North Carolina's 13th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 17 Democratic primary)
- Primary date: May 17
- Mail-in registration deadline: April 22
- Online reg. deadline: April 22
- In-person reg. deadline: April 22
- Early voting starts: April 28
- Early voting ends: May 14
- Poll times: 6:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m.
- Absentee/mail-in deadline: May 17
2024 →
← 2020
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North Carolina's 13th Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: March 4, 2022 |
Primary: May 17, 2022 Primary runoff: July 5, 2022 General: November 8, 2022 |
How to vote |
Poll times: 6:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m. Voting in North Carolina |
Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Toss-up Inside Elections: Toss-up Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Republican |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th • 13th • 14th North Carolina elections, 2022 U.S. Congress elections, 2022 U.S. Senate elections, 2022 U.S. House elections, 2022 |
Wiley Nickel won the Democratic primary for North Carolina's 13th Congressional District on May 17, 2022. Five candidates were on the ballot. Incumbent Rep. Ted Budd (R) announced on April 28, 2021, that he would not seek re-election and instead run for U.S. Senate.
Two candidates—Nickel and Sam Searcy (D)—led the field in fundraising and media coverage.[1][2]
Searcy was a former state senator who represented District 17 from 2019-2021. He resigned at the start of his second term. In July 2021, Gov. Roy Cooper (D) appointed Searcy to serve on the State Board of Community Colleges.[3] Searcy was also a business owner, having founded CliniStart, a company that assists with contracts in clinical research, and Graybeard Distillery.[4] Searcy described his candidacy, saying, “Families here deserve a representative who knows what a reliable local job, quality education, and just a little bit more financial security can mean for a family, and who will fight for them every single day.”[5]
Nickel worked as a criminal defense attorney. He also had served in the North Carolina State Senate representing District 16 since 2019. Before his election to public office, Nickel worked in several district attorney offices and in the White House as advance staff for former President Barack Obama (D).[6] Nickel described his candidacy, saying, “I’ve seen the power of a nation’s hope. I’ve also seen the hard work it takes to make real change. I’m proud to be running on my strong record of work on climate solutions, wealth inequality, and human rights as a North Carolina State Senator.”[7]
Jamie Campbell Bowles (D), Nathan Click (D), and Denton Lee (D) also ran.
The district lines of North Carolina’s 13th changed substantially after redistricting, with the new district containing none of the old 13th district.[8] According to FiveThirtyEight, the old 13th district had an R+38 partisan lean, while the new district had an R+3 lean. A partisan lean indicates the difference between how a state or district votes and how the country votes overall.[9]
The News & Observer’s Danielle Battaglia described the new district, saying, “Only one district of North Carolina’s congressional map is a swing district, one that’s considered viable for either a Republican or Democrat to win. It’s the 13th Congressional District, and it encompasses all of Johnston County, the southern portion of Wake County, and parts of Harnett and Wayne counties.”[2] As of April 2022, three independent outlets rated the 2022 general election as a Toss-up.
Jamie Campbell Bowles (D), Nathan Click (D), and Denton Lee (D) completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. To read those survey responses, click here.
This page focuses on North Carolina's 13th Congressional District Democratic primary. For more in-depth information on the district's Republican primary and the general election, see the following pages:
- North Carolina's 13th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 17 Republican primary)
- North Carolina's 13th Congressional District election, 2022
Candidates and election results
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 13
Wiley Nickel defeated Sam Searcy, Jamie Campbell Bowles, Nathan Click, and Denton Lee in the Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 13 on May 17, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Wiley Nickel | 51.6 | 23,155 |
![]() | Sam Searcy | 22.9 | 10,284 | |
![]() | Jamie Campbell Bowles ![]() | 9.4 | 4,217 | |
![]() | Nathan Click ![]() | 8.6 | 3,866 | |
![]() | Denton Lee ![]() | 7.4 | 3,311 |
Total votes: 44,833 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Josh Remillard (D)
Candidate comparison
Candidate profiles
This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "I was born and raised in rural Sampson County. Early in life, I decided that I wanted to be in a profession where I could be of service to people, so I chose to pursue nursing. I am a Registered Nurse and have been working in the nursimg field for 36 years. I would like to continue to serve the people of our community, state and country as not only an RN, but also as your Congresswoman."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House North Carolina District 13 in 2022.
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "Hi, I’m Nathan Click. I‘m a husband, father, a small business owner, Air Force Veteran and Democrat running for Congress. I served our nation overseas to protect and defend democracy at home and abroad. Now I cannot sit on the sideline and just watch our democracy under attack from forces aligned with Donald Trump within our own borders. I am running for Congress to help restore faith in government, help average citizens reclaim their voice and reclaim our democracy. I worry about the future of democracy for my children and yours. I am concerned about America’s standing in the world as a champion for democracy, equal opportunity, and true freedom. We live in a time when repressive authoritarian governments are on the rise across the globe. Our challenge is to prove that America’s multi-racial democracy can truly deliver for all voters to improve lives and offer an equitable opportunity for citizens to thrive and maximize potential. I was raised in North Carolina. I was educated at one of the epicenters of the Civil Rights struggle - North Carolina A&T University in Greensboro. My wife Savanna and I have been married for 16 years. We have two daughters and two sons. "
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House North Carolina District 13 in 2022.
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "I am a high school special education teacher from Johnston County, North Carolina. The 2021-22 school year will be my ninth year teaching, all at a high poverty Title 1 public high school called Smithfield-Selma High School. I am a lifelong resident of North Carolina and currently live less than a mile from where I grew up. In 2020, I was the only unaffiliated General Assembly candidate in the state to qualify for ballot access. I wanted to run unaffiliated in my first campaign to take a stand against the toxic partisanship and to be a voice for the political middle who want to see a more civil government with elected officials more concerned with coexistence and collaboration than they are with propaganda, fearmongering, and extremism. I lost as an unaffiliated candidate, of course, but I didn't do it to win. I did it to prove that most Americans just want functioning government with representatives who truly represent every constituent in their region or district, regardless of party. On a personal note, I've been married to my wife, Megan, for seven years, and we have three kids."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House North Carolina District 13 in 2022.
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office:
North Carolina State Senate (Assumed office: 2019)
Biography: Nickel received a bachelor’s degree in political science from Tulane University and a law degree from Pepperdine University. He was a criminal defense attorney and, before being elected to public office, worked in several district attorney offices and in the White House as advance staff for former President Barack Obama (D).
Show sources
Sources: Twitter, "Wiley Nickel on January 10, 2022," accessed April 11, 2022; Wiley Nickel's campaign website, "Issues," accessed April 11, 2022; Carolina Democracy, "Fighting for Democracy at Home & Abroad," March 14, 2022; LinkedIn, "Wiley Nickel," accessed April 11, 2022; Wiley Nickel's campaign website, "Meet Wiley," accessed April 11, 2022
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House North Carolina District 13 in 2022.
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office:
North Carolina State Senate (2019-2021)
Biography: Searcy received bachelor's degrees in English and political science from Appalachian State University and a law degree from the University of Tulsa. Searcy was a business owner, who founded Graybeard Distillery and CliniStart, a company that assists with contracts in clinical research.
Show sources
Sources: Facebook, "Sam Searcy on April 8, 2022," accessed April 11, 2022; Sam Searcy's campaign website, "Home," accessed April 11, 2022; LinkedIn, "Samuel Searcy," accessed April 11, 2022; The News & Observer, "Former state senator running to represent Wake and Johnston counties in Congress," March 7, 2022
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House North Carolina District 13 in 2022.
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
Survey responses from candidates in this race
Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.
Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.
Collapse all
|I will try to promote laws that will benefit the largest majority of people, regardless of gender, race and party affiliation.
I will continue to fight for what is right with determination.

Nathan Click (D)
We need an economy that works for everyone.
We need police and criminal justice reform that treats everyone equally regardless of where they come, what they look like, or how much money they have.

Denton Lee (D)
I will have the most rational, realistic, honest, and transparent platform in the country, because I'm supposed to.
I'm running because our kids deserve limitless opportunity and a peaceful world in which to pursue it.

Nathan Click (D)

Denton Lee (D)

Nathan Click (D)

Denton Lee (D)

Nathan Click (D)

Nathan Click (D)

Denton Lee (D)

Nathan Click (D)

Denton Lee (D)

Nathan Click (D)

Nathan Click (D)

Nathan Click (D)

Denton Lee (D)

Nathan Click (D)

Denton Lee (D)

Nathan Click (D)

Denton Lee (D)

Nathan Click (D)

Nathan Click (D)

Nathan Click (D)

Denton Lee (D)

Nathan Click (D)

Denton Lee (D)
And as much as I try to defend the media's right to cover whatever stories they want to cover, I often wish they would recognize those figures who just want attention and fame but offer no substance other than the ability to make headlines, and once they've been pinpointed, I wish the media would just stop covering them. It would also certainly help if we had more media that chose to cover both sides of our issues, as well as the forgotten middle.
And yes, I'm well aware that I did not mention a single outside challenge that the US faces over the next decade. I don't think any outside challenge has a prayer of destroying the United States if we face those challenges together, and in a country of over 300 million people, you are NOT going to get your way even half the time. You in fact may NEVER get your way if your way is extreme. It will require some kind of concessions and compromise and a little give-and-take, but that's required of all of us to live in a country like this that guarantees as much freedom as we are guaranteed.
Nathan Click (D)
Armed Services Budget Education and Labor Energy and Commerce Foreign Affairs Oversight and Reform Small Business Transportation and Infrastructure Veterans’ Affairs
Ways and Means
Nathan Click (D)

Nathan Click (D)

Nathan Click (D)

Nathan Click (D)

Denton Lee (D)
Campaign advertisements
Bowles
Have a link to Bowles' campaign ads on YouTube? Email us.
Click
March 12, 2022 |
November 17, 2021 |
October 20, 2021 |
View more ads here:
Lee
March 27, 2022 |
March 27, 2022 |
July 8, 2021 |
View more ads here:
Nickel
Have a link to Nickel's campaign ads on YouTube? Email us.
Searcy
April 11, 2022 |
View more ads here:
Endorsements
Click the links below to see official endorsement lists published on candidate campaign websites for any candidates that make that information available. If you are aware of a website that should be included, please email us.
Election competitiveness
Polls
- See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
We provide results for polls that are included in polling aggregation from FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics, when available. No polls were available for this election. To notify us of polls published in this election, please email us.
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[10]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[11][12][13]
Race ratings: North Carolina's 13th Congressional District election, 2022 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 8, 2022 | November 1, 2022 | October 25, 2022 | October 18, 2022 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. |
Election spending
Campaign finance
This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[14] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[15] Click here to view the reporting schedule for candidates for U.S. Congress in 2022.
U.S. Congress campaign reporting schedule, 2022 | ||
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Report | Close of books | Filing deadline |
Year-end 2021 | 12/31/2021 | 1/31/2022 |
April quarterly | 3/31/2022 | 4/15/2022 |
July quarterly | 6/30/2022 | 7/15/2022 |
October quarterly | 9/30/2022 | 10/15/2022 |
Pre-general | 10/19/2022 | 10/27/2022 |
Post-general | 11/28/2022 | 12/08/2022 |
Year-end 2022 | 12/31/2022 | 1/31/2023 |
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jamie Campbell Bowles | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Nathan Click | Democratic Party | $86,755 | $82,442 | $4,314 | As of April 27, 2022 |
Denton Lee | Democratic Party | $19,750 | $15,604 | $546 | As of April 27, 2022 |
Wiley Nickel | Democratic Party | $3,717,882 | $3,735,754 | $36,999 | As of December 31, 2022 |
Sam Searcy | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
Satellite spending
- See also: Satellite spending
Satellite spending describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[16][17][18]
If available, links to satellite spending reports by the Federal Election Commission and OpenSecrets.org are linked below. Any satellite spending reported in other resources is displayed in a table. This table may not represent the actual total amount spent by satellite groups in the election. Satellite spending for which specific amounts, dates, or purposes are not reported are marked "N/A." To help us complete this information, or to notify us of additional satellite spending, email us.
By candidate | By election |
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Election context
Ballot access requirements
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in North Carolina in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in North Carolina, click here.
Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
North Carolina | U.S. House | Ballot-qualified party | N/A | $1,740.00 | 3/4/2022 | Source |
North Carolina | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 1.5% of the total number of registered voters in the district | $1,740.00 | 5/17/2022 | Source |
District election history
2020
General election
General election for U.S. House North Carolina District 13
Incumbent Ted Budd defeated Scott Huffman in the general election for U.S. House North Carolina District 13 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Ted Budd (R) | 68.2 | 267,181 | |
![]() | Scott Huffman (D) | 31.8 | 124,684 |
Total votes: 391,865 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Democratic primary election
The Democratic primary election was canceled. Scott Huffman advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 13.
Republican primary election
The Republican primary election was canceled. Incumbent Ted Budd advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 13.
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House North Carolina District 13
Incumbent Ted Budd defeated Kathy Manning, Tom Bailey, and Robert Corriher in the general election for U.S. House North Carolina District 13 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Ted Budd (R) | 51.5 | 147,570 | |
Kathy Manning (D) | 45.5 | 130,402 | ||
![]() | Tom Bailey (L) | 1.9 | 5,513 | |
![]() | Robert Corriher (G) | 1.0 | 2,831 |
Total votes: 286,316 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 13
Kathy Manning defeated Adam Coker in the Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 13 on May 8, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Kathy Manning | 70.1 | 19,554 | |
![]() | Adam Coker | 29.9 | 8,324 |
Total votes: 27,878 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Beniah McMiller (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 13
Incumbent Ted Budd advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 13 on May 8, 2018.
Candidate | ||
✔ | Ted Budd |
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Libertarian primary election
The Libertarian primary election was canceled. Tom Bailey advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 13.
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Ted Budd (R) defeated Bruce Davis (D) in the general election on November 8, 2016. In the Democratic primary, Bruce Davis defeated Adam Coker, Bob Isner, Kevin Griffin, and Mazie Ferguson. Budd defeated 16 other Republican candidates to win the Republican nomination.
Incumbent George Holding (R) of District 13 sought re-election for the District 2 seat in 2016. He defeated fellow Republican incumbent Renee Ellmers and Greg Brannon in the primary.[19] Holding's change of plans came after redistricting in North Carolina in February 2016 substantially changed the constituency of both districts. Holding's decision to run in District 2 essentially made District 13 an open seat, and as a result, 22 candidates filed to run for the seat. [20][21][22][23][24][19]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
56.1% | 199,443 | |
Democratic | Bruce Davis | 43.9% | 156,049 | |
Total Votes | 355,492 | |||
Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() |
20% | 6,340 | ||
John Blust | 10.4% | 3,308 | ||
Hank Henning | 10.4% | 3,289 | ||
Julia Howard | 10.3% | 3,254 | ||
Matthew McCall | 9.1% | 2,872 | ||
Andrew Brock | 8.8% | 2,803 | ||
Jason Walser | 7.3% | 2,319 | ||
Dan Barrett | 7.2% | 2,296 | ||
Harry Warren | 4% | 1,266 | ||
Vernon Robinson | 3.1% | 970 | ||
Kay Daly | 2.8% | 889 | ||
George Rouco | 2.4% | 773 | ||
Jim Snyder | 1.4% | 436 | ||
Farren Shoaf | 1.3% | 404 | ||
Chad Gant | 0.6% | 198 | ||
David Thompson | 0.5% | 147 | ||
Kathy Feather | 0.4% | 142 | ||
Total Votes | 31,706 | |||
Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() |
25.7% | 4,709 | ||
Bob Isner | 25.1% | 4,597 | ||
Adam Coker | 22.5% | 4,125 | ||
Mazie Ferguson | 16.2% | 2,963 | ||
Kevin Griffin | 10.6% | 1,946 | ||
Total Votes | 18,340 | |||
Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections |
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District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting.
- Effect of redistricting - How districts in the state changed as a result of redistricting following the 2020 census.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
District map
Below was the map in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the map in place before the election.
North Carolina District 13
before 2020 redistricting cycle
Click a district to compare boundaries.
North Carolina District 13
after 2020 redistricting cycle
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Effect of redistricting
The table below details the results of the 2020 presidential election in each district at the time of the 2022 election and its political predecessor district.[31] This data was compiled by Daily Kos Elections.[32]
2020 presidential results by Congressional district, North Carolina | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
District | 2022 district | Political predecessor district | ||
Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() |
Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() | |
North Carolina's 1st | 53.2% | 45.9% | 53.9% | 45.3% |
North Carolina's 2nd | 63.6% | 34.8% | 64.3% | 34.0% |
North Carolina's 3rd | 36.7% | 62.0% | 37.7% | 60.9% |
North Carolina's 4th | 66.9% | 31.9% | 66.6% | 32.2% |
North Carolina's 5th | 38.8% | 60.1% | 31.6% | 67.4% |
North Carolina's 6th | 55.6% | 43.2% | 61.6% | 37.2% |
North Carolina's 7th | 43.1% | 55.8% | 40.7% | 58.1% |
North Carolina's 8th | 32.4% | 66.5% | 45.5% | 53.4% |
North Carolina's 9th | 45.3% | 53.3% | 46.1% | 52.5% |
North Carolina's 10th | 29.7% | 69.2% | 31.2% | 67.7% |
North Carolina's 11th | 44.3% | 54.4% | 43.3% | 55.4% |
North Carolina's 12th | 64.4% | 34.2% | 70.1% | 28.5% |
North Carolina's 13th | 50.1% | 48.4% | 31.8% | 67.1% |
North Carolina's 14th | 57.5% | 41.1% | --- | --- |
Competitiveness
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in North Carolina.
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in North Carolina in 2022. Information below was calculated on March 31, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
In 2022, 103 candidates filed to run for North Carolina’s 14 U.S. House districts, including 60 Republicans, 40 Democrats, two Libertarians, and one independent. That’s 7.4 candidates per district, up from 5.3 in 2020 and 5.0 in 2018.
Here are some other highlights from filings in 2022:
- This was the first filing deadline to take place under new district lines following the 2020 census. North Carolina was apportioned 14 seats after the 2020 census, up from 13 seats in the last round of apportionment following the 2010 census.
- Two incumbents filed to run for re-election in a different district than the one they represented before redistricting. 8th District Rep. Richard Hudson (R) filed for re-election in the 9th District. 9th District Rep. Dan Bishop (R) filed for re-election in the 8th District.
- Four seats were open, meaning no incumbent filed to run. In addition to the newly-created 14th District, this included the 1st, 4th, and 13th Districts: Rep. Ted Budd (R) filed to run for U.S. Senate rather than seeking re-election. Reps. G.K. Butterfield (D) and David Price (D) retired from politics.
- This marked the largest number of open seats since at least 2012. There were three open seats in 2020 and none in 2018.
- Fifteen candidates filed to run in the 11th District, more than any other. This figure includes eight Republicans, six Democrats, and one Libertarian.
Presidential elections
Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+2. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 2 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made North Carolina's 13th the 215th most Republican district nationally.[33]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
2020 presidential results in North Carolina's 13th based on 2022 district lines | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() | |||
50.1% | 48.4% |
Presidential voting history
North Carolina presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 18 Democratic wins
- 13 Republican wins
Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Winning Party | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | R | R | R |
Demographics
The table below details demographic data in North Carolina and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019. {{{Demo widget}}}
State party control
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of North Carolina's congressional delegation as of November 2022.
Congressional Partisan Breakdown from North Carolina, November 2022 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
Democratic | 0 | 5 | 5 |
Republican | 2 | 8 | 10 |
Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 2 | 13 | 15 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in North Carolina's top four state executive offices as of November 2022.
State executive officials in North Carolina, November 2022 | |
---|---|
Office | Officeholder |
Governor | ![]() |
Lieutenant Governor | ![]() |
Secretary of State | ![]() |
Attorney General | ![]() |
State legislature
The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the General Assembly of North Carolina as of November 2022.
North Carolina State Senate
Party | As of November 2022 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 22 | |
Republican Party | 28 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 50 |
North Carolina House of Representatives
Party | As of November 2022 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 51 | |
Republican Party | 69 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 120 |
Trifecta control
As of November 2022, North Carolina was a divided government, with Democrats controlling the governorship and Republican majorities in both chambers of the state legislature. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.
North Carolina Party Control: 1992-2022
Fourteen years of Democratic trifectas • Four years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
House | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
See also
- North Carolina's 13th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 17 Republican primary)
- North Carolina's 13th Congressional District election, 2022
- United States House elections in North Carolina, 2022 (May 17 Democratic primaries)
- United States House elections in North Carolina, 2022 (May 17 Republican primaries)
- United States House Democratic Party primaries, 2022
- United States House Republican Party primaries, 2022
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2022
- U.S. House battlegrounds, 2022
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "North Carolina - House District 13," accessed April 11, 2022
- ↑ 2.0 2.1 The News & Observer, "Lucky 13: North Carolina’s 13th Congressional District brings big names, big competition," March 7, 2022
- ↑ North Carolina Community Colleges, "State Board of Community Colleges Elects Chair and Vice Chair," July 16, 2021
- ↑ LinkedIn, "Samuel Searcy," accessed April 11, 2022
- ↑ The News & Observer, "Former state senator running to represent Wake and Johnston counties in Congress," March 7, 2022
- ↑ LinkedIn, "Wiley Nickel," accessed April 11, 2022
- ↑ Twitter, "Wiley Nickel on January 10, 2022," accessed April 11, 2022
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Our new data shows exactly how new House districts are made up of old ones for every state," accessed April 11, 2022
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "What Redistricting Looks Like In Every State," accessed April 11, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed December 12, 2021
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed December 12, 2021
- ↑ National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," December 12, 2021
- ↑ 19.0 19.1 North Carolina State Board of Elections, "June Primary Candidates," accessed March 27, 2016
- ↑ North Carolina State Board of Elections, "Candidate_Listing_20160315," December 21, 2015
- ↑ Twitter, "Colin Campbell," accessed February 22, 2016
- ↑ News Observer, "NC Sen. Andrew Brock to run for Congress under new map," February 22, 2016
- ↑ Statesville Record and Landmark, "As primary nears, candidates meet Thursday in Mooresville," February 23, 2016
- ↑ Rhino Times, "Greensboro State Rep. Blust announces run for Congress," March 2, 2016
- ↑ Politico, "2012 Election Map, North Carolina," accessed November 7, 2012
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2006," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2004," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 2002," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ Political predecessor districts are determined primarily based on incumbents and where each chose to seek re-election.
- ↑ Daily Kos Elections, "Daily Kos Elections 2020 presidential results by congressional district (old CDs vs. new CDs)," accessed May 12, 2022
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023