North Carolina's 2nd Congressional District
| North Carolina's 2nd Congressional District |
|---|
 |
| Incumbent Deborah Ross  Cook Partisan Voter Index (2018): R+7 |
| U.S. Census Bureau (2018 data) |
| Population: 858,938 |
| Gender: 51.2% Female, 48.8% Male |
| Race[1]: 71.0% White, 18.5% Black, 2.3% Asian |
| Ethnicity: 10.5% Hispanic |
| Unemployment: 4.2% |
| Median household income $71,232 |
| High school graduation rate 91.2% |
| College graduation rate 36.2% |
The current representative of the 2nd Congressional District is Deborah Ross (D).
Elections
2020
General election candidates
- Deborah Ross (Democratic Party) ✔
- Alan Swain (Republican Party)
- Jeff Matemu (Libertarian Party)
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
Democratic primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
Republican primary candidates
This primary was canceled and this candidate advanced:
Did not make the ballot:
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
Third Party primary candidates
This primary was canceled and this candidate advanced:
2018
General election for U.S. House North Carolina District 2
Incumbent George E.B. Holding defeated Linda Coleman and Jeff Matemu in the general election for U.S. House North Carolina District 2 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate |
% |
Votes |
||
| ✔ |
|
George E.B. Holding (R) |
51.3
|
170,072 |
|
|
Linda Coleman (D) |
45.8
|
151,977 | |
|
|
Jeff Matemu (L) |
2.9
|
9,655 | |
|
|
Total votes: 331,704 (100.00% precincts reporting) |
Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 2
Linda Coleman defeated Ken Romley and Wendy May in the Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 2 on May 8, 2018.
Candidate |
% |
Votes |
||
| ✔ |
|
Linda Coleman |
56.0
|
18,650 |
|
|
Ken Romley |
32.3
|
10,742 | |
|
|
Wendy May |
11.7
|
3,895 | |
|
|
Total votes: 33,287 |
Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 2
Incumbent George E.B. Holding defeated Allen Chesser II in the Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 2 on May 8, 2018.
Candidate |
% |
Votes |
||
| ✔ |
|
George E.B. Holding |
76.2
|
17,979 |
|
|
Allen Chesser II |
23.8
|
5,612 | |
|
|
Total votes: 23,591 |
Libertarian primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 2
Jeff Matemu advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 2 on May 8, 2018.
Candidate |
||
| ✔ |
|
Jeff Matemu |
|
|
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Sam Searcy (D)
- Timmy Strickland (Independent)
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent George Holding (R) from District 13 defeated incumbent Renee Ellmers and Greg Brannon in the District 2 Republican primary on June 7, 2016. This primary was rated by Ballotpedia as a 2016 U.S. House primary to watch. John McNeil defeated Elton Brewington, Jane Watson, Ron Sanyal, and Steven Hight in the Democratic primary and was defeated by Holding in the general election. The general election took place on November 8, 2016.[2]
Holding's decision to run in District 2 came after redistricting in North Carolina in February 2016 substantially changed the constituency of both districts.[3][4][5][6][7][2]
| U.S. House, North Carolina District 2 General Election, 2016 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
| Republican |  George Holding Incumbent |
56.7% | 221,485 | |
| Democratic | John McNeil | 43.3% | 169,082 | |
| Total Votes | 390,567 | |||
| Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections | ||||
| U.S. House, North Carolina District 2 Republican Primary, 2016 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
|
George Holding Incumbent |
53.4% | 17,084 | ||
| Renee Ellmers Incumbent | 23.6% | 7,552 | ||
| Greg Brannon | 23% | 7,359 | ||
| Total Votes | 31,995 | |||
| Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections |
||||
| U.S. House, North Carolina District 2 Democratic Primary, 2016 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
|
John McNeil |
46.1% | 7,613 | ||
| Jane Watson | 23.5% | 3,875 | ||
| Steven Hight | 11.3% | 1,870 | ||
| Ron Sanyal | 10.7% | 1,761 | ||
| Elton Brewington | 8.4% | 1,387 | ||
| Total Votes | 16,506 | |||
| Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections |
||||
2014
The 2nd Congressional District of North Carolina held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Renee Ellmers (R) defeated Clay Aiken (D) in the general election.
| U.S. House, North Carolina District 2 General Election, 2014 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
| Republican | Renee Ellmers Incumbent |
58.8% | 122,128 | |
| Democratic | Clay Aiken | 41.2% | 85,479 | |
| Total Votes | 207,607 | |||
| Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections | ||||
2012
The 2nd Congressional District of North Carolina held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012, in which incumbent Renee Ellmers (R) won re-election. She defeated Steve Wilkins (D) and Brian Irving (L) in the general election.[8]
| U.S. House, North Carolina District 2 General Election, 2012 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
| Democratic | Steve Wilkins | 41.4% | 128,973 | |
| Republican | Renee Ellmers Incumbent |
55.9% | 174,066 | |
| Libertarian | Brian Irving | 2.7% | 8,358 | |
| Total Votes | 311,397 | |||
| Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election" | ||||
2010
On November 2, 2010, Renee Ellmers won election to the United States House. She defeated Bob Etheridge and Tom Rose in the general election.[9]
| United States House, North Carolina General Election, 2010 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
| Republican | Renee Ellmers |
49.5% | 93,876 | |
| Democratic | Bob Etheridge | 48.7% | 92,393 | |
| Libertarian | Tom Rose | 1.8% | 3,505 | |
| Total Votes | 189,774 | |||
2008
On November 4, 2008, Bob Etheridge won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Dan Mansell (R) and Will Adkins (L) in the general election.[10]
| U.S. House, North Carolina District 2 General Election, 2008 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
| Democratic | Bob Etheridge incumbent |
66.9% | 199,730 | |
| Republican | Dan Mansell | 31.3% | 93,323 | |
| Libertarian | Will Adkins | 1.8% | 5,377 | |
| Total Votes | 298,430 | |||
2006
On November 7, 2006, Bob Etheridge won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Dan Mansell (R) in the general election.[11]
| U.S. House, North Carolina District 2 General Election, 2006 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
| Democratic | Bob Etheridge incumbent |
68.6% | 99,519 | |
| Republican | Dan Mansell | 31.4% | 45,458 | |
| Total Votes | 144,977 | |||
2004
On November 2, 2004, Bob Etheridge won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Billy J. Creech (R) in the general election.[12]
| U.S. House, North Carolina District 2 General Election, 2004 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
| Democratic | Bob Etheridge incumbent |
62.3% | 145,079 | |
| Republican | Billy J. Creech | 37.7% | 87,811 | |
| Total Votes | 232,890 | |||
2002
On November 5, 2002, Bob Etheridge won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Joseph L. Ellen (R) and Gary Minter (L) in the general election.[13]
| U.S. House, North Carolina District 2 General Election, 2002 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
| Democratic | Bob Etheridge incumbent |
65.4% | 100,121 | |
| Republican | Joseph L. Ellen | 33.3% | 50,965 | |
| Libertarian | Gary Minter | 1.4% | 2,098 | |
| Total Votes | 153,184 | |||
2000
On November 7, 2000, Bob Etheridge won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Doug Haynes (R) and Mark Daniel Jackson (L) in the general election.[14]
| U.S. House, North Carolina District 2 General Election, 2000 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
| Democratic | Bob Etheridge incumbent |
58.3% | 146,733 | |
| Republican | Doug Haynes | 40.9% | 103,011 | |
| Libertarian | Mark Daniel Jackson | 0.8% | 2,094 | |
| Total Votes | 251,838 | |||
Redistricting
- See also: Redistricting in North Carolina
North Carolina's congressional district plan was subject to litigation following its adoption in 2011. Two challenges to the plan were heard by the Supreme Court of the United States: Cooper v. Harris, which was decided in 2017, and Rucho v. Common Cause, which decided on June 27, 2019. As a result of Rucho, North Carolina's congressional district plan was upheld. For more complete information, see this article.
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+9, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 9 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made North Carolina's 2nd Congressional District the 130th most Democratic nationally.[15]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.01. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.01 points toward that party.[16]
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.
- ↑ 2.0 2.1 North Carolina State Board of Elections, "June Primary Candidates," accessed March 27, 2016
- ↑ North Carolina State Board of Elections, "Candidate_Listing_20160315," December 21, 2015
- ↑ Twitter, "Colin Campbell," accessed February 22, 2016
- ↑ News Observer, "NC Sen. Andrew Brock to run for Congress under new map," February 22, 2016
- ↑ Statesville Record and Landmark, "As primary nears, candidates meet Thursday in Mooresville," February 23, 2016
- ↑ Rhino Times, "Greensboro State Rep. Blust announces run for Congress," March 2, 2016
- ↑ Politico, "2012 Election Map, North Carolina," accessed November 7, 2012
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2006," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2004," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 2002," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2000," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
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