long Islanders, ensure local public safety and social services have the resources they need to keep us safe, stand up to the extremists who want to take away a woman’s right to choose, and put an end to senseless gun violence."[6] Goroff said she was the better candidate because of Avlon's past work for Giuliani and the Manhattan Institute for Policy Research.[4]

Avlon faced incumbent Nicholas J. LaLota (R) in the general election. As of June 24, 2024, The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter and Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball rated the general election Likely Republican and Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales rated it Lean Republican.

John Avlon (D) completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. To read those survey responses, click here.

John Avlon advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House New York District 1.

All 435 seats were up for election. At the time of the election, Republicans had a 220 to 212 majority with three vacancies.[7] As of June 2024, 45 members of the U.S. House had announced they were not running for re-election. To read more about the U.S. House elections taking place this year, click here.

In the 2022 election in this district, the Republican candidate won 55.5%-44.5%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Donald Trump (R) would have defeated Joe Biden (D) 50.3%-48.5%.[8]

New York conducted redistricting between the 2022 and 2024 elections. As a result, district lines in this state changed. To review how redistricting took place in New York and to see maps of the new districts, click here. For a list of all states that drew new district lines between 2022 and 2024, click here.

This page focuses on New York's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary. For more in-depth information on the district's Republican primary and the general election, see the following pages:

Candidates and election results

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House New York District 1

John Avlon defeated Nancy Goroff in the Democratic primary for U.S. House New York District 1 on June 25, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of John Avlon
John Avlon Candidate Connection
 
70.1
 
19,383
Image of Nancy Goroff
Nancy Goroff
 
29.9
 
8,253

Total votes: 27,636
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Voting information

See also: Voting in New York

Election information in New York: June 25, 2024, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: June 15, 2024
  • By mail: Received by June 15, 2024
  • Online: June 15, 2024

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

N/A

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: June 24, 2024
  • By mail: Received by June 15, 2024
  • Online: June 15, 2024

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: June 25, 2024
  • By mail: Postmarked by June 25, 2024

Was early voting available to all voters?

N/A

What were the early voting start and end dates?

June 15, 2024 to June 23, 2024

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

6:00 a.m. - 9:00 p.m. (EST)


Candidate comparison

Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.

Image of John Avlon

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Democratic Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography "I'm a native New Yorker, the grandson of immigrants and the father of two young kids. I’ve worked most of my career as a journalist and author, recently as a CNN anchor and senior political analyst, where my Reality Check segments aired on the morning show and across the network. I joined CNN fulltime after working as Editor-in-Chief and Managing Director of The Daily Beast for five years – during which time we won 17 awards for journalistic excellence and were blacklisted by the Trump campaign, which I consider a badge of honor. I’ve written four books – Independent Nation, Wingnuts, Washington’s Farewell and Lincoln & the Fight for Peace. Previously, I was a columnist and served as chief speechwriter to the Mayor of New York during the attacks of 9/11. I first became engaged with politics because I was inspired by Bill Clinton’s presidential campaigns and his centrist Democrat “third way” approach to politics. My wife is Margaret Hoover, the host of Firing Line on PBS. I live in Sag Harbor, New York. I decided to get in the arena and run for office when I realized that Trump was going to be renominated by Republicans after his attempt to overturn an election on the back of a lie that led to an attack on our capitol. I believe that now is the time for our generation to step up and defend our democracy – and I didn’t want to look back and tell my children that I could have done more when it mattered most. That’s why I’m running for Congress."


Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.


I am a common-sense Democrat running to flip a swing seat from red to blue in Suffolk County, New York. In 2024, we need to build the broadest possible coalition to defend our democracy, defeat Donald Trump, and win back Congress from his MAGA minions, who aren’t even trying to solve problems anymore. When this hyper-partisan fever breaks, we need to restore faith that American government can work for Suffolk County families again by rebuilding the middle class, protecting reproductive freedom, combating climate change and defending our democracy. We need to reduce the cost of living and improve the quality of life.


Addressing the cost crisis and rebuilding the middle Class: Washington Republicans raised our taxes so they could fund billions more in tax breaks for corporations and the super-rich. They used the tax code as a partisan weapon by capping the State and Local Tax Deduction, which targeted blue states. Long Island families have depended on the SALT deduction for decades. But Washington Republicans are never going to restore it because their party is just too invested in the partisan red-state/blue-state divide. But Democrats can and will restore the SALT deductions if we if we take back Congress. I’ll also fight to increase the Child Tax Credit to help working families and move more kids out of poverty.


Reproductive Freedom: The decision to have an abortion should be between a woman, her doctor, and her God – not the government. But women today are growing up with fewer rights than their mothers had. Trump’s Supreme Court appointees took away the constitutional right to reproductive freedom after 50 years of Roe v Wade – and they lied to the American people about their determination to do it. Nick LaLota cheered the repeal of Roe and said he wants states to go further. Now, Donald Trump is saying that women should have their pregnancies tracked while states a further restricting this right and the Republican Speaker support a national abortion ban. We need a Democratic Congress to protect reproductive freedom.

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House New York District 1 in 2024.

Image of Nancy Goroff

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Democratic Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Biography:  Goroff obtained a bachelor's degree from Harvard University and a doctorate from the University of California–Los Angeles. After postdoctoral fellowships at Michigan State University and the University of Michigan, Goroff joined the faculty at Stony Brook University, eventually becoming chairwoman of the chemistry department. Goroff resigned after the 2020 election to focus on policy work.



Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.


Goroff said she had a record of advocacy in the community that included founding a nonprofit that supported challengers to Moms for Liberty–backed school board members, advocating for Stony Brook researchers to receive university-provided healthcare, and receiving an impact award from the local Planned Parenthood chapter.


Goroff said she was running because "we need a representative who will work with Republicans and Democrats to cut costs for Long Islanders, ensure local public safety and social services have the resources they need to keep us safe, stand up to the extremists who want to take away a woman’s right to choose, and put an end to senseless gun violence."


Goroff said she would focus on enacting policy if elected, saying she knew the importance of collaboration from her background in academia and advocacy.


Show sources

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House New York District 1 in 2024.

Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

Survey responses from candidates in this race

Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.

Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.

Expand all | Collapse all

I am a common-sense Democrat running to flip a swing seat from red to blue in Suffolk County, New York. In 2024, we need to build the broadest possible coalition to defend our democracy, defeat Donald Trump, and win back Congress from his MAGA minions, who aren’t even trying to solve problems anymore. When this hyper-partisan fever breaks, we need to restore faith that American government can work for Suffolk County families again by rebuilding the middle class, protecting reproductive freedom, combating climate change and defending our democracy. We need to reduce the cost of living and improve the quality of life.

Addressing the cost crisis and rebuilding the middle Class: Washington Republicans raised our taxes so they could fund billions more in tax breaks for corporations and the super-rich. They used the tax code as a partisan weapon by capping the State and Local Tax Deduction, which targeted blue states. Long Island families have depended on the SALT deduction for decades. But Washington Republicans are never going to restore it because their party is just too invested in the partisan red-state/blue-state divide. But Democrats can and will restore the SALT deductions if we if we take back

Congress. I’ll also fight to increase the Child Tax Credit to help working families and move more kids out of poverty.

Reproductive Freedom: The decision to have an abortion should be between a woman, her doctor, and her God – not the government. But women today are growing up with fewer rights than their mothers had. Trump’s Supreme Court appointees took away the constitutional right to reproductive freedom after 50 years of Roe v Wade – and they lied to the American people about their determination to do it. Nick LaLota cheered the repeal of Roe and said he wants states to go further. Now, Donald Trump is saying that women should have their pregnancies tracked while states a further restricting this right and the Republican Speaker support a national abortion ban. We need a

Democratic Congress to protect reproductive freedom.
I've spent most of my career as an author and journalist warning about the dangers of hyper partisanship and polarization of our democracy – while trying to offer solutions for ways to overcome those forces by strengthening the vital center. As the grandson of immigrants, I'm deeply patriotic. I believe the United States of America stands for something more than itself. Therefore, I believe that we need to strengthen American democracy for the 21st century. We need to heal our divides on a political, economic, and cultural level. That means election reform, combating disinformation, teaching civic education, and rebuilding the middle class.
I've written books about George Washington and Abraham Lincoln. I've always admired Theodore Roosevelt. Other political heroes include Senator Robert F Kennedy, Senator Daniel Patrick Moynihan and Senator John McCain. Margaret Chase Smith deserves eternal admiration for the way she stood up to Senator Joe McCarthy. Bill Clinton awakened my love of politics as I was inspired by his Third Way vision of “opportunity responsibility and community” - concepts that still apply today. I wrote my college thesis on Vaclav Havel. Barack Obama was certainly an inspirational and generationally resonant leader and among contemporary elected officials I have great admiration for Senator Angus King of Maine because of his commitment to common sense problem solving, his principled independence and his ability to use humor to build bridges between people.
My books “Washington’s Farewell” and “Lincoln & the Fight for Peace” provide the best way to understand my political philosophy. In addition, I’d recommend reading the essay I co-wrote for TIME magazine called “The Unum Test.”
In our polarized times, putting love of country over party is most important principle for an elected official.
The ability to build teams, solve problems and communicate clearly. I'd like to thank that I can balance moderation with moral courage and model kindness as a character trait consistent with effective leadership. Also, we need more journalists and presidential historians in politics.
Character. A commitment to putting country over party. The ability to communicate clearly and advance a fact-based debate that aims to persuade. The ability to solve problems and think long term.
I'd like to be remembered as a good man and an effective leader who helped elevate our debates, heal our divides, practiced the politics of the golden rule, and strengthened the vital center.
I remember dimly being aware of the Iran hostage crisis during the Carter administration and the assassination attempt against President Reagan. I distinctly remember the Challenger explosion and finding myself deputized to go tell classes in my school what happened.
It’s almost impossible to name just one but Legends of the Fall by Jim Harrison is the closest because of its sweep and precision. The Rise of Theodore Roosevelt by Edmund Morris. The Power of Myth by Joseph Campbell. The Last Lion by William Manchester. And Deadline Artists, an anthology of America’s Greatest Newspaper Columns that I edited with my friends Errol Louis and Jesse Angelo.
Stick That In Your Country Song by Eric Church. But I love music and listen to it constantly. That's just the last song that got stuck in my head. My favorite band is U2. Soul is the most underrated genre. Lately, I've been listening to a lot of the Clash’s London Calling, Drive-by-Truckers and Steve Earle on the campaign trail.
Everything worthwhile is a struggle on some level - except love for your children.
It is the people's house—a citizen-led legislature that has the potential to represent the full diversity of America and embody our best civic debates. Obviously, this has not been true in recent years. However, I believe we need to throw our shoulder to the wheel and improve the quality of representation and debate. We need strong advocates for our best ideals and for policy solutions that address our problems. Of course, the House is also tasked with the power of the purse—it begin the process to make decisions on budgets, taxes and spending. And these are levers that can help us continue to evolve into a more perfect union.
It helps as a gauge of interest and experience. But it's not necessary. A patriotic love of our country, a willingness to work in good faith with fellow citizens to solve problems and understanding of American history is more than sufficient.
I believe the defining struggle of our times is between democracy and autocracy - at home as well as abroad. We need to strengthen the guardrails around our democracy at home through election reforms, algorithm reforms and instilling a culture that teaches the responsibilities as well as rights of being a citizen in a self-governing society. We need to take seriously the responsibility of uniting our country and healing our divides. This is not just a political and cultural effort, but also economic. We must rebuild the middle class. It is no coincidence that the middle of our economy has been hollowed out while the middle of our politics has been hollowed out. We also need to stand with our liberal democratic allies against the spread of autocracy. We need to strengthen American democracy for the 21st Century.
I support term limits – because democracy depends on citizens stepping up and serving for a time rather than trying to permanently hold onto power. But I believe that terms in the House should be around six terms (or 12 years) and in the Senate three terms (or 18 years). There is some virtue in experience and seniority – but most importantly, if limits on terms become to restrained, our country would effectively be run by unelected and unaccountable staff and lobbyists.
That James Madison made quite an impact. Robert Smalls is an under-appreciated American hero. Barbara Jordan embodied moral authority and love of country.
I've been inspired by the profound patriotism I’ve seen from Democrats in Suffolk County. I've also been deeply affected by families struggling to stay in Suffolk County because of the high cost of living. But one conversation stands out to me in particular: I was knocking on doors in Smithtown and spoke to an FBI agent - a registered independent—who expressed real frustration at the fact House Republicans were cutting the budget for the FBI, DOJ and ATF. “That’s going to hurt,” he said. “Talk about defunding the police.”
This seems like a bad idea.
Absolutely. The US constitution was founded on constructive compromise. We must reason together using a common set of facts, defining common ground and then building on it to solve our common problems. It requires not demonizing people we disagree with. It requires a deep belief that there's always more than unites us than divides us as Americans. It requires putting country over party.
I believe liberal capitalist democracy has been a positive force in the world. But that means government has an interest in incentivizing behavior that benefits the common good and maintains a healthy and strong middle class without falling into the trap of excessive debt that has derailed so many civilizations in the past. This is a balance - but we must invest in order to grow and we must show that the American dream is alive and well - and that means a strong and vibrant middle class with equal opportunity and social mobility. Specifically, I'm committed to restoring the full State and Local Tax Deduction and expanding the Child Tax Credit - both of which would help address the affordability crisis and rebuild the middle class here on Long Island.
House Oversight is essential to seeing that ethics are being upheld and that programs are implemented according to congressional intent. But oversight should not be weaponized and used to hobble an Administration by turning government into a warfare of partisan interests.
- New York State United Teachers Union

- East Hampton Democratic Committee - Southampton Democratic Committee - Shelter Island Democratic Committee - Southold Democratic Committee - Riverhead Democratic Committee - Hunting Democratic Committee - Jay Jacobs, NYS Democratic Committee Chair - NYS Assemblyman Fried Thiele - NYS Assemblyman Steve Stern - Rebecca Sanin, Suffolk County Legislator - Ann Welker, Suffolk County Legislator

-
- Transportation & Infrastructure, specifically the Water Resources and Environment Subcommittee

- Ways & Means - House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence - Homeland Security

- Energy & Commerce
Democracy is government of, by, and for the people. It is therefore essential that citizens have faith that their government is honest and led by representatives who are not ethically or financially compromised. Transparency and accountability are essential to a well-functioning democracy. Sunlight is the best disinfectant.



Campaign advertisements

This section includes a selection of up to three campaign advertisements per candidate released in this race, as well as links to candidates' YouTube, Vimeo, and/or Facebook video pages. If you are aware of other links that should be included, please email us.


Democratic Party John Avlon

May 15, 2024

View more ads here:


Democratic Party Nancy Goroff

May 25, 2024

View more ads here:


Endorsements

See also: Ballotpedia: Our approach to covering endorsements

Click the links below to see official endorsement lists published on candidate campaign websites for any candidates that make that information available. If you are aware of a website that should be included, please email us.

Election competitiveness

Polls

See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls

We provide results for polls that are included in polling aggregation from FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics, when available. No polls were available for this election. To notify us of polls published in this election, please email us.

Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[9]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[10][11][12]

Race ratings: New York's 1st Congressional District election, 2024
Race trackerRace ratings
November 5, 2024October 29, 2024October 22, 2024October 15, 2024
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterLikely RepublicanLikely RepublicanLikely RepublicanLikely Republican
Decision Desk HQ and The HillLean RepublicanLikely RepublicanLikely RepublicanLikely Republican
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesLikely RepublicanLikely RepublicanLikely RepublicanLikely Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallLean RepublicanLikely RepublicanLikely RepublicanLikely Republican
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Election context

Campaign finance

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
John Avlon Democratic Party $5,298,300 $5,297,995 $304 As of December 31, 2024
Nancy Goroff Democratic Party $2,389,664 $2,388,202 $1,462 As of December 31, 2024

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.


Satellite spending

See also: Satellite spending

Satellite spending describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[13][14][15]

If available, this section includes links to online resources tracking satellite spending in this election. To notify us of a resource to add, email us.

By candidate By election

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting ahead of the 2024 election.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.


Below is the district map used in the 2022 election next to the map in place for the 2024 election. Click on a map below to enlarge it.

2022

2023_01_03_ny_congressional_district_01.jpg

2024

2025_01_03_ny_congressional_district_01.jpg
See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2024

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in New York.

New York U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024
Office Districts/
offices
Seats Open seats Candidates Possible primaries Contested Democratic primaries Contested Republican primaries % of contested primaries Incumbents in contested primaries % of incumbents in contested primaries
2024 26 26 0 59 52 5 1 11.5% 4 15.4%
2022 26 26 7 107 52 16 8 46.2% 13 68.4%
2020 27 27 4 108 54 16 7 42.6% 11 47.8%
2018 27 27 1 85 54 13 1 25.9% 6 23.1%
2016 27 27 4 77 54 10 3 24.1% 5 21.7%
2014 27 27 2 55 54 5 5 18.5% 5 20.0%

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in New York in 2024. Information below was calculated on June 16, 2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

Fifty-nine candidates ran for New York’s 26 U.S. House districts, including 32 Democrats and 27 Republicans. That’s an average of 2.27 candidates per district. There were 4.12 candidates per district in 2022, 4.00 candidates per district in 2020, and 3.15 candidates per district in 2018.

The 59 candidates who ran in New York in 2024 was the fewest number of candidates since 2014, when 55 candidates ran.

No districts were open in 2024, meaning all incumbents ran for re-election. This was the fewest number of open districts in the last 10 years.

Four candidates—three Democrats and one Republican—ran for the 10th Congressional District, the most candidates who ran for a district in New York in 2024.

Six primaries—five Democratic and one Republican—were contested in 2024. Between 2014 and 2022, an average of 16.8 primaries were contested each election year.

Four incumbents—three Democrats and one Republican—were in contested primaries in 2024. Between 2014 and 2022, an average of 8.00 incumbents ran in contested primaries each election year.

Candidates filed to run in the Republican and Democratic primaries in all 26 districts, meaning no seats were guaranteed to either party.

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+4. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 4 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made New York's 1st the 199th most Republican district nationally.[16]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in New York's 1st based on 2024 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
48.5% 50.3%

Inside Elections Baselines

See also: Inside Elections

Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[17] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.

Inside Elections Baseline for 2024
Democratic Baseline Democratic Party Republican Baseline Republican Party Difference
48.3 50.0 D+1.8

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in New York, 2020

New York presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 18 Democratic wins
  • 13 Republican wins
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party R R R D R R R R D D D D R R R D D D R D R R D D D D D D D D D
See also: Party control of New York state government

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of New York's congressional delegation as of May 2024.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from New York
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 2 19 21
Republican 0 7 7
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 26 28

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in New York's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.

State executive officials in New York, May 2024
Office Officeholder
Governor Democratic Party Kathy Hochul
Lieutenant Governor Democratic Party Antonio Delgado
Secretary of State Democratic Party Robert Rodriguez
Attorney General Democratic Party Letitia James

State legislature

New York State Senate

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 42
     Republican Party 21
     Other 0
     Vacancies 0
Total 63

New York House of Representatives

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 102
     Republican Party 48
     Independence 0
     Other 0
     Vacancies 0
Total 150

Trifecta control

The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.

New York Party Control: 1992-2024
Eight years of Democratic trifectas  •  No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Governor D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D
Senate R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R D D R R R R R R R R D D D D D D
Assembly D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D

Election context

Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in New York in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in New York, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
New York U.S. House Ballot-qualified party 5% of voters from the candidate's same party or 1,250, whichever is less N/A 4/4/2024 Source
New York U.S. House Unaffiliated 1% of votes cast for governor in the last election or 3,500, whichever is less N/A 5/28/2024 Source

District election history

2022

See also: New York's 1st Congressional District election, 2022

General election

General election for U.S. House New York District 1

Nicholas J. LaLota defeated Bridget M. Fleming in the general election for U.S. House New York District 1 on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Nicholas J. LaLota
Nicholas J. LaLota (R / Conservative Party) Candidate Connection
 
55.5
 
177,040
Image of Bridget M. Fleming
Bridget M. Fleming (D / Working Families Party)
 
44.5
 
141,907
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.0
 
48

Total votes: 318,995
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

The Democratic primary election was canceled. Bridget M. Fleming advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House New York District 1.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House New York District 1

Nicholas J. LaLota defeated Michelle Bond and Anthony Figliola in the Republican primary for U.S. House New York District 1 on August 23, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Nicholas J. LaLota
Nicholas J. LaLota Candidate Connection
 
47.3
 
12,015
Michelle Bond
 
27.6
 
7,015
Image of Anthony Figliola
Anthony Figliola
 
25.1
 
6,391

Total votes: 25,421
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Conservative Party primary election

The Conservative Party primary election was canceled. Nicholas J. LaLota advanced from the Conservative Party primary for U.S. House New York District 1.

Working Families Party primary election

The Working Families Party primary election was canceled. Bridget M. Fleming advanced from the Working Families Party primary for U.S. House New York District 1.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2020

See also: New York's 1st Congressional District election, 2020

General election

General election for U.S. House New York District 1

Incumbent Lee Zeldin defeated Nancy Goroff in the general election for U.S. House New York District 1 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Lee Zeldin
Lee Zeldin (R / Conservative Party / Independence Party)
 
54.8
 
205,715
Image of Nancy Goroff
Nancy Goroff (D / Working Families Party)
 
45.1
 
169,294
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.0
 
107

Total votes: 375,116
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House New York District 1

Nancy Goroff defeated Perry Gershon, Bridget M. Fleming, and Greg Fischer in the Democratic primary for U.S. House New York District 1 on June 23, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Nancy Goroff
Nancy Goroff
 
36.0
 
17,970
Image of Perry Gershon
Perry Gershon
 
34.7
 
17,303
Image of Bridget M. Fleming
Bridget M. Fleming Candidate Connection
 
27.5
 
13,718
Image of Greg Fischer
Greg Fischer
 
1.6
 
775
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.2
 
110

Total votes: 49,876
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Republican primary election

The Republican primary election was canceled. Incumbent Lee Zeldin advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House New York District 1.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Conservative Party primary election

The Conservative Party primary election was canceled. Incumbent Lee Zeldin advanced from the Conservative Party primary for U.S. House New York District 1.

Independence Party primary election

The Independence Party primary election was canceled. Incumbent Lee Zeldin advanced from the Independence Party primary for U.S. House New York District 1.

Working Families Party primary election

The Working Families Party primary election was canceled. Joshua Goldfein advanced from the Working Families Party primary for U.S. House New York District 1.

2018

See also: New York's 1st Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House New York District 1

Incumbent Lee Zeldin defeated Perry Gershon and Kate Browning in the general election for U.S. House New York District 1 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Lee Zeldin
Lee Zeldin (R)
 
51.5
 
139,027
Image of Perry Gershon
Perry Gershon (D)
 
47.4
 
127,991
Image of Kate Browning
Kate Browning (Women's Equality Party)
 
1.1
 
2,988

Total votes: 270,006
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House New York District 1

Perry Gershon defeated Kate Browning, Vivian Viloria-Fisher, David Pechefsky, and Elaine DiMasi in the Democratic primary for U.S. House New York District 1 on June 26, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Perry Gershon
Perry Gershon
 
35.5
 
7,902
Image of Kate Browning
Kate Browning
 
30.6
 
6,813
Image of Vivian Viloria-Fisher
Vivian Viloria-Fisher
 
16.3
 
3,616
Image of David Pechefsky
David Pechefsky
 
11.5
 
2,565
Image of Elaine DiMasi
Elaine DiMasi
 
6.0
 
1,344

Total votes: 22,240
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

The Republican primary election was canceled. Incumbent Lee Zeldin advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House New York District 1.

Women's Equality Party primary election

The Women's Equality Party primary election was canceled. Kate Browning advanced from the Women's Equality Party primary for U.S. House New York District 1.

Working Families Party primary election

The Working Families Party primary election was canceled. Patricia Latzman advanced from the Working Families Party primary for U.S. House New York District 1.

Earlier results


2024 battleground elections

See also: Battlegrounds

This was a battleground election. Other 2024 battleground elections included:

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. Spectrum News, "Nancy Goroff, John Avlon compete for Democratic nomination in N.Y.'s 1st Congressional District," March 4, 2024
  2. Vanity Fair, "Letter From Sag Harbor: Can John Avlon Ride His Centrism From CNN to Congress?" April 1, 2024
  3. John Avlon 2024 campaign website, "Meet John," accessed June 5, 2024
  4. 4.0 4.1 The East Hampton Star, "Goroff and Avlon See an Opening," March 14, 2024
  5. Nancy Goroff 2024 campaign website, "Meet Nancy," accessed June 5, 2024
  6. Nancy Goroff 2024 campaign website, "Home page," accessed June 5, 2024
  7. A majority in the U.S. House when there are no vacancies is 218 seats.
  8. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  9. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  10. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  11. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  12. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  13. OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed December 12, 2021
  14. OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed December 12, 2021
  15. National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," December 12, 2021
  16. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
  17. Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023
  18. Roll Call, "Exclusive: NRCC Announces 12 Members in Patriot Program," February 13, 2015
  19. Calone for Congress, "Dave Calone announces fundraising, major endorsement, East End Leadership Team," July 16, 2015
  20. EMILY's List, "EMILY’s List Endorses Anna Throne-Holst for Congress in New York’s First Congressional District," June 16, 2015
  21. New York State Board of Elections, "Filings received for the 2016 Primary Election," accessed May 15, 2016
  22. Politico, "New York House Races Results," June 28, 2016
  23. Politico, "2012 Election Map, New York," accessed November 7, 2012
  24. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
  25. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008," accessed March 28, 2013
  26. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2006," accessed March 28, 2013
  27. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2004," accessed March 28, 2013
  28. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 2002," accessed March 28, 2013
  29. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2000," accessed March 28, 2013


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