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North Carolina's 2nd Congressional District election, 2024 (March 5 Republican primary)

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2026
2022
North Carolina's 2nd Congressional District
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: December 15, 2023
Primary: March 5, 2024
Primary runoff: May 14, 2024
General: November 5, 2024
How to vote
Poll times: 6:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m.
Voting in North Carolina
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic
DDHQ and The Hill: Safe Democratic
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024
See also
North Carolina's 2nd Congressional District
1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th14th
North Carolina elections, 2024
U.S. Congress elections, 2024
U.S. Senate elections, 2024
U.S. House elections, 2024

A Republican Party primary took place on March 5, 2024, in North Carolina's 2nd Congressional District to determine which Republican candidate would run in the district's general election on November 5, 2024.

Alan Swain advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 2.

All 435 seats were up for election. At the time of the election, Republicans had a 220 to 212 majority with three vacancies.[1] As of June 2024, 45 members of the U.S. House had announced they were not running for re-election. To read more about the U.S. House elections taking place this year, click here.

In the 2022 election in this district, the Democratic candidate won 64.7%-35.3%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have defeated Donald Trump (R) 66.9%-31.5%.[2]

North Carolina conducted redistricting between the 2022 and 2024 elections. As a result, district lines in this state changed. To review how redistricting took place in North Carolina and to see maps of the new districts, click here. For a list of all states that drew new district lines between 2022 and 2024, click here.

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
December 15, 2023
March 5, 2024
November 5, 2024


A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. Primaries are state-level and local-level elections that take place prior to a general election. North Carolina utilizes a semi-closed primary system. Parties decide who may vote in their respective primaries. Voters may choose a primary ballot without impacting their unaffiliated status.[3][4]

For information about which offices are nominated via primary election, see this article.

This page focuses on North Carolina's 2nd Congressional District Republican primary. For more in-depth information on the district's Democratic primary and the general election, see the following pages:

Candidates and election results

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 2

Alan Swain defeated Eugene Douglass and Robert Morales Vergara in the Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 2 on March 5, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Alan Swain
Alan Swain Candidate Connection
 
59.5
 
25,759
Image of Eugene Douglass
Eugene Douglass Candidate Connection
 
22.5
 
9,751
Image of Robert Morales Vergara
Robert Morales Vergara Candidate Connection
 
17.9
 
7,747

Total votes: 43,257
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.

Image of Eugene Douglass

FacebookTwitter

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography "I am a retired Chemistry professor who grew up in Swarthmore, PA. I have lived in North Carolina since 2005 when I came to teach Chemistry at UNCP. I taught College Chemistry for over 30 years. "


Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.


Small Federal Government, less regulation and lower taxes. Bring responsibility back to the 50 states.


Get the Federal Government out of Local Education, disband the Department of Education and all it's regulations, to return to state and local authorities.


Protect Innocent Human Life, from Conception until Natural Death. End Abortion for birth control purposes, and regulate it to spare as many lives as possible, end the castration and mutilation of children to fit a depraved eugenics ideology.

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House North Carolina District 2 in 2024.

Image of Robert Morales Vergara

WebsiteFacebookTwitter

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography "Robert Morales is a dedicated public servant with a strong foundation in conservative values and a deep commitment to strengthening communities. Born into a family deeply rooted in public service and conservative principles, Robert was influenced by his father's 25 years of dedication to serving the public and his mother's passionate advocacy for traditional family values. Growing up in Puerto Rico, Robert witnessed the erosion of traditional values, which fueled his determination to preserve these principles. He began higher education at the Inter-American University of Puerto Rico, balancing academics with employment, while continuing to dedicate himself to his mission of serving Puerto Rican citizens. Robert's career in public service took off when he joined the Office of the Governor, where he strategically identified and utilized federal funding opportunities to empower Puerto Rican communities. His commitment to conservative principles, including fiscal responsibility and limited government, made him a formidable figure in politics. His impact extended beyond his official duties when he founded the First Governor's Office Internship Program, broadening access to government decision-making for like-minded individuals. Robert's talents led him to serve in Durham, NC, where he continued to champion community development and economic growth. Currently serving in Raleigh, NC, Robert Morales remains dedicated to enhancing the quality of life for residents."


Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.


Strong Conservative Values: Robert's campaign emphasizes a steadfast commitment to conservative principles such as fiscal responsibility, limited government, and individual liberty. He believes in preserving the traditions and values that have made our nation strong, ensuring that government serves the people, not the other way around.


Community Empowerment: Robert is dedicated to strengthening communities by identifying and utilizing federal funding opportunities effectively. His track record of fostering economic growth and individual liberty in Durham, NC and Raleigh, NC, reflects his passion for improving the lives of residents. He aims to bring these successful initiatives to a broader audience.


Proven Leadership: With years of experience in public service and a reputation as a tenacious and effective conservative political figure, Robert Morales has a track record of responsible fiscal management and unwavering dedication to his principles. Voters can trust him to deliver results and make a positive impact in local government.

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House North Carolina District 2 in 2024.

Image of Alan Swain

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography "Alan Swain was born in Yokohama, Japan and is a retired United States Army Colonel, serving 26 years. He earned an undergraduate degree from The Citadel, The Military College of South Carolina in 1976. He graduated with Masters from Embry–Riddle Aeronautical University, Auburn University, and Army War College. Swain's career experience includes commanding soldiers at all levels, AH-1 and AH-64 Attack helicopter pilot, 2 tours at the Pentagon, served 2 Presidents at the White House, achieved the master aviator badge, test pilot skills with the U.S. Army and was a successful small business owner. He has been affiliated with the following organizations: • Association of Citadel Men (life member) • Association of the United States Army (life member) • Army Aviation Association of America (life member) • Military Officer Association of America (life member) • National Rifle Association (life member) • Veterans of Foreign Wars (life member) • American Legion (life member) "


Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.


Inflation-Economy-National Debt. For 3 years Americans have been suffering from 18+% inflation. The cost of groceries, energy, housing, fuel are not sustainable. I commit to a balanced budget; zero-based budgeting; cut Federal spending; no more Continuing Resolutions (CR); stop Democrat tax hikes; make permanent the 2017 individual tax rates; halt federal taxing of social security entitlements; regain energy independence/dominance; and halt BIDENOMICs. Like Mr. Biden, I too support MAGAnomics.


US immigration allows 1.1M to legally emigrate annually. Allowing 8.5M undocumented to enter over the last 3 years is not acceptable. Failure to secure our national borders is a national security failure by Mr Biden. I will work to build a physical and technology wall; restore Remain in Mexico policy, end sanctuary city funding; halt catch and release and change to catch and deport; increase CBP agents; increase immigration judges (3 year backlog is unacceptable); and work for immigration reform


Public Safety is on the ballot. I fully suport funding law enforcement. Criminals must be held accountable. Our judicial system must enforce current laws. Allowing repeat violent offenders release on no cash bail is a detriment to Rule of Law. We must halt woke Das for not following the law and allowing criminals to skirt the law. We must help the mentally ill. I support increasing mental health institutions to perform needed evaluations; and Comprehensive health systems needed to identify individuals of concern. Drugs and human trafficking are out of control due to lax border security which is impacting our national security. We must close our borders and increase punishment of drug and human trafficking crimes.

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House North Carolina District 2 in 2024.

Voting information

See also: Voting in North Carolina

Election information in North Carolina: March 5, 2024, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: March 2, 2024
  • By mail: Postmarked by Feb. 9, 2024
  • Online: Feb. 9, 2024

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

N/A

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: Feb. 27, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Feb. 27, 2024
  • Online: Feb. 27, 2024

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: March 5, 2024
  • By mail: Received by March 5, 2024

Was early voting available to all voters?

N/A

What were the early voting start and end dates?

Feb. 15, 2024 to March 2, 2024

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

6:30 a.m. - 7:30 p.m. (EST)


Campaign finance

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Eugene Douglass Republican Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Robert Morales Vergara Republican Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Alan Swain Republican Party $33,206 $34,107 $1,095 As of December 31, 2024

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting ahead of the 2024 election.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.


Below is the district map used in the 2022 election next to the map in place for the 2024 election. Click on a map below to enlarge it.

2022

2023_01_03_nc_congressional_district_02.jpg

2024

2025_01_03_nc_congressional_district_02.jpg
See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2024

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in North Carolina.

North Carolina U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024
Office Districts/
offices
Seats Open seats Candidates Possible primaries Contested Democratic primaries Contested Republican primaries % of contested primaries Incumbents in contested primaries % of incumbents in contested primaries
2024 14 14 5 64 28 2 11 46.4% 4 44.4%
2022 14 14 4 100 28 9 13 78.6% 7 70.0%
2020 13 13 3 64 26 8 5 50.0% 3 30.0%
2018 13 13 0 56 26 10 7 65.4% 8 61.5%
2016 13 13 1 74 26 6 10 61.5% 9 75.0%
2014 13 13 3 60 26 8 9 65.4% 6 60.0%

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in North Carolina in 2024. Information below was calculated on 1/10/2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.


Sixty-four candidates filed to run for North Carolina’s 14 U.S. House districts in 2024, including 15 Democrats and 49 Republicans. That’s 4.6 candidates per district, less than the 7.14 candidates per district in 2022, the first election after the number of congressional districts in North Carolina increased from 13 to 14.

In 2020, when the state still had 13 Congressional districts, 4.9 candidates filed to run. In 2018, 4.3 candidates filed, and, in 2016, 5.7 did.

The 2024 election was the first to take place under new district lines that the North Carolina General Assembly adopted on October 25, 2023.

The 64 candidates who filed to run in 2024 were fewer than the 100 who ran in 2022. In 2020, 64 candidates also ran, although North Carolina had one fewer district then. Fifty-six candidates ran in 2018, the decade low.

Five seats were open in 2024, one more than in 2022 and a decade high.

Reps. Jeff Jackson (D-14th) and Dan Bishop (R-8th) did not run for re-election in order to run for state attorney general, while Rep. Patrick McHenry (R-10th) retired from public office. Reps. Kathy Manning (D-6th) and Wiley Nickel (D-13th), who did not run for re-election either, cited the partisan lean of their redrawn districts as the reason.

Fifteen candidates—one Democrat and 14 Republicans—ran for the open 13th district, the most candidates running for a seat in 2024. Thirteen primaries—two Democratic and 11 Republican—were contested. That was fewer than the 22 contested primaries in 2022, and tied with 2020 as the lowest number of contested primaries this decade. As a percentage of all possible primaries, the 13 contested primaries in 2024 were the lowest this decade (46%). North Carolina had 13 districts in 2020, making the 13 contested primaries that year 50% of all possible major party primaries.

Four incumbents—one Democrat and three Republicans—faced primary challengers. The 3rd and 6th Congressional districts were guaranteed to Republicans because no Democrats filed to run. Republicans filed to run in every congressional district, meaning none were guaranteed to Democrats.

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+15. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 15 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made North Carolina's 2nd the 93rd most Democratic district nationally.[5]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in North Carolina's 2nd based on 2024 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
66.9% 31.5%

Inside Elections Baselines

See also: Inside Elections

Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[6] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.

Inside Elections Baseline for 2024
Democratic Baseline Democratic Party Republican Baseline Republican Party Difference
64.4 34.9 D+29.5

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in North Carolina, 2020

North Carolina presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 18 Democratic wins
  • 13 Republican wins
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party D D D D D D D R D D D D D D D D D R R D R R R R R R R D R R R
See also: Party control of North Carolina state government

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of North Carolina's congressional delegation as of May 2024.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from North Carolina
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 0 4 4
Republican 2 10 12
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 14 16

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in North Carolina's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.

State executive officials in North Carolina, May 2024
Office Officeholder
Governor Democratic Party Roy Cooper
Lieutenant Governor Republican Party Mark Robinson
Secretary of State Democratic Party Elaine Marshall
Attorney General Democratic Party Josh Stein

State legislature

North Carolina State Senate

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 20
     Republican Party 30
     Other 0
     Vacancies 0
Total 50

North Carolina House of Representatives

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 48
     Republican Party 72
     Other 0
     Vacancies 0
Total 120

Trifecta control

The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.

North Carolina Party Control: 1992-2024
Fourteen years of Democratic trifectas  •  Four years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Governor R D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R D D D D D D D D
Senate D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D D D R R R R D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R

Ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in North Carolina in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in North Carolina, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
North Carolina U.S. House Ballot-qualified party 5% of registered voters in the same party or 8,000, whichever is greater[7] $1,740.00 12/15/2023 Source
North Carolina U.S. House Unaffiliated 10,000[8] $1,740.00 3/5/2024 Source

See also

External links

Footnotes


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
District 9
District 10
District 11
District 12
District 13
District 14
Republican Party (12)
Democratic Party (4)