Everything you need to know about ranked-choice voting in one spot. Click to learn more!

North Carolina's 10th Congressional District

From Ballotpedia
Jump to: navigation, search

North Carolina's 10th Congressional District
Incumbent
Assumed office: January 3, 2025

North Carolina's 10th Congressional District in the United States House of Representatives is represented by Pat Harrigan (R).

As of the 2020 Census, North Carolina representatives represented an average of 746,711 residents. After the 2010 Census, each member represented 735,829 residents.

Elections

2024

See also: North Carolina's 10th Congressional District election, 2024

North Carolina's 10th Congressional District election, 2024 (March 5 Republican primary)

North Carolina's 10th Congressional District election, 2024 (March 5 Democratic primary)

General election

General election for U.S. House North Carolina District 10

Pat Harrigan defeated Ralph Scott Jr., Steven Feldman, and Todd Helm in the general election for U.S. House North Carolina District 10 on November 5, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Pat Harrigan
Pat Harrigan (R)
 
57.5
 
233,814
Image of Ralph Scott Jr.
Ralph Scott Jr. (D)
 
38.2
 
155,383
Image of Steven Feldman
Steven Feldman (L) Candidate Connection
 
2.9
 
11,614
Image of Todd Helm
Todd Helm (Constitution Party) Candidate Connection
 
1.4
 
5,884

Total votes: 406,695
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

The Democratic primary election was canceled. Ralph Scott Jr. advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 10.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 10

Pat Harrigan defeated Grey Mills Jr., Brooke McGowan, Charles Eller, and Diana Jimison in the Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 10 on March 5, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Pat Harrigan
Pat Harrigan
 
41.2
 
36,028
Image of Grey Mills Jr.
Grey Mills Jr.
 
38.9
 
34,000
Image of Brooke McGowan
Brooke McGowan Candidate Connection
 
10.1
 
8,795
Image of Charles Eller
Charles Eller Candidate Connection
 
6.9
 
6,076
Image of Diana Jimison
Diana Jimison Candidate Connection
 
2.9
 
2,535

Total votes: 87,434
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Libertarian primary election

The Libertarian primary election was canceled. Steven Feldman advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 10.

2022

See also: North Carolina's 10th Congressional District election, 2022

General election

General election for U.S. House North Carolina District 10

Incumbent Patrick T. McHenry defeated Pamela Genant and Diana Jimison in the general election for U.S. House North Carolina District 10 on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Patrick T. McHenry
Patrick T. McHenry (R)
 
72.6
 
194,681
Image of Pamela Genant
Pamela Genant (D) Candidate Connection
 
27.3
 
73,174
Image of Diana Jimison
Diana Jimison (Independent) (Write-in) Candidate Connection
 
0.0
 
110
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.1
 
242

Total votes: 268,207
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 10

Pamela Genant defeated Michael Felder in the Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 10 on May 17, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Pamela Genant
Pamela Genant Candidate Connection
 
77.5
 
13,028
Image of Michael Felder
Michael Felder Candidate Connection
 
22.5
 
3,790

Total votes: 16,818
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 10

Incumbent Patrick T. McHenry defeated Gary Robinson, Michael Magnotta, Jeff Gregory, and Richard Speer in the Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 10 on May 17, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Patrick T. McHenry
Patrick T. McHenry
 
68.1
 
49,973
Gary Robinson
 
15.9
 
11,671
Image of Michael Magnotta
Michael Magnotta Candidate Connection
 
6.4
 
4,703
Image of Jeff Gregory
Jeff Gregory
 
5.0
 
3,649
Image of Richard Speer
Richard Speer
 
4.6
 
3,381

Total votes: 73,377
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2020

See also: North Carolina's 10th Congressional District election, 2020

General election

General election for U.S. House North Carolina District 10

Incumbent Patrick T. McHenry defeated David Parker in the general election for U.S. House North Carolina District 10 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Patrick T. McHenry
Patrick T. McHenry (R)
 
68.9
 
284,095
Image of David Parker
David Parker (D) Candidate Connection
 
31.1
 
128,189

Total votes: 412,284
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

The Democratic primary election was canceled. David Parker advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 10.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 10

Incumbent Patrick T. McHenry defeated David Johnson and Ralf Walters in the Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 10 on March 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Patrick T. McHenry
Patrick T. McHenry
 
71.7
 
62,661
David Johnson
 
16.3
 
14,286
Image of Ralf Walters
Ralf Walters Candidate Connection
 
12.0
 
10,484

Total votes: 87,431
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2018

See also: North Carolina's 10th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House North Carolina District 10

Incumbent Patrick T. McHenry defeated David Wilson Brown in the general election for U.S. House North Carolina District 10 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Patrick T. McHenry
Patrick T. McHenry (R)
 
59.3
 
164,969
Image of David Wilson Brown
David Wilson Brown (D)
 
40.7
 
113,259

Total votes: 278,228
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 10

David Wilson Brown advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 10 on May 8, 2018.

Candidate
Image of David Wilson Brown
David Wilson Brown

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 10

The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 10 on May 8, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Patrick T. McHenry
Patrick T. McHenry
 
70.7
 
34,173
Image of Gina Collias
Gina Collias
 
13.8
 
6,664
Image of Jeff Gregory
Jeff Gregory
 
7.7
 
3,724
Image of Ira Roberts
Ira Roberts
 
3.5
 
1,701
Seth Blankenship
 
3.0
 
1,443
Image of Albert Wiley Jr.
Albert Wiley Jr.
 
1.3
 
616

Total votes: 48,321
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2016

See also: North Carolina's 10th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Patrick McHenry (R) defeated Albert Wiley, Jr., Jeff Gregory, and Jeffrey Baker in the Republican primary. McHenry defeated Andy Millard, the only Democratic candidate to file, in the general election. The primary election took place on June 7, 2016. The general election took place on November 8, 2016.[1]

U.S. House, North Carolina District 10 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngPatrick McHenry Incumbent 63.1% 220,825
     Democratic Andy Millard 36.9% 128,919
Total Votes 349,744
Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections


U.S. House, North Carolina District 10 Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngPatrick McHenry Incumbent 78.4% 14,817
Jeff Gregory 12.1% 2,277
Jeffrey Baker 4.8% 905
Albert Wiley, Jr. 4.7% 896
Total Votes 18,895
Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections


2014

See also: North Carolina's 10th Congressional District elections, 2014

The 10th Congressional District of North Carolina held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Patrick McHenry (R) defeated Tate MacQueen, IV (D) in the general election.

U.S. House, North Carolina District 10 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngPatrick T. McHenry Incumbent 61% 133,504
     Democratic Tate MacQueen, IV 39% 85,292
Total Votes 218,796
Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections

2012

See also: North Carolina's 10th Congressional District elections, 2012

The 10th Congressional District of North Carolina held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012, and incumbent Patrick T. McHenry (R) won. He defeated Patricia Keever (D) in the general election.[2]

U.S. House, North Carolina District 10 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Patricia Keever 43% 144,023
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngPatrick McHenry Incumbent 57% 190,826
Total Votes 334,849
Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

2010
On November 2, 2010, Patrick McHenry won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Jeff Gregory (D) in the general election.[3]

U.S. House, North Carolina District 10 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngPatrick T. McHenry incumbent 71.2% 130,813
     Democratic Jeff Gregory 28.8% 52,972
Total Votes 183,785


2008
On November 4, 2008, Patrick McHenry won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Daniel Johnson (D) in the general election.[4]

U.S. House, North Carolina District 10 General Election, 2008
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngPatrick McHenry incumbent 57.6% 171,774
     Democratic Daniel Johnson 42.4% 126,699
Total Votes 298,473


2006
On November 7, 2006, Patrick McHenry won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Richard Carsner (D) in the general election.[5]

U.S. House, North Carolina District 10 General Election, 2006
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngPatrick McHenry incumbent 61.8% 94,179
     Democratic Richard Carsner 38.2% 58,214
Total Votes 152,393


2004
On November 2, 2004, Patrick McHenry won election to the United States House. He defeated Anne Fischer (D) in the general election.[6]

U.S. House, North Carolina District 10 General Election, 2004
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngPatrick McHenry 64.1% 157,884
     Democratic Anne Fischer 35.9% 88,233
Total Votes 246,117


2002
On November 5, 2002, Cass Ballenger (R) won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Ron Daugherty (D) and Christopher M. Hill (L) in the general election.[7]

U.S. House, North Carolina District 10 General Election, 2002
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngCass Ballenger incumbent 59.3% 102,768
     Democratic Ron Daughtery 37.8% 65,587
     Libertarian Christopher M. Hill 2.8% 4,937
Total Votes 173,292


2000
On November 7, 2000, Cass Ballenger (R) won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Delmas Parker (D) and Deborah Garrett Eddins (L) in the general election.[8]

U.S. House, North Carolina District 10 General Election, 2000
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngCass Ballenger incumbent 68.2% 164,182
     Democratic Delmas Parker 29.5% 70,877
     Libertarian Deborah Garrett Eddins 2.3% 5,599
Total Votes 240,658


District map

Redistricting

2020-2023

See also: Redistricting in North Carolina after the 2020 census

On October 25, 2023, the North Carolina General Assembly adopted new congressional district boundaries.[9] The legislation adopting the new maps passed the state Senate by a vote of 28-18 and the State House by a vote of 64-40.[10] Both votes were strictly along party lines with all votes in favor by Republicans and all votes against by Democrats.[11][12]

The New York Times' Maggie Astor wrote, "The map creates 10 solidly Republican districts, three solidly Democratic districts and one competitive district. Currently, under the lines drawn by a court for the 2022 election, each party holds seven seats. The Democratic incumbents who have been essentially drawn off the map are Representatives Jeff Jackson in the Charlotte area, Kathy Manning in the Greensboro area and Wiley Nickel in the Raleigh area. A seat held by a fourth Democrat, Representative Don Davis, is expected to be competitive."[9]

How does redistricting in North Carolina work? In North Carolina, the state legislature is responsible for drawing both congressional and state legislative district lines. District maps cannot be vetoed by the governor. State legislative redistricting must take place in the first regular legislative session following the United States Census. There are no explicit deadlines in place for congressional redistricting.[13]

State law establishes the following requirements for state legislative districts:[13]

  • Districts must be contiguous and compact.
  • Districts "must cross county lines as little as possible." If counties are grouped together, the group should include as few counties as possible.
  • Communities of interest should be taken into account.

There are no similar restrictions in place regarding congressional districts.[13]


Below are the congressional maps in effect before and after the 2020 redistricting cycle. The map on the right was in effect for North Carolina’s 2024 congressional elections.

Below are the congressional maps in effect before and after the 2020 redistricting cycle. The map on the right was in effect for North Carolina’s 2024 congressional elections.

Below are the congressional maps in effect before and after the 2020 redistricting cycle. The map on the right was in effect for North Carolina’s 2024 congressional elections.

North Carolina District 10
before 2020 redistricting cycle

Click a district to compare boundaries.

North Carolina District 10
after 2020 redistricting cycle

Click a district to compare boundaries.

See also: Redistricting in North Carolina after the 2010 census

North Carolina's congressional district plan was subject to litigation following its adoption in 2011. Two challenges to the plan were heard by the Supreme Court of the United States: Cooper v. Harris, which was decided in 2017, and Rucho v. Common Cause, which decided on June 27, 2019. As a result of Rucho, North Carolina's congressional district plan was upheld. For more complete information, see this article.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

2026

Heading into the 2026 elections, based on results from the 2024 and 2020 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district is R+9. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 9 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made North Carolina's 10th the 143rd most Republican district nationally.[14]

2024

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+10. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 10 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made North Carolina's 10th the 146th most Republican district nationally.[15]

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Donald Trump (R) would have defeated Joe Biden (D) 57.4%-41.4%.[16]

2022

Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+22. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 22 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made North Carolina's 10th the 25th most Republican district nationally.[17]

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 29.7% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 69.2%.[18]

2018

Heading into the 2018 elections, based on results from the 2016 and 2012 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+19. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 19 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made North Carolina's 10th Congressional District the 44th most Republican nationally.[19]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.95. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.95 points toward that party.[20]

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. North Carolina State Board of Elections, "June Primary Candidates," accessed March 27, 2016
  2. Politico, "2012 Election Map, North Carolina," accessed November 7, 2012
  3. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
  4. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008," accessed March 28, 2013
  5. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2006," accessed March 28, 2013
  6. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2004," accessed March 28, 2013
  7. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 2002," accessed March 28, 2013
  8. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2000," accessed March 28, 2013
  9. 9.0 9.1 The New York Times, "North Carolina Republicans Approve House Map That Flips at Least Three Seats," October 26, 2023
  10. North Caroliina General Assembly, "Senate Bill 757 / SL 2023-145," accessed October 26, 2023
  11. North Caroliina General Assembly, "House Roll Call Vote Transcript for Roll Call #613," accessed October 26, 2023
  12. North Caroliina General Assembly, "Senate Roll Call Vote Transcript for Roll Call #492," accessed October 26, 2023
  13. 13.0 13.1 13.2 All About Redistricting, "North Carolina," accessed April 20, 2015
  14. Cook Political Report, "2025 Cook PVI℠: District Map and List (119th Congress)," accessed July 1, 2025
  15. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
  16. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  17. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
  18. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  19. Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  20. FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
District 9
District 10
District 11
District 12
District 13
District 14
Republican Party (12)
Democratic Party (4)