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North Carolina's 11th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 17 Democratic primary)

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North Carolina's 11th Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: March 4, 2022
Primary: May 17, 2022
Primary runoff: July 5, 2022
General: November 8, 2022
How to vote
Poll times: 6:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m.
Voting in North Carolina
Race ratings
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2022): R+8
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022
See also
North Carolina's 11th Congressional District
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th • 13th • 14th
North Carolina elections, 2022
U.S. Congress elections, 2022
U.S. Senate elections, 2022
U.S. House elections, 2022

A Democratic Party primary took place on May 17, 2022, in North Carolina's 11th Congressional District to determine which Democratic candidate would run in the district's general election on November 8, 2022.

Jasmine Beach-Ferrara advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 11.

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
March 4, 2022
May 17, 2022
November 8, 2022


A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. Primaries are state-level and local-level elections that take place prior to a general election. North Carolina utilizes a semi-closed primary system. Parties decide who may vote in their respective primaries. Voters may choose a primary ballot without impacting their unaffiliated status.[1][2]

For information about which offices are nominated via primary election, see this article.

This page focuses on North Carolina's 11th Congressional District Democratic primary. For more in-depth information on the district's Republican primary and the general election, see the following pages:

Candidates and election results

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 11

The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 11 on May 17, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Jasmine Beach-Ferrara
Jasmine Beach-Ferrara
 
59.7
 
32,478
Image of Katie Dean
Katie Dean Candidate Connection
 
25.6
 
13,957
Image of Jay Carey
Jay Carey Candidate Connection
 
7.1
 
3,858
Image of Bo Hess
Bo Hess
 
3.8
 
2,082
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Submit photo
Marco Gutierrez
 
1.9
 
1,040
Image of Bynum Lunsford
Bynum Lunsford
 
1.8
 
1,002

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 54,417
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in North Carolina in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in North Carolina, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
North Carolina U.S. House Ballot-qualified party N/A $1,740.00 3/4/2022 Source
North Carolina U.S. House Unaffiliated 1.5% of the total number of registered voters in the district $1,740.00 5/17/2022 Source

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting.
  • Effect of redistricting - How districts in the state changed as a result of redistricting following the 2020 census.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.

District map

Below was the map in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the map in place before the election.

North Carolina District 11
before 2020 redistricting cycle

Click a district to compare boundaries.

North Carolina District 11
after 2020 redistricting cycle

Click a district to compare boundaries.


Effect of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in North Carolina after the 2020 census

The table below details the results of the 2020 presidential election in each district at the time of the 2022 election and its political predecessor district.[3] This data was compiled by Daily Kos Elections.[4]

2020 presidential results by Congressional district, North Carolina
District 2022 district Political predecessor district
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
North Carolina's 1st 53.2% 45.9% 53.9% 45.3%
North Carolina's 2nd 63.6% 34.8% 64.3% 34.0%
North Carolina's 3rd 36.7% 62.0% 37.7% 60.9%
North Carolina's 4th 66.9% 31.9% 66.6% 32.2%
North Carolina's 5th 38.8% 60.1% 31.6% 67.4%
North Carolina's 6th 55.6% 43.2% 61.6% 37.2%
North Carolina's 7th 43.1% 55.8% 40.7% 58.1%
North Carolina's 8th 32.4% 66.5% 45.5% 53.4%
North Carolina's 9th 45.3% 53.3% 46.1% 52.5%
North Carolina's 10th 29.7% 69.2% 31.2% 67.7%
North Carolina's 11th 44.3% 54.4% 43.3% 55.4%
North Carolina's 12th 64.4% 34.2% 70.1% 28.5%
North Carolina's 13th 50.1% 48.4% 31.8% 67.1%
North Carolina's 14th 57.5% 41.1% --- ---

Competitiveness

See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2022

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in North Carolina.

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in North Carolina in 2022. Information below was calculated on March 31, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

In 2022, 103 candidates filed to run for North Carolina’s 14 U.S. House districts, including 60 Republicans, 40 Democrats, two Libertarians, and one independent. That’s 7.4 candidates per district, up from 5.3 in 2020 and 5.0 in 2018.

Here are some other highlights from filings in 2022:

  • This was the first filing deadline to take place under new district lines following the 2020 census. North Carolina was apportioned 14 seats after the 2020 census, up from 13 seats in the last round of apportionment following the 2010 census.
  • Two incumbents filed to run for re-election in a different district than the one they represented before redistricting. 8th District Rep. Richard Hudson (R) filed for re-election in the 9th District. 9th District Rep. Dan Bishop (R) filed for re-election in the 8th District.
  • Four seats were open, meaning no incumbent filed to run. In addition to the newly-created 14th District, this included the 1st, 4th, and 13th Districts: Rep. Ted Budd (R) filed to run for U.S. Senate rather than seeking re-election. Reps. G.K. Butterfield (D) and David Price (D) retired from politics.
  • This marked the largest number of open seats since at least 2012. There were three open seats in 2020 and none in 2018.
  • Fifteen candidates filed to run in the 11th District, more than any other. This figure includes eight Republicans, six Democrats, and one Libertarian.

Presidential elections

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+8. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 8 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made North Carolina's 11th the 166th most Republican district nationally.[5]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in North Carolina's 11th based on 2022 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
44.3% 54.4%

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in North Carolina, 2020

North Carolina presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 18 Democratic wins
  • 13 Republican wins
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party D D D D D D D R D D D D D D D D D R R D R R R R R R R D R R R


Demographics

The table below details demographic data in North Carolina and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.

Demographic Data for North Carolina
North Carolina United States
Population 10,439,388 331,449,281
Land area (sq mi) 48,623 3,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White 67.6% 70.4%
Black/African American 21.4% 12.6%
Asian 3% 5.6%
Native American 1.2% 0.8%
Pacific Islander 0.1% 0.2%
Other (single race) 3.2% 5.1%
Multiple 3.6% 5.2%
Hispanic/Latino 9.5% 18.2%
Education
High school graduation rate 88.5% 88.5%
College graduation rate 32% 32.9%
Income
Median household income $56,642 $64,994
Persons below poverty level 14% 12.8%
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2015-2020).
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.


State party control

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of North Carolina's congressional delegation as of November 2022.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from North Carolina, November 2022
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 0 5 5
Republican 2 8 10
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 13 15

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in North Carolina's top four state executive offices as of November 2022.

State executive officials in North Carolina, November 2022
Office Officeholder
Governor Democratic Party Roy Cooper
Lieutenant Governor Republican Party Mark Robinson
Secretary of State Democratic Party Elaine Marshall
Attorney General Democratic Party Josh Stein

State legislature

The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the General Assembly of North Carolina as of November 2022.

North Carolina State Senate

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 22
     Republican Party 28
     Vacancies 0
Total 50

North Carolina House of Representatives

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 51
     Republican Party 69
     Vacancies 0
Total 120

Trifecta control

As of November 2022, North Carolina was a divided government, with Democrats controlling the governorship and Republican majorities in both chambers of the state legislature. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.

North Carolina Party Control: 1992-2022
Fourteen years of Democratic trifectas  •  Four years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
Governor R D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R D D D D D D
Senate D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D D D R R R R D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. ↑ National Conference of State Legislatures, "State Primary Election Types," accessed October 7, 2024
  2. ↑ North Carolina State Board of Elections, "Election Information," accessed October 7, 2024
  3. ↑ Political predecessor districts are determined primarily based on incumbents and where each chose to seek re-election.
  4. ↑ Daily Kos Elections, "Daily Kos Elections 2020 presidential results by congressional district (old CDs vs. new CDs)," accessed May 12, 2022
  5. ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023


North Carolina's current delegation to the United States Congress
Senators
Ted Budd (R)
Thom Tillis (R)
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
District 9
District 10
District 11
District 12
District 13
District 14
Republican Party (12)
Democratic Party (4)


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