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North Carolina's 14th Congressional District election, 2022
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North Carolina's 14th Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: March 4, 2022 |
Primary: May 17, 2022 Primary runoff: July 5, 2022 General: November 8, 2022 |
How to vote |
Poll times: 6:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m. Voting in North Carolina |
Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic Inside Elections: Solid Democratic Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th • 13th • 14th North Carolina elections, 2022 U.S. Congress elections, 2022 U.S. Senate elections, 2022 U.S. House elections, 2022 |
All U.S. House districts, including the 14th Congressional District of North Carolina, held elections in 2022. The general election was on November 8, 2022. The primary was scheduled for May 17, 2022. A primary runoff was scheduled to be held on July 5, 2022. The filing deadline was March 4, 2022.
This district was one of seven new U.S. House districts created as a result of apportionment after the 2020 census. Click here to read more.
The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 118th Congress. All 435 House districts were up for election.
Republicans won a 222-213 majority in the U.S. House in 2022.
Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 57.5% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 41.1%.[1]
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- North Carolina's 14th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 17 Democratic primary)
- North Carolina's 14th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 17 Republican primary)
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House North Carolina District 14
Jeff Jackson defeated Pat Harrigan in the general election for U.S. House North Carolina District 14 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Jeff Jackson (D) | 57.7 | 148,738 |
Pat Harrigan (R) ![]() | 42.3 | 109,014 |
Total votes: 257,752 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 14
Jeff Jackson defeated Ramin Mammadov in the Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 14 on May 17, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Jeff Jackson | 86.1 | 34,724 |
![]() | Ramin Mammadov ![]() | 13.9 | 5,598 |
Total votes: 40,322 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Eric Gash (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 14
Pat Harrigan defeated Jonathan Simpson in the Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 14 on May 17, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Pat Harrigan ![]() | 75.6 | 27,638 | |
Jonathan Simpson ![]() | 24.4 | 8,909 |
Total votes: 36,547 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Voting information
- See also: Voting in North Carolina
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
Survey responses from candidates in this race
Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.
Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.
Collapse all
|Pat Harrigan (R)
President Biden’s Afghanistan disaster was criminally incompetent. Now that incompetence is on display again as Russia slaughters innocent civilians in Ukraine. Here is the simple truth: when America fails to lead the world burns. The weakness that America has displayed not only creates opportunities for international conflict, but it presents serious national security threats here at home. As a Green Beret combat Veteran, I know firsthand the dangers that we face inside and outside of our borders. We must reinvest in our military, and give our soldiers the tools and support they need to do their jobs. And we must reestablish America as the world’s leading superpower.
America’s energy problem is an economic crisis and a matter of national security. We must act now to become energy independent. We can no longer afford to buy oil and other resources from our enemies. We need an all-of-the-above approach to energy that aggressively puts America on the fast-track to independence. That includes domestic oil exploration, pipeline construction, fracking, nuclear energy development, solar, wind, coal, and all other forms of energy that America has proven we can produce cleanly, safely, efficiently and effectively.
Pat Harrigan (R)
My background as a combat veteran Green Beret gives me a unique perspective on the importance of national security, especially as it relates to the disastrous withdrawal from Afghanistan, the weakness on display in the face of Russian aggression, and other conflicts across the world. When America fails to lead, the world burns.
I'm also passionate about securing the border, dealing with our illegal immigration problem, protecting the 2nd Amendment, and election integrity.
Campaign finance
This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[2] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[3] Click here to view the reporting schedule for candidates for U.S. Congress in 2022.
U.S. Congress campaign reporting schedule, 2022 | ||
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Report | Close of books | Filing deadline |
Year-end 2021 | 12/31/2021 | 1/31/2022 |
April quarterly | 3/31/2022 | 4/15/2022 |
July quarterly | 6/30/2022 | 7/15/2022 |
October quarterly | 9/30/2022 | 10/15/2022 |
Pre-general | 10/19/2022 | 10/27/2022 |
Post-general | 11/28/2022 | 12/08/2022 |
Year-end 2022 | 12/31/2022 | 1/31/2023 |
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
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Jeff Jackson | Democratic Party | $5,707,177 | $5,627,112 | $80,066 | As of December 31, 2022 |
Ramin Mammadov | Democratic Party | $37,705 | $41,820 | $-15,563 | As of June 30, 2022 |
Pat Harrigan | Republican Party | $876,228 | $802,181 | $74,048 | As of December 31, 2022 |
Jonathan Simpson | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[4]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[5][6][7]
Race ratings: North Carolina's 14th Congressional District election, 2022 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 8, 2022 | November 1, 2022 | October 25, 2022 | October 18, 2022 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. |
Ballot access requirements
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in North Carolina in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in North Carolina, click here.
Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022 | ||||||
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State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
North Carolina | U.S. House | Ballot-qualified party | N/A | $1,740.00 | 3/4/2022 | Source |
North Carolina | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 1.5% of the total number of registered voters in the district | $1,740.00 | 5/17/2022 | Source |
District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting.
- Effect of redistricting - How districts in the state changed as a result of redistricting following the 2020 census.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
District map
Below was the map in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the map in place before the election.
North Carolina District 14
before 2020 redistricting cycle
Click a district to compare boundaries.
North Carolina District 14
after 2020 redistricting cycle
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Effect of redistricting
The table below details the results of the 2020 presidential election in each district at the time of the 2022 election and its political predecessor district.[8] This data was compiled by Daily Kos Elections.[9]
2020 presidential results by Congressional district, North Carolina | ||||
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District | 2022 district | Political predecessor district | ||
Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() |
Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() | |
North Carolina's 1st | 53.2% | 45.9% | 53.9% | 45.3% |
North Carolina's 2nd | 63.6% | 34.8% | 64.3% | 34.0% |
North Carolina's 3rd | 36.7% | 62.0% | 37.7% | 60.9% |
North Carolina's 4th | 66.9% | 31.9% | 66.6% | 32.2% |
North Carolina's 5th | 38.8% | 60.1% | 31.6% | 67.4% |
North Carolina's 6th | 55.6% | 43.2% | 61.6% | 37.2% |
North Carolina's 7th | 43.1% | 55.8% | 40.7% | 58.1% |
North Carolina's 8th | 32.4% | 66.5% | 45.5% | 53.4% |
North Carolina's 9th | 45.3% | 53.3% | 46.1% | 52.5% |
North Carolina's 10th | 29.7% | 69.2% | 31.2% | 67.7% |
North Carolina's 11th | 44.3% | 54.4% | 43.3% | 55.4% |
North Carolina's 12th | 64.4% | 34.2% | 70.1% | 28.5% |
North Carolina's 13th | 50.1% | 48.4% | 31.8% | 67.1% |
North Carolina's 14th | 57.5% | 41.1% | --- | --- |
Competitiveness
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in North Carolina.
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in North Carolina in 2022. Information below was calculated on March 31, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
In 2022, 103 candidates filed to run for North Carolina’s 14 U.S. House districts, including 60 Republicans, 40 Democrats, two Libertarians, and one independent. That’s 7.4 candidates per district, up from 5.3 in 2020 and 5.0 in 2018.
Here are some other highlights from filings in 2022:
- This was the first filing deadline to take place under new district lines following the 2020 census. North Carolina was apportioned 14 seats after the 2020 census, up from 13 seats in the last round of apportionment following the 2010 census.
- Two incumbents filed to run for re-election in a different district than the one they represented before redistricting. 8th District Rep. Richard Hudson (R) filed for re-election in the 9th District. 9th District Rep. Dan Bishop (R) filed for re-election in the 8th District.
- Four seats were open, meaning no incumbent filed to run. In addition to the newly-created 14th District, this included the 1st, 4th, and 13th Districts: Rep. Ted Budd (R) filed to run for U.S. Senate rather than seeking re-election. Reps. G.K. Butterfield (D) and David Price (D) retired from politics.
- This marked the largest number of open seats since at least 2012. There were three open seats in 2020 and none in 2018.
- Fifteen candidates filed to run in the 11th District, more than any other. This figure includes eight Republicans, six Democrats, and one Libertarian.
Presidential elections
Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+6. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 6 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made North Carolina's 14th the 161st most Democratic district nationally.[10]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
2020 presidential results in North Carolina's 14th based on 2022 district lines | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() | |||
57.5% | 41.1% |
Presidential voting history
North Carolina presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 18 Democratic wins
- 13 Republican wins
Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Winning Party | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | R | R | R |
Demographics
The table below details demographic data in North Carolina and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.
Demographic Data for North Carolina | ||
---|---|---|
North Carolina | United States | |
Population | 10,439,388 | 331,449,281 |
Land area (sq mi) | 48,623 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White | 67.6% | 70.4% |
Black/African American | 21.4% | 12.6% |
Asian | 3% | 5.6% |
Native American | 1.2% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Other (single race) | 3.2% | 5.1% |
Multiple | 3.6% | 5.2% |
Hispanic/Latino | 9.5% | 18.2% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate | 88.5% | 88.5% |
College graduation rate | 32% | 32.9% |
Income | ||
Median household income | $56,642 | $64,994 |
Persons below poverty level | 14% | 12.8% |
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2015-2020). | ||
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
State party control
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of North Carolina's congressional delegation as of November 2022.
Congressional Partisan Breakdown from North Carolina, November 2022 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
Democratic | 0 | 5 | 5 |
Republican | 2 | 8 | 10 |
Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 2 | 13 | 15 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in North Carolina's top four state executive offices as of November 2022.
State executive officials in North Carolina, November 2022 | |
---|---|
Office | Officeholder |
Governor | ![]() |
Lieutenant Governor | ![]() |
Secretary of State | ![]() |
Attorney General | ![]() |
State legislature
The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the General Assembly of North Carolina as of November 2022.
North Carolina State Senate
Party | As of November 2022 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 22 | |
Republican Party | 28 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 50 |
North Carolina House of Representatives
Party | As of November 2022 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 51 | |
Republican Party | 69 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 120 |
Trifecta control
As of November 2022, North Carolina was a divided government, with Democrats controlling the governorship and Republican majorities in both chambers of the state legislature. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.
North Carolina Party Control: 1992-2022
Fourteen years of Democratic trifectas • Four years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
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Governor | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
House | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Political predecessor districts are determined primarily based on incumbents and where each chose to seek re-election.
- ↑ Daily Kos Elections, "Daily Kos Elections 2020 presidential results by congressional district (old CDs vs. new CDs)," accessed May 12, 2022
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023