North Carolina's 1st Congressional District election, 2026
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← 2024
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| North Carolina's 1st Congressional District |
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| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: December 19, 2025 |
| Primary: March 3, 2026 Primary runoff: May 12, 2026 General: November 3, 2026 |
| How to vote |
| Poll times:
6:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m. |
| Race ratings |
DDHQ and The Hill: Pending Inside Elections: Tilt Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Republican |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2026 |
| See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th • 13th • 14th North Carolina elections, 2026 U.S. Congress elections, 2026 U.S. Senate elections, 2026 U.S. House elections, 2026 |
All U.S. House districts, including the 1st Congressional District of North Carolina, are holding elections in 2026. The general election is November 3, 2026. The primary is March 3, 2026, and a primary runoff is May 12, 2026. The filing deadline was December 19, 2025. For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- North Carolina's 1st Congressional District election, 2026 (March 3 Democratic primary)
- North Carolina's 1st Congressional District election, 2026 (March 3 Republican primary)
Candidates and election results
General election
The primary will occur on March 3, 2026. The general election will occur on November 3, 2026. Additional general election candidates will be added here following the primary.
General election for U.S. House North Carolina District 1
Incumbent Donald Davis and Tom Bailey are running in the general election for U.S. House North Carolina District 1 on November 3, 2026.
Candidate | ||
| Donald Davis (D) | ||
| Tom Bailey (L) | ||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Democratic primary election
The Democratic primary election was canceled. Incumbent Donald Davis advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 1.
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 1
Asa Buck, Laurie Buckhout, Robert Hanig, Eric Rouse, and Ashley-Nicole Russell are running in the Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 1 on March 3, 2026.
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Sandy Roberson (R)
Libertarian primary election
The Libertarian primary election was canceled. Tom Bailey advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 1.
Candidate profiles
There are currently no candidate profiles created for this race. Candidate profiles will appear here as they are created. Encourage the candidates in this race to complete Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey so that their profile will appear here. You can ask candidates in this race to fill out the survey by clicking their names below:
Voting information
- See also: Voting in North Carolina
Ballotpedia will publish the dates and deadlines related to this election as they are made available.
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
No candidate in this race has completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Ballotpedia is seeking 100 percent participation so voters can learn more about all the candidates on their ballots.
You can ask candidates in this race to fill out the survey by clicking their names below:
Campaign finance
| Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Davis | Democratic Party | $1,573,674 | $287,825 | $1,556,690 | As of September 30, 2025 |
| Asa Buck | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Laurie Buckhout | Republican Party | $5,197 | $22,679 | $8,822 | As of September 30, 2025 |
| Robert Hanig | Republican Party | $248,806 | $2,581 | $246,225 | As of September 30, 2025 |
| Eric Rouse | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Ashley-Nicole Russell | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Tom Bailey | Libertarian Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
|
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2026. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
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General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[1]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[2][3][4]
| Race ratings: North Carolina's 1st Congressional District election, 2026 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
| 1/6/2026 | 12/23/2025 | 12/16/2025 | 12/9/2025 | ||||||
| The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | |||||
| Decision Desk HQ and The Hill | Pending | Pending | Pending | Pending | |||||
| Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Tilt Republican | Tilt Republican | Tilt Republican | Tilt Republican | |||||
| Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | |||||
| Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. | |||||||||
Ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in North Carolina in the 2026 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in North Carolina, click here.
| Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2026 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
| North Carolina | U.S. House | Ballot-qualified party | 5% of registered voters in the same party or 200, whichever is greater | $1,740 | 12/19/2025 | Source |
| North Carolina | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 1.5% of all registered N.C. voters in the district, as of January 1 of the election year. | $1,740 | 12/19/2025 | Source |
Democratic-held U.S. House district that Trump won
This is one of 14 U.S. House districts Democrats are defending that Donald Trump (R) won in 2024. The map below highlights those districts. Hover over or click a district to see information such as the incumbent and the presidential vote counts.
District history
The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2020.
General election
General election for U.S. House North Carolina District 1
Incumbent Donald Davis (D) defeated Laurie Buckhout (R) and Tom Bailey (L) in the general election for U.S. House North Carolina District 1 on November 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Donald Davis (D) | 49.5 | 186,341 |
| | Laurie Buckhout (R) | 47.8 | 180,034 | |
| | Tom Bailey (L) | 2.6 | 9,949 | |
| Total votes: 376,324 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- John Schaffer (Independent)
Democratic primary
The Democratic primary scheduled for March 5, 2024, was canceled. Incumbent Donald Davis (D) advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 1 without appearing on the ballot.
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Brian Moutoux (D)
Republican primary
Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 1
Laurie Buckhout (R) defeated Sandy Smith (R) in the Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 1 on March 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Laurie Buckhout | 53.5 | 33,893 |
| | Sandy Smith | 46.5 | 29,471 | |
| Total votes: 63,364 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
Libertarian Party primary
The Libertarian Party primary scheduled for March 5, 2024, was canceled. Tom Bailey (L) advanced from the Libertarian Party primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 1 without appearing on the ballot.
General election
General election for U.S. House North Carolina District 1
Donald Davis (D) defeated Sandy Smith (R) in the general election for U.S. House North Carolina District 1 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Donald Davis (D) | 52.4 | 134,996 |
| | Sandy Smith (R) ![]() | 47.6 | 122,780 | |
| Total votes: 257,776 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Eshan Patel (Independent)
Democratic primary
Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 1
Donald Davis (D) defeated Erica Smith (D), Jason Spriggs (D), and Jullian Bishop Sr. (D) in the Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 1 on May 17, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Donald Davis | 63.2 | 42,693 |
| | Erica Smith | 31.1 | 21,012 | |
| | Jason Spriggs | 3.1 | 2,123 | |
| | Jullian Bishop Sr. ![]() | 2.6 | 1,752 | |
| Total votes: 67,580 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Republican primary
Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 1
The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 1 on May 17, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Sandy Smith ![]() | 31.4 | 13,621 |
| | Sandy Roberson ![]() | 26.7 | 11,603 | |
| | Billy Strickland ![]() | 13.9 | 6,050 | |
| | Brent Roberson ![]() | 13.8 | 5,992 | |
| | Brad Murphy ![]() | 9.5 | 4,128 | |
| | Will Aiken ![]() | 3.0 | 1,285 | |
| | Ernest Reeves | 1.2 | 523 | |
| Henry Williams | 0.5 | 202 | ||
| Total votes: 43,404 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
General election
General election for U.S. House North Carolina District 1
Incumbent G.K. Butterfield (D) defeated Sandy Smith (R) in the general election for U.S. House North Carolina District 1 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | G.K. Butterfield (D) | 54.2 | 188,870 |
| | Sandy Smith (R) ![]() | 45.8 | 159,748 | |
| Total votes: 348,618 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Democratic primary
The Democratic primary scheduled for March 3, 2020, was canceled. Incumbent G.K. Butterfield (D) advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 1 without appearing on the ballot.
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Deandre Carter (D)
Republican primary
Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 1
Sandy Smith (R) defeated Michele Nix (R), James Glisson (R) (Withdrew, appeared on ballot), and Ethan Baca (R) in the Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 1 on March 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Sandy Smith ![]() | 77.3 | 31,490 |
| | Michele Nix | 9.9 | 4,030 | |
| James Glisson (Withdrew, appeared on ballot) | 7.4 | 3,031 | ||
| | Ethan Baca ![]() | 5.4 | 2,206 | |
| Total votes: 40,757 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting ahead of the 2026 election.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2026 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
Below is the district map used in the 2024 election next to the map in place for the 2026 election. Click on a map below to enlarge it. Error: One or both images not found for the specified years.
Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2026 elections, based on results from the 2024 and 2020 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district is R+1. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 1 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made North Carolina's 1st the 215th most Republican district nationally.[5]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2024 presidential election was in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by The Downballot.
| Kamala Harris |
Donald Trump |
|---|---|
| 45.9% | 53.4% |
Presidential voting history
North Carolina presidential election results (1900-2024)
- 18 Democratic wins
- 14 Republican wins
| Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | 2024 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winning Party | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R |
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of North Carolina's congressional delegation as of October 2025.
| Congressional Partisan Breakdown from North Carolina | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
| Democratic | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| Republican | 2 | 10 | 12 |
| Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 2 | 14 | 16 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in North Carolina's top four state executive offices as of October 2025.
| Office | Officeholder |
|---|---|
| Governor | |
| Lieutenant Governor | |
| Secretary of State | |
| Attorney General |
State legislature
North Carolina State Senate
| Party | As of October 2025 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 20 | |
| Republican Party | 30 | |
| Other | 0 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 50 | |
North Carolina House of Representatives
| Party | As of October 2025 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 49 | |
| Republican Party | 71 | |
| Other | 0 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 120 | |
Trifecta control
North Carolina Party Control: 1992-2025
Fourteen years of Democratic trifectas • Four years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
| Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| House | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2025 Cook PVI℠: District Map and List (119th Congress)," accessed July 1, 2025
= candidate completed the