North Carolina's 13th Congressional District elections, 2012
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November 6, 2012 |
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George E.B. Holding  |
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The 13th Congressional District of North Carolina held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012.
George E.B. Holding (R) won election to the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6th, 2012.[1] This switched partisan control of the district.
| Candidate Filing Deadline | Primary Election | General Election |
|---|---|---|
Primary: North Carolina has a closed primary system, meaning only registered members of a particular party may vote in that party's primary.
Voter registration: Voters had to register to vote in the primary by April 13. For the general election, the voter registration deadline was October 12.[2]
- See also: North Carolina elections, 2012
Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent was Brad Miller (D), who was first elected to the House in 2002. Following the 2011 redistricting, he chose to retire rather than face fellow Democratic incumbent David Price, whose territory overlapped Miller's in the newly redrawn 4th District.[3]
This was the first election using district maps based on data from the 2010 Census. North Carolina's 13th Congressional District was located in the northern portion of the state and included Reckingham, Caswell, Person, Granville, and Wake counties.[4]
Candidates
Note: Election results were added on election night as races were called. Vote totals were added after official election results had been certified. Click here for more information about Ballotpedia's election coverage plan. Please contact us about errors in this list.
General election candidates
May 8, 2012, primary results
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Election results
General Election
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Charles Malone | 43.2% | 160,115 | |
| Republican |  George E.B. Holding |
56.8% | 210,495 | |
| Total Votes | 370,610 | |||
| Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election" | ||||
Democratic Primary
| Candidate | Vote % | Votes |
|---|---|---|
|
Charles Malone |
66.9% | 45,865 |
| Bernard A. Holliday | 33.1% | 22,703 |
| Total Votes | 68,568 | |
Republican Primary
| Candidate | Vote % | Votes |
|---|---|---|
|
George Holding |
43.5% | 37,341 |
| Paul Y. Coble | 34.2% | 29,354 |
| Bill Randall | 22.3% | 19,119 |
| Total Votes | 85,814 | |
Race background
North Carolina's 13th was considered to be Leaning Republican according to the New York Times race ratings. Democratic incumbent Brad Miller was retiring after his district became more conservative, giving Republican George E.B. Holding an opening to take the seat. Democratic candidate Charles Malone faced an uphill battle after re-entering the race after he dropped out due to health concerns.[8]
The Washington Post listed the House of Representatives elections in North Carolina in 2012 as one of the states that could have determined whether Democrats retook the House or Republicans held their majority in 2013.[9] North Carolina was rated 8th on the list.[9]
Impact of redistricting
- See also: Redistricting in North Carolina
Following the 2010 Census results, North Carolina did not gain or lose any congressional seats, maintaining its 13 representatives. Under the new map, the 13th District would likely be won by a Republican.[6]
Following the 2011 redistricting, 13th District incumbent Brad Miller chose to retire rather than face fellow Democratic incumbent David Price, whose territory overlapped Miller's in the newly redrawn 4th District.[10].[6]
Registration statistics
As of May 11, 2012, District 13 had the following partisan registration breakdown according to the North Carolina Board of Elections:
| North Carolina Congressional District 13[11] | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Congressional District | District Total | Democrats | Republicans | Other & Unaffiliated | Advantage | Party Advantage | Change in Advantage from 2010 |
| District 13 | 500,534 | 194,165 | 178,571 | 127,798 | Democratic | 8.73% | -91.23% |
| "Party advantage" is the percentage gap between the two major parties in registered voters. "Change in advantage" is the spread in difference of party advantage between 2010 and 2012 based on the congressional district number only. | |||||||
District partisanship
FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012 study
- See also: FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012
In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps. North Carolina's 13th District became more Republican because of redistricting.[12]
- 2012: 42D / 58R
- 2010: 56D / 44R
Cook Political Report's PVI
In 2012, Cook Political Report released its updated figures on the Partisan Voter Index, which measures each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. North Carolina's 13th Congressional District has a PVI of R+9, which is the 116th most Republican district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by John McCain (R), 55-45 percent over Barack Obama (D). In 2004, George W. Bush (R) won the district 62-38 percent over John Kerry (D).[13]
Campaign donors
Charles Malone
| Charles Malone Campaign Finance Reports | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Report | Date Filed | Beginning Balance | Total Contributions for Reporting Period | Expenditures | Cash on Hand | ||||
| July Quarterly[14] | July 15 | $0.00 | $5,530.00 | $(3,198.99) | $2,331.01 | ||||
| Running totals | |||||||||
| $5,530 | $(3,198.99) | ||||||||
George Holding
| George Holding Campaign Finance Reports | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Report | Date Filed | Beginning Balance | Total Contributions for Reporting Period | Expenditures | Cash on Hand | ||||
| April Quarterly[15] | April 15 | $103,030.88 | $253,604.53 | $(285,590.39) | $71,045.02 | ||||
| Pre-primary[16] | April 26 | $71,045.02 | $98,065.00 | $(153,268.59) | $15,841.43 | ||||
| July Quarterly[17] | July 15 | $15,841.43 | $226,354.79 | $(225,469.85) | $16,726.37 | ||||
| Running totals | |||||||||
| $578,024.32 | $(664,328.83) | ||||||||
District history
| Candidate ballot access |
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2010
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in North Carolina, 2012
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2012
Footnotes
- ↑ Politico, "2012 Election Map, North Carolina," accessed November 7, 2012
- ↑ North Carolina State Board of Elections, "Registering to Vote in North Carolina," accessed July 26, 2012
- ↑ Huffington Post, "Brad Miller, North Carolina Congressman, Will Not Seek Re-Election," January 26, 2012
- ↑ North Carolina Redistricting Map, "Map" accessed August 24, 2012
- ↑ Rocky Mount Telegram "Three Republicans file to challenge Ellmers in May primary" accessed February 26, 2012
- ↑ 6.0 6.1 6.2 6.3 Roll Call, "Race Ratings: GOP looks for major gains in North Carolina," accessed December 26, 2011
- ↑ News & Observer "Holding to run for Miller's seat," accessed December 26, 2011
- ↑ New York Times, "House Race Ratings," accessed August 10, 2012
- ↑ 9.0 9.1 Washington Post, "The 10 states that will determine control of the House in 2012," accessed April 25, 2012
- ↑ Huffington Post, "Brad Miller, North Carolina Congressman, Will Not Seek Re-Election," January 26, 2012
- ↑ North Carolina State Board of Elections, "US Congressional Districts by County and Precinct," May 11, 2012
- ↑ "2011 Redistricting and 2012 Elections in North Carolina," September 2012
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 113th Congress: 2004 & 2008" accessed October 2012
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Charles Malone July Quarterly" accessed October 10, 2012
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "George Holding April Quarterly" accessed October 10, 2012
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "George Holding Pre-primary" accessed October 10, 2012
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "George Holding July Quarterly" accessed October 10, 2012
